Howard Dean: Party Elders All Agree Race Shouldn't Go To Convention
Howard Dean, on ABC this morning, makes it absolutely clear that he and all the other "party elders" want the race to end well in advance of the convention:
"The rules say [superdelegates] can make up their mind in August if they want to, but there are a lot of Democrats myself included, Senator Reid, Speaker Pelosi, and many many others who understand that we want the voters to have their say, that's over on June 3rd, and then the unpledged delegates really have got to make up their mind."None of the so-called party elders that I've talked to thought that this should go to the convention and I agree with that."
This is likely to provoke more anger from Hillary's major supporters, who have expressed fury at Dean for statements like this, which they characterize as meddling in the Dem primary.
Either way, Dean appears to be suggesting that it's likely that party elders will step in after the voting and try to engineer a movement of super-dels to the perceived winner.
Hillary, clearly, is hoping to be able to argue that by some metric or other she won the popular vote, in order to obscure perceptions of who won, hence turning the contest into a battle for super-del support. But if Obama wins the pledged del count, as expected, it doesn't appear likely that party elders will stand idly by while that happens, if these comments from Dean are any indication.
Late Update: Here's the video:















"...provoke more anger from Hillary's major supporters...." Maybe Obama's 1.4 million supporters have a bit more pull at this point. Those fat cats need to get over themselves and realize it's a new century.
April 28, 2008 9:28 AM | Reply | Permalink
Dean has no power.
April 28, 2008 10:46 AM | Reply | Permalink
Of course he doesn't.
The chairman of the DNC, otherwise known as the chairman of the entire Democratic Party is totally powerless.
Yes indeed. No one can come close to the power of the almighty Clintons.
April 28, 2008 10:49 AM | Reply | Permalink
Tena misspoke:
That's a common mischaracterization of Dean's role. Read up, Tena (et al):
All Dean is doing is controlling the news cycle for the Dems. Which is a good thing for us, since the MSM is dominated by authoritative conservatives and brainless dolts.
April 28, 2008 11:49 AM | Reply | Permalink
True, dean has a lot less power in all this than most people recognize. Walters tried to pull that out of him at one point. But, "Dean has no power" is a bit of an overstatement. At a minimum, his words carry weight in the MSM and so he can guide the public dialogue and perceptions of the situation, and he has influence within the party - connections, allies, etc.
April 28, 2008 2:01 PM | Reply | Permalink
Yep, keep stoking that fire, Greg.
What price the RW nedia and Rovesque neocons keep "meddling" in the dem primary ? I suppose Hill supporters love 'em.
April 28, 2008 9:30 AM | Reply | Permalink
In this case I think Greg's commentary is fair - his prediction of how he thinks the Hillary camp will react is based on past statements they have made. In this case he isn't just parroting the talking points or contorting the story into something positive for Hillary (or negative for Obama). He's been guilty of that in the past but not here.
The last paragraph is right on, too. I don't care if Greg wants Hillary to win, and I don't mind if he inserts his opinions as long as his reporting is reporting and doesn't cross the line to propaganda.
So good job on this one, Greg, keep it up.
April 28, 2008 9:50 AM | Reply | Permalink
Sometimes he deserves the criticism, sometimes not. Greg also wrote this:
"Hillary, clearly, is hoping to be able to argue that by some metric or other she won the popular vote, in order to obscure perceptions of who won..."
Key word there is 'obscure'. Not exactly a flattering word to lay on HRC. I think Greg is being more than 'fair and balanced' this time around.
April 28, 2008 2:05 PM | Reply | Permalink
Hear Hear, Dean!
April 28, 2008 9:31 AM | Reply | Permalink
Everone knows where this is heading...
I am just trying to figure out why Hillary Clinton doesn't see the writing on the wall. The superdelegates are never going to overturn the winner of the pledged delegates in the primary. Hillary Clinton can not mathematically win the pledged delegate competition. Hence... the superdelegates will not vote for Hillary Clinton. Grass is green. The Sky is blue. Barack Obama is going to be the next Democratic nominee for President.
I thought the poll that came out today showing Clinton with only 59% African American support in a general election versus Mccain. Those numbers are catastrophic. How would you like to be a down-ticket Democrat with 41% of the African American vote in McCain's Republican corner.
It would be a train wreck.
April 28, 2008 9:31 AM | Reply | Permalink
Which poll specifically are you citing? I would be interested to see those numbers myself.
April 28, 2008 10:22 AM | Reply | Permalink
It was Rasmussen if I'm not mistaken.
April 28, 2008 10:28 AM | Reply | Permalink
...if Obama wins the pledged del count, as expected...
Ummm, he's already won the pledged del count. It's so "expected" because it's actually already happened.
April 28, 2008 9:33 AM | Reply | Permalink
No. He hasn't. He is merely in the lead...for the moment.
As a "jounalist/editor" I would think you would know the difference.
