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Top Hillary Supporter Bill Nelson To DNC: Time For A Florida Revote

This is interesting: Although the Clinton camp's official position is that they oppose a revote in Florida, a top Hillary supporter in the state just expressed support for the idea and confirmed he's pressuring the DNC to pay for it.

Senator Bill Nelson, on MSNBC a few moments ago, said:

"The Democrats in Florida want their votes counted under the principle of one person, one vote. And we're a little sensitive about our votes not being counted. And so, if the only way to do that is to do it over, then I would support that."

Nelson -- who'd previously said the original Jan. 29 primary was sufficient -- said he's opposed to the idea of Florida taxpayers picking up the tab for a new election. But interestingly, he revealed that he was pressing DNC chair Howard Dean to stage and pay for the revote:

"I have written to Howard Dean today to say, if you're not going to seat the Florida delegation, then pay for another election, and let's get the party unified, and let's get Florida and Michigan seated," Nelson said, adding that if the DNC doesn't get this resolved it faces a “train wreck.”

Party insiders take Nelson's declaration as a sign that the Hillary campaign is moving towards tacit -- and perhaps overt -- support for the idea, and perhaps is floating it through surrogates.

Separately, on the conference call today, Hillary spokesperson Howard Wolfson for the first time signaled an openness for a revote, though he didn't go nearly as far as Nelson did.

Late Update: Here's the video:


110 Comments

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Michigan is your basic Rust Belt state.

There are a few more A-As in Michigan than in OH (14% vs 11%), but otherwise, I'd expect that the demographics and culture of MI are very similar to that of OH.

And the poll in MI you referred to comprises only 600 voters, including both Republicans and Democrats, from MI itself, according to the account given. That's far too low to say anything meaningful about Dems, who would only comprise about 300 at most in the sample (margin of error would probably be about 6%).

I do not wish to make any firm predictions about the ultimate outcome in MI, but I think that your 14 vs 11% figure rather distorts the reality. African Americans are a larger portion of the democratic electorate in MI than in OH, even if only a slightly larger percentage of the overall population of MI and OH. According to 2004 exit polls fron CNN, African Americans made up 22.6% of the democratic vote in MI, but only 17.2% of the democratic vote in OH. Given that Sen Clinton only won by 10% in OH, the difference in A-A populations would eat up half of her lead right there. Meanwhile, Latinos are a larger share of the democratic electorate in OH than in MI, so that part of her lead is also nibbled away. Your confidence, as such, is admirable but perhaps misplaced.

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If you're going to pay attention to such small differences in demographics, how about paying attention to such obvious facts that

1. Obama no longer enjoys momentum as he did in OH
2. Obama out-spent Hillary by 2-1 (or more) in OH, which is not likely to be repeated in MI

I'd be pretty surprised if those changing factors don't very much favor Hillary. She was fighting an uphill battle in OH. She won't be doing so in MI.

O.k. a minute ago everything was demographics to you. MI=rustbelt; OH=rustbelt; ergo MI=OH. Now that I show that your analysis in this respect is misleading, you throw out demographics and switch to other factors like "momentum" (whatever that means) or spending comparisons (how the heck do you pretend to know whether or not he will outspend her in MI?). Fair enough. I suppose the important thing is that you feel psychologically comforted. I was simply trying to discuss real numbers. I apologize if this stepped on your daydream.

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This is the first time I have heard anyone describing a double digit advantage in the polls as an uphill battle.

Orwell would be proud.

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Also, by the chart I look at, MI actually has 4% of its population as Hispanic, whereas it's only 3% in OH, so that claim of yours about the Hispanic populations of MI and OH would seem to be false.

Your chart comes from Census Dept "current population survey" data. These data reflect total populations in a state, not in a state's electorate. The distinction is critical, especially when discussing a population like Hispanics, in which such a large number of them are not citizens. I was basing my data on CNN's 2004 exit polls, a source which only counts voters (the metric which is relevant to the present discussion).

Given that Sen Clinton only won by 10% in OH, the difference in A-A populations would eat up half of her lead right there.

Whoops, how embarrasing. That does not eat up half her lead. It eats up all her lead. That is to say Clinton won Ohio 54% to Obama's 44%. If we take 5% away from Clinton and give it to Obama, then she gets 49% and he gets 49%. All tied up.

Did anyone bother to ask him about his culpability in creating or at least enabling this train wreck? Or would that be too unfair or too tough on Senator Clinton and her supporters?

Party insiders take Nelson's declaration as a sign that the Hillary campaign is moving towards tacit -- and perhaps overt -- support for the idea, and perhaps is floating it through surrogates.

That's funny. I took it as a sign that Bill Nelson is doing what Bill Nelson has always done and will always do, protecting his own ass with/from his constituients at all costs, no matter what ally or principle has to sacrificed to that noble cause.

