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Report: Obama's Michigan Campaign Co-Chair Says Obama Campaign Opposes Any Revote

Not sure what to make of this. Obama campaign manager David Plouffe has repeatedly said in conference calls that the Obama camp's position on revotes in Michigan and Florida is that it will abide with whatever compromise the Democratic National Committee works out with the state parties.

But Obama's campaign co-chair in Michigan, Tupac Hunter, is now saying that the Obama campaign won't accept any revote, according to a new report. Check out this nugget in the Detroit News...

State Sen. Tupac Hunter, D-Detroit, said a mail-in caucus "is clearly the wrong path.

"We don't like it one bit," Hunter said. "It disenfranchises people who need to participate and there are many questions with regard to security."

Hunter said the Obama campaign will accept nothing but a 50-50 split of Michigan delegates between Clinton and Obama, who removed his name from the January ballot here in protest of the early date.

"Nothing but a 50-50 split of Michigan delegates" seems to mean no revote of any kind, obviously. What Plouffe says clearly trumps what the Detroit official says, and this isn't a direct quote. Nonetheless, the Detroit News seems pretty definitive here. If nothing else, this is another sign of just how complicated and in flux the situation is and how many players there are at the local and national level to get on the same page.

I'm told that Hunter and Obama's other Michigan co-chair are giving a presser today in Michigan to address this, so we'll find out from them directly what they have to say.

Late Update: This is getting more curious. Ben Smith quotes Obama today at a presser saying the following about this:

"My bottom line is I do want to make sure that both the Florida and the Michigan delegations have an opportunity to participate in the convention," Obama said.

As Ben notes: "What's striking there is that he didn't say he wanted to votes to be counted or the voters to express their wills. And focusing on the rights of delegates matches the stance" that his Michigan chair took here.

Late Late Update: An Obama spokesperson tells Ben that he was reading too much into Obama's words.


101 Comments

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I think somebody missed a memo...

Obama needs to clear this up ASAP>

Not sure how much to take from Hunter's statement.

I'm pretty sure the Obama camp will go along with whatever the DNC decides, so long as it is in the best interest of voters in FL and MI.

50/50 would be great for Obama supporters, but not fair to Hillary supporters.

The only real way to do it is to have another primary, and I don't see that happening. Thus, the 50/50 split becomes one of the options that might get some headway. Especially since it could be viewed as a penalty to the states.

"Ok you broke the rules, and these are the consequences. Your delegates will be seated at the convention, but in a 50/50 split."

My question is, if they decide to split 50/50, couldn't the Clinton backers or Obama backers change their vote at the convention?

A 50/50 split in Michigan would actually be pretty fair to both candidates. Polls show them running almost dead even in that state now. A caucus would be the best scenario for Obama because he would probably win convincingly, whereas he might lose with a mail-in vote. So a 50/50 split seems like a good compromise in Michigan. It wouldn't work in Florida though, where Hillary does have a clear lead.

well that's just stupid. Plouffe needs to get on the phone and impress message discipline.

Perhaps some journalist should examine how Obama says one thing publicly and then does the opposite behind the scenes...

Obviously, behind the scenes the Obama campaign is not going to allow revotes in Michigan or Florida... no matter what they say in public.

I live in Michigan and it is pretty obvious that Obama is not going to let me vote for Clinton... it's just politics.

Unfortunately, Obama can prevent me from voting for Clinton, but he won't be able to keep me (and a lot of other people in Michigan) from voting for McCain in the fall ...

The Obama lemmings are going right over the cliff on this one.....

So I assume you raised hell with the Michigan Democratic Party and your Democratic state legislators when they moved up your primary?

Oh, come on... you already know that Greenely hasn't said peep one to his the state officials responsible for this fustercluck.

Hey, what the hell are you talking about? One guy says something not with the rest of them and all the sudden "obviously" Obama is lying to voters? Wow, thats some more great analysis from Hillary supporters. Way to make a well reasoned argument based on fact. Great job, keep up the good work!

Listen, Obama is the only one in this race who hasn't tried to disenfranchise people repeatedly. Hillary was against students voting in Iowa, she was against caucus access in Nevada, and coincidentally 80 districts in her "hometown" gave Obama zero votes. She is also the only one trying to hijack the will of the people by using superdelegates and stealing pledged delegates behind the scenes. Give me a break, Obama isn't the one you have to worry about trying to stop you from voting.

Furthermore, there is absolutely ZERO evidence of Obama ever saying on thing in public and doing something else behind the scenes. And don't try to bring up that NAFTA crap because that has already been debunked.

Talk about a lemming. You people disgust me.

I've said it once and I'll say it again - as long as Clinton surrogates are drawing unreasonable lines in the stand, so should Obama surrogates (Obama himself can take the high road). If Obama negotiates from the 50-yard line and Clinton from the end zone, the ultimate settlement will favor Clinton. Better to each start from the goal line and settle at the 50.

