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Poll: Majority Disagree With Obama On "Bitter" Remarks
A new Rasmussen poll has Barack Obama apparently losing the first rounds of the spin war over his "bitter" comments, with 56% disagreeing and only 25% agreeing
Perhaps more worrisome, a 45% plurality believe that the comments "reflect an elitist view of small-town America," versus only 37% who say it is not elitist. This is something he will probably have to address more, as it's a figure sure to be analyzed and exploited by the Republicans should he ultimately win the nomination.
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Was this all voters, or just Democrats?
April 14, 2008 9:28 AM | Reply | Permalink
Looks like trouble in paradise.
April 14, 2008 1:53 PM | Reply | Permalink
That dude is total toast man. Right after a circle j#rk.
That cheap wheat bread that looks more like dirty white bread
April 16, 2008 2:35 AM | Reply | Permalink
Whatever, it is a total non-issue, and it is quickly becoming more and more obvious to more and more people that Hillary is being a fake, a total opportunist with this whole thing, and in the end it is likely to just make her look stupid. I think the people who will say they won't vote for Obama because of this wouldn't have voted for him anyway. Most of the people being surveyed probably hadn't even heard his responses to it, just the feigned outrage from Hillary and on Fox News.
April 14, 2008 9:28 AM | Reply | Permalink
You forgot to post the last paragraph of the Rasmussen survey, Eric:
April 14, 2008 9:36 AM | Reply | Permalink
Oooohhh, imagine that.
April 14, 2008 9:59 AM | Reply | Permalink
Oh, for pity's sake.
The comments were stupid. Heck, I disagree with them, too. Obama's choice of words was infelicitous, and poorly reflected the entirely reasonable argument he was attempting to convey. He's acknowledged that. I don't think anyone disputes that.
But this Rasmussen poll is a shameless ploy, intended solely to garner headlines and publicity for the polling firm, which thrives on inflating controversies of this nature.
Take the headline-generating question:
Note, if you will, that it doesn't simply ask the question (How do you feel about...?). It doesn't present multiple choices (Do you think it was elitist, or empathetic?) It tells us how McCain and Clinton feel about it, in a prejudicial fashion, and then presents an incendiary phrasing. Not suprisingly, Obama loses out 45-37%.
On the other hand, the next question - buried in the last paragraph of the release, because it suggests that the controversy is overinflated, and entirely ommitted from the post above - asks something a little different:
A shocking 56% agreed; just 32% disagreed.
So, if Obama meant what he says he meant, voters back him almost two to one. If he meant what his opponents claim, they reject him by a narrower margin.
So the surprising, absolutely stunning conclusion of this trumped-up poll is that when voters accept Obama as he prefers to present himself, they like him. If they instead agree with his opponents about his flaws, they dislike him. And I needed a poll to tell me that? Is it too much to ask that we limit the polling posts to polls that have a sound methodology, decently worded questions, and results that actually mean something?
April 14, 2008 9:38 AM | Reply | Permalink
The question was worded in such a way that Clinton and McCain supporters could only answer one way and the still came in under 50%.
April 14, 2008 9:59 AM | Reply | Permalink
So essentially the media, and their hired dogs, the pollsters, assume that the voters will consider an intelligent, well-educated and curious man to be an elitist.
Anyone wonder how we got Bush 43, and before him, St. Ronnie? Both of them have shown themselves as uneducated and highly incurious, a description that can be applied to McCain.
McCain was 6th from the bottom of his Annapolis class. His only graduate education was 2 1/2 years learning to fly Navy aircraft (training as a technician, not education) and 5 1/2 years as a POW.
Why do the media and the pollsters assume that Americans want someone just like themselves as President and not someone who is intelligent, well-educated and curious?
April 14, 2008 11:21 AM | Reply | Permalink
I agree with FTW. Eric do you plan to put your usual "updates" ?
April 14, 2008 10:18 AM | Reply | Permalink
Your exactly right fly. It's easy to forget that Rasmussen is, in fact, a Republican pollster. His straight-up, who-are-you-going-to-vote-for rolling polls are as good as anyone's, but when he polls issues, look out for the hard turn to the right.
