SurveyUSA shows momentum heading the other way, though.

Guess we'll just have to wait and see, huh?

Well hats off to Hillary for spinning press outlets (including TPM) into believing a 10 point win is a momentum changer. Even 10 points would not make a meaningful dent in the delegate totals and would still leave her 500,000 votes behind in the mythical "popular vote."

Hillary started in PA with a 20 point lead. She needs at least a 15 point win to make a dent in the delegate lead. But kudos. They have played the expectations game beautifully.

What did I miss? When did the number for a big win come down to ten points? She was expected to take PA by close to twenty (which is what she actually needs to do in every remaining state - not just PA). I don't pay much attention to pundits, have they been gaming her expectations this low?

Survey USA, the gold standard shows momentum towards Obama.

From canvassing for Obama in Philly over the weekend, my own anecdotal evidence suggests that he has the momentum in Philly and that AA turnout is going to be much bigger than predicted.

SUSA is out just now showing the exact opposite of the trend, she went down from being 14 ahead to being only 6 ahead. Given Zogby's track-record I wouldn't put that much stock on a trend based only on them.

"Obama wins by losing. Clinton leaves PA with no dent in Obama's lead in delegates, broke and without the opportunity to spend money in NC and Indiana. Once again, Obama made a brilliant decision to contest here. It was never about winning for him -- indeed Obama never said he thought he could. And a tip to Nick Clemons -- Clinton's PA campaign chief. His great work for Clinton has demonstrated that he is among the best in the business. Our prospects for the November election are great because of the emergence of him and other young professionals in the national Democratic party. let's start thinking ahead and the need to keep McCain out."

That's interesting.

Also his bad week helps him. Why? Because bitter-gate and the ABC debate-debacle can easily explain her likely big victory. So it will be written off. His expectations after this past week are zilch.

We've seen this pattern before, and we will see it now. To wit:

Tuesday: MSNBC calls it, along with CNN. Hillary wins by 11 points. Bobbleheads talk up a Clinton victory. There will be "But was it enough?" questions that will be answered only realistically by Chuck Todd. Bobbleheads will discuss "momentum shifts" to Clinton. Followed by talk about how much "damage" was done to Obama with the Wright, et al. controversies. Much ado is made about Obama's failure to win the critical "white male vote," and chitter chatter about Catholics ensues. Surrogates appear to offer contrarian views that (a) this was the win Hillary needed, Obama outspent her and still couldn't "put it away," she's electable, doubts remain as to Obama's electability, and (b) Obama did better than expected, he was down 20, came back, he has the delegate lead, on to other contests.

Tuesday night, Wednesday, Thursday, Friday: Blogs are alit by various factions hailing Hillary as the comeback kid, on to the nomination, etc. Obama supporters point to the math, Hillary's behind in all measurable metrics. A new round of wailing and gnashing over the new goalpost of popular vote. Name-calling ensues. gotalife presents as smug. Etc. etc. etc.

Friday: Shine of the victory wears off a bit as media recovers from post-Pennsylvania masturbatory reportage. Some look ahead to Indiana and North Carolina. Acknowledge Obama ahead in North Carolina. IS INDIANA THE NEW BATTLEGROUND?? is the media meme. Blog orcs continue to tear at each other senselessly.

Sunday: This Week with Meet the Nation's Last Word Sunday roundtables offer slightly warmed over and obvious arguments. Chuck Todd quietly keeps pointing to the numbers. Various theories as to Superdelegate trickles that have occurred since Tuesday. Is the fact that Hillary picked up four new SD's telling? puppets breathlessly ask. Is the fact that Obama picked up five new SDs telling? is the next breathless meme. WHAT WILL THE DNC DO??! is bandied about. Howard Dean appears, remains relatively non-comittal.

Week of the 27th: More SDs trickle one way or the other. More gnashing and rending on the blogs. Poll reading for Indiana becomes a form of self-abuse.

Weekend of the 3rd: Could this be Hillary's last stand???! is the new meme as it appears she only picked up 8 delegates. Chuck Todd quietly continues to point to the magic wipe board.

May 6: Obama wins NC handily, edges out Clinton in Indiana.

Night of May 6: Pennsylvania what, now?

i can't find the link that shows hillary losing ground in pennsylvania, according to surveyusa..... where is the link????

hmm, looks like someone is targeting that crown royal vote as well. so shove it, hypocrites.

http://www.sfgate.com/cgi-bin/object/article?o=0&f=/n/a/2008/04/21/politics/p045530D59.DTL

PPP has been the ONLY polling outfit NEVER wrogn this election cycle.

You gotta keep em on the edge uh Eric? You gotta keep that income coming in right Eric? It would be like you pulling one of your own teeth out to say Clinton has this one BIG wouldn't it? Obamaites would clammor for your head if you told them the truth. You and Josh Marshall's desperation for Obama is sickening. Your treat him like a messiah. That should scare you to hold a man in such pathetic high regard. Didn't the Bushites do the same with Bush in 2000? Even still right up to today. Your destined for a crash. You can't deify a man like you are Obama and him not crash and burn. Oh the pain the Bushies are experiencing now. Study it for future reference!

Clinton started April in the red: http://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/2008/04/21/clintons-primary-campaign-begins-april-in-debt/