Great move! Let the DNC pick up the tab for a revote that they know Clinton will win or seat the delegates based on the election already held. This puts the ball in DNC's court to either put up or shut up. Will Dean pay for a new set? Either way, Clinton will get her Florida delegates.

For once I agree with Matthew Weaver. A re-vote serves everyone's interests. The DNC does not have to punish FL and MI for breaking the rules, nor punish everyone else by letting these two states get away with their transgression. The voter's voices get to be heard and the candidates get to win or lose according to the voters' will at the end of fair fight. It is easily worth the monetary cost to the DNC, as this is the only way that everyone wins and nobody loses.

Indeed, if the DNC needs funds to finance this re-vote, I know that I would happily chip in.

Even though Obama didn't campaign there, Hillary didn't beat him by very much. You could seat Florida's delegates as-is and it wouldn't really change the math in her favor, she still can't win. And if Obama is actually given a chance to vote, and without Edwards in the race, Obama is probably going to be close to Hillary, so Florida will mean nothing.

The DNC has been offering to pay for a revote ever since Florida completed this exercise in arrogant assholery.

The only thing is changed is that Florida's pols have recently begun to come around to the realization that maybe their state isn't too important to have to abide by those pesky ol' rules they previously agreed to, and maybe, just possibly, the voters of the state might actually put the blame for this massive clusterf**k onto the people who are actually blameworthy.

Intellectually and morally, I'm all for revotes, or, I should say, actual elections, in both states. But, emotionally, the "we're so big and important we don't have to follow the rules and we're utterly confident there will be no consequences" attitude both states copped in this mess really pushed my buttons from the start.

By the way, 2:1 that before the end of next week, Hillary will come out for a revote in Florida, but opposes one in Michigan on the grounds that Michigan's pro-Hillary governor doesn't want one. There's always a noble principle animating whatever is best for Hillary. It's the one constant of this campaign.

Yes, you see, if FL doesn't get a seat, every Dem in the state will vote for McCain in November, right?

When she didnt think she needed them she didnt give a shit about them but now....

It seems the only solution to all this is to allow new primaries in Michigan and Fla.

All candidate were on the ballot in Fla. so there seems to be less of an argument there. But they need to allow those votes to be counted. If they will not, then they need to allow a new primary. NOT caucus but a PRIMARY which is the only real fair way to vote and allow all people a shot at voting.

Yes, hopefully undemocratic caucuses will never be a part of any future election process. They may have had a historic place a century ago but not in today's society. No one has time and it disenfranchises working and family voters.

Well, in that respect, dear Raeka, you are doomed to be disappointed. The re-vote will be a caucus, not a primary. That much is not only certain but unavoidable. The state is the only body that can run a primary, and the state is not going to run this show. It will be a caucus, run by the party. On the upside, "caucus" does not have to mean "two hours on a Wednesday evening of publically declaring a loyalty." One can have a caucus by secret ballot from morning until night. As such, if what you are insisting on is the word "primary," you cannot win, but if all you mean is that there should be a secret ballot and a long window of opportunity to participate, you will almost certainly get your wish.

The battle is for congressional districts--and delegates--not states. But if Hillary continues to "win" the "big" states, her supporters will demand the superdelegates overturn Obama's pledged delegate advantage. This can only end in tears.

Wait a second, on what is this "Clinton formally opposes a Florida revote" claim based? On NPR this morning, they said exactly the opposite. They claimed that Clinton's campaign was formally backing a re-vote, while Obama's campaign had merely expressed that it had no objection to such a strategy. Was NPR wrong?

Come on Obama.....lets have a re-vote...if you have the balls. She'll kick your ass again. The adults are running the show now.....and nobody cares about the lame tax returns you idiots......Repubfishing trips.

Obama's campaign (at least according to NPR this morning) has already agreed that it has no objection to a re-vote. Why are you phrasing this as a challenge to the Obama campaign. Both campaigns have already agreed to this. The only two parties that could stand in the way are 1) the DNC and 2) the Florida Democratic party.

Your bullshit blustering aside, I totally agree with a re-vote with one caveat. I would say in connection with Senator Clinton and key members of her staff taking lie detector tests to prove that they had nothing to do with Michigan and Florida moving up their primaries in violation of DNC rules, they should agree to the revote--at Florida and Michigan's sole expense.

I love vetting.

Even though Obama didn't campaign there, Hillary didn't beat him by very much. You could seat Florida's delegates as-is and it wouldn't really change the math in her favor, she still can't win. And if Obama is actually given a chance to vote, and without Edwards in the race, Obama is probably going to be close to Hillary, so Florida will mean nothing.

