CRAP! Why do I feel like we were so close to having this thing in-hand and it's slipping away again...

Oh and I am also sure you took note the poll was taken on a Saturday and Sunday which, as proven many times during the campaign, understates tremendously Obama's support which are people that not usually home to answer poll questions on week-ends.

Just sayin'.

I'm going to link to a blog who is predicting that Clinton will narrowly carry Ohio in the popular vote, but Obama will pick up the majority of the delegates. I just started reading his blog but evidently this guy is traveling all over the country and his predictions have been pretty spot-on. He hasn't made a prediction yet in Texas (his commenters are waiting with baited breath!)

http://ruralvotes.com/thefield/?p=809

It will be interesting to see how close he is tomorrow nite. He also says that Ohio results won't be finalized until very late Tuesday nite or even into Wednesday morning, which will keep Clinton from claiming victory on election nite. If Obama carries Texas and Vermont (and perhaps even Rhode Island), his contention is that the media will be focusing on those results and not on Ohio.

It's going to be a very interesting Tuesday evening! :)

Southern Ohio votes much more like Alabama than it does like Wisconsin. That will be big factor. Beware of the polls from that area of Ohio. They will say that they willl vote for Obama at about a 10% higher rate than they will actually do so, in the privacy of the voting booth.

You all know why that is.

Just can't let that go can you liam. I will say one more time that the only demographic that shows voting based on race is African Americans. They are voting 9 to 1 in favor of Obama. Before you call me a racist let me just say that these are the facts. You only agitate people with your comment, it does not help anyone in anyway.

I was hoping Obama would wrap things up on Tuesday, but maybe its karmic justice that he gets killed in Ohio for his completely bullshit demagoguery of the NAFTA issue. 'New kind of politics', by a**.

He's clearly in the free trade camp and rightly so. Ohio's problem is that they can't create any new jobs. Having rapid anti-tax fetishists as governors for 16 years didn't help things. It takes money to invest in education, research, etc.... Would it have killed him to tell people the hard truth about trade and their job losses?

Obama, a very ordinary kind of politician, deserves a very ordinary ass kicking in Ohio.

In the Ohio polling, we've actually witnessed Obama's momentum surge powerfully forward, gradually slow down, come to a dead stop, and now begin to fall back. I sense the same thing may be happening in Texas, though a little less perceptibly. Surprising? Well, considering that Obama's outspent Hilliary 2 to 1, I'd say downright astonishing. I sense a bad night for Obama (3 losses, 1 win) and a long, bloody battle ahead. If either one of these candidates emerges the nominee, it'll be on crutches.

Dark horses, anyone?

Blue Skies demonstrates how focusing on a day or two of polls can really distort a person's perception of events. Thus, in BS's view, closing a twenty point gap in three weeks will, ultimately, result in a disappointing failure for Obama if he doesn't win Ohio.

But Obama supporters are doing the same thing, somewhat, but understandably out of nerves. Obama will do fine tomorrow. Everyone should ignore weekend polls, for the reasons stated above, remember that Obama tends to outperform polls quite a bit, with a couple of exceptions that are easily distinguished, and furthermore remember that Clinton has to win both Ohio and Texas by large margins to even be viable.

We're in good shape. Enjoy the moment.

Liam, it is hard to reason with ignorance. Your arguement makes no sense at all. I suppose if white males were voting at 9 to 1 for Hillary we could just call that a trend? You site a 10% shift in white voting and quickly call them southern racist. As far as senators go, I don't know enough about how many African Americans have ran and been defeated to think your point is valid.

If it's a polling dead heat, then it will come down to who gets their people to the polls. If where I volunteer is any indication (rural part of Texas, heavily hispanic) ... Obama is getting young people to the early voting in staggering numbers.

delaying the inevitable is EXCELLENT NEWS!!! FOR HILLARY!!!!

Terrible news for Hillary... what happened to the double-digit leads that she had just a couple weeks ago? She's lost a lot of support in two must-win states.

Without double digit blowout victories in both Texas and Ohio, the Clinton campaign is dead in the water.

I think this has little to do with Hillary and mostly to do with "Hussein," Farakhan and other Republican tactics, properly timed. These attacks may not work later as the small percentage of the public that is so inclined gets a chance to get over their initial concern.

Has anyone seen Hillary's performance last night? When asked about Barack not being a Muslim, she responded "I take him at his word" "we have no proof otherwise." I think Democrats are in serious trouble. I will not vote for her if she becomes the nominee.