Obama: Don't Be Confused, I'm Serious About Ending War
On the trail today in Wyoming, Obama responded to the revelation that top foreign policy adviser Samantha Power had suggested that he might not rely on his campaign pledges when crafting a withdrawal plan as president.
From a transcript of Obama's remarks emailed out by the campaign...
She was quoted either this morning or last night in Mississippi because one of my advisors had said that in a interview overseas that well Senator Obama would not...he has given a time frame for withdrawal, but obviously it would be subject to decisions and the situation at the time.And so, Senator Clinton used this to try to imply that I wasn’t serious about bringing this war to an end. I just have to mention this because I don’t want anybody here to be confused.
Power didn't merely say in the interview that Obama's withdrawal would be "subject to decisions and the situation at the time." She also said: "He will, of course, not rely on some plan that he’s crafted as a presidential candidate or a U.S. Senator."
Obama also suggested that her initial support for the war should undermine the credibility of her criticism of him on it: "I don’t want to play politics on this issue because she doesn’t have standing to question my position on this issue."
Presuming that Hillary will continue to hit Obama for his alleged lack of commander in chief cred, the question in the days ahead will be whether Obama can effectively counter the assault by pointing to her lack of real live commander-in-chief experience and to her failure of judgment in supporting the war. We'll see if it works.
Fuller transcript after the jump.
This war was unwise which is why I opposed it in 2002 and that is why I will bring this war to an end in 2009. Now just one thing—one note I have to make on this. I haven’t spent too much time talking about my opponent Senator Clinton or Senator McCain for that matter.But I do have to say this. She was quoted either this morning or last night in Mississippi because one of my advisors had said that in a interview overseas that well Senator Obama would not… he has given a time frame for withdrawal, but obviously it would be subject to decisions and the situation at the time.
And so, Senator Clinton used this to try to imply that I wasn’t serious about bringing this war to an end. I just have to mention this because I don’t want anybody here to be confused.
I was opposed to this war in 2002. If it had been up to me we would have never been in this war. It was because of George Bush with an assist from Hillary Clinton and John McCain that we entered into this war. A war that should have never been authorized, a war that should have never been waged.
I have been against it in 2002, 2003, 2004, 5, 6, 7, 8 and I will bring this war to an end in 2009.
So don’t be confused. Don’t be confused. When Senator Clinton is not even willing to acknowledge that she voted for war. She says she voted for diplomacy despite the title that said authorization to use U.S. Armed Forces in Iraq. So I don’t want to play politics on this issue because she doesn’t have standing to question my position on this issue.
Now what is true is that I want to be as careful getting out as we were careless getting in. And I want to make sure that our troops are protected and safe as we are withdrawing them and I don’t want us to see Iraq collapse which is why I have put out the most detailed plan in terms of making sure that we have humanitarian aid in place and making sure that we are working with the Iraqis to negotiate diplomatically inside the country as well as the regional powers there and that we have a international commission to monitor against war crimes that might occur as we are pulling out.
So we have to be very careful but we’re going to end this war. And when we end this war what I want to be able to do is go before the world community and say America is back. America is back and we are ready to lead once again. We are ready to lead. We are ready to lead on the issues that matter.















Obama can be effective if it actually gets reported. If, on the other hand, political reporters are tied to phones, listening to Howard Wolfson explain what a dope Obama is, then Obama might not be effective, because reporters will be posting transcripts of conversations with Howard Wolfson.
Anyone else see a problem there?
March 7, 2008 6:43 PM | Reply | Permalink
You'd think with the media hostility to Clinton they would be all over someone pointing out that most of her self-serving statements (ready on day 1, experience, 35 years of experience) would get a more thorough airing. Probably don't get around to it because they are all so busy heap adoration on Senator Obama. Bunch of Cultist!
March 7, 2008 6:51 PM | Reply | Permalink
Seriously. But I have yet to see, for instance, the NY Times cover those statements ("Ready on day one!"). Instead, last summer, the Times does a hack job on the Clinton marriage, offending a lot of people, and has been relatively soft on Clinton since then. Of course, Howard and Hillary would disagree with this.
Which is understandable. What's baffling is that people outside the Clinton camp drank the kool-aid and started writing stories about the bias against Clinton, without too much of an examination of the bias towards Clinton. And Obama supporters are cultist and creepy?
March 7, 2008 7:00 PM | Reply | Permalink
It'll get out there quickly if one thing happens:
$55 million in ads comparing Obama to "McClinton."
One candidate wants to beat John McCain, one just wants to be john McCain (must've misheard the directive on the conference call).
March 9, 2008 1:48 AM | Reply | Permalink
God bless Barack Obama. He had the sense to know this war was a mistake. Hillary was a coward and didn't stand up to the right-wing (nor did she even read the frigin NIE). This is the type of president we need.
Thank you Greg for FINALLY posting something (ANYTHING) from the Obama campaign. It isn't just Clinton and Wolfson out there, you know.
March 7, 2008 6:46 PM | Reply | Permalink
"Never let anyone outside the family know what you are thinking"
Vito Corelone
She fucked up.
March 7, 2008 6:49 PM | Reply | Permalink
I agree - Hillary really is fucked up.
March 7, 2008 7:09 PM | Reply | Permalink
Any what's up with taking Powers' comment out of context?
You post:
And she said:
Those sentences AFTER the sentence you referenced seem to provide a much fuller context. At least you linked to someone else's work that contained the full quote. So I guess I'll only give you one demerit.
With media bias like this, it's a wonder that Senator Clinton hasn't been drummed out of the race already.
March 7, 2008 6:49 PM | Reply | Permalink
Here's the question to which she was responding:
Obviously, if you've got a political axe to grind, you could choose to say that his commitment to end the war is not a commitment at all. But it seems to me this is about his commitment to get troops out within 16 months.
From the South Carolina debate:
That's what I've found so far.
March 7, 2008 7:12 PM | Reply | Permalink
Greg,
Please provide the full quote of what Power said.
In full context, it's much closer to what Obama suggested than what you are suggesting.
March 7, 2008 6:55 PM | Reply | Permalink
Her comments don't really imply anything nefarious, this line of attack is just as ridiculous as the rest.
March 7, 2008 6:56 PM | Reply | Permalink
Publicus, I'm aware of the fuller context. But really, it was still an unfortunate comment. She was clearly dismissive of the idea that the plans he crafted as a candidate were something that he'd follow. I'm not seeing how the larger context helps here.
As I noted in an earlier post, both candidates are trying to preserve wiggle room for themselves, and just to be clear, that's completely understandable. Nonetheless, this is clearly an unfortunate way to word this that Power chose in this case.
March 7, 2008 7:01 PM | Reply | Permalink
I'm sorry, Greg. I *really* like what you and Eric do, but in this case, you're wrong. This is why politics is stupid and ugly- because people think readers, even readers who are as obviously obsessed as people here, don't need any more than a sound bite. I can get crap like that from ABC. I come here because you're better than this.
March 7, 2008 7:19 PM | Reply | Permalink
16 month commitment is based on what he was told when he developed the plan. If events change between that earlier date and when he takes office, it MIGHT alter the timetable. Maybe he gets troops out in 6 months. Or maybe it takes 3 years. It will all depend on the facts on the ground.
You seem like a reasonably bright guy, so I don't mean to be dismissive or incredulous in my response, but I expect this type of intellectually dishonest analysis from someone like Peter Daou or Wolfson. It's there job to take shit of context and present it without context. And that's what they've done. You, apparently, are not immune to spin my friend.
