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Gallup: Dems Like Hillary/Obama Ticket, But Say "No" To Obama/Hillary
A new Gallup poll sheds some much-needed light on what Dems think of a so-called "dream ticket," showing that there's much higher support for Barack Obama as Hillary's running mate than for the other way around.
If Clinton were to win the nomination, Democrats would like Obama as the vice president by a 58%-41% margin, compared to only 42% support and 55% opposition to Clinton being Obama's VP candidate.
The underlying dynamic appears to be that a lot of Clinton supporters like Obama, with 53% favoring him as her vice president. But Obama supporters don't particularly like Clinton — only 29% of Obama voters would want Hillary as his running mate.
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How on earth did anyone come up with that headline for the contents that follow?
April 1, 2008 1:32 PM | Reply | Permalink
Have to agree here. I'm not sure Gallop would want the headline above being attributed to them, since here was their read:
"Clinton Less Appealing Than Obama as Potential V.P.: Clinton backers favor an Obama-Clinton ticket; Obama backers do not"
April 1, 2008 3:22 PM | Reply | Permalink
No whining in the echo chamber! Eric posted the info. He gets to do the headline. If you don't like his work, go find another echo chamber to shout in.
April 1, 2008 9:31 PM | Reply | Permalink
hello may name is regory from akscaban
i like to appli job as ediotor in you're company. i can copy/paste beeter than your monkay.
April 1, 2008 3:45 PM | Reply | Permalink
I've been ignoring all those comments about TPM's pro-Clinton bias. But Eric, for the sake of your own credibility, change that outrageous headline.
Democrats don't favor a Hillary/Obama ticket over an Obama/Hillary one.
They simply -- overwhelmingly -- want him on the ballot. And growing numbers don't want her anywhere near it. That's what those umbers say.
April 1, 2008 4:29 PM | Reply | Permalink
So true. Also if they say he'd be a good VP, then if he gets the nod, they won't vote for him as Pres? The stupidity of the Clinton propaganda is really amazing.
April 1, 2008 6:01 PM | Reply | Permalink
I interpret those numbers this way: If Hillary is the nominee, Dems know they're going to need a real magnet as VP, because Hillary is going to draw out the Republicans in a big way.
Obama as Veep helps mitigate this effect.
If Obama is the nominee, Hillary isn't going to add much to that, so who cares if she's the Veep?
April 1, 2008 1:32 PM | Reply | Permalink
It's more that Clinton fans don't particularly care for Obama, but he's "likable enough", and at heart the Clinton side is much more pragmatic.
April 1, 2008 2:26 PM | Reply | Permalink
You have to be more "pragmatic" when you are losing . . . . To the victors go the spoils.
April 1, 2008 7:17 PM | Reply | Permalink
Experience teaches you to be pragmatic.
April 2, 2008 4:00 AM | Reply | Permalink
Shocker!
April 1, 2008 1:32 PM | Reply | Permalink
Hillary/Obama will win but the trolls here do not want to win.
April 1, 2008 1:34 PM | Reply | Permalink
With all those Obama "deficits"?! How could you of all people say any ticket with Obama will win?
April 1, 2008 1:48 PM | Reply | Permalink
Shhhh.
Logic is toxic to Hillary Trolls.
April 1, 2008 1:55 PM | Reply | Permalink
Americans have adapted to the VP being a liar.
April 1, 2008 1:57 PM | Reply | Permalink
After Reagan, Bush, Clinton, and Bush showed the way.
April 1, 2008 2:06 PM | Reply | Permalink
So, you're sayin' you want Clinton in the VP slot?
Yeah, that kinda makes sense....McCain/Clinton '08!
April 1, 2008 2:26 PM | Reply | Permalink
gotalife' "Americans have adapted to the VP being a liar"
Yet another valid reason she should step down now and be Obama's runningn mate. Don't worry, his Secret Service attachment will protect 'em from Bosnian sniper fire.
April 1, 2008 2:32 PM | Reply | Permalink
If you don't like Obama, then why would
you support him as VP on a ticket
with Ms. Clinton?
You see, it's Hillary's values--or lack thereof--
that we can't stand. It's not about what is best for America, it's always been about what is best for Hillary.
Sorry, can't do it. We can't win with Hillary.
No matter how many ways one tries to spin it, she's a lost cause--and she seems to be doing her best to bring down the Democratic party with her.
April 1, 2008 1:52 PM | Reply | Permalink
Keef, put down your coke spoon and shake yourself back to reality. There's an election coming up.
April 1, 2008 2:27 PM | Reply | Permalink
First off, mate, I've never had a problem with drugs. I've had problems with police.
Ms. Clinton is not a leader, she's a lowdown gambler--anything to get elected. She's rolling the dice, mate, and because of her, we're going to get a McCain presidency.
April 1, 2008 3:53 PM | Reply | Permalink
Mate? You sure you're in the right echo chamber?
April 1, 2008 9:35 PM | Reply | Permalink
We call that the Tumbling Dice. Gotta roll 'em.
April 2, 2008 4:06 AM | Reply | Permalink
...because it wouldn't be about not liking Obama, but not wanting him at the head of the ticket this time around. In my case, it isn't that I dislike him, it's just that I prefer Clinton. If he had the second spot, then after a term or two as second, he would be the choice for the top spot in '12 or '16, an still be a young man.
April 1, 2008 4:00 PM | Reply | Permalink
Oh, the fairy tale..