And Republican fishing trips? Wanting tax returns is Republican fishing trips? Funny, Hillary used to think tax returns were important:

http://weblogs.newsday.com/news/local/longisland/politics/blog/2008/03/flashback_hrc_once_thought_tax.html

Ooohhh, look at that, the Hillbot has a hypocrite for a queen. Tisk tisk Kefa...maybe you should spend a little less time swallowing HRC talking points and a little more time knowing what the hell you are talking about.

And do we really want to talk Republicanesque methods with Miss Rove in the race? Give me a break you hypocrite.

You don't care that the presidential candidate doesn't want you to see her tax returns?

you are an idiot to think there will be anything in those tax returns that will hurt her...she will release them and you will need a towel to wipe egg off your face

Come on Obama.....lets have a re-vote...if you have the balls. She'll kick your ass again. The adults are running the show now.....and nobody cares about the lame tax returns you idiots......Repubfishing trips.

Even though Obama didn't campaign there, Hillary didn't beat him by very much. You could seat Florida's delegates as-is and it wouldn't really change the math in her favor, she still can't win. And if Obama is actually given a chance to vote, and without Edwards in the race, Obama is probably going to be close to Hillary, so Florida will mean nothing.

And Republican fishing trips? Wanting tax returns is Republican fishing trips? Funny, Hillary used to think tax returns were important:

http://weblogs.newsday.com/news/local/longisland/politics/blog/2008/03/flashback_hrc_once_thought_tax.html

Ooohhh, look at that, the Hillbot has a hypocrite for a queen. Tisk tisk Kefa...maybe you should spend a little less time swallowing HRC talking points and a little more time knowing what the hell you are talking about.

And do we really want to talk Republicanesque methods with Miss Rove in the race? Give me a break you hypocrite.

I don't recall anything that prevented Florida and Michigan from holding their presidential nominating contests in compliance rules. Barring that, I can't see any justification for paying for their decision to violate the same rules they agreed to (especially when they had an opportunity to make the necessary changes on the front-end).

I agree to the rules, only insofar as that agreement suits my particular needs. To the extent those needs change, I reserve the right not only to disavow my agreement, but how you accountable for my decision to do so.

How very Clintonian.

Sure, it is unfair that the DNC (or the campaigns) should have to pay good money to bail out the idiots in the Florida and Michigan governments who made this cock up. Guess what - life is not fair.

We are looking at an electoral train wreck. Not seating FL and MI, rules notwithstanding, would be a disaster. Now we have a way forward where MI and FL can be seated without breaking the rules (and thus without slighting the other states which obeyed the rules). If the only thing needed to achieve this felicitous outcome is that the party agrees to pick up the tab, it will be a small price to pay. Everyone (except the republicans, that is) should be behind this effort. Obama and Clinton supporters alike have good reason to want a re-vote.

Again, that's not the DNC's problem. That's Michigan and Florida's problem. As you said, life isn't fair. They created the mess, they should pay to rectify the mess. Seems rather straight forward to me.

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The justification is that the purpose of the whole process is to win in November. Having no delegates from FL and MI arguably hurts that purpose, and having state Democratic parties with depleted funds hurts it as well.

It's annoying that someone else has to pay to clean up their rulebreaking, but it's important to keep the big picture in mind. Of course, depleting the DNC's funds is bad for November, too, so I hope a plan can be worked out that spreads the cost around a bit and doesn't let the state parties off the hook (especially in Michigan, where they can't blame a Republican legislature.)

I'm all about big picture. Michigan and Florida broke the rules. Michigan and Florida should bear the cost of breaking those rules. It's really simple folks.

Sure, your argument is simple, fair and nonetheless completely wrongheaded. Slighting large swing states does no one any great favors. Better to be magnanimous about it and win than be relentlessly fair and lose.

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That's not the big picture, that's cutting off your nose to spite your face. Would you rather have the financial burden fall on the people who deserve it, at the expense of losing congressional races because the state party doesn't have the funds to support them?

I agree it's unfair, and it pisses me off to be put in this position, but at the end of the day I'd rather follow the path that gets us a Democratic president and the biggest possible majority in Congress (as long as it doesn't screw us long-term by declaring that the rules can be broken with impunity, by just seating the delegates.)

Hey, how about this solution -- the states pay for the re-vote, but the DNC may end up sending more money there in the fall in the process of getting resources where they're needed? End result for the big picture is the same, but state officials don't get to strut around saying their "demands" were met.

(Probably won't happen, though.)

Come on Obama.....lets have a re-vote...if you have the balls. She'll kick your ass again. The adults are running the show now.....and nobody cares about the lame tax returns you idiots......Repubfishing trips.

"the adults are running the show now..."

BUSH V.2 IS EXCELLENT NEWS!! FOR HILLARY!!!