March 7, 2008 7:20 PM | Reply | Permalink
Or, if the level of sectarian violence increases, he might not leave at all. See my comment above and the 60-minute interview in which he indicates he might stay of violence increases. Now, why would he do that? That is the surge redux.
March 7, 2008 9:31 PM | Reply | Permalink
So are you advocating continuing a pull-out even if large-scale genocide occurs as we pull out?
March 7, 2008 10:15 PM | Reply | Permalink
Yes! You got it! What do you think has been going on if not large scale genocide? Wes Clark ended genocide in Kosovo without an occupation and without losing one American life. It's tragic that Hillary was intimately familiar with the history of that intervention and with Bill Clinton's bombing of Iraq to force them to let the weapons inspectors back in. Her mistake, for which she has to answer, was to overlay that frame of reference on Bush and the neo-cons.
March 7, 2008 10:29 PM | Reply | Permalink
Kosovo and Iraq are not even comparable and the fracturing and internal civil war in Iraq is not genocide.
March 8, 2008 3:26 AM | Reply | Permalink
The Sunnis will be happy to know that. Have you linked to Baghdad Burning or Informed Comment?
March 8, 2008 9:29 AM | Reply | Permalink
I completely see how the larger context helps.
No president is going blindly implement a year old plan without revising it to address new realities on the ground in Iraq. The quote as a whole comes across as what it is: rational and obvious. The portion of the quote that you personally found to be the most relevant makes Obama sound like an opportunistic liar who says one thing but then does another.
Thank you, Publicus.
March 7, 2008 7:44 PM | Reply | Permalink
Greg,
I have argued for you a lot, but this time I've got to urge you to listen to the comments. The full quote is the full context of the situation, whether you fail to see it or not, and your readers deserve that.
March 7, 2008 7:58 PM | Reply | Permalink
Greg, I have to agree with Slouch here - this post is misleading because you've taken her comments way out of context. Please, we can get this from the MSM - we come here to get away from that nonsense and we would appreciate a little bit more care in reporting these kinds of things.
March 7, 2008 8:25 PM | Reply | Permalink
Greg,
The unfortunate wording is only unfortunate when highlighted out of context.
March 7, 2008 8:06 PM | Reply | Permalink
It's only unfortunate wording in the sense that if you chop the sentence out from the middle of the entire paragraph that further explains it, it goes unexplained.
March 7, 2008 9:11 PM | Reply | Permalink
But the way they are preserving wiggle room seems quite different. Here's Obama doing it on CBS.
Obama told Steve Kroft that his timetable for withdrawing from Iraq will have to depend on events on the ground, and that the level of sectarian violence will determine whether he can end the occupation.
"At a time when American casualties are down, at a time when the violence is down, particularly affecting the Iraqi population, is that the right time to try and set time tables for withdrawing all American troops? I mean you talked about…the end of 2009," Kroft remarked.
"Yeah, absolutely. I think now is precisely the time. I think that it is very important for us to send a clear signal to the Iraqis that we are not gonna be here permanently. We're not gonna set up permanent bases. That they are going to have to resolve their differences and get their country functioning," Obama said.
"And you pull out according to that time table, regardless of the situation? Even if there’s serious sectarian violence?" Kroft asked.
"No, I always reserve as commander in chief, the right to assess the situation," Obama replied.
Well, for anyone who thinks ending the Iraq occupation is still the most important issue of this campaign, that is exactly the wrong answer.
The right answer, of course, is: Yes! Especially if there is serious sectarian violence. Because, if the sectarian violence increases and we stay, our soldiers and Marines will be caught in the crossfire of a civil war.
Even worse, Obama's statement telegraphs to Iran, the Shia militias, Sunni insurgents and the US Commanders what they can do to hang him up in Iraq. The level of sectarian violence is not in Obama's hands. It is in theirs.
March 7, 2008 9:27 PM | Reply | Permalink
you guys made such a point of putting hillary's mlk/lbj comments in context. many people think that the full quotation still offensively downplayed the importance of mlk. but there was no arguing that putting the quotation in proper context was the best way to understand what she was trying to say. here you refuse. by saying that the power quotation you include was in addition to obama's interpretation of what she said ("subject to decisions and the situation at the time"), you strongly indicate that his interpretation is wrong. yet the entire quotation that you don't want to put up clearly shows that obama's interpretation is correct. you are being a huge hypocrite by refusing to show the entire quotation. this is pathetic.
March 8, 2008 12:34 AM | Reply | Permalink
Greg, I am a loyal reader, and I like the way TPM operates, but I have to call major bullshit on this. Rather than report the whole quote, and state t6hat there is a fuller context than what the Clinton camp has assigned to Power's statement (which you appear to do in the post I'm replying to), you give us the truncated quote and justify it by giving us your opinion that it's an unfortunate comment.
Well, excuse me, but I'd like to make that call for myself. If I wanted the parrotting of the Wolfson meme or the rehash of the MSM's view of this "flap", then I would just tune into Steve F*cking Doocy, Greg.
You guys are better than this. Your job is to call out the bullshit on spin, and you do so by looking wider then what some campaign spoon feeds you.
For fuck's sake. It's in your goddamned name! Rake this stuff. Don't repackage it.
Disappointing as hell.
March 8, 2008 5:47 PM | Reply | Permalink
Powers: "You can’t make a commitment in March 2008 about what circumstances will be like in January of 2009," she said. "He will, of course, not rely on some plan that he’s crafted as a presidential candidate or a U.S. Senator. He will rely upon a plan – an operational plan – that he pulls together in consultation with people who are on the ground to whom he doesn’t have daily access now, as a result of not being the president. So to think – it would be the height of ideology to sort of say, 'Well, I said it, therefore I’m going to impose it on whatever reality greets me.'"
Powers may have an awesome intellect, but her political instincts suck. Obama had to defensively explain her remarks because they lacked clarity. Unbelieveable.
Sam hung herself.
March 7, 2008 7:08 PM | Reply | Permalink
"Ridiculous" doesn't make it out of bounds for Clinton. Neither would "distorted", "dishonest", "pathetic", "unhinged"; I could go on for days.
The only positive to all the fake outrage over Samantha Power is that all the idiot talkshows are pondering whether Hillary is really a "monster" or not.
March 7, 2008 7:09 PM | Reply | Permalink
"The only positive to all the fake outrage over Samantha Power is that all the idiot talkshows are pondering whether Hillary is really a "monster" or not."
I know, it's pretty funny. Once again, Hillary takes it that extra step so that it boomerangs on her.
March 7, 2008 7:39 PM | Reply | Permalink
Thanks for interpreting it for us, Greg. We really couldn't do it ourselves.
March 7, 2008 7:11 PM | Reply | Permalink
The larger context explains that there may be, and probably is more information available once in office from people whom he nor anybody else has access to that may alter things.
Unfortunate? Yes. But only if you parse it out. Which, um, you did.
March 7, 2008 7:12 PM | Reply | Permalink
Imagine....a political adviser actually speaking like an adult and we get the spin that we do. An educated electorate? Good luck with that one...no wonder folks vote against their own self interest.
Even saying that...let's try something.
Let's put advisers statements side by side:
...he is convinced she would hold off on authorizing a large-scale immediate withdrawal of American soldiers from Iraq. Jack Keane, co-architect of the surge and Clinton adviser
http://www.nysun.com/article/72209
So can we compare what these folks are saying please? One says conditions on the ground could affect their withdrawl plan, the other saying there is no withdrawl plan at all.
