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SurveyUSA: Dem Candidate Ahead In Special Election For Hastert's Seat

A new SurveyUSA poll, conducted for Roll Call, shows that the usually-Republican Illinois district of former Speaker Dennis Hastert may well switch to the Democrats in this Saturday's special election.

The poll showed Democratic candidate Bill Foster, a businessman and scientist, ahead of Republican dairy magnate Jim Oberweis by a 52%-47% margin.

The district voted 55%-44% for President Bush in 2004, but Foster has been helped by such diverse factors as Oberweis' past failed campaigns for governor and senator, the endorsement of the conservative Chicago Tribune, and this ad starring Barack Obama:


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Great evidence of Obama's coat tails, even if in his home state.

Its good to see we have a Dem in this race that actually cares about the party, instead of just her own political ambitions.

We are going to see a lot of big pickups in November if Obama is our nominee, thanks to the Obama Effect!:

http://thepersonalispolitical.tumblr.com/post/26284440

You can see Obama hypnotizing the voters of IL-14 through the screen. Poor bastards never had a chance.

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A prognosticator for Nov - Barack "Who's Sane" Obama and his coat tails.

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It's not over yet. Oberweiss has hundreds if not thousands of huge 6' x 8' signs, practically billboards up across the district. He has a million bucks of ugly NRCC radio and TV ads on day and night in the Chicago media market. I have no idea how much of his own money he's spending but he's already blown thru the FEC millionaire's restriction without reporting it. Certainly to be a fine but to Repubs? It's just a cost of doing business.

He has the Republican political machines in DuPage, Will and Kane behind him. In DuPage and Kane (and maybe elsewhere) he literally has the faith based electronic vote tabulating machines controlled by Republican election commissions on his side. The notorious DuPage Election Commission sent out postcards to voters in the four largest precincts in the election giving them the wrong polling place. We caught it and hopefully our voter outreach has rectified that little "glitch".

That being said we can win this race. Oberweiss is a 3 time loser and a perennial candidate. His attack ads and the NRCC's are so over the top I suspect that even low info voters are just reminded why they rejected hate him in 2002 and 2004.

When I tell folks Foster wants to get us out of Iraq I get immediate nods of agreement. When I tell them he'd prefer to spend some of that money rebuilding communities like Aurora, Elgin, and West Chicago which already look pretty hard by the recession and then pay down some of our debt with the rest so we don't keep borrowing money from the Red Chinese and Saudi oil princes who sent us the 9/11 bombers I get more.

But we need help. The election is Saturday. If you can come to suburban Chicago. If you can't send whatever cash you can so we can run that Obama ad
a little more often. We need folks who can do all the usual GOTV activities, phonebank, doorhangers,
provide rides etc.

http://www.foster08.com/

There goes that silly, naive Barack Obama again - helping the Democratic Party and furthering the progressive cause. He must be stopped!

Foster wins! Count one more superdelegate for Barack Obama.

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"Great evidence of Obama's coat tails, even if in his home state."

Yes, but this was a strongly Republican district in his home state. That suggests that Obama may very well be not only electable, but will bring along progressive Democrats with him.

I suspect that if the Republicans try to swiftboat him, the media will be blanketed with VERY popular black celebrities speaking up for Obama.

Not only that, the economy is going into a nose dive -- not at all good for the Republicans who created the mess; and we'll see how Bill and Hillary's negative campaigning play out in the remaining primaries and in the upcoming Democratic convention.

I have one thing to say: imagine if Hillary had run an ad supporting Bill Foster in this heavily conservative district. It would have been like strapping an anvil to a swimmer who had a shot to win the race.

This bodes well for downticket races if Obama is the nominee. If it's Hillary, then you can forget about any progressive majority.

All Obama thinks of when he agreed to be on the ads was, "It is FREE Airtime.... I love it... I am a celibrity...."

I understand that we each have our preferences and thus our candidates. And it is sometimes difficult to see through our partisanship.
For disclosure's sake I am supporting Obama-even though I wish he was farther to the left and more strongly anti-war among other things.

But a few things are clear. Obama is a leader- he looks forward and tries to project his vision. The other candidate is a follower-they effectively put their finger in the air to see which way the winds blow (think "triangulation").

Additionally, Obama is an inspired man. If anyone doubts that just watch ANY other candidate and see who else constantly moves the crowds. That cannot be faked. The other candidate has criticized him, but does anyone doubt for one second that if they had the capability they would go out there with "speeches" like his. They cannot-because it is not in their heart. It is not his words-it is the inspiration behind them!

Last. Obama has taken far less funding from the corps than the other candidates. By the way-check and you will see that the other candidate is the number one recipient of both the healthcare and defense industries' largess.

I humbly accept anyone's reasoned disagreement with Obama's vision. That goes back to our individual preferences. But anyone who cannot see that he is an inspired leader is simply not looking with clarity.

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Do you people know what the expression "coattails" even means? Obama wasn't on the ballot, so he didn't have any coattails in this race. Trying to single out his endorsement as the reason Foster won is just silly. Good for Obama that he campaigned for the guy, and I'm guessing his endorsement helped. But there are many factors in play, including the fact that this is looking like a bad year for Republicans all around.

Coattails are determined after an election, when you see the sum total of the results. Giving Obama credit for Foster's win not only overstates the case tremendously, it is an insult to Foster, as well. Do you think he might have had anything to do with his own victory?

People keep talking about Obama's coattails with absolutely nothing to back them up. Logic dictates that the candidate who brings out more of the base will help down ticket, rather than the candidate who brings in Republican and Independent votes. Where is the evidence that a Republican who is drawn to Obama will have any inclination to vote for other Dems? We're told that these people are flocking to Obama because he's such a compelling candidate. There's no evidence that they are all going to become Democratic voters.

This article from the Dallas Morning News makes my point. The areas where Hillary did well showed much stronger support up and down the ballot, while the in the areas where Obama did well many voters ignored the other primary races.

http://www.dallasnews.com/sharedcontent/dws/dn/latestnews/stories/030908dnpoldemvoters.3a5249f.html

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