Honestly, take a breather and think about this for a second. Do you think that, even if she miraculously won against McCain, ANY democrat would get elected after another Clinton term? How soon have we forgotten the past?
I know it's hard to grab at justifications for your choice, but really, in the real world, there are not many. It's deep seated affection, which I respect, but not what should drive picking the next president.
April 1, 2008 8:42 PM | Reply | Permalink
Get a life! Obama is the frontrunner which would preclude a Hillary/Obama headliner.
May 17, 2008 10:55 AM | Reply | Permalink
Obama should drop out of the race. He should run on a third party ticket. The Unity Party
April 1, 2008 1:34 PM | Reply | Permalink
This is CRAP!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
this is designed to get empathy for HER!!
Bull! CRAP...she LOST!!!
Unbeleivable.
Obama supporters should take as much interest in DESTROYING the Democratic party as Hillary has at this point.
Why not? She has had a scorched earth policy and Obama supporters need to JOIN with her and TAKE DOWN the party!
This calls for anarchy. Obama supporters need to leave the Democratic party.
Create a Obama/Bloomberg ticket..and take back the white house.
Let Hillary whine all the way home. As she is left no only without a team but without a field to play on.
April 1, 2008 1:35 PM | Reply | Permalink
You mean we should like burn our own neighborhood down?
April 1, 2008 9:38 PM | Reply | Permalink
I'm concerned about the 29% of Obama supporters that don't want Hillary on the ticket.
Don't they think that having the savior of Tuzla, the arbitor of peace in Ireland, the creator of SCHIP and FMLA, as well as the voice against NAFTA in the Clinton Administration would be a good thing to balance out the ticket?
April 1, 2008 1:35 PM | Reply | Permalink
And where are you on that whole John Kerry - war hero thing?
April 2, 2008 4:10 AM | Reply | Permalink
With a public approval rating of, what, 37%, her lowest rating since 2001, and her persistent high negatives would Clinton be much help to an Obama ticket?
April 1, 2008 1:36 PM | Reply | Permalink
"The underlying dynamic appears to be that a lot of Clinton supporters like Obama, with 53% favoring him as her vice president."
Ah, Eric, the self-proclaimed poll master with another Hillary spin.
Well, poll boy. I read it like this.
Clinton supporters need, repeat need Obama if they want to have even a hell's chance in winning the GE.
OTH, Obama supporters do not, repeat do not want her because that will be the sure way to lose the GE. Get it ?
April 1, 2008 1:36 PM | Reply | Permalink
"The underlying dynamic appears to be that a lot of Clinton supporters like Obama, with 53% favoring him as her vice president. But Obama supporters don't particularly like Clinton — only 29% of Obama voters would want Hillary as his running mate."
Sounds about right.
April 1, 2008 1:36 PM | Reply | Permalink
Count me as one of those Obama supporters who seriously dislikes Hillary. And I actually liked and defended her for fifteen years prior to this contest.
However, now, I simply cannot conceive of her being the President of the United States. Sure, I'd vote for her over McCain, but that ain't saying much. I'd probably vote for Socks (if he/she is still alive) over McCain.
Anyway, I digress. This contest barrage of low information voter-targeting lies, "misstatements," and disgusting tactics has persuaded me that four more years of a Clinton in the White House is possibly as dangerous (or maybe even more dangerous) than four more of McCain.
I'm sure that impression would change were Clinton to gain the nomination (a dim prospect even in the most Clintonistic description of reality). But as it stands, I am down to the point o throwing up in my mouth whenever she speaks.
Pretty sad state of affairs. And Big Bill fares no better in my perspective these days. That is, seriously, a long way to tumble for this one time, die-hard Clinton fan.
April 1, 2008 1:37 PM | Reply | Permalink
What Vet said.
I'm willing to bet that a huge part of her support is due to Bill-nostalgia, or the idea that they'd be getting a two-fer. Like my mother thought, before I convinced her that HRC is a delusional kamikaze, that if HRC has a question she can just roll over in bed and ask Bill to help her out (assuming he's in bed with her). That's the thinking of a lot of white women of a certain age: the husband will help her out. With a 37 percent approval rating and negatives that have bumped the 50 percent mark for as long as HRC has been in the public eye... well you get the picture.
April 1, 2008 2:53 PM | Reply | Permalink
Hey Socks lived in the White Housefour eight years too! AND he would be a candidate for color. Socks would be ready on Day One!
April 1, 2008 11:31 PM | Reply | Permalink
THIS IS EXCELLENT NEWS!! FOR HILLARY!!!
April 1, 2008 1:38 PM | Reply | Permalink
I was worried that we had lost you. Welcome back.
April 1, 2008 2:10 PM | Reply | Permalink
You're BAAAK!!!!
We've missed you!
April 1, 2008 3:24 PM | Reply | Permalink
It would be very difficult for me to believe that Obama supporters do not like Hillary. Not after all the wonderful and positive comments about her I've read day after day from so many Obama fans.
Now let's all sing a couple dozen verses of Kumbaya!
April 1, 2008 1:38 PM | Reply | Permalink
Here's another way of looking at the "underlying dynamic," voters do not want to "lose Obama" on the November ticket, but they can afford to "lose clinton."
April 1, 2008 1:40 PM | Reply | Permalink
She needs him. He doesn't need her.
April 1, 2008 1:41 PM | Reply | Permalink
I would have thought the headline might read, "Obama's much vaunted 10 point lead in a recent Gallup has dropped to 4.
