They can blunt the Obama momentum, but not to the tune of a 60-40 blowout, no matter how much spinning the Clinton campaign does.

Besides, if the polls behave as they have in the past, they have as much credibility in predicting the winner as flipping a coin would. Then again, maybe Mark Penn is referring to one of his cherished "microtrends"...the next big thing, according to him.

It now where Obama should hit hard Hillary on the lack of her tax return. Obama should not have any mercy.

I think Penn may be right. And who knows, maybe Clinton will win by 10 points in OH and squeak by in TX. Then the race will go on and anything can happen.

But let me just say that the red phone ad is an INCREDIBLY dumb card to play because of who Clinton will be up against in the general - McCain. Sure it worked for Mondale in '84 against Hart. And then of course it worked out FANTASTICALLY in the general against Reagan.

The longer this goes on, the more often both Clinton and Obama are going to shoot each other in the back and themselves in the foot. Republican 527s will just need to show these ads, followed by a "Vote for McCain in '08" sticker at the end.

Just yesterday I was trying to convince my brother that a longer race strengthens either Dem candidate, and the more it helps them in the general. And yet today I wake up and see nothing but disaster for the Dems in November.

I heard two funny bits this morning on morning joe from barnacle.

1. Why did it take FIVE rings for her to answer the phone? We want an experienced leader that answers the phone on the FIRST ring at 3 am. Obviously, there is a huge problem.

2. Regardless of what happens on Tuesday she will take this to the convention. She will be banging on his car window in the denver convention parking lot challenging him to a debate.

Too funny.

I heard that MikeA
and I thought it was really funny that image of her banging on the car.

I thought Obama should respond to her banging on his car hood by saying ...NO, Hillary...I will not let you have the FIRST questions anymore...so no more debates.

lol

I will not be surprised if Hillary wins both Ohio and Texas by big enough margins to claim that she has regained the momentum. Remember both States are traditionally Republican Presidential States. Many of the voting factors that make those two States vote mostly to elect Republican Presidents, will play out in Hillary's favor tomorrow, and against either her or Senator Obama in November.

One real possibility is that Obama does indeed win Texas, which might seem to eliminate Hillary, but then is completely caught up in his lies about NAFTA-gate, exposing him to relentless and effective criticism from McCain.

Then the question will remain: how viable is Obama going to be in the general election?

If this lie hurts him enough by the time PA rolls around to keep him from winning even there, even though he would seem to have the nomination sewn up, what will that communicate about his viability as a candidate?

By "internal polls" I can only assume Penn meant that they asked a bunch of low level HRC staffers what they thought of it while administering a threat that that their jobs were on the line on the answer.

A Canadian news outlet overstating what one Obama adviser said to a Canadian minister in a casual conversation is not a scandal or a lie, much less one that is GOOD NEWS FOR HILLARY!!!

Last week, McCain lied about not having met with Vicki Iseman's client Paxson before his letter seeking to force a decision (which is of course action in the client's favor). He had a deposition proving the lie, and WaPo had Paxson saying he met with McCain. Aren't you concerned about that actual lie? Do you think we can't as Democrats exploit it and McCain's Keating Five corruption, his wish to bomb Iran?

Hillary is already toast. Even if she ties Texas (hell, even if she wins the popular vote 52-47, which she won't), she _loses_ the delegates awarded on March 4 because of the Texas allocation rules and the Texas caucus. Ohio is a near split, RI, VT likely a net split. Obama will take MS and WY next week. Do the math, people -- his lead is growing in that scenario. And have you noticed the superdelegates refusing to decide this for the Clintons, as the gap has been cut in half? Pennsylvania polls already show Clinton's nobody-paying-attention-yet lead having dwindled to 4 (Rasmussen) or 6 (Quinnipiac).

So go ahead and keep ripping the party apart with snide asides ("NAFTA-gate?!" -- whatever), but you're not much of a Democrat if you want this to go on longer, since she can't win. We need to win in November, and Obama will be the nominee. Richardson will come out for Obama Wednesday, based on his comments yesterday. We need to unite, if we actually are one political party and want to win, and not just a vessel for one family's vanity or intraparty ethnic tensions that would do Iraq proud.

Here's the thing, Marky. If someone on Obama's side were to say something about their internals, I'd be inclined to believe them because they don't have a history of flat-out lying about them.

You, on the other hand, insisted that your internals before Iowa showed that the final Des Moines Register Poll was just completely wrong and its "new" turnout model was completely insane.

In fact, it turned out that the DMR was using the same turnout screen it had always used, its results were pretty much accurate and you admitted, after the thing was over, that you'd just been lying.

So, hey, maybe your internals do show that Hilly's fearmongering ad is working in Ohio, where people generally have more anxiety about life in general than they do in other states. And maybe they're even accurate, rather than just a statistical hallucination like your Super Tuesday polls. But, there's this old story about boys who cry wolf that your mamma apparently never bothered to read to you when you were a child.

Oh, wait, that's right, you were talking to the MSM. Never mind. Carry on. They'll buy anything, apparently.

"Oh yeah, maybe we didn't realize that national security and commander in chief [credentials] have been important and will be important in trying to defeat Senator McCain."

Oh yeah, I hadn't thought of that...

crap, I better vote for Hillary!

But seriously, I watch an hour or two of TV a night. I haven't seen this ad. I've seen Hillary's "working" ad, and Obama's Air Force general ad, and his rockstar ad (the one with all the images and the "rock" beat).

If by "swaying millions" he means "not very many people", I'll agree, if not, not so much.

Why isn't anyone asking Penn (or HRC) what her "national security and commander in chief [credentials]" ARE?????????????? Why isn't Obama pressing this issue??

It seems the national political press cannot stand the potential of the primary campaign essentially ending on Tuesday and has decided to spin the momentum in Hillary's direction, although she has been beaten decisively in 11 straight contests, both primaries and caucuses in, yes, very real and important states. And, not only that, her campaign is still essentially in complete disarray with finger-pointing going on every day, and still no clear, consistent message other than a fear-based negative campaign based on imaginary "experience." Plus, the fact that Obama raised 18 million more than HRC did in February and can actually spend it, rather than paying off Iowa debts and ridiculous salaries to consultants like Mark Penn. And, to top it off, HRC just comes to resemble Margaret Hulahan shrilly yelling and stomping her foot at Hawkeye and Trapper with each passing day. But yet she has momentum....I feel like Josh Baskin in Big raising his hand in the meeting and asking, "I don't get it." I really don't.

OK. Obama told no lies.

There may have been contact from Obama aides with some folk in Canada; but there were general talks about lots of stuff.

The MYTH part of it has been debunked, but, of course the Hillaryites continue to propagate it.