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Gallup: Obama Back In Lead Over Hillary
Today's Gallup tracking poll shows Barack Obama regaining a lead over Hillary Clinton that is outside the margin of error. The numbers, compared to yesterday:
Obama 49% (+2)
Clinton 42% (-3)
Clinton was briefly able to grab a one-point lead over the weekend, in the wake of last week's debate, but Obama has since recovered.
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Hmmmmmmmmmmm!
That's a pretty sight to see.
Obama recovers AGAIN.
Hillary can't cath a break. Poor thing.
This game is almost over!
April 21, 2008 1:39 PM | Reply | Permalink
Amen.
April 21, 2008 1:44 PM | Reply | Permalink
Eric, that one point lead lasted for a DAY, not the weekend.
April 21, 2008 1:40 PM | Reply | Permalink
I wonder what Lanny Davis will have to say over at HuffPo.
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/lanny-davis/latest-gallup-national-de_b_97665.html
April 21, 2008 1:41 PM | Reply | Permalink
That is truly hilarious.
April 21, 2008 1:55 PM | Reply | Permalink
That really is funny. Doesn't seem like that "unease" that Lanny spoke of is spreading, does it?
April 21, 2008 2:26 PM | Reply | Permalink
Josh Marshall had some good advice about straining at gnats in the tracking poll
Young Kleefeld must have missed it
April 21, 2008 1:42 PM | Reply | Permalink
Clinton will be on Larry King and the countdown.
Obama will be on The daily show.
The countdown will be interesting.
April 21, 2008 1:45 PM | Reply | Permalink
If you unroll the 3 day moving average you will finally find the definition of an outlier.
April 21, 2008 1:47 PM | Reply | Permalink
I'm sick of this poll crap, especially national polls. By the way, I finally found the quote I was looking for on Hillary's attack of Obama over saying McCain isn't as bad as Bush.
Here was Bill commenting on McCain and Hillary:
"She and John McCain are very close," Clinton said. "They always laugh that if they wound up being the nominees of their party, it would be the most civilized election in American history, and they're afraid they'd put the voters to sleep because they like and respect each other."
Read more:
http://www.thepersonalispolitical.com/2008/04/another-heavy-dose-of-hillpocrisy-as.html
April 21, 2008 1:48 PM | Reply | Permalink
PPP also has a poll of NC out today.
Obama 57, Clinton 32
NC will make up for any amount of delegates Hillary gets out of PA.
April 21, 2008 1:48 PM | Reply | Permalink
That one day, one point Hillary lead on Saturday took in both bittergate and that bad debate performance. Hillary's leads after these blips have never had much staying power, and this one was the shortest of them all.
This ad buy with the Osama image in it must have been sparked by something Team Hillary knows about their numbers. I don't think that Barack can pull a win off, but I think it's going to be closer than what I was thinking even this morning.
April 21, 2008 1:50 PM | Reply | Permalink
No no no...not god BLESS the Gallup Poll...God DAMN the Gallup Poll...it's in the Bible!
April 21, 2008 1:50 PM | Reply | Permalink
Well played.
April 21, 2008 1:56 PM | Reply | Permalink
Yesss. I called this in the 'Clinton up by 1pt' thread. *pats self on back*
This means unless HRC has a great polling day today (unlikely), he will be back up over 50% tomorrow. Of course whether he maintains that all depends on what happens in the Keystone state tomorrow.
April 21, 2008 1:50 PM | Reply | Permalink
Turd sandwich,
prepare to be eaten by Lanny Davis and/or Joe Scarborough.
Love,
Gallup
April 21, 2008 1:54 PM | Reply | Permalink
She must have done pretty bad yesterday to fall to 42 after two days at 45. If Obama continues at this pace we may see it back to double digits once Friday and Saturday fall off poll.
April 21, 2008 1:54 PM | Reply | Permalink
THIS IS EXCELLENT NEWS!! FOR HILLARY!!!
!!!HILLMENTUMâ„¢!!!!
April 21, 2008 1:55 PM | Reply | Permalink
Thank you for providing a valuable public service, idiotic.
April 21, 2008 2:25 PM | Reply | Permalink
If the Democrats want Barack Obama as the nominee, the Democrats will get Barack Obama as the nominee. Four years ago the Democrats wanted John Kerry as the nominee, and the Democrats got John Kerry as the nominee.