April 14, 2008 10:22 AM | Reply | Permalink
See the link below....a Jim Webb op-ed piece in the WSJ from 2006. He says the same thing as Obama. And there several things circulating on the web showing Bill Clinton saying the same thing. The poll is a reflection of the chattering class's blood-in-the-water hysteria. Nothing more.
http://www.opinionjournal.com/editorial/feature.html?id=110009246
April 14, 2008 9:39 AM | Reply | Permalink
I would add this quote from Hillary herself to demonstrate the ridiculousness of this whole business:
In an article on Time.com in November, for example, Mrs. Clinton was quoted as saying: "During the 1990s, I cannot remember being asked about immigration. Why? Because the economy was working. And average Americans didn't have to go around looking for others to blame."
http://www.nysun.com/news/national/clinton-likens-obama-kerry-gore
April 14, 2008 1:28 PM | Reply | Permalink
Eric, you read the poll wrong! Rasmussen's narrative clearly states that 56% AGREE with Obama that people are fed up, angry, frustrated, and bitter. Only 26% disagree.
Where Obama was hurt in this poll was the guns, religion, and immigration reference in his comments.
It's important to be precise in reporting this poll's results, and in fact the "bitter" reference is approved by a clear majority.
April 14, 2008 9:40 AM | Reply | Permalink
The fact of the matter is a poll does not change the fact that People in PA and other areas have gotten a raw deal. Having Hillary and John McCain say things are all rosy is a stupid stupid strategy. In the end, these two candidates will lose for such idiotic actions.
April 14, 2008 9:41 AM | Reply | Permalink
Not so "worrisome" really: 45/37% is pretty much a wash for an early take on a largely intra-pundit controversy like this, in polling on a weekend when the terms were first set by Obama's campaign critics.
And of course we don't know the more important thing: how many actual residents of distressed communities think it is off base to note that people are bitter about what has happened to their communities? And how many think that ANY of these candidates are something other than clashing elites? Early media (note Fox's man in the street interviews) does not suggest a lot of actual folks in these situations up in arms about what Obama said, and I wonder how many have even heard much about all this. They may hear more as the pundits endlessly debate, but it may not stick much amidst the ongoing daily brouhahas, where people dimly hear that Obama and Clinton are trading heated put-downs.
A common mistake for all of us experts who read twenty political blogs and editorials a day is to imagine that most voters are doing the same. They really are not, having more fundamental things to do with their lives, and do not get as embroiled in complex interpretive debates as the junkies do.
As for the general election, it is a ways off, and we can be sure that Republicans will hurl charges of elitism against any Democratic candidate, spiced with insinuations about patriotism for Obama and dishonesty/untrustworthiness for Clinton. Way too early to tell how any of this will play beyond the intra-Democratic wars, among other reasons because any Democratic candidate will make important adjustments in the general and there will also be a Vice President and (perhaps) putative Cabinet prospects to adjust the overall image of the ticket. The only problem for Democrats is if we wait too long to get to this next stage.
April 14, 2008 9:41 AM | Reply | Permalink
I'm bitter that a pollster thought it was a legitimate exercise to take a snippet of Obama's comment and use it in what amounts to a push poll. But oh well, so it goes.
The Repubs would have brought this line of attack up anyway (it's one of their old faves) so we just get to have the debate earlier. The great thing is that Obama is so not how is he being painted by CNN, Halperin and all (last night CNN's story described him as "agitated" and "shouting" in his oh-so-cool Annie Oakley riff-ha!).
April 14, 2008 9:48 AM | Reply | Permalink
Not to worry, the small town folks have already understood what Barack was saying, and, in the majority, they already agree with him.
Read FlyOnTheWall's comment above. Right on, FOTW.
April 14, 2008 9:52 AM | Reply | Permalink
Hey Josh,
I suggest that you replace Eric Kleefeld with FlyOnTheWall.
April 14, 2008 9:55 AM | Reply | Permalink
This is a "push poll" because the question was shaded to reflect Clinton/McCain's slant on the remark rather than the intended meaning that was clear from the context.
