Probably owns a limousine farm.

I'm waiting for Gottalife's inevitable whining about how unfair this is...

Woo-hoo!

My hope is that once Obama takes the lead in Superdelegates the media will stop playing the "it's so close" angle.

But did he use his independent judgment???

In any event, Iowa doesn't matter, it's only a caucus state (so I hear).

I have to admire the superdelegates who are taking the long view instead of getting caught up in the spin of the moment.

Let's start calling this play for supers to call the nominee for what it is: the "F*** those Negroes!" strategy.

Good luck with that one, y'all. You won't get anywhere near the White House without the energized support of the African American base. These arguments about how older white women count more than blacks certainly aren't going to help you get there.

If Obama were to pull even with Hillary by this metric, that would be a big story.

True but the real important thing here is that every day there's fewer and fewer superdelegates available for her plan to overturn the pledged delegate lead. As is, she'd need a ridiculous percentage of the uncommitteds to catch up.

Look at it this way: there are now some 408 pledged delegates yet to be decided. Let's say Obama gets 200 of them. That puts him something like 90 away from the magical 2024 needed to win the nomination.

There are now fewer than 300 superdelegates out there who have not endorsed (~295 by now). Who thinks 200 of those supers are going to take it upon themselves to throw in with Clinton at the 11th hour to undo what it has taken the voters an agonizing six months to do? Never.

If Obama were to pull even with Hillary by this metric, that would be a big story.

Yes it would.

Actually, she'd have to win by 30 points in ALL remaining states, in order to win the 69% of the remaining delegates need to overtake Obama.

NOT.
GONNA.
HAPPEN.

;-)

Bah, humbug!

Signed,

Matt Weaver
Gotalife
Dembillc

The key is the Senate endorsements. Watch them, because they are the most important. Here are the Senators who have not yet declared.
Ken Salazar (CO)
Joe Biden (DE)
Tom Carper (DE)
Daniel Akaka (HI)
Tom Harkin (IA)
Mary Landrieu (LA)
Ben Cardin (MD)
Carl Levin (MI)
Max Baucus (MT)
Jon Tester (MT)
Harry Reid (NV)
Frank Lautenberg (NJ)
Sherrod Brown (OH)
Ron Wyden (OR)
Jack Reed (RI)
Jim Webb (VA)
Robert Byrd (WV)
Herb Kohl (WI)
Fmr. Senator George Mitchell

Of these, over half are going to go with Obama, which will put him with a good majority of the Dem Senators choosing him over his colleague, Hillary. The unelected superdelegates will follow suit.

Lattes all around!!!

A couple of points regarding your hypothetical:

1. As SCMadden pointed out, picking the nominee on the basis of polling numbers is a bad idea, no matter what the polls show.

2. The hypothetical is based on the summer, a long way from the November election.

3. Finally, although some hillary supporters will follow through on their pledge to not vote or vote for mcbomb when Obama wins the nomination, most will choose the rational path and support Obama so any poll numbers in the summer are apt to change just based on that.

Finally, with all this talk about the "right-wing slime machine", I get the feeling that most people think/believe that the left has no teeth. Come on people! We can bash mcbomb day after day after day. It doesn't have to be "slime" tactics, we simply need to point out his own words and deeds and keep hammering them home.

Right now, the mcbomb camp is trying to spin his comments about being in Iraq for 100 years to sound a lot less worse than they are. Instead of getting apoplectic that his camp is lying (as many of us have), we simply need to keep hammering home our point that he wants to stay in Iraq for 100 years. The majority of voters want the war to END so this strategy can be very effective.

Idiotic must be busy so..THIS IS EXCELLENT NEWS!! FOR HILARRY!!!

This day has improved dramatically with these two Super-Ds announcing for Obama since they are Hillary's audience these days. By the way, it is great that the Rev Wright stuff is happening now. I dread to think what will happen if Senator Clinton wrests the nod for a couple of reasons. Primarily, I worry about all her liabilities that the Obama peope have rightly left off the table. If she gets the nod, people like Juanita Broderick, those rascally brothers of hers (they essentially sold pardons) and even facts like her summer volunteering at the Treuhaft law firm in the summer of 1971 when it defended Huey Newton accused of killing an Oakland cop. This will all be grist for the Republican mill and make Obama's Wright problem look tame by comaparison. I will of course vote for her but more conservative Dems might be taken back by this stuff.

Do you hear it guys???DRIP!DRIP!DRIP!DRIP!DRIP!
DRIP!The steady movement of Supers to OBAMA!!!
Will not be long now.SHA NA NA SAY HEY HEY GOODBYE
AND GOOD RIDDANCE TO YOU KNOW WHO!!!

Real Clear Politics added a SD counter in the main numbers box on the homepage. The race is on.

Obama down 21. Who's turning tomorrow.

How many college students are there here who can help influence trhe college dem sd's who have put their votes (2) up for public consumption on youtube?

This Wright thing (whille regrettable in many ways) is a great development for Obama's candidacy and I'm excited today.