Ickes: Uncommitted Delegates Must Stay Uncommitted
The Hillary campaign has taken a great deal of heat for their demand that Hillary be awarded all her delegates in Michigan and that none of the so-called "uncommitted" delegates go to Obama.
On a conference call with reporters this afternoon laying the groundwork for tomorrow's DNC meeting about the delegations, top Hillary adviser Harold Ickes extensively rebutted that criticism, pointing out that in addition to Obama, John Edwards and Joe Biden also weren't on the ballot (only Hillary was).
"It's impossible to discern what was going on in the minds of the uncommitted [voters]," Ickes said. "Some may have voted for Senator Obama. Some may have voted for Senator Biden. And some may have been voting for just plain 'uncommitted.'"
"The Rules and Bylaws Committee does not have the jurisdiction or the power to take uncommitted delegates," Ickes continued, "and award them to Senator Obama, or any other presidential candidate, any more than it has the power to take uncommitted delegates that were awarded to Hillary Clinton and give them to another candidate."
This is a pretty striking conclusion. If this committee lacks the power to award the uncommitteds to anyone, as Ickes said, it's hard to see why Hillary supporter Lanny Davis proposed a solution that would have split the uncommitteds between Hillary and Obama.
What's more, if this is true, how can the Committee craft any compromise solution? How can it split the whole delegation 50-50, or by any other percentage, between the two candidates? Wouldn't that involve doing what Ickes says the Committee lacks the power to do -- that is, award the uncommitteds to a candidate?
This legal reading seems designed to make the case that the only legal solution that the Committee has at its disposal is the Hillary solution. Maybe I'm missing something here.
Late Update: Ickes' position is apparently not that these delegates never go to a candidate. It's that the Committee can't pick which candidate they go to -- at the Convention, the uncommitteds can support whomever they wish. Of course, under this scenario, they wouldn't count in Obama's column in the short term, while hers would count.
Late Update: Here's the audio from the call:


You're missing the part where this campaign has been intellectually and morally bankrupt for months now.
That's the part you're missing.
May 30, 2008 1:54 PM | Reply | Permalink
I just can't believe how absurd this whole thing is and they wonder why they sometimes get rough treatment from the media - Hillary and Co. are full of it.
dm92
May 30, 2008 2:31 PM | Reply | Permalink
Yep. The "rules" argument from Hillary is totally absurd and hypocritical.
The actual rules, which she agreed to, is that Floria and Michigan by breaking the rules, would not be counted towards the nomination. Now, in the interest of fairness, due to unforeseen circumstances, the rules are being modified.
But, that has to be done in good faith and fairness!
She can't claim all of Michigan's delegates should go to her because she was the only major candidate on the ballot in a state which she agreed not to count. We know that's not the will of Michigan voters and she's just trying to manipulate the outcome.
That's not a good faith effort at all. It's sleazy.
As a matter of principle and practical outcomes, having both parties manipulate elections so brazenly is a vicious cycle, right down the toilet.
May 30, 2008 7:31 PM | Reply | Permalink
Since Hillary was the only candidate on the ballot, isn't it quite likely that many of the people who voted for her would have supported someone else had they been on the ballot too?
You see, the problem with counting ANY of the Michigan votes is that the election itself was FLAWED and SHOULDN'T COUNT!
If this happened in a 3rd world country the US would join the world community in condemning it and asking that the results be thrown out.
If we want to be a leader in democracy we should start practicing it.
Sorry Hillary, you shouldn't get an advantage for failing to keep an earlier pledge.
May 30, 2008 3:37 PM | Reply | Permalink
Obama actively worked to PREVENT
The Clinton campaign believes that the bedrock principles of the Democratic Party must guide the RBC's decision: every vote should be counted. The Democratic Party must honor the 2.3 million votes of the people of Michigan and Florida and delegates should be allocated to candidates accordingly.
May 30, 2008 6:25 PM | Reply | Permalink
The above post went up before it was finished.
Obama actively campaigned against a revote.
Having succeeded, he cannot then start whining that
he was not on the ballot.
The fact is, that his supporters voted "other." They
campaigned and let their people know to do this.
So let's not have anymore of these "clever chicago tricks"
Obama is famed for.
May 30, 2008 6:28 PM | Reply | Permalink
"The above post went up before it was finished."
It just "went up" by itself? You're hilarious.
May 30, 2008 7:07 PM | Reply | Permalink
Your argument is utterly incoherent. If Obama secretly undertook an effort to get his MI supporters to vote Uncommitted, then it's doubly outrageous for Ickes to suggest Obama should get ZERO delegates.
May 31, 2008 4:31 AM | Reply | Permalink
It has another, better solution: keep the original sanction and don't award any delegates to Michigan. If Ickes wants to get legalistic, then that's legalistic for you.
May 30, 2008 1:54 PM | Reply | Permalink
That would solve that.
May 30, 2008 1:58 PM | Reply | Permalink
I was thinking the same thing. The simple solution is to enforce the solution on the books.
May 30, 2008 2:07 PM | Reply | Permalink
At the very least, the threat of sticking with the status quo is a pretty nice trump card to have in your pocket to force the other side to negotiate in good faith. If Clinton will not play nice, then nobody gets any delegates.
May 30, 2008 2:22 PM | Reply | Permalink
Especially since if she "agrees' to something, you can't be sure she's really "agreed" to it!
May 30, 2008 6:37 PM | Reply | Permalink
Word.
May 30, 2008 2:56 PM | Reply | Permalink
Exactly.
May 31, 2008 4:32 AM | Reply | Permalink
Nope your not missing anything gregg. They get more and more desperate every day. I still don't see how they think that they can win in November if they blow up the party and steal the nomination. It truly is amazing.
May 30, 2008 1:55 PM | Reply | Permalink
Hillary is playing a very dangerous game, or a very Machiavellian one. Cuban Missile Crisis? Or Fifth Column?
May 30, 2008 7:16 PM | Reply | Permalink
What the hell is he suggesting be done with the "uncommitteds" then? I can't get a meaning that connects what he's saying into anything that makes sense.
May 30, 2008 1:55 PM | Reply | Permalink
They then get to have the "uncommitted" delegates that they put forward (i.e. Hillary supporters) vote their conscience (i.e. for Hillary) at the convention (or whenever).
May 30, 2008 1:58 PM | Reply | Permalink
The delgates for uncommitted have been chosed. They are mostly Obama supporters. They can vote that was at the convention...or not.
Until then Obama gets zero in his column. Clinton unquestionable won 55% of the vote. She gets those.
May 30, 2008 2:03 PM | Reply | Permalink
Stalin would be proud of your candidates claims to having a legitimate vote in MI
May 30, 2008 2:06 PM | Reply | Permalink
**Stop it. Stop it now. You are making my brain hurt trying to figure out what you're saying.
May 30, 2008 6:51 PM | Reply | Permalink
Your avatar is offensive and disgusting. Please go to LGF where you belong.
May 30, 2008 7:05 PM | Reply | Permalink
The delegates for uncommitted have been chosen. They are mostly Obama supporters. They can vote that way at the convention...or not.
Until then Obama gets zero in his column. Clinton unquestionably won 55% of the vote. She gets those.
(edit for typos)
May 30, 2008 2:04 PM | Reply | Permalink
she unquestionably won 55% of the votes from an unsanctioned election. according to DNC rules, guess how many delegates she will receive for those votes?
that's right. none.
May 30, 2008 2:17 PM | Reply | Permalink
Did you guys catch the part where according to Ickes, this can't be decided until the convention? That's the real zinger here. Not the numbers.
They want to take this to Denver, it's that simple. I don't know why, and I don't know if they have the money to do it, but clearly that's the plan.
May 30, 2008 4:50 PM | Reply | Permalink
Hey, you still haven't apologized to Obama for smearing him with that lie about his uncle.
May 30, 2008 2:22 PM | Reply | Permalink
**Beauty pageants don't have votes. They have judges.
May 30, 2008 6:53 PM | Reply | Permalink
It sounds like he is expecting 60-70 delegates to casts votes for Uncommitted in Denver.
May 30, 2008 2:06 PM | Reply | Permalink
Essentially, the uncommitted MI delegates would be a bunch more so-far-uncommitted superdelegates.
