Obama: You Won't See Me As Vice President
Bill Clinton is pushing the idea of a Hillary-Obama ticket, but Obama isn't ready to play along:
Obama was asked by a television reporter, "Can you ever see yourself on the same ticket as Sen. Clinton?"And the freshman Illinois senator replied: "Well, you know, I think it’s premature. You won’t see me as a vice presidential candidate -- you know, I’m running for president. We have won twice as many states as Senator Clinton, and have a higher popular vote, and I think we can maintain our delegate count."
"You won’t see me as a vice presidential candidate," Obama says. Sounds pretty definitive.
Has anyone asked Hillary whether she's open to the idea of being Obama's veep?
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extemporaneous bill IS EXCELLENT NEWS!! FOR HILLARY!!!
March 8, 2008 7:31 PM | Reply | Permalink
Damn. I think "extemporaneous bill" is my favorite lede in to date.
March 8, 2008 8:07 PM | Reply | Permalink
idiotic's posts ARE EXCELLENT NEWS!!! FOR TPMEC READERS!!!!
March 9, 2008 3:01 PM | Reply | Permalink
This is what Obama should have been saying all along. Every time the Clinton campaign suggests the idea of a joint ticket, he should explain that he's not ready to pick a vice president yet. Keep reminding the public that she's running second.
March 8, 2008 7:38 PM | Reply | Permalink
Yep, saying, "NO WAY" is a win for him.
It's obvious they;re polaying the "dream team" crap to try and drum up support from those who really want Obama, but like Clinton, too.
Obama basically told everybody, "the only way you ahve me is to put me at the top of the ticket."
Check and mate.
March 9, 2008 12:21 AM | Reply | Permalink
Hillary, unfortunately will never be vice president either. After Obama gets the nomination there's no chance that he'd want to contaminate his positive message of home and change with that monster on his ticket. Nevertheless, it's still curious that he doesn't pass her "threshold," but she and Bill would still want him as VP.
March 9, 2008 6:24 AM | Reply | Permalink
I think he should say something along the lines of Hillary seems interested in being VP on my ticket and I think that is an idea worth considering. Every time she floats the idea of a joint ticket - he should float it with the idea of her as VP. He's ahead - so a joint ticket should automatically mean him at the top. That's the narrative that should stick from this.
March 9, 2008 10:59 AM | Reply | Permalink
i wish Obama would respond to it by saying "I dont understand why Hillary wants me to be her VP since she keeps saying I am not ready to be President. Guess Bill Clinton thinks I have crossed that CiC treshold AFTER ALL"
March 8, 2008 7:39 PM | Reply | Permalink
I'm glad to hear him stand firm. There is only one way I'd support it though, and this is my opinion, it would be if she somehow miraculously garnered the delegate lead (without superdelegates). If she won it fairly - I'd support a Clinton Obama ticket. If she doesn't, I can't support it.
March 8, 2008 7:39 PM | Reply | Permalink
God Damn it feels good to be an Obaman today! He's gonna win this thing! The numbers don't lie.
Howard Wolfson can iron my fucking shirt!
March 8, 2008 7:39 PM | Reply | Permalink
Since he's in the lead in every plausible metric, that's the only answer that makes sense.
Webb for VP! We need Strickland here in OH to keep spreading the dems throughout state gov.
March 8, 2008 7:40 PM | Reply | Permalink
Biden? Wesley Clark?
March 8, 2008 7:56 PM | Reply | Permalink
Webb!!! Webb all the way. Obama/Webb 08. Awesome ticket.
March 8, 2008 8:15 PM | Reply | Permalink
Um, me thinks Mr. Clark is an advisor for Mrs. Clinton.
March 8, 2008 8:50 PM | Reply | Permalink
Webb or Biden.
March 8, 2008 10:15 PM | Reply | Permalink
Okay. I think what he was saying is that he will be the nominee and not the VP candidate. That is why he said it was premature and that he had more states, etc. What he basically said was that he was going to win.
March 8, 2008 7:40 PM | Reply | Permalink
Now, if we could just capitalize his name on the TPM frontpage.
March 8, 2008 7:44 PM | Reply | Permalink
Part of me supports Obama/Clinton if only because then this really would be the 1960 election redux.
Obama/Clinton = Kennedy/Johnson, only neither of the current nominees has as much legislative experience as Kennedy or Johnson.
And McCain is Richard Nixon!
The only person who doesn't fit their role is Bush, because he isn't 1/100th as good a president as Eisenhower was.
March 8, 2008 7:45 PM | Reply | Permalink
Bush isn't 1/100th the President that Eisenhower was, but he makes up for it by being 100 times for corrupt and incompetent.
March 8, 2008 7:51 PM | Reply | Permalink
Yeah, but there is all this fun, anecdotal, conspiracy theory intermixed with history, circumstantial evidence that LBJ may have known about if not had a hand in JFK's assasination. I don't want my man under that kind of pressure. A clinton will do anything to get what they think belongs to them.
March 8, 2008 8:03 PM | Reply | Permalink
Wow - if the Clintons actually put as much effort into trying to win elections as they put into winning the news cycle they might not be in the middle of losing 13 of the last 16 primaries (14 of 17 after they lose Miss. on Tuesday)
Heck, they might have also ended up actually winning the facts out of Texas (delegates) instead of just winning the perception (the networks called Texas for Clinton!).
March 8, 2008 7:48 PM | Reply | Permalink
In the unlikely event that she wins the nomination, Clinton will be lucky to get Lieberman to run as her VP.
Every step that Clinton takes to salvage the Democratic party nomination for herself, makes it less likely that she will be able to beat McCain.
Her negative ratings were 50% before the primaries began. Her negative campaigning against Obama, must have raised that significantly. (Anyone have any data?)
Her arguments for herself, and her arguments for McCain, weaken her chances in the general. Who really does have the experience to answer the 3am phone call? Certainly McCain has more than Clinton.
Why would Obama want to align himself with the inevitable November train wreck?
March 8, 2008 7:48 PM | Reply | Permalink
Seriously, don't even joke about Clinton/Lieberman.
March 8, 2008 8:11 PM | Reply | Permalink
Why not? It's somebody's dream ticket for sure.
March 9, 2008 12:02 AM | Reply | Permalink
No more definitive than John Edwards public rejections of the VP possibility in 2004.
March 8, 2008 7:50 PM | Reply | Permalink
There is no way Obama should select someone like HRC to be his vice president.
No one should become vice president due to nepotism and being related to a former president. She simply isn't qualified to be VPOTUS
He should pick someone who is credible and who accomplished.
March 8, 2008 7:51 PM | Reply | Permalink
Hell yeah!
March 8, 2008 7:51 PM | Reply | Permalink
Considering that Hillary and I have similar foreign policy experience, I hereby submit my name - officially - as a candidate for Senator Clinton's running mate.
Say goodbye to refugee crises in Kosovo - and say hello to me, SINBAD!
March 8, 2008 7:54 PM | Reply | Permalink
And I'm sure you've performed, I mean served in a diplomatic capacity, in Ireland as well. You sir, have crossed the Commander in Chief threshhold. Welcome!
March 8, 2008 8:03 PM | Reply | Permalink
Too funny. I am still laughing.
March 8, 2008 8:16 PM | Reply | Permalink
Hear! Hear! Sinbad for Veep!
March 8, 2008 8:39 PM | Reply | Permalink
*
Bill Clinton is offering the Vice Presidential slot to Senator Obama.
So much for all that bluster about Hillary as a Big Strong Independent Woman who would be totally in charge. Bill is the one who is selecting and openly offering the Vice President slot to Senator Obama. I guess Bill and Hillary do not feel that Big Strong Hillary is capable of handling such a "Ready From Day One" executive decision. Step aside Hillary and let Big Foot Bill handle it for you.
Tell us again about what a fine feminist example Hillary is.
Bill is still calling the shots.
March 8, 2008 7:55 PM | Reply | Permalink
If HRC manages to win the nomination Obama should not join the ticket.
With Bill Clinton being married to the president will mean the VPOTUS will go back to being a meaningless position.
Obama should enthusiastically support Clinton if she is the nominee. If she wins he should run for governor in 2010. If she loses he should stay in the Senate and run for president in 2012.
March 8, 2008 7:56 PM | Reply | Permalink
They want his fundraising power without giving up authority. Obama knows they need him more than he needs them right now. Without Obama, the Democrats are starting to realize that Hillary will do almost as well as Mondale did. Almost.
I had a conversation with my dad today. He's a Texan republican. I have almost talked him into voting for Obama, because the republicans have committed such epic fail with Bush. He's ashamed of them for that. However, there is no way in hell he would ever vote for Clinton.