April 21, 2008 1:56 PM | Reply | Permalink
Well, I think it's pretty clear that they don't want Hillary Clinton as the nominee.
I mean, Jesus, that is painfully obvious.
April 21, 2008 1:58 PM | Reply | Permalink
Seriously. What was the point of that comment?
Is it some subtle way of saying "Be careful what you wish for"?
Never mind. This long primary season has made me stupid.
April 21, 2008 2:21 PM | Reply | Permalink
Barack Obama ain't John Kerry.
April 21, 2008 1:59 PM | Reply | Permalink
No. Four years ago the DLC and the Clintons wanted Kerry.
The Democrats wanted Howard Dean, who could have won and who at least would have fought for every vote.
April 21, 2008 2:10 PM | Reply | Permalink
Tena talkin' truth. Dr. Dean's 50 state strategy will be the end of the corporate-dlc "third-way" faction, for awhile,anyway. Wake-up folks, the people are reclaiming the people's party.Time to Join Up or get f&ck out the way!
April 21, 2008 2:30 PM | Reply | Permalink
It kills me to think that one pep rally speech by Dr. Dean was used to sink his candidacy. And no amount of Dave Chappelle will soothe that wound...
April 21, 2008 2:45 PM | Reply | Permalink
Lanny Davis: Did I say tracking polls are the most accurate? I meant that you can't trust tracking polls. Reverend Wright! Rezko! Um . . . excuse me, I hear my mother calling me....
April 21, 2008 2:03 PM | Reply | Permalink
Well her campaign is in shambles.
And she's got a big L on her forehead.
April 21, 2008 2:07 PM | Reply | Permalink
Hillary pulls close late in the week, now that we're back on Monday its Obama's turn to lead. Its like clockwork.
April 21, 2008 2:10 PM | Reply | Permalink
Well, this cycle has produced amazing results.
"progressives" and the wingnuts have very much in common.
They both hate the Clintons and if she is the nominee, they spew they will vote for mcwar.
They both have divided their parties.
They both spin the negatives on their heroes and think they can do nothing wrong.
They both have the media but blame them when there hero screws up.
Who da thunk it?
Simply amazing.
April 21, 2008 2:11 PM | Reply | Permalink
I think the pressure's getting to gotalife. He's not even trying to be coherent anymore.
April 21, 2008 2:16 PM | Reply | Permalink
Truly on the desperation.
I never said i'd vote for McCain = but Clinton can't count on my vote if she wants to take it to the SDs and say: See?
fuck her - I'll write in Obama.
And the SDs are not going to pick her, gotalife. Get over it -= she's broke. Her campaign is in shambles. His is in great shape and he's loaded with funds.
Get over it.
April 21, 2008 2:25 PM | Reply | Permalink
I never said I'd vote for McCain.
Progressives haven't divided our party, it wasn't us who endorsed McCain over a Democrat or used fearmongering to scare voters away from a fellow Democrat or who refused to step down even though there is no possible way to win the nomination without overturning the will of the voters--hey, that sounds like the very definition of divisive.
How's that talking out your ass going for you?
April 21, 2008 2:19 PM | Reply | Permalink
Only one Democratic candidate is actually in cahoots with the wingnuts -- sharing talking points, going on Limbaugh, and heaping praise on the GOP nominee while denigrating the presumptive Democratic nominee. You're on the right track, Hillbot, you just came to the wrong conclusion. Enjoy being on the outside looking in come November.
April 21, 2008 2:25 PM | Reply | Permalink
hahaha i love gotalife, such tragicomedy in his posts.
April 21, 2008 2:37 PM | Reply | Permalink
Wingnuts hate Hillary? Last I checked, she had Scaife and Limbaugh telling people to vote for her.
April 21, 2008 3:05 PM | Reply | Permalink
Hillary smeared Senator Obama and drove up his negatives That caused some people to have second thoughts about supporting him.
Then the 60% of them that ABC/Washington Post showed believe that Hillary is a habitual liar and not to be trusted, came to their senses, and realized that Hillary was the other choice. They came to their senses and said,Thank God that we have Senator Obama to support.