May 30, 2008 3:27 PM | Reply | Permalink
Perhaps you're missing the part where Clinton's team has no real credibility - on this or any other issue?
Why are you confusing what they say with any sort of reasonable analysis of the situation? They are liars. Lying hacks. It's their job to do so, but this group has taken the hacking to a whole new level.
May 30, 2008 1:56 PM | Reply | Permalink
You're not missing anything. Ickes is full of shit. The Michigan delegation to the meeting will propose some compromise, either the one you posted yesterday for a 50-50 split, or a 69-59 delegate split. That will get approved (probably with 1/2 vote for each delegate) and Ickes will try to make his bullshit stand up in an appeal.
May 30, 2008 1:57 PM | Reply | Permalink
And then they'll try to take it to the credentials committee.
May 30, 2008 2:04 PM | Reply | Permalink
Hopefully, the super delegates will end it after next week after the Clinton camp refuses to compromise this weekend.
May 30, 2008 2:34 PM | Reply | Permalink
When it's all said and done, really the only avenue open to the party that won't create a raft of shit is for only a half delegation to be seated from MI (per long-standing party rules) and for that delegation to be split 50-50 between Hillary and Obama. This thanks to the impossibility of wading into the "uncommitted" morass and further complicated by the Hillary campaign's blatant violation of their pledge not to campaign in MI, which went out the window when the campaign went in and gamed the caucuses.
May 30, 2008 1:57 PM | Reply | Permalink
EXACTLY, if the Michigan delegates has offered this plan then Clinton should not go against their recommended plan. Their committee understands that ALL the delegates will be restored so offered up a resonable compromise, but since this will not give her the lead Ickes says it is illegal.
BTW, Ickes was responsible for the last two convention fights and the democrats lost the election in those years.
May 30, 2008 2:21 PM | Reply | Permalink
Ickes is correct. Those delegates can vote as they wish at the convention. As for the tally, the are not in the Obama column.
May 30, 2008 1:57 PM | Reply | Permalink
If you had a brain, I would take it out and play kick ball with it because it is obvious YOU are not using it.
May 30, 2008 2:17 PM | Reply | Permalink
Hey, you still haven't apologized to Obama for smearing him with that lie about his uncle.
May 30, 2008 2:22 PM | Reply | Permalink
Fine. If that's the way it is, MI won't count for anything. Does Ickes really believe that not one person in MI wants Obama to be President?
May 30, 2008 1:58 PM | Reply | Permalink
If you are not on the ballot it is irrelevant. It is the candidates responsibility to be on the ballot. Perhaps people wanted Al Gore too. But he wasn't on the ballot either.
He forfeited. He loses. Too bad. Bad judgment for Magic Obama.
May 30, 2008 2:01 PM | Reply | Permalink
It's impossible to "forfeit" a fake contest, which is what MI was.
May 30, 2008 2:01 PM | Reply | Permalink
Hey! How ya doing!
You want to give me a second interpretation of "participate" in the pledge Sen. Clinton signed now? You think of one yet?
May 30, 2008 2:03 PM | Reply | Permalink
That would involve fogu2 thinking, so don't hold your breath, Hyper.
May 30, 2008 2:05 PM | Reply | Permalink
Ah, dammit. Good point.
May 30, 2008 2:06 PM | Reply | Permalink
Gave you one. Sorry if you didn't accept that I was right and you were wrong.
And then you wouldn't answer my question.
Go figure. You're part of the Obamic crybaby brigade.
May 30, 2008 2:06 PM | Reply | Permalink
Oh, you want to give that again? I must have missed it.
May 30, 2008 2:08 PM | Reply | Permalink
Now you are flat out lying (like you did with the smears against Obama's great uncle). You didn't give one that you posted on this site.
May 30, 2008 3:17 PM | Reply | Permalink
Michigan PLACED all of the candidates on the ballot. Since the candidates pledged not to participate in the primary, most removed their names from the ballot. One, who didn't, said that it didn't matter whether her name remained on the ballot since the election wouldn't count for anything. I think she's right. No delegates for Michigan.
May 30, 2008 2:10 PM | Reply | Permalink
But the pledge was ambiguous, according to Fogu2. Too many big words, like "campaign" and "participate."
May 30, 2008 2:15 PM | Reply | Permalink
Maybe for Fogu2, but not for Senator Clinton and her campaign. They knew EXACTLY what it meant (it's clear these elections won't count for anything).
May 30, 2008 2:20 PM | Reply | Permalink
I have to hand it to you -- you really can spout some "Through the Looking Glass" sh*t.
May 30, 2008 2:26 PM | Reply | Permalink
Good grief, you make my *zz want to drink water!!!
Kidnap a clue why don't you. So in essence NO ONE in Detroit would vote for Obama? If you will READ (I know novel concept) news from MI you will find the turnout was the lowest in YEARS, because they were informed their vote WOULD NOT COUNT. So many stayed home or voted against McCain on the Republican ticket.....YOU TWIT
May 30, 2008 2:31 PM | Reply | Permalink
It takes at least 2 people to have a contest. If you are the only one, it is not a contest - it is masturbation.
May 30, 2008 7:03 PM | Reply | Permalink
Sure, fogu2, Obama should've taken a page from Rove's playbook like HRC did. Obama is playing by the rules again. Hillary didn't and now she wants to turn her cheat into the rule.
Wait a minute, is she a Republican in Dems clothing?
May 30, 2008 7:59 PM | Reply | Permalink
No that would mean he is ACTUALLY thinking.
May 30, 2008 2:25 PM | Reply | Permalink
It's so not about what he believes. It's about seeing what sticks. The whole "testicular fortitude" line just took on a whole new meaning.
May 30, 2008 7:02 PM | Reply | Permalink
And then there's this lovely tidbit:
Obama Again Apologizes for a Preacher
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_H11x6bMu4Y
http://blog.washingtonpost.com/the-trail/2008/05/29/obama_again_apologizes_for_a_p.html
May 30, 2008 1:58 PM | Reply | Permalink
It's a shame that your reading comprehension is so profoundly below the norm. That's the only explanation I can find for interpreting this:
as an "apology".
Your avatar is deeply offensive.
May 30, 2008 2:05 PM | Reply | Permalink
So you are suggesting that the Catholic Church hates America?
May 30, 2008 2:09 PM | Reply | Permalink
So one priest blabbing bullshit represents the whole Catholic Church? Wow. I can think of some other things that priests have done independently. Damn we need to shut down the Catholic Church! It is a pedophilic cult!
May 30, 2008 7:05 PM | Reply | Permalink
Hey, you still haven't apologized to Obama for smearing him with that lie about his uncle.
May 30, 2008 2:24 PM | Reply | Permalink
Disgusting, shameful and pathetic.
Quit your church Obama!
May 30, 2008 2:29 PM | Reply | Permalink
Obama is not Catholic.
May 30, 2008 3:18 PM | Reply | Permalink
That's what he wants you to think. The truth is that he is a secret Manchurian Muslim Catholic who was only pretending to be a Protestant.
May 30, 2008 5:09 PM | Reply | Permalink
Dear Harold,
Perhaps you missed the part about how NO delegates were awarded in the MI primary. None. No Clinton delegates. No Edwards delegates. No uncommitted delegates. Oh wait...you couldn't have missed that part. You VOTED for it.
May 30, 2008 2:00 PM | Reply | Permalink
Just like Hillary voted to authorize the war in Iraq.
But she was against the war before Obama.
Just like I said yesterday - she's the The Host - the Korean pollution mutant that will not die.
May 30, 2008 2:03 PM | Reply | Permalink
Nice analogy!
May 30, 2008 2:12 PM | Reply | Permalink
Dang Tena you crack me up!!!! LOL
May 30, 2008 2:35 PM | Reply | Permalink
And like the host, Hillary wants to touch you with her mutant squid charms.
May 30, 2008 2:38 PM | Reply | Permalink
It has been covered in a number of places of the past few days that the RBC has substantial latitude in how to intepret and apply the rules re: MI & FL.
I assume that Ickes is stating the OPINION of the Clinton campaign and not as a spokesperson for the RBC.
Thankfully, I won't have to hear from either Harold Ickes or Lanny Davis for much longer.
