Obama Supporter Dodd: Hillary And Obama Should Split Florida And Michigan Delegates
Obama supporter Chris Dodd says he's got a simple solution to the standoff over what to do about Florida and Michigan's delegates: Divide them evenly between Hillary and Obama.
The Connecticut senator, an Obama backer and former presidential hopeful, said Monday such a move would save taxpayers from having to pay for do-over primaries that some party officials have proposed.It's noteworthy that one of Obama's more prominent surrogates is floating this as a solution. But it's hardly something the Hillary camp would accept. Though neither candidate campaigned in Florida, she won the state by 17 points, and won the official delegate allocation, 105-67.
Michigan is a different matter altogether, of course, because her name was on the ballot and his wasn't.
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Sounds good to me.
March 10, 2008 5:26 PM | Reply | Permalink
It wouldn't just save taxpayers from having to pay, it would save anyone, including the party or donors, from having to pay, meaning more money to use against John McCain in the general election.
March 10, 2008 5:27 PM | Reply | Permalink
As an Obama supporter, I'm happy that someone has finally taken the initiative here to put an Obama stake in the ground as opposed to just reacting (too much, this past week) to HRC leading the national discussion on everything.
March 10, 2008 5:30 PM | Reply | Permalink
I agree. Also an Obama supporter here. I'd also be happy with a split that gives Hillary some credit for her margin in FL. 38 delegate lead may simply be too much to concede to her, I don't know. But why now, if you're Obama with the current lead you have, offer some kind of split that makes sense and avoids the cost and waste of time of a re-do?
March 10, 2008 5:33 PM | Reply | Permalink
We cannot predict what the actual voting results would have been had Obama and the others been on both tickets and campaigning been done in both states. Splitting the delegates would at least give the states delegates the chance to be delegates. That is more than I believe should happen myself; but I AM an Obama supporter who won't vote for Hillary, period.
Revoting doesn't sound very Democratic, either; but it's better than giving her credit for wins she didn't earn at all.
In the best of all possible worlds, she would concede the election and the party would save LOTS of money and have more time for Obama (the only Democrat who can beat McCain) to campaign against McCain, whom he is already talking about negatively (as opposed to Hillary, who talks about McCain with praisell!)
March 10, 2008 10:23 PM | Reply | Permalink
The effect of splitting the delegates evenly is the same as the effect of not seating any delegates from Florida. Let's at least pretend that we're in a democracy.
March 10, 2008 5:33 PM | Reply | Permalink
Bad optics.
Money should be no object, where doing elections properly is concerned. And it's not as though Clinton and Obama aren't rolling in dough right now.
They'll have to either do a caucus or a mail-in primary or what-have-you. Neither state will be happy about being seated if the delegate count doesn't reflect the will of the voters in some manner.
March 10, 2008 5:34 PM | Reply | Permalink
I'm glad you've got $30 million ro spend. We need to quit the BS and just split the delegates in half and learn from the error.
March 10, 2008 9:28 PM | Reply | Permalink
Hillary won't be having this as a solution, she wants the current Michigan and Florida votes seated, regardless if the candidates agreed not to campaign in these two states and she was the only one listed on the Michigan poll.
March 10, 2008 5:35 PM | Reply | Permalink
I don't agree with this, even as an Obama supporter.
Either they don't count, as originally agreed upon, or they do count and we do a re-vote (which Hillary will most likely win).
Only fair.
March 10, 2008 5:38 PM | Reply | Permalink
Agreed. As another Obama supporter... Either the present situation coheres (these two states' delegates aren't seated), or these two states have a nominating contest in accordance with DNC rules. Splitting an imaginary vote is just a dumb idea.
March 10, 2008 8:00 PM | Reply | Permalink
Even counting Florida, Obama leads by over 100 pledged delegates. There's no reasonable case to be made for counting Michigan since Obama was not on the ballot there. After piling up an even bigger delegate lead in Mississippi, maybe Obama should offer to seat the Florida delegates and split the Michigan delegates as a compromise. He basically declares his lead insurmountable--which it basically is--by doing so and forces Hillary into defending an unreasonable demand against a fair compromise.
March 10, 2008 5:39 PM | Reply | Permalink
interesting thought...
March 10, 2008 5:58 PM | Reply | Permalink
That is an interesting idea!
March 10, 2008 9:02 PM | Reply | Permalink
Once his lead is insurmountable he will definitely seat all of the delegates. Seems to me he is there right now and should just save us the trouble of revoting, etc.
March 10, 2008 10:26 PM | Reply | Permalink
They don't count. I'd say seat the delegate AFTER the nominee has been determined. Michigan and Florida knew the risks going in and chose to move forward in spite of those risks.
March 10, 2008 5:40 PM | Reply | Permalink
This is another idea I had previously proposed; but you are the first person besides me I have seen suggest it.
March 10, 2008 10:25 PM | Reply | Permalink
In reality, it disenfranchises voters in a sense, but in a sense every single part of our electoral system disenfranchises voters in one way or another, at least in the sense that one persons vote isn't the same as another persons vote. So really, it doesn't matter. W
e might as well do it that way and save a lot of money and a lot of hassle, and Hillary isn't going to win Michigan if they do it again, so really, Obama has a good shot at doing better than 50-50, and at most, she has ZERO hope of gaining enough delegates to make a difference, so why waste the money?
March 10, 2008 5:41 PM | Reply | Permalink
If you seat the delegates based on the broken rules, then you disenfranchise many more voters:
a) those who didn't turn out because it was a bogus election
b) those in other states who played by the rules
Bottom line: if you want to have people follow the law, then you have to set the example.
There are only 2 options:
a) split them
b) revote
Option (a) is *not* like not seating, as these 2 states will be heard from
Option (b) is cutting your nose to spite your face. The money is going to come from somewhere. Do we really want to use it here.
Option (c) is to not let delegates be seated at all. It's not viable for socio-political reasons.
It's very important to punish these states lest we have anarchy in 4 year's time.
I'm in CA. Until this year, CA hasn't even been a player in the primaries because our primary was in June(!). So please don't tell me about how it feels "not to have your voice heard".
If you really want to feel like your voice is heard, move to IA or NH!
March 10, 2008 5:53 PM | Reply | Permalink
Hurray, Chris Dodd! We need to get people like him and Daschle (who was great on MTP Sunday) out in the media more often.
March 10, 2008 5:42 PM | Reply | Permalink
Why don't they split delegates in MI and FL based on the Gallup polls and save a bundle?
March 10, 2008 5:42 PM | Reply | Permalink
Gallup polls on WHAT day?
March 10, 2008 10:27 PM | Reply | Permalink
"she won the state by 17 points, and won the official delegate allocation, 105-67."
The official delagate allocation from the unsanctioned, uncontested primary that awards a total of 0 delagates (and coincidentally also 0 official delagates).
Did I mention, you are a fantastic journalist?
March 10, 2008 5:44 PM | Reply | Permalink
Greg making official delegate assignments is excellent news for Hillary.
March 10, 2008 5:51 PM | Reply | Permalink
Based on these standards, I allocate 2,200 delegates to Barack Obama.
The delegates of my kingdom, which voted 100% for Obama.
Obama drinks your milkshake.
March 10, 2008 11:30 PM | Reply | Permalink
You saved me from having to post this correction. Greg, there are no delegates allocated in an unsanctioned event. Just like a straw poll, it's a meaningless exercise unless conducted in compliance with DNC rules.
You might want to correct it, I wouldn't want anyone throwing around the word "bias". Not that you are. Just that anything that gives the appearance of favoring one view over another should be avoided, as an objective observer.