What the hell is happening to our journalism in this country? Stop focusing on the latest gotcha and tell us what these candidates are really doing!
These are serious issues facing us. Can we please get some serious coverage so we can make a serious choice????
March 7, 2008 7:12 PM | Reply | Permalink
Amen. And with this, we can kill that bullshit about Obama being the press' favorite. The Keane statement says it all.
March 7, 2008 7:20 PM | Reply | Permalink
http://andrewsullivan.theatlantic.com/the_daily_dish/2008/03/what-foreign-po.html
"ludicrously untrue" statements are EXCELLENT NEWS!! FOR HILLARY!!!
March 7, 2008 7:16 PM | Reply | Permalink
And don't forget Idiotic ol' buddy - she also ended the Israeli-Palestinian Conflict.
March 7, 2008 7:26 PM | Reply | Permalink
Why oh why are people being so mean to Barack?
First it was Bill, then it was that 'monster' Hillary, now it's the media.
Oh poor Barack. Make Hillary stop it, please! For the sack of the children!
March 7, 2008 7:19 PM | Reply | Permalink
Grow up. He's responding to a charge she's making and correcting her blatant misreading of the statement. Door swings both ways, guy.
Besides, isn't it your candidate that was calling for someone's head over being called a name? Talk about "the sack of the children" - whatever the fuck that means.
(I know you meant "sake"; relax.)
March 7, 2008 7:25 PM | Reply | Permalink
She was clearly dismissive of the idea that the plans he crafted as a candidate were something that he'd follow. I'm not seeing how the larger context helps here.
Are you kidding me?
She's clearly saying that as president he'll have access to fuller information and that like an responsible adult, he'll make decisions based on the full picture.
Of course policy people like her don't speak in sound bites, but pretending her comment is "unfortunate" or doesn't make sense is silly.
March 7, 2008 7:20 PM | Reply | Permalink
As someone who watched that information only Presidents are privy to -- most of it coming from generals -- drag the Vietnam war out until 1974, I'm highly skeptical when I hear someone hedging their commitment to end an occupation. I cannot think of a single contingency that should keep us from redeploying from Iraq by the end of 2009. What in the world could keep us there? At least give me an idea of the kind of events on the ground that could cause us not to redeploy. Please.
March 7, 2008 9:38 PM | Reply | Permalink
Billy Glad,
As someone who helped feed the generals what they wanted to hear so they could tell the president what he ordered them to tell him, I suggest you get some new eyeglasses.
I worked in an Army Intelligence office in Saigon for two years before most Americans knew there was a Vietnam.
Best, Terry
March 8, 2008 1:04 AM | Reply | Permalink
Then you know the information the generals were giving Kennedy, Johnson and Nixon was cooked to make it look like we were "winning" the war.
March 8, 2008 9:18 AM | Reply | Permalink
Why oh why are people being so mean to poor little Barack?
First it was that mean ol' Bill, then it was that monster Hillary. Now it's media who really always loved McCain more.
For the sake of the children, please make it stop!
March 7, 2008 7:22 PM | Reply | Permalink
The only positive to all the fake outrage over Samantha Power is that all the idiot talkshows are pondering whether Hillary is really a "monster" or not.
Well, she may not be a monster, but her tactics are certainly monstrous.
I don't want to ever hear her voice again.
March 7, 2008 7:23 PM | Reply | Permalink
First off, I want nothing more than to see Obama pound Clinton into the sand and downward to political oblivion. And I actually agree with Powers, Clinton is a monster.
But I also saw this interview on the BBC in question. She handled the question about withdrawl very poorly. Obviously she realizes how politicaly savage the Clinton machine is -- witness the monster comment. In light of this she should have had more sense not to speak that to a reporter, and she should have been more careful about direct questions to the candidates statements. It isn't her role to clarify statements for Obama. That's Obama's job. If she wants to elaborate on something she said, fine, but when a report asks for a clarifatication on what Obama said the correct response is to direct the reported to question the senator.
as it was told to Sonny
"never let anyone outside the family know what you are thinking."
March 7, 2008 7:25 PM | Reply | Permalink
Mr Sargent,
You wrote: "I'm aware of the fuller context. But really, it was still an unfortunate comment. She was clearly dismissive of the idea that the plans he crafted as a candidate were something that he'd follow. I'm not seeing how the larger context helps here."
Let me explain it to you. She wasn't dismissive of the idea. She was saying that he would take into account resources that he does not have access to now. Which is exactly what he should do...don't you think?
Or do you think that he should state his full plan right now, and stick to it to the letter, no matter what has transpired in the year and a half to come?
You are simply parroting...taking these quotes and going, "look look look!! Look what she said!!!
I have come to expect the best from people who work for Josh. You are letting us down with the FOX-style games.
March 7, 2008 7:25 PM | Reply | Permalink
I don't think this is fair of you.
Obama a while back was really quite firm about his 2 a month withdrawal plan.
He had it in his website without all the caveats. Then it came down.
It is only relatively recently that he began to stress the "nuances" of his plan.
Indeed at this point he has come round to HRC's stance and near to McCain's. Yet not long ago he berated HRC for the tance he now holds.
The sad truth is that whoever is elected all of our troops will not leave Iraq in the next four years. Not in the next eight.
I believe Obama knows this, has always known this.
And Powers statement, within the context of Obama's campaign, really was dismissive of Obama's earlier pronouncements.
Obama has been pivoting to the center since before Super Tuesday. He will continue to do so. And all the nuance in the world will not cover his disavowing earlier campaign planks.
Is he unique in this? Of course not.
Is it a bad thing? Of course not.
But the fact remains that Powers was dismissing Obama's 2 a month stance.
March 7, 2008 7:42 PM | Reply | Permalink
See Greg, JTHB's post is the type of intellectual dishonesty I've come to expect from a partisan. It's part of the game. See, he won't mentioned that Obama introduced his plan in 2007, which allows for alteration of the withdrawal based on facts on the ground. Instead, he pretends that he's a johnny-come-lately to the idea.
http://obama.senate.gov/press/070130-obama_offers_pl_1/index.php
And his presidential plan was altered after the SURGE occurred. It's amazing how much can be lost with the passage of time.
And no hard feelings JTHB. I understand you are just doing what you can to make your candidate's opponent look bad. In the fall, I expect you'll be doing the same to John McCain on Obama or Clinton's behalf as well.
March 7, 2008 7:57 PM | Reply | Permalink
I don't think I am being dishonest.
I think I pointed out that Obama's plan has evolved, increasingly so as the nomination came within reach. Nor did I condemn him for this.
The point is, and Powers' was, that Obama has not been nor will he be held to any plan developed during his campaign. She was clearly dismissive of the idea that he would be.
Now you might well say that Obama's current stance is so nuanced that it is infinitely elastic but is it really?.
And it is a long time until November and events have a way of overtaking the best laid plans, yes?
I think it foolish to assume, as you seem to, that Obama's current iteration is his last word on the subject during the campaign.
And while I'll avoid calling it dishonest, it is something to claim, as you seem to, that Obama's stance has remained unchanged in two years or longer.
March 7, 2008 8:10 PM | Reply | Permalink
It is mistaken of you to suggest that Obama's rhetoric and plans for Iraq have not become increasingly nuanced over the last two years. It is mistaken to not recognize Obama's increasing nuance as the campaign continues.