I love idiotic (almost as much as FlyOnTheWall)

I has finally dawned on me that Hillary's supporters don't understand how the Democratic primaries work. They actually think you can "win" a state. For the trillionth time: state line are arbitrary markings with no meaning in this contest. Only congressional districts matter. Should a revote occur, Obama will win his fair share--in Florida or anywhere else. He might even win more.

Well, it wouldn't be the first time Hillary supporters are ignorant of facts.

For the record, I support a recount. Should help solidify Obama's victory, with no asterisks.

and with how you treated the people of Mich and the drip...drip....drip of Rezko you can kiss Michigan goodbye too

Fine, glad to hear that you feel confident. If everyone is sure that Clinton will win handily this time around, then surely there can be no objection to allowing Obama and Clinton to compete on a fair and level playing field in these two states and letting the chips fall where they will.

Huh? How did Obama dis Michigan?

Granholm is a Clinton Supporter I thought? Didn't she get campaign contributions from Hsu at Clinton's direction? When does his trial start again?

the drip...drip...drip of Rezko co-defendants giving contributions to Hillary?

I AGREE!!

I don't get this at all. How is it an insult to the people of Michigan to support a re-vote that actually includes the candidates on the ballot?

As for Rezko, keep pushing it all you want, its a non-story that has gained no traction.

I do not to take the time to track down the post, but I hope that everyone remembers that Fly on the Wall predicted that Clinton's campaign would realize in March that the Florida and Michigan delegations would not be seated based on the Jan primaries and would come around to demanding a re-vote. In other words, Fly on the Wall's predictions were spot on the money.

It really is amazing when you look at it. The head of the DNC is offering to cheat to help Hillary, and she's still going to whine about it before reluctantly accepting, because it doesn't help her enough.

Awesome.

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A re-vote is not "cheating." States are allowed to devise any method they want for allocating delegates that is within the agreed-upon rules. The delegates from the primaries are disallowed because the process used to determine them wasn't within the rules; it applies only that process, it's not a permanent punishment for having broken the rules. Establishing a new process for allocating the delegates is also within the rules.

I read somewhere that Hillary has 20 staffers working fulltime on the superdelegates--threats of cement shoes etc. It really is a mafia run by sorority mother.

I hate disagreeing with Greg, but it's not like this moeny comes out of nowhere. Every cent we spend helping HRC prolong this farce is money we don't have to support other democratic candidates in other races. I want to *smash* the republicans in every race this year.

Find a way to do it that doesn't involve hurting the rest of the democrats and I'll go for it.

Well, that's a good point.

I think the Republicans should pay for the re-vote in Florida, since they're the ones who moved the primary, right?

Well, I dispute your dichotomy. Is this money, if it is spent to fund re-votes, not being used to help smash republicans? It seems to me that carrying large swing states is a big part of smashing the republicans. As such, money spent to help us to carry big swing states in the fall is money spent to help smash republicans. I do not disagree that I would rather spend this money some other way, but that is simply as much as to say that I would rather than MI and FL had never taken this road. That djini, however, is already out of the bottle. Best to deal with the reality as it presents itself and spend the money necessary in order not to alienate critical swing voters in electoral vote rich states. It is the least bad of our present options (insisting that these states pay for it themselves is not really an option, as they cannot afford it).

My choice? I'd tell Obama and HRC if they want the delegates then they need to fund the caucuses out of their campaign money 50/50. The states run it to keep it fair. The money is still gone, but it engenders good will from the people who lost out because they have stupid party officials.

The REAL problems with re-votes is this:

Let's say Hillary wins Florida and Michigan both, but not by nearly as much as previous votes.

Let's say Florida goes 56 - 44 for Hillary and Michigan goes 55 - 45 (remembering that Obama wasn't on MI ballot)

When the delegates are divided up from the new elections and Hillary's projected amount goes DOWN, what's to keep her campaign from whining about that and threatening lawsuits demanding that the first results must be seated as is???

Imagine should Obama win Michigan and/or Florida. What then???

The ONLY way to have the re-vote is for both candidates to make a televised pledge that they will both abide by the new votes and sign a LEGAL contract that states in no uncertain terms that they will offer no challenges to the results.

Short of that, I see this being a Cluster-F*ck of epic proportions.

You mean something like the pledge Hillary signed with VT, SC and IA that she wouldn't campaign in Florida? The one she started laying the ground to break the day before SC and broke about fifteen minutes after?

I guess my point was that no matter what happens, Hillary is going to try to change the rules mid-stream unless they're on camera and legally obligated to abide by the new primaries/caucuses.

Their parsing now revolves around the agreement being a pledge (not a legally binding document).

Personally, I think the DNC should split the FL and MI delegates 50/50, allow them to participate and be heard, but not affect the outcome. They broke the rules, they knew they broke the rules and did it any way.