Something to think about.
March 10, 2008 5:54 PM | Reply | Permalink
Obama supporter.
I can't agree. Either take away delegates because they broke the rules or do a re-do and give voters their say. Don't disenfranchise them by putting votes into their mouths. This amounts to the same thing as voter fraud.
March 10, 2008 5:44 PM | Reply | Permalink
I voted for Obama (My home state's Jr. Senator), but Dodd can't believe that anybody would take that suggestion seriously at this point, could he?
At least he could have given her some odds for likely winning a Florida do over but by a smaller margin... Like Maybe 10% to 15%. If you wanted to split Michigan or by a small margin to either candidate depending on how they would do it (which would likely be the case anyway in a do over), that would be ok, I suppose.
Regardless, any compromise offer of splitting the delegates without Sen Clinton netting somewhere around 35-40 pledged delegates is pretty silly.
Then again Dodd has a lot more experience than either current candidate, so I guess that should weigh in his favor in relation to the Clinton camp...
March 10, 2008 5:45 PM | Reply | Permalink
Sinbad knows from his experience solving the refugee crisis in Kosovo that this is PRECISELY how you go about laying the groundwork for negotiations. One side proposes something ridiculous, the other side proposes something equally ridiculous, and then everyone agrees to split the difference.
Something like - half of the delegates will be apportioned based on the vote tally, the other half will be split down the middle. No need for a re-vote.
Clinton/Sinbad '08 - Solutions not Stand-Up!
March 10, 2008 5:47 PM | Reply | Permalink
Sinbad. I do not think that you should settle for the VP slot. Perhaps you can sweep into a divided convention as a compromise candidate. As a stand-up comedian, you have the speaking skills of Obama. Furthermore, you share Hillary's foreign policy experience.
March 10, 2008 6:04 PM | Reply | Permalink
Good luck with that, Senator Dodd!
March 10, 2008 5:51 PM | Reply | Permalink
Who do idiots like Dodd think they're fooling by this stupid junk?
Do they really think that the American people, or the people of FL and MI, will accept that they have had their voices heard if some party bigwigs just decide to split the vote 50-50? Who doesn't see that that's doing nothing more than suppressing that voice, and turning it into something that will have zero impact on the very decision in question?
Keep up the stupidity, Obama campaign! We like it when your need to win, no matter what democratic principles may be trampled upon, becomes so obvious a child could see through it.
March 10, 2008 5:54 PM | Reply | Permalink
Silly. Michigan only had one candidate on the ballot. I have friends in Michigan. They are not clamoring to have their "voices heard" in the form of the outcome of that vote.
March 10, 2008 6:01 PM | Reply | Permalink
However, I agree with most of your point. Currently, leaving them out isn't the preferred solution, but due to the fact that they broke the rules, there's an explainable reason for it. Both states know that if they want to be counted, they need to hold a revote. It's that simple. Splitting the delegates, while cheap and easy, would be just bad for the validity of the nomination process as sitting the delegates as they currently stand.
March 10, 2008 6:02 PM | Reply | Permalink
It would be a split of available delegates NOT votes. The contest were "votes" were tallied was an unsanctioned DNC event, which can't be sanctioned after the fact.
I get that you hate all things Obama, but this isn't a candidate specific issue. This is a Florida and Michigan Democration Party problem--of their own creation. Focus your ire where it is warranted.
March 10, 2008 6:13 PM | Reply | Permalink
frankly0, for some reason you think a re-vote is good for someone? Whoever wins the Democratic nomination has another race to win. Any dollar spent in Michigan or Florida will not be used against McCain.
Democratic principles were trampled upon when Florida and Michigan took it upon themselves to disenfranchise their voters.
Here are the facts:
1. It is in neither Clinton's nor Obama's interest to have to campaign in Michigan and Florida at this point. Those dollars are better spent in the general.
2. There is no way in hell Clinton will get delegates assigned based on the results of the MI/FL primaries. That's just ludicrous. They all knew the rules. The all agreed not to campaign there. They were not real elections no matter how many people voted.
3. It would be great to figure out a way to get delegates seated from MI and FL, but since it's in no one's interest to re-campaign in those states, a seating compromise must be established.
4. If Florida and Michigan get seated, the total delegates go up to 4,414 from 4,047, which means you need 2208 delegates instead of 2025 to win. This greatly minimizes the benefits Hillary would get from seating these delegates, even as is (which, of course, would never happen).
Now for my conjecture:
1. 50/50 is a pretty good compromise.
2. Of course Hillary won't agree to 50/50 because when you're losing by as much as she is, 50/50 won't cut it. It actually makes it harder for her to win by increasing the total number of delegates needed.
3. Instead, Hillary will keep on harping on FL and MI in order to attempt to give momentum to the meme that Obama is happy to disenfranchise voters. She hopes this will help her win delegates in the real elections still coming in the future.
4. So far, Obama's not biting. He's letting Dean run with this. Smart move.
5. In the end, my guess is Obama, once it's inevitable and Hillary concedes (which will be the case even if she wins Pennsylvania, as after tomorrow, Obama will have picked up more delegates on Hillary in Wyoming and Mississippi than Clinton did last Tuesday), will seat the delegates in some fashion that works well, maybe 50/50.
March 10, 2008 6:30 PM | Reply | Permalink
You do a re-do.
Nothing is more important at this stage than a sense of legitimacy in a nominee. The re-dos will go a great distance in doing so. It will also serve the basic principle of democracy -- heard of it?
Oh yeah, I forgot, you're an Obama supporter. You're not likely to have made the acquaintance of that concept. You've been too much having a little lovefest with those caucus thingies.
March 10, 2008 8:07 PM | Reply | Permalink
Redo what? Hillary agreed the votes wouldn't count toward delegate seating. She now wants to change the rules because she thinks it would favor her when that might not be true in a revote.
The best solution is to seat the delegates without vote. That is what the delegates agreed to when the election was held outside of DP rules.
March 10, 2008 10:31 PM | Reply | Permalink
Calm down, FranklyO... Dodd has a right to offer a solution, and you have the right to reject it, without basically calling him a traitor. Splitting the delegates is a bad idea. However, we would not be having this discussion had FL and MI simply followed DNC rules from the get-go.
Incidentally, are there no calls within those two states to recall or vote out the legislators and executive branch officials ultimately responsible for this cluster-fork? Why not? Seems like that would be a vote those citizens would want to exercise, no?
March 10, 2008 8:07 PM | Reply | Permalink
Not you. You're too smart to be taken in by these clever ruses....
Oh, wait...
March 10, 2008 8:16 PM | Reply | Permalink
If you are a Hillary supporter, you would welcome this solution, which is why Dodd made it. Hillary doesn't care about disenfranchisement. FL and MI have an enormous number of supers that won't get seated unless the states come to an agreement with the DNC. She doesn't care about the small margin of pledged she'll win (she's been lying with the whole disenfranchisement thing). She wants the supers seated. This solution would allow that while giving her a chance to appear magnanimous and saving the costs and risks of a new election. It was a smart move by Obama because the DNC knows all this and, by pushing to have the results of the Soviet-style election count, Hillary will have a tough argument to make. She can't credibly turn this down.
March 10, 2008 9:52 PM | Reply | Permalink
This is analogous to splitting the baby down the middle, and calling it even. I'm an Obama supporter, but if there is no revote, then there should be no seating of the Michigan and Florida delegates, until someone has completely topped the needed delegate total.