Go see your supervisor immediately.
April 28, 2008 10:02 AM | Reply | Permalink
A lead which is insurmountable.
Chuck Todd called the delegate race over last week.
April 28, 2008 10:08 AM | Reply | Permalink
Barring a sudden rules change that makes all the remaining states take Obama's name off the ballot, there's simply no way Clinton can catch Obama. That race is over. Of course, there's more to it than that. She's just hoping to close the gap, and then pull a rabbit out of the hat with the supers.
April 28, 2008 2:16 PM | Reply | Permalink
It's actually hard for me to figure out which fire Greg is stoking. Phrases like "in order to obscure perceptions of who won" would probably make me angry if I were a Hillary supporter.
I don't think Greg is in the tank *or* drinking the Koolaid. But I do think he has a tendency to want to double-underline the potentially controversial parts of a story, when maybe no underlining is needed -- at least not for this audience.
April 28, 2008 9:34 AM | Reply | Permalink
Durned Democratic party's been hijacked by those bloggers, activists, liberals, small donors, large donors, caucusers, rural states, urban states, new voters, African Americans, young people, and educated people!
April 28, 2008 9:40 AM | Reply | Permalink
You forgot the folks living outside of the U.S.A.
April 28, 2008 11:42 AM | Reply | Permalink
What about the latte-sipping, brie-eating, limo-riding elitists?
April 28, 2008 2:20 PM | Reply | Permalink
I don't see why Hillary supporters will be mad they can't sabotage the convention.
They have until June 3rd to convince at least 2/3 of the Superdelegates to vote for her.
Good luck with that.
On the other hand, if Obama can get around 80 more Supers to endorse him, this won't even last until June 3rd.
April 28, 2008 9:41 AM | Reply | Permalink
Meanwhile, hilarious story in NYT about how Kerry lost black votes in Ohio because there was a gay right measure on the ballot. And no one group of people in America hates another like African-American hate gay people. Man, my former running partner when I lived in Brooklyn used to tell me how he'd kill any gay man that even said hello to him. Oh, and he also believed all that ignorant crazy shit about AIDS and the CIA blahblahblah.
April 28, 2008 9:42 AM | Reply | Permalink
All generalizations are true!
Also:
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2008/04/23/americablog-hillary-unlik_n_98292.html
April 28, 2008 9:43 AM | Reply | Permalink
One of the most distressing developments in journalism is this need to "prognosticate" the reaction of others. Maybe a Clinton donor was not available to give their reaction, but still, since when are journalists soothsayers? I have made it a practice to avoid reading any article that is simply a journalist's opinion of what might happen. It's a really striking difference compared to a generation ago.
April 28, 2008 9:42 AM | Reply | Permalink
I think Greg does that a lot for the Clinton camp and that's why he's perceived by many to be a shill on here, rightly or wrongly.
April 28, 2008 9:56 AM | Reply | Permalink
It's starting to look like the party is praying that Obama wins Indiana so it can start to shut this thing down. I have no doubt that if pulls off a win, Obama's white people problem will deemed solved, or at least close to it. Then supers will come out in significant numbers and the pressure on Hillary to get out will become intense. But Obama has to win first. That's the key to all of this.
April 28, 2008 9:42 AM | Reply | Permalink
Do you think Dean knows that Obama is likely a surefire GE loser? I am pretty sure that other key Party Leader, Pelosi, knows and does not care--just like she does not care about ending the war or impeaching Bush. What will the eventual Obama loss mean for Dean's legacy as DNC chair? (Pelosi can still pretend to be the opposition leader.) I admit, I was glad when Dean was elected but he sure seems headed for a Waterloo. As it looks now, he will have rigged the rules (Michigan, Florida) to ensure a Democratic defeat in November.
April 28, 2008 9:45 AM | Reply | Permalink
That's an interesting take. Doesn't make a lick of sense, but it's interesting.
April 28, 2008 2:23 PM | Reply | Permalink
Yes, yes, yes Obama's going to win the pledged delegate count. But, he can do the party a big favor by winning Indiana and North Carolina. That has to be the focus. Win both of those states, and it is all over. Sure, the math gets even more impossible with a double Obama win. But more importantly, the narrative changes, the horse race evaporates, and we have ourselves a strong, victorious candidate.
April 28, 2008 9:46 AM | Reply | Permalink
Agreed. If Obama takes care of his business by winning IN this is all over.
April 28, 2008 9:55 AM | Reply | Permalink
I would love for him to slam the door on this, but who knows. I take comfort in the fact that he'll end up winning NC by a much larger margin than she could possibly hope to win IN, though.
April 28, 2008 9:57 AM | Reply | Permalink
Man, I wish that I could believe this, but it just does not seem plausible to me. I fully expect Obama to win IN, but I do not expect the race to end then. For one thing, her excuse for losing it practically writes itself: "Indiana is a red state which will not go for either democrat in November, and it is practically his home state, given the size of the Chicago metro area's penetration into northwest Indiana..."