April 14, 2008 9:56 AM | Reply | Permalink
It does help that the media is focused on telling us "Obama says bitter people cling to guns and religion," instead of the meanings behind the context of the original discussion, that people in economically depressed areas have long been manipulated by politicians with phony issues of "the liberals want to take away your guns and your Bibles! You say you lost your job because the company went to Mexico? Uh, erm, well... Look! Two queers trying to marry!"
I think Obama is going to keep his message clear for the next week. Look for things to swing more in his favor. People are bitter, and tired of the bullshit.
April 14, 2008 9:57 AM | Reply | Permalink
"This is something he will probably have to address more, as it's a figure sure to be analyzed and exploited by the Republicans"
Particularly since you and CNN seem to feel that broadcasting one politican's cynical attacks on another is the primary function of journalism.
CNN actually had the gall to say yesterday ("This issue is not going away. In talks with the Clinton camp and at Clinton campaign functions, everyone was saying it wouldn't be over with anytime soon.")
Thanks for becoming part of the Clinton/McCain message machines. I remember when TPM claimed to be part of the solution, not another contributor to the trivialization of our politics.
April 14, 2008 10:05 AM | Reply | Permalink
Now, this one isn't really fair to pin to CNN. If this is what Hillary is going to be talking about for the next eight days, then it's true that CNN is going to cover it, because CNN reports on what the candidates say.
Now, if they decided that they didn't want to hear about it any more and refused to report on what Hillary says about it, or allow Hillary surrogates to talk about it on their network, then they really would be part of one campaign's message machine. Or, say, if they spent a week flogging Wright even though Hillary and McCain didn't touch it... well, never mind.
April 14, 2008 11:01 AM | Reply | Permalink
Actually, folk are upset with what the media says Obama said . . . Most folk have no farging idea what the heck actually came out of his mouth or its context.
SIDENOTE: No one who has 'earned' $109M in their entire life should be delivering the elitist line. It sounds so . . . well . . . Republican.
April 14, 2008 10:09 AM | Reply | Permalink
this post is misleading, the same poll says that obama is right: ppl are bitter!
http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/pt_survey_toplines/toplines_obama_comments_april_12_13_2008
April 14, 2008 10:31 AM | Reply | Permalink
Headline could just as easily read 56 percent agree that Obama is in touch and right to say that people are angry and frustrated.
April 14, 2008 10:35 AM | Reply | Permalink
i was in PA again this weekend going door-to-door for Hillary. on saturday morning, no one really mentioned the "bitter" comments. by saturday afternoon and sunday people started talking about it (i never brought it up.)
there were some undecided voters who were concerned and said that they would be watching the debate to see "where this thing goes." there were obama supporters who were worried that he shouldn't have said that. i won't bother with what the hillary supporters said... i didn't find anyone who said that they agreed with obama...
(sorry if this posted twice... comments section is acting weird again)
April 14, 2008 10:42 AM | Reply | Permalink
Sure, but why would they bring it up if they agreed? Especially to a Hillary canvasser? If you knocked on my door, I wouldn't say I agreed with him but I'd probably say that your candidate shouldn't be using the comments to smear him. It sounds likely that you'd have coded that as "Obama supporter worried that he shouldn't have said that."
If you had brought the quote up, some people would've said they agreed.
April 14, 2008 10:58 AM | Reply | Permalink
you are probably right about obama supporters not wanting to tell a hillary canvasser that they agreed with the comments (and i certainly wasn't probing for anything like that), but i am not trying to "code" anything. why is it that an honest post by a hillary supporter is treated as "coding"? what would i gain by planting positive hillary spin on a pro-obama website?
but your first point was correct and possibly your last point, too (but i was not canvassing to stir controversy, so we'll never know.)
April 14, 2008 11:05 AM | Reply | Permalink
You know what Kensdad?
Good for you, keep going door to door, and listen to the feedback you get. Of course, from my own experience, I don't usually to too "into" when a canvaser knocks on my door, anymore than I debate religion with Jehovah Witnesses that knock on the door...
However, IF whichever candidate wins the nomination and for that matter the general in November, LISTENS to the type of information they get from people like yourself, who are actually on the street and speaking to voters face to face, America will be OK...
Just my unsolicited opinion, hehehe.