Short of that, letting them re-vote must be done in such a way to prevent Hillary from saying "Best 3 out of 5, best 4 out of 7, etc."

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I really don't see this as a problem. If they got more in the illegitimate primaries, the Clinton campaign may try to make that support part of their appeal to the supers, but trying it with the Rules our Credentials committee would get them laughed out of the room.

The delegates are currently disallowed because the primary was in violation of the DNC rules. A "re-vote" would simply be conducting a delegate selection process within the rules. There can be a "do over" only because the primary vote doesn't exist as far as the delegate selection rules are concerned. Once you have delegates selected by a valid process, there is no basis for doing it again.

Sure. Indeed, when I expressed entheusiasm for a re-vote above, I took it as a given that this was the necessarily understood pre-condition. Any re-vote must be premised on a legally binding agreement of all campaigns to abide by the new results. If such an agreement can be extracted from all parties, then the re-vote is a no-go from the start.

Wow Kefa, you are just juvenile.
How is it fair to Obama to hold a revote of the states who were, by a vote of the whole DNC, justly punished for breaking the rules?

Why should the entire democratic party and the candidates be punished because those states knowingly broke the rules with full knowledge of the consequences.

Interesting that MI and FL tried to break the rules to become more important, and now are trying to re-break the rules to be important again.

Kefa meet Logic.

Its not fair, but he is a typical Hillary minion, so reality doesn't matter a whole lot.

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What interests me is to see how the Obama campaign tries to play the do-over possibility. They must absolutely dread the possibility, unless they can manage to get another hokey caucus working for them.

At the same time, they can't quite take a dump on democracy, either.

I wonder if we aren't going to see some very amusing antics.

Some how, I rather doubt they "dread" it, no matter how much you guys wish it was true. The numbers Michigan, where she was the only person on the ballot, and in Florda, where she was the only one campaigning, indicate that, at best, she'd pull of exactly the same kind of "victories" she managed Tuesday when she netted herself a total of four delegates.

Agreed.

Michigan isn't nearly as Clinton-friendly as Ohio or Pennsylvania. Obama will draw huge in Ann Arbor, Lansing, Detroit.

I think the fact that uncommitted drew 40+% against Hillary doesn't bode well for her in the Wolverine State.

I would imagine that Obama might win Michigan by quite a bit.

What in the heck are you talking about?

Don't ask. Even Frankly0 doesn't know what Frankly0 is talking about.

If there is a revote in Florida and Michigan to seat the full delegation, and the DNC pays for it, then not only would there be no negative consequences to those states for moving their primaries so far ahead, they would actually gain influence by voting later (likely after Pennsylvania, and perhaps North Carolina).

That's not a message the DNC should want to send if it wants to keep some sort of control over states for the 2008 calendar. Any revote scenario must include some sort of punishment for the states that tried to move up, otherwise states will feel free to ignore the national party on scheduling.

Re-vote agree.

Urge Obama to actually lead on the re-vote. In other words, join Clinton on this because it is the right thing to do.

Chip-in money is something I would do. Agree with Greg that life is not fair.

Obama needs to show he can win females and older voters since these two groups are the damned majority of our electorate. Hillary needs to show that she can win men and younger voters since these two groups are damned important to our future as a party.

I want these two states included so these two candidates can prove they have what it takes. I am an adamant Obama supporter who is disappointed that he seems to lack the flexibility to retool his campaign. Hillary did that and it worked. Obama needs to not just attract females and older voters, he needs to get them to vote for him--instead these voters are breaking to Hillary. He either fixes that or he becomes the VP candidate, or returns to life as a Senator.

My two cents...

I am an adamant Obama supporter who is disappointed that he seems to lack the flexibility to retool his campaign.

Hm, this seems a bit premature and overly harsh to my mind. How do you know that he lacks such flexibility. It was only a few days ago that it became clear that re-tooling was in order. If he cannot do better by PA, then that might indicate that he lacks the flexibility, but it is too soon to say as yet.

Incidentally, how did it come to pass that on the evening of Mar 4 you were saying that Clinton had already lost and it was just a matter of time before she realized it, and by the morning of Mar 5 you were saying that Obama needs to shape up or else his '08 presidential campaign was finished? What changed in those few hours to so dramatically alter your outlook?

Why Clinton Needs FL and MI

There is a simple cold calculation behind her insistance. Read about it in Elana Schor's post at The Guardian

http://blogs.guardian.co.uk/usa/2008/03/why_clinton_needs_fl_and_mi.html


PS I'm new at this blogging thing and I apologize if the link is not active

Felix

"Did anyone bother to ask him about his culpability in creating or at least enabling this train wreck? Or would that be too unfair or too tough on Senator Clinton and her supporters?"

Unfair to her delicate sensitivities. You know, when the MSM gets too hard, she cries and shouts "sexism".