Meanwhile, she is already so far behind that she cannot catch up. She is already broke. She has already lost more states than he has, especially red states. As such, if losing races, or facing daunting odds, or being unable to compete financially were the sorts of pressures which would move her to concede, she would already be out of the race. The fact that she is not out of the race betokens the fact that she is (for better or worse) oblivious to such considerations, and if she is oblivious to them now, it is not clear to me why she will be more attentive to them on May 7.
I am entirely optimistic about our chances of winning big on May 6, but entirely pessimistic about our chances of ending the race on May 7 (or even May 8-31).
April 28, 2008 11:00 AM | Reply | Permalink
I think a good-sized win in IN will usher in a wave of SDs and a new media narrative that this thing is, in fact, over.
Hillary may or may not drop out as a result, but she won't have any post-win fundraising boom to help carry her on.
April 28, 2008 11:05 AM | Reply | Permalink
From your lips to God's own ears. I would be delighted to see the race end on May 7, even if I am not able to believe it yet.
April 28, 2008 11:29 AM | Reply | Permalink
Hillary's "big win" in PA was almost a week ago, she has received little if any boost in the polls, and there has been no movement of superdels in her direction...At this point, exactly how is she planning to win the nomination?
April 28, 2008 9:47 AM | Reply | Permalink
maybe Dean could ask Edwards if Edwards' dumbass tennage son could check in with Moses, of wisdom fame, about what to do. Or better, since Clinton and Obama wear their fucking religious beliefs on their sleeves so prominently, Edwards' dumbass kid could ask Jesus who he plans to endorse.
April 28, 2008 9:49 AM | Reply | Permalink
An inappropriate, callous and most of all completely non-instructive comment.
April 28, 2008 10:03 AM | Reply | Permalink
Coupled with what Dean said over the weekend -- that he thought Superdelegates would probably move in aggregate to the candidate perceived to be stronger for November -- I don't see this as necessarily favoring Obama or HRC. All that the "elders," such as they are (and they don't have much clout these days), seem to be saying is that Superdelegates, each on his or her own with whatever counsel, should declare decisions after the final primaries, if not before. Seems kind of obvious, and I think it could go either way (despite the fact that I personally favor Obama). Waiting until a divided Convention would be a disaster for any Democratic nominee. Why would HRC's supporters want that any more than Obama's? I must be missing something.
April 28, 2008 9:51 AM | Reply | Permalink
On the face of it, of course not. Nor is it Dean's intention to tilt one way or the other. If (or more accurately, when) Hillary's supporters accuse Dean of trying help Obama, what they're really doing is admitting that at the end of this process, they will have fewer pledged delegates and fewer votes, but they're still going to try for a coup by superdelegate, which would require extending the process through the convention. In other words, they're betraying the hollowness of their position and the self-centeredness of their agenda.
April 28, 2008 10:14 AM | Reply | Permalink
Good observation.
April 28, 2008 2:26 PM | Reply | Permalink
Because if the superdelegates decide in the immediate wake of the end of the primary process, they'll almost certainly go to Obama in large numbers on the strength of his superior performance in winning delegates, drawing votes and raising funds. The longer they hold off their decision, the more time Clinton has to spread FUD about Obama and make the fact that she lost the primary process look like old news.
April 28, 2008 11:03 AM | Reply | Permalink
If Obama sweeps May 6 you're going to see the media pull the sharpest hairpin turn in political history. Suddenly Obama will have been inevitable all along. Hillary will be a selfish diva who can't come to grips with reality.
April 28, 2008 9:51 AM | Reply | Permalink
If only. CNN-MSNBC-FOX, et.al., will not give up their cash cow without a fight. This thing has already been over since well before PA, but it is to the media and Hillary's advantage to pretend otherwise, so they tell each other it's a "stalemate" and everyone goes along with it.
Winning both IN and NC would go a long way toward snapping everyone out of their collective trance, but since every step of this way-too-long process has resulted in the most annoying and least decisive result possible, we must assume that not only will Hillary win IN, but come uncomfortably close in NC, whether due to Limbaugh, racism or shenanigans by the NC republican party (which are based on and reinforce the previous two).
Nothing's easy. Everything's hard. I'd love to see the deluge of supers in May, but don't expect to see it until late June, after people get pissed off when Hillary touts the voice of the disenfranchised people of Puerto Rico as proof positive that she needs to be the nominee.
April 28, 2008 10:53 AM | Reply | Permalink
Mila:
Yes. Of course. YOU are the authority on what African-Americans all think. Yes, YOU know who hates whom the most, don't you? We don't know about the ignorance of your "former running partner", whatever that means, but YOUR OWN ignorance and hate is readily apparent. So, go back to whatever pro Bush blog you came from.