March 8, 2008 8:05 PM | Reply | Permalink
Not only did Rep. King smear Obama today, the Iowa paper that reported it also contained this patently false reporting of Obama's policy on the War on Terror.
The Obama campaign needs to get the paper to immediately pull down and correct the web version of the story and to issue a correction and apology in it's next print edition.
March 8, 2008 8:05 PM | Reply | Permalink
Has anyone bothered to ask Hillary if she'd be VP?
I know it is non-intuitive to the lily white press corp to consider such a thing.
But she is losing, and they will look like racists if they keep this up.
March 8, 2008 8:06 PM | Reply | Permalink
She's trash. No reason he should pick her.
Basura, for our Spanish speaking friends.
March 8, 2008 8:06 PM | Reply | Permalink
I think Barack would be on anyone's short list.
March 8, 2008 8:08 PM | Reply | Permalink
Obama shoukd turn the question around and ask the reporter if they have asked Hillary this question ,and why not.
Talk about huge ugly double standards.
March 8, 2008 8:09 PM | Reply | Permalink
Well, Obama hasn't been talking about Hillary as a VP nominee. But someone should really ask if Hillary would like to be Obama's VP.
March 8, 2008 8:28 PM | Reply | Permalink
Good for him. Don't take the bait.
He's smart to do this and here's why:
1) Obama's vision for America does not include the ugly, divisive tactics of HRC's.
2) He is not going to play the "sidekick" figure that HRC and her old white crowd think that minorities should play. You know, like that asian boy in Raiders of the Lost Ark, or the black partner to the white cop. Sorry, he will not be the "bone" that HRC throws to the African American community in a spirit of tokenism.
3) After Al Gore's experience, no sane person would want to play VP #2 to Bill Clinton. Playing VP #2 to Hillary was bad enough.
4) I think he truly doesn't want to be VP. He is something of an idealist. The VP is a job, like governor, for people who want to hold high offices, instead of people who want to change the country.
5) Hillary can not win mathematically. She can't catch up. She;s hoping to try to steal the nomination in the back room. Problem is, if the first AA candidate in US history is robbed, the AA community (not to mention the millions of young people) will sit out November. She is guaranteed a loss if she steals it. By refusing to allow her to steal the nomination and put him as VP to quell the outrage, he is calling her bluff.
March 8, 2008 8:09 PM | Reply | Permalink
Hey, don't trash-talk Short Round!
March 8, 2008 8:45 PM | Reply | Permalink
Al Gore's VP gig was extraordinary. He was left out of the loop in fellatiogate, which occasioned his petulant decision to exclude Bill from the '00 campaign cost him the White House (which may be the best thing that ever happen to him.)
March 8, 2008 10:07 PM | Reply | Permalink
I am an old person; but I won't vote for Hillary in the fall. Her actions in the past couple of weeks have convinced me that there is no party unity for me to maintain by voting for her. She will just further injure the party, increase the neocon agenda accomplishments, and make it even harder to get a Democrat elected president anytime soon.
We're not always going to be trying to win an election following a really horrible president like Bush.
March 9, 2008 10:43 PM | Reply | Permalink
Has anyone asked Bill whether he's open to the idea of being Obama's veep?
March 8, 2008 8:10 PM | Reply | Permalink
Maybe that's how Obama should return the volley:
"I'd be interested in discussing with Clinton how HE would feel about serving as my vice president -- but as for Hillary, I'm not sure I'd want someone to serve under me who doesn't think I cross the commander in chief threshold.."
Ha... too good...
March 8, 2008 8:31 PM | Reply | Permalink
I think the only way she could be VP is if she agrees to withdraw from the race this month.
Otherwise, she's just scorching the earth and not paying a price.
March 8, 2008 8:11 PM | Reply | Permalink
I'm thinking she's well past the point where O would consider her for VP, with the turning point the week she said she was honored to run with him and 48 hours later issued the Shame on You remark. I sincerely hope, as a matter of principle, that O has simply ruled out HRC. We also have to hope that any senior Dem officials don't press hard to put together the ticket. If a combination of Dean, Gore, Edwards, etc. strongly pushes and O-HRC ticket, we could get stuck with one. Which puts us back at risk for a huge Repub turnout to vote against HRC. Not good...
March 8, 2008 8:32 PM | Reply | Permalink
Hell no.
He's leading in every way possible: popular votes, pledged delegates, and morally.
She is bringing the party and the level of discussion down in every way - race-baiting, smears based on lies, attempting to steal elections in Michigan and Florida, and now this insult.
Oh, yeah, and she voted for a stupid war that thousands of US soldiers, and hundreds of ordinary Iraqis have died in.
She certainly is not worthy of the vice-presidency, and right now I don't know she is worthy of being re-elected Senator.
March 8, 2008 8:18 PM | Reply | Permalink
Oops - that should have read 'Oh, yeah, and she voted for a stupid war that thousands of US soldiers, and hundreds ***of thousands*** of ordinary Iraqis have died in'.
March 8, 2008 8:23 PM | Reply | Permalink
for my money, i'm calling Obama's best choice for VP to be Wes Clark. an acceptable laurel branch to the Clintonistas, shrewder campaigner (since 2004), vastly experienced in military and foreign policy. just the kind of guy to fight the tough fights a VP is supposed to, and takes a whole bunch of wind out of John McCain's sails.
calling it now.
March 8, 2008 8:21 PM | Reply | Permalink
I'd agree. I've been a big Clark far (I voted for him in the 2004 primary) but he always seems to sort of miss the mark in public. He has a great resume, but just doesn't quite seem ready for prime time.
My money is on Webb or Biden. Webb has foreign policy credentials and is young enough that in 8 years, he'd be groomed for his run.
March 8, 2008 10:32 PM | Reply | Permalink
If he wins the nomination I doubt if Obama, after presumably vanquishing one neocon war criminal, would add another (albeit from a different war) to his ticket. Wesley Clark is the wrong way to go in every sense of that word.
Better someone like Rep. Kucinich (and I'm only half-joking)
March 9, 2008 10:20 PM | Reply | Permalink
Good for him. Even if he weren't winning, he would still have a very bright future ahead of him that would be tarnished if he were formally associated with her.
If by chance, she were to steal the nomination:
1. She would lose to McCain as many folks, myself included, would never vote for her particularly after the campaign she's run
2. He could easily either come back and run again in 2012 or first become Governor of IL for a term.
March 8, 2008 8:23 PM | Reply | Permalink
Obama/Webb '08!
March 8, 2008 8:23 PM | Reply | Permalink
I think Hillary could certainly do better than Obama!! I hope, after her big win, she will pick someone like Biden or Senator Evan Bayh from Indiana. Obama is too "green"...and there are too many unanswered questions about him.
March 8, 2008 8:24 PM | Reply | Permalink
Sinbad knows what you mean. Is he a Muslim? Is he in the pocket of the A-Rabs?
I don't think he is...AS FAR AS I KNOW!
March 8, 2008 8:28 PM | Reply | Permalink
:)) oh, that was just perfect!
March 8, 2008 8:41 PM | Reply | Permalink
Do tell. What are these unanswered questions? And how do they compare to the unanswered questions about Hillary, like, say . . .
What was your security clearance when you were first lady?
How many conferences during national security crises did you sit in on down in the White House Situation Room?
What crises of any kind have you ever managed that didn't involve your husband's bimbo eruptions or Mark Penn's big mouth?
Why are you and Bill still holding up the release of information from the archives dating to your days as First Lady?
Where did you and your husband make all that money? Why won't you release your tax returns so we can see? Why was it bad that Rick Lazio wouldn't release his returns when you were running against him, but totally okay that you haven't released yours?
Speaking of Bill, why is he still cozying up to the dictator of Boratland?
And, speaking of money, how was it, exactly, that you made all that money on the cattles future market?
What jobs in your "35 years of experience" are not attributable to your husband's influence or position?
How exactly is it that your twelve years servicing big corporations as a partner at the Rose Law Firm count as an important part of the 35 years of experience you say you'll bring to the White House, but Obama's twelve years as a civil rights lawyer and teaching Constitutional Law at the University of Chicago don't count as meaningful experience at all?
Oh, never mind. Since she's been so thoroughly vetted already, I guess it isn't troubling at all that there are still unanswered questions.
March 9, 2008 1:47 AM | Reply | Permalink
"I think Hillary could certainly do better than Obama!! I hope, after her big win"
Big win where?
She will lose the majority of the remaining states: Mississippi on Tuesday and North Carolina and several others.
She's doomed, my friend.