May 30, 2008 2:02 PM | Reply | Permalink
Greg, your head must have just exploded by the flack-stastic flackulence of Hillary flack, Harold Ickes.
You've been spun by a flack, feels good, no?
May 30, 2008 2:02 PM | Reply | Permalink
What idiots...they are just appallingly stupid and transparent...as if the DNC and the superdelegates don't see right through this bullshit. They should have quit while they were behind, but I'm enjoying watching them permanently tarnish their reputations within the Democratic Party.
May 30, 2008 2:02 PM | Reply | Permalink
Rule 20(c)7 allows the RBC to forgive violations if the state parties have demonstrated that they acted in good faith. That's the rule they're going to cite in urging the RBC to re-write the rules.
May 30, 2008 2:03 PM | Reply | Permalink
Love that standard - about as open-ended as it gets.
But come on - the evidence doesn't support it since everyone knew and agreed to what the result of holding illegal primaries was going to be.
So how could MI or Florida have been acting in "good faith" when both states openly defied the rules?
*heavy fucking sigh*
I do grow weary.
May 30, 2008 2:06 PM | Reply | Permalink
Tena, Tena, Tena.
Can't you see that it makes perfect sense to equate the Florida Democratic Party's refusal (twice) to remedy the Florida situation with either a vote-by-mail primary or a caucus (which, incidentally, the DNC was willing to subsidize to the tune of $880,000) with "good faith"? Can't you see that it makes perfect sense to equate the pigheadedness of Carl Levin and Jennifer (?) Granholm with "good faith"?
At least in Harold Ickes' mind?
May 30, 2008 2:22 PM | Reply | Permalink
Not illegal, unsanctioned.
May 30, 2008 3:20 PM | Reply | Permalink
Does that mean we'll see the Obama campaign/ the DNC at the meeting presenting specific arguments the state parties were not acting in good faith?
That should be fun.
May 30, 2008 2:33 PM | Reply | Permalink
Wow that makes sense now. I watched the FL democrats make a bogus floor vote to "stop" the early primaries. I thought it was weird. Check it out Jed Report has the clip. It comes at the end. Could it be that Hillary had no intention of ceding FL even when she signed the pledge? Too weird.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OIXBtHfr0C8
May 30, 2008 7:12 PM | Reply | Permalink
So this vote was only implemented to use the loophole later to show "good faith" hic to get their delegates seated.
May 30, 2008 7:16 PM | Reply | Permalink
Maybe you're missing this part... that Hillary has no intention of compromising. Perhaps her plan is to contest any compromise plan to the Credentials Committee at the convention.
Check out this HuffPost article today:
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/m.s.-bellows/the-trap-clintons-briarpa_b_104198.html
The Trap: Clinton's "Briarpatch" Strategy For The DNC Rules Committee Meeting
FOREWORD: Barack Obama and Howard Dean are about to walk into Harold Ickes' trap tomorrow, and they aren't likely to even realize their mistake until Hillary Clinton cries "foul!" next week and announces that "justice" and "voters' rights" are forcing her to carry her campaign all the way to the Democratic Convention next August.
By leaning toward implementing a compromise "split the baby" decision tomorrow on how to allocate the Michigan and Florida delegates -- a compromise that nearly all observers see as a setback for Clinton -- the DNC Rules & Bylaws Committee ("RBC"), the Obama campaign and other well-meaning Democrats will actually be throwing Brer Clinton into the briar patch -- giving her exactly the excuse she wants to continue her Quixotic campaign.
In this post, written early yesterday, I make some predictions to test whether, in fact, the Clinton camp has a counterintuitive secret "briar patch" strategy for tomorrow's RBC meeting. Just in the last 24 hours, some of those predictions have started to come true:
much more at the link
May 30, 2008 2:03 PM | Reply | Permalink
Why should Obama and his supporters be punished for following the rules?
May 30, 2008 2:03 PM | Reply | Permalink
Obama, his supporters, his donors and the other 48 states and the territories.
We all get punished unless we voted for Hillary.
May 30, 2008 2:11 PM | Reply | Permalink
Perhaps you missed the part which BigTentDemocrat over at TalkLeft piked up on where Clinton concedes that FL and MI broke the rules:
May 30, 2008 2:04 PM | Reply | Permalink
If the uncommitted SDs would get off their behinds and be adults, this could be over before the meeting tomorrow. The Clinton campaign makes being a Democrat shameful. I am beyond disgusted at these people and their tactics. They are a disgrace.
May 30, 2008 2:05 PM | Reply | Permalink
No, that would be you. You'll never die.
May 30, 2008 2:06 PM | Reply | Permalink
Meant for Hussein also known as Tena.
May 30, 2008 2:07 PM | Reply | Permalink
Gee, wouldn't it be great if you were right.
:)
May 30, 2008 2:12 PM | Reply | Permalink
The Rules Committee just can pass a new rule saying they can apportion Uncommitted delegates based upon exit polls, or they can just not give votes to the Michigan delegates.
May 30, 2008 2:06 PM | Reply | Permalink
And the Clinton's campaign argument doesn't make sense since they conceded that Florida and Michigan broke the rules.
http://www.talkleft.com/story/2008/5/30/13333/0744
May 30, 2008 2:09 PM | Reply | Permalink
It makes perfect sense.
They concede the rule breaking.
Therefore, they are in line with DNC that rules must be followed. Therefore, DNC has to stick to their own rules, which do not include assigning uncommitted delegates to anyone, only to assign voting weight in full or half.
May 30, 2008 2:11 PM | Reply | Permalink
If you concede that they violated the rules and the DNC was within its right to punish them, then there is NO BASIS FOR THEIR CHALLENGE. They rolled the dice and crapped out.
May 30, 2008 2:30 PM | Reply | Permalink
Exactly, and even the use of Rule 20(c)7 won't save them because of the evidence showing that Florida and Michigan intentionally broke the primary rules.
May 30, 2008 2:32 PM | Reply | Permalink
And prior to this, they were arguing that Florida and Michigan hadn't broken the rules. Greg, if you find any previous audio conference calls where they said this as I remember, that's proof enough they've flip-flopped on their argument.
May 30, 2008 2:11 PM | Reply | Permalink
Nope - none of their arguments have made any sense at all.
And she's refused every reasonable compromise so far and I think housewolf is right - she's just setting the stage again for another protest.
May 30, 2008 2:14 PM | Reply | Permalink
No, I think she's trying to prevent Obama from stealing her FL delegates or getting any delegates from the state where he didn't want to be on the ballot.
May 30, 2008 2:16 PM | Reply | Permalink
The DNC didn't want their names on the ballot, or are you suffering from the same case of ambiguitis as fogu2?
May 30, 2008 2:19 PM | Reply | Permalink
The DNC has no right to tell candidates to remove their names. That's illegal. (The pledge had nothing to do with being on the ballot).
May 30, 2008 2:23 PM | Reply | Permalink
Okay. Maybe you can tell me how you interpret the word "participate" in the pledge Sen. Clinton signed:
THEREFORE, I _______________, Democratic Candidate for President, pledge I shall not campaign or participate in any state which schedules a presidential election primary or caucus before Feb. 5, 2008, except for the states of Iowa, Nevada, New Hampshire and South Carolina, as “campaigning” is defined by rules and regulations of the DNC.
What does "participate" mean to you?
May 30, 2008 2:26 PM | Reply | Permalink
Because, to me, being on the ballot is a pretty obvious example of participating in an election.
May 30, 2008 2:29 PM | Reply | Permalink
Sure, Hillary signed it. So what? In case you've forgotten let me remind you of something:
HILLARY IS A F'N PATHOLOGICAL LIAR!! NOTHING SHE SAYS OR SIGNS MEANS A DAMN THING TO HER OR HER BRAIN DAMAGED ZOMBIE SUPPORTERS!
Whooo, I feel better.
May 30, 2008 2:30 PM | Reply | Permalink
I'm just asking these Hillary apologists to explain it to me, is all.
May 30, 2008 2:32 PM | Reply | Permalink
To me it means "participate". If DNC wanted to say "take your name off the ballot", they would have said so. They didn't because they can't, it's against the law.
May 30, 2008 2:31 PM | Reply | Permalink
And having your name on the ballot is not participating?