And it is unreal to assume, as you seem to, that his current inexactness is sufficiently elastic to cover all eventualities between now and November.
That is all Powers is saying and she is correct.
You are I think just mistaken in your enthusiasm.
March 7, 2008 8:17 PM | Reply | Permalink
Obama's "she doesn’t have standing to question my position on this issue" is a very dangerous construct I think.
He is saying that 85% of the American people have no standing to question him. Nor the majority of Senators. Not to mention the military.
Are we to now understand, that because of his speech in 2002 when he had neither responsibility nor authority, his judgments on Iraq, with all that the last five years have brought, are not to be questioned? Really?
With all due respect Obama has been running a largely one trick pony. I should have thought that Texas and Ohio had taught him that pony's diminishing returns.
And if he wants to get those Generals and Admirals standing up with him then he might need to correct his construct.
March 7, 2008 7:26 PM | Reply | Permalink
Catch up, JTHB, Obama won Texas.
March 7, 2008 7:40 PM | Reply | Permalink
Forgive me but that is both dishonest and insulting.
Snark may suffice for argument where you come from but hardly does in the wider world.
I assume that your point is that Obama "won" Texas because of the caucus results, yes?
Well "catch up". Not only did I not say he didn't "win" Texas but that argument is not relevant to my point.
He lost the popular vote or did you not notice that in your snarky sublimeness?
March 7, 2008 8:24 PM | Reply | Permalink
He's saying HRC can't keep focused on what matters. Obama read the rules, came up with a strategy and is succesfully pursuing it. HRC is in her kitchen sink endgame.
March 7, 2008 8:40 PM | Reply | Permalink
Did more people vote for Clinton or Obama in the primary and caucus? More voted for Obama.
Who comes out of Texas with more delegates Clinton or Obama? Obama.
So Clinton "won Texas" how exactly?
March 7, 2008 9:03 PM | Reply | Permalink
Do you have a plan for the day reality comes crashing down on you?
March 7, 2008 9:57 PM | Reply | Permalink
So you can't refute or even address the facts presented in the comment you responded to, and instead prattle on with concern trolling about my mental health should basic math suddenly be thrown out the window, and with lame quips about my screen name.
Comical.
March 7, 2008 10:14 PM | Reply | Permalink
The entire universe knows she kicked his ass in Texas.
March 7, 2008 10:30 PM | Reply | Permalink
Once again, Obama won more delegates in Texas 98-95 in addition he won more TOTAL votes in the primary AND caucus 1,908,968 - 1,891,310
March 8, 2008 3:23 AM | Reply | Permalink
My parents, in Texas, think he won Texas. Of course, they're both rabid football fans. As dad said "It's like saying the Cowboys got 21 against the Redskins 20 in DC, but they gave the win to the Redskins because more people showed up in the stands."
March 8, 2008 4:20 AM | Reply | Permalink
He's also saying his opponent for the nomination in a neck-and-neck race doesn't have "standing" to question his positions.
This defense is not just legalistic ... it's a laughed-outta-court legalism.
His unreadiness is showing through.
March 7, 2008 7:41 PM | Reply | Permalink
What nonsense.
Her "standing", or rather lack-thereof is predicated on her judgment vis-e-vis foreign policy decisions and votes. Her horrible judgment on the 2002 AUMF vote is what correctly renders her position on this issue (i.e. getting out of Iraq) without standing, not because of where he and she are in the nomination race.
March 7, 2008 9:07 PM | Reply | Permalink
That'll fly ... like a lead ostrich.
March 7, 2008 9:32 PM | Reply | Permalink
Or a make believe vampire.
March 7, 2008 10:00 PM | Reply | Permalink
More nonsensical blather.
March 7, 2008 10:11 PM | Reply | Permalink
He's also saying his opponent for the nomination in a neck-and-neck race doesn't have "standing" to question his positions.
This defense is not just legalistic ... it's a laughed-outta-court legalism.
His unreadiness is showing through.
March 7, 2008 7:43 PM | Reply | Permalink
This is pretty lame. How about some honest analysis? What she's clearly saying is that it's not incumbent upon the future to honor your commitments with favorable conditions. Circumstances change and the plan to reach the goal will not be based on the conditions a year prior. Any thinking person, anyone who has ever had to manage anything, knows that this is reality. This is the way problems are actually solved. This is the opposite of the Bush doctrine: relentlessly try to shove a square peg into round hole. It is, as she clearly says, the height of ideology. To wit, to stay the course even after having run aground.
You're reaching and methinks you're doing it on purpose.
March 7, 2008 7:34 PM | Reply | Permalink
I'm sorry. As someone who has actually done the kinds of things you're talking about, I'd have to say it's just the opposite. You start with what you want to do, make a plan, and, as events change, you alter the plan, but not the goals. In an academic world, I guess you could imagine a case where your goals would change, but you would probably be challenged to give some examples.
To bring it down to this debate. The goal is to redeploy from Iraq by the end of 2009. You can make any plan or plans you want to achieve that goal. But, if you want to make the goal itself contingent on something, you have to say what it is contingent on. What kind of events might cause you to change the goal of getting out of Iraq by the end of 2009?
I myself cannot think of a single one.
Obama, in a dialogue with CBS news, agreed to one, i.e, if sectarian violence increases as we begin to withdraw.
My contention is that that's an exceptionally bad reason for staying.
March 7, 2008 10:10 PM | Reply | Permalink
I agree with you for once, Billy. This is exactly what I'm saying: you reserve the right to change the plan, but not the goal. You clearly think that Obama should just say he'll get out no matter what and it's clear that he intends to. You're saying that he shouldn't be straight with us, he should tell us what we want to hear. I disagree on that point.
I realize you like "60 days" a lot better, but all she's really promising is that she'll start to withdraw by then. She thinks. What if we were to end up in conflict with Iran before then? This is not entirely out of the bounds of possibility. The forces are in place, the legislation is in place. I'll bet that would change her timetable a lot.
March 8, 2008 12:07 AM | Reply | Permalink
Too true. You could even make the argument that the real purpose of invading Iraq was to engage Iran, and that we are just watching that scenario play out. Juan Cole briefed the Senate at the start of the invasion and explained how Iran dominated Southern Iraq, even during Hussein's regime. (A link to his testimony is in the references for Cole's Wiki entry.) I believe engaging Iran was a neocon contingency if occupying Iraq didn't work out.
That's why it is crucial to stick to the goal of redeploying no matter what the events on the ground are. And those events could include sectarian violence, or even attacks on withdrawing American forces by Iran. But the Iranians aren't stupid. No one wants to end up like Saddam Hussein. We have airpower and Special Ops to protect our forces and the Sunnis.
There is just no reason I can think of not to begin redeploying in 60 days and keep on until the occupation is ended. Getting in a land war with Iran is not a reason in my book.
March 8, 2008 9:28 AM | Reply | Permalink
Well, if all you're saying is that you can see no reason why the logistics would ever need adjustment, then I can believe that.
March 8, 2008 2:15 PM | Reply | Permalink
One 2002 speech, same votes in Senate as Hill. Obama, the empty suit, can't address HOW we'll get out of the two wars and what he'll do if there are issues in an exit. Hope/Change/Hope/Change ... broken record.