April 28, 2008 9:55 AM | Reply | Permalink
Let's face it, Dean is a loser. As a politician and candidate he is a loser. As the head of the DNC he wants to change the rules mid-course to give the nomination to the leader rather than the winner. It is no wonder why he lost so miserably in his run for the presidency. He has no legacy to protect and his credibility is paper thin.
Dean is bad for the Democratic party. His decisions of FL and MI are largely to blame for the animosity between the candidates supporters.
Dean should be replaced immediately.
April 28, 2008 9:56 AM | Reply | Permalink
Wow, this comment really takes the cake today for its total abject ignorance.
1. Dean is a winner. As a politician, he had otremendous success in Vermont politics. He and Trippi have changed campaigning frever. Had it not been for the Iowa media-fed frenzy to get rid of him, I believe he would be the President today.
2. Dean is a winner. Look what he delivered in the Congressional Elections in 2006!
3. Dean is a winner. Look at the state of finances at every level in the Democratic Party and tell me he didn't do a great job.
4. The Florida-Michigan debacle was by the DNC committee ruiles, not by his decision. As Chair, he had to support the decisions,
5. "Change the rules mid-course"? What rules? The rules say the SUPERDELEGATES' JOB is to produce the nominee with the best chance aginst McCain. Not the pledged-delegatge leader, not the number-of-states leader, not the popular-vote leader, not Obama. BEST CHANCE. That is their mandate.
6. Howard Dean has a tremendous legacy, the rebirth of our Party, and he has 100% credibility where it counts the most: In the local precincts of the grassroots, where Democrats have been beating the GOP since Dean took office.
7. Dean is the best thing that has happened to the Democratic Party since the Clinton Economy produced peace and prosperity while raising taxes responsibly and investing in our country. Victory and prosperity wins a lot of converts, and Dean will too.
April 28, 2008 10:12 AM | Reply | Permalink
Clinton trolls know all about being a loser.
April 28, 2008 10:00 AM | Reply | Permalink
Now that is funny!
April 28, 2008 10:03 AM | Reply | Permalink
Thank you, Howard Dean! Help us keep this party together.
It's over, Hillary- just accept that.
April 28, 2008 10:00 AM | Reply | Permalink
Now that is funny!
April 28, 2008 10:04 AM | Reply | Permalink
From my perspective, this is what Dean has been saying for months. Nothing new here.
He was crystal clear yesterday on Russert (who has become insultingly condescending to guests and audience alike), and this statement is the one any competent party chair would make. Essentially, "end this, get unified and don't make my convention a circus."
I think that many people think that either candidate can win in November with the support of the other candidate (another point that Dean made yesterday on Russert, using his own experience as an example of a candidate who had to convince his supporters that rallying behind Kerry was important). It just so happens that the delegates want Obama to be the candidate, and not Hillary.
It is only a storyline because of the complicated history of the Clintons' successes and failures of the 1990s. If it was Obama and, say, Dodd at this point, this would not be even a little interesting and the MSM (a blogs like this one) would be focused on other issues.
I think that Dean has been consistent and strong as a party leader. Michigan has been trying to move up there primary for years (see Terry M's Book) and Florida's legislature (on a bipartisan, nearly unanimous vote) decided to move their elections. By not bending to these political tactics, Dean has been strong, not weak. Painting him in any other light is sour grapes from the losing team.
April 28, 2008 10:01 AM | Reply | Permalink
In other words....."They're baaccckk."
April 28, 2008 10:12 AM | Reply | Permalink
Um, no fogu2.
"As the head of the DNC he wants to change the rules mid-course to give the nomination to the leader rather than the winner."
Um, no, that would be Hillary. Who in neither the leader or the winner.
"He has no legacy to protect and his credibility is paper thin."
Politics isn't all about legacies. Furthermore, I would argue that Dean's legacy would be taking the 50 state strategy to the DNC. A strategy Obama is using, with great success. Also, the reason why I am so excited by Obama's campaign and why I want him for the nomination. He is firing up grassroots support for Democrats across this country and turning out the vote for senate and legislative candidates.
"His decisions of FL and MI are largely to blame for the animosity between the candidates supporters."
I believe all the blame there rests with those two states and their legislative bodies. They made the decision to move up their primaries against the rules. They could still do somehting about it if the got their sh** together. Rules are broken, punishment follows.
If you don't like Dean, fine. However, don't try to pin bogus arguments on him.
Oh, and personally I think 2004 would've turned out much better for the Dems if he would've gotten the nomination. We could've used a candidate that fired people up, not someone who put us to sleep. The loss of grassroots support when Dean fell in the primary was something we could've really used then.
Glad he's with us now, doing what he's doing.
April 28, 2008 10:13 AM | Reply | Permalink
April 28, 2008 10:14 AM | Reply | Permalink
Uhhh..., no, if you count ALL the votes, including those cast in Florida and Michigan, AND include projections for the vote totals that have not yet been submitted, she most likely wins the popular vote.
Simple, no logarithms. Unless you're an Obama supporter.