March 8, 2008 8:30 PM | Reply | Permalink
How about Pennsylvania, which is reliably Democratic, unlike Mississippi and North Carolina, which are reliably Republican?
March 8, 2008 8:36 PM | Reply | Permalink
"Reliably Republican" is a self-fulfilling prophecy.
March 8, 2008 9:16 PM | Reply | Permalink
I just got back from an Obama event where former Gov Ray Maybus of MS (the last democratic govenor of MS) spoke. He thinks Obama would put MS in Play. Forgive me if I choose his assesment of the political realities in MS over yours.
March 9, 2008 12:13 AM | Reply | Permalink
Obama has won over 20 states, but 10 of them--Alabama, Alaska, Idaho, Kansas, Nebraska, North Dakota, South Carolina, Utah, Vermont and Wyoming--have not voted for a Democrat since at least before '88, and are unlikely to do so this year. Two more states Obama won--Colorado & Georgia--have only gone to the Dems once in the past five presidential elections; and three more--Louisiana, Missouri & Tennessee--only voted for a Democrat when that Democrat's name was Bill Clinton.
Please start looking at this practically, people. According to a fine post summarizing the Survey USA 50-state match-ups, both Obama and Clinton ONLY NARROWLY beat McCain, and Survey USA shows him losing reliable Blue states like Pennsylvania and New Jersey. They need to be on the same ticket. Just cause you like the guy, don't imagine he will have a cake walk in the general election. The Republicans found enough voters to elect BUSH in 2004; need I say more?
March 8, 2008 8:30 PM | Reply | Permalink
Sinbad's not sure you understand politics.
Obama will win OH, CA, MA, and NY.
Maybe Sinbad understands these things because he's passed the Commander-In-Chief threshold of foreign policy experience.
Clinton/Sinbad - Ready for Comic Relief on Day One!
March 8, 2008 8:39 PM | Reply | Permalink
LOLOLOL
Sinbad brings the funny!
March 8, 2008 8:55 PM | Reply | Permalink
Check it out:
http://tpmelectioncentral.talkingpointsmemo.com/2008/03/surveyusa_hillary_and_obama_wi.php
March 8, 2008 8:50 PM | Reply | Permalink
I remain skeptical that Obama would lose New Jersey, and I think with some campaigning he could win Pennsylvania.
And I think he does take Colorado in the general. Maybe even Georgia, too. And to top it all off, he takes Virginia.
Plus, don't forget that this poll is a snapshot of the electorate as it stands now in its feelings about the candidates. Obama will come under more fire... but so will McCain. Obama won't pull his punches against McCain like he's tended to with Clinton; the one time so far that they've actually dueled on an issue, Obama slapped McCain silly.
Give St. McCain a taste of Chicago politics, and he might find his halo a little tarnished.
March 8, 2008 9:13 PM | Reply | Permalink
who needs it? Who's they? Neither of them have anything to gain from being on the bottom of the ticket and basically disappearing from political life for 8 years and that is why it will never happen. Both are politicians at the height of their powers right now. They have raised more money and mobilized larger movements of voters than any politicians in the history of the democratic party. A VP slot would be a huge demotion for either of them. Why would they do that? Because looking at it 8 months out, there is some slim chance that the other one might not win? Sorry. Doesn't fly.
March 8, 2008 11:15 PM | Reply | Permalink
Actually, he's won thirty states. So, yeah, more than 20, but a little misleading the way you put it.
Let's write ten of those off, folly though it may be. But what the hell, it's your scenario, let's indulge it.
Two more you say we can toss into that bin. And evidently three more are only winnable if your name is "Clinton." Whatever.
By my count that leaves fifteen states voting for Obama, all of which -- by your metric -- are reliably blue. How many states has Clinton won again?
March 9, 2008 2:06 AM | Reply | Permalink
Will Hillary followers ever understand. Obama is re-writing the formula for political success. There are no more red and blue states. His appeal spans the deep divisions created by the Bush-Clinton political machines to keep the nation in partisan warfare. As long as we are fighting each other, the corporatons rule America. Obama is the best opportunity this nation has seen since Kennedy to become united and address major issues with ideas and visions and hope.
Many Bush and Clinton supporters are addicted to political warfare and mean, dirty politicsa as sport. Enough of them. We the people want America back and the Clintons are trying to prevent that.
March 9, 2008 8:17 AM | Reply | Permalink
Hillary's only argument to the superdelegates is the popular vote. I've been looking carefully at the remaining primaries, and she's going to lose that too. Hillary is going down. Howard Wolfson can iron my motherfuckin' shirt!
March 8, 2008 8:30 PM | Reply | Permalink
Hillary's argument to get the superdelegates is that their job is to nominate someone who can win in November. Remember, Carter had more delegates than Kennedy in 1980, and lost virtually every state to Reagan.
March 8, 2008 8:42 PM | Reply | Permalink
It's not much of an argument when you CAN'T WIN THE NOMINATION OF YOUR OWN PARTY.
March 8, 2008 8:50 PM | Reply | Permalink
a) McCain is no Reagan
b) Barack is no Carter
Kennedy has endorsed Obama.
March 8, 2008 8:51 PM | Reply | Permalink
Hillery is evil! She's like Pol Pot or Idi Amin. She should die in a pit of her own excrement.
March 8, 2008 8:33 PM | Reply | Permalink
I have heard many people say she is "Evil" and has no "Soul" but she told me that she isnt "Evil" and ill have to take her word for it. She isnt EVIL as far as i know.
March 8, 2008 8:41 PM | Reply | Permalink
Hillery is Satan and her cooter smells like a dead hobo's ass. That's why Bill can't keep a chub near her. She should be raped in hell by demons.
March 8, 2008 9:14 PM | Reply | Permalink
You have helped me understand why posts get deleted.
This kind of sentiment reduces us all.
March 9, 2008 12:44 AM | Reply | Permalink
"Humor" or not.
March 9, 2008 2:04 AM | Reply | Permalink
You are disgusting.
March 9, 2008 2:51 AM | Reply | Permalink
Just a guess here, 4eva- you don't have a girlfriend, do you?
March 9, 2008 9:07 AM | Reply | Permalink
Go away, adults are talking.
March 9, 2008 2:34 PM | Reply | Permalink
Evan Bayh of Indiana--the words induce coma. Hillary/Bayh '08. I can picture someone disgustedly scraping off the bumper sticker in late November.
March 8, 2008 8:37 PM | Reply | Permalink
Clinton/Bayh '08 = Lieberman/Lieberman '08
March 8, 2008 8:52 PM | Reply | Permalink
As much as it makes me want to puke, I would vote for a Cli/bama ticket if it came to it.
a) I would vote any ticket with Obama on it, this man/person is the real deal. I am from IL, I have watched his work for 12 years (yes, those 12 years count as experience) and there is a reason he won IL by a larger % than Hil won NY.
b) McCain is insane. We must not let him near 'The Button' under any circumstances.
That being said if HRC by some miracle won and there was a half-way tolerable republican, I would vote anyone but HRC. I used to like her but her campaign has disgusted me.
March 8, 2008 8:45 PM | Reply | Permalink
"McCain is insane"
That's why they call it the Straight Jacket Express.
March 8, 2008 8:56 PM | Reply | Permalink
Put away your barf bag. It ain't gonna happen.
March 8, 2008 8:54 PM | Reply | Permalink
"Evan Bayh of Indiana--the words induce coma. Hillary/Bayh '08. I can picture someone disgustedly scraping off the bumper sticker in late November."
It's Mondale-Ferraro in reverse. LOL
March 8, 2008 8:58 PM | Reply | Permalink
If Hillary is on the ticket with Obama,he will no longer draw Independents and Moderate Republicans. They want no part of any ticket that has Hillary on it. She has the highest negative ratings of all the people who ran this year, and she has had those same high negative ratings for several years. Any ticket with Hillary on it is doomed.
March 8, 2008 8:58 PM | Reply | Permalink
"Hillary's argument to get the superdelegates is that their job is to nominate someone who can win in November. Remember, Carter had more delegates than Kennedy in 1980, and lost virtually every state to Reagan."
Carter lost, in part, to Ted Kennedy's no-surrender slash-and-burn campaign against him in the primaries. It was ugly and divided the party. Hillary is acting just like Kennedy did, the ungracious asshole spoiler.
At some point, candidates who lose need to bow out. HRC is just an asshole.
March 8, 2008 9:01 PM | Reply | Permalink
I wonder if that's part of why Ted endorsed Obama this time. Deciding to go with the nice guy for a change?
March 8, 2008 9:15 PM | Reply | Permalink
Sinbad, you rock.
