North Carolina doesn't count, so it's meaningless.

Stick a fork in her. If you think that that number for African American isn’t gonna be more like 85%-90% then I got a bridge to sell you. If he wins in Indiana, N. Carolina, & Oregon the delegate gains will more than wipe out any gains in PA. She is like that girlfriend you break up with but still keeps call. It’s time for Obama to get a restraining order.

Hey guys, just a suggestion. Any time you post a new poll like this, any chance you could include the MOE? I know thismuch about sampling and opinion polling, but I do know that a poll with an MOE of + or - 5% or more is essentially a guess. This one, for the record, is + or - 2.8%.

I don't recall ever seeing such a huge swing in one week in a poll. But that raises a red flag so let's see what PPP says next week (they're doing one a week until the May6 primary).

I think that Obama's trip to NC plays a huge role in whatever bounce we're seeing. He was first to come to the state in a campaign stop and the media rewarded him largely with positive coverage.

But Hillary is in NC this week and so they'll do likewise for her and so expect to see a bounce back her way next week. (although Obama is back this week too.)

I've started keeping track of buzzwords from this Democratic primary season. Names, phrases, terms, etc.

Anyone have any more to add?

fully vetted
denounce AND reject
NAFTA
Pastor Wright
hope
superdelegates
red phone
ready on day one
as far as I know
tax records
yes we can
sniper fire
mis-spoke
change
new politics
obamania
billary
obama girl
most secretive in America
typical white person
monster
lucky to be black
needs another pillow
bitch is the new black
Sinbad & Cheryl Crow
Commander in Chief of the economy
Rezko
patriotism
change you can xerox
earmarks
Operation Chaos
Limbaugh vote
polarizing
whatever it takes to win

I did not trust the PPP result last week when he was only ahead by 1 pt and I do not trust it this week when he is ahead by 21 pts. And while we are on the subject, I agree with Invictus that the 80% black support sounds suspiciously low to me.

If I thought that the poll was worth anything to begin with, I would find that narrow Clinton lead among whites to be very significant grist for the mill. As it happens, however, I find the whole thing implausible, so there is no sense dwelling on any one aspect of the results.

What Eric doesn't mention from the PPP report:

"The poll also showed that a possible John Edwards endorsement wouldn't do much for Hillary Clinton's prospects in the state. 31% of voters who are either undecided or support Obama said an Edwards endorsement would make them less likely to vote for Clinton, compared to just 12% who said it would make them more likely to support her. A majority of voters, 57%, said an Edwards endorsement would have no impact on them one way or the other."

This could explain why she is trying to milk the Wright thing again, even after its udders are dry like a desert. Desperation..

Hey guys can anybody tell me why the IRON ***** is still in this thing?Does she have NO Decency as if she knew what that meant?Does she know the meaning of the word Honesty?Not likely.Also Heaven forbid she should learn how to tell the truth!!!Am I wrong in this assumption guys?This move in the POLLS is Huge.I am going to do an IDIOTIC on you guys THIS IS EXCELLANT NEWS FOR YOU KNOW WHO!!!!!

If he can keep it under 10% in PA that will be a win in itself!!!

elonepb:

You overlooked a few buzzwords:

3 a.m.
Good News!!!
meaningless
automatic delegates
send in the clown
audacity
entitled
Judas

I'm sure there are others...

Hillary: Wright "Would Not Have Been My Pastor"

Ouch. BO is still on the beach while Clinton is on the attack.

Public Policy Poll....what a joke... 2 weeks ago, they showed a really tight race and know we are to believe that he has a 21 point lead.... while other polls still show a tight race in north carolina.... they don't vote until may 6..... lots can happen between know and then.... wait after hillary wins pa and then lets start looking at those north carolina polls.

Where is idiotic when you need him?

MOE 3.8% - it's phone polling, so I'm not exactly big on PPP's methodology.

But Obama above 50% sounds closer to my gut feeling about NC. Limited Limbaugh factor; big Obama support in the Triangle, Triad and west of the state; and a genuine excitement about the primary counting, after thinking the legislature's failure to move it had relegated it to irrelevance.

good news for obama, but let's not forget that PPP has consistently been one of the more egregiously wrong polling firms this primary season.

That said, Obama's lead is probably only 10 pts, give or take a few, and he will win that state.

Wow, this is comforting. Polls generally are meaningless, but I was getting worried about NC. Good rebound after the wright stuff. I guess we'll see what the voting looks like, but this is comforting. If the poll was tight, I would be much more worried. I think he weathered the storm and now its onto the nomination and mccain.

Please supers put a stop to the clintons. They are trying to destroy the dems chances in november so that they can run again in 2012. Please stop the madness.

Look I find Hillary Clinton's tactics rather vile and I view her unfavorably which I didn't before, but even I know she's not saying she's usually better than a human being...

Everyone makes mistakes.

elonepb,

transparency
mis-remembered
wide-stance
entitlement

And ZERO % chance at a cabinet position in an Obama admin Steve Garrett.

Keen Observation indeed.

I have done a statistical analysis of what it would take for Clinton to close the 160+ pledged delegate gap. She would have to win all 10 remaining contests with 65%, in which case she comes out 4 delegates ahead of Obama.

In my analysis, I have three scenarios, one in which she carries all 10 contests with 60% and still falls short, one in which she carries all 10 with 65% and indeed pulls ahead and the third scenario: the likely outcome of those ten contests, based on geography, demographics and past results in the region. The blog is here calculations for those l.

Go take a look and see the numbers for yourself.

I am sure the Clinton team already knows these numbers.

Game over.

Quick, someone toss a bucket of water on Old Iron Pants. For christsakes, melt The Heroine of Tuzla, before the party goes up in flames.

bonncaruso,
it aint over till the convention. period.

let the process work itself out. The SDs have to have a say and they haven't spoken.

McCain is doing himself in by his own words. Heh,
3 months of him opening his mouth and putting his foot in it and the people could elect a dog catcher.

The reason the primaries have become essentially tied, is due to the competing strategies, top down, vs. 50 state.

The SDs will decide this one. Game aint over YET!

Obama re-clinched many of his white supporters with his speech (and he, thankfully, will have a couple of weeks to re-inspire some of those other white waverers who now need a little more coaxing to believe again in his loyalties), but he also re-clinched the black vote with his speech. And every time she opens her mouth to diss him and the pastor, she loses hope of ever winning that crucial block of voters for herself in the GE. This has got to be a HUGE consideration for superdelegates.

And don't you just love Bill Richardson for sticking his neck out - and for Hillary sticking her nose out - in the nick of time? It's all about momentum, so sweet.

THIS IS EXCELLENT NEWS!! FOR HILLARY!!!

!!!HILLMENTUM™!!!!

Another term for elonepb's list:Tonya Harding

So Hill's going to kneecap Obama in order to make SDs scared to give him their support. Hillary's the nominee - then what?

It makes me feel sick. How dare she.