April 28, 2008 11:03 AM | Reply | Permalink
"if you count... Michigan"
no logarithms -- just a bunch of IFs, not counting all of the caucus states, counting states where Hillary was the ONLY candidate on the ballot, counting states Hillary had previously agreed would not count, twisting and turning and IFing and wishing your way to a mythical popular vote win
when you wish upon a star...
April 28, 2008 12:02 PM | Reply | Permalink
Don't know why Hillary's people would be mad. Doesn't this movement to the perceived winner also include the possibility they believe her to be the best candidate?
April 28, 2008 10:16 AM | Reply | Permalink
Based on the media momentum that they feel they've gained HuffPo article, I'm sure they think that continuing to slime Obama for another 3 months will help them even more. It will be totally poisonous to the party, of course, and may eventually end up balkanizing it for good, but their best shot and winning enough supers to get the nomination is by going at Obama with innuendo and half-truths. Drive up his negatives to match hers, and then she makes the case that only she can win.
In the aftermath of that, I believe that she'll lose handily, and that the party will split in two. Some progressives openly root for such a thing, but I think it would be disastrous. It would take 10 years for a Progressive party to be rebuilt from those ashes.
April 28, 2008 10:41 AM | Reply | Permalink
yes, like the American people believed that crazy ignorant shit that saddam had WMD's, that he was responsible for 9/11, or that the levees would not be breached, or that we don't torture...
and, of course, AA's are apparently more homophobic than any other group and, of course, AA's make the homophobic laws of this nation
be sure to tell that to the one black senator
April 28, 2008 10:19 AM | Reply | Permalink
sorry, this was in response to mila
April 28, 2008 10:20 AM | Reply | Permalink
Does not appear likely. Indeed not. Nor should it. No Democrat should want that to be allowed to happen - not even the partisans of Sen Clinton. To take this all the way to the convention is to court defeat in November. Thankfully the Party is making clear that such a counterproductive scenario will not be allowed to play out.
April 28, 2008 10:21 AM | Reply | Permalink
You know what? With your trite little avatar of a chicken with Obama's head photoshopped on top of it: YOU are bad for the Democratic Party.
You represent everything that's shallow, witless and destructive about the old way of doing things.
April 28, 2008 10:22 AM | Reply | Permalink
Dude.... Republicans try to be bad for the Democratic Party. That's their job. Our job is to try to get the best President elected in spite of them.
April 28, 2008 10:33 AM | Reply | Permalink
Now that is funny!
April 28, 2008 10:34 AM | Reply | Permalink
I'm here all week.
April 28, 2008 10:35 AM | Reply | Permalink
I want Dean and the Dems to pick a winner. I don't care if it is Hillary, Obama, or Donna Brazile. I see little evidence to suggest Obama can win. I hope I am wrong (assuming he gets the nomination). But if Obama loses, I hope you Obama supporters will reflect on what happened. B/c the way to his loss is easy to see from here. As I say, I'd be happy to be wrong. But if he does lose, the question will be, how many of the Dem leaders supported him knowing he would likley lose and how many of them are just plain clueless. (Which I may well be! but of course do no think that I am.)
April 28, 2008 10:26 AM | Reply | Permalink
So long as we're talking about "evidence", there's less evidence that Hillary can win. Obama at least makes a credible claim, based on the polls, that he can win Independents and disenfranchised Conservatives. Hillary can only demonstrate that she does well in Democratic primaries with blue collar men, and female baby-boomers. Success in the primaries has rarely, if ever, pointed to success in the General.
April 28, 2008 10:31 AM | Reply | Permalink
Also, no presidential candidate who lost the nomination battle has ever gone on to win the general election.
April 28, 2008 10:59 AM | Reply | Permalink
No Evidence.
What are you looking for?
I saw nothing but evidence that Obama can and will win on Primary night in Texas when literally thousands and thousands of people who usually don't grace their precincts with their presence, let alone their votes, turned out and voted twice for Obama.
In my affluent white precinct, 300 total votes in '04 - 1200 people caucused for Obama on primary night.
Obama is the only one who can win. Clinton cannot and will not bring those voters out.
April 28, 2008 10:51 AM | Reply | Permalink
In the tragically unfortunate event that the democratic candidate should lose this year, I dare say that you could expect vats of ink to be spilt on such reflections. If you imagine, however, that this reflection will all run to the effect of "how could we have been so foolish as to nominate a green-horned empty suit like Obama," then you are simply indulging in a bit of wishful thinking. I dare say that there will be at least as many laments to the effect of "how is it that the superdelegates did not stop her from torpedoing our chances by coming out for him in a big way at the end of February" as there will be to the effect of "why did we ever pick a loser like Obama."
April 28, 2008 10:54 AM | Reply | Permalink
Ever read The Family Circus? Where Billy's grandpa up in heaven is always looking down on Little Billy. I wonder if Edwards' dumbass kid is friends with Billy's grandpa. That would be nice, wouldn't it? Maybe Billy's grandpa has an opinion about what to do.
