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DSCC Chief Schumer: We'll Keep Republicans On Defense All Over The Map

As we reported earlier today, the Dems are looking at major gains in the Senate this fall — and today, the Dem in charge of making it happen laid out his view of the electoral map.

During a conference call with reporters, DSCC chief Chuck Schumer said that there are five states where they're ahead: Virginia, New Hampshire, New Mexico, Colorado and Alaska. Schumer also said that Dems were behind but had a shot in three blue states: Maine, Minnesota and Oregon.

And overall, he promised to run good candidates in a total of 17 out of 23 GOP seats that will be on the ballot this year — a sign that he plans on making a lot of use out of the DSCC's money advantages over the Republicans, by forcing them to play defense all over the map.


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Good. I am not used to the idea of having a big money advantage over the Republicans. It feels good.

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It feels great.

I can't imagine being pessimistic right now - not under these conditions.

I was heartened to see from the First Read piece that Schumer seems to feel optimistic at Noriega's chances in TX.

Alaska won't go dem, I predict Ted will win v. Begich 60-40.

Begich is only popular in Anchorage, and 'popular' is being generous... politicians in Alaska, in general, aren't held in the highest esteem. Rhetoric doesn't fly, it's all about the pork.

I started to think more today about Hillary's insult to Red State Democrats, and Democratic primary voters.

Its even more insulting now that my state is coming up to vote.

At least we can count on Schumer.

I'd like to see how well she does with only 30 Democratic senators if she were president. How about 150 House members. Lets see how effective she is then.

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I was heartened to see from the First Read piece that Schumer seems to feel optimistic at Noriega's chances in TX.

I was thrilled when he got Russ Feingold's progressive patriot award. I knew he was more than viable then - that's a nice bit of money.


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Schumer's right about one thing, but his caution makes my skin crawl a little - if the primary battle stays ugly, some constituents are liable to stay home.

I'd love to be able to talk to the senator and tell him that there are a lot of us progressives who will vote in this election for roadkill if it has a D by its name. But if Hillary Clinton persuades the SDs to give her the nomination, I will no longer take seriously the party's claim that it cares at all about what I care about. I'll seriously question my commitment to the Democrats come December, depending on what happens.

I'm tired of getting all kinds of nice flattering attention when they need my money and my vote. Then they turn around and act and vote like Repug Lite. They have this idea that progressives don't have any where else to go - they ought to be a bit more careful.

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So you think the polls showing Uncle Ted losing are wrong?

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I would think Minnesota is definitely a first tier pick-up opportunity, and the polls are very close there; I'd actually be a little surprised if there haven't been some polls showing Al Franken leading Norm Coleman.

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I think if Obama is our candidate, we run the table.

No wonder Limbaugh is trying to push Ms. Clinton.
~

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Hmmmm. Sounds like Chuck is starting to go all Howard Dean on us--imagine competing in so many states!

Thanks Howard.

Thanks Barack and Hillary, for pulling out so many voters in so many states, and thanks, Obama, for making the redstaters feel like they count...maybe with all that energy, some safe Republican states aren't safe any longer.

Sorta like Denny's seat in Illinois....

Yes. Begich is a friendly beancounter, not a cage-fighter. Alaskans still want ANWR opened and will have important business in the US Senate soon... N. America's largest private construction project... a natural gas pipeline from the North Slope thru Canada to the midwest/Chicago area. Being a successful mayor of Anchorage is a far cry from D.C.. Managing the city budget in Anchorage is a cakewalk... high property taxes/values, very unlikely to be affected by the nationwide real estate woes... they are awash in $.

One final note on Alaska's republicanness... we don't buy into social conservative bible beater republicanism... results matter, show us the money.

Is this the same Schumer who's been so critical of Dean's 50-state strategy? Who has done his level best to sabotage the campaigns of non-establishment Dem congressional candidates? As JFK supposedly said, victory has a 100 fathers but defeat is an orphan.

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Sen. Barack Obama (D-IL) finally got his turn during today's Senate foreign relations committtee hearing and used it to question what "success" would be in Iraq.

I have been waiting for 5 years for someone to ask this question.

There was never an objective. Without an objective, how do you
ever measure success or failure? For 5 years I've waited for someone to point that out.


Oops, did we just get a list of states that matter?

States with the winning margin of victory
Alaska: Obama +50%
Colorado: Obama +35%
Minnesota: Obama +34%
Virginia: Obama +29%
Maine: Obama +19%
Oregon: Obama +10%
New Mexico: Clinton +1% Note: Edwards 2%
New Hampshire: Clinton +2% Note: Edwards 17%

And notice that the two states Clinton won were basically ties and that Edwards received part of that vote. I think that Obama picks up most of Edwards vote with him out of the race.

It's nice to see some quantitative evidence for what a lot of us have been saying all along. I honestly don't see how anybody can claim Obama isn't the better candidate down-ticket.

Forgot to mention that the Oregon numbers are the current Survey USA poll

It's all about the downticket... GO Obama!

I forgot to segue Alaska's GOP leanings into its support for Obama... I don't believe the support is intended to create a tsunami effect giving the dems absolute power (like Bush reps have had). I think it has to do with a very specific issue, i.e. an infrastructure bank. Alaska's economy is based on a few key areas, listed in order of importance. 1. oil production 2. construction 3. tourism 4. commercial/sport fish industries.

This probably belongs on a different post but I'll stick in here anyway.

Alaska has survived on earmarks for the past 20 yrs or so. Earmarks aren't seen as pork (in Alaska) as much as much needed infrastructure and construction spending. Infrastructure being a public good and construction spending being good for union/trade labor and small business. McCain falls for the hard left no-oil argument, and consistently supports union-busting, (talk about split personality!).