March 7, 2008 7:36 PM | Reply | Permalink
Let me explain it to you, Berwynboris. Powers left the door open for Obama to renege on his campaign promise to withdraw troops from Iraq should "circumstances in January 2009" warrant the change. Obama never made that statement in any speech I'm aware of. Clinton and McCain can now ask, "Well, Barack, what circumstances do you envision for breaking campaign promise? And please be specific." It just leaves another hole that Barack must plug when he could be doing better things--like making Hillary the issue again.
Powers put the entire campaign on the defensive needlessly. I'm glad she's gone for now. Barack needs to tell his staff in no uncertain terms to BE CAREFUL around reporters. It's Politics 101.
Look forward to Wyoming and Mississippi and hope these self-inflicting wounds don't occur again.
March 7, 2008 7:42 PM | Reply | Permalink
Cogent. But we shouldn't wait for Clinton or the press or McCain to ask him. We should be asking him. And the people who put their money and time into his campaign should be asking him. What the hell does he think the generals are going to tell him? Nows the time to quit? Read Petraeus's Field Manual if you think he is going to say conditions on the ground are right for withdrawal.
March 7, 2008 9:45 PM | Reply | Permalink
From Andrew Sullivan
The Chicago Tribune does us all a service by examining what exactly is Senator Clinton's experience. Read the whole thing, but the Macedonia and Northern Ireland claims are the most revealing:
Pressed in a CNN interview this week for specific examples of foreign policy experience that has prepared her for an international crisis, Clinton claimed that she "helped to bring peace" to Northern Ireland and negotiated with Macedonia to open up its border to refugees from Kosovo.
Both claims are ludicrously untrue. All she did in Northern Ireland was have tea with some local peace activist women. Laura Bush could argue, by that token, that she has ended AIDS in Africa. But here's the beaut:
The Macedonian government opened its border to refugees the day before Clinton arrived to meet with government leaders.
Clinton has next to no foreign policy experience. And no executive experience. She has less legislative experience than Obama. And she has not just exaggerated, but flat-out lied, about her non-achievements. I'm glad the Tribune has done this. Can the rest of media follow up?
March 7, 2008 7:43 PM | Reply | Permalink
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/main.jhtml?xml=/news/2008/03/08/wuspols108.xml
So, wait, Hillary didn't bring peace to Northern Ireland? Well, I'll be.
March 7, 2008 7:45 PM | Reply | Permalink
Pom Poms matter.
March 7, 2008 8:28 PM | Reply | Permalink
Well if Hope/Change/Hope/Change is a broken record what the heck is *be afraid, be very afraid*?
Obama is not perfect, to be sure. But does anyone seriously think this country can live through another 4-8 years of DC drama the Clintons seem to dwell on?
There are serious problems this country is facing and the best the Clintons can put forward is *don't hope, don't try to change*...*stick with me, I'll guarantee another term or two of DC drama isolation and unproductivity*?
Blech...
March 7, 2008 7:47 PM | Reply | Permalink
Greg,
You're wrong on this. By removing the statment from it's context you deliberately allow the reader to draw incorrect conclusions.
Given the set up for how you used the statement, you are implying that once again Obama is being dishonest in his statements.
If you include the conext of the remark, it becomes clear that he is committed to what he says now, but, will make his decisions based on all the information available to him at the time.
You deliberately rely on the readers misunderstanding of the quote to imply something it clearly does not mean.
Just admit it and move on.
March 7, 2008 7:48 PM | Reply | Permalink
Obama is not going to win the nomination.
When the convention comes around and he's behind both Hillary and McCain are up by double digets over Obama, do you really think the supers are going to let the technicality that he won some unrepresentative caucusus be the detirmining factor? Get real.
When Pennsylvania, Indiana, Kentucky and probably North Carolina have their say, it'll be over.
March 7, 2008 7:54 PM | Reply | Permalink
KevinH - Since you can predict the future so accurately please tell me what horse is going to win the 7th race at Belmont on June 19, 2008. Help me out here - I could really use the money.
March 7, 2008 8:04 PM | Reply | Permalink
Holy shit... June 19th is my birthday!
March 7, 2008 9:10 PM | Reply | Permalink
having no grasp of "math" IS EXCELLENT NEWS!! FOR HILLARY!!!
March 7, 2008 8:10 PM | Reply | Permalink
All right, I love idiotic, but that's the first time he made me snort diet coke out of my nose.
March 7, 2008 8:25 PM | Reply | Permalink
Me, too, generica - I had a mouthful of water in my mouth and it sprayed out all over my keyboard. He is getting better every post! : )
March 7, 2008 8:35 PM | Reply | Permalink
"When the convention comes around and he's behind both Hillary and McCain are up by double digets over Obama, do you really think the supers are going to let the technicality that he won some unrepresentative caucusus be the detirmining factor? Get real."
His 150 or so pledged delegate lead isn't the result of winning a few caucuses. Yeah, and I'm sure those supers will feel they have a perfectly sound basis to go with opinion polls, as opposed to the mere technicality of actual votes...
March 7, 2008 8:15 PM | Reply | Permalink
Let me tell you Kevin, NC hates Hillary.
She lost the nomination get over it, she needs to stop trying to fuck up the GE for Obama.
March 7, 2008 8:22 PM | Reply | Permalink
So does Indiana. The only poll that's been done here has Obama up by double digits.
March 7, 2008 8:37 PM | Reply | Permalink
I like the way Obama handled this and think he should do more of it. One of John Edwards' best moments in the debates was when he said something to the effect that all this bickering among politicians isn't going to do one thing for the American people. Barack should say some version of that every time they sling mud. He should set the facts straight and stay on message.
March 7, 2008 7:56 PM | Reply | Permalink
Barack needs to do much, much more than this. Is this the first speech he's mades since Tuesday's primaries? Clinton and her team have continue to whirl like helicopter blades on the offense and what do we get from team Obama? A press release asking Hillary to release her tax records and Power putting her foot in her mouth isn't gonna cut it. We can all hope Hillary over-steps and buries herself, but as all of you have noted earlier, she's obviously happy to bury everyone with her.
March 7, 2008 8:04 PM | Reply | Permalink
One theory is that the disciplined Mr. Obama is devoting himself at the moment to Wyoming and Mississippi, not to the press or the blogesphere.
If so, I see his point.
March 8, 2008 1:50 AM | Reply | Permalink
"Obama can be effective if it actually gets reported. If, on the other hand, political reporters are tied to phones, listening to Howard Wolfson explain what a dope Obama is, then Obama might not be effective, because reporters will be posting transcripts of conversations with Howard Wolfson."
I just need to quote this.
I heard elsewhere that Obama's campaign in Mississippi was asking for HRC to explain her dissing of MS.
Strange how this doesn't appear on TPM. I guess, yeah, too busy with taking dictation from Wolfson and Ickes.
March 7, 2008 8:11 PM | Reply | Permalink
It's on the front page.
March 7, 2008 8:48 PM | Reply | Permalink
How can Greg claim with a straight face he is not biased?
"bama responded to the revelation that top foreign policy adviser Samantha Power had suggested that he might not rely on his campaign pledges when crafting a withdrawal plan as president."
Revelation?!? Really?
Now, I have no problem with bias on TPM. Obviously, it has a liberal bias, and Josh admits this.
But Greg needs to admit he is biased, and stop posting crap articles (that are mostly copy and paste jobs that would be better as a link anyway).
Or not. I guess it drives traffic, and provides ad revenue, as here I am responding in my usual futile manner.
Oh well. Maybe it's time for me give up on TPM actually reporting some news.