April 28, 2008 10:27 AM | Reply | Permalink
Imagine, just for a minute, that you'd lost a child in a car accident and read a comment like that on a blog.
April 28, 2008 11:04 AM | Reply | Permalink
Your policy of repeatedly calling John Edward's tragically dead son a "dumbass kid" sums up the attitude of Hillary Clinton supporters (at least on this blog) so much better than I could have myself.
April 28, 2008 12:36 PM | Reply | Permalink
I doubt the troll is a Hillary supporter. More likely a Republican troll here to disrupt things and piss people off. It isn't personal - it's their job. Ignore the trolls and they eventually go away.
April 28, 2008 2:31 PM | Reply | Permalink
Good advice. Stupid of me to even assume anyone could honestly be that evil.
April 28, 2008 10:01 PM | Reply | Permalink
Is Dean insane? The queen of the Clintoids will ride this pony into hell and for the thirty-six or so years left of her blighting the face of our planet with her continued existence. We will be hearing about HRC's self-absorbed attempt to destroy the Party for own benefit for the next coupla decades.
April 28, 2008 10:28 AM | Reply | Permalink
Don't be scared, sancho.
Obama supporters will be knocking on your door too!
The grassroots campaign of his will be the key to this year's success. All the more important he becomes the nominee as soon as possible. We need to get organizing these ground campaigns NOW!
April 28, 2008 10:29 AM | Reply | Permalink
I can't agree with greg sargent's interpretation of dean's remarks this morning. the key part of the quote from dean is this:
"we want the voters to have their say, that's over on June 3rd, and then the unpledged delegates really have got to make up their mind.
"None of the so-called party elders that I've talked to thought that this should go to the convention and I agree with that."
sargent interprets this as follows:
"Dean appears to be suggesting that it's likely that party elders will step in after the voting and try to engineer a movement of super-dels to the perceived winner."
to me, dean is suggesting no such thing. he's not saying, as sargent thinks dean is, that party elders will try to pressure super delegates to vote for "the perceived winner." he's only saying that (1) that unpledged super delegates should make a decision before the convention and (2) that decision should come only AFTER all the primaries are completed and the voters "have their say" in those primaries.
April 28, 2008 10:32 AM | Reply | Permalink
But that's not an exciting interpretation! The media's job is to make everything more polarizing, don't you know that?
We need blood and guts! Democralypse 2008!
(Please note: sarcasm)
April 28, 2008 10:36 AM | Reply | Permalink
JosephCast,
The Clintons
for Dean is well documented AND the rumor is no love is lost going the other direction either. Dean cares for the good of the party and neither of the Clintons are similarly burdened.April 28, 2008 10:39 AM | Reply | Permalink
You'll get no argument out of me there.
April 28, 2008 10:45 AM | Reply | Permalink
I am sure Hillary and Barrack have a plan to end this thing soon. They are two smart people, both capable and both able to lead the party and the country. They will know when the time has come to end this. They know what the stakes are in November. It was nice seeing his mug on TV yesterday. But it is not up to him who, when or where somebody drops out of this race. So Dean should shut the hell up and just do his job, insure we have a Senate super-majority next year.
The assholes demanding one or the other candidate are just insecure. The assholes that will not vote for the other candidate this fall are insuring more death in Iraq, ,more preemeptive wars, higher medical bills, more foreclosures, reduced education opportuntities for our kids, higher unemployment, further degradation of food safety and environmental regulations, unregulated gas, oil and energy corporations, higher incarceration rates, etc. Democrats like rough and tmble politics. Just because Chris Matthews, Andrea Mitchell, Rush Limbaugh and all the others warniong the party will be split are just as wrong as they can be. The Dem Party is not royalty, for once we will not have a coronation, we will have a hard fought nomination and a nominee that will deserve all of our unwavering support. Lets not be our own worse enemy.
April 28, 2008 10:52 AM | Reply | Permalink
Word.
April 28, 2008 10:54 AM | Reply | Permalink
If Barack Obama loses in November, it will be because of the Rove-like tactics of Hillary Clinton... forcing a racial divide and creating a contentious divide between Working Class White Democrats and African American Democrats.
That is the way I see it, and I think Hillary Clinton could pay for it for years to come.
April 28, 2008 10:56 AM | Reply | Permalink
Humorous. They want Dean to stop "meddling" in the primary so... the superdelegates can decide to all vote for Hillary?
The mind boggles.
April 28, 2008 10:59 AM | Reply | Permalink
oh, Obama will be the nominee,and he'll win probably, and then you can all realize your dream of a black President who seems smart and all and who speaks reasonably well. And then when he can't handle the job and America stumbles from one disaster to another, you'll realize that entrusting your future to a guy who's never, ever had to compete or excel at anything really wasn'tt your best choice alternative : )
April 28, 2008 11:04 AM | Reply | Permalink
wow i didn't know your were psychic, mila.
can we get something a bit more sustantive.
nice fear mongering, sheesh!