Splitting the delegate vote would leave a bad taste in the mouths of Clinton supporters who (as wrong as they are) feel that Clinton won those two states in the first place the first time, and a split unfairly punishes her. Either revote or sit them out. There's no perfect solution, but that's life.
March 10, 2008 5:56 PM | Reply | Permalink
With his proposal, Dodd manages simultaneously to strip the people of FL and MI of a voice, and insult their intelligence by suggesting that he's giving them one instead.
Way to go, Obama campaign! Love your work!
March 10, 2008 5:58 PM | Reply | Permalink
Correction, the Florida and Michigan Democratic Parties stripped their voters of a voice. Neither Dean or any of the Democratic candidates had anything to do with that and bear NO responsiblity for the Florida and Michigan DP's actions. A contest held in violation of DNC awards no delegates, so despite Clinton's claims to the contrary, she's won no votes and received no delegates in those two contests.
March 10, 2008 6:06 PM | Reply | Permalink
give obama all the uncommitted (and kucinich) votes.
and let them all count as 1/2 delegates (including supers).
March 10, 2008 6:00 PM | Reply | Permalink
Maybe Senator Dodd could join Keith Olbermann in the little room for PanderBears Who Have Outlived Their Former Good Reputations.
March 10, 2008 6:04 PM | Reply | Permalink
Is there room for them (or anyone else) with the Clintons already occupying the prime spots?
March 10, 2008 6:17 PM | Reply | Permalink
They're either with you, or against you, right?
Now where have I heard that one before?
March 10, 2008 6:21 PM | Reply | Permalink
As a Democrat and as a democrat, Chris Dodd has taken an awful position here. Florida and Michigan are key states in November, and this is an insult to the voters in each of those states.
As a partisan supporter of Hillary Clinton, to paraphrase what that poster called idiotic says, this is without a doubt great news for Hillary. This disenfranchisement won't play in Peoria, and it will definitely not play well in Miami or Dearborn.
The Clinton campaign has just been handed a gift that will keep on giving.
March 10, 2008 6:06 PM | Reply | Permalink
play_jurist - Obama is not going to heap on more delegates in MS...it's not a delegate friendly state for him. He's going to win big in the popular vote and net probably one delegate. This is similar to what happened in Alabama.
Anyway, the clock is ticking here guys. A redo is best for everyone - really it is. A lack of legitimcacy in this race means it all goes to the convention - for sure. Spending the money is worth it...it also lays good groundwork for the general.
There is the possibility of negotiating a way out of FL. But MI absolutely needs a real vote. Are there really quotes out there where Clinton advoates seating MI as is? I mean, that is ridiculous on its face. That's not just undemocratic - it's fascist.
March 10, 2008 6:06 PM | Reply | Permalink
It is such a ridiculous position (I wouldn't call it fascist), but I have to believe that Dodd is being used to float this. I cannot believe that the Obama campaign will take this position. They've had a bad week, but they ain't this dumb.
March 10, 2008 6:10 PM | Reply | Permalink
My proposal: Keep debating it until it doesn't matter anymore.
March 10, 2008 6:07 PM | Reply | Permalink
That's the Obama position..stall, stall, stall....
March 10, 2008 10:30 PM | Reply | Permalink
How about Clinton just admit defeat and then we just let them count.
March 10, 2008 6:08 PM | Reply | Permalink
Look, Obama people, if Obama has any authentic interest in democracy, all he has to do is shut the mouths of idiots like Dodd-ering and say loud and clear that he supports re-votes in MI and FL, and will do everything in his power to make them happen.
Why isn't he doing so? Because it doesn't serve his narrow self interest. And that's why this moron Dodd, who surely knows what the Obama campaign really wants, is floating this incredibly stupid and insulting notion instead.
March 10, 2008 6:12 PM | Reply | Permalink
Compliance with DNC rules was in every state's interest. Two of them elected not to comply with those rules. That's no candidate's fault. That's the fault of the two states.
Until you get that through your thick head, no one is going to take you seriously. Frankly, it's clear that you Hillbots only advance this argument because your candidate's lost almost 30 contest (it'll be 30 tomorrow if the polling is accurate) and can't possibly close the gap without resulting these bullshit arguments to make these unsanctioned events suddenly become sanctioned events.
March 10, 2008 6:22 PM | Reply | Permalink
OK, I am not quite sure why I am going to take the time to respond to Frankly0 but....
The people of MI have had their voices heard?!?! Did you really just say that? Because last time I checked having one person to vote for wasn't a choice, it was a farse.
MI and FL are two different problems. It may very well be true that lots of voters stayed home in FL "knowing" that their vote didn't count but at least eveyone's name was on the ballot. MI- different story all together.
March 10, 2008 6:12 PM | Reply | Permalink
Did I say what you say I said?
Nope.
But don't let that stop your outrage. It must be very satisfying for you.
March 10, 2008 6:20 PM | Reply | Permalink
You have to revote in some fashion, but I am cool to the mail-in idea.
March 10, 2008 6:14 PM | Reply | Permalink
I agree with the mail ballot approach. In the union world folks often oppose mail ballots, some call it "armchair unionism", because only the most interested and engaged are likely to respond. In this case, however, I think folks are pretty engaged and so I believe we can anticipate quite a bit of participation.
The mail ballot is fair and democratic and the obvious solution here. Again, I support Hillary and I think she gets political mileage out of Dodd's ridiculous position, but I ultimately hope the parties come to their senses and do the right thing. We cannot disenfranchise the voters of Florida and Michigan; my guess is we won't.
March 10, 2008 6:27 PM | Reply | Permalink
I'm not sure I am.
Who gets the new mail-in ballots? Registered Democrats? Democrats and indys? Only those who voted the first time around (hehe)?
There's also the logistical nightmare of verifying distribution of ballots and the recollection (vote handling) of the filled ballots. If it's the only way, fine, but it's definitely problematic to say the least.
March 10, 2008 6:27 PM | Reply | Permalink
Fair points.
March 10, 2008 6:31 PM | Reply | Permalink
My comment regarding fascism was MI only having one name on the ballot - not Dodd's notion of splitting vote.
We cannot under any circumstances seat the MI delegation as is. 80 delegates to Clinton and 1 to Obama?!?!?
March 10, 2008 6:17 PM | Reply | Permalink
Sorry Tara, misunderstood. I don't think that Michigan voters should be seated based on the election that was held. I agree with you.
March 10, 2008 6:29 PM | Reply | Permalink
You can't solve the problem in both states with one solution. Michigan was not fair. Obama was not on the ballot. Voters deserve to vote. Florida is another matter entirely because it was not the Democrats that created this mess. It was the Republicans who forced this on everyone.
What if it were Illinois we were talking about? Would it be okay with Obama and his supporters to split Illinois 50-50? I don't think so. For Dodd to say this is demeaning to these states and to Hillary. The voters deserve to vote and have their vote taken seriously. The Florida Republicans should be forced to pay for an other election.
March 10, 2008 6:18 PM | Reply | Permalink
Neither contest was conducted in compliance with the DNC rules and therefore were not sanctioned contest. They never happened. Maintaining otherwise is just arguing that they were in fact sanctioned in the first place.
Either revote (at their expense) or deal with the punishment. It's a tough choice, but to the extent they violated the rules, they are solely responsible for their voters not been involved.
March 10, 2008 6:29 PM | Reply | Permalink
AtomicBetty,
It's a myth that the Fla Repubs are responsible for this. All the Dem representatives except one voted to move the Fla primary against the wishes of the party.