There would be no need for such grandstanding if the Clinton people were good faith actors. but it is what it is.

I think this is dead on. It's a negotiation.

I just love that this guy's name is Tupac.

Hey Tupac, Shhhh!

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50/50 split? What's Plouffe been smoking? That's the dumbest thing I've ever heard.

Plouffe didn't say that.

Id like to see what the person said in quotes before passing judgment. Either way Obama himself has said he will follow what the DNC decides. Also Hillary and her campaign has been all over the field on this issue.

This is mistake #2 for Obama (#1 dismissing the VP spot and upsetting the Dem Party);

Hillary will have a ball with this one. Obama looks scared. He's on a winning streak and is afraid that MI and FL will break it. Not smart. A winner wins no matter what.

We will look back after he has lost the nomination and realize this was the second mistake that cost him.

He's turning PA into a firewall, instead of an opportunity. Cheating MI out of voting will be broadcast all over PA and NC. Watch. MI and FL will revote - without a doubt - and they will not forget this. Four states to loose.

Mark my words - this is point that things change.

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Wow, very insighful. Ka-Booom. There goes the mushroom cloud. Kinda reminds me of the lies leading up to the iraq war. What was clinton's vote on that little ol thing again? I forgot.

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Thanks I appreciate it.

Forgot? Write it down, pin it on the wall in front of you and repeat 100 times before breakfast, lunch and dinner. That should do it.

He should have accepted the #2 spot?

That wasn't a mistake. That was his responding to her campaigns arrogance. You are seeing things that are not there.

I agree that this comment from Michigan is a mistake, but I feel confident that it will be addressed within the hour.

Iam marking them, i will laugh at you. Mark my words.

Haha, what an idiot. This is a big mistake based on what exactly? A maybe quote from some guy who isn't in a position to make any decisions? Obama has been consistent on the issue, it is the Hillary campaign that has been saying a thousand things. This is in no way a big deal. I know you Hillary supporters would love for it to be some deus ex machina to save Hillary's sorry ass, but I'm sorry, just because you click you heels together over and over again and say it is a problem, it isn't a problem.

And there is no mistake in dismissing the VP slot, and the "Party" isn't upset with him. Again, you are basing this on your "oh wouldn't it be nice for Hillary" reality, instead of reality. First off, Hillary is in NO position to even be talking about VP, because she can't win the nomination, the math just isn't there. Second, Pelosi one of the big party leaders has even said that the VP thing is out, BECAUSE OF HILLARY'S COMMENTS.

CalD,


If you actually read the post you're responding to you would realize that the 50-50 split comment wasn't even made by Plouffe.

I for one hope this is off message. FL is one thing but MI really needs a real vote. And I'm not sure why they wouldn't want one. He would at worst lose by a little and maybe even win it.

OK, 55-45 for Obama then.

I know it doesn't jive with what Obama said just last night, but I've been surprised that the Obama camp has gone along with this re-vote business in Michigan and Florida in the first place.

The "big picture" campaign strategy happens long before the primaries get under way (e.g. Hillary's Big State/ Super Tuesday strategy). When the campaigns formulated these strategies and allocated resources accordingly Michigan and Florida were off the table. If they were in play, Obama's entire strategy and planning might have been different from the start.
THERE IS NO FAIR WAY NOW TO DO RE-VOTES.

If the tables were turned, the Hillary camp would be fighting them tooth and nail.


100 REASONS NOT TO VOTE FOR HILLARY CLINTON

It really doesn't matter. Whichever candidate has the most pledged delegates going into the convention (super delegates don't matter until the floor vote) controls all committees and the agenda of the convention. Basically, whoever wins the most delegates is the presumptive nominee going into the convention. If a 50-50 split is what they want, that's what will be done in the credentials committee.

This is sad and stupid. Sad because it shows that they don't care about the voters, despite their claims. Stupid, because either Obama can't manage his campaign yet again or he doesn't get it.

On top of all this, his campaign now says DOJ has to review FL mail-in vote before they agree. Wow!

Talk about stalling...

Yeah, Obama's campaign really has control over Florida state laws. It's ILLEGAL to conduct mail-in votes in Florida. Jackass.

really? Obama sponsored a senate bill ""The Universal Right To Vote By Mail Act",which proclaims that NOT ALLOWING mail in voting in every state disenfranchises voters.

but then of course that was before he was running for president.

no wonder kerry endorsed him, birds of the feather

Senator obama sponsored a bill does not equal a bill was passed. Plus, that bill would only have applied to federal elections; a state election for state delegates to a private party's convention would be governed by said state's laws, no? And, as has been pointed out, mail-only elections are illegal in Florida.

No way! Where DID you get that picture??? :)

Thoughts on election, Spitzer, and much more at

http://darkcomedyhour.com/dcmacdaddy/

Obama doesn't care if they revote for three reasons:

1) He values other things more than winning, so unlike Hillary he isn't going to try to fix the process, while disenfranchising voters, in order to win.