April 28, 2008 11:16 AM | Reply | Permalink
Take a memo!
Going to Harvard Law isn't competitive and doesn't require you to excel! Teaching law at University of Chicago doesn't require you to excel! Winning statewide office in Illinois isn't competitive! Beating the biggest brand in Democratic politics doesn't require competition or excellence!
April 28, 2008 11:59 AM | Reply | Permalink
Better trolls please. Current crop is too dumb to be entertaining.
April 28, 2008 11:09 AM | Reply | Permalink
I have to assume that you hold multiple graduate degrees from Oxford and the Sorbonne and have won at least one Nobel Prize to have such a lukewarm view of his oratorical and intellectual abilities.
Or did you really mean that "he seems smart... for one of THEM"?
The rest of this is an absurd canard. Hillary has won two elections in her political career. Neither time did she run against a serious candidate (first time she started up against Giuliani, who, owing to cancer and adultery, had to drop out in favor of the little known Rick Lazio, second time she ran virtually unopposed). Obama was elected President of the Harvard Law Review (not political, but CERTAINLY an achievement par excellence), three times to the Illinois Senate (if you don't think Illinois politics aren't rough, you don't know much about Illinois politics) and then the US Senate.
He also did not benefit from any of those elections from a spouse that was both a former Governor, former Chair of the DLC and oh, a former US President.
April 28, 2008 11:13 AM | Reply | Permalink
well, actually W is America's first affirmative action baby President, another amiable but not particularly talented guy who gets a free ride, although in W's case because of his family, in Obama's because he's a realtively well-spoken black guy, which most people equate with genius and ability. Oh, he won't be as bad as W, but he'll be nearly as bad. But 2008 is a year when you should know you need a competent leader, whereas in 2000 you fools thought competence didn't matter at all, it was all about which guy you'd rather have a beer with, or which candidate read the Bible more.
Dumbass Americans
April 28, 2008 11:18 AM | Reply | Permalink
as I've said before, AA guaranteed Obama a place at HLS and HLR with no competition, and I consider myself to have very few peers and no superiors intellectually.
April 28, 2008 11:20 AM | Reply | Permalink
I can't really speak to your intellectual capacity, but clearly you have enormous balls to unapologetically post racist tropes like those.
April 28, 2008 11:25 AM | Reply | Permalink
Take a memo!
You must be a lot of fun at parties!
April 28, 2008 12:08 PM | Reply | Permalink
Oops, I predicted that Hillary would drop out by today. I was wrong. Time to go to Indiana and help out, Obama supporters.
April 28, 2008 11:22 AM | Reply | Permalink
you're comments are totally disgusting, mila. i know i'm not going to change your mind. so i will hold my tongue from here on out.
i'd recommend getting out and exploring the world more. whatever bubble you're in needs to be burst.
April 28, 2008 11:26 AM | Reply | Permalink
Embittered white guy attributes black man's success to affirmative action, film at eleven.
I wouldn't worry about Mila, josephcast, he's just a troll. An annoying 2-dimensional, paper cutout version of an ugly stereotype, but a troll nonetheless.
April 28, 2008 11:31 AM | Reply | Permalink
yes, what a pathetic group of trolls at work today. more disturbing than entertaining. seriously, what kind of human being makes a morning out of mocking the loss of another man's child? really sick.
i would love to know what sort of work this individual does for a living. but my best guess is that this person does not work. rather, he/she is likely a ward of the state.
April 28, 2008 11:32 AM | Reply | Permalink
Mila: Based on your selection criteria, it sounds like BUSH is your ideal candidate. Too bad you can't vote for him a third time. Oh wait, you can! Bush changed his name to John McSame. Lucky you!
April 28, 2008 11:32 AM | Reply | Permalink
oh, I have spent most of the last 15 years in a range of place, from Morocco to Japan, and I've been places like Syria and Turkmenistan that I am sure none of you will *ever* see.
April 28, 2008 11:33 AM | Reply | Permalink
apparently looking down on everybody while you were doing it, mila ....
hope isn't in your vocabulary is it, mila?
April 28, 2008 12:07 PM | Reply | Permalink
I'd estimate your age at about 13 based on the content of your comments.
April 28, 2008 12:41 PM | Reply | Permalink
Don't forget that Dean just yesterday called the race a tie. And don't forget that by some measures Hillary is acknowledged as the leader of the popular vote. ABC News, for instance, uses a formula that counts Michigan and Florida, and they put Hillary ahead of Obama. So it is no longer as clear as it seemed only recently. And don't forget that Obama hasn't won a major contest since February.
April 28, 2008 11:38 AM | Reply | Permalink
With your reasoning the results will never be clear.
April 28, 2008 11:51 AM | Reply | Permalink
Correct...
Until the convention at which point the deadlocked vote will need to be resolved. But how? No one seems to know. That's why Dean and the other "elders" are pushing to end it early. They have no clue how this will be resoled according to the rules at the convention.