April 14, 2008 1:31 PM | Reply | Permalink
well, i meet all kinds of people when i'm canvassing. some don't want to talk and some do... there are people who are "undecided" but are really probably for "the other guy" and just too polite (or whatever) to say so. there are hillary supporters who want to talk your ear off. there are obama supporters who give you a friendly smile and wish you good luck. there are people who just don't talk politics (at least with strangers who knock on their door.) there are people who are genuinely interested in both candidates and want to hear why i am supporting Hillary.
this is the first time that i've done anything like this and it has been a fantastic experience. i have to say that the people of PA have been exceedingly nice and patient.
April 14, 2008 2:14 PM | Reply | Permalink
I was listening to the top local talk-radio show in York County this morning (Gary Sutton on WSBA) and guns, religion, bitterness and Obama was the topic. Lots of callers. Most were not appreciative of Obama's comments.
April 14, 2008 11:51 AM | Reply | Permalink
Josh, and anyone else who might be listening at TPM:
Will you correct this entry?
In addition, what was the total N on this "bitter" poll?? The poll that Rusmussen rushed out on Sunday that had Clinton up by a couple of %age points was from a grand sample of 400 (reported without any sort of demographic details or MOE). Therefore I was not surprised to see the "new" numbers at 48 (O) and 44 (C).
Gallup, not attempting to "capture" the hyped, made-for-CNN/Politico/Mayflower moment had numbers that were less "volatile" over the weekend.
We'll see what they produce today.
Again: This reporting of the Rasmussen poll is so very, very inaccurate, and if TPM is truly interested in being responsible bloggers, this needs to be corrected before it is picked up by other sites, and you have yet another BS talking to Canada NAFTA/"bitter"/"when did you last go to church" mess.
God: There is so much to think/talk about: A gov't that sanctioned torture, economic malaise, hell,Brittany's run-in with the law this weekend.
At least hyped stories about Spears are less consequential.
April 14, 2008 10:47 AM | Reply | Permalink
My reason for not thinking the poll means that much is here:
People who have followed the story are much more likely than other voters to disagree with Obama's statements and to consider them elitist. To date, just 25% have followed the news story Very Closely while another 30% have followed it Somewhat Closely.
In other words, Obama's opponents have been making hay from these statements and making sure their supporters hear them in the worst possible light. This shows that most of the people who think the comments are elitist have already been told that they're elitist by Clinton or McCain or a surrogate on TV.
It would be interesting to hear how the minority who hasn't followed it reacted, but Rasmussen didn't include those numbers in their free writeup.
April 14, 2008 10:55 AM | Reply | Permalink
Did anyone notice that the Ras poll went from +1 Hillary on Sunday to +4 Obama today? Might that not be worth mentioning in a post about the Ras polling?
April 14, 2008 10:57 AM | Reply | Permalink
Is it just me or are we providing people with what they might think about an issue when we provide them with words like "reflect an elitist view of small-town America,". Isn't that something known as push-polling? How many people in everyday life use a word like "elitist" to describe something? This has gotten so ridiculous so quickly. Has anyone thought that the networks are pushing this to keep a controversy alive to boost their ratings? Besides, when we boil this down, this issue isn't whether or not folks are or are not bitter, it's about their economic opportunities or lack thereof.
April 14, 2008 10:59 AM | Reply | Permalink
It seems like the only people who agree with Obama's comments are small town rural Pennsylvanian's... how odd.
April 14, 2008 11:06 AM | Reply | Permalink
Well, other small town folks from "middle America," too, I think. I mean, I grew up in KY and it seemed dead on to me. Talking to the bitter members of my family still there and to those dispersed to urban settings all over the U.S., they all seem to agree, as well.
It seems to me like the people most upset with these comments either A) don't have any context but the spun out version or B) are offended "on behalf" of small town, working/middle class Americans, but are not themselves the parties being described. For the most part, the "offended" seem to belong mostly to group B.
April 14, 2008 10:29 PM | Reply | Permalink
No, I've got friends in York County who are pissed off at Obama. Again, not about the "bitter" or, in the case of my friends, the "guns" but the "religion". Now, the chances that these friends would vote for Obama was probably less than 50% but they were gettable.