Or, as Greg would say:
zzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzz
March 7, 2008 8:30 PM | Reply | Permalink
OK Powers statements weren't revealed.
Did Obama know before hand what she thought and how she would phrase her thoughts and how it would be reported?
Was Obama too stupid or too incompetent to head off this little kerfluffle?
Or perhaps Obama was too stupid to recognize what Powers' expression might sound like to the American public?
Or was he so stupid that he thought "Hey, it's Scotland, who will hear?".
Oh I know, he was counting on his 2002 speech again!
Isn't it kinder and more honest to believe that Powers' statements were revealed to him as well as us in the interview?
March 7, 2008 9:01 PM | Reply | Permalink
So let me get this straight, if someone in his campaign says something that can be parsed into something outrageous sounding, then the candidate must automatically be stupid? Gotcha.
By that logic, Josh Marshall is stupid because he allows you to comment here.
March 7, 2008 9:16 PM | Reply | Permalink
Disclaimer: First time poster, big Obama supporter, increasingly disgusted by the Clinton campaign.
Please repeat this over and over:
"Hillary apparently crossed the commander in chief threshold in a plane with Chelsea, Sheryl Crow, and Sinbad."
Say "Sinbad" alot. This is the kind of dumb meme that the media will start to pick up on if it gets passed around enough, and since we're apparently dealing with the dumbest, most basic strategies possible, let's start using idiocy to our advantage. You can never go wrong with a Sinbad joke. Ever.
March 7, 2008 8:41 PM | Reply | Permalink
In that case, Chelsea, Sinbad and Sheryl Crow ALSO strode purposefully over the CIC threshold with her. SINBAD '08!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
March 7, 2008 11:32 PM | Reply | Permalink
He needs more of this: In fact, I would go with a five day plan. Tomorrow, we should be talking about how HRC should not be talking about land deals or Rezko when she still has money in her coffers from the THREE of the other five indictees.
Sunday lets talk about foreign policy experience like having tea with some ladies in Ireland and somehow that brings peace.
Monday lets go with why does HRC want to hide her tax returns until AFTER you vote? What has she got to hide? Anyone who wants to see mine need mearly go to my website...
Tuesday lets talk about ad hominem attacks, like say calling someone Ken Starr...
Or something like that. Obama needs talking points every day that bring some of this back to HRC hard. Right now, his campaign looks rattled.
March 7, 2008 8:49 PM | Reply | Permalink
Are you a current Obama supporter who (for any reason) will not vote for Hillary Clinton in the general election if she gets the Democratic nomination for President?
Then please take a moment to sign this petition:
http://www.petitiononline.com/obama725/petition.html
March 7, 2008 8:54 PM | Reply | Permalink
I agree. Power's comments were not faithfully quoted with the original snippet.
March 7, 2008 9:00 PM | Reply | Permalink
Obama is finished. He's had an amazing run. However, even the best packaged marketing creations come to an end, and the Obama campaign package is drawing to a close. All the Axelrod flim-flam can't save this guy now. Read the Brooks and Krauthammer Op-Ed’s -- Devastating.
http://www.nytimes.com/2008/03/07/opinion/07brooks.html?_r=1&hp&oref=slogin
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2008/03/06/AR2008030603113.html?hpid=opinionsbox1
"Hope is not a plan" -- To all the Obamaphiles, you been had.
March 7, 2008 9:09 PM | Reply | Permalink
Let's see... Obama has more total votes than Clinton.
Won more states than Clinton.
Has more pledged delegates than Clinton.
Has more total delegates than Clinton.
Polls better in head-to-head match-ups against McCain than Clinton.
Has more down-ticket appeal than Clinton.
Has more money than Clinton.
Has better favorables than Clinton.
Has the delgate math locked up going into the convetion (with or without re-*votes in MI & FL).
Yeah, he is doomed.. DOOOMED I tell yeah.
And they say Obama supporters are cult-like.
March 7, 2008 9:19 PM | Reply | Permalink
Gosh, with all that going for him, you'd think he could of locked up the nomination by now?
Transcend the differences in american politics -- this guy can't transcend the differences in the democratic party. This guy can't win big blue states, he can't win latino voters, he's been taking his foregin policy advice from a 37 year old academic, his Condi Rice.....
Real working democrats are only now beginning to see that this guy's a marketing creation of David Axlerod, a less effective imitation of Deval Patrick.
He's finished.
March 7, 2008 9:37 PM | Reply | Permalink
Mathematically he has a lock on the pledged delegates. But ever since Super Tuesday, when Clinton was suppose to clinch the nomination, when Obama killed that possibility by taking almost the same number of delegates that day, and made it impossible for either of them to win the nomination outright via pledged delegates alone.
However, in the month plus since Super Tuesday, he has continued to win contests and increase his delegate lead (including taking more delegates in Texas) and making it a virtual impossibility that Clinton can get tot he convention with more pledged delegates.
The math is simply not there for her.
March 7, 2008 10:00 PM | Reply | Permalink
Politics isn't about math. It's about emotion. She's on a roll, and the super delegates will make her the nominee. What will stop them?
March 7, 2008 10:15 PM | Reply | Permalink
Clinton would have to win the remaining contest with over 70% to break even in pledged delegates.
It is a virtual lock that the delegate math will not favor Clinton going into the convention.
March 7, 2008 10:19 PM | Reply | Permalink
Look up. The pledged delegates are irrelevant now. Politics is about emotion and energy. Obama's is gone. Hers is rising. Someone said it so well on another thread. Obama. The bloom is off the rose. The super delegates are going to give it to her after Pennsylvania. They may try to force her to take him as VP. IMHO.
March 7, 2008 10:35 PM | Reply | Permalink
You people are just out of your goddamned minds if you think she can win the general if that happened.
You know what those of us who voted for him are going to say if that happened, Billy? We're going to say she stole it. Just like Bush in 2000 and 2004. It's a touchy subject among Democrats, this business of stealing elections. And if she does that, do you really think we're just going to shrug it off and vote for her anyway? Do you think you can win with just the people who've voted for her so far and haven't changed their minds? Does that math not matter either?
You want to talk about about emotions? you Hillaroids are casually talking about the start of a civil war within the Democratic Party comparable to what happened to the Republican in 1912 and the Democrats in 1860. And you could be talking about a scene in the streets like Chicago in 1968.
You are talking about the only thing that could possibly give us another dozen years of Republican rule. And you just smugly wave that likelihood away, serenely certain none of that will happen for no other reason than that you want her to be president and aren't going to let any pesky technicalities like democracy stand in your way.
I really don't know from day to day whether Hillary is motivated by nihilism or narcisscism at this point. I suspect a little of both, some of of more one day, more of the other the next. But I do know that any of her followers one who believes there is a snowball's chance in hell she'll be President are shortsided fools.
The good news is that these party leaders you are counting to steal it for her are not so myopic. How many of the supers has she picked up in the last two weeks? Hmmm, that would be zero. Wonder why?
March 7, 2008 11:22 PM | Reply | Permalink
I don't think she cares whether or not people who "voted for Obama" will protest or rebel. I think she'd like to have their votes in the Fall, of course, but, to win the general, she only needs one segment to come home to her, and they will. If you're speaking for the so-called "latte liberals" she can afford to lose you. Clinton will be the candidate. Liberals who missed out on the real Civil Rights and anti-war movements and think they can catch up by voting for Obama are going to have to settle for voting for him in the primaries.
