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Poll: Clinton Leads By Seven Points In Pennsylvania
The final InsiderAdvantage poll of the Pennsylvania primary gives Hillary Clinton a good-sized lead here, but with some possible last-minute momentum for Barack Obama. The numbers, compared to yesterday:
Clinton 49% (+0)
Obama 42% (+3)
From the internals: Clinton leads 53%-38% among women, while Obama leads 48%-45% among men.
The polls close in six-and-a-half hours.
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Oh, well, if InsiderAdvantage says it's a 7-point race, then it must be a 7-point race!
April 22, 2008 1:40 PM | Reply | Permalink
Hillary Clinton08? Here's the post for you. And you can stop trying to hijack the other threads.
April 22, 2008 1:42 PM | Reply | Permalink
I'll be content with a 7 point loss.
April 22, 2008 1:43 PM | Reply | Permalink
Content?!? I will be positively tickled. Any pick-ups (in either delegates or popular votes) that she gains from a 7 pt victory in PA will be more than offset a 15 pt victory in NC.
April 22, 2008 1:49 PM | Reply | Permalink
What's truly interesting is the suggestion that some of the undecided voters are moving to Obama. That hasn't happened as much during this primary season.
April 22, 2008 1:44 PM | Reply | Permalink
Zogby's tracking poll for Monday showed Clinton ahead by 6, instead of the crazy 15 points she was on Sunday. That shows some undecideds moving towards Obama.
April 22, 2008 1:46 PM | Reply | Permalink
Who cares what Zogby shows?
Zogby is bad even as bird-cage liner.
April 22, 2008 1:56 PM | Reply | Permalink
Obama is running scared and off message:
http://noquarterusa.net/blog/2008/04/21/whos-bitter-now-and-whos-race-baiting/
Clinton is the only choice this cycle.
April 22, 2008 1:46 PM | Reply | Permalink
Panic much?
April 22, 2008 1:48 PM | Reply | Permalink
I hear the phrase "off message" and I now immediately think "Bill Clinton".
I think your campaign is in trouble, nolife.
April 22, 2008 1:50 PM | Reply | Permalink
Hillary off-handedly mentioned Farrakhan in the debate last week. Throwing that name around with no actual evidence qualifies as race baiting, I'd say.
"And I think that it wasn't only the specific remarks, but some of the relationships with Reverend Farrakhan, with giving the church bulletin over to the leader of Hamas to put a message in. You know, these are problems, and they raise questions in people's minds."
Completely devoid of specifics. "Some of the relationships with Farrakhan"? She just wants to get the F-word out there to scare some of us white voters.
April 22, 2008 1:53 PM | Reply | Permalink
You mean like Clinton Champaign Chair Gov. Rendell standing on stage with Farrakahn and saying about Farrakhan :
April 22, 2008 2:01 PM | Reply | Permalink
I really wish that story had broken about a week earlier...
April 22, 2008 2:36 PM | Reply | Permalink
Still saying it's going to be Clinton by +20?
April 22, 2008 2:13 PM | Reply | Permalink
30. he said 30 points. then he walked it back to 20
April 22, 2008 2:43 PM | Reply | Permalink
And, he is scared of what? Hillary's insurmountable delegate lead?
April 22, 2008 1:55 PM | Reply | Permalink
Drudge Report, CNN Polls of Polls, Zogby, Suffolk & ARG show a double digit lead.........
SurveyUSA which i like to rely on has dropped her down to a 6 point lead, however, all other polling data from them showed her winning by double digits.
I think she will reach 56% of the vote:)
GO HILLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLARY!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
April 22, 2008 1:56 PM | Reply | Permalink
A 12-point win? As an Obama supporter, that would be quite fine with me. Then on to IN and NC, where Obama will handily. At that point Hillary will be about ten million in debt, and it's game over. Superdelegates flood to Obama.
After North Carolina is where it ends.
April 22, 2008 2:01 PM | Reply | Permalink
Drudge rules your world.
April 22, 2008 2:02 PM | Reply | Permalink
Gotalife, who are you voting for this November: Obama, or McSame?