April 15, 2008 8:57 AM | Reply | Permalink
"This is something he will probably have to address more, as it's a figure sure to be analyzed and exploited by the Republicans should he ultimately win the nomination."
Eric, I think this is weak analysis. People will not remember this in a month. So I don't think he will have to be explaining this in the general.
will he also have to be explaining the so-called "plagiarism" flap? Remember that one? See what I mean?
April 14, 2008 11:19 AM | Reply | Permalink
It's also interesting to note that news orgs like USA-Today and others in Pennsylvania reporting the story, seem to be finding more people who agree with his statements. I haven't come across one news story filled with people expressing outrage at Obama's remarks. What I have come across are news agencies continually reporting the Clinton talking points, where the Clintons are expressing outrage.
If there was this eruption of disagreement with Obama's comments, certainly we would have a steady parade of bowlers, hunters, unemployed workers, church-going, bible-thumping folks who couldn't wait to take their turns at the mic to go on a rant.
Since the media is quick to jump on the Clinton bandwagon, expect to see the first round of reporting -- I mean "stenography" -- tilted in her favor. When the media has a chance to actually "report" things return to "normal" and Obama is proven "right" once again.
April 14, 2008 11:29 AM | Reply | Permalink
I'm a Pennsylvanian. I spend time in rural areas and small towns. Anyone who thinks there's no bitterness about how things are going is delusional.
People argue that Sen. Obama is "elitest" but that really begs the question--is he right? Yes, he is.
People don't sit around saying "I'm bitter", but if you sit around the bars and diners you will hear the bitterness in conversations. It's often tinged with sadness.
I think a lot of this is just hot air from people who don't support Sen. Obama. Some of y'all resent the fact that he has mopped the floor with Sen. Clinton (who was my choice going into the campaign) in recent weeks.
But make no mistake. There is bitterness.
April 14, 2008 11:30 AM | Reply | Permalink
So far Obama has been trying to contain the disaster by calling it a poor choice of words. But his big problem isn't just the use of the word "bitter". It is the revelation about his attitude that does him the real damage. That revelation adds to previous troublesome glimpses he has given us about his attitudes, and acts as confirmation. He's clearly going to have to make another one of his thirty-seven minute speeches - this time to explain his dismissive and elitist attitude about many people's core values. And this time he won't be giving a history lesson on racism, or condemning specific words of his pastor while sticking with the guy. He will be defending against his own words and his own attitude which was (very foolishly) revealed to an elite group of San Francisco donors. And he will not only have to try to defend himself against himself, he will also have to persuade the voters that he can keep more revelations about himself out of the voters eyes until at least November. He's in trouble.
April 14, 2008 11:54 AM | Reply | Permalink
My guess is that this will fade into the mists of obscurity after Wednesday's debate. Those highlights will make this resound like the plagiarism flap. If we can forget "liar, liar, sniper fire," we'll forget "bitter."
April 14, 2008 12:23 PM | Reply | Permalink
I have to say I disagree with you on this.
I am a 69 year old male from MS and I can tell you that if there is any state in the union which represents small towns it is us. We are a rural state and there are a lot of bitter people here. I happen to be one of them.
Why is that so? In my case I can honestly say it is because our party the Democrats have long ago left the principle of standing up for the poor and working class. When people are treated as if they do not matter, they do get bitter although many may call it something else it is still bitterness.
I know that here most of the working poor have for decades felt that the Republicans spoke more for them even though it has never been true. They turned to the Republicans because they were the ones always talking about protecting their rights to their guns, keeping all those Liberals from destroying their churches, and yes even feeding the always underlying racist reaction.
So just what was Obama talking about?
He was talking about how when people who feel abandoned fall back on their religion, their guns, and they blame those who are different for much of their troubles. Is that what the man said?
Well guess what the man spoke the truth and I am sure that truth not only applies here in MS but also in many other rural and small towns across America.
So because you may either be a Clinton supporter or you may not be one of those disenfranchised working poor, you make a post as if you can speak for them. Well you do not speak for me and a lot of others that I know personally. Obama hit the nail on the head no matter how hard the bitter pill is to swallow for some of you.