March 10, 2008 6:30 PM | Reply | Permalink
And just a note, the bill moving their primary up passed 118-0. So unless there are NO Democrats in the Florida Congress, I say that it's not just Florida Republicans who are to blame for the mess that Florida finds itself in.
March 10, 2008 6:35 PM | Reply | Permalink
No republicans didn't create this mess. That's a clinton talking point. Dems in florida were all over moving up the primary.
That said, a 50/50 split is totally unfair. A revote is the only way to go, especially with the race so close. Whoever gets the nomination does not need this garbage hanging over their candidacy. Revote asap and get it done.
March 10, 2008 6:36 PM | Reply | Permalink
Either re-vote or follow the rules and don't seat MI and FL as-is. The minute you start violating the rules, it will open the door for additional back-door revisions.
If this happens, the democrates should not be surprised to loose the general election and key local elections.
Michiganders are watching....
March 10, 2008 6:20 PM | Reply | Permalink
Or to restate my point more crudely (with multiple choice):
I held an unsanctioned primary in my bathtub yesterday, and wet farts beat out floating tirds 4 to 0. Does that mean....?
(A) wet farts get 100% of the Official Delagates
(B) wet farts and floating tirds should split the delagates, so we don't hurt overly sensitive Florida and Michigan (even though the primary was not a DNC sanctioned event)
(C) wet farts should be the next President of the United States.
(D) I'm lucky that wet farts won, because pooping in the bathtub (as an adult) is embarrasing, even if you clean it up and don't tell anyone.
(E) It doesn't matter, and there is no such thing as official delagates in this case, because it was not a DNC sanctioned contest.
(F) A combination of D & E
March 10, 2008 6:21 PM | Reply | Permalink
This was meant as a reply to my other post here:
"
"she won the state by 17 points, and won the official delegate allocation, 105-67."
The official delagate allocation from the unsanctioned, uncontested primary that awards a total of 0 delagates (and coincidentally also 0 official delagates).
Did I mention, you are a fantastic journalist?
"
March 10, 2008 6:33 PM | Reply | Permalink
Michigan definitely needs a revote. In Florida, I don't know if I've said this here, either revote (which I think is ridiculous on one hand and awesome on the other cause I vote in Florida and i'd love to feel like a Texan =) -OR- Assign the delegates to Clinton and Obama, take the delegates won by other candidates (all of them were on the ballot, from my recollection), and split those between them, or come up with some other way to split the remainder). I don't know if that would make any difference at all, but just throwing it out there.
And is it me, or is John Edwards one of the most powerful members of the Democratic party right now? He has 26 delegates. Four years ago, that wasn't anything. This year, thats huge.
Also, what happens if they revote in those states, and Obama wins (unlikely in Florida, but significantly more likely in Michigan where they are currently tied and where we all now know that the Clinton campaign was also playing footsie with Canada over NAFTA)? No way Clinton will accept the results, right?
Hmm...
March 10, 2008 6:23 PM | Reply | Permalink
Naturally, Obama would want a split. He lost Fla!
I say, they should make the all the votes, winner-take-all, now that they see that this proportional award system is NOT working!
Afterall, that is the way its going to be done in the general election and is therefore more predictive of what the general election would look like. Its the only realistic way to do it. Obama would not be prejudiced in that in any way since he had the chance to campaign as hard as he could afford to everywhere.
Rae
March 10, 2008 6:30 PM | Reply | Permalink
Changing the rules in the middle of the game is an excellent strategy for the long-term future of the Democratic party.
Calls to do that might be interpreted by some as the spoiled braying of a sore loser, but not by people who live in the five or so States That Matter (TM).
March 10, 2008 6:45 PM | Reply | Permalink
Just fucking do something, fellow Democrats. I'm sick of talking about this.
March 10, 2008 6:31 PM | Reply | Permalink
To correct a meme I keep seeing on various message boards, Sen Clinton was not the only name on the ballot. Of those still officially in the race, Kucinich and Gravel were also on the ballot.
March 10, 2008 6:35 PM | Reply | Permalink
I truly don't understand the kerfluffle, here. MI and FL moved up their primaries. The consequences to that were made completely clear. The voters in those states could've - had they wanted "their voices" to be heard - pounded their representatives not to push forward with a pointless and stupid plan. Didn't happen. None of the Democratic candidates were terribly concerned about having MI and FL count before they started battling over every single vote, but NOW we're all expected to care? Sorry. Both states opted to break the rules, and are now paying the price - as they certainly should. Dodd's idea is (with all due respect to a man I admire) ridiculous. Consider the ramifications for the next go-round: if this proceeds as he's suggesting, it will be a free-for all in the next primary season.
Of course, I don't really care when any state has its primary, and I see no problem with changing that rule going forward. But changing it now is total bullshit. These were the agreed-upon rules. There's nothing more to discuss, beyond how it could be handled better next time.
March 10, 2008 6:36 PM | Reply | Permalink
Greg calls Dodd "one of Obama's more prominent surrogates." Is that an overstatement? I know Dodd endorses Barack, but isn't he more of an independent statesman? Obama has always pointedly said he'd follow whatever the rules are.
March 10, 2008 6:41 PM | Reply | Permalink
In 2008 any expression of preference changes your position from independent thinker to "surrogate" immediately. Any discussion of fact that points out somehing favorable to one side makes you a surrogate immediately. That way only jackasses like Tucker and Lou Dobbs that state over and over again that they don't like anyone, and they are independents are considered to be neutral.
March 10, 2008 6:51 PM | Reply | Permalink
Greg's acting like this came from Obama's HQ, but it's stepping on Barack's veep message today (along with Spitzergate). I think Dodd's just spouting off.
**Laura Bush in 2012**
March 10, 2008 8:12 PM | Reply | Permalink
What she wants is the votes to stand as is, which isn't going to happen. Barring that, she wants to have Florida revote and then sat, while Michigan get caught up in a debate about cost where no one steps up. That's looking less likely to happen, but who knows. I have faith that the Obama camp will cut off that potential out for Clinton in the same why they've systematically cut off her other potential outs since she fell behind. They know what they're doing, while Clinton's team seems to be trying to make it up as they go along.
March 10, 2008 6:42 PM | Reply | Permalink
Precedent is another thing to think about. If MI and FL get a re-do, why wouldn't every state just ignore the parties and run their primaries whenever they want? If all goes bad, just cry foul and have a re-do.
It's ridiculous when you think about it.
As I said above, Hillary is not down for a re-vote. She just wants her free delegates. She does not want to spend money campaigning for them:
"Florida Rep. Debbie Wasserman Schultz, a Clinton supporter, weighed in against the idea. 'I would resist a re-vote for a couple of major reasons,' she said on Fox News Sunday. 'Number one, the re-vote that's being talked about right now would be a mail-in ballot. And we have never conducted a mail-in ballot in Florida. And in an election that is this important, an experiment like that is — now is not the time to test that."
March 10, 2008 6:44 PM | Reply | Permalink
For once I agree with Scientic.
I am getting sick of the election. If they keep f****ing around with this Mi./Fla. thing, it will be too late to do anything.
This election was fun at first. But its like being given your favorite food and eating too much until you're sick/stuffed from it.
I'm sick of the election news. Sick of the MSM, sick of polls, sick of bloggin......
March 10, 2008 6:48 PM | Reply | Permalink
If Hillary hadn't voted to authorize war, the two now-poor states would have plenty of money in their budgets to fund new primaries.
March 10, 2008 6:49 PM | Reply | Permalink
Do like the republicans---cut their delegates in half---give Hillary 60, and Obama 45.
Redo Michigan.