April 1, 2008 1:42 PM | Reply | Permalink
there was a chance he could have taken her with him, that was before "McCain has past the president test,.... but obama has not" comment after that even Pelosi said that Nightmare tocket was not to be, she said "take it from me that would not be the ticket"
April 1, 2008 1:42 PM | Reply | Permalink
Obama's lies will lose the general:
http://www.stop-obama.org/?p=105
Nuff said.
April 1, 2008 1:44 PM | Reply | Permalink
Come on, Hillary, give it a rest.
You're a broken record.
You're a broken record.
You're a broken record.
Anyway, don't you have some more campaigning to
do for McCain?
April 1, 2008 1:57 PM | Reply | Permalink
Wow.
That's a pretty credible website you've linked here.
I bet nobody has a website accusing Hillary of murder, adultery, lying, do they?
Paging Dick Morris...
Linking to smear sites doesn't give them, or you, any credibility.
April 1, 2008 1:59 PM | Reply | Permalink
You forgot "nuff said trolls"...they are also popular items this Spring.
April 1, 2008 2:02 PM | Reply | Permalink
go away, racist troll
April 1, 2008 2:56 PM | Reply | Permalink
I'd rather have Donald Rumsfeld as Obama's VP.
April 1, 2008 1:47 PM | Reply | Permalink
Is he available? He'd HAVE to be better than Hillary if we can't get Lord Vader, Bruce from Jaws or that big lava dude from Lord of the Rings.
Why any Obama supporter would want Hillary on the ticket suprises me.
April 1, 2008 2:01 PM | Reply | Permalink
I think Cheney should go bionic and then be given the post for life.
April 1, 2008 2:24 PM | Reply | Permalink
what possible reason would Obama have for putting Clinton on the ticket, when doing so would undermine the central message of his candidacy?
a joint ticket will not happen. ever. get over it. move on.
i'm tired of hearing about this and i'm tired of hearing about Al fucking Gore. yes, like pretty much all progressives, i love Al too. but nobody has voted for Al. he is not getting the nomination. he doesn't even want it. give it up.
April 1, 2008 1:48 PM | Reply | Permalink
The problem is if he wins he would have to pick a VP candidate, and anyone would undermine the "me me me" nature of his campaign.
April 1, 2008 2:29 PM | Reply | Permalink
I don't understand this comment. Expand, please...
April 1, 2008 2:51 PM | Reply | Permalink
The problem is if he wins he would have to pick a VP candidate, and anyone would undermine the "me me me" nature of his campaign.
April 1, 2008 2:30 PM | Reply | Permalink
Obama "Yes WE Can"
Clinton "I'M a fighter, I'M in the solutions business. I'M ready on day one"
April 1, 2008 2:41 PM | Reply | Permalink
There you go trying to use reason on Hillary's supporters again.
April 1, 2008 4:35 PM | Reply | Permalink
He meant "Yes Me Can". It's Rasta speak.
Seriously, what's the "We" at the end of the tunnel? It's all about Obama, the man, the myth, the movie, and the loving faceless hordes who adore him because of his speeches and all-encompassing love?
Here's a tip - there is no "you" in "team", only "me".
April 2, 2008 4:13 AM | Reply | Permalink
When are you trolls going to stop ignoring Obama's lies?
http://www.stop-obama.org/?p=105
Do you want to lose again?
The gop will not ignore all his lies and he will lose.
Clinton/Obama will win.
April 1, 2008 1:52 PM | Reply | Permalink
So if Obama is on the ticket, but only as VP, the GOP will ignore his "lies"?
They'll attack him if he's on the ticket at the #1 spot, but not at #2?
Obama has radioactive liabilities and would go down in flames as the presidential nominee -- but wouldn't hurt the ticket as the VP nominee?
Fascinating logic.
April 1, 2008 2:15 PM | Reply | Permalink
Fascinating logic
Isn't it?
Gotta love the getalife, marginal player, dembillc, and rae logic. Obama sucks, HUGELY, unless, of course, he's the Veep. This exposes how silly the thinking is. We hate Obama!!@#!!! except when we know he'll be a real benefit to Hillary.
April 1, 2008 2:56 PM | Reply | Permalink
Speaking of liars:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OVuMYKs8iJs&eurl=http://www.dailykos.com/storyonly/2008/4/1/14245/82102/420/474521
/countdown for this American to be discredited by the Hillary campaign begins starting.....now.
April 1, 2008 2:43 PM | Reply | Permalink
The "underlying dynamic" here is that Obama will have the pledged delegate (and probably the popular vote) lead going into the convention. So if Hillary somehow got the nomination people realize that Obama would HAVE to be VP to avoid the Party imploding.
Clinton isn't the leader in anything so people don't see the point of putting her on the ticket when it would only make Dems' chances that much worse.
April 1, 2008 1:53 PM | Reply | Permalink
Extra insight on Hillary's connection to Bosnia. This article alleges she was part of the reason why it took so long for the US to step in...
http://www.slate.com/id/2187780
"The key factor in Bill's policy reversal was Hillary, who was said to have "deep misgivings" and viewed the situation as "a Vietnam that would compromise health-care reform." "
April 1, 2008 1:57 PM | Reply | Permalink
the slate article is a simplified caricature of what happened in the clinton admin. there was serious opposition from the un, europe, the republicans, the press and the public for us military involvement in bosnia. the press and the un went as far to say that clinton was exaggerating the death tolls in bosnia. it was only after the srebrenica massacre that there was enough political will to organize nato. of course, this was all hillary's fault. give me a break!