Peace
:)
April 14, 2008 11:08 PM | Reply | Permalink
In an Answer to a Question about small-town America Barack answered, although tired, in earnest and with thoughtfullness: "You go into these small towns in Pennsylvania and, like a lot of small towns in the Midwest, the jobs have been gone...And it's not surprising then they get bitter, they cling to guns or religion or antipathy to people who aren't like them or anti-immigrant sentiment or anti-trade sentiment as a way to explain their frustrations." What Barack meant in Essence -- which is the Clear-Cold Truth, unlike Hillary's Bosnia Fabrication and Continuing Performances, is that in General, Small-town America, due to a loss of jobs producing frustration and bitterness and with time on their hands, similarly to the Negros in Slavery time, who turned to Religion & Music for an outlet, small-town Americans turn to Religion, Hunting and yes, some blame the current conditions on Immigrants when they should be turning their blame on Politicians who allow employers to higher immigrants for a much lower wage than Americans would go for. He never said religion or hunting (music) were bad, because people tun to them for an outlet when they have lost hope in their government and with extra time on their hands in a way to channel their frustration and bitterness. The Wording could have been better, however I am sure this was due to Barack being tired and on the campaign trail for over 15 months. What he could have said instead, which are synonyms for bitter are that People are Resentful, experiencing Pain, and Prolonged Discomfort, due to harsh and painful economic conditions. However, the fact that McCain, Clinton and others are trying to take a poor choice of words and to make nothing into something-- blowing it out of proportion -- and playing politics as usual, is despicable in an atttempt to get you to see things not as they are but as distortion. People in small-town America have experienced a loss of jobs in a greater degree and opportunity than Cities and suburban America, with very little to look forward to and time on their hands other than to go to church, hunt, and visit their local taverns, and for the young, many join the Military, and so many small town Americans have become bitter and disillusioned. Obama never stated that it was wrong that they turned to Religion and Guns due to time on their hands and/or a loss of hope, culture, plays, theaters, etc., they for an outlet turned to religion and guns.
In a larger picture, people in general all over America, are bitter over high gas prices, increased food prices, loss of jobs and hope, high education costs, increased mortgage costs and foreclosure, loss of jobs that leave the country and move to India and/or China, and as hard as it is to say, some people are bitter over immigration and the loss of jobs due to companies hiring immigrants for a much lower wage than Americans would go for -- in an America that does not resemble the one we used to know and believe in. We have even lost the respect and admiration of other countries around the world due to the demise of the America we love and believe in. As Barack points out, we should not blame the Immigrants but the policies that have caused this chaos.
America, we have to ask ourselves, which is more eggrecious, a politician telling us the hard truth, the things we may not want to hear but need to hear OR a politician telling us a Fantasy/Lie, like the Bosnia Sniper Fire fabrication and PERFORMANCE, things we did not need to hear because not Truth, and which is a betrayal of the public trust and a deeply flawed Character Issue. There was a time that politicians was the most Honest Game in town -- George Washington, Honest Abe, Thomas Jefferson these are just a few examples, but they were men of high ethics and moral character who would not dare to tell the public a bold face ... for their own personal gain, it just was not done. And to say that Obama is an elitist, is like coloring Sen. Kerry a deserter, which they tried and was somewhat successful at, and look where it got us, into a war that should never have been waged and a host of other woes that only True Change from the bottom-up can Transform. I hope the people will see through Clinton and McCain's politicking, Distorting and twisting his words and Message for their own political gain and rally to Obama's aide who in all honesty is trying to Change Washington from a Power Broker to Power People, because in the end it will be the people's voice and votes that matter. Barack Obama in his attempt to speak the clear-cold truth to America has produced a crisis effect, can we handle the truth, seeing things as they are -- the good and the bad, because that is the only way we can change things for the better in America to look at the hard facts and stop trying to sweep them under the rug or have politicians tell us that things are Great, when they are terribly wrong. They are not right and people are bitter, but we have a chance for Hope now; We have a Chance to Change, that hope -- that change is in the body of Barack Obama! Let no one fool you because if you do, you are saying you rather hear a lying politican than one who speaks Truth!
April 14, 2008 12:11 PM | Reply | Permalink
well, they have to give Clintons and McSame a tool to use for the week, right? I have not met anyone who thinks everything is just swanky instead, people are angry.