Obama's support of an infrastructure bank takes the federal funding of these types of projects out of the shadows and gives them a legitimate process by which they can be publicly debated and funded. Alaskans are very unhappy about the negative insinuations related to so-called bridges to nowhere and other projects.

Let me confess that I'm a registered republican, but I think social conservatism is a form of fascism, (not to mention I'm an atheist). That tends to leave me unrepresented because as we all know libertarian candidates are eccentric and marginalized.

Obama is gaining real, tangible republican support based on the above types of issues. If the economy is indeed faltering, (so far in some specific sectors, not yet broadly) then we have two options. Ride it out, suffer and lose some power/standing in the financial world... or spend our way out of it. I'm for the latter. I'm a big believer people would rather collect a paycheck than a welfare/unemployment check.

I think Obama is a reasonable person not tied down to ideology from EITHER side, by that I mean hard left liberalism can be just as detrimental as hard right conservatism.

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I think Obama is a reasonable person not tied down to ideology from EITHER side, by that I mean hard left liberalism can be just as detrimental as hard right conservatism

I agree with that.

But a shift leftward of where we've been pulled these last years is way overdue.

If you look at where we've come since Nixon - hell, Nixon is left of a lot of Democrats these days. The whole thing has been warped to the right.

Time to move back the other way. In the first place, progressives have been right about Bush and the Bush Repugs right from the start.

Alaskans only went Bush because of empty promises to open ANWR. How in the hell a republican majority across the board can't get that done has escaped us... I blame McCain.

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This is great news. With Democratic gains in the Senate, we can toss Lieberman from his committee assignments and give them to, you know, an actual Democrat. I would pay lots of money to be a fly on the wall when the Majority leadership give Lieberman the news.

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Well well, I didn't think that gravatar change was working since the site had fits while I was getting it done. But it did.


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I would pay lots of money to be a fly on the wall when the Majority leadership give Lieberman the news.


I'd pay more if they'd let me tell him.

:)

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We could tell him together, Tena :D

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We could tell him together, Tena :D

Works for me. We could dress up like the Munchkins in the Wizard of Oz and sing "Ding Dong the Witch is Dead."


*cranks up the handle to the old LP turntable*

*Puts the little plastic piece into the middle of the 45*

*Places Johnny Nash 45 onto the platter*

*Places needle on the 45*

"scratch, scratch"

"I can see clearly, now, the rain is gone"

*Dances around the room*

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[puts earphones in]

"Now do it to the maximum, take it while you askin' em
Don't listen to them suckers when they say you too irrational
See, I said it on "King" and them lames started laughin' and
Same suckers now want the King on a track with 'em
I composed several classicals, you know like "Top Back"
"Dope Boy", "Bring 'Em Out", and "What You Know About That"
Now they ask how I talk, what you know about that?
Dominated '06, now I'm goin' right back
See me rain hell, I just showed you like that
Even Denzel say, "Damn, I ain't know it like that"

FYI on NC voter registration to date

Democratic: 2,572,333 Republican: 1,934,702 Unaffiliated: 1,217,826 Total: 5,724,861

Can it go blue in the fall? With Obama I think its possible.

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Certainly great news. I just hope that Sen. Schumer keeps in mind the need to keep Mary Landrieu in the Senate.

She will never be a progressive's favorite Senator, but she is as liberal as one can be from Louisianna and still maintain a hope of being re-elected.

I volunteered in her campaigns for Governor in '95 and Senate in '96 while I was a college student in New Orleans. I would hate to lose her seat because we didn't compensate for the Katrina losses.

The fact of a broader Dem. majority is irrelevant. The Dems are just as capable of construing their constituencies very narrowly as the GOP has done. They are just as capable of maintaining the status quo and we love to celebrate their name more than what actually gets accomplished.
We need more representatives that actally believe some Americans are capable of analytical thought, a la Senator (Pres) Obama. The fight has to stop being about what your party name is and start being about engaging Americans.

It would be foolish to start counting the chickens at this early date.

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I'll not forgive Schumer and Feinstein for Mukasey. No matter how much headway Dems make, I question his judgement.

I believe the Dems will win back majorities in both the Senate & the House -particularly when Obama is our nominee.
Axelrod & the Obama campaigns gets the necessity & might of a party being united . lOOK Obama did good in this year's caucases because he was working actively , on the ground for the candidates in 2006 - for example Congressman Partick Murphy (D Pa) is supporting Obama because of the 2006 grassroots efforts .
And also it was Obama 's money & volunteers that in large measure helped secure Denny Hastert's old seat- at least in the special election .
Meanwhile Madam Speaker Pelosi & Leader Reid ,as well as Senator Schumer need to wake up that they too can be vulnerable next cycle -especially if President Obama , starts to go after the gwb43 bushcheney ongoing organized criminal conspiracy and those complicit in those activities - ( Paging Jane Harmon ) - Also unless Schumer bucks up - we will not forgive him the next time he decides not to go after bad dudes like Bybee ( a judge that should be impeached for apparent complicity in torture at Gitmo ) .
This time we need to dial back the right wing agenda way way back - we have been creeping ,if not trotting towards textbook facism these last several years-
I have even talked to a Prinicpal of a high school in Midland Texas- who has voted GOP straight ticket all of her life that says now she fully endorses and supports Obama- and the entire down ticket here in Texas- She also sent money to Noreiga because she says John Cornyn is tied to closley to the "radicals that have taken over the Texas GOP "
Oh yeah we do have the audacity of hope - we also have the audacity to say right here right now that our current Democratic leadership better "straighten up & fly right ! " ( or in this case more acuurately straighten up and fly left ) ..NO MORE MUKASEYS NO MORE TAKING IMPEACHMENT OFF OUR TABLE !

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