May 30, 2008 2:35 PM | Reply | Permalink
When DNC wants to say "take your name off the ballot", then DNC can very easily say "take your name off the ballot".
It's only a couple of words longer than participate.
Why didn't DNC specifically say "take your name off" if this is what you claim they meant?
May 30, 2008 2:43 PM | Reply | Permalink
Which law would the DNC break if they asked the candidates to remove their names from the ballot?
May 30, 2008 2:47 PM | Reply | Permalink
Because "participate" means the same thing.
If you say it doesn't, then explain what "participate" means in the context of an election.
May 30, 2008 2:52 PM | Reply | Permalink
Which law would that break?
May 30, 2008 2:37 PM | Reply | Permalink
Election law.
That's why presidential candidates for presidential elections have to meet elegibility requirements, abide by campaign finance and provide disclosures.
Obama used election law to get rid of Alice Palmers (signatures)
May 30, 2008 2:48 PM | Reply | Permalink
Cite the relevant election laws, please...
May 30, 2008 3:05 PM | Reply | Permalink
Bullshit.
The primaries are not elections for office. The Democratic party can legally choose their nominee to stand for POTUS in ELECTION for said public office in November by any method THE PARTY chooses.
May 30, 2008 3:24 PM | Reply | Permalink
DNC can only reject a candidate outright (for any reason), so that this candidate can then decide to file and run for president as independent or non-party candidate.
The state nominating primaries are run in accordance with the state election law and paid for by taxpayers money, so it's not the whim of the DNC anymore, as you seem to think.
May 30, 2008 3:45 PM | Reply | Permalink
Nonsense.
The DNC can use whatever criterion it wants in deciding who is the parties nominee, whether to count delegates based on primary votes, phases of the moon, or who won rock-=paper-scissors and that person is the nominee.
May 30, 2008 4:13 PM | Reply | Permalink
Bullshit. Nonsense. Nonsense. Bullshit.
Once the DNC sets the rules, it has to abide by these same rules, unless the rules explicitly describe parts of the rules that are not binding on the DNC itself. Read the rules for yourself.
And once the DNC chooses to elect a nominee by running a presidential primary (like, every single time), the state parties must comply with state election law if their state legislature decided to run a primary instead of caucus.
You don't know what you're talking about, but I give up, have it your way.
May 30, 2008 4:38 PM | Reply | Permalink
Again you don't know what the fuck you are talking about. There is no legal requirement for the DNC to abide by any criterion in any election at all, or can adjust its rule sand or process as it sees fit based on part, some, or not at all the results of any voting held by a state (or not) and would not face any LEGAL control at all. Any cases would be thrown out on its ear.
One MIGHT be able to claim a breach on contract vote if you are candidate or campaign if the DNC changes the rules but if you really want to open up that can of worms since the Clinton campaign signed the pledge to not campaign or PARTICIPATE in the FL and MI contests, be my guest.
But the DNC is not bound by any election law whatsoever as far as how it implements its rules vis-é-vis the nomination process and delegate seating, participation, etc.
May 30, 2008 5:29 PM | Reply | Permalink
It seems to me you think that using words like FUCKING BULLSHIT NONSENSE somehow makes your silly argument more forceful. It doesn't, because your argument is wrong, but keep on trying.
I could make your own argument for you but it would spoil the fun.
In the end, I guess DNC is so secure in it's power that it only asked their own lawyers to review their own rules because it had nothing better to do. Because they are not bound by these rules, they were reviewing them just for fun, too.
May 30, 2008 5:37 PM | Reply | Permalink
See also: Steven Colbert
May 30, 2008 5:19 PM | Reply | Permalink
They all voluntarily agreed NOT TO PARTICIPATE--the DNC did not make them do anything. Michigan, without the candidates permission, placed them on the ballot (this is the umpteenth time Michigan has tried to screw up the primary calendar).
And again, as your candidate said at the time, these elections didn't count for anything so it is really irrelevant whether her name appeared on the ballot. No delegates were at stake. So there's nothing for her to claim she's losing her.
May 30, 2008 2:34 PM | Reply | Permalink
"Illegal"...?
Bullshit.
Show me the fucking law that makes it illegal.
The DNC can enforce the position that no candidate whose first name begins with the letter H can be the parties nominee for POTUS, and it would be legally valid. In fact, no person has any LEGAL right to vote at all on who the Democratic party picks as their parties nominee if you want to get "legal" about it.
The party decides its own rules and process for picking its own nominee to stand for election to POTUS, and every court in the nation will back that position up as does the Constitution.
Of course the Democratic party wants to be small d democratic about it process and to establish rules that are fair and legitimate to its members running for office and its members that participate in said process (i.e. the members of the party) but once again, you prove you know precisely jack-shit about what you are talking about.
May 30, 2008 2:45 PM | Reply | Permalink
The DNC didn't want their names on the ballot
Bullshit. Obama and Edwards took their names off of the ballot to suck up to Iowa/NH and without their names on the ballot, they wouldn't have to explain the ass-kicking that the headlines would make clear they had just gotten.
May 30, 2008 2:28 PM | Reply | Permalink
Okay. Same question to you. See above.
May 30, 2008 2:30 PM | Reply | Permalink
Whooey! Gold prize for spinning!
Or, wishful thinking. Whichever you prefer.
May 30, 2008 2:31 PM | Reply | Permalink
It reminds me of this little tidbit about why Michigan moved their primary up in the first place:
JOHN NICHOLS: You’re precisely right, Amy. You’re precisely right. And also, you should know that in Michigan there was a huge fight, as well. Organized labor in Michigan opposed a lot of the ideas for how to go ahead with an early primary, because they felt that Governor Granholm was essentially gaming the system to create an early win for Hillary Clinton. So in both states, there were debates on the ground, and there were many, many different—
AMY GOODMAN: Why would Michigan in an early primary be automatically a vote for Hillary Clinton? I mean, even with how it turned out in Michigan, though she was named and the other candidates were not, the uncommitted vote, which would have been for Obama and Edwards, was very high. I mean, I think it was—it turned out being something like fifty-five to forty, but they weren’t even named.
JOHN NICHOLS: Absolutely right. What the theory was, it was that an early primary would be advantageous for Hillary Clinton, because Michigan, being a big state, coming early on after Ohio and New Hampshire, would more likely be a place that Clinton, who—remember, these decisions were being made last year—would have a financial and name recognition advantage that would benefit her in a primary setting. So that was the theory.
What wasn’t counted on, of course, and in all of these calculations, what was not counted on was the remarkable surge of Barack Obama’s campaign, the fact that he would (a) raise as much or more money—now more money—than Hillary Clinton, and (b) become really what can only be described as a political phenomenon. So even by the time that the primary got to Michigan in mid-January, Obama was such a phenomenon that Congressman John Conyers and his wife were able to launch a campaign, essentially, a very low-budget campaign, for the undecided vote or the uncommitted vote and to get roughly 40 percent of the vote for it. Additionally, Dennis Kucinich got five percent of the vote in Michigan. So, in fact, you see 45 percent of Michiganders who went to the polls voted for somebody other than Hillary Clinton.
http://www.democracynow.org/2008/3/7/could_michigan_and_florida_decide_the
May 30, 2008 2:42 PM | Reply | Permalink
That's why I was asking in the other thread about who can stop this. Trying to understand the reasoning of the Clinton campaign is like trying to understand the reasoning of someone in the midst of a psychic break from reality.
This isn't logical. This isn't reasonable. This is sheer inability to come to grips with reality. How long will the Democratic Party ennable this behavior?
Where are some really strong psychotropic drugs when you need them?
May 30, 2008 2:22 PM | Reply | Permalink
I believe that this is called a GAFFE in politico terms.
May 30, 2008 2:18 PM | Reply | Permalink
LOL!
May 30, 2008 2:41 PM | Reply | Permalink
The magic number is either 2118 (with 1/2 FL & MI) or 2208 (with all of them), right? Obama has what... 1990 now? And he's going to pick up a minimum of 45 by Tuesday. That'll mean he has potentially something like 75 to get to put an end to this madness.
If just 75 superdelegates out of the 275+ remaining are sick of this crap, she can do whatever she wants and it won't matter. They really need to grow a pair of wontons and put an end to this pronto. Which I believe they'll do after the 3rd, thank God.