They're scared shitless.
April 28, 2008 12:17 PM | Reply | Permalink
Er, not really. I watched the Stephanopoulos' show yesterday morning, and when they were flashing the metrics on the screen their popular vote tally showed Obama ahead. The one metric in which she lead was "electoral votes," which is their bogus measure by which they pretend that winning the primary=carrying the state in November.
April 28, 2008 12:14 PM | Reply | Permalink
Have you EVER lived in America? Are you actually an Al Qaeda troll (that would be new!).
So you have NOT been in the U.S. for at least most the last 15 years? You sound more like you not been here in the last 150 years. You really didn't have to admit that you've been out-of-touch for at least that long. It was already obvious.
April 28, 2008 11:46 AM | Reply | Permalink
You guys are already setting up to blame Hillary for Obama's loss in the GE. This is just ridiculous. He has to be tough and he has to win the nomination. No one is suppose to bow out and give it to him. We need a strong person in the whitehouse, not a whinny wimp like Obama. Hillary is resposible for her own candidacy not Obama's. If he loses the GE, it will be by his own doing. All of you who think Hillary can't beat McCain are absolutely clueless. She is the stronger candidate and has always been. If not for the undemocratic caucuses, she would have won the nomination a long time ago. She has won all of the blue states and swing states that the dem will need to win in November. He will never win NC, MS, GA, etc. He has to win PA or OH, and he won't.
April 28, 2008 11:49 AM | Reply | Permalink
eh, I am three handshakes away from Osama, I have hung out with some pretty dodgy characters, likewise I am two handshakes from Mladic and Karadjic. A worldly character indeed.
April 28, 2008 11:56 AM | Reply | Permalink
sounds like b.s. to me....
April 28, 2008 12:09 PM | Reply | Permalink
Its all right Clinton trolls. Spinning so fast must be very tiring. Death is your friend once you are have become so filled with venom. Just close your eyes and breath slowly. Don't struggle. The end will come soon to Hillary's doomed campaign. It will soon be committed to the ages. May it rest in peace. If you're really lucky Rev. Wright will give the eulogy.
Hush little babies don't you cry....
April 28, 2008 12:13 PM | Reply | Permalink
You're quoting from "Summertime"?
Yowza mammy.
We gonna get a little "Old Man Rivr" later on?
April 28, 2008 12:20 PM | Reply | Permalink
This is why Dems lose election. They want party elders to decide things -- not the people. So they try to stack the deck with superdelegates and other such nonsense.
If there had been no superdelegates, this argument would not be occurring. It's their own fault.
April 28, 2008 12:20 PM | Reply | Permalink
Be happy to sing whatever Hillary would like at her campaign's funeral. See there, Obama supporters aren't without compassion!
April 28, 2008 12:28 PM | Reply | Permalink
Come on.
No one has done more for Howard Dean than Barack Obama.
April 28, 2008 12:38 PM | Reply | Permalink
You forgot the folks living outside of the U.S.A.
Posted by ADLEED
LOL
April 28, 2008 2:49 PM | Reply | Permalink
Dear Missouri Voter,
I like reading your posts b/c you are thoughtful and fair to all commentors. I still think that Obama is more like Dukakis or McGovern (though not as liberal as either) than not. I am sorry, though, that you already seem to want to blame Hillary for what would be Obama's loss (and, again, I want a Dem to win.) I began as an Obama supporter but as time has gone on, I have had to decide Hillary is the more relaible choice. A Dem just can't win w/o the core Dem base. I don't think Hill's voters will come over and I fear that McCain by Nov. will seem to most a "safe" choice compared to Obama. Now I think McCain is batshit insane and really dangerous but nothing about the history of presidential elections since 1964 suggests Obama can win.
April 28, 2008 3:08 PM | Reply | Permalink
I think many posters (or maybe it's me) fail to understand how the convention operates. Pledged delegates are required to vote for their candidate on the first ballot; after that, they may vote for whomever they please.
And I believe that is what Sen. Clinton is aiming for before conceding defeat (you can't come back from a concession speech) - to see if she is able to sway any of the regular delegates after the first ballot has been taken. The supers will follow if that occurs. The odds are not favorable but, considering that the convention is over three months away and a lot can take place between now and August, not insuperable.
And I also firmly believe, if she is unable to attract any more support after the first few ballots, that that is the time for the supers to step in. She will have had her chance to try and convince delegates, shown herself unable to do so, and neither she nor her supporters (I'm one in case you didn't realize) will have nothing to complain about.
I fully take Sen. Clinton at her word about campaigning for Sen. Obama if he is the candidate - she has too much to lose if she doesn't; any influence she now has or hopes to have in the Democratic Party will be gone if she doesn't actively and wholeheartedly campaign for Sen. Obama.
Anyway, my just my view and trust you find it of interest.
April 28, 2008 6:17 PM | Reply | Permalink