2) The polls in Michigan show he would probably beat Hillary this time around, so why not do a revote? It would only help him.

3) Even if Hillary got the delegates she won in Michigan and Florida as is, it would only amount to about 50 net delegates, which means she is still way too far behind to catch up to Obama.

So no, he isn't trying to disenfranchise anyone, he has never said anything of the sort, he has more integrity than Hillary, and a revote would only benefit him.

Obama supporters are adamant (and I happen to agree with them) that there should be no backroom deals overturning "the people's choice" in the primaries. They are referring, of course, to having the pledged delegates lead the way for the superdelegates based on the states' primary votes.

Follow "the rules" everyone says.

Well here's where "the rules" fall apart for the Obama supporters - that is, if "the people's choice", based on the total popular vote in the primaries, happens to end up being Hillary Clinton. It's conceivable (not likely, I know, but conceivable) - that Hillary could win enough popular votes in Pennsylvania, and enough in the revotes in Michigan and Florida, to squeak out a win in the final tally of popular votes.

In this case, "the rules" which allow superdelegates to vote their conscience, would definitely allow them to vote right out in the open (not in any backroom)for Hillary Clinton as "the people's choice" - since she won the popular vote.

You either are for "the rules" or you're against them. Superdelegate personal preference is part of "the rules." Right?

She can't make up the popular vote deficit either. He is up by about a million votes, and either they do a revote in Florida/Michigan, which will blunt any gains she can make there, or they don't revote, which means their votes are tainted and shouldn't count. Now that pretty much takes care of any popular vote coup coming more Florida or Michigan, so all you have left is Pennsylvania, and she won't net enough popular votes there to change a damn thing, especially after he wins the majority of the remaining states.

I agree with that.

The problem with the popular vote is it doesn't take into account Obama's caucus wins (as far as I know).

So, hopefully the Superdelegates would weigh that before dooming our chances in the fall by nominating Hillary.

Oh, you mean the fact that a pledged delegate in California represents hundreds of thousands of people, but a pledged delegate in Iowa represents only thousands? And that this makes the whole system weighted into Obama's favor?

Nooo, surely you don't mean that

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Hi colonpowwow. Yep I agree with you. The rules are the rules. The issue becomes if the supers want to commit political suicide and destroy the party. (A little hyperbole for you). That's the issue.

By the way, I think either there should be a revote or obama agree to a 55/45 split to make the issue go away if the delegate spread is not that much. Do you know what the delegate spread is right now anyway? If its not much why waste all the money doing the campaigning and another primary?

Also, if there is a revote, I say that they split the states and the vote will be 52/48 or something like that anyway, so it will have little impact on the popular vote or the delegate counts.

Rules.

I agree that the rules of the Democratic National Committee are to award the nomination to the nominee who wins the 2025 delegates. Nothing about the popular vote. Popular votes are for democracies, we live in a representative republic. Think of this as practice for the electoral college in November.

With respect to the superdelegates, they can vote how they want. However, at least as I hear it, if they vote against the will of the delegates there will be hell to pay. Period. That is the point. No one is trying to mandate that the superdelegates do what the pledged delegates do, just pointing out that ignoring constituencies that have come out in droves this election cycle is bad politics, and bad for the party.

I have not heard one single person in the Obama camp say that they should mandate the way the superdelegates vote. No rule changes. However, I have heard many (including those who made the rules in the first place - Ickes) Clinton people suggest that we should seat the Florida delegates as they voted in January, which was against the rules. THAT is a rule change. And that is what Maggie Williams suggested today.

There is a fundamental difference between encouraging people to vote with the pledged delegates, and ignoring the penalties put forth by the DNC last year.

Of course those are the rules, and superdelegates, at the end of the day, can arrive at their choice based on whatever metric that they choose.
Likewise, voters are free to abandon the Democratic Party, either for this election cycle or for good, based on that decision.
Let's not pretend, though, that it is otherwise.

Colonpowow,

I have the same problem previously expressed about the "popular vote." I have considered the possibility of an Obama delegate and Clinton popular vote lead and, in principle, I agree that if that happened the supers could, in good conscience, go either way.

As a practical matter, I have two problems with this hypothetical.

First, "popular vote" is a dangerously ambiguous term where some (not all) of the caucuses keep their vote totals secret and two of the elections are highly questionable no matter what happens. The potential, indeed, likelihood, of mischief inherent in that ambiguity is terrifying. I do not believe that the possibility exists that Hillary can will be able to claim a popular majority win that is beyond plausible reproach. Instead, I think we will almost certainly end up either with a situation in which Obama has the delegate and popular vote leads nailed beyond cavil or else one in which Obama leads in delegates but each side can claim a popular majority at the convention with some degree of plausibility.

In the former case, Obama wins and surely to God no right-minded Democrat has a problem with it. In the latter case, whether the superdelegates can vote for either in good conscience is quiet beside the point. Whatโ€™s relevant is that no matter what they do in that situation, the party splits catastrophically and McCain wins.