"people are not bitter, they are proud and want better deals" - Bill Clinton
now THAT is the biggest fairy tale I've ever heard, give ME a break.
April 14, 2008 12:18 PM | Reply | Permalink
That poll is almost all bad news for Obama. The only really good news for him is that it says he was shrewd to try to "switch the subject" away from his elitist attitude to whether or not people are bitter. I love that line because that is exactly what I have been saying he was trying to do. I love the fact that Rasmussen comes right out and says Obama is trying to switch the subject. But the poll also shows that only 25% of voters have been following the story closely so far, and those who have been following the story closely overwhelmingly react negatively. So this proves that Clinton is right to press the issue, as I'm sure she will continue to do.
April 14, 2008 12:22 PM | Reply | Permalink
Of course, I disagree with you, as usual.
Clinton will hurt herself if she keeps bringing it up.
Everytime she talk about Obama being "elitist", it reminds people she really is the Elitist.
As an Obama supporter, I urge her to keep talking about it, and for Obama to keep saying people are "fed up" with politics as usual.
Fifty-six percent (56%) of voters agreed with Obama’s statement that “People are fed up. They're angry and they're frustrated and they're bitter, and they want to see a change in Washington.”
April 14, 2008 1:24 PM | Reply | Permalink
ah, thank you!
I was starting to get very bitter. Frequent polls make me bitter anyway.
April 14, 2008 12:46 PM | Reply | Permalink
I'm an Obama supporter, but his words in SF did mess him up a bit and give his opponents fodder to go forth. I frankly agree with his views, but his message of hope got off track with the statements he made in SF. I believe whole-heartedly that he can regroup and perhaps turn this around the way that he handled Jeremiah Wright. But he needs to turn this message of "bitterness" into a much more positive and hopeful resolution.
And furthermore, Hillary's response has baffled me in so many ways. Doesn't she understand that when she attacks Obama on this subject, she's attacking a key constituency in the Democratic Party - liberals. How does she expect liberals to rally around her if she wins the nomination. I think that she should have layed low on this one and let the GOP and the media take control of this. She could've easily taken the high road on this one.
I've heard a lot of talk this weekend about possibly voting for Nader if she gets the nomination...I hope these are just tempers flaring - but I think Clinton would have a tougher time battling Nader than Gore did and we all know how that turned out!
April 14, 2008 12:50 PM | Reply | Permalink
Rasmussen's poll description essentially points out that 45% of the respondents had little or no knowledge of what Obama said, or in what context.
Therefore that 45% plus arguably an ADDITIONAL 30% (for an arguable but whopping 75%) of the respondents are basing their opinion largely on the wording claim of the question which was:
"Obama said that in small towns in Pennsylvania, people “cling to guns or religion or antipathy to people who aren't like them or anti-immigrant sentiment or anti-trade sentiment as a way to explain their frustrations.""
Is that what Obama said? Is that the context? Also I don't remember the word antipathy in any direct quotes, but I could be wrong...
This poll is only an indicator of how effective a "smear" style issues MIGHT be against non-informed respondents. Seriously, we know smear campaigns CAN be effective, the questions are 1) should they be and 2) should they be ALLOWED to be...
[Kinda like doing a poll that states:"Barrack Obama has been rumored by some to be concealing the fact that he is really a Muslim, if this were true, would it affect your opinion of him..."
Pseudo-push polling crap.
Here's one: "John McCain has been called John McSame because some believe his election would represent 4 more years of George W Bush, if that is true, would you vote for John McCain?"
April 14, 2008 1:08 PM | Reply | Permalink
Please, make it stop.
Anyone else aware of what Drudge has posted?
MCCAIN: 'HILLARY CAN STILL PULL IT OFF';
SENATOR PREFERS CLINTON CONTEST
Looks like McCain has chosen his running mate!
April 14, 2008 1:12 PM | Reply | Permalink
Here's a simple, non-push poll wording that could be used to get at some fundamental issues:
Will you be voting for a candidate who represents status quo in the Presidential election?
Will you be voting for a candidate who represents a departure from the status quo in the Presidential election?
Will you be voting for a candidate who represents a radical departure from the status quo in the Presidential election?