May 30, 2008 2:11 PM | Reply | Permalink
Wontons?
May 30, 2008 2:17 PM | Reply | Permalink
Testicular Fortitude, if you will.
May 30, 2008 2:26 PM | Reply | Permalink
With soy sauce or hot mustard?
May 30, 2008 2:53 PM | Reply | Permalink
While the Clinton campaign has pushed for this RBC meeting to become a media event, it could end up backfiring on them. This process is going to be much more transparent than it otherwise would have been, and Clinton's refusal to accept perfectably reasonable solutions to seat these states' delegations won't go ignored by the press anymore. This sort of MI proposal, for example, reads to voters, "We get lots of delegates and he gets none."
Her self-proclaimed status as defender of the MI and FL voters will be revealed to more and more voters as the selfish exploitation that it really is.
May 30, 2008 2:13 PM | Reply | Permalink
Clinton's claim is based on the actual vote.
Obama's claim is based on a lot of "could haves", should haves", "and would haves". All irrelevant. Hindsight is 20/20. He fucked up. Too bad.
May 30, 2008 2:13 PM | Reply | Permalink
A vote that never counted.
Hey, you still haven't apologized to Obama for smearing him with that lie about his uncle.
May 30, 2008 2:23 PM | Reply | Permalink
It turns out I was right.
You apologize.
May 30, 2008 2:35 PM | Reply | Permalink
No you weren't. Stop lying. Obama's great uncle served in the 89th Infantry Division. He served in the 355th Infantry Regiment, Company K. The 355th Infantry Regiment was the unit to liberate Ohrdruf which was a sub-camp of the Buchenwald complex.
May 30, 2008 3:27 PM | Reply | Permalink
I'm guessing I know what that's about, but got a link?
May 30, 2008 4:59 PM | Reply | Permalink
Actually, I think it was Clinton who fucked up throughout the entire primary.
That's why she's been losing.
May 30, 2008 2:24 PM | Reply | Permalink
We've seen what Hillary's claim is based on over and over again.
This is hardly a new phenomenon.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZAu39I5QOUc
May 30, 2008 2:27 PM | Reply | Permalink
No, dipshit, he DIDN'T fuck up; he played the situation masterfully. First, by sticking to the determination of the party that MI wouldn't count. If it's not going to count, and you're not going to be allowed to campaign, the real dumbass move would be to leave your name on the ballot and give the candidate with 100% name recognition a spinnable "win". Removing his name from the ballot denied the Hillary campaign of any useful spin from "winning" the non-primary.
Second, it denies the Hillary campaign the ability to change the rules after the fact. It's impossible to seat even a half delegation from MI based on the vote thanks to the Obama campaign's masterful decision to remove themselves from the vote that was never going to count anyway. The party has no ability to apportion delegates as a result, other than a 50-50 split.
May 30, 2008 2:54 PM | Reply | Permalink
Isn't the baseline for this meeting that neither candidate has any delegates from these contests and that the reason for the meeting is to find a way for Fl an Mi participate? These so called "primaries", in essence, did not happen according to the DNC. That's what the rules at the time were anyway. So Clinton's delegate count from Fl an Mi should start at ZERO, not the total she claims she "won" from these fucked up elections......I'm starting to wonder why I'm responding to Clinton talking points. 10 minutes of my life I'll never get back...now fogu2 is a troll so we dont respond to him right?
May 30, 2008 2:15 PM | Reply | Permalink
This should be the starting point of the Obama campaign.
And this:
is hilarious. You're hooked. Admit it.
May 30, 2008 2:25 PM | Reply | Permalink
Given that short of a lightning strike or aliens abducting Barack Obama and whisking him off to another planet at this point, there's not a chance in hell that Hillary can be nominated in 2008 for President, the ongoing weirdness from people like Ickes and other Clintonistas is utterly inexplicable. Their arguments are simply pointless. I genuinely do not understand what is wrong with them and/or what they think they have to gain by making them. It really is getting to be far too much and with each and every additional weird statement, claim, etc... it becomes more and more clear how important it is to make sure Hillary never, ever gets anywhere close to having executive power in the Federal government.
May 30, 2008 2:15 PM | Reply | Permalink
Yep. Hillary and her gang's behavior in this unfolding fiasco is eerily familiar. Who does it remind me of? It's on the tip of my tongue. Oh, wait: It's George W. Bush, the Double-Down King.
May 30, 2008 2:20 PM | Reply | Permalink
The actual vote in an illegal primary where she was the only one on the ballot.
jesus.
i hate this.
May 30, 2008 2:15 PM | Reply | Permalink
The primary is regulated by the election law. It cannot be "illegal" unless ruled by the court. The caucus is a private function, unregulated, and dictated by the party.
May 30, 2008 2:25 PM | Reply | Permalink
The implications of the state primary election for the selection vel non of Democratic Party delegates is not a matter for the state -- it's for the party (one of the reasons for the rejection of the recent Florida litigation).
This is all such an embarrassment.
May 30, 2008 2:36 PM | Reply | Permalink
Correct. It wasn't illegal. It just didn't award any delegates. Therefore Clinton's straw poll victory is moot.
May 30, 2008 2:43 PM | Reply | Permalink
I disagree. The state party awards the delegates. The only thing DNC can do is refuse to recognize them or reduce their vote to half.
May 30, 2008 2:51 PM | Reply | Permalink
Actually, the election law establishing the Michigan primary was subsequently ruled unconstitutional by a federal judge, so the primary really was illegal.
May 30, 2008 2:59 PM | Reply | Permalink
And therefore, none of the delegates from Michigan should be seated.
May 30, 2008 3:02 PM | Reply | Permalink
That primary was run according to the same election law that regulates any primary, including republican. The law doesn't make a distinction between party A or party B.
You are referring to something totally different.
May 30, 2008 3:04 PM | Reply | Permalink
I am referring to the law which established the January Michigan primary. I realize that the judge effectively invalidated the Republican primary at the same time as she invalidated the Democratic primary, but that detail is rather beside my point. My only point is that there is no basis for the Michigan results in either the Democratic party's own rules or in the laws of the state of MI. The whole thing is a mere fancy of certain partisans at this point.
May 30, 2008 3:23 PM | Reply | Permalink
The Michigan Supreme Court ruled that the primary could proceed, last time I heard.
May 30, 2008 3:27 PM | Reply | Permalink
I provided the link in my earlier post. Read it and you will see that the law was ruled unconstitutional.
May 30, 2008 3:33 PM | Reply | Permalink
Oh I see. The link says that the lawsuit had nothing to do with the democratic nomination contest, it was about access to voter lists.
It also says this: "Edmunds, the ACLU lawyers who won the case and the state's top election manager all agreed that the ruling had no practical impact on the 2008 presidential campaign"
May 30, 2008 3:51 PM | Reply | Permalink
Wrong.
May 30, 2008 3:33 PM | Reply | Permalink
Not illegal, unsanctioned.
May 30, 2008 3:32 PM | Reply | Permalink
The RBC can just ask to pass a new rule allowing them to allocate uncommitted delegates based upon exit polls.
May 30, 2008 2:18 PM | Reply | Permalink
And I'm sure Ickes wants the uncommitted delegates chosen at random, including Hillary supporters, who obviously weren't uncommitted.
May 30, 2008 2:18 PM | Reply | Permalink
The DNC lawyers explained on page 5 of their memo that was released yesterday (http://www.talkingpointsmemo.com/docs/michigan-analysis/?resultpage=5&) that these delegates can be allocated to the candidates who were not on the ballot, but are still participating in the race (that would be Obama).
Ickes is floating this as possible grounds for appealing the decision. They can keep stirring that pot, if they choose. It will just push more SuperDels over to Obama's side to avoid encouraging any division between now and November.
May 30, 2008 2:19 PM | Reply | Permalink
That's the counter-argument that will be used against Ickes' position.
May 30, 2008 2:30 PM | Reply | Permalink
Hey, Greg! Are you sure the conference call didn't cut off the last part of Ickes' statement:
"Uncommitted Delegates Must Stay Uncommitted for Clinton to have a chance"? *g*
May 30, 2008 2:19 PM | Reply | Permalink
People voting for Uncommitted in Michigan (me, my wife, many friends) were doing so with the hope that those delegates, if seated, would then swing for Obama. Or for who ever else became Clinton's main challenger.