Hereโ€™s my second, and larger, problem. At this point, the latter option: a floor fight at the convention in which Obama has a delegate lead and each of them has a colorable claim to a popular vote majority, is Hillaryโ€™s best case scenario.

Let me be more explicit: based on my analysis of the math, it appears that a divisive floor fight whose outcome will leave one side or the other so profoundly angry and disaffected as to make victory in November impossible is the best that Hillary can hope for now. That dark outcome is the last shred of hope fueling her campaign now. That being the case, how can she, in good conscience, justify continuing and how can you and her other supporters continue to aid and abet her in seeking that outcome?

I know what many Hillary supporters say: โ€œI reject your reality and substitute my own. Obama could gaffe and she could win every last primary with the 70 odd percent majorities she needs to overtake him.โ€ Responding to that argument is an exercise in futility. If the last eight years have taught us anything, it is the utter intractability of those who engage in magical thinking. Many others, I know, are so angry that they are totally okay with Hillary kneecapping Obama and then running against McCain in 2012. I canโ€™t argue with nihilists, either.

Back last fall, before a single, stinkinโ€™ vote had been cast, Hillaryโ€™s supporters at TPMEC (who were legion in those days) used to regularly criticize Obamaโ€™s supporters for โ€œattackingโ€ Hillary from the left, claiming we were helping the Republicans and should keep a respectful tongue in our heads to the presumptive nominee. Now, its Hillary doing the attacking, sheโ€™s attacking from the right and, I cannot help but note, she has eagerly โ€œembraced rightwing talking pointsโ€ (formerly the most atrocious of all heresies) by attempting to marginalize him as โ€œthe black candidateโ€ and saying she and McCain pass her secret โ€œCommander in Chiefโ€ test but Obama didnโ€™t.

Her ability to achieve anything constructive is over. Sheโ€™s doing as much damage to her own long-term prospects and reputation as she is to Obama. She is already positioned to take the reins if Obama pulls a Spitzer between now and the convention and nothing she can do can from here on out will either make that more likely to happen or improve her position if it does. Barring that, it is time for her to go and time for her supporters to stop enabling her.

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I do not believe anyone who suggests that Senator Hunter was not expressing the position of the Obama campaign. This is where the Obama folks want to end up, and they are making a huge political misstep.

You do not disenfranchise the voters of Florida and Michigan and expect to win in November. And the voters of Florida and Michigan will not excuse this anti-democratic position that the Obama folks are taking based on the facts that the legislatures of Florida and Michigan defied the rules of the DNC.

For the Clinton campaign, in base political terms, this is the gift that keeps on giving. Barack Obama is not talking straight about his goal of disenfranchising the millions of voters in the States of Florida and Michigan. He will either have to change his tune or this is what will prevent any Democrat from winning in November.

Stay tuned.

Meanwhile Hillary Clinton HERSELF is saying the votes in MI were fair and should be counted.

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Holding another vote anywhere is really just going to be a waste of time and money that would be better spent running against John McCain. It's ridiculous that Hillary's campaign is making this such a big deal when they were the ones who conspired to move up these primaries in the first place, in order to take advantage of being the big name candidate in the race.

Even if you gave Hillary the Florida delegates, who cares? She still can't catch Obama in pledged delegates. Period. I don't know why so many Democrats and members of the media seem to be allergic to math. I'd say their delegates can go to Denver, they just can't vote on the first ballot. They broke the rules, and they should suffer the consequences.

And all this crying that the voters in FL or MI are going to punish the Dems in November b/c their stupid delegates didn't get to vote at the convention???

Please. Spare me. The voters in those states aren't going to care one bit what happened to their delegates in Denver. If I were there, I'd be glad that the Democratic party leaders in MI and FL got punished for coming up with such a dumb scheme and breaking the rules.

Annndddd you base this claim that this is official policy of the Obama campaign on what exactly...?

Last time I checked the Obama campaign has been crystal clear about their stance on the issue, and one surrogate running off at the mouth about his opinion in no way implies anything about the campaign. Give me a break.

Is the idiot brigade out in force today or what?

am i alone in the entire Democratic base in thinking that Michigan and Florida can just go to hell? the DNC laid down the rules and the penalties for breaking those rules. the states agreed. the Florida and Michigan legislatures then broke those rules, and are now paying the penalty.

can someone point out any injustice here?

if the voters in Michigan and Florida had really wanted to vote in the Democratic primary they should have A. been informed and B. lobbied their representatives to make clear that because of these decisions they, the voters, would be punished and would punish the relevant lawmakers in turn in the voting booths. should we encourage ignorance and laziness and a disengaged citizenry, or promote it simply by enforcing the rules?

Now we are beginning to see more clearly how disingenuous the whole Obama campaign really is. Of course they don't want the votes in Michigan and Florida to count, and they will obstruct any process to have them counted.