April 1, 2008 2:39 PM | Reply | Permalink
You're right, it is excessive to lay all of that at her feet. However, if she's going to campaign on her husband's presidency, she's going to be taken to task for what went wrong too. Hence I can't buy the argument that she somehow has less skeletons in her closet than Barack and would therefore be a stronger general election candidate.
April 1, 2008 3:13 PM | Reply | Permalink
i don't think anyone is making the argument about who has the larger quantity of skeletons. that would be silly season. the fact is that they both have skeletons but hillary's skeletons for the most part have stuck because she's been in the public eye for a longer period of time. obama's skeletons have not found traction yet.
April 1, 2008 4:36 PM | Reply | Permalink
I sure as hell wouldn't want to be Hillary's VP. I mean can you imagine having to go out there and defend stuff like her Sniper Fire story? Not fun.
April 1, 2008 1:58 PM | Reply | Permalink
What else did Nuff say? He sounds like a voice of reason.
April 1, 2008 2:03 PM | Reply | Permalink
"The underlying dynamic appears to be that a lot of Clinton supporters like Obama, with 53% favoring him as her vice president. But Obama supporters don't particularly like Clinton — only 29% of Obama voters would want Hillary as his running mate." - Eric Kleefeld
And yet, polls show more Obama supporters are willing to vote for Hillary than vice-versa.
Huh. Once again, Eric doesn't do the research he gets paid to do, and we have to fill in.
I think TPM needs a new motto: "Come for the ridiculous headlines... stay for the conversation."
April 1, 2008 2:03 PM | Reply | Permalink
Eric is an idealistic young guy who works long hours for little pay because he believes in politics and the Progressive agenda. All you do is post snarky comments. Get your own blog and hire whomever you like, SC. Eric does a good job around here. You're lucky Josh didn't see your comment.
April 1, 2008 9:33 PM | Reply | Permalink
Hillary had a chance at VP but blew it with her kitchen-sink, endorse-MCCain, not-sure-if-he's-not-Muslim garbage.
April 1, 2008 2:04 PM | Reply | Permalink
and the blatant racism, and the lying about his record on abortion, and saying he worked with a 'slum lord', saying Obama's an empty suit, and on and on. I don't understand the respect Clinton gets at TPM, she is a terrible politician. its like everyone feels forced to be nice to her like they're under some kind of threat or something. seriously what, of any use, has she done as a politician? where are her accomplishments? why the constant assumption on the TPM frontpage that she'd be a 'great president'? what evidence is there for this anywhere?
April 1, 2008 3:01 PM | Reply | Permalink
Obama's approval rating isn't something to write home about either.
April 1, 2008 2:04 PM | Reply | Permalink
More popular than Hillary...
April 1, 2008 2:32 PM | Reply | Permalink
There is no way in hell that Clinton could possibly be VP on an Obama ticket. Like them or not, her and her husband are very powerful within the Democratic Party. If she chose, and at this point I'm no longer putting anything past her, she could undermine the Office of the President from the VP position like no one ever before her. And that includes Cheney. Obama could very quickly find himself in a position here he's fighting against his own VP for support within the party, and that's absolutely no way to run the county.
Pelosi hit the nail on the head. Clinton's endorsing McCain over Obama killed any possibility of a so-called Dream Ticket. When Barack wins the nomination, it needs to be an Obama administration no questions asked.
April 1, 2008 2:04 PM | Reply | Permalink
The numbers could also suggest a higher level of intellegence (and strategy) on part of the Obama voter.
If Obama is the nominee, he doesn't need Clinton. He needs someone like Tim Kaine, putting Virginia in play.
If Obama can win Virginia and one southern state (GA, SC, NC, or LA), and make the assumption he wins MN, IA, MO, WI, CO & NM. Then assume McCain captures FL, MI & OH, but everything else breaks the same way it did in '04, guess what? Obama wins.
April 1, 2008 2:07 PM | Reply | Permalink
From your lips to God's own ears, but I do not know that I would start from that assumption right now. I will be working hard to turn MO blue this fall, but right now the signs are not good. That is why I would like to see him take Claire McCaskill as his running mate. She could not only help him to carry MO, it would get her out of the Senate so that we Missourians would not have to cringe everytime we see her on the t.v. with the label "D-MO" next to her name. It would also remove one vote from the Senate constituency for retroactive telecom immunity.
April 1, 2008 2:30 PM | Reply | Permalink
I wasn't aware of the fact the McCaskill was so popular in MO. I seem to recall her 2006 election being a bit of a cliff hanger, with her beating a lame, first-term Rebublican by 50/47 or something like that. Not exactly impressive. Same for Webb, who barely squeaked in, although sporting fine Republican credentials. I don't recall Webb endorsing anyone yet, but maybe I missed it. So many important delegates rallying to Obama every day and all. If Clinton pulls this out, McCaskill is going to be in an interesting position. Unless all the comments about how vindictive the Clintons are are the usual echo chamber bullshit.
April 1, 2008 9:02 PM | Reply | Permalink
I've said it before, I'll say it again - Kaine will NOT work as VP. Arguably the main issue on which McCain will attack Obama is national security and his short U.S. Senate record.
It's far more important that Obama have a VP with strong foreign policy/national security credentials - Biden, Hagel, even Roemer - than a governor of any state, with the singular exception being Bill Richardson, let alone one with merely two years in office.
April 1, 2008 2:40 PM | Reply | Permalink
I like Jim Webb, myself. Though, it might not make a lot of sense to remove a democratic Senator, given the Dems razor-thin margins.