March 8, 2008 9:01 PM | Reply | Permalink
Obama would be the world's biggest hypocrite if he ran with Mrs. Bill Clinton in any combination. How could you possibly promise change and then help bring the Clintons back to power? They with the Bushes have created the politics of division that prevents meaningful action on any issue. How could Obama keep his integrity in a campaign with the Clintons?
If Hillary is nominated, irrespective of who her running mate is, the Democratic party will be deeply divided. We are witnessing the same type of dishonesty and deception from Hillary in her win at any cost campaign, that we have seem from Bush. We know what a presidency built on lies, family ties, corporate dollars and constant spin is like. Never again.
Obama can win the presidency on this own and leave the Clintons behind.
March 8, 2008 9:03 PM | Reply | Permalink
By the same token, how can Hillary one minute say that Barack is so unqualified that McCain would be better, and then in the next sentence suggest a possible "dream" (nightmare) ticket??
Talk about hypocrisy. It's just mind boggling.
March 8, 2008 10:01 PM | Reply | Permalink
>>>I think the only way she could be VP is if she agrees to withdraw from the race this month.
Correction: next week. Within 48 hours after the Mississippi primary. Her last chance.
March 8, 2008 9:27 PM | Reply | Permalink
McCain will eat Obama for lunch. McCain-Obama means a very close contest and a probable McCain win. Hillary would beat McCain by 3 or 4 points.
The problem is that Obama does not win white Democrats and with his dependance on independent voters, who are often ticket splitters, he won`t have coat tails. Everyone should stop this nonsense about super delegates, most of them are elected office holders and the program has been around since 1980. In fact, the purpose of these super delegates is to avoid giving the nomination to someone like Obama. Clinton/Obama would indeed be a winning ticket.
March 8, 2008 9:28 PM | Reply | Permalink
"McCain-Obama means a very close contest and a probable McCain win. Hillary would beat McCain by 3 or 4 points."
You get that from your call to the psychic hotline? Gee, they told me just the reverse.
Oh, well, I'm not worried about Hillary getting the nomination, because that's not going to happen. But I AM worried about her big push all of a sudden to get the V-P nod. If anything could ruin Obama's chances (more than Hillary's praising of McCain), that would be it. Heck, I'd have to grit my teeth to vote for that ticket, myself. And I'm a big Obama fan.
March 8, 2008 10:04 PM | Reply | Permalink
If Hillary is on the ticket, Obama will be just another politician. I will never vote to put the Clintons back in office. They are the past, leave them there.
March 9, 2008 5:40 PM | Reply | Permalink
TimAZ Polling (formerly known as Zogby).
March 8, 2008 10:38 PM | Reply | Permalink
What? Obama won some white Democrats tonight in Wyoming. He won white Democrats in Wisconsin, Virginia, Maryland, Colorado, etc.
March 8, 2008 9:54 PM | Reply | Permalink
in other news, igor resigns after calling frankenstein "hillary clinton."
March 8, 2008 9:55 PM | Reply | Permalink
here's the unbeatable ticket - obama/hagel.
March 8, 2008 9:57 PM | Reply | Permalink
I say Obama/Chaffee.
Lincoln Chaffe actually endorsed Obama and I believe he's the only Republican who voted against the Iraq war.
March 8, 2008 10:03 PM | Reply | Permalink
hmmmm, interesting. Part of me likes the idea of the unity ticket, but another part of me thinks about 2016 and not having some young stud in waiting.
March 8, 2008 10:36 PM | Reply | Permalink
Don't know if this was posted here...
From HuffPo:
Mikeblackbear See Profile I'm a Fan of Mikeblackbear
Dear Friends,
I have just read and signed the online petition:
"Obama Supporters Who Will Not Vote For Clinton in November"
hosted on the web by PetitionOnline.com, the free online petitionservice, at:
http://www.PetitionOnline.com/obama725/
I personally agree with what this petition says, and I think you mightagree, too. If you can spare a moment, please take a look, and considersigning yourself.
Best wishes,
Mike Willette
replyReply favoriteFavorite Flag as abusive Posted 09:31 PM on 03/08/2008
http://www.petitiononline.com/mod_perl/signed.cgi?obama725&1
March 8, 2008 9:58 PM | Reply | Permalink
Do you know why you wouldn't vote for Clinton if she were to become the nominee? It's because you want to see a President McCain name some more right wing Supreme Court justices, and firmly set the conservative majority on the court for the next generation. Remember how young Roberts and Alito are? They're going to be around for a long, long time. And while you're at it, smile when you think about a president who was one of the original neocon candidates in 2000, John McCain. He sees war as one of the first options for foreign affairs solutions, not the one of last resort. Let's add into the mix his desire to make permanent the Bush tax cuts for the wealthy, privatize Social Security, cause us problems on health insurance, and on and on. So, if you like all those things, then stay home in November,or vote for Nader and accomplish the same thing, casting a de facto vote for McCain, or you can swallow hard and say that you may not like Clinton but she is certainly not a threat in those areas, and cast your vote for her. Of course, it could all be a moot point, and Obama could be the nominee.
March 9, 2008 12:05 AM | Reply | Permalink
"Vote for me because my opponent is worse"
does not make for a strong campaign.
March 9, 2008 2:03 AM | Reply | Permalink
I don't think we ought to dignify the Clinton's Alice in Wonderland worldview much longer. She lost Wyoming. I know, I know, it's a small state so it doesn't matter. And I know, I'm just another Obamabot who hates women.
Please. Enough.
Anyone else have a problem with this attitude about the entirety of the democratic process but me? I thought every vote was supposed to count, not just the ones the loser would prefer to count. Today, again, Obama collected 6 out of 10 votes. Oh, I forgot, they were caucus voters (and Clinton lost, so they shouldn't count as much. He also won the Texas delgate count, too, but that's got to be bad, somehow.... )
I think Obama ought to start, today, running against McCain, and stop trying to respond to the absolute craziness of the Clintonian weirdness. She's tied herself to McCain, out of some perverted and desperate gambit to look like a C in C. Bottom line: this is about the war, and all the corruption that led to going to this war at this time, for all the wrong reasons, and about who's already proven herself unfit to fill the office because she played the game and enabled it all.
Like David Bromwich says: http://news.yahoo.com/s/huffpost/20080308/cm_huffpost/090538
"Last week saw an event in our politics so giddy that we have yet to absorb its implications. Hillary Clinton, flush from her "comeback" in Ohio, told reporters that John McCain inspired her confidence on foreign policy; McCain had certainly "crossed the commander-in-chief threshold." She herself had crossed it, too, she said; but as for Barack Obama, "you'll have to ask Senator Obama" whether he is really prepared to serve as commander-in-chief.
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Puzzling: a contender for the Democratic nomination, praising the Republican nominee as preferable to her Democratic rival. It was a rash act and probably unprecedented. Joe Lieberman did something like it, but only after he declared himself an "independent."
Nor was Senator Clinton finished. In the same session with reporters, she glowed at the thought of herself and John McCain together. "Both of us will be on that stage having crossed that threshold," she said. And again: "I think you'll be able to imagine many things Senator McCain will be able to say. He's never been president, but he will put forth his lifetime of experience. I will put forth my lifetime of experience. Senator Obama will put forth a speech made in 2002."
As other observers have noted, this is the kind of thing you say if you are John McCain's running mate, not what you say if you mean to campaign fiercely against him. It was a remarkably destructive statement--a defection from party loyalty, and a subversion of the principle that is supposed to underlie such loyalty.
...this is the kind of thing you say if you are John McCain's running mate, not what you say if you mean to campaign fiercely against him. It was a remarkably destructive statement--a defection from party loyalty, and a subversion of the principle that is supposed to underlie such loyalty.
To speak so emphatically about the president's role as commander-in-chief is to speak in code. It means all of the following: that war is the foremost thing in our minds when we think of any president; that this is especially so because we are now entangled in a necessary war on many fronts; that what we look for in a president is "a war president" (George W. Bush's description of himself); that the war in question is indeed the "global war" initiated by President Bush; and that a worthy commander-in-chief must be an enthusiast for the perpetuation of that war.
Hillary Clinton is the social-democratic candidate of the war establishment.
John McCain is the right-wing candidate of the war establishment. Both Clinton and McCain know this. They look on each other kindly, and share a disdain that borders on contempt for Barack Obama...."
Un-frickin' believable. Unbelievable.