For all you young people out there who are idealistic and want to help heal our troubled nation, may I suggest you take a look at the other candidate? You will find a lot to like there: a very bright and talented woman, who like you was very idealistic as a young person, and has spent her whole life engaged in bringing positive change to our nation.

You got to be kidding.

Irony? I fear not. I prefer not to vote for race-baiters, personally.

Uh...I have to disagree.

There's no reason for the Obama camp to think re-votes in these states will hurt them. He'll probably loose FL (by a small margin) and MI will be a virtual tie...assuming he's on the ballot this time. Doesn't change the big picture for him, and he'd have a lot to gain by showing his flexibility in this issue.

I bet his concerns are more about whether a re-vote can actually be thrown together without corruption...especially in FL (sorry, but true). If we re-vote and Hillary (or Obama) win by an unprecedented landslide...what will people say then? It is a mess that cannot be easily undone.

I don't really trust Hillary. I try to, but I just don't. I'd love to believe that a re-vote could be more fair than having only one person's name on the ballot...but since the MI results without a fair ballot seem ok to her as they are, I am skeptical about what else might seem ok to her. I have that same icky feeling that I had when Bush stole the election.

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guys, I added an update, and I would be interested in what you all have to say about it if you can be bothered.

I would say that Ben's parsing Obama's comment a bit too closely, but that's nothing new.

I don't think the Obama campaign official stance on a potential revote has changed one bit. Leave it for the DNC to work out as long as a revote could be fair and accurate for everyone involved.

This will of course by seized on by the Clinton campaign, but there'll be nothing that comes from it. I don't see where anything changed on Obama's side since yesterday except one of his people spoke WAY the hell out of school.

Don't look now but Ben has scooped you yet again by talking directly to the Obama campaign.

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It's a waste of time and money to pay for new elections and revote instead of focusing on campaigning against McCain. I just don't see how those states are ever going to figure it out.

I'd much rather see Howard Dean impose a deadline on super delegates to declare their choice than a silly revote that's not going to change the fact that Hillary can't possibly catch Obama in elected delegates. The remaining super delegates are going to decide the election, not Florida and Michigan.

There are several hundred outstanding super delegates, whereas the biggest possible margin Hillary can get out of those two states is what, probably 30 elected delegates?

Let's get our priorities straight.

Greg,

I think you and Ben might be getting a little cross-eyed from staring at the tea leaves on this one. The disconnect is a small one, and really may just be one person getting somewhat out of sync with the campaign. Which isn't to say you guys shouldn't keep an eye on things to see if a pattern of disconnects emerges, but it seems too early to tell anything substantive from this.

The whole thing about how to do a re-vote is complicated and there seems to be no good answers. Mail-in primary is fraught with possibility of fraud and minority groups fear that there votes won't be counted this way, and thus are unlikely to participate. While Oregon does have a great mail-in system, it took them years to get it right...

Things seem to be getting even MORE complicated. This is what Marc Ambinder said..
--
Would Bush's Justice Department Have To OK New Florida, Michigan Mail Primaries?

In order to get them in and have 'em count by June 10, lawyers for Barack Obama say the answer, unequivocally, is yes.

Here's the reasoning: while a federal judge last year upheld the DNC's right to interpret the rules of its own primary -- even if those rules meant the technical disenfranchisement of an entire state of voters -- the ruling did not touch on the form of the election itself.

When a party decides to change its rules in midstream, five counties in Florida and two counties in Michigan must ask the Department of Justice's Voting Section to make sure that the new rules do not violate the rights of any aggreived minorities. Alternatively, they can ask a federal judge to bless the new rules, but that would take, at the very least, six months.

According to the Obama campaign, voting rights act provisions that govern pre-clearance requirements apply to primaries. So the Florida Democratic Party and the Michigan Democratic Party would be required to submit to the Justice Department their vote-by-mail procedures for close inspection.

The politics are oh-so-iffy. The Civil Rights Division of DoJ does not have a gleaming reputation among Democrats. Recall that Hans Von Spakovsky, whose confirmation to the FEC the Democrats are holding up because of his record at the Justice Department, very much set the tone for the type of enforcement that the division has become known for over the fast few years.

"They don't want to have to go to Michael Mukasey and ask him, ask Hans van Spakovsky's voting rights section to make a decision on pre-clearance that could have an enormous ramification for the presidential nomination for the other party," one of Obama's lawyers said. "The party doesn't also want to recognize that the DoJ has any formal regulatory authority."

If the party decides to forgo pre-clearance and decides to take off without permission, well, lawsuits would block its path -- from minority groups worried that the vote-by-mail process would disenfranchise African Americans.

There is political gamesmanship in play as well. New primaries of any sort will undoubtedly decrease the popular vote margin between Obama and Clinton, the superdelegate margin between Obama and Clinton, and the elected delegate margin between the two -- the latter, probably very narrowly. And if the primaries are scheduled in early June, they'll give Clinton the final push of momentum.

A spokesperson for the DNC said the party was aware of the pre-clearance objection and was looking into it.


disenfranchise, disenfranchise...blah, blah. I am getting tired of this word. Everyone is using it to make the other look bad.

