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Rasmussen: McCain Beating Both Dems In Missouri
A new Rasmussen poll of Missouri shows that this key swing state could be poised to go Republican this time around:
McCain (R) 50%, Clinton (D) 41%
McCain (R) 53%, Obama (D) 38%
The brutality of the Democratic race could be having an effect here: Barack Obama's favorable rating is at only 47%, Hillary's at 45% — and John McCain's at 59%.
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Thank you Tanya and Jeff!
March 26, 2008 9:35 AM | Reply | Permalink
How the hell is Clinton doing better than Obama in the Midwest?! That's Obama's homeland!
March 26, 2008 9:35 AM | Reply | Permalink
Really, the only interesting tale this poll offers is the surprising difference between Clinton and Obama's numbers. I expect Wright is the only explanation. I expect the race speech, as many have speculated, has stopped the bleeding, but he's undeniably wounded. Over time, the effect of those attacks may fade.
By the way, I think these sorts of trends explain Clinton's recent willingness to openly discuss Rev. Wright. Keeping Wright on voters minds may be enough to affect the polls; now that everyone's seen the videos, keeping Obama's favorability low may simply be a matter of mentioning the name on occasion. Clinton doesn't even need to openly critique Obama's relationship with TUCC. Instead, she can simply remind voters of the pastor, avoiding explicit critique, but implicitly suggest Obama's relationship reflects poorly on his character. Unless Clinton is convinced the attack will blowback, it could well be as effective as NAFTA-gate, the sort of attack that uproots Obama's core appeal as uniquely honest, authentic, and reasonable.
I get a little sick just thinking about it. I really hope superdelegates, party insiders and media see through her strategy, and push back hard. With any luck, that pressure will convince Clinton that subtle wink-and-nod Wright attacks are simply unacceptable, since they inflict political scars sure to have a serious effect on the Democrat's chances in general.
March 26, 2008 10:22 AM | Reply | Permalink
This is excellent news for Hillary -- in 2012.
Clinton/Sinbad 2012: Even More Experience!
March 26, 2008 9:38 AM | Reply | Permalink
Thank you so much, Ms. Harding. Three months ago, either of you would have been a lead-pipe cinch to beat John McCain into a bloody pulp. Now we have to deal with his senile old ass for the next four years all the while praying for his health so his evil-bastard-yet-to-be-named Veep won't get to the Oval Office. Nice.
March 26, 2008 9:41 AM | Reply | Permalink
Maybe Clinton can turn this around with more meetings with Richard Mellon Scaife.
March 26, 2008 10:04 AM | Reply | Permalink
The Clinton 12 campaign is going swimmingly.
March 26, 2008 10:27 AM | Reply | Permalink
I am not giving up hope of flipping Missouri blue this fall, but I confess that my confindence is failing. Here's hoping that this all turns around after the conventions.
March 26, 2008 10:47 AM | Reply | Permalink
Here is a modest proposal to help the Missouri situation: let Obama choose Sen Claire McCaskill as his running mate. This plan has three obvious advantages: 1) as a white woman, she will help to smooth over the friction Obama has created with loyal democratic women who think that he has stepped on the first viable woman candidate's chances, 2) as a Missourian she can help him flip this important, bellweather, swing state blue and 3) it gets her retroactive-telecom-immunity-supporting vote out of the senate, so that those of us from Missouri do not have to wail aloud that we are represented by this turkey.
Everybody wins.
March 26, 2008 11:16 AM | Reply | Permalink
I'm really confused.
If it is Hillary's secret plan to bloody up Obama so McCain wins, giving her a chance to run again in 2012, doesn't she realize that she is going to be even more hated in '12 than she was at the start of this campaign?
Destroying the '08 Democratic chances doesn't endear oneself to them in '12.
Jack Kervorkian would have a better chance of getting elected than Hillary will. EVER.
Should McCain win in '08
ABH in 2012. ANYONE BUT HILLARY!
March 26, 2008 11:30 AM | Reply | Permalink
Obama has the potential to rebound. He has demonstrated as such with the Wright situation. Hillary does not. It is time for the Democrats to end this nomination process before Hillary's lies cause the party to lose in the fall.
March 26, 2008 11:46 AM | Reply | Permalink
I guess for many people it's Anyone but Obama...
This is how the elections are going to look like in November. And Obama has no one to blame but himself. He is unelectable and has been unelectable all along.
March 26, 2008 1:21 PM | Reply | Permalink
If you honestly think Clinton has done nothing to affect both Obama's poll numbers and her own, you are a goddamn idiot.
March 26, 2008 1:38 PM | Reply | Permalink
Harrier;
A little emotionally invested aren't you? Whoa horsey.
March 26, 2008 1:58 PM | Reply | Permalink