April 1, 2008 2:58 PM | Reply | Permalink
PA McCain +2
NJ McCain +1
MA tied
MI McCain +1
VA McCain +11
WI McCain +2
MO McCain +15
NC McCain +9
NH McCain +3
April 1, 2008 3:06 PM | Reply | Permalink
You are kind of cherry picking polls there, no? Many of those states (NH and WI for instance) show Obama winning in some polls and losing in others.
April 1, 2008 3:33 PM | Reply | Permalink
The real question is how is McCain, a Republican tied to the most impeachable President in history, proponent of the 100 year occupation, proponent of reaganomics and all things Reagan, dottering, parctically senile -- how is he beating both of our so-called candidates in so many polls in so many states? There is trouble in the echo chamber. Something is wrong. Could TPM world be little out of touch with reality? The only way the delusional makes sense is if this primary campaign isn't about winning the general at all. If it's just a fight for control of the Democratic Party, the enthusiasm and optimism on both sides make sense. Otherwise, this race is a disaster.
April 1, 2008 9:22 PM | Reply | Permalink
Senator Obama can not put Hillary on the ticket for one clear reason. It is the Elephant in the room. Once you have Hillary as VP, that makes her President of the Senate, and you would also have Big Foot Bill running his mouth off across the globe. Why on earth would a President Obama want to have to deal with the constant policy pronouncements by the husband of his VP. You can not let Big Foot Bill get his foot in the door. That is why Senator Obama can not put Hillary Rambo Clinton, The Heroine of Tuzla, on the ticket.
April 1, 2008 2:16 PM | Reply | Permalink
The Clintons are nothing but bullies.
You are so right Liam, what is the advantage to Obama to have these 2 vipers on the ticket and in his administration setting up minefields and clusterbombs all over the political landscape.
The Clintons are trying to bully their way onto the ticket they are strongarming and taking down whomever need be to wrestle this nomination from Obama.
What is the schoolyard rule for how to deal with Bullies?
Doesn't anyone remember the rules for bullies?
April 1, 2008 2:34 PM | Reply | Permalink
Obama doesn't want it.
April 1, 2008 2:36 PM | Reply | Permalink
Wonder how much the Clinton camp paid to have this BS put on this site.What crap!
April 1, 2008 2:27 PM | Reply | Permalink
Probably has nothing to do with LIKING Hillary -- it's more about how the Two would WORK together.
Hillary would be a Cheney and she's not what Obama says he's taking to Washington ----CHANGE
April 1, 2008 2:29 PM | Reply | Permalink
Hillary couldn't possibly be a Cheney. Cheney is to Bush as Edgar Bergen is to Charlie McCarthy.
That couldn't possibly happen with Obama.
April 1, 2008 2:45 PM | Reply | Permalink
Not in the same way, but as a Clinton, she has the loyalty of countless DLC members, not to mention those that "owe" their careers to her husband.
And most importantly of all, her ties to all the big money people who Democrats still rely on for party contributions. They've already shown how far they're willing to go to support Clinton, so I can't see any reason why they wouldn't lean on Democratic Congressional members in the event of a potential power struggle with Obama. Thought the primary got ugly and divisive? Ask Al Gore about waging a behind the scenes power struggle with Hillary.
No, Hillary Clinton needs to be kept far away from Vice President. And just about everyone involved realizes this.
April 1, 2008 3:11 PM | Reply | Permalink
Hillary accidentally shot Sinbad in the face while hunting for Snipe-ers, yeah that's the ticket, Snipers at Tuzla Airport in Bosnia.
April 1, 2008 3:56 PM | Reply | Permalink
advice to gotalife: getabrain.
April 1, 2008 2:35 PM | Reply | Permalink
Anna: It is a catch 22 situation for gotalife. In order to understand that he needs a brain, he would first have to have one.
April 1, 2008 2:49 PM | Reply | Permalink
That most would prefer a Hillary/Obama ticket rather than the other way around is hardly news, ad it makes sense. The loud and vocal supporters' claims notwithstanding, it should have been obvious to anyone who's frequented these forums for some time that Hillary's supporters have generally been more accommodating and accepting of Obama than his supporters have been of Hillary.
A Hillary/Obama ticket would not only win easily, but it also makes sense, in addition to being great politics: It would ensure a Dem lock on the White House for years to come because Obama, as VP would be the overwhelming favorite to win the Dem nomination and the presidency in 2016, as his current weakness - the lack of experience - would not be an issue 8 years from now. I do not see Obama beating McCain, regardless of who he picks as his running mate...
April 1, 2008 2:37 PM | Reply | Permalink
I am really trying not to antagonize Clinton supporters, so I hope that this does not come across the wrong way, but I really cannot let the "as VP [Obama] would be the overwhelming favorite to win the Dem nomination and the presidency in 2016" line pass without comment.
It is fairly uncommon for the party in control for eight years to win a third term. Bush did it in 1988, but before that the last time it had happened was Roosevelt and that was a highly exceptional circumstance (to say the least). We surely all remember the very steep fight that Gore faced in 2000, and that during a record period of peace and prosperity. In other words, the VP would not be an overwhelming favorite to win in 2016 if a democrat won this year and 2012. You are peddling spin and sparkle here, not substance.
April 1, 2008 3:16 PM | Reply | Permalink
In addition, who's to say there wouldn't be some other young challenger to the throne? It's ridiculous to say Obama should demur for eight years when he can win the presidency now.
