The Democratic Primary divided by race, all democrats should be proud.

Obama picks up 3 more Illinois superdelegates:

Daley, Currie and Stroger

http://blogs.suntimes.com/sweet/2008/05/obama_picks_up_3_more_illinois.html

That's Excellent News! For Obama!

Seriously, it is. As recently as a few days ago, the national media had decided that there was only one contest up for grabs next week, and that it was in Indiana. The expectation was that Obama would prevail in North Carolina by a landslide, and that anything less would be a major win for Clinton.

Now, for once, the absurdity of conventional media analysis works against Clinton. Instead of receiving credit for closing a monumental gap, she's going to face a moving target of expectations. Pundits will spend the weekend talking about the Clinton surge in North Carolina, and speculating that she may even win. I suspect that as the Wright furor recedes, so will the size of Hillary's surge. Also, this ain't a rust belt state. In the South, Obama has often done fairly well among undecided voters.

So if, as I expect, Obama prevails in North Carolina by roughly a ten-point margin, the narrative will be that he fended off a determined surge from Hillary; that he turned the corner on the Wright issue; and that his definitive break with the good reverend has finally allowed his campaign to move forward.

All of which, of course, will be absurd. The real story will be that his support significantly eroded under attack. But that won't matter, any more than the inverse proposition mattered in Pennsylvania. If the two states split, that will suddenly look more like a tie than a Hillary win. And if Obama takes both, it will be an even more resounding triumph than it might otherwise have been.

Ah, the media.

the pundits are simply lowering the expectactions and I have NO problem with that.

what will happen when Hillary loses HC by double digits after all this, wow Hillary is closing she is closing!

that will be quite a momentum killer don't ya think ;)

Key difference between TX and NC primary electorates - far more black voters and far less hispanic voters in NC.

Hillary Clinton's "perfect storm" holds Obama to 52.5%, and that doesn't account for Obama's large early voting lead.

Note that even in the "close" polling, Clinton is in the low 40s. Fairly similar to Obama's PA polling. He topped out at just over 45% there, and maybe Clinton can match that performance ON ELECTION DAY. Early voting will boost Obama to at least a 10-15 point win.

It's, of course, completely appropriate to post polling numbers, but I've noticed an unfortunate tendency -- particularly by Eric Kleefeld -- to place too much weight on the supposed meaning of each individual poll.

Saying that this poll "confirms that this has state's primary has turned into a very close contest" is the same kind of over-emphasis on individual polls that exists in the mainstream news.

Nice try Eric!
Once again up is down and black is white.Where do they get get this polls anyway.At this rate we will all be under the deluge of centre right wing polls trotting none-issues and not actually representative of whats on the ground in NC.

Obama's NC polling will start to trend back up over the weekend and on Monday. Just like Clinton's did in PA.

Now that the race has hardened, demographics and machine support are pretty much everything.

Look Joseph McCarthy - the US went through a period of pinning Guilt on people by Association.

Quit trying to bring it back from the dead.

It's a repudiated argument - you and Roy Cohn and the transvestite head of the FBI pretty much killed it.

So the question is: Are you really a zombie?

It sounds like another Clinton smackdown is coming Barry's way. The polls are tightening in NC and its not even close in Indiana. Obama should get out now and save him the emabassment.

It is time for Obamacans to remove the rose colored glasses and take a serious, grown up look at the situation. He can't win in November.

Texas had a lot of Republicans creating mischief for Hillary. That can't happen here since it's a semi-closd primary. If Independents want to vote in the Democratic primary, they forfeit the right to vote in the heavily-contested Republican governor's primary so I doubt there will be a lot of shenannigans.

400 voters?
This is just silly - I find polls with 600 insulting enough - you need a 1000.

Deliberate double-post here....

The amusing part of this "discussion" is that every time there's a poll showing The Dear Leader in the lead the 'bots start shrieking, "WONDERFUL POLL!!! WORD!!!!"

Every time there's a poll showing Clinton in the lead the 'bots start shrieking, "BOGUS POLL!!!! THEY HATE BLACK PEOPLE!!!"

Tiresome, boring, and predictable.

Freakin' one-trick candidate; freakin' high-school fan club.

I live in Charlotte and the Obama signs are still in the Republican neighborhoods!

Trend lines?