~
April 22, 2008 2:01 PM | Reply | Permalink
Hillary will win easily by at least 15% despite Obama outspending her 3-1.
Money can't buy you love, especially when you run on empty rhetoric and have scumbag associates.
April 22, 2008 2:02 PM | Reply | Permalink
Care to place a wager on that 15%?
April 22, 2008 2:09 PM | Reply | Permalink
u mean like mark rich? or bill clinton?
April 22, 2008 3:42 PM | Reply | Permalink
Does anyone know anything about these phony ballots in PA? I'm hearing chatter, but nothing specific so far. Here's an example:
http://www.runhardmedia.com/hrc.jpg
Oops! We forgot to put Obama's name on it! Our bad!
April 22, 2008 2:04 PM | Reply | Permalink
Apparently, those aren't ballots but advertisements/ posts that voters are given as they enter the building to vote. At the bottom of the page is a "sponsored by..." notice. Daily Kos has more info on it.
April 22, 2008 2:13 PM | Reply | Permalink
You must have missed the memo, the goalposts have been moved...5 points = huge win for Hill.
April 22, 2008 2:11 PM | Reply | Permalink
Forget the damn polls.
You will have the real results in just eight hours time.
Enough with all this fantasy league blather while the real game has already started.
The actual results will be what they will be, regardless of how much time you waste blathering on and on about the poll predictions.
April 22, 2008 2:19 PM | Reply | Permalink
I find this to be very telling:
Insider Advantage thinks late deciders may be breaking for Obama:
The undecided vote moved slowly downward between our Sunday night survey and our Monday night round of polling. Since both samples had virtually the same number of respondents, it is fair to conclude that the last minute voters were moving more in Obama’s direction. That said, from my experience, if a voter is still undecided the day before a race, they likely are not voting. If I had to guess, and it would be a guess, I would see this as a 53% or 54% Clinton win. The only way this could be much closer is if this race has been so intense that the undecideds in the poll truly are undecided and they continue to break for Obama. Were that the case, Clinton would win by a much smaller margin, perhaps as little as two or three percent. Obama’s team is betting on this scenario, while Clinton’s folks are hoping that, as far as the undecideds that remain, they will behave as usual and not vote. We shall see.”
From my own canvassing in PA on Sunday, that's what I thought too.
April 22, 2008 2:24 PM | Reply | Permalink
Dailykos has the official Obama statement about the "The Bar for Clinton."
http://www.dailykos.com/story/2008/4/22/132444/384/544/500831
My favorite excerpt:
"Behind in delegates and sporting a 14-30 primary record (not good enough even to make the playoffs in the NBA Eastern Conference), the Clinton campaign needs a blowout victory in Pennsylvania to get any closer to winning the nomination. Even President Clinton said that only a "big, big victory" will give her the boost she needs."
Nice basketball reference there!
April 22, 2008 2:29 PM | Reply | Permalink
How is the front runner down by 19 points in the first place.........she will win by 10 points and pick up 300,000 votes and as they say at the Derby....and down the stretch they come.
Can you just let me eat my waffle.lololololololol
April 22, 2008 2:46 PM | Reply | Permalink
Can any Clinton supporter tell me how she is going to win 64% of the vote in all the remaining contests?
Thanks,
http://www.cnn.com/2008/POLITICS/04/22/pa.primary/index.html#cnnSTCOther1
April 22, 2008 2:51 PM | Reply | Permalink
Pennsylvania live blog has started at
http://darkcomedyhour.com/dcmacdaddy/
April 22, 2008 2:54 PM | Reply | Permalink
Spammer.
April 22, 2008 3:09 PM | Reply | Permalink
Expect polling hours to be extended tonight in some areas of Pennsylvania. This is because statistics show that whites vote earlier in the day.
April 22, 2008 4:04 PM | Reply | Permalink
This Lanny Davis? The one who wants to turn a blind eye to California and Federal environmental regulations?
http://coastsider.com/index.php/site/news/hmbs_lawyers_issue_statement_on_ab_1991/
April 22, 2008 8:02 PM | Reply | Permalink