March 8, 2008 9:15 AM | Reply | Permalink
Sorry but your argument is nonsense. She will not remain all the remaining contest, much less with 70% victories, so she will not go into the convention with more pledged delegates and they are most certainly relevant.
As I mentioned downthread, superdelegates are looking to back someone who can swing purple states which Obama has shown in the primaries than carrying states we know we will carry. The SurveyUSA 50 state polling confirms that. It is far more important to the Senate and House races (as well as the Preisdnetial) to win in places like VA, Iowa, perhaps even Texas than to hold CA, IL, etc. by slimmer margins, which is what the polling shows. Obama helps the larger electoral map better than Clinton does.
They are not fools and since he will be going into the convention having won more delegates, more states, beats McCain in 50 state head-to-head match up polling, has higher favorables, and is widely considered by most elected Dems to have more significant coattails, they will not break towards Clinton in order to throw the nomination to someone other than the majority of primary voters backed, in order to have our nominee be someone who won't do as well in the general election not just at the top of the ticket, but doesn't help as much down-ticket.
March 8, 2008 3:35 AM | Reply | Permalink
Hillary wins TWO races - OH and RI - and you think it's over? As Hill's BFF McCain would say, "You have been misled, my friend."
March 7, 2008 11:36 PM | Reply | Permalink
2 Conservative columnists (one is one of the architects of the NeoCon movement, no less) question Obama's abilities and we're supposed to suddenly go running to Hillary for salvation?
Please tell me you have more than this. Please tell me you haven't pinned your hopes on Charles Krauthammer.
If that's the best you can muster, then I should be planning my trip to DC for Obama's inaugral. That speech should be epic. ;)
March 7, 2008 9:26 PM | Reply | Permalink
Tell me please, exactly how it is you think she can possibly win the nomination at this point? There is simply no realistic way for win a majority of the pledged delegates. According to Slate's delagate calculator (which seems to actually understate the magnitude of her problem) Hillary has to win every remaining election by an average of 23 points. Take a look at Alter's last two columns over at Newsweek.
So, do be specific, and tell us exactly how you think she gets to a delegate majority at the convention. Please. We're all quivering with antici . . . pation waiting for your explanation.
Here, let me help by exploring a few of the possibilities you guys seem to be working on.
Do you think you can just deny math out of existence or relevance? I realize that this is a normal state of mind for many Americans, but there are situations where it just doesn't work that way. You can no more deny this math away than you can change the minimum braking distance dictated by the laws of motion.
Do you think she can just dirty him up so badly that the superdelegates will give her the steal? Is that the plan? Do you really think elected officials are going to dare go back to their constituients after having done that? And, far more importantly, even if they would do that for her, are you so completely deluded as to believe it is possible for her to win the general if she steals the nomination that way?
Are you people really so naive as to believe that, after 2000 and 2004, Democrats who support Obama will just shrug it off and vote for her in the general if she steals it?
Do you think African-Americans will turn out for her in November if she steals it? I realize you guys are absolutely possessed of the unshakeable belief that she did not engage in racially divisive politics in South Carolina, but, trust me when I tell you that black folks, and a lot of white folks, who live in the South and know how that game is played, do. If she steals it, they will stay home. At best.
Do you think that all the young people who've put aside their cynicism and apathy to vote for Obama are going to turn out to vote for Hillary if she steals it?
Do you think that, after a bitter and divisive convention, all of us who support him are going to just say, "oh well, that's politics" after she steals it? Are you kidding me? Is she running Kool-Aid through an old car radiator to make you guys that frikkin blind?
Or, are you perhaps hoping that he'll gaffe so badly that he loses every remaining election by 23 points? Right, that's gonna happen because he's been so flappable throughout the campaign. Not like Her Ubiquity's calm, cool, demeanor.
Or maybe you think supernatural beings will descend to Earth and temporarily alter the fabric of space-time in such a way as to alter the laws of mathematics to make what is currently impossible possible?
Or have you been told she has some sort of mind control powers that will enable her to turn angry opponents into slavish supporter. Okay, given the level of math denial you Hillaroids have been indulging in since Obama ran up the score on her after Super Tuesday, maybe that last one is possible.
March 7, 2008 10:38 PM | Reply | Permalink
It is clear to me that Billy Glad does not factor this consideration into his theorizing, but I am confidently optimistic that the supers are not as willfully blind as he is on this point. If what he is predicting were actually to happen, Clinton not only would lose swing states like MI and FL, she would not even carry blue states like CA or IL. Democrats need the black vote to win, and they cannot count on any more than an anemic turnout if Obama is perceived to have been robbed.
March 7, 2008 11:58 PM | Reply | Permalink
Greg,
Here is the quote from Samantha that you need to FULLY address and not a section that was lifted out. [I took the liberty to bold some key sections.]
Samantha has already been railroaded and I cannot sit by and watch Obama subjected to ridicule for the astute remark made by his foreign policy adviser, Samantha Power.
After all we have been through in this nation over the past eight years with a cowboy who never veers off course to prove how tough he is... it is folly for you to hold Obama to this same standard.
Obama is NOT the President at this point in time. He doesn't have the full(est) information. The situation on the ground and in the political realm in Iraq WILL shift in a definitive manner before the fall elections arrive in this nation.
Samantha worded that in a very precise manner and she should be commended for it.
You should note this in your analogy.
March 7, 2008 9:09 PM | Reply | Permalink
Anyone know where we can get some real campaign journalism?
I'm serious.
This used to be the site I trusted. After the last few days, I'm entirely fed up and I'd like to move on.
Morphitologist, you could be forgiven for thinking that he's been hiding in his bus from reading this site. It's been wall to wall HRC talking points for days, even though the man knocked their socks off on the trail today:
As the crowd laughed and applauded, he continued: "I will find out what's going on, and I won't be browbeaten into launching a war that wasn't necessary."
What, you didn't catch that there was a speech? Maybe its because Greg characterized it as an EMAIL of a TRANSCRIPT of REMARKS that CAMPAIGN STAFF sent regarding a RESPONSE.
Seems like an auful lot of work when someone could just say speech.
pretty.damn.weak. And this is coming from one of Greg's biggest apologists.
Folks, you have no idea how much my mood changed when I sought out some commentary outside of Election Central this afternoon. I literally feel like someone just lifted a bag of concrete off of my shoulders. TRY IT, and let them know what you find out.
I know it's a blog, and I really know that its on me to find the right news. I'm just saying that
I had higher expectations.
March 7, 2008 9:15 PM | Reply | Permalink
Can you please suggest some options? I'm a little fed up myself. I've been reading TPM since it launched forever ago and have always been a fan, but I'm frustrated, especially with Election Central.
March 7, 2008 9:43 PM | Reply | Permalink
Election Central is cool. Greg does a good job. I know for a fact that he is not biased toward Hillary Clinton. He's biased toward good, controversial opinion. Look at the number of comments on this thread. He really knows how to stir us up. I like it!
March 7, 2008 10:19 PM | Reply | Permalink
I say, yes, Obama won, because it was made very clear that Texas was a two-step process. I figure a lot of the drop off in Hillary support was from the Repubs who voted for her at Rush's behest, but couldn't be bothered to/wouldn't be caught dead at a
caucus for Democrats.
March 7, 2008 9:20 PM | Reply | Permalink
the gregger's bad day (week?) that just. won't. end. IS EXCELLENT NEWS!! FOR HILLARY!!!
sorry greggers:( there's always tomorrow!!
March 7, 2008 9:31 PM | Reply | Permalink
More coming in on the ridiculous commander in chief thing.
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/main.jhtml?xml=/news/2008/03/08/wuspols108.xml
It's about time.
March 7, 2008 9:49 PM | Reply | Permalink
That article is quite possibly the funniest thing I've read this week. Perhaps she will bring peace to Iraq through the Power of the Teapot.
March 7, 2008 11:40 PM | Reply | Permalink
Jaysin-Hussein 1414,
Looking for "salvation"? What? You've got a hole in your soul?
Politicians probably aren't your best option here.
March 7, 2008 9:50 PM | Reply | Permalink
Hang in there, Greg. You're right on this one. I know you don't favor Clinton. You're right to expect the Obama campaign to stop waffling on their commitment to redeploying the troops from Iraq. I think the answers he and Power have given illustrate their lack of experience. They think the "situation on the ground" comment makes him sound Presidential. In fact, it makes him sound like a patsy. The generals are going to tie him in knots. The right thing to say to the generals is make a goddam plan and start getting out in 60 days, no matter what the situation on the ground is. Period. Go do it. We can't admit that, of course, because it's Hillary's line.
March 7, 2008 9:52 PM | Reply | Permalink
The detailed plan clearly indicates that on the ground military commanders will have a role.
http://www.barackobama.com/issues/pdf/Ir aqFactSheet.pdf
There are six pages, but here is part of it:
Your idea of a sort of 'damned the torpedos we are out in 2 months' is not only logistically not feasible, but also a staggeringly stupid and irresponsible suggestion.
Obama's plan is not only sound, but responsible and consistent with the goals he has clearly laid out from day one.
March 7, 2008 10:08 PM | Reply | Permalink
LOL. The point is exactly that he gives the generals too prominent a role. I didn't say out in two months -- I said make a plan and start getting out in two months. Would you care to speculate on what kind of event should cause us to change our goal of getting redeployed by the end of 2009? Your candidate says an increase in sectarian violence might make him change his plans. I say an increase in sectarian violence would make me run like hell. But, hell, it's your argument. You give me an example of something that might make you stay beyond 2009.
March 7, 2008 10:24 PM | Reply | Permalink
Iran invading militarily would be a reason to stop withdrawal. Actual genocide (ala Darfur) would be a reason to halt withdrawal.
March 8, 2008 3:42 AM | Reply | Permalink
Surge redux. Both of those situations can be handled by air and special ops. The occupation is about maintaining US control of Iraq as part of the neocon strategy to "democratize" the Middle East. We didn't need to invade Iraq and we don't need to stay there. I don't mean to give offense, but, if Obama thinks like you, we have plenty of reason to doubt not only his commitment to ending the occupation but his readiness to be CIC as well.
March 8, 2008 9:41 AM | Reply | Permalink
Billy G, your arguing to the Obamabot echo chamber here. What do you think of this? If we all just keep writing to each other online on this blog and try really hard to block all of the negative energy that the MSM are putting on Obama maybe it will all go away by Monday. I'm just going to keep thinking good thoughts and stay in my happy place until Denver.
March 7, 2008 10:02 PM | Reply | Permalink
Having come to TPM first and reading the article above with no info from any other source, I have to say the 'framing' of Power's comments was quite misleading. Shorn of their context they appear the opposite of what they actually are. She is commenting on how reality shapes eventual policies (at least outside the Bush admin) and not simply saying 'we're hoodwinking the electorate' as it appears when ripped from context.
Disappointing coverage to say the least.
If Greg's point is that an academic speaking on matters are bound to be distorted and macerated to the detriment of their candidate, then bloody well say so...
don't participate in the blood-letting yourself. After all, just because 'everyone is doing it' doesn't make it good journalism.
March 7, 2008 10:06 PM | Reply | Permalink
We should stop abusing Greg.
I defended Power in an earlier thread, where I thought it silly to fire her for the "monster" remark. If I were Obama, I would fire her for the comments pertaining to Greg's post.
Whereas I think her words are logical and make sense, she shouldn't dismiss the political subtext promoted by Obama. I don't think for a moment, as does Power, that Obama--or Hillary--will have all the troops out in one year. Either Hillary or Obama will have to deal with the reality of just how fucked up the situation in Iraq is, and how detrimental a hasty withdrawal will be. However, from a political perspective, both Obama and Hillary have to take a hard stance, at variance with reality, to create a contrast with John "100 more years" McCain. But let's be real. Neither Hillary or Obama is going to withdraw troops in the timeframes they are promising now. It's pure politics, just like the firm positions they took with Nafta--neither candidate would seriously consider withdrawing from Nafta even for a second.
Anyway, Power is gone for the time being.
March 7, 2008 10:11 PM | Reply | Permalink
What if when the time comes those people Obama turns to say we can't leave, then what? If you read the graph carefully it's conceivable that Obama doesn't pull troops out at all.
March 7, 2008 10:14 PM | Reply | Permalink
I'm starting to think that if there is one more week like this for Mr. Obama we may be hearkening back to the days of the 2004 primary campaign.
Anyone remember this oldy but goody?
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KDwODbl3muE
March 7, 2008 10:15 PM | Reply | Permalink
There is no doubt that Obama has had a rough two weeks. Hillary has managed to dominate the news cycles with Rasputin-like skill.
It is my firm belief that Obama must firmly take the reins of his campaign and start grandstanding like the master Clinton. Hold press conferences with the military brass backing him up. Release position papers with clear plans for this or that problem du jour, or even focus on one issue in a tenacious way. He needs to start owning the news cycles. Christ, he's the front-runner for gawd's sake. That should be worth something. Instead, he's the invisible man. What's that all about?
March 7, 2008 10:23 PM | Reply | Permalink
Oh how apt! Fading. Until all that's left is a smile. But it's a nice smile.
March 7, 2008 10:39 PM | Reply | Permalink
What its all about is simple. For a brief period, the MSM was bordering on actually doing its job. It was even, horror of horrors, grudgingly starting to report on issues and, most terribly of all, starting to give some scrutiny to St. John McCain.
So Hillary threw her hissy fit. "What the hell is wrong with you people? Whatever happened to the vapid, irresponsible, MSM freakshow that you pissants ran from 1991 right up until Katrina? Its not faaaaairr, I say. You people subjected me to it, so you damn well better go do it to Obama. Do you need my permission? Fine, I give you permission to tear off on exactly the kind of irresponsible, fact-free mob scene you guys know you want to run!"
"Thank you mistress," say all the boys at Politico. "Oh boy!" says Tapper at ABC! "It's about damn time," says Halpirin. "I wrote a goddam book that says this is how its supposed to work and no one would listen to me this cycle until now."
What I would like to see is someone saying "uh, this is still bad, just like it was in 2000 and 2004" rather than just shrugging their shoulders and saying, "hey, that's how it goes."
March 7, 2008 10:57 PM | Reply | Permalink
Have to agree with Greg that the sentence quoted isn't the best way to frame the argument originally. But leaving out the rest of her statement totally warps the context.
At least "The Horse's Ass" isn't continuing its Hillary tear festival.
March 7, 2008 10:45 PM | Reply | Permalink
Lestatdlec,
He has a lock on nothing and the delegate math doesn't work for either. The nomination will be decided by the superdelegates, and the they'll nominate Hillary.
Most of the superdelegates are elected officials and state party old hands who know that winning caucuses in red states doesn't measure up to winning primaries in big blue states. They know that if they are going to alienate any voters