April 1, 2008 5:06 PM | Reply | Permalink
Unlike many of the Obama supporters posting here, I don't really have anything against Hillary (except the divisive campaign tactics and her willingness to hit Obama instead of McCain). However, while I am saddened for the HRC fans out there, I don't think Hillary adds to the ticket as VP, any more than she stands a better chance of winning the GE than Obama. BHO would probably be better off with someone from the Clinton camp who isn't HRC (Wes Clark, for instance). Healing after this entire process has shaken out is very important, but regrettably, I think that putting Hill on the ticket endangers the Dems' prospects for beating McCain too much to be risked.
April 1, 2008 2:41 PM | Reply | Permalink
Very telling that gotalife's "Obama's Lies" link is predicated on incredibly rank anti-Muslim sentiment. I wouldn't attribute any of this to the Clinton campaign, but it's definitely not the type of outlook I would ever care to validate at the ballot box.
April 1, 2008 2:44 PM | Reply | Permalink
I really think you might have missed the message a bit on this one Eric. Doesn't it make more sense to think that:
A. Many Clinton supporters are OK with Clinton/Obama because it puts their candidate in her "rightful" position and still gives the nod the future of the party.
B. Many Obama supporters, if given no other choice and Clinton was the nominee, would rather settle for an Obama VP slot than nothing at all - their guy is still very much in the game and in position to move up in eight years.
On the converse:
C. Many Clinton supporters cannot/will not envision her in a second fiddle role and therefore would not support an Obama/Clinton ticket. They would rather see her pursue other avenues.
D. Likewise, Obama supports would feel like that Clinton as VP is unecessarily tying Obama to the past (and her baggage) - not to mention dealing with the mindboggling detail of having an ex-president as your VPs spouce - and would offer very few advantages.
In other words, I think the "underlying dynamic" has much more to do with what is viewed as making "sense" from a logical-order-of-the-universe standpoint than it does with supporter's level of like or dislike of the opposing candidate.
April 1, 2008 2:47 PM | Reply | Permalink
To your B), above: she can't win (especially if people in her own party believe that she "stole" a nomination). Obama's joining a loosing ticket would leave him with the same stench of loser that permeated from Edwards. Besides that, if she did manage to "win" in the GE, would Obama really want to run for Pres at some later date after being a part of that administration?
How did that work out for Gore?
April 1, 2008 3:09 PM | Reply | Permalink
The biggest thing missing in your analysis TNObaman is that Obama is the anti-Hillary candidate to many within the Democratic party.
Hillary never had a lock on the party base. From the very beginning almost 50% of Democrats did not want Hillary as the nominee nor on the ticket.
That is a huge part of the problem here. Hillary has been unacceptable from the very beginning to most of the Democratic base.
Democrats opposed Hillary for valid reasons. Her vote against the war. She was so rude about that she even told members of the party who disagreed with her on her vote, to vote for someone else as she was not going to apologize for it. She believes that Bush mismanaged the war not that she was wrong to abdicate the power of Congress to bush by voting to give him carte blanche authority to wage war. that is a big issue for much of the Democratic base.
Hillary also voted for the bankruptcy bill which allows corporations and banks to declare bankruptcy but not consumers. That is a big deal today with homes foreclosing right and left. Banks are being bailed out but not consumers. Hillary voted to limit interest to 30% which is far to high as we can see right now with consumers having credit card debt they are drowning in as the fees and interest just keep being piled on. Hillary voted FOR this. Yet, she and Edwards crticized Obama in the debate for not voting to 'limit' the interest when the true story is that it was Usury and meant the consumers could not declare bankruptcy. It was awful for the consumers and Obama was right to vote against it.
Hillary is a warmonger and Dems knew that when she came out in support of the war and said that America was safer due to Bush's Iraq war. That was not a progressive position. Hillary wants universal health care but only if she has mandates. That is a sure fire killer of any such legislation and progressives know this and thus the base does not support her on it.
Hillary is in bed with the lobbyists and claims that 'they are Americans, too' she receives the most healtcare industry lobbyist dollars and the most defense industry lobbyist dollars. Which is why she insists on mandates as that means consumers will have to purchase healthcare which is mandatory profits for the healthcare industry. And she will keep America in perpetual war and allow the defense industry to continue to make obscene profits.
She even is unwilling to reduce taxes on the top 5% of incomes and Obama called her out on that in a debate as well.
Almost a majority of the Democratic base has solid reasons not to want Hillary on the ticket and that is why they are not willing to support an Obama/Hillary ticket.
Hillary supporters believe she is entitled to the Presidency on the basis of being MRS Bill Clinton and having toured 82 countries and sipping tea except in Bosnia where she encountered sniper fire.
Long standing democrats are fed up with her triangulating, obfuscating and fabricating.
She had her turn in the WH...she needs to get a leash and take Bill home.
April 1, 2008 3:10 PM | Reply | Permalink
come on TPM, following polls for real trends is one thing, but would you please, please stop with these silly, misleading, tabloid-esque analyses?
April 1, 2008 2:53 PM | Reply | Permalink
Great, Obama trolls will continue to ignore his negatives to lose three in a row.
Amazing.
April 1, 2008 2:57 PM | Reply | Permalink
Not really sure what you are referring to, as mentioned, this poll is pretty useless in determining the more popular candidate.
But I am curious: What would you think of your Princess Hillary if she lowered herself to tap Obama for VP?