March 10, 2008 6:50 PM | Reply | Permalink
Hillary has a huge lead in superdelegates in these states---she needs to take the best deals she can negotiate, and soon.
March 10, 2008 6:52 PM | Reply | Permalink
This is exactly the case. She'll come out ahead even with a split due to FL and MI supers being seated, but she'll still scream bloody murder. That's something thats in the Democrats best interests to avoid, if possible.
Personally, looking to the general, I don't think it'll hurt Obama in Michigan and Florida is an uphill battle anyway. But you hate to piss away any support before a tough battle, so if this can be settled amicably somehow, it's all the better for November.
March 10, 2008 7:09 PM | Reply | Permalink
This is ridiculous.
Why are we bending over backwards to make sure everyhing is fair to Obama and Clinton. The only thing that should count are the voters who actually came out and voted. If he wanted to, Obama could have been on the ballot in Michigan. All the candidates could have campaigned in Michigan and Florida. Last time I checked, there was no law preventing them.
I guess bowing down to Howard Dean and his little DNC dictatorship is most important.
March 10, 2008 6:53 PM | Reply | Permalink
KevinH, this is for the DEMOCRATIC NOMINATION. This is not an election. They could have zero primaries and choose a candidate by picking out of a hat if they wanted. Get over yourself. This is not a voting rights issue. The entire party chose its rules. Those rules could have been, "put a bunch of names in a hat and have a monkey pull a name out." The Democratic party can choose its nominee however it wishes to.
The rules it chose are something like "we will allow states to choose voting delegates to our convention by either a primary or a caucus. Any state that chooses a primary and has that primary before a certain date, will send no delegates to our convention." All of the party leaders agreed to these rules. They may seem stupid to you, but those are the rules the party laid out, and last time I checked, Obama and Clinton are Democrats.
Save your disenfranchisement talk for a real election for a real seat of office, not a primary.
March 10, 2008 7:09 PM | Reply | Permalink
So, by your lights, superdelegates should be able to choose whomever they want, and don't need to be in any way bound by the pledged delegate vote, since that is what those same rules allow.
OK. I'm not sure many Clinton supporters would disagree.
March 10, 2008 8:15 PM | Reply | Permalink
Also agree. At the very least, this establishes some sort of Obama position in opposition to the baldly about-face position (seat them all as is!) or the queen-bee position (I won't ACCEPT a caucus) being staked out by numerous Clinton surrogates.
Don't forget, too, that Obama forcefully stated today that he has more votes, wins, and delegates than Hillary, thus at least alluding to the fact that they don't really have to concede a damn thing in either Florida or Michigan. They're out, and they'll stay out until an agreeable solution is offered (which, by the way, would not likely include the most recent "mail-in" solution).
March 10, 2008 6:53 PM | Reply | Permalink
How about this. She steps down. That saves the frigin cash.
March 10, 2008 6:54 PM | Reply | Permalink
great picture.
March 10, 2008 6:55 PM | Reply | Permalink
Ain't she a Spitzer-beauty?
March 10, 2008 7:00 PM | Reply | Permalink
No one above is mentioning that many voters in Florida & Michigan did not even bother to vote in their primaries as they were told they would not count anyway.
If we don't just split them 50/50, Clinton will win Florida about the same as Obama will win Michigan & it's a wash (according to Russert & Todd on MSNBC) except the Democrats will spend alot of millions that they could spend on races to elect Democratic Congresspersons & Senators that we need to get a majority that can't be held hostage by the Repubs!!
March 10, 2008 7:01 PM | Reply | Permalink
I'm not buying that Hillary would win Florida even in a re-do. If history is any guide, Obama starts as a huge underdog, then closes the gap to the point where he either wins or loses veru narrowly (except in Ohio, and I still want to know where Traficante and the secretary of state were on primary night). Point is, I can think of no circumstance where Obama concedes the Florida result as is. Re-do before June 1, or nothiing (delaying further only benefits repubs, which Charlie Crist would be happy to do for his buddy and hopeful running mate McCain).
March 10, 2008 7:01 PM | Reply | Permalink
If there is a re-vote there's a better than even chance that Hillary will still win FL, the patron state of old retirees, plus a big Latino population, but not by the earlier 55%-33%-14% (Clinton, Obama, Edwards) margin.She might win 55-45 (Obama gets most of Edward's votes), which may give her several more delegates than Obama. Big deal.
A re-vote in MI would be pretty much a toss-up.
So after all the shouting is over, Hillary may gain 5+ or so delegates between the two states. What she wanted to do was steal all the delegates in MI, and it ain't gonna happen.
As of today MSNBC has Obama ahead by 139 committed delegates, CNN by the same number. So with re-votes, MI and FL become non-factors.
So her real firewall now is the superdelegates, and if she wants to win them over, dissing Obama in favor of McCain is not going to do it. These are after all the blue-ribbon Democrats. Why should they give their vote to a traitor?
March 10, 2008 8:24 PM | Reply | Permalink
What I was saying yesterday in my post with a more controversial bent.
http://tpmcafe.talkingpointsmemo.com/talk/2008/03/give-it-away-mi-give-it-fl-awa.php
March 10, 2008 7:12 PM | Reply | Permalink
I have to say that as a Clinton supporter, most of the Obama people on TPM come across as sanctimounious prats.
Assuming he wins the nomination, why would I want to be associated with the likes of you people
March 10, 2008 7:22 PM | Reply | Permalink
LOL
March 10, 2008 7:32 PM | Reply | Permalink
You on the other hand are the embodiment of grace and civility. If you do not stick around you will be sorely missed.
In a totally unrelated analogy:
If someone is playing a pick-up soccer/baseball game and they are losing, and then they resort to name calling and threaten to pick up the ball and leave, what would that make them?
March 10, 2008 7:41 PM | Reply | Permalink
I've been wondering about that.
That's what any mom would say: okay, kids, here's what you get for breaking the rules: you're welcome to be seated at the convention, y'all come, par-tay, but your votes are split down the middle, and you don't get to change them. No one will court you, no one will care. You'll be the only delegations in the convention hall that are irrelevant.
You don't like it, it's time out in the stairway. Next time, follow the rules.
March 10, 2008 7:38 PM | Reply | Permalink
Well just color me stupid! What I didn't consider was that this brings the SUPER DELEGATES of Florida & Michigan into play. That changes the math more than the delegate win. Duh on me.
March 10, 2008 7:52 PM | Reply | Permalink
I've heard on Hardball that MI and FL have lost all delegates, even super-delegates. If Clinton gets even a tiny majority in FL, she gets a huge number of supers.
In most primaries we got to see delegates apportioned by a number of districts. But in MI and FL I've only seen one number. Is the apportionment done only on the statewide totals? This would be different from any other state, or is it?
I was happy to see the minority representation which comes from the district wide proportional representation, but if MI and FL get to skip this, it is even worse than not counting the votes.
Hillary benefited in WY by minority rep, and she will again benefit in MS. So using state wide percents in these states seems weird.
March 10, 2008 7:54 PM | Reply | Permalink
Dodd has never been the brightest kid on the block. It was good for him that his father left him his senate seat otherwise I just don't think he would have amounted to anything.
March 10, 2008 7:59 PM | Reply | Permalink
All the back and forth regarding Florida must acknowledge two truisms: 1) voters in these states should NOT be disfranchised; and 2) the rules, as accepted by the nominees, must be honored.