March 8, 2008 10:05 PM | Reply | Permalink
Obama is too inexperienced to be president. he reminds me off Jimmy Carter, full of idealism but short on working knowledge. He would be smart to take the VP and learn. Unfortunately his ego is bigger than his concern for his country or his party. His wife said it is their turn so every one should roll over for them. Hillary knows how to get things done and that is what we need now. Obama could learn a lot and be a much better President after working with her. She has been my senator now for 8 years and she has been a fabulus representative for all of NY state. It is most important that the Democrats take back the White House and add to their seats in the house and senate. Obama should put the country first and take the VP.
March 8, 2008 10:05 PM | Reply | Permalink
No. Hack.
March 8, 2008 10:14 PM | Reply | Permalink
Ego bigger than concern for the country or party? Everyone should roll over for them? You're talking about Obama?
Do you seriously have this little sense of irony?
March 8, 2008 10:27 PM | Reply | Permalink
I've seen it on every thread, hyperRevue. Don't remember my Psycology 101 too well, but it's something like guilt reversal or projection. It's "in the book" as they say.
March 9, 2008 10:48 PM | Reply | Permalink
Like the great experience she used to run her campaign?
Like the great experience she used when she voted for the war?
Like the great experience she used when she back-stabbed her own party to praise McCain's experience?
Like the great experience she used to blow through $140,000,000 before the contest hardly started.
If that is what experience brings, I will take inexperience any day.
March 8, 2008 10:34 PM | Reply | Permalink
Here is my guess after having read your statement. I don't think you have the slightest idea of the relative amount of "knowledge" that Obama wields as opposed to Clinton. I don't think you have a well formed idea of the political "experience" of either candidate and I think you don't have even a semblance of an argument as to why Clinton is better positioned to win the election and increase our leads in Congress and the Senate than Obama. I think you are saying these things because you want your candidate to win and you have substituted your preferences over any actual measurement of the realities of the situation. I think you are just regurgitating boilerplate talking points.
But I am happy to be proven wrong. I would love to hear some details that somehow demonstrate Clinton's superior knowledge and experience over Obama's. I would love to see how Clinton somehow has better coattails than Obama nationally when she has made a habit of suggesting that most of the states in the country don't matter as far as elections are concerned and has basically written off running strong in most red states and many swing states. Indeed, I would love to see proof of anything you claim. I believe she has probably been a pretty good senator for NY but for anything else.
For the record, I don't have anything against either of these candidates but I also think it would be a major political mistake for either of them to relegate themselves to the role of VP. They are both two of the best politicians the party has to offer right now and significantly better than the useless political role of VP.
March 8, 2008 11:36 PM | Reply | Permalink
That would be a more attractive argument if Clinton had ever done anything on the national stage.
Winning the Democratic nomination on the ground would be a good start.
March 8, 2008 11:37 PM | Reply | Permalink
Taking back the White House and putting the Clintons in it does nothing for America. They are the same as the Bushes. The minor detail of party registration is pointtless. With the Clintons the corporations will rule. They banks, oil companies, health care and drug companies, defense contractors and WalMart will continue their warmongering and profiteering.
WE NEED CHANGE which means no Clintons or Bushes.
March 9, 2008 8:22 AM | Reply | Permalink
Honest question- what does HRC know? *Every* time someone holds her up to true scrutiny, it turns out she exaggerated to the point of lying. The latest I read was in response to WJC saying HRC had it right on Rwanda. Go read http://obsidianwings.blogs.com/obsidian_wings/2008/03/hilary-clinton.html#more
March 9, 2008 9:27 AM | Reply | Permalink
Mondale and Humphrey were great Minesota senators.
March 9, 2008 11:32 AM | Reply | Permalink
Bravo, Obama. It's about time you put an end to that nonsense.
It feels as if the media tide is turning again. Good win in Wyoming. Finally some media outlets are calling Hillary on her foreign policy experience bullshit. And now he's putting an end to the him as a VP ridiculousness.
March 8, 2008 10:19 PM | Reply | Permalink
Again:
"...this is the kind of thing you say if you are John McCain's running mate, not what you say if you mean to campaign fiercely against him. It was a remarkably destructive statement--a defection from party loyalty, and a subversion of the principle that is supposed to underlie such loyalty."
Hillary is running now as McCain's running mate.
Why?
March 8, 2008 10:20 PM | Reply | Permalink
Another sad day for Clinton supporters. Cry yourself to sleep guys, but don't forget, another beat-down comes next week.
March 8, 2008 10:32 PM | Reply | Permalink
I have wondered which side would finally stop ignoring the eight-hundred pound gorilla in the room. We were just talking about this at work yesterday. Actually, we've been talking about it even before either candidate announced their runs. I thought John Dean had an interesting take on this: http://writ.news.findlaw.com/dean/20080307.html
March 8, 2008 10:40 PM | Reply | Permalink
There is no way the Obama would be #2 on her ticket. If she wins, and it is the Clinton/Bayh ticket (the likely combination in my opinion), Obama is in the strongest position ever to run either for a) 2012 or b) Ill. Gov. in 2010.
However, should Obama win the nomination (as I hope it does), the two names that make the most sense to me to be his number 2 are Webb and Zinni. They each can neutralize McCain's strength and potentially help in their respective home states, Virginia and Pennsylvania. Webb's downside is that he is also new to the senate; Zinni, on the other hand, has gold star military credentials, appropriately criticized the conduct of the war, and comes from the Philly burbs that have a huge politically moderate population that would otherwise go to McCain.
March 8, 2008 10:40 PM | Reply | Permalink
Was John Edwards ever ahead in delegates?
March 8, 2008 10:46 PM | Reply | Permalink
Who is John Edwards?
March 8, 2008 10:57 PM | Reply | Permalink
well Hillary was never ahead in Pledge delegates
March 8, 2008 11:05 PM | Reply | Permalink
Talk about the height of arrogance!
The candidate losing all categories save the party insider supers is throwing the idea that the frontrunner would be a fine VP to them??? And the media reports it WITH A STRAIGHT FACE???
Good grief. Obama has won far more states, did not lose any state by a large margin (save Arkansas) has won something like 13 of the last 16 contests all across the country, leads in all categories that could possibly dictate a winner, AND STILL all the media can do is talk about what the Clintons want?
No wonder the world wonders how dumb half this country can be to elect and then reelect GW.
March 8, 2008 10:50 PM | Reply | Permalink
The president should be the president of the people, not acres. It doesn't matter that Obama won more states than Clinton. What matters is that she won where most of the people live. I am not ignoring or minimizing electoral vote concerns, or the concerns of smaller states, I am only suggesting that being too proud of the number of states much is a little simple, and you also have to win over the large concentrations of voters in the larger states, too.
March 8, 2008 11:51 PM | Reply | Permalink
Clark is a Hillary supporter and an advisor I think. However, if Obama is the nominee and the VP spot were offered, he may well jump ship. I have also heard Anthony Zinni mentioned as a possible. He was cent-com commander in Iraq before the War and opposed the War. He has been a very out spoken critic since the beginning. Obama should point out that Hillary's JUDGEMENT on the War, the Iran vote and the Bankruptcy Bill make her not a good candidate for VP. After all, a VP needs to be able to be President and needs sound judgement.
March 8, 2008 11:15 PM | Reply | Permalink
If Clark were to accept a Veep offer should Obama be the nominee, that wouldn't make him a traitor. It would just mean that he was standing four square behind his party's nominee, and pledging his best to help the country, the party, and the nominee in the November election.
As far as the question about stealing the nomination with the super delegates. Their reason for being is to vote their consciences, not mirror the popular vote. If that means Clinton, then so be it, and it would likely be a case where the elected delegates were within striking distance of one another. I don't think they would ever overturn a race in which the two candidates were far apart.
March 8, 2008 11:43 PM | Reply | Permalink
You are so right on #5. If the Clintons try to steal this nomination or attempt to get the Supers to over ride the voters (who has the most earned delegates) there will be hell to pay in November. After such a huge turnout in the primary s eason, you will see a huge voting block disappear overnight stopping their contributions in the process. Do the math. Why are the Party big shots being straight with Hillary. Don't they care that she is tearing down the Party.
March 8, 2008 11:24 PM | Reply | Permalink
How can Obama be the Vp when the whole point of a vp is to be ready at 3 am when the call says that the president has died. we know obama can't answer the phone because HRC told us. did Obama cross the cic threshold and no one told us or is the cic threshold somewhere in Pennsylvania and by the time that election is over and HRC has won then Obama will have crossed it? Hillary and Bill are confusing me.
March 8, 2008 11:34 PM | Reply | Permalink
Maybe Obama should just ask Bill to be VP. He's the more popular Clinton anyway.
March 8, 2008 11:37 PM | Reply | Permalink
Webb as VP? Does the Obamanation support immunity for the criminal telecoms, because Webb sure does.