Meanwhile, she sharpens her knives and sends out her attack dogs on Obama. If he fights back, it's either "sexism" or the ugly spector of an "Aggressive black man" harming her Whiteness.


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Finally, I think that it should be BOTH FL and MI, not just FL. That is classic Clinton CHERRY PICKING.

Remember how OH and TX are "important" states. NYT calls them "big wins", etc. Somehow the 27 primaries he wins are discounted. Michigan looks favorable to Obama, Florida to her, so they should be linked: Both or neither.


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The problem for Hillary is that if she forces a revote in Florida, she has to do it in Michigan too .... and Hillary's chances of winning Michigan are somewhere between zero and zilch. Michigan has such a large black population that Jesse Jackson won the state in 1988.

A few things:

Facts change with time, and now these states really could play a big role in the election (as they wanted originally!)...and if I lived there, I'd want to participate. But, these states also broke the rules. So, clearly the voting as it occurred outside the rules can't count.

However, let them vote again. Why not? Keep everyone happy. It seems like the only fair, peaceful option at this stage. Let the candidates campaign and get their messages out and have a real vote. We kind of need those results to find a candidate! Who knew?

Democrats who threaten to vote for McCain because of this mess shock me. Really? I can understand that you are upset, I would be, but try to keep a broader outlook than that, please? For the country's sake. Yikes.

Also, reading these comments is a bit sad. Hillary and Obama are both AMAZING. Everyone has flaws, but we are so lucky as a party to have these two exceptional candidates! I want them to run together in some way. They would be unstoppable. Obama is my preference, but I adore Hillary, too, and it is really discouraging to see all of this bickering within the party over two extraordinary people.

Correction to my above post - I meant to say the 2012 election calendar, not 2008.


The GOP handled this better: they let Michigan and Florida vote early, but they stripped them of half their delegates. So there were normal, contested elections on the GOP side, as even with half their delegates those states were too big to ignore. Had the Democrats done that, there still may be arguments by the side which did better that the full delegation should be seated at the convention, but at least then we could have confidence that the voters truly had their say.

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Heh. If the Dems had the same half-delegation rules as the GOP, the Republican Florida legislature probably wouldn't have moved up the primary at all, since from what I've heard, they did it to depress Democratic turnout to try to sneak through a ballot measure.

However, nothing happens in isolation. I wouldn't be surprised if the rule stripping all delegates was the price for the Iowa and New Hampshire folks not making a fuss about the early SC and NV contests.

In other words, it's all screwed up, but the elements are interconnected, so it's not necessarily as easy as it looks to fix one screwed-up piece.

"the problem for Hillary is that if she forces a revote in Florida, she has to do it in Michigan too .... and Hillary's chances of winning Michigan are somewhere between zero and zilch. Michigan has such a large black population that Jesse Jackson won the state in 1988."

She will try to do ONLY Florida.

I think we should do either FL and MI or don't seat them. Or just apportion it like the popular vote nationwide.

Revote in only Florida is CHERRY-PICKING!


If Florida wants a revote, they should be willing to pay for it, and should schedule it after all other contests, in order to not interfere with their outcomes.

Frankly, the best solution is simply to let the other states decide the winner, and to seat the delegates once all the other states and superdels have weighed in.

I totally agree that it has to be both or nothing...it didn't even occur to me that they'd do just one or the other. How is that fair??

Obama will win Michigan

Hillary will win Florida

It's only fair to revote BOTH.

Don't let HRC Cherry-pick states that "matter"

Remove doubt.

Michigan and Florida should
have a 'do over'.

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Howard Dean has already said that a re-vote is one option, he even made it sound like his preferred option. The only thing he ruled out was changing the rules in the middle of the game, and the rules already allow Florida and Michigan to hold a new contest. Hillary Clinton agreed to the DNC rules last year, when she assumed she'd win easily.

But then we have the question of just what kind of re-vote it should be. A full-fledged primary would be very expensive; if the DNC has to pay, that uses up money that would otherwise help to elect Democrats in local races around the country. A caucus would be cheaper, but the Clinton campaign is unlikely to agree to that, since they suck at caucuses (or, rather, Obama's superior organizing abilities allow him to dominate caucuses).

One possibility is an Oregon-style mail-in election. Just mail a ballot to all eligible voters (I don't know if Florida has open or closed primaries; that just changes who gets a ballot).

It would make me nervous to change the style of voting for the re-vote, whether it be mail-in or caucus...regardless of the outcome, someone will be squalling that it "wasn't fair." Mail will get lost, tampered with...who knows.
It seems VERY difficult to make people satisfied that the vote is fair and accurate. Blame 2004.

Take a look at Oregon. It has used voting by mail successfully for many years.

but will Florida go for it? That's the question.


*People who voted GOP in either state should be disqualified.