Make it as much of a big deal as you want, I guess, but the fact is, everyone can twist the ideas in this case to make their own side look more virtuous. This is because it really shouldn't have ANYTHING to do with the candidates. It's a MI, FL and DNC mess. Those people have to work it out.

Quotes from the campaigns are going to be political posturing and nothing more. If you really believe that one candidate is "for" disenfranchisement and the other is "against" it and it's that simple...I am speechless.

I have no respect for voters who fail to see the complexities and difficulties here...for both sides. I have a lot of anger towards the folks who say this is why they'll vote for McCain in the fall.

Calm down. You're the ones who are making this a disaster. Not Hillary and Obama.

I like the idea of floating a 50/50 split. I think it is a good, strong position for the Obama camp to take, that is no less ridiculous that HRC's insistence on counting delegates, despite the DNC decision expressly forbiding the counting of the delegates.

A revote does not seem to be an option, because there is no money to pay for secure revotes. In addition, it would reward the bad behavior of Florida and Michigan officials by allowing their states to vote in the more climactic phase of the campaign.

FWIW, I see no contradiction between Obama's statement and the 50/50 proposal. They will "participate," without being able to to impact the outcome. There are consequences for breaking the rules, and you can bet FL, Michigan, and other states will think twice before flouting the rules in 2012.

Should have added that that was from a MyDD Diary...


http://www.mydd.com/story/2008/3/12/145141/402

Pardon my failure to do so.

I can definitely see the problems that an impromptu mail-in ballot election would have in states the size of these two. It took Oregon a decade and a complex electronic voter validation system to certify their system.

That said, I don't think this guy was really speaking for the Obama campaign when he said what he said about the 50-50 split. In fact, reading the article, I'd like to see the quote, which they don't provide.

To be honest, the 50-50 split wouldn't make sense for Obama in Michigan regardless, as that's a state that he has a fair shot to win outright.

Obama would win Michigan, but probably lose Fl. by a wider margin. They've done the math -- they wouldn't be arguing for a 50/50 split if it was not likely to result in a benefit to them. Either way, the delegate gap will not likely narrow significantly even if there is revote...

Just in case you missed, here's Ben's latest update:

UPDATE: Robert Gibbs says, on a conference call, that I'm reading too much into Obama's words. He said he was unfamiliar with the Michigan officials' stance, and that on the details, "Thatโ€™s up to the states of Michigan and Florida in concunction with the Democratic National Committee to decide."

The only thing a FL and MI revote will do is push the goal post back to June. She wont gain enough popular votes or delegates to gain any ground.

On the update, I now think the Obama campaign is trying to leave itself some wiggle room to avoid having another round of primaries but they're not going to fight to hard against it.

The reality is that adding two large votes three months from now would kill the Democrats and string this out far too long. I think they are hoping to string out the negotiations over a revote in the hopes that the next few primaries will convince Clinton to get out of the race.

For the last freaking time... the "vote" in Michigan was not a vote! Get your heads out of your asses. Hillary Clinton was the only legitmate candidate on the ballot. The fact she is calling for those "results" to stand shows how out of touch with reality she really is.

One again THERE WAS NO LEGITIMATE VOTE IN MICHIGAN.

Hillary is shameless and will destroy the Democratic Party. We were just getting past the shame of the Clinton administration: affairs, murder, suicides, impeachment, scandal, cigars, stains on dresses. Democrats were finally separated themselves from the embarassment of the Clintons.... and here we are.... muddied with their scandalous garbage again. Although Obama is going to win this nomination.....I guess I am a bit sad that I won't get to see that witch Hillary get her ass whooped by McCain in the fall and put an end to this Clinton nightmare regime once and for all. It seems like Chelsea is the only one of them with a lick of sense or class.

Superdelegates step in and save us! Hell... save your OWN asses! We'll lose Congress with Shrillary at the top of the ticket.

Greg, you need to add the new update on Ben's page:

UPDATE: Robert Gibbs says, on a conference call, that I'm reading too much into Obama's words. He said he was unfamiliar with the Michigan officials' stance, and that on the details, "Thatโ€™s up to the states of Michigan and Florida in concunction with the Democratic National Committee to decide."

http://www.politico.com/blogs/bensmith/0308/Voters_or_delegates.html

Michael A.

If my scenario plays out and Hillary ends up with the most popular votes after Pennsylvania and re-votes in Michigan and Florida, what would be "wrong" with the superdelegates voting for the candidate who won the most votes?

Aren't you saying that the "political suicide" will be all the sore losermens whose candidate fell a bit short this time stamping their little feet and sitting out the election?

If Hillary does win the popular vote, and the superdelegates are indeed free to vote for the winner of the popular vote if their conscience dictates, but they vote for Obama instead, should the Hillary supporters do their part to hasten our "political suicide" by sitting out the general election as the Obama supporters are so wont to threaten?