40% of Michigan Dem voters voted in the January cold in a primary election that they thought might not count because they did not want Hillary Clinton to be the nominee.
So, therefore, these voters should get their wishes granted, and the Uncommitted delegates should go to the candidate who is not Hillary Clinton.
May 30, 2008 2:19 PM | Reply | Permalink
And Obama can just get more superdelegates to make him the presumptive nominee without the uncommitted delegates figured in.
May 30, 2008 2:20 PM | Reply | Permalink
what do they think would happen for her if she got her way?
What do they think would happen if she stole the nomination? Does she really think that everyone would just get over it and go along? Really?
Why in the world would someone want to win this way, who wasn't a Republican someone?
May 30, 2008 2:21 PM | Reply | Permalink
sounds like ickes and obama are one of a kind on winning elections by using the democratic rules of voting. to say ickes is "pathethic" would mean you are also saying obama is "pathethic" as he has been using this tactic in every election he has been in starting with how he won in chicago.
face it obama is the same political scum as the rest of the dems. i just think hilliary is more qualified to be president.
EOS
May 30, 2008 2:24 PM | Reply | Permalink
Well you'd have a hell of a lot more credibility if you had some links to sources to back up your smears.
May 30, 2008 2:27 PM | Reply | Permalink
CNN tonight, Obama vs Palmers
May 30, 2008 2:29 PM | Reply | Permalink
huh? Have you heard of Wernicke's aphasia?
May 30, 2008 2:28 PM | Reply | Permalink
Hillary Trolls out in full force. Jeez, this site has become so polluted that one can barely breathe.
May 30, 2008 2:26 PM | Reply | Permalink
There's a pattern. They wait for Greg to report on the latest turds produced from the Hillary Camp conference call. And they're poised, ready to bleat on about how perfectly reasonable it all is.
Sounds like they're planted here, doesn't it?
May 30, 2008 2:50 PM | Reply | Permalink
Excellent.
Deal with it whiners.
May 30, 2008 2:27 PM | Reply | Permalink
Interesting how all these trolls supposedly posting on behalf of Hillary seem to have nicely photo-shopped, derogatory images of Obama. Did Hillary provide the software and editing? Or maybe it was the RNC??
May 30, 2008 2:29 PM | Reply | Permalink
You're so angry because you're losing. Obama is going to win because he's simply better than people like you.
I'm glad to be a winner and not a moping sniveling loser like you. Do you know that losing actually decreases a man's testosterone level? It's true. You must have a pretty shriveled pair by now.
May 30, 2008 2:32 PM | Reply | Permalink
You keep making the same spelling mistake.
It is spelled "winners" not "whiners."
May 30, 2008 2:48 PM | Reply | Permalink
(emphasis mine)
May 30, 2008 3:36 PM | Reply | Permalink
Someone said Clinton unquestionably won x percent of the vote...
Excuse me but I do question... the primaries in Florida and Michigan were tampered with... affected so to speak by the rules committee.
Voter supression occurred as mamy have stated that because they trusted the DNC and the candidates (icluding Hillary and Ickes) when they were told that their votes and primaries would not be counted in the presidential nomination process, and so they did not vote. You can't 'count every vote' when you can't measure the number of votes that were supressed and frankly I don't see how you say that they are less important than those who voted anyway.
Voter choice was also supressed in these primaries. The candidates did not campaign and thus voters did not experience true choice in their voting options. The Clintons were a household name... of course this would work to their advantage. I'm sorry but the primaries in Florida and Michigan were 'tainted'. They were not fair or representative of the voters of either state.
So I DO 'QUESTION' the validity of any information coming from these primaries. I feel the rules committee must stand by its inital ruling and NOT seat the delegates based on the primaries.
Then I think they could separately decide to seat all of the delegates of both states in a fair and equitable way for the sake of party unity that honors all voters who have participated in the nomination process from all states. My preference is that they seat them 50/50 with no right to change their vote/representation for president at the convention.
I ABSOLUTELY QUESTION validating the 'tainted' primaries that occurred in Florida and Michigan.
May 30, 2008 2:29 PM | Reply | Permalink
Absolutely my dear - I agree with every single thing you wrote and you couldn't be more right about how unfair that is.
May 30, 2008 2:31 PM | Reply | Permalink
Exactly right, thank you.
Many people who could have, and would have, voted didn't because everyone, including Hillary Clinton, said the election would not count for anything.
May 30, 2008 2:33 PM | Reply | Permalink
There's the "could have" and "would have" starting to appear. Sure sign of a whiner.
Sniff...sniff....smells like desperation.
May 30, 2008 2:45 PM | Reply | Permalink
And I'm going to stand downwind of you. Boy, that reeks from you.
May 30, 2008 2:47 PM | Reply | Permalink
You are a loser. The candidate you hate is defeating you. He will be the next President. You will be moping for the next 8 years. It sucks to lose. It must really beat a man down.
May 30, 2008 2:48 PM | Reply | Permalink
Down sock puppet.
May 30, 2008 2:52 PM | Reply | Permalink
Anything is better than a racist with a losing candidate.
May 30, 2008 2:54 PM | Reply | Permalink
If you are smelling desperation try taking your head out of Hillary's ass and the smell will go away.
May 30, 2008 2:52 PM | Reply | Permalink
Ben Smith had a post saying that page 29 of the DNC's legal report recommended that the uncommitted delegates be awarded to all who were running at the time but not on the ballot. Specifically, it said that Obama, Edwards, Richardson and I believe Biden should be able to collectively determine what happens with those delegates.
What happened to that recommendation? Was Smith's interpretation incorrect?
May 30, 2008 2:29 PM | Reply | Permalink
That recommendation still stands. It's the counter-argument to Ickes' argument.
May 30, 2008 2:34 PM | Reply | Permalink
I can see her going outside to the band of protesters there...amongst the cheers...with Wolf Blitzer talking like an idiot announcing that she won and it's onto Denver! At that time, I vomit crudely and loudly...
the camera pan to a sign that says.."where in the hell is your gax tax holiday, Hillary?"
May 30, 2008 2:30 PM | Reply | Permalink
i would think she was a dirty as obama. look tena obama has been playing these sort of rules tricks since chicago. why are you not accepting the fact he has won elections in the past in this same manner as you are complaining about clinton now.
Kass, the Chicago Tribune columnist, said the national media are naive when it comes to Chicago politics, which is a serious business.
He said they have bought into a narrative that Obama is strictly a reformer. The truth, Kass says, is that he is a bare-knuckled politician. And using the rules to win his first office is part of who Obama is.
Obama played hardball in first Chicago campaign
http://www.cnn.com/2008/POLITICS/05/29/obamas.first.campaign/
May 30, 2008 2:32 PM | Reply | Permalink
Abiding by the rules is playing hardball?
May 30, 2008 2:39 PM | Reply | Permalink
You took the words out of my mouth.
How does playing by the rules make him a cutthroat, vs. Hillary who wants to change all the rules after she broke them and her signed pledge (honest to god - how can you people defend that?).
That is the most twisted up rationale I've seen since the last time Commander CooCoo Bananas was trying to make a case for being able to defy international law with impunity.
She wants to redefine the rules and change the entire board because she lost. But Obama follows the rules and that makes him a liar.
MMMMmmmmmmmmmmmkay.
May 30, 2008 2:45 PM | Reply | Permalink
Boy I think there is something to that organized Hillary troll thing. They keep bringing up Alice Palmer.
Please see my arguement with "Present" on Obama's senate campaign and problem with Alice Palmer.
http://tpmcafe.talkingpointsmemo.com/talk/2008/05/voters-not-lawyers.php#comment-2859834
May 30, 2008 9:24 PM | Reply | Permalink
Ickes and Co. are making their case to the public because they know it wont stand up in front of the RBC and they need to try and keep their supporters in a tizzy in order to keep her march to the convention possible.
Any realistic compromise has Hillary ending up 100 delegates short, meaning they can't have any compromises and the RBC isn't going to give them what they are asking for. All this is posturing so they can appeal the RBC decision saying they are not happy with the ruling. Nothing more nothing less.
May 30, 2008 2:32 PM | Reply | Permalink
To what purpose? I have no doubt you are correct, but why boter?