*BOTH FL and MI or neither. No cherry-picking.

Maybe it would be better if the Florida legislators ponied up for a new elelction, along with the governor who signed the bill.
I do think the fair option is to hold a new election, but Fl and Mi knew when they moved up their primaries what the consequenses would be and they should take some of the responsibility for correcting their mistake.

Why did Michigan and Florida spend millions on their primaries, if they knew they wouldn't count? Why did millions show up and vote in those states if it was for nothing? They wasted all of that money and time and they knew it didn't matter. That is the dumb part. Did they think that the DNC would change their minds?

Yes, and apparently they still do, with Florida threatening to leave the Presidential nominees off the ballot in the general (which is illegal, but that never stopped people from saying stupid things).

poor Florida, I do feel bad for them... (and Michigan too, but Florida always seems to get screwed by its own somehow)

As an Obama supporter, I have no problem with a revote here. It's the only fair thing to do if they want to seat the delegates.

Also fair to the democratic process, even though that was violated by MI and FL once. They got their spanking, now let them have their say.

howard dean says we cant change the rules but he already did change the rules

i have done some research and found something that all bloggers and reporters wont report........there were 5 states who broke DNC rules and only 2 are being punished.....the 5 states are IOWA, NH, SOUTH CAROLINA, FLORIDA AND MICHIGAN ....all 5 broke the DNC rules by moving and changing their primaries,,,,, why hasnt anyone brought this out and why are only 2 being punished

Can you please link to that report?

From wikipedia, which based its info on the DNC rules:

Following tradition, the 2008 primary season began with the Iowa caucus and the New Hampshire primary. The Nevada caucus and the South Carolina primary were the third and fourth contests sanctioned by the Democratic National Committee. Under the national committee's rules, no state was allowed to hold primaries or caucuses before February 5 with the exceptions of these four states.[19] However, Michigan and Florida also held early primaries. Under the existing rules, their delegates shall not be seated and shall not vote at the convention.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Democratic_Party_%28United_States%29_presidential_primaries%2C_2008#_note-14

http://www.democrats.org/a/2006/08/highlights_of_t.php

The new schedule is as follows:

Iowa holds the first-in-the-nation caucus on January 14.
New Hampshire holds the first-in-the-nation primary on January 22.
Nevada conducts a caucus between Iowa and New Hampshire on Saturday, January 19.
South Carolina holds a primary 1 week after the New Hampshire primary on Tuesday, January 29


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Don't bother ... it's been explained so many times to these deniers that it's not worth explaining again. It takes about 2 seconds to google the answer to Zumper's question, and he can really do it himself. He won't, though, because he likes these straw man arguments. ;)

Obamaniacs want to be able to whine endlessly about FL and MI. Obviously they don't want to seat the delegates, no matter what, because Obama has lost, and will lose again, both elections.

It's a hokey ploy that is only going to gain traction because of a compliant "STOP HILLARY" pathological mindset towards anything Clinton that exists in the press.

They don't want a re vote...they want to keep hoping. They do use Ken Starr tactics that have been designed by a bunch of rabid GOPers still licking their wounds from the last Clinton they tried to stop (at all costs).

If Hillary can't win, as most of you kids are claiming, then what are you bitching about? Oh, right, I forgot...all you Alaska, Nebraska, Utah, Kansas, Alabama and South Carolina Democrats are really concerned about WHO PAYS FOR the revote.

You cant even be disingenuous convincingly...and you want to run this country? Bush thought this job was like being president of a fraternity, too.

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But Greg you're forgetting MI counts. Unless Obama wins. In which case it doesn't count. Because if he wins then it must have too big an African-American vote to actually count. Unless Hillary wins, in which case it will count. Because it's a Blue state. Unless she doesn't win, in which case it won't count. Because the revote won't be fair because this time Obama will actually have his name on the ballot. Which is unfair.

Greg, whastsamatta widge you? Can't you keep these things straight?

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"You mean something like the pledge Hillary signed with VT, SC and IA that she wouldn't campaign in Florida? The one she started laying the ground to break the day before SC and broke about fifteen minutes after?"

Well, Steve, you're nothing if not consistent in your misleading BS. Since Obama did slightly more campaigning in Florida than Hillary (since Hillary did none), and was the only candidate to run ads there, I'd say you're post is completely without foundation. Care to back it up?

And Lux Veritas, you said "Even though Obama didn't campaign there, Hillary didn't beat him by very much." First of all, if 50% to 33%b percent "isn;t that much," can you tell me what is? And my point remains the same. Since Hillary didn't campaign there, and Obama did, on what basis do you think he will do better? And I'm not saying his campaigning was that significant, but he certainly wasn't at a disadvantage, especially since the election was held right after he enjoyed a resounding victory in South Carolina, and was enjoying positive press the likes of which he will probably never see again.