April 1, 2008 3:05 PM | Reply | Permalink
It would be lowering the bar from Clark but whatever it takes to win. This cycle has energized the voters and that is not debatable.
What I post here is nothing compared to what the gop will do to your do nothing wrong Obama.
A taste of the future, if you will. My posts will pale in comparison. Try trolling at the RW blogs to see what I am saying.
They are salivating for a chance to crush Obama but are scared of the karma the Clintons bring back to the WH.
As they should be.
April 1, 2008 3:33 PM | Reply | Permalink
Actually, gotalife, you are throwing EXACTLY what the Republicans will.
And you've got nothing.
As opposed to Hillary, who has faced NO real attacks from the GOP yet, because they want her to win!
You're backing the wrong horse if you're concerned about GOP attacks.
April 1, 2008 3:48 PM | Reply | Permalink
Actually, they have a lot worse. He's not showing us Obama/Wright/9-11, Michelle/Wright/9-11, McCain/Obama/9-11. There is some pretty nasty stuff going around out there. And he's not even getting close to the affirmative action stuff. Remember how we found Bush's classmates and professors? Remember how they found swiftboaters? We haven't met the people who didn't get into Harvard law because the Obamas did yet. You have to believe that no matter how bad it gets it won't matter. Thinking they can't do worse is a bad bet. They always seem to be able to do a little worse.
April 1, 2008 8:09 PM | Reply | Permalink
I agree with the above comments: Having Hillary and Bill bustling around his administration is an absolute nightmare for Obama. Bill has proven that he cannot be controlled, most certainly not by his wife. Obama would need a special Secret Service detachment just to protect him from the Clinton's private plots.
What does he need?: 1.He needs someone with senior defense management experience, doesn't matter if its civilian or uniformed 2. He needs a woman, someone who can heal the wounds with Hillary's most adamant supporters 3. He needs someone who can assure him of victory in a very big swing state.
Can he get all three of these criteria in one person? Who? Or which potential VPs give two of the three?
I find the Obama/Webb combo particularly enticing.
April 1, 2008 3:05 PM | Reply | Permalink
Where's the poll on the real dream team:
McCain/Clinton '08?
She and Bill seem to have been publicly been CVing her for the job.
See, I wouldn't mind one bit seeing the campaign roll onward, IF, and that's such a big IF it's not a feasible idea, I don't think - they'd both concentrate on McCain and Bill would shut up.
If Hillary wants to tell us for real why we should elect her instead of Obama, ok. But she needs to bear in mind, we aren't all Republicans and some of us don't like all the love she and her husband have been giving right wingers and the Republican candidate for president. I don't like it at all and if she's going to continue to campaign like that I don't want it to go any further.
April 1, 2008 3:24 PM | Reply | Permalink
BINGO!
April 1, 2008 3:27 PM | Reply | Permalink
Great, Obama trolls will continue to ignore his negatives to lose three in a row.
Amazing.
Posted by gotalife
I take it your conceding that being a Muslim is, on its face, a negative?
April 1, 2008 3:29 PM | Reply | Permalink
No, that smear did not work for the gop.
You can thank his radical pastor for that.
Have you read about his new pastor?
April 1, 2008 3:46 PM | Reply | Permalink
Gallup: Dems Like Hillary/Obama Ticket, But Say "No" To Obama/Hillary
Kleefield having gleeful fun? How does the headline have anything to do with the way that story unfolds?
April 1, 2008 3:30 PM | Reply | Permalink
It comes down to a question of who get bring the volume.
In votes.
Massive lines at the polls.
A roll of the dice, certainly. But I'll go with Obama and his Sea of Youngsters over Hillary's Girlies.
April 1, 2008 3:43 PM | Reply | Permalink
Might the fact that Webb is a former Republican (yea, a Reagan cabinet secretary) embolden dissatisfied Republicans to support the ticket?
He's exorbitantly white, yet rose to his current eminence standing up to intolerance on the part of George Allen (who was, remember, not just any Republican but a favorite for the 2008 Presidential race, so Webb is already a giant-killer).
He's a military guy whose son went to Iraq as a Marine and yet a consistent opponent of the war.
He's a little hot-headed (I still like his being "rude" to GWB at that White House reception when Bush tried to glad-hand him over his "boy" in Iraq) in contrast to Obama's cool.
Am I missing something that would make him a less than superb Vice-Presidential nominee?
If only he were female. Has anybody approached him about having the "procedure"?
April 1, 2008 3:44 PM | Reply | Permalink
Could just be a question of whether Webb wants to be VP. Though Cheney certainly had his fair share of responsibilities, I feel like some politicians still view the position with skepticism.
April 1, 2008 5:00 PM | Reply | Permalink
I was going to type a long post explaining all the reasons it's obvious to anyone with a brain why Obama supporters want nothing to do with Hillary as VP, but you, vicissitudes, have pretty much covered it and covered it very well.
Thanks and ditto.
April 1, 2008 3:44 PM | Reply | Permalink
Coming to Network TV this fall, Clinton as the protagonist in "The Rime of the Ancient Mariner!"
Damned albatross.
April 1, 2008 4:00 PM | Reply | Permalink
You pick some one who can possible put a large swing State in play. I still predict that while the Democratic nominee has not yet been fully settled, that both Hillary and Obama will pick the same VP candidate. I predict that the VP candidate is, and will be the Governor of Ohio. Rendell is trying very hard to catch up to him, by delivering a similar margin as Ohio did. I am sticking to my prediction that I made before the Ohio Primary, that the Democratic Governor of Ohio will be the VP nominee, regardless whether Obama or Hillary get to do the selecting.