And therein lies the rub. These two truths have been in direct conflict from the start. Everyone over at the DNC knew long ago that they were disenfranchising voters in these states by not agreeing to honor their primaries. And every voter in these states should have known this same fact going in. And they should have been outraged long before this mess became the topic du jour on cable news. Of course, no one thought that it would matter. You know: Hillary. Inevitable. All of that malarkey.
It seems to me that a compromise of sorts is needed here. Hillary wants/needs these delegations seated. At worst, she would settle for a do over primary that gives her another shot or narrative or case at Presidential political life.
Obama is happy with the status quo (thank you very much), but must know that an asterisk of sorts lingers nears his name without a resolution by way of vote from these two important states. At worst, he would settle for caucuses where his activated base could rally a good showing. He might not win, but odds would be very high that Obama would keep it close.
So why not split the baby on what these candidates would settle for? A little Texas style primary/caucus hybrid.
Start with a do over primary by mail (for cost considerations), although some mail polling stations may need to be set up for those who want to guarantee receipt and submission of their ballot. This is especially critical to lower income and/or urban voters who often change addresses often. Where could such a mail poll station be located? Ummm. How about the post office? Seems those fun-loving places need to be involved in any case.
And here is the important part: the mail-in primary allocates only 50% of the delegates. The other 50% is allocated through a caucus. Hillary is kind of happy. Obama is kind of happy. Dems everywhere are kind of happy. Best of all, the sun indeed rises in the morning.
A few weeks of campaign time and all is fair. May the best man or woman win.
Of course, the two remaining hiccups—who pays and how such a system fits with current Florida and Michigan law—are beyond my purview and pay grade. I'd only suggest the following on financing. Floridians and Michigan folk (are they Michiganians or Michiganers?) should pay to fix their own mess. They and their short-sighted legislatures and state chapters of the DNC created it. End of story. If someone else wants to chip in fine, but if the candidates ask me for money (or anyone else for that matter), I'll tell them to go fly a kite. After all, I just gave something much more valuable—a perfectly tenable solution.
March 10, 2008 8:00 PM | Reply | Permalink
Perhaps because you just might want to find yourself on the progressive, forward-looking and winning side?
Florida and Michigan are side issues. The superdelegates are going to be the key to the nomination. And the superdelegates are going to continue to break for Obama. In the last month Clinton['s lead among the superdelegates has shrunk from 80-something to 37. That's almost as many net delegates for Obama as he got in all those insignificant caucus states, and more than she netted out of New York or California.
Obama has refrained from going negative on Clinton, even in the face of repeated provocations. The superdelegates understand why: any short-run gains "from acting like a fighter" would be more than offset by the longer-term ill will it would arouse in Clinton's supporters.
Obama is running like the nominee he soon will be, while Clinton is increasingly looking like a desperate sore loser.
March 10, 2008 8:04 PM | Reply | Permalink
"Obama is running like the nominee he soon will be, while Clinton is increasingly looking like a desperate sore loser."
I do appreciate the truth -- you have spoken it... HRC is the loser, time for her to come to terms with that reality....
March 10, 2008 8:50 PM | Reply | Permalink
A revote in FL & MI will not make the loser, HRC, into a winner... what will it take to make HRC understand she is a loser, John McCain in the WH? The bitch needs to be stopped before she destroys the Democratic Party. Someone needs to tell her, She is not the Democratic Party. She is a Goldwater Girl.
March 10, 2008 8:49 PM | Reply | Permalink
If you are suggesting that HRC or Obama should pay for a new election, I strongly disagree. Why should the candidates subsidize the state parties decision to violate the rules? Neither state should get any delegates, imo. When you do something stupid, there should be consequences. I doubt FL or Michigan voters will hold it against the Democratic party. I am sure they understand that it is their own leaders that got them into this mess.
March 10, 2008 9:10 PM | Reply | Permalink
Michigan and Florida: Superdelegates
What about this idea:
If Michigan and Florida have “do overs”, their super-delegates should be striped of their votes because they were the cause of the problem. The super-delegates in sundries of ways were responsible for moving the respective primaries forward, so they should be held accountable and not the regular party members.
March 10, 2008 9:21 PM | Reply | Permalink
Bison, good idea. Just a bunch of corrupt party hacks.
--------------
Register online in PA by March 24
Spread the word to anyone you know there!
http://my.barackobama.com/page/content/pahome
March 10, 2008 9:29 PM | Reply | Permalink
Sorry, but what kind of compromise is that? If you split them evenly while Clinton won Florida, and she also won Michigan, then you might as well forget it altogether. And can we come to some sort of compromise about claiming Obama's name wasn't on the ballot in Michigan. It was with all the others until he decided to remove it. He didn't have to. It was his decision to do so and he was not forced to. His camp made enough stink right before they voted to have all his supporters vote "uncommitted" to show they supported him rather than Hillary. Splitting them evenly as if he was on an equal footing is ludicrous.
March 10, 2008 9:29 PM | Reply | Permalink
This isn't new or dreamed up by Dodd (although I applaud him for publicizing it);
I heard this suggested on a NPR discussion weeks ago.
March 10, 2008 9:30 PM | Reply | Permalink
We wouldn't be having these discussions if Michigan and Florrida had not broken the rules. Let's be plain; there is a word for people who break the rules and expect to get away with it:
REPUBLICAN
March 10, 2008 9:52 PM | Reply | Permalink
How does this give her any credit for a lead in FL? Splitting them negates them for each side. It is the same as seating no delegates at all, except it gets someone toward the total faster.
March 10, 2008 10:24 PM | Reply | Permalink
You're working against Hillary, just so you know.
She does not care about disenfranchisement or her minor pledged delegate lead in FL and MI. She cares about the huge number of supers in these states. That's what this solution gives her, which is why she will have no chance of rejecting it.
I think it's funny that her supporters have believed her nonsense about the voters and will now challenge the solution that serves her best. That is pretty nice comeuppance.
March 10, 2008 10:59 PM | Reply | Permalink
It seems to me that a fair solution would be to seat the Florida pledged delegates, hold a firehouse caucus (really a primary, but with consolidated polling places and possibly not quite as long hours)in Michigan. Then strip Florida and Michigan of ALL Super Delegates and Add-on delegates.(The Add-ons are selected by the state party executive committee in both states.)
The idea is to punish the knuckle-headed leadership but ensure the rank and file have their votes counted.
March 10, 2008 10:28 PM | Reply | Permalink
Hillary is not a democrat anymore
She's a CHEATOCRAT
March 10, 2008 10:30 PM | Reply | Permalink
We wouldn't have this problem if we had:
6 months to campaign, 6 debates, 1 national primary
6 months to campaign, 6 debates, the General Election.
This cuts out the need for multi-million dollar campaigns, unreliable open caucuses, "states Racing" to be relevant (Dean inadvertently did just that for FL and MI anyway), or meaningless bickering, whining, name-calling, fear-mongering, and plain idiocy.
Wait, that would give guys like Dodd, Kucinich, Gravel, Biden, et al. a chance to win the nomination. Nevermind, just get this election over with.
March 10, 2008 10:32 PM | Reply | Permalink
You know, no one, including Hillary Clinton, was complaining about democracy and disenfranchisement when they signed agreements to both of these states being stripped. The time for her to protest DNC rules was then, not now. All of this subterfuge is going on for one reason and one reason alone: Clinton is losing, period.
March 10, 2008 10:35 PM | Reply | Permalink
This is an utterly asinine idea. And I'm saying this as someone who, over the course of the past two months, has gone from "I'd like Obama or Edwards, but Clinton would be fine" to "Good lord, Clinton is acting completely repugnantly."