A lot of you Obama supporters seem to think the voters in Florida had no access to information outside their state. I think Obama had pretty high name recognition by the time the Florida primary rolled around.

As a resident of The District of Columbia, I have a hard time getting all worked up over the assertions that residents of Fla and Mich aren't having their votes counted this ONE time. The parties there broke the rules and knew what they were doing. When did DC break the rules? When will someone get worked up about my ability to have my vote counted?

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"I read somewhere that Hillary has 20 staffers working fulltime on the superdelegates--threats of cement shoes etc. It really is a mafia run by sorority mother."

Thsi is the kind of bullshit that makes the conversation so vituperative. silver heron, Obama has Tom Daschle devoted to working the superdelegates, with Kennedy playing a very active role. Not to mention the fact that Obama and his wife are calling them constantly. Of course the Clinton camp is doing the same thing. Would you really prefer it if Obama was so stupid as to not work on these people?

As for the "cement shoes" reference, I suspect that's based primarily on your fever dreams. Got a link to a report that the Clintons are threatening the supers? I mean real, Jesse Jackson Jr. style threats.

Why in the world should the Democratic party pay for a new primary in Florida when there was already a primary in Florida - and Obama LOST. The voters in Florida have already expressed their will. It wasn't their fault their party leaders got Howard Dean so angry that he stupidly disenfranchised Florida voters. The Republicans didn't do that.

Oh, I get it. This is how we keep Hilary from winning the nomination. I see. We must now do over all the primaries where Obams lost so he can get another shot at them. And the Democratic Party must pay for giving Barack another chance, rather than paying to defeat McCain in the fall.

But why not just turn it into a caucus instead? It's cheaper, old and working people won't go to them, and with the money we save handing the nomination to Obama, the party can hire somebody to blow Obama's nose and wipe his behind.

Bottom line, a stupid Democrat in Florida screwed the state, and the Republicans went along with it...

Instead of being mad at Obama (who had NOTHING to do with Florida breaking the rules), Hillary supporters should be mad at Florida Sen. Jeremy Ring (D).


http://www.pensitoreview.com/2007/09/28/it-was-a-democrat-not-republicans-who-moved-floridas-primary-date/

Why in the world should the Democratic party pay for a new primary in Florida when there was already a primary in Florida - and Obama LOST. The voters in Florida have already expressed their will. It wasn't their fault their party leaders got Howard Dean so angry that he stupidly disenfranchised Florida voters. The Republicans didn't do that.

Oh, I get it. This is how we keep Hilary from winning the nomination. I see. We must now do over all the primaries where Obama lost so he can get another shot at them. And the Democratic Party must pay for giving Barack another chance, rather than paying to defeat McCain in the fall.

But why not just turn it into a caucus instead? It's cheaper, old and working people won't go to them, and with the money we save handing the nomination to Obama, the party can hire somebody to blow Obama's nose and wipe his behind.

Florida new their actions would have consequences, and yet, they still did it.

If they are not "punished", then what keeps any sort of order for the next Primary?

Honestly, the whole debacle makes me want to move to a National Primary, where we all vote on the same day in the same way.

No more complaints of "being unfair", nobody eliminated in the first few primaries, and no small states deciding who the big states vote for.

That said: goodbye personal attention. Candidates would spend all their time in California, New York, Texas and Florida and maybe do a little stop on some other states inbetween.

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Nelson is a Hillary supporter, no?

Again, she's using the insiders/Dem powerbrokers to push for FL and MI votes, thereby suggesting she is still viable as a candidate.

OK...someone please correct me if I am wrong but didn't we get into this mess in the first place because MI and FL ignored the DNC because their respective Governor and party hacks were supporting Hillary and Rudy and thought it originally to be an advantage for them? Just imagine if Barack was trying to gain advantage on a technicality.

Hillary should play by the rules (delegates are delegates) and the respective states should not count on anyone but themselves to pay for anything given their ignorance months ago.

I'm beginning to think Clinton supporters cut in line at the bank. Rules are clearly foreign to them. MI and FL moved their dates, so they lost their seats. What part of this don't you understand?

Here's your egg. We're talking about the Clinton's 2006 returns, not this year's. There is definately damaging information involved unless you consider a huge Fee/Library Donation from the ruthless dictator of Khazakstan to be unremarkable. The Clinton's are paying hefty late fees in order to stall the release of this information. 2006! are you kidding? These are people who will debate the meaning of the word "is". Clinton Hate is the gas that drives the repulican party. Things are going to be tough enough in Nov. as it is. We don't have to have this fight. Politics is different than sports. You have to rise above just being a fan.

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"The adults are running the show now..."

I seem to remember a phrase like that floated around 8 years ago....funny how well that turned out.

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