April 1, 2008 4:02 PM | Reply | Permalink
No, that smear did not work for the gop.
You can thank his radical pastor for that.
Have you read about his new pastor?
Posted by gotalife
Well, you seem rather sanguine about it. After all, you've linked to (and promoted) a website whose post prominent feature is intended to point out all the ways Barack Obama is really a Muslim.
April 1, 2008 4:11 PM | Reply | Permalink
Considering the abuse heaped on Obama supporters
1) Their states don't matter
2) They're undemocratic
3) They're ignorant sexists
4) They're brainwashed cultists
and that Clinton is happily taking a sledgehammer to the party it's no wonder they feel less than favorably disposed to it.
April 1, 2008 4:31 PM | Reply | Permalink
The headline is misleading. The poll shows that people like Obama more than Hillary. Could that possibly be why he is leading?
April 1, 2008 4:35 PM | Reply | Permalink
gotalife is just vetting Obama so he'll win in November.
We should all thank gotalife, because without him, we would need real Republican trolls.
April 1, 2008 4:38 PM | Reply | Permalink
Obama/Sebelius
April 1, 2008 4:47 PM | Reply | Permalink
Vicissitudes, I was not really trying to draw any conclusions on the support or lack thereof of Hillary by the Obama supporters. I was merely pointing out that I think the author of the original post may have misread the "message" of the polled question. When I looked at the numbers reported and thought about what people might have been thinking when they were asked the question, I just reached a diffent conclusion on the "logic" of the response. I actually strongly agree with your post and her negatives in these areas and her overall inability to change the overall calculus of the policitcal playing field are the core reasons for my Obama support. I just thought there was more at play in the particular dynamic of this question.
April 1, 2008 4:50 PM | Reply | Permalink
Hillary has so much baggage, she needs a black man to carry it for her? that seems to be the message. why on earth would dems want a proven serial liar to top the ticket?
April 1, 2008 6:41 PM | Reply | Permalink
Vissicitudes: Do you mean lower taxes on the bottom 5%?
Anyway, the whole Muslim/radical pastor argument that gotalife keeps pedaling. Clinton's own church in DC (the one they attended during both terms) put out a statement in support of Wright...Also, why don't you use the photo of Wright and Bill Clinton at his religious breakfast function as your little graphic? Just to be fair...
Wright has no doubt said some inflammatory things, but people make mistakes, say the wrong thing sometimes. Wright's anger was real, and it was about things that the US government had done etc. both to other nation and to African Americans in our history.
I think dissent is patriotic, so some of what he said I think most Americans can understand. I think the 9-11 comments went too far though. I think that the GOP wil use it and people like you will use it, but most people have enough common sense to dismiss it (and move on) for what it was-a pastor making some inflammatory, ranting and raving angry remarks at what he percieved to be injustice.
April 1, 2008 6:50 PM | Reply | Permalink
I WANT TO FIX HILLARY CLINTON FOR STAYING WITH BILL WHEN SHE SHOULD HAVE DIVORCED HIM OVER:
1. HIS ANTIMASTURBATION
2. HIS CHEATING ADULTERY
ALSO IM AGAINST HER NOT LISTENING TO ME ABOUT VOTING AGAINST THE ANTI POKER BILL (PHONE CALLS, LETTERS) AND RECEIVING FUNDING FROM HEALTH INSURANCE COMPANIES WHEN THEY ARE ALREADY OVERCHARGING AND AGE DISCRIMINATING. I ALSO BELIEVE LIKE JOE LIEBERMAN THAT BILL CLINTON SHOULD HAVE BEEN IMPEACHED AFTER ILLEGALLY CHEATING ON HIS WIFE.
April 1, 2008 7:16 PM | Reply | Permalink
Isn't it clear that as VP, Clinton would be underemployed while Obama as VP would get some OJT? She's too good to be VP. He would make a good one. Most Democrats see that. But they don't live in and breathe the rarified air of the echo chamber. Did I read that Indiana poll right? He's been on the air in Indiana for over a week. Where did his lead go?
April 1, 2008 9:29 PM | Reply | Permalink
Clinton/Obama is the only way dems can win in november. the Obamanoids have made it very personal with the Clintonistas, as some of the more rabid posts on here clearly show. so many Clinton supporters are going to desert the party. you can call'em all the names you want but if you could think rationally you'd see that.
and then the combination of the Wright thing, the un-American wife thing, and the new little bits of troubling information about Teh Chosen One that come out day by day is going to allow the GOP to make MINCEMEAT out of Obama. his only chance is with Clinton on the ticket.
altho I'm a Clinton supporter, I agree that she's lost this thing and that Obama will get the nomination. but I also think he doesn't have a prayer against McCain.
as far as what we "want" I think we should all start thinking a little more about what's good for our country and a little less about anointing our preferred candidate. let's face it: the party is split wide down the middle. if we truly want to get the republicans out of the white house, we all need to get over ourselves and put the top two candidates on the ticket. otherwise, it's McGovern in '72 all over again. or kerry. or dukakis. or mondale. or--I think I've made my point.
April 1, 2008 11:17 PM | Reply | Permalink
It's because the Obamabots really hate Hillary, but the Hillary supporters don't hate Obama.
April 1, 2008 11:33 PM | Reply | Permalink
So when are they going to pol which combination would do best in the GE?
April 2, 2008 8:30 AM | Reply | Permalink