"Let's give them delegates! And let's proportion them in a way that neither reflects whatever it is that they may think, nor has any effect whatsoever on the results!"
That's supposed to solve what, exactly?
March 10, 2008 11:32 PM | Reply | Permalink
If the Clinton campaign won't accept it, then let it go to the convention when Obama will have more delegates on the committee. Clinton is down by 30 points with 5 minutes to go in the 4th quarter. Of course she wants to use her influence to change the rules and extend the game. In other words, she wants to cheat. No way.
March 10, 2008 11:44 PM | Reply | Permalink
Why not do a mail revote for the to vote for the Pledged delegates and leave all the Superdelegates out. I think they are who caused the problem and should not be allowed their percs for voting or for the camapaign. This way their would be no disenfrnchisement for the voters but the party officials that made this royal mess would have to go to Denver as pledged delegates or not at all.
March 11, 2008 12:06 AM | Reply | Permalink
Let us not forget that Hillary went to Florida and held a national rally that was effectively a one day campaign. That was in direct contradiction to her promise. (When did she last have integrity?) So before we should ever agree to seat those delegates, let’s just revote.
This is red herring anyway-it is not going to change the dynamics of Obama's lead. I am concerned that he is getting mired in the muck lately. Stop letting Hillary define the terms of the contest. That is exactly what the Clinton camp wants-anything to distract Obama from getting out there and doing what she cannot do-inspire the voters-especially the young ones-this is the first time in 60 years that our youth have even tried to get into the system.
Let the Dem Party decide whether to revote and just go with it-money is not the issue. The issue is to quiet the Clinton campaign and not give them more specious issues to lead with.
March 11, 2008 12:35 AM | Reply | Permalink
Hillary did not go there to hold any rally or campaign until after the voting was completed. She was there one night to attend a private fundraiser which the DNC said was not going against the agreement and did not break any rules. If you want to get really picky Obama had a commercial on TV which was campaigning.
March 11, 2008 1:22 AM | Reply | Permalink
An unavoidable fact remains, the votes in MI.& FI. were not sanctioned by the DNC.
The basic question = MONEY? Followed by DNC Approval of any plans in MI or FL!
The issue is not disenfranchisement or a lack of democracy? With a vote regardless of format, she will not meaningfully close the gap, and may loose ground.
The issue and goal is Clinton keeping the clock running as long as she can! At this point it appears futile, her only chance is a total breakdown for whatever reason by Obama.
Super delegates are going to continue the march to Obama. At the current rate he should exceed Clinton's total count by the end of March, her current campaign narrative & spokespersons( Penn, Wolfson, Ferraro, etc.) will accelerate this march if they do not seal their mouths. Absent a blow out on April 22 she is toast, the various assertions( CinC, foreign policy exp, Nafta, V.P. etc.) of the past will hurt her on April 22.
At this writing Mississippi is a lost cause, & for March Clinton should be down by 20 to 30, the total pledged delegates lead for Obama of 160- 170.
March 11, 2008 12:45 AM | Reply | Permalink
The Obama team is clearly afraid of the one person, one vote idea of democracy. How can you Obama supporters justify a campaign that depends on trivializing this fundamental democratic principle? How ironic that the first viable African American presidential candidate is running on a suppress the vote strategy! Do you want your candidate to win so badly that you don't want to give people the chance to vote? I'm flabbergasted.
March 11, 2008 12:48 AM | Reply | Permalink
I love how Greg Sargeant and Josh Marshall are so in the tank for Hillary. They are subtle but good. I have yet to see a headline, "Hillary Backer Ed Rendell" or some such. Wonder if such a standard is forthcoming. TPM is pathetic. Phil Singer has a direct line of communication with these hacks. They talked about it with Olbermann tonight. I wonder if they cultivate relationships with the Obama camp. Somehow, I doubt it.
March 11, 2008 12:56 AM | Reply | Permalink
A month ago nobody was talking about Florida and Michigan. Once it became clear that mathematically Clinton couldn't catch Obama, suddenly Florida and Michigan became a "crisis".
The problem in addressing the situation now is that every political figure has political motives to argue for one method over the other. The time for a common sense approach has passed.
Ultimately, all sides agreed to the rules before a single vote was cast. And while that may not be the best solution, it is what was agreed upon. Sometimes doing nothing is the best alternative.
March 11, 2008 2:38 AM | Reply | Permalink
It seems to me that the only solution is a re-vote. Any other solution gives the appearance of disenfranchising voters and gaming the system for one candidate or the other. I agree that in principle the rules were known and broken, thereby rendering the outcomes null and void. But perception is often reality. And, if either candidate gets the nomination in a way that the other side sees as unfair, the fallout could cost Dems the election. As an Obama supporter, I could hold my nose and vote Hillary if she wins the nomination fair and square. But if I perceive her as having stole it, I'm likely to stay home in November. And I suspect many Clinton supporters would feel the same if it went the other way. And, bottom line, we don't need Dem voters in Florida and Michigan feeling disenfranchised and staying home in November.
March 11, 2008 3:17 AM | Reply | Permalink
Michigan and Florida chose? Aren't you conflating the Democratic Parties, the state legislatures of those states and the ordinary voters of those states?
Obama chose to take his name off the ballot ostensibly because he couldn't campaign there but in actuality he was making a campaign decision when he did that. He argued he couldn't win because Granholm would support Clinton and Edwards would get the labor support. It was a political decision by him putting his own political well-being by currying favor in Iowa and New Hampshire ahead of helping to make sure that voters from industrial states also had an early say. Sen. Carl Levin points out that Michigan set its primary only after New Hampshire moved out of its zone too. New Hampshire wasn't penalized.
March 11, 2008 7:54 AM | Reply | Permalink
It's amazing how people who denounce the idea that superdelegates should vote according to their own preferences as undemocratic are perfectly willing to either throw away the votes of millions of Floridians and Michiganders or seize them in a split.
The Democratic Party made the atrocious error of banning these two states that will be crucial in November, so the Democratic Party should pay for the re-vote. All this talk of saving money at the expense of the voters' right to participate is revolting.
March 11, 2008 8:09 AM | Reply | Permalink
There's only one solution here: Let the damned rules that were agreed to by both Obama and Clinton stand! No revote, no clusterf**k.
I don't hear the people of FL and MI clambering for a revote. Not a one. Only the superdelegates supporting Clinton are making the argument in those states--go figure.
All this hand wringing that the dems will get punished for not seating FL and MI in November by those constituents is just that--hand wringing. All this talk about "squelching democracy", etc., etc is hot air. The time for this debate was months ago when the rules were agreed to. Democracy is not just about voting: it's primarily about the Rule Of Law. And the rules were agreed to by all involved parties. There's nothing MORE UNDEMOCRATIC then changing the rules mid-stream because one's candidate stands to gain from the change. That, my friends, is the definition of a "banana republic". So for the sake of democracy, let the freaking rules stand and move on.
March 11, 2008 8:16 AM | Reply | Permalink
You are right. No need for a revote. They already VOTED! Count the delegates and the popular vote as they stand for both Florida and Michigan. Hillary won both. Give her the votes and the delagates and stop all this whiny whining coming from Obama supporters. No one said Obama had to take himself off the ballot in Michigan. He knew he would lose the state bigtime which is why he pulled out. In regards to Florida, they were both on the ballot and only Obama cheated by running national ads. Hillary slaughtered him already in FLA and would do it again. Obama cannot win any big states important to the election. He really only wins RED states that McCain is going to win easily anyway.