Just wondering.

"If my scenario plays out and Hillary ends up with the most popular votes after Pennsylvania and re-votes in Michigan and Florida, what would be "wrong" with the superdelegates voting for the candidate who won the most votes?"

And you KNOW that if the situation were reversed, and Hillary had the most delegates, we would not be talking about popular votes, big states or anything else. Only about delegate math.

Why is it that any other loser candidate who can only must 14 states and lost 12 in a row would be finished, but the unlikable party hack Hillary, must not be allowed to lose no matter what?


The Obama group are lying racists, borg.

can someone please ban Kefa? All he does is call Obama racist and jew-hating.

Just an aside...a challenge for all of you: if the tables were turned and Hillary hadn't been on the ballot in MI (or maybe FL since that's her "better" state), how many of us can HONESTLY say what our stand on this would be?

Here's my try:
At home to my husband, with an evil grin, I'd probably joke, "yeah, let's just seat those delegates as they are!" We'd have a giggle and toast to Obama and let it go.
However, if you challenged me to make an official statement, in public, I'd have to insist that the votes shouldn't count, or that there should be some way to re-do the whole thing. If it was my home state, I'd go out in the snow to vote again if need be.

But even then, I'd be right back to where I am now...CAN you re-do such a thing in a FAIR way? Is it worth the $$$? Do those states even deserve it?? Maybe...maybe not.

I can honestly say, if the table were turned, we wouldn't even be discussing this.

If Hillary led in states, delegates, and pop vote, Obama would either have dropped out, or just be campaigning for VP.

Point well made. I hadn't gone there in my head yet. That's some food for thought.

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"Late Late Update: An Obama spokesperson tells Ben that he was reading too much into Obama's words."

Talk about a non-responsive response. This is an issue that if Obama wins, he loses, as do we all.
You cannot penalize the voters of Michigan and Florida and expect to win in November. The Obama campaign will try and run the clock out, but the campaign is playing a very, very dangerous game indeed.


I wonder if Obama is trying to shift this into holding a caucus. Like challenging the mail-in vote via DOJ, etc.

Caucus would work well for him, because his supporters can do things like these:

http://www.shns.com/shns/g_index2.cfm?action=detail&pk=ERBE-03-12-08

Probably not. Under the Voting Rights Act of 1965, any plan for a re-vote would have to be approved by Mukasey.

It's lose-lose to do a revote now. Too late, Michigan and Florida screwed the pooch.

Again, no proof.

The caucus I went to had no problems, and Hillary actually won the thing!


BINGO!

I like the idea floated by (Roy, Ron ...?) that we allow MI and FL to revote, but strip all the superdelegates from each state because they were the idiots that messed it up in the first place. *Everybody* wins.

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Irony of ironies and the plot just keeps getting thicker. In an effort to ensure the disenfranchisement of two of the largest states in the Union, Marc Ambinder reports that the Obama campaign is raising the Voting Rights Act as an impediment to a mail-ballot vote, i.e. the Act to enfranchise is being used to disenfranchise!!

http://marcambinder.theatlantic.com/archives/2008/03/would_bushs_justice_department.php

Did someone suggest that Senator Obama practices a different kind of politics? Indeed.

Do you want Bush's Department of Justice to have any sort of jurisdiction over our election? If I were a minority living in the state of Florida or Michigan who's primary very likely would fall under the DoJ's oversight, I sure as hell wouldn't.

Remember, there are legitimate concerns to be had on both sides of the debate. Those who don't recognize that come off as sounding shrill.

Oh, for Christ's sake. They're pointing out a mandatory legal proceeding that has to be cleared if the thing is to go through. Would you rather they sit on it and wait for it to screw the whole thing up at the last minute?

Don't get frustrated. The trolls like it when we get frustrated and angry. I think they feel off it somehow...

When I happen on a really egregious one like we have here, I try to pretend as if I'm answering a questions from my six year old who's just asked about the bird and bees. Be honest, take them at their word that the question their asking or topics they bring up are truly something that they really have an interest in learning about, and stick to facts over opinion.

"the Obama campaign is raising the Voting Rights Act as an impediment to a mail-ballot vote, i.e. the Act to enfranchise is being used to disenfranchise!!"

Bush did the same thing in 2000. The Supreme Court decided that the different standards of counting ballots across Florida violated the equal protection clause of the fourteenth amendment - the amendment that gave former slaves the right to vote. So now we have a black candidate making the same argument - that counting the votes of Florida and Michigan would do irreparable harm to the candidacy of Barack Obama. It only goes to show - hypocricy and lust for power know no color.

observer2:

I remember the time when Gary Hart ran the whole race and went before the convention because the election was so close that he only trailed Walter Mondale by around 650 delegates.

Is it the Obama politics-of-unusual for you and your ilk to call a strong, liberal progressive Democratic candidate and her millions of supporters in the Party "losers."

A close, contested primary election is good for democracy. At some point someone will win and someone will come in second.

