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Rasmussen: Mucky Senator Ted Stevens (R-AK) In Dead Heat Against Dem Candidate

A new Rasmussen poll of Alaska shows Sen. Ted Stevens — a key Senate appropriate and TPMmuckraker all-star — in serious danger of losing re-election after nearly 40 years in office. The numbers: Stevens (R) 46%, Anchorage Mayor Mark Begich (D) 45%.

Due to the various investigations against Stevens and his family, his favorable rating is now only 50% while his unfavorable number is 47% — meaning that Senate Republicans could have yet another seat to worry about during a bad year.


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This would be so great.

I'd love to get rid of that insane person.

Well us on the internet's know that Ted Stevens is crazy. TED STEVEN"S TECHNO REMIX TIME, http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_cZC67wXUTs

I generally see politics as Ambrose Bierce did: "A strife of interests masquerading as a contest of ideas."

However, as someone who was evacuated from NOLA prior to Katrina and who saw the infrastructure of a million-people-plus on the Gulf Coast crumble and languish, fuck this guy.

I can't help but get my hackles up when I think about Stevens. Yeah, tubes, haha, but his vindictive ignorance and petty feuds have had a real impact on my life by delaying emergency infrastructure funding for the sake of his ego.

I'm not even kidding when I say I thought long and hard about moving all the way up to Alaska just to help knock his ass out. Sometimes ideas and interests dovetail nicely like that.

Yeah, this is great from a position of strategy because it kneecaps senior leadership and forces money to be spent where it isn't otherwise, but I would happily lose two other seats just to see a win here.

This would be great. Why does it always seem, though, that Alaska polls show a close race, but the corrupt Republican always ends up beating the clean(ish) Democrat fairly handily in the general? Great to force the RSCC to spend money in that extremely expensive Anchorage media market, though.

From the write-up:

Stevens is supported by just 71% of GOP voters while Begich attracts 78% of Democrats. Begich leads by 22 percentage points among unaffiliated voters.

Stevens is viewed favorably by 50% of the state’s voters while 47% have an unfavorable opinion. Begich earns favorable reviews from 56% while just 35% have an unfavorable opinion.

Among unaffiliated voters, Begich is viewed favorably by 66%, Stevens by 42%.


That's interesting, to say the least. It looks as if most Alaskans have made up there minds about Stevens, which is hardly surprising. But his unfavorable rating is astronomically high for a sitting senator, and is probably more important than the horse-race number at this early stage of the race. It seems to me unlikely that he'll be able to win back those voters come November. So all Begich has to do is keep his own unfavorables down, and win over a few voters.

Also worth noting that this yet another instance in which the Democratic Party would benefit immeasurably from having Obama at the top of their ticket. The man has no chance of carrying Alaska. But participation in the state's caucus jumped from 700 to 8,600 this year. As of the beginning of March, there were roughly 470,000 registered votes in Alaska: 118k GOP, 71k Dems, the rest minor parties and unaffiliated. In a year, the GOP has added about 3,500 voters, and the Dems about 4,500. But almost all of the GOP gains came last year, and almost all of the Democratic gains since January.

Alaskans vote in large numbers - that's what happens when your continued economic viability is entirely dependent on governmental largesse. In 2004, the presidential election and closely-fought senate battle between Murkowski and Knowles drew 308k voters to the polls. Murkowski squeaked past Knowles, 150k to 140k. That was a remarkable result - it meant that some 40k Bush voters declined to vote for Murkowski, and almost 30k voters who didn't support Kerry did cast their ballots for Knowles.

The keys, it seems, are Alaska's independent voters, and juicing Democratic turnout. And suddenly, the presidential race looms large. McCain is none-too-popular in Alaska. He opposes drilling in ANWR, ceding the most popular issue with which the GOP has bludgeoned the Democratic Party in Alaska. He got creamed in the caucuses, finishing fourth behind Romney, Huckabee, and Ron Paul. And while the GOP base will eventually fall into line, his heterodoxy will alienate some of the crucial independent voters. The question is, will they stay home from the polls entirely, or will there be an alternative candidate to draw them to the polls?

And actually, we have an answer. In SurveyUSA's general election match up, we find McCain leading Obama, 48-43. We also find him leading Clinton, 56-34. Now if you were Chuck Schumer, who would you rather see at the head of the ticket?

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Hulk Smash!!!!!

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Alaska Dems are hoping the House seat will also be targeted. I can't imagine which Dem presidential candidate they'd rather ride the coattails of, the one who'd avoid their state or the one that built a campaign there and is polling within the margin of error of John McCain (48-43, Clinton 56-34).

Ted Stevens is indicative of urgent need for
term limits.When he calls the internet a series of tubes, the generation gap screams RETIRE grampa.

He's past his moment as an effective representative of the people.

Its time to send them out to enjoy the last days on a rocking chair looking at the snow capped Alaka mountains. He's probably bordering on senility along with minky Don Young.

I think people make too much of the McCain win.

He is an ill man as in sick, physically. He has no place in leading this country. Look what we have now. No way.

When people get to know his record and his stance on the war NO WAY for McSame.The war is sinking the nation, 12 billion in the sh*t hole a month. NO WAY!
Its the economy, THE ECONOMY.

Its an old Karl Rove strategy, get your stand out there and repeat it long enough and people will ignore it.

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