March 8, 2008 11:48 PM | Reply | Permalink
Sinbad- Please remind these nice folks about YOUR CiC credetials:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/First_Kid
March 9, 2008 12:15 AM | Reply | Permalink
acf_ma...please. Your argument about all the voters are in *big* states MIGHT hold water if the Clintons held the popular vote lead.
They don't.
And the most voters? That would be the UNITED States of America, not just NY and Calif.
BTW...those *big* very blue states? Hillary could only get 52% of the vote in California...she won by only 9%. And NY, her second (or was it third) home state? She could only get 57% of their vote to win by 17%.
Barack's home state? Illinois gave him 65% of their vote. He beat the Clintons by 35%!
So let's see....who's really strong in those *big* blue states?
http://www.thegreenpapers.com/P08/tally.phtml
March 9, 2008 12:30 AM | Reply | Permalink
WHAT A SPOILED IMMATURE CHILD.
March 9, 2008 12:34 AM | Reply | Permalink
i am from illinois and i would like to know what he did while there???? many voted for the senator from illinois because what state would not want theier senator president. but really he has not done much more when he was a citizen then many civic leaders around the city in chicago. get real with this unsubstantiated praising.
March 9, 2008 1:11 AM | Reply | Permalink
How can you not know he passed a law to videotape interrogations and confessions to stop suspects from being beaten into giving false confession?
At first, even the governor was against it as well as the police, but Obama convinced them to change their minds.
It's the obvious law to point to when ever someone questions "But what has Obama actually done?"
He also co-sponsored the toughest ehtics reform laws in the US Senate.
Judge him by his laws.
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2008/01/03/AR2008010303303.html
March 9, 2008 1:27 AM | Reply | Permalink
If you're from Illinois and really don't know what he did, you must either be a Republican or living in an igloo on Lake Michigan. It's just so comical. Come on.
March 9, 2008 6:29 AM | Reply | Permalink
Greg, given my editorial complaint down thread, I have to say this is MUCH better, that hed is the story on the "dream ticket" gambit by the Clintons. And the MSM knew about and reported this at 10:30 LAST NIGHT (Obama rejecting the Clinton bullshit).
I guess, better late than never? But really, TPM Election Central has to do better than this going forward. You can't give the hed to one side floating some bullshit that the other side already rejected THE NIGHT BEFORE!
March 9, 2008 1:19 AM | Reply | Permalink
Let's see, he abolished the death penalty in IL, he got the police to video tape all interogations, he expanded the state health care system to cover more children, passed a huge ethics reform bill... and those are the ones I can think of off hand. Do the research.
What in the hell has HRC done with her 35 years of experience???
March 9, 2008 1:23 AM | Reply | Permalink
Having her on his ticket is like a death wish. He would have to spend all of his time watching his back. Hillary would be very aware of being just a heartbeat away.
March 9, 2008 1:58 AM | Reply | Permalink
I don't understand why everyone is questioning what Hillary has done with her 35 years of experience. She's tough and she knows how to get things done. After all, where would we all be without her fabulous and groundbreaking health care reform of 1993? I, for one, appreciate that every day.
March 9, 2008 7:11 AM | Reply | Permalink
Veep comment: Pure Clinton tactics.
From "Head of State"
http://headofstate.blogspot.com/2008/03/how-obama-can-win.html
"Saturday, March 08, 2008
How Obama Can Win and Win Strong
I am aware of the delegate math.
I know that, unless the Clinton team runs roughshod with regard to superdelegates, the numbers are unassailable.
However, for Obama to not only win, but to win strong, and thus to be in the best position for the general, he must step outside of the box created when Clinton tactics were applied to his own admirable stance.
By declaring himself the candidate of the new politics, putting the politics of Rove et al. aside for a politics of honesty, straight-forward decency, and strength, he has putatively left the field open for Clinton et al. to lob innuendo after innuendo. If he responds, he is in violation of his commitment to the new; if he continues with his current path of non-response, he will be taken down by a series of attacks, that however false or fantastic, will eventually raises doubts in the mind of the electorate as to the validity of his new politics, and will, in the great viscera of the electorate, so responsive and so easily changed, appear "weak."
If he attacks, it is said, he betrays himself; if he continues on the same path, he is whittled down by rumor and insinuation.
Clinton's current strength is her ability to attack, however true the nature and content of the attacks. Obama must turn this very behavior into its own negative. To do so, Obama must relentlessly name what she is doing and anchor it--calling for an "end to the era of 'kitchen sink' politics, i.e.:
"It's about time that we left the era of "kitchen sink" politics, of distortion and insinuation, behind us. We have all seen it before this--a period where it was often difficult to tell falsehood, rumor, and misinformation from truth. It was this type of politics that contributed to a war in which we have lost the best of our national treasure, our nation's men and women. It is this type of politics that our opponents not so long ago decried. And it is this type of politics that, more than anything else, signals weakness--the inability to base one's statements and actions on the firm ground of truth, on our collective and honest dedication to the construction of a new and positive future--and instead, on a retreat into the politics of personal destruction.
It's time to take out the dirty dishes; It's time to empty the kitchen sink. After an era where it was often difficult to distinguish fantasy from truth, it's time to put that era behind us, to base our future efforts on a strong and honest desire to build a new and better future."
What Obama can create is his own "There you go again" moment--one that will both define Clinton (after all, someone has to do it), and place the Clinton camp in their very own box, of their own making: A box where any attack will immediately be associated in the voter's mind, and will be accompanied by a roll of the voter's eyes, as another example of Clinton's "kitchen sink" politics--of the chaotic, inconsistent, contradictory and frantic willingness to say or do anything to be elected, be it the changing of one's personality, tone, degree of honesty--or one's degree of tolerance or gusto for the politics of personal destruction.
Without a single attack, this demonstrates the nature of the Clinton camp: in a moment of crisis, and in danger of loss, rather than respond with strength, principle and authority, they throw the "kitchen sink" at the issue, abandoning principles and frantically strewing innuendo as they do so.
With powerful moral force, it names exactly what the Clinton camp is doing, and anchors it both to the politics of the past Administration, and to the very political tactics that Clinton herself has denounced and disavowed. It provides direct evidence--thus far, the only direct evidence--of how a Clinton Administration would likely govern in times of chaos, crisis, and other "3 a.m. moments" (thus disempowering her already shaky claims to superior foreign policy judgment): With a "kitchen sink" approach of tumultuous, changing, disorganized and contradictory attack, rather than with consistent purpose and moral authority.
Obama must persistently name what the Clinton camp is doing rather than complain, and he must then link it to the very essence of an old politics that has been lived through by all of us, and denigrated by most, over the past 8 years.
Thus named, and thus defined, Obama can then invite Clinton up to the higher ground--to a debate based on policy and principle--or she can choose to stay in the box that she and her camp have created.
Cite:
Head of State
http://headofstate.blogspot.com/2008/03/how-obama-can-win.html
March 9, 2008 8:16 AM | Reply | Permalink
http://nymag.com/daily/intel/2008/03/heilemann_monstergate_woke_the.html
Excellent.
March 9, 2008 8:26 AM | Reply | Permalink
http://nymag.com/daily/intel/2008/03/heilemann_monstergate_woke_the.html
Excellent.
March 9, 2008 8:26 AM | Reply | Permalink
The proof is in the pudding. Hillary cannot win. As much as I've heard it bandied about, playing with Slate's Delegate Calculator brings it home: Hillary simply will not be able to get ahead of Obama in pledged delegates unless Obama makes some kind of devastating mistake to hurt himself.
However, Obama will still need super delegates to get him to 2,025, so from here out he must work to get his pledged delegate lead over her as healthy as possible to make the will-of-the-voters case as clear as possible to the super delegates.
The best case scenario I can make out is to win by around 200 pledged delegates. By giving Hillary PA and WV, and giving the rest to Obama (using the margins we've seen so far) he could get to around 1,700 to her 1,500. That would be a fine and clear result for him to achieve:
http://www.slate.com/features/delegatecounter/
March 9, 2008 8:58 AM | Reply | Permalink
"However, Obama will still need super delegates to get him to 2,025, so from here out he must work to get his pledged delegate lead over her as healthy as possible to make the will-of-the-voters case as clear as possible to the super delegates."
Exactly. He will need to fight hard to produce a comfortable lead that she cant' try to steal.
First, the DNC would be crazy to elect this loser who only wins 14 states.
Second, stealing the election from the first black nominee would mean disaster for a long long time.
Blacks are the most loyal democratic constituency and vote 9-1. HRC theft would not be appreciated.