Then you can restart your immature nah-nah-nah-nah-nahs. I'll be busy working for whichever of the two fine Democratic candidates from the excellent field of non-loser-types we started with.

Do you consider Al Gore a big loser? Ted Kennedy? Jimmy Carter? Just wondering.

The problem is, Hillary Clinton is running a slightly more destructive campaign than was Gary Hart at that time.

Clinton has both the leverage, and now apparently the proclivity to blow this thing up from within if she doesn't get what she wants.

I agree that a closely contested primary isn't a bad thing as it keeps the focus on the party (and hopefully the issues). But the CiC threshold stuff, and McCain comparisons, and the "as far as I know" equivocating, and now this Ferraro blowup is bad for everyone involved. And at this point, I don't think Clinton can stop herself. The next 6 weeks are going to be very long and crucial to both campaigns, and I no long have any faith that Hillary will ultimately act in the best interests of Democrats everywhere while making her case.

She's been given her shot to continue in good faith or exit with grace. She's chosen none of the above, and we'll all have to live with that going forward.

How did that work out for Gary Hart and the rest of the party?

McCain has stopped campaigning and is watching the Democrats stand in a circle and fire.

The revote business is tricky, but ultimately is expensive and bound bring in lawyers from all corners of the country. That is no good for the party, either.

THis is a sword with infinite edges.

No wonder Charlie Crist is demanding a revote. It was a different tune back in August.

Thanks for the update, Greg.

Proves my point. Obama says one thing in public and then the campaign does the exact opposite behind the scenes.

Nice job, also, Greg, in catching the preciseness of the language that he used.

You been hoodwinked, lemmings, you been bamboozled.

Or as Dylan might say,

You used to be so amused
At Napoleon in rags and the language that he used
Go to him now, he calls you, you can't refuse
When you got nothing, you got nothing to lose...

Pretty sure Dylan would not be pro-Clinton, but what do I know?

Anyway, Greenley, how does this "prove" anything?

Has Obama done anything to stop the revote? Nope.


Here's another way to look at the math. Barack's mission is not to keep Clinton from passing him (she never will); it's to reach 2,025. If losing MI and FL by big margins in a revote or splitting in Hillary's favor puts him closer to 2,025 than he would be if they leaves things as they are, Clinton loses. Otherwise, none of the FL and MI delegates can help him out toward reaching 2,025.

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Ohhhhh. The Politics of Change in action! Screw the voters, just split it 50/50! LOL!! Or is this Chicago Style politics?

That Obama would disenfranchise the voters of Florida and Michigan to win the nomination should surprise no one. I'm sure he'd like to take away my vote too if he thought it would help him. He has no respect for the voice of the people whom he pretends to want to speak for. Remember that this is an extremely ambitious man who started running for president after being in the Senate for only two years. Apparently, this is a man who, like George Bush, has a thirst for power; and just like George Bush, he isn't afraid to disenfranchise millions of voters to get it.

To make a mockery of our sacred right to vote by insisting upon a 50-50 split is even worse than taking away their votes entirely. It's an shamelessly open attempt to fix an election and impose his own result upon the Democratic voters of Florida and Michigan. It's disgusting, though I doubt that we've seen the worse of it yet.

The last thing Obama wants to do is continue
campaigning. He might screw up or be forced to talk about something other than his old Iraq speech. If his own campaign appears confused about re-voting, so much the better. Let a thousand flowers bloom. Make everything so complicated and fraught with peril that nothing much happens.

"Obama doesn't care if they revote for three reasons:

1) He values other things more than winning, so unlike Hillary he isn't going to try to fix the process, while disenfranchising voters, in order to win."

Really? I guess that explains why he was so very careful not to do ANYTHING as State Legislator or US Senator that he would have to explain on the presidential campaign trail.

Obama is a pol disguised as an idealistic outsider. Mutton dressed as lamb.

I have no freakin' clue what we should do about Michigan and Florida, all options seeming bad, but 50-50 seems especially dumb.

Edwards was still in the race then. If he'd campaigned, he might be the nominee, for all we know. Why not split them in thirds? Actually, so was Richardson, Kucinich, and a few others. Mathematically, if they're split evenly, they can't be decisive. I get that's what Obama wants, but this would give him delegates he didn't earn, too.

Obligatory disclaimer: I voted for Obama.
Obligatory reality check: Contrary to popular belief, neither Obama nor Clinton are demons from the lowest hells sent to murder the Democratic party in its sleep.

FIRE KEITH OBERMAN!

HE HAS TO GO .

HE HAS CROSSED THE LINE.

HE IS A MAJOR ASSHOLE AND PRICK

FIRE KEITH OBERMAN!

HE HAS TO GO .

HE HAS CROSSED THE LINE.

HE IS A MAJOR ASSHOLE AND PRICK

Fire KO?

HRC's thugs are looking more and more anti-democratic and anti-freespeech every day.

Yeah, fire him. Because he told the painfully honest truth...

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