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Rasmussen: Sen. Norm Coleman (R-MN) Narrowly Leads Al Franken

A new Rasmussen poll in Minnesota shows Sen. Norm Coleman (R) taking a narrow lead over Al Franken. Here are the numbers, compared to the previous poll from a month ago:

Coleman (R) 48% (+2)
Franken (D) 46% (-3)

With this race going from a narrow Franken lead to a narrow Coleman lead, and all within the margin of error, expect this to be a closely-fought campaign with a lot of reversals in the lead from here to November.


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Once Obama has the nomination tied up, the focus can change. Franken will do fine. Coleman is on John Kerry's target list. He's toast.

We just need to get the presidential nomination taken care of and we can start focusing on Congressional races.

Hillary needs to take a hike.

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Does this have anything to do with the Hatch Acts violations prepetrated by Margaret Spelling, U.S. Secretary of Education, on Tuesday, March 19th?

Inquiring minds wanta know . . .

what is the margin of error for that poll. It's usually 3% or more.
Which means the 2% difference is not significant.
They are tied.

This will be a tough pickup for the dems.
Why Franken? Is the MN DFL so weak it has no internal candidates?

Norm Coleman sucks W's balls for breakfast.

This will be a tough pickup for the dems. Why Franken? Is the MN DFL so weak it has no internal candidates?
Yes.

Is Franken that bad? He doesn't seem like too weak of a candidate from my couch half way across the country, but I know I'm not getting the local perspective.

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Since Mr. Hastert got beat soundly in Illinois, does anyone seriously believe that Mr. Coleman is in a better position than Mr. Hastert's stand in was? I've been saying this since the 2006 election results.....Democrats will go to the polls in record numbers and a significant number of Bush fractured Republicans will stay home in 2008. And since Mr. McCain is now their default presidential candidate, it's a slam dunk on the presidential election no matter what the polls say now. Just as many Republicans loathe Mr. McCain as Democrats, and their ingrained/extreme social and religious biases makess it nearly impossible for many of them to find a "reason" to vote for someone who is moderating/changing his policy views to trick them into voting for him. As the presidential election goes, so goes the nation. Mr. Franken will sail past Mr. Coleman much like Mr. Foster blew by Mr. Hastert on the winds of America's discontent with all things Republican. I think Mr. Franken will do very well in the Senate because he is very intelligent and fair minded human being. And I must say, I really hope he doesn't hesitate to brighten and inform the Senate with his gift for making people laugh and think at the same time.

Well one reason why I think the senate is better off with Franken is that he is blunt and will call it as it is on republican BS.

The only way Dems have a chance to get 60 votes in the Senate is to have Obama at the top of the ticket. This race is the perfect example. Clinton has shown no capacity to take purple states like Minnesota, Wisconsin, Iowa and Colorado.

How about purple states like OHIO and FLORIDA for something to chew on till November.

Has anyone else heard the rumors (I cannot yet call them anything else) of "Stepford" Laurie Coleman showing up at ERs with unexplained facial contusions?

We all know the man is a serious skirt-hound. All we really need is some photos. Anyone?

Ahh..excuse me, I beg to differ that Minnesota is a purple state. Our assembly is majority blue, all major office holders in our state, excepting the governor are DFL. the governor won in a tight race and the DFL candidate Hatch was swift boated in an ad campaign ( funded by a Texas group) right before the election. Major suburban areas that have always gone red, have gone blue in the last 2 national elections. I sincerely, believe Wellstone would have been re-elected. Minnesotans have realized the mistake of ol' Norm the weasel Coleman election. Franken has been actively working the grassroots for a long time here. He is one person who rather than just talk and complain, decided to do something.
I will never forget the incredible turn out for our caucuses and the overwheming victory for Obama. Franken is smart and he is a hometown boy, from the same town as the Coen brothers and Tom Friedman, St Louis Park. So, watch where you cast your colors.

Hooray! They're tied! Gotta love margins of error.

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If the difference between two candidates is within the margin of error, it is pure silliness to claim that either one is in the lead. Thus, to say that the lead switched from Franken to Coleman is wrong. The race went from being statistically tied to remaining statistically tied. If you wrote like this on a statistics exam, you would get a failing grade.

I'm sure I just saw another "legitimate" poll that had Coleman ahead by 10 points. These polls mean very little. The most reliable poll is Zogby. Whatever Zogby says, the opposite is always true.

Al is the best. Now that the challengers are out of the way(for all intent and purpose) Al can start getting out the vote. Maybe a little Obama magic would be just the ticket.

>Why Franken? Is the MN DFL so weak it has no internal candidates?

The MN DFL is truly a disaster. They tend to promote loyal soldiers, people who work within the party apparatus, and people related to great Minnesota politicians of the past. There is some very good young blood in the party, though. I think Franken's celebrity made it a bit intimidating for anyone thinking about a run. Someone did challenge him, but word is it was a half-hearted effort.

I think with a strong candidate Coleman is VERY beatable, especially this year. I'm unsure how Minnesotans will react to Franken, though. (The ironic thing is Coleman is less of a Minnesotan than Franken...)

ya, but, ya, but etc

I do think Franken can win, let me add. He is very smart. And while some might perceive him as smarmy--well, he's running against Norm Coleman, for god's sakes.

Quick Minnesota history lesson.
Al Franken grew up in St. Louis Park, MN, and went to NY to become a star on Sat. Night Live and an author. He moved back a about 3 years ago, I think. He has always been a progressive with strong Minnesota roots.
Norm Coleman grew up in New York and was a Democrat. He became mayor of St. Paul and changed parties. He brokered the building of the Excel Energy Center arena. When the GOP comes to town for their convention, watch him take lots of bows. What is the definition of carpetbagger????

One other thing that saddens lots of Minnesotans; what we had:

If you want real welfare reform, you focus on a good education, good health care and a good job....
If you want to reduce poverty, you focus on a good education, good health care and a good job....
If you want a stable middle class....
If you want to have citizens who can participate in democracy....
And if you want to end the violence … you could build a million new prisons and you could fill them all up, but you will never end this cycle of violence unless you invest in the health and the skill and the intellect and the character of our children — you focus on a good education, good health care and a good job!

And other than that, I don't feel strongly about anything.
Paul Wellstone

And what did we end up with?
Norm Coleman

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