April 21, 2008 2:14 PM | Reply | Permalink
Well, if he wins PA it is over.
If she wins, the supers decide.
Clinton will win, Obama is losing it due to the pressure.
April 21, 2008 2:20 PM | Reply | Permalink
You idiot - if she wins Pennsylvania it's meaningless unless it's a total rout and it won't be.
This is meaningless now. She's not going to be the nominee and you need to get ahold of that.
April 21, 2008 2:27 PM | Reply | Permalink
Are you're giving odds on the Knicks winning the NBA Championship next year?
April 21, 2008 2:28 PM | Reply | Permalink
LOL.
April 21, 2008 2:41 PM | Reply | Permalink
That sound you hear is the fat lady warming up to sing.
April 21, 2008 2:29 PM | Reply | Permalink
I started the morning wanting to sing Kumbaya. Now I am looking for a stake. Does my junior Senator know how to bow out gracefully? She has to stop embarassing herself.
April 21, 2008 2:29 PM | Reply | Permalink
I would just like to state that I'm happy to see the numbers and read them, but this one tells me nothing, like the Hillary "surge" weekend numbers told me nothing. Anyone who thinks they can read as to why these are happening is clearly pretending.
April 21, 2008 2:51 PM | Reply | Permalink
The strain is clearing getting to gotalife. So when Obama blows the doors off Hillary in North Carolina, will it be because she couldn't take the pressure? Pa. is the perfect state for her -- she has the entire establishment in a machine state wrapped up and demographics tailored for her. NC is awesome for Obama. Indiana has a little bit for both. Anyone thinking clearly would see that unless Obama upsets Hillary in Pa or Hillary defeats Obama in NC, Indiana is the only state that will matter out of this bunch. Come on, gotalife, you're slipping.
April 21, 2008 2:52 PM | Reply | Permalink
The problem with looking at polls every five seconds is that people try to conduct narratives out of things that are actually just statistical variation or noise in the polling results.
Everyone, please remember this: a difference of one percent in a poll with a margin of error that is 3-5 percent HAS NO MEANING. Period.
April 21, 2008 3:00 PM | Reply | Permalink
April 21, 2008 3:06 PM | Reply | Permalink
It's getting to be like a tooth that needs a dentist badly. It throbs and it takes attention away from what is really important. As with a decaying tooth, the best tactic, if it can't be saved, is to pull it. Hillary is like that for me. Her campaign hurts already. Enough!!!
April 21, 2008 3:15 PM | Reply | Permalink
Nah nah nah nah! Nah nah nah nah! HEY HEY HEY! GOOOOOOD BYE!
Shrilliary Clintjoke... it is time to admit this game is about over. You can have your Pennsylvania win. But you're going to get creamed in NC and IN. AND, even better, Dems are going to continue to trend towards Obama nationally.
All the mustard-colored pant suits in the world aren't going to save you!
April 21, 2008 3:30 PM | Reply | Permalink
Is anyone else watching Pollster? It looks like we're seeing movement for the first time that he took the lead, and she's beginning to tank.
April 21, 2008 3:52 PM | Reply | Permalink
She's our last chance to salvage something for the Dems this year, I mean, Barack ahead by 2 in Massachusetts vs McCain (Survey USA)???? Disaster!
April 21, 2008 5:07 PM | Reply | Permalink
I'm so sick of Hillary's voice and laugh I can't even watch Olbermann tonight. She'll go on there and say Obama can't win the general. Somebody should remind Hillary that Obama has beat her well enough. So what does that say about her chances in the general? Especialy with negatives at 60%. She is delusional!!!
April 21, 2008 6:40 PM | Reply | Permalink
Very ad hominem around here...rough (and myopic) crowd!
Let's see the G-Poll after Wright starts to settle in the the public psyche...
Hillary had a 9pt lead over McCain yesterday compared to Obama who had a 2pt lead...no one here mentions that??
Hillary had a 9pt lead in a ARG poll in Indiana yesterday...no one here mentions that.
Your candidate is the favorite, but he also has unappealing qualities. You may not like Hillary's laugh, but that is a low blow. Obama has a condescending demeanor and HE IS A SMOKER--that LITTERS his butts. GROSS!!
April 29, 2008 11:19 AM | Reply | Permalink