March 11, 2008 8:44 AM | Reply | Permalink
I presume ChrisNBama's devotion to the rules includes a devotion to the rule that allows superdelegates to choose the candidate they prefer without reference to who is leading among the elected delegates.
All of the parties did not agree to the rules-- only the Democratic National Committee and the campaigns agreed to the rules in order to preserve Iowa and New Hampshire's precious monopoly. The people of Florida did not agree to the rules. The people of Michigan did not agree to the rules. The Democratic Party of Florida did not agree to the rules. The Democratic Party of Michigan did not agree to the rules.
In law there is a concept called equity. It means fairness. Courts use it all the time to trump the letter of the law if an outcome is patently unfair. Anyway, the rules of how a party decides its nominee are NOT laws. A party is a private organization that can decide its internal procedures according to how it sees fit. That being said, I think the presumption should be toward democratic outcomes. That means if I were a superdelegate I would vote for the winner of the popular vote. And that means the people of Florida and Michigan should be allowed to participate like the rest of us.
March 11, 2008 8:50 AM | Reply | Permalink
Dembillc wrote:
Um, the DNC has nullifed the results of those contests by the rules agreed to by BOTH campaigns. Hillary won nothing. Obama lost nothing. Zero delegates seated equals Zero delegate gains.
March 11, 2008 9:08 AM | Reply | Permalink
Um, the DNC has nullifed the results of those contests by the rules agreed to by BOTH campaigns. Hillary won nothing. Obama lost nothing. Zero delegates seated equals Zero delegate gains.
The DNC was dead wrong.
1.7 Million Florida democrats voted.
600 thousand Michigan democrats voted.
If you do not like these results than a do-over is called for. Of course whining Obama and his supporters want Millions of voters to be unrepresented. How undemocratic is that?
Obama and his supporters believe in selfishness, not democracy. Obama should explain to each and every democratic voter in FLA and Mich. why their vote should not count.
March 11, 2008 9:31 AM | Reply | Permalink
Does anyone have any idea about what the current delegate breakdown is in florida and michigan? I have seen some posts indicating that it really isn't that much. Anybody know? Please.
If its really not that much, maybe obama should just say fine. 55/45 split for both and let's be done with it. It would make him look better and net clinton only 10 or 20 delegates. So what, she will never catch up in any event.
March 11, 2008 9:14 AM | Reply | Permalink
DemD wrote:
I guess you are trying to suggest that I hold inconsistent views that favor my candidate over the established rules. For purposes of full disclosure, I do support Senator Obama for President. I'm sorry to disappoint you, however. I "reject and denounce" the Obama campaigns arguments that the superdelegates should back the will of the people. While that sort of rhetoric probably holds appeal to you(or maybe not depending on whether you are a Clinton supporter who argues through a partisan filter), I find it to fly in the face of the spirit of the rules vis-a-vis the superdelegates. The superdelegates were established to prevent the sort of electoral disaster that occurred when the dovish McGovern was nominated by the dems and was consequently destroyed in the general election. I fervently support the idea of superdelegates to make their own reasoned decisions regarding who they think will be the best candidate to defeat John McCain in the fall. They are specifically called to be tie-breakers, and we will see them in action come August (barring a radical change in the perceived outcome). If they think Clinton is the stronger candidate, so be it. If they think Obama is the stronger candidate so be it.
So what if the DNC representatives for MI and FL didn't agree to the rules? They were overruled. This is called representative democracy. Inevitably, someone or party is "disenfranchised". If the people of FL and MI feel disenfranchised as a result of the rule breaking of their leadership, then they should vote those representatives out of office. This is how democracy works. Unless you advocate mob rule.
You should have ended your argument at the DNC has the right, as a private organization, to establish its own rules. Because, in the end, this is the reality. They established their rules, and those rules should be enforced. Your definition of fairness amounts to the destruction of the rule of law. Moreover, let's not quibble on the semantics of the differences between rules or laws. The "rules" are "Laws" with a lower case L. Either they mean something or they don't. Either they're enforced or they're not. I advocate that the rules matter and should be enforced. If they are not, then why establish them if they are simply going to be rewritten by a candidate who deems them inconvenient, thus "disenfranchising" those who abided by the rules. See how this works? The best of all outcomes is to simply abide by what's established. Let the chips fall where they may.
March 11, 2008 9:37 AM | Reply | Permalink
Dembillc wrote:
Okay, after filtering through the partisan rancor, the gist of your argument is that the DNC was wrong. Fair enough. Your beef is with the DNC, and you should work through them to prevent the sort of wrongs you perceive from occurring in the future. The recourse, in this instance, is not to extend or revise the already agreed to primary election framework, thus disenfranchising those who already agreed to that framework. Or to put it in more terse language: to change the rules mid-stream to enable your faltering candidate to gain an electoral advantage. This sort of maneuvering, as I've said before, is undemocratic and befits Banana Republics, not the Democratic Party of the United States of America.
March 11, 2008 9:54 AM | Reply | Permalink
ChrisNBama: "Your definition of fairness amounts to the destruction of the rule of law."
No, because the law encompasses the concept of equity. Law is not only rules but justice. In fact, it was the disenfranchisement of Florida and Michigan that was the banana republic move. Party leaders decide to throw out the votes of millions of people just to pander to Iowa and New Hampshire? The contest does not exist for the sake of the DNC or the Obama campaign or the Clinton campaign, but for the sake of the voters.
Furthermore, it is not breaking the rules for the party to decide, in its wisdom and in accordance with its rules, to reverse a decision. If the rules didn't allow them to do it than they couldn't do it. But the rules grant the party leaders the power to reverse their decision.
It is not mob rule or the destruction of the rule of law to suggest the presumption should be toward democratic outcomes. I say presumption because I'm not trying to lay down a hard and fast rule, only a preference for democratic outcomes. Contrary to the arguments of most Obama supporteres on this blog, I agree with you that superdelegates should exercise their independent judgment. I indidcated how I would vote if I were a superdelegate, not how ALL superdelegates should vote.
March 11, 2008 11:35 AM | Reply | Permalink
Thank you Jesus! Finally, someone with some level actual common sense.
The votes should be split down the middle 50/50. If anyone has a problem with that they should march on both the Florida and Michigan Governors mansions!!!
They created this problem and then want to wash the blame off their bloodied hands. GIVE ME A BREAK!
Americans need to stop whinning because if the dates to both state primaries were NOT changed by their Governors they would have their VOICES, VOTES and CONVENTION SEATS!!!! It's as simple as that. Take your frustrations out on the people responsible for the date change!!!
Stop bashing the DNC, Washington, etc. Residents from Michigan and Florida need to stop crying the blues and march right up to their Governor's Mansions hold them accountable. Both Governors AGREED and KNEW the rules of the agreement and also the consequences for changing the primary dates.
Gov. Crist is nothing but a sap, he's crying foul play here and HE'S the culprit!! He approved the changed knowing it would silence his own state? What idiot makes this devastating decision at the cost of his own residents? STUPID!!! So who's to blame here.
Do we change the game in the middle of Superbowl? Do you think the average taxpayer would be granted the same request to bend the rules if they violated a law in Florida? Do you think Gov. Crist would bend his laws? Yeah right.
Split the votes and let's move on. This pointing blame on the DNC or Washington is pathetic and lame. Let's move on people. 50/50 is a fair split and it removes any level of favoritism between both candidates. Fair is Fair. We need to stop trying to fannagle any votes for either party unfairly. Split the votes 50/50 and lets go after John McCain! Enough with this foolishness!!
March 11, 2008 3:01 PM | Reply | Permalink