My thinking: Hillary has to set it up so she can look like the poor little victim.
May 30, 2008 2:35 PM | Reply | Permalink
And what's the majority needed for them to appeal it to the credentials?
May 30, 2008 2:36 PM | Reply | Permalink
The ruling could easily result in a spread of less that 100 delegates.
Easily attainable as Obama continues to be pounded into the ground by McCain.
May 30, 2008 2:49 PM | Reply | Permalink
Why do you hate black people?
May 30, 2008 2:53 PM | Reply | Permalink
Into the hamper sock puppet.
May 30, 2008 5:33 PM | Reply | Permalink
Ickes makes sense. Those uncommitted delegates shouldn't be seated until the convention, because Obama might be assassinated between now and Denver, and then they'd have to change their minds.
May 30, 2008 2:34 PM | Reply | Permalink
Quality snark, brother.
May 30, 2008 2:35 PM | Reply | Permalink
Quality snark, brother.
May 30, 2008 2:36 PM | Reply | Permalink
Ignore my twin; he's a copy-cat.
May 30, 2008 2:36 PM | Reply | Permalink
This would be worrisome, except even the best case scenario won't put Clinton over the top. If she continues after June 3rd and after Obama has clinched (which he will do next week no matter the MI/FL situation), she will have no more excuses and will lose all of her remaining credibility. She can challenge, but nobody will listen and the Clinton legacy will be reduced to a running joke about sore losers.
Now I must assume the Clintons would like that to happen to them, which is why I think it will be over next week.
May 30, 2008 2:35 PM | Reply | Permalink
I'm going to hope the RBC comes up with some totally reasonable solution. Then Obama will accept the ruling, while Clinton will go ballistic. He will be seen as the reasonable, sane, grown-up candidate, and she will be revealed as the scary monster that will not die.
Whatever happens, no way in hell should those uncommitteds go to Hillary. 45 percent of the people showed up to specifically vote AGAINST her. Their will should not be ignored.
May 30, 2008 2:36 PM | Reply | Permalink
The point is that there was no elections in Florida and Michigan, pure and simple. The results as is can not count as some people did not vote because there were told not to vote.
Candidates did not campaign. Senator Obama was not on the ballot in Michigan.
So there are 2 possibilities:
Do a reevote : It is not going to happen
or 50 - 50.
Anything else can not be valid.
May 30, 2008 2:37 PM | Reply | Permalink
Why do you shill for Hillbilly at all? Why do you still insist on Shrillary get special deals? WHY?
May 30, 2008 2:39 PM | Reply | Permalink
The thing that gets swept under the rug here is that a lot of people didn't vote because they were told it wouldn't count (especially if your candidate wasn't on the ballet).
May 30, 2008 2:40 PM | Reply | Permalink
Fogu2 doesn't believe that. He thinks everyone came out. I'm torn but he's got a pretty good track record for stuff like this...
May 30, 2008 2:43 PM | Reply | Permalink
That is nonsense.
"Eau d' Desperation" the scent of the Obamites.
May 30, 2008 2:47 PM | Reply | Permalink
You would know desperation. It's been coming off of you for months, racist.
May 30, 2008 2:49 PM | Reply | Permalink
If you smell desperation, and it bothers you, try pulling your head out of Hillary's ass.
The smell will go away when you do.
May 30, 2008 2:54 PM | Reply | Permalink
Wow, my mom left Cuba so we wouldn't have to deal with elections that only had one candidate on the ballot. Fidel and Raul do better than 55% of the vote by the way.
But seriously, the Hillary argument is that she did indeed say that Michigan doesn't count and did pledge to not participate in the election and she didn't participate in the election by having her name on the ballot so we should count the results of the election she didn't participate in?
Seriously folks, that is why your candidate shouldn't be allowed within 200 feet of making any decisions that impact our lives.
May 30, 2008 2:41 PM | Reply | Permalink
Will this never end? Will the Clinton gang give us no release?
"Just when I thought I was OUT, they pull me back IN!"
May 30, 2008 2:42 PM | Reply | Permalink
looks like this is business as usual for obama....
One other opponent who Obama eliminated by challenging his petitions, Gha-is Askia, said he has no hard feelings today about the challenge and supports Obama's presidential aspirations.
But back at the time he was running for state Senate, Askia said, he was dismayed Obama would use such tactics.
"It wasn't honorable," he said. "I wouldn't have done it."
He said the Obama team challenged every single one of his petitions on "technicalities."
If names were printed instead of signed in cursive writing, they were declared invalid. If signatures were good but the person gathering the signatures wasn't properly registered, those petitions also were thrown out.
Askia came up 69 signatures short of the required number to be on the ballot.
May 30, 2008 2:42 PM | Reply | Permalink
Life is tough.
May 30, 2008 2:46 PM | Reply | Permalink
It just burns, so much, that Obama is winning, doesn't it?
And you really want to start digging around in the past history of candidates? Really? Trust me. Your candidate will lose.
May 30, 2008 2:49 PM | Reply | Permalink
"I did not participate in sexual relations with that woman"
For some reason that keeps coming to mind
May 30, 2008 2:43 PM | Reply | Permalink
Perhaps someone who is good with the actual numbers can help me here... Thinking out loud, is it conceivable that the majority of undeclared superdelegates, knowing that they are being played by Clinton, could band together and say, "Fine, if you want to keep manipulating the process, then we'll give you what you want. Then we'll turn around and support Obama en masse and put an end to this charade."
Could this work?
May 30, 2008 2:43 PM | Reply | Permalink
I don't know about "en masse," but it does sound like Pelosi, Reid and Dean are planning for the remaining SuperDels to come out and declare after Tuesday's final primaries and they expect that those declarations will put the MI/FL issue to rest.
May 30, 2008 2:56 PM | Reply | Permalink
Yes, this would absolutely work. If you gave Hillary all off her pledged delegates at full weight from Michgan (73) and Florida (105) and ONLY gave Obama his pledged delegates from Florida (67), he would still lead the pledged delegate count by ~50 delegates.
The new magic number would be 2210, based on his current total delegates of 1985 + 67 = 2052, he would be 158 short. There would be about 240 Supers available (adding in the new =ones from MI/FL), so if 160 of the remaining 240 endorsed Obama, he wins even giving everything Clinton is asking for.
The HUGE downside to this, of course, is the DNC would have no basis to enforce any rules in the future. It is about precident and fairness, not just about getting the Clinton camp to exit.
But you are correct the numbers are pretty much insurmountable for Clinton any way you cut it. They are truly just draggin this on for the sake of dragging this on, IMO. Sort of like a death row inmate filing endless appeals even he has confessed to the crime with 20 eye witnesses.
May 30, 2008 2:58 PM | Reply | Permalink
Yes, O could still win even under an extreme "let the baby have her way" scenario where Obama was assigned 0 delegates out of Michigan, yet the target swelled to 2209 reflecting the counting of the full FL and MI delegations. But he'd need a healthy majority of the remaining 190-odd superdelegates.
May 30, 2008 3:07 PM | Reply | Permalink
And they're not going to just give them all to her, because of the problem with setting a precedent that will cause problems for the next primary. They're going to propose a reasonable solution. She'll reject it and call it biased and say that they're disenfranchising voters, blah, blah, blah...Ultimately, she'll have no one standing behind her, though. So, she can go marching off to Zion all by her lonesome. The rest of us will be marching on to the General Election.
May 30, 2008 3:19 PM | Reply | Permalink
If the Clintons want to hang around, just in case "something happens", why not just suspend her campaign, and wait for it?
This endless goal post changing and these unreasonable arguments serve to reinforce the stereotype that Clinton is a calculating machine who will do anything to win.
If she were to gracefully suspend her campaign, her stature would grow, significantly. And, if something does happen, she could then gracefully step in.
Why can't she just suspend her campaign? What happens to her pledged delegates if she does?
May 30, 2008 2:44 PM | Reply | Permalink
Because that would not satisfy her bottomless, craving for ATTENTION!!
Look at me! Look at me, damn it!! I matter!!!
May 30, 2008 2:59 PM | Reply | Permalink
There should be an absolute constraint on all MI/FL arguments that seek to be taken seriously:
No candidate should get more delegates than s/he would plausibly have gotten in a full and fair, contested election. Anything else is trying to exploit the MI/FL mess.