March 9, 2008 9:17 AM | Reply | Permalink
Rendell is on Meet The Press right now flatly arguing that the super delegates should overturn an Obama majority in pledged delegates for Hillary. McAuliffe has been sowing the same seeds. I have now decided that if they somehow achieve this, I will withdraw from the Democratic Party, register as an independent, and keep my options open for the Fall.
March 9, 2008 10:52 AM | Reply | Permalink
Perhaps Senator Clinton should consider a joint ticket with McCain since she has such a high regard for him and the thresholds they have crossed together. They are a good fit ideologically.
March 9, 2008 11:10 AM | Reply | Permalink
First I want to say that it is unlikely in the extreme that Obama will not be supported by a majority of super delegates, more than enough to give him the nomination. My only caveat would be a major meltdown by or scandal within the Obama campaign.
But hey, all the talk of "theft" by HRC is good for keeping the base pumped up.
The idea of HRC as VP is much more interesting and real. I believe that most of the criticism here of HRC's ticket talk misses her real objective which is to make her VP.
Why would she accept second fiddle?
Well why not? First female VP is not a bad consolation prize. Wouldn't you rather be President of the Senate than Senator from NY for the next eight years?
Does anyone seriously believe that she would decline if offered?
The question is would Obama make the offer? Well he might for a variety of reasons. For example he might prefer HRC as VP to a long contested convention. He might have to do the deal to satisfy the needed super delegates. And he might just decide that a completely unified party is worth the baggage HRC brings to the ticket. I know that in the minds of many Obama fans her baggage outweighs any of her virtues but to the wider electorate that simply isn't true.
It seems to be a popular meme that after all the sturm und drang of the nomination contest there is too much hard feeling on both sides to make an Obama/HRC ticket acceptable to either side and while there is a great deal to be said for that argument I believe it overlooks several more important factors.
Like it or not we are talking politics and politics is all about compromise. One obvious example: Obama is often compared to JFK for a variety of reasons. Well who was his VP? JFK and Johnson fought a battle for the nomination the makes the Obama/HRC contest look like a love in.
I think we can be sure that in a perfect world neither Obama or HRC would be the other's first choice as a running mate. But neither of them have gotten to this point by not being hard headed realists about the politics which they are pursuing.
Would it really be a betrayal of first principals for Obama to choose HRC as his VP?
March 9, 2008 11:45 AM | Reply | Permalink
Good Post. What's up? It's out of character.
March 9, 2008 2:28 PM | Reply | Permalink
Agreed. And I think Hillary and Obama both know where this is headed.
I think that Hillary as Prez and Obama as VP would both be overshadowed by Bill as "First Laddie". That wouldn't happen with Hillary as VP.
Unless Obama completely messes up in the continuing campaign (highly doubtful), this is the direction the race is headed in. I don't think either Obama or Clinton will have much difficulty being able to handle it. Now, Bill might be a different sort of problem. :)
March 9, 2008 4:30 PM | Reply | Permalink
I posted this comment in another portion of the site. I think that it is more appropriate here:
My opinion is that Barack was correct to indicate that he is not interested in being HRCs VP.
First thing Monday morning, the Obama campaign should release a statement that he is not interested in running with her because he wants to see America move forward. This goal would be impossible to obtain with HRC in the White House, in any capacity. In soft terms, remind the people that the Clinton White House was riddled with scandals and crippled politically.
March 9, 2008 11:55 AM | Reply | Permalink
I completely agree! This is crazy that the press assumes he's the VP and crazy that he is not pointing this out!
March 9, 2008 12:04 PM | Reply | Permalink
I don't think the press is assuming an HRC/Obama ticket as first possibility. The question asked leaves open the name order.
And Obama's carefully worded reply does not rule out an Obama/HRC ticket, just as HRC's equally careful words have not ruled out an Obama/HRC ticker.
March 9, 2008 12:25 PM | Reply | Permalink
On the idea that this proposal is the familiar old Clintonian TRIANGULATION, see
http://backalleymedia.org/?p=253
March 9, 2008 12:04 PM | Reply | Permalink
It's not going to happen. This question is generally asked by the same sort of people who had trouble understanding that Al Gore was not running for President.
March 9, 2008 12:31 PM | Reply | Permalink
is there no end to the Clinton hubris?
The candidate running second in delegates, second popular votes and second in states won is offering the candidate who is in first place in those three categories the possibility to be second on "her" ticket
Hillary Clinton needs Barack Obama on her ticet to win the election and she knows that - and in lieu of that she needs him to look like a sore loser if he doesn't accept the position if offered to him
LUCKILY: NONE of this will occur because Hillary Clinton will not win the nomination of the Dem party fairly and if she steals it through super delegates there will be no more viable democratic party anyway
The question is: how does the woman who aspires to be the head of her party say that the republican candidate is the better choice for president than her democratic opponent if she is not the candidate
So lets be clear; Sen Obama is not good enough to be President but he is good enough to be a heartbeat away from the President as long as Sen Clinton gets what she wants
and damned be the rest of us
The woman is shameless
March 9, 2008 12:53 PM | Reply | Permalink
Hi, new poster here, somewhat off topic, but I haven't seen an answer to this anywhere:
Why hasn't Edwards made an endorsement yet? Any theories and/or hard facts? I was shocked he didn't before 3/4, when it looked like it was all almost over. Maybe he's not going to?
March 9, 2008 12:54 PM | Reply | Permalink
This is my theory. The clintons offered him a cabinet seat and then he started making some statements that made it sound like he might endorse the clintons. Then he went to obama and told him the clintons offered a cabinet seat, would you do the same? Obama said nope. He wasn't going to bribe edwards. This went on for a few weeks and now his endorsement is meaningless anyway.
Kudos to obama. Edwards can cry in his champagne in his 20,000 square foot house. What a fraud.
March 9, 2008 2:21 PM | Reply | Permalink
Actually, it is Billary that is shameless. Remember Bill went into the heart of darkness, Mississippi itself, and spoke thusly to the low folks there:
You know on second thought, I am not sure shameless is the right word. I am thinking maybe this phrase:
The Clintons have deeply revealed themselves yet again. And no one seems to be paying attention...
March 9, 2008 1:14 PM | Reply | Permalink
Bill Clinton has picked Senator Obama to be Vice President.
I tried to contact Hillary to let her know, but that damn red phone kept on ringing and ringing with no one answering it.
Looks like Bill will be calling the shots after all. So much for all that talk from Hillary about how she was going to the one in charge. Someone please let her know that Bill has named the Vice President he wants for his third term.
March 9, 2008 2:00 PM | Reply | Permalink
Yes.
March 9, 2008 2:02 PM | Reply | Permalink
+1 Liam...
Bill is calling the shots and that is PRECISELY why alot of folks are wondering who will really be POTUS if she's elected.
Anecdotal-
A female co-worker wishes that the first female president could get elected on her own merit and my mother, who is a moderate Republican, doubts that many will want 2 Clinton's in the White House...and the Repubs know this...
March 9, 2008 2:29 PM | Reply | Permalink
Based on what I've seen from her campaign so far, not only do I want her to lose the nomination, but I'm hoping NY Dems remember all this when she seeks reelection in the Senate.
March 9, 2008 3:43 PM | Reply | Permalink
"Based on what I've seen from her campaign so far, not only do I want her to lose the nomination, but I'm hoping NY Dems remember all this when she seeks reelection in the Senate."
Hillary has unified the nation:
Conservative Republicans, Independents, and Liberal Democrats all HATE her!
I wish we could go back to Monica, I'd be cheering on Bill Bennett and calling for Bill to be impeached!
If only we hadn't saved Bill. He's evil, we should have known it then.
March 9, 2008 4:48 PM | Reply | Permalink
khodges
I totally agree, and I can't fathom why the DNC "elders" are allowing this to happen. They are endangering the party's legitimacy, because a voter like myself who starts to feel that the Cheatocrats are just another racist corporate club for hacks and sellouts will abandon the party for a very long time after this.
The racism, the "take his word on it" anti-muslim smears, the cheating in Florida and Soviet style Michigan, and now the superdelegate's trying to find SOME way to steal the election.... This is so Rove. This is so GOP. If they are just like the GOP, why do we need them?
I also wonder why the MSM is still so friendly to the Clintons? A lot of people are getting angry over their revolting tactics, but the cable news and big newspapers seem to play along with it. In fact, it seems to be all Clinton talking points, all the time.
What gives?