When thinking about the full spectrum of the American political system/process over the last 10 years are you:
Delighted
Completely satisfied
Somewhat satisfied
Indifferent
Unsatisfied
Completely unsatisfied
Bitter
[With appropriate demographics for age, race, socioeconomic, geographic]
April 14, 2008 1:24 PM | Reply | Permalink
Why don't you call this poll what it is? A push poll, have you read the questions? Jesus Christ. If you told me Rasmussen consulted Hillary and McCain on the wording I wouldn't be surprised.
April 14, 2008 1:32 PM | Reply | Permalink
But how is this really going to play out on the ground with voters in PA?
Some good signs:
http://firstread.msnbc.msn.com/archive/2008/04/14/888068.aspx
April 14, 2008 2:25 PM | Reply | Permalink
If bitter means you have a hard time talking about something without a negative edge to your tone then I plead guilty. Every time I comment on anything to do with the conditions/situations created by this administration I am unable to do so in a completely civil tone of voice and I'm not even unemployed, disenfranchised, or repossessed. And I don't own a gun and I don't go to church. I think there are lots of us bitter folks and I, for one, am happy to have a candidate speak about my real feelings.
April 14, 2008 3:27 PM | Reply | Permalink
The statement was inartful... but, as folks have seen by questioning actual people it resonates. People are bitter about the process in Washington.
These gaffes will continue to happen -- with a high probability McCain will make more of these than Obama.
For Heaven's sakes McCain has TWO foreign policy camps and no philosophical ideas on both the mortgage issue AND Health care. No doubt, they are furiously at work trying to sort these out.
McCain (as anyone would -- but it plays into the 'age' meme)keeping these warring ideals and philosophies straight. Thus, the "straight-talk," narrative is likely to be crushed as he has to keep this information straight -- not having been used to the same furious pace HRC and BHO have.
The GOP's nickname for McCain is "Weathervane McCain." B/c he does not STICK to policy positions --- already seen this with the mortgage crisis!
LOL!!!
Also, the "bitter" theme (he's extremely lucky it has been characterized as such) is something Obama would like to continue to dwell on ironically...
0.) It outs to the super delegates the collusion between the McCain and Clinton campaigns --- remember Bill's earlier statement about Hillary and McCain "getting along" etc...?
The media receiving two sets of e-mails / conference calls etc... from McCain/Clinton.
McCain / Clinton 08 ticket?
Is this legit possibility?
etc...
1.) It gives him the freedom to talk about his life story more -- and now infuse more Civil Religion into it... more American idealism... contrast that with John Sidney McCain III -- son of priviledge and married into a Beer Magnates Wealth (oh yeah after cheating on his wife and marrying his former mistress).
Real American Dream v. American Dynasty masked in that unique version of Republican pseudo-meritocracy...
2.) It gives him the chance to talk about McCain's economic plan for Americans (or lack there of).
3.) It brings right back to the Super delegates all of Clinton's faults.
April 14, 2008 3:33 PM | Reply | Permalink
Of course the comments were elitist! Obama is a graduate of Harvard Law School, the most elite university in the country!
It may not have been the wisest thing to say, but that doesn't make it untrue.
Hell, the GOP has been playing this card for 30+ years. They have been using these wedge issues, and even generating them for years. They have been playing the guns, religon, "those damn eastern elitists" issues since Reagan (maybe longer), even though they themselves are the wanna-be aristocrats.
I don't know about you, but I want the smart people running the country for a change.
April 14, 2008 5:16 PM | Reply | Permalink
The Gallop Poll says otherwise!
http://www.leadershipcultivation.com/2008/04/gallup-poll-oba.html
I think I'll go with Gallop on this one. Sorry Ras
April 14, 2008 11:11 PM | Reply | Permalink
I have found Scott Rasmussen to generally publish reliable opinion polls, except in the domain of politics.
Though I generally hold respect for the man, his polling company has shown what I can not reasonably classify as anything other than bias in support of his political views; namely very right-leaning.
There quite possibly might exist some legitimate cause for the inaccuracies I have observed in his political polls, but to date it has eluded me.
April 16, 2008 1:10 AM | Reply | Permalink