I think Obama would have narrowly won MI and lost FL by perhaps 6-8 points. But perhaps HRC folks want to argue she'd have taken both, perhaps by decent margins. But it's very clear that whatever she would have gotten wouldn't be nearly enough to affect the result at this point -- this is incredibly stupid, and I can't wait til it's over.
May 30, 2008 2:45 PM | Reply | Permalink
Yes Mr. Ickes, that's true. It's also impossible to discern what the election results would have been had all candidates followed Hillary Clinton's lead and violated the "Four State Pledge".
May 30, 2008 2:46 PM | Reply | Permalink
Except the exit poll taken on the day of the Michigan primary shows that most of the Uncommitted voters, about 79% were Obama supporters, and the rest was split between Edwards, Dodd, Biden, and others.
And I'm pretty sure that if the uncommitted voters wanted to vote for Hillary, they would've---you know, scribbled in the circle next to her name?
May 30, 2008 2:50 PM | Reply | Permalink
Actually, the crazy thing is that if you look at the MI exit polls, only 46% of the respondants told the pollster that they would have voted for Clinton if they had choices on the ballot. 35% said that they would have voted for Obama if they had the choice. Of that 35%, 18% voted for Clinton. In other words, not even all of the Clinton voters really wanted Clinton, let alone the uncommitted voters. As it happens, however, 3% of the folks who told the pollsters that they wanted Clinton also said that they nonetheless voted "uncommitted." Go figure...
May 30, 2008 3:15 PM | Reply | Permalink
Exactly. Michigan is beyond repair. It's either 50/50 or zero, realistically.
May 30, 2008 3:17 PM | Reply | Permalink
As a Michigander, I agree. I voted "uncommitted," but many, many people did not vote at all or else voted in the Republican primary because we had been told the Michigan Democratic primary was a wash.
May 30, 2008 3:28 PM | Reply | Permalink
I wonder if how many Obama supporters would vote in the general election for Hillbillary if she won the nomination. I sure as hell wont vote for her, PERIOD!
May 30, 2008 2:48 PM | Reply | Permalink
Even in the states she won, if the primary was held today, she would loose. Just look at the new California poll.
http://www.latimes.com/news/politics/la-me-poll24-2008may24,0,6353526.story
May 30, 2008 9:53 PM | Reply | Permalink
you keep saying she will have no credibility left. with whom do you think this is the case?
she is winning more popular vote than OBAMA. the numbers are on her side for credibility. your posts speak as if she does not have a large army strongly behind her and that we also drank the obama koolaid. we haven't!
sorry but obama has lost as much credibility in the publics eye with hilliary supporters as you feel for hilliary.
get over yourselves why don't ya.
May 30, 2008 2:48 PM | Reply | Permalink
O dear, you've got it bad. Her internals for trust are just terrible and have been since Pennsylvania.
May 30, 2008 2:54 PM | Reply | Permalink
Who cares about the popular vote? That is not how the system works.
If the popular vote was how the nomination worked, Obama would have run his campaign differently, and may well have won that. Given that Obama did not try to win the popular vote, and never should have tried to do so, the fact (if it IS a fact) that Hillary is ahead on the popular vote is meaningless.
Instead, you have to compete for delegates, and Obama has won the competition for delegates. Following the letter and the spirit of the rules is a good thing - it is the opposite of cheating and bad faith.
Obama has, or will very shortly have, the majority of delegates. That means that Obama wins. That means that Hillary, Edwards, Gravel, Kucinish, Dodd and Biden all lost. Too bad for them. Better luck next time - aside from Gravel they were all good candidates who would have made good presidents.
May 30, 2008 2:56 PM | Reply | Permalink
It also does not exist.
There is no such thing as Popular Vote in a primary. It does not exist!
What was the popular vote in Texas? You can only tell by how the delegates were apportioned because the caucus vote, which really was nothing more than a popular vote on a different piece of paper, was already combined with the poll vote.
All attempts to talk about Popular Vote are attempts to make people believe something that is not true.
May 30, 2008 2:59 PM | Reply | Permalink
Oh, STFU already with the "she is winning the popular vote". Talk about drinking the kool-aid.
Or, if you insist on repeating such errors, use more flare. Say "None of the votes for Obama should count, because Hillary is clearly the better candidate, and by that metric, she has 16 million more popular votes than Obama"
May 30, 2008 2:56 PM | Reply | Permalink
according to the nominating process of the Democratic Party, this is a contest for delegates. the Clinton campaign and the Obama campaign structured their campaigns in such a way as they thought would best accomplish the acquiring of delegates, not popular vote. the Clinton campaign's senior strategists are all on record as saying "this is a contest for delegates". the only reason they are now presenting the popular vote as relevant is because they have lost the delegate count, i.e. the legitimate means to the nomination. but that doesn't make it the official metric.
it doesn't point to anything but the inability of a campaign and, more importantly, a candidate, to accept that they have been beaten fair and square according to the agreed-upon rules at the start of the contest.
May 30, 2008 3:17 PM | Reply | Permalink
I'm not convinced you're very good at counting. If you want to set your own rules so that you 1) exclude all of the caucus voters 2) include votes in two primaries that everyone knew beforehand wouldn't count for anything and 3) not give Obama any votes that were cast for "uncommitted," then what is to stop me from adding votes cast for Obama in my very own unofficial elections?
May 30, 2008 3:54 PM | Reply | Permalink
OBAMA has lost credibility?!?
Can I have some of what you're smoking?
May 30, 2008 11:22 PM | Reply | Permalink
I liked the Harold Ickes who voted to strip away the delegates a lot more than the one who's talking now.
He's ruined his career as a respected party insider. (for anyone with a brain).
May 30, 2008 2:49 PM | Reply | Permalink
Late, late update: Ickes has now augmented his argument that uncommitted delegates must stay uncommitted with what he calls scientific evidence resulting from "significant laboratory tests."
"After significant laboratory tests, it turns out that you can actually tell how far a frog will jump before it's punched. The only exception is caucus-state frogs, whose jumps don't count anyway. And, of course, frogs that meet with untimely demise, usually in the month of June.
"However, these results do not include the jumps of uncommitted frogs, who, when they do jump, may jump in any direction. So, clearly, if they don't jump it's impossible to know in which direction they would have jumped had they, indeed, jumped.
"In conclusion, Hillary wins."
May 30, 2008 2:50 PM | Reply | Permalink
** Meh!
May 30, 2008 6:48 PM | Reply | Permalink
Of course! That's just what they are trying their best to do - they created this mess and they are using it to their advantage if they can.
It's not like this didn't already occur to them, once she found it wasn't going to wrap up on Feb 5, which was the point of this in the first place.
May 30, 2008 2:53 PM | Reply | Permalink
she is winning more popular vote than OBAMA. the numbers are on her side for credibility.
You're wrong. The ONLY way you can say she is winning the popular vote is if you EXCLUDE Iowa, Nevada, Maine and Washington then INVLUCE Florida and Michigan, but give no votes to Obama in Michigan.
But for Hillary it's all about "counting every vote." Right.
May 30, 2008 2:55 PM | Reply | Permalink
Just as we cannot know for whom those "Uncommited" voters would have cast their ballots, we can never know how many of Hillary votes were cast for her only because those other names weren't on the ballot(as I heard once interviewee say on the radio this morning), or how many voted for McCain (as another said). The only thing we do know for certain is that at least 40 percent voted against hillary, probably more. Thus, the logical extension of his argument, and the only fair solution, is to maintain the status quo.
As long as it's made clear that this is the wish of the Clinton campaign, I can live with that, since the supers will have put an end to it with 2025 by the end of next week.
Be careful what you ask for, Hill.
May 30, 2008 2:58 PM | Reply | Permalink
well if obama wins i will not vote for him..so we are even. i have no problem with mccain as pres. i am a moderate/conservative democrat. mccain is much more palatable for moderate conservative dems than you obamabots realize.
no problems here sharkey.
May 30, 2008 2:58 PM | Reply | Permalink
You mean you're a Republican.
May 30, 2008 3:01 PM | Reply | Permalink
'K then, see ya, Bye!
May 30, 2008 3:03 PM | Reply | Permalink