March 9, 2008 5:24 PM | Reply | Permalink
I don't read this as "I would never run for Vice President." He's saying "It's not going to happen, because I'll be the nominee." I think it's pretty clear that he's right, but if Clinton were to somehow come back and clinch the nomination, I don't think he's saying he wouldn't accept if she offered him the spot.
March 9, 2008 6:32 PM | Reply | Permalink
After the so called loyalist party members dubbed the superdelegates make their decision as to who the Dem nominee for President will be for the General 08 election "We the peon voters" Indies, Newbies & Crossover voters will have a chance to have our say. But NOT until after these superdelegates vote as their rules dictate. ... for anyone and for any reason they decide. thats the rules so nothing more to be said about it. As for changing the Dem party rules in the middle of a Primary?? I wont go there... loose/loose so why bother.
So what happens after the convention... A few scenarios...
1 In the General vote FOR your states entire Dem Senate and Congressional seats.
2 Decide to vote AGAINST the Dem nominee by leaving the Presidential slot BLANK in Nov 08
3 Vote with your feet by not showing up to vote in Nov 08
4 Vote for the nominee just because thats the only choice you have been given
5 Most importantly vote FOR the candidate because this Candidate is YOUR choice.
I assure you Sen Obama being a loyal Dem party member will urge his supporters to toe the Democratic Party line... I am voting for a candidate for President of the United States... NOT a Party...I don't care about Party.
I am NOT a follow my party right or wrong voter..I'm not even a member ..It will be interesting to see how many Indies and newbie & crossover voters feel the same way.
On to this Convention... Lets see the loyal party democratic party superdelegates make their decision. We will then know if the Democratic Party elders are interested in having us turn out to vote for their hand picked candidate or not.
March 9, 2008 7:21 PM | Reply | Permalink
I've posted this elsewhere but it's my big analysis for this race so I will post it again.
Hillary and Bill, due to their narcissism, completely misunderstood the Democratic voters' defense of them in the Starr/Monica/Whitewater/impeachment days. I think this miscalculation has led them to make very bad choices in the primaries, from the race-baiting to this new vp scheme.
My theory is that the Clintons misread the reaction of Democrats to be a defense of Bill and Hillary, personally, rather than a circling of the wagons around a Democrat who was president and the rallying around certain principles (the private actions of elected officials should remain private).
I first saw this when Bill's book came out. I was looking forward to his book tour, hoping he would say some smart things about September 11 and how to go forward. Then I watched an hour-long interview on c-span. He started talking about a period of darkness where the US was in peril and it turned out he was talking not about threats from within or without but instead was referring to the VRWC and its pursuit of him. I was surprised that he had not realized that after September 11 and the invasion of Iraq, the Lewinsky thing and even the impeachment felt like a more innocent time when the stakes were not so high.
Because they are functioning under this misconception that Democrats love love love them, they assume that any hijinks or worse will be tolerated and that Dems will welcome them back. I think it may explain why HRC went into this campaign not thinking she had to persuade people to vote for her but expecting instead to just stand and be crowned.
March 9, 2008 8:31 PM | Reply | Permalink
Bette, I think your analysis is dead on.
"Hillary and Bill, due to their narcissism, completely misunderstood the Democratic voters' defense of them in the Starr/Monica/Whitewater/impeachment days. I think this miscalculation has led them to make very bad choices in the primaries, from the race-baiting to this new vp scheme."
They act like we owe them. When actually we saved them. They owe us.
I regret any help and support I gave them during that whole incident. I now wish he was impeached and resigned in disgrace.
See, the Clintons are uniting america -- everyone, republicans, democrats, independents, hate them!
March 9, 2008 9:24 PM | Reply | Permalink
Excellent and original analysis.
March 9, 2008 9:57 PM | Reply | Permalink
You Obamabots are truly a bunch of stupid morons. Obama is in a bound in this situation. How can he flatly rule out be Clinton's VP. The best he can say is that he does see himself be Hillary's VP because he's leading and he will win the nomination.
If he flatly says he will not. Does he try to tell people it will be his way or high way? Does he tell people he has no intention to play a uniter for the party? Geez, I thought it is his intention to unite the whole country.
March 9, 2008 8:36 PM | Reply | Permalink
Why do independents have any say in who the Democratic party nominates? If they want a candidate develope an Independent party and nominate one. Independent is just another word for wishy washy.
March 9, 2008 8:37 PM | Reply | Permalink
Obama doesn't want to unite anybody. He just wants to a president at all cause. Obama is just a self-absorb hypocritical person.
March 9, 2008 9:05 PM | Reply | Permalink
Yeah, because it is Obama that is self-absorbed. HRC is only interested in her fellow-man and her party. I really get that from her actions. It is great that she is willing to take a stand against her own party to say that McCain is a better choice than Obama - the likely nominee. That takes some real guts, like the ones she showed when she voted for the war in Iraq.
March 9, 2008 9:18 PM | Reply | Permalink
I think more people are paying attention than you think. The MSM are starting to cover this and question it. HRC's national numbers were falling even before WY. Ironically Ms Powers' 'Monster' comment may have helped, reminding people of how polarizing HRC can be and then Clinton overplayed the negative hand- thus proving Powers right.
Honestly, again ironically, I believe this will seal the deal for Obama. She has opened the door into her own record, she has gone too far on the negativity/scorched earth strategy and Obama's ability to survive it will get people more comfortable with him for the GE.
This ranks up there with her race-baiting before SC as a smart strategy.
March 9, 2008 9:15 PM | Reply | Permalink
"Why do independents have any say in who the Democratic party nominates? If they want a candidate develope an Independent party and nominate one. Independent is just another word for wishy washy.
Posted by TimAZ"
This is why you lose, moron.
Independents are how the DNC can beat the RNC. They are roughly one third of the nation. With Dems alone, you will lose. Guaranteed.
March 9, 2008 9:18 PM | Reply | Permalink
"If he flatly says he will not. Does he try to tell people it will be his way or high way? Does he tell people he has no intention to play a uniter for the party? Geez, I thought it is his intention to unite the whole country."
1. Obama can't unite anything with that monster around.
2. Obama will win. Winner pick the VP.
3. The Clintons are just racist a**holes who think that minorities belong as sidekicks to powerful white people. They are losers (can you say "14 state strategy"?) and a**holes to boot.
March 9, 2008 9:21 PM | Reply | Permalink
Obama should be so proud to have an admirer with such class and intelligence. No wonder he claim to be able to unite everybody together.
March 9, 2008 9:38 PM | Reply | Permalink
Observer2
Indies, newbies & crossover voters have NO right to pick your Dem Presidential Candidate...perhaps you should re-read what I wrote. It will be a decision made by your party faithful elder statesman aka superdelegates.
After the Dem Convention on August 25-28 we the Indies, newbies & crossover voters will have a chance to decide what we will do at the ballot box in November.
Our numbers and votes shouldnt effect the outcome in any way..(They) as one of your candidates states are insignificant to your party or the outcome of the 2008 Presidential race.
March 9, 2008 10:31 PM | Reply | Permalink
You ARE the man, Sinbad.
I was just reading about Hillary RODHAM (rhymes with Sodam) Clinton's accompanying you on your tour in Kosovo. Was she any help at all?
March 9, 2008 10:38 PM | Reply | Permalink
OOps I directed my statement to the wrong poster..
I do apologize..to this board. You do have a lot of problems to overcome or should I say heal before November.. I honestly wish you luck.
I do wonder how a Primary race turned out to be a General election race within your own party?
Like I said before the best of luck to you all.
March 9, 2008 10:57 PM | Reply | Permalink
I think Obama is making a huge mistake at this point. He is making himself look more anti-Clinton than pro-Democratic party.
There is no guarantee that he will win although the numbers are in his favor at this point. How the Superdelegates vote may be different from what they've pledged, due to immense pressure on Obama's campaign's behalf (see Rep. Tubbs-Jones comments). In the end, we all know it will be the party's leaders' decision since the numbers are pretty even. I've never trusted primaries/caucuses anyway! Too many of them are open to the general public. This really should be a decision made by Democrats.
I was an Edwards supporter and cannot find any reason to get behind Obama at this point although his rhetoric is inspiring. I am deeply concerned about his treatment of the Chicago Sun Times reporting of the Rezko issue, and his avoidance of answering questions about it. He even excluded said reporter from the press conference he finally gave to Chicago supporters.
Something smells when the Obama camp won't answer questions and walks out of a press conference.
March 10, 2008 2:20 PM | Reply | Permalink
"Something smells when the Obama camp won't answer questions and walks out of a press conference."
How many press conferences has hillary has about Norman Hsu? How about Frank Giustra? How about Mark Rich?
March 10, 2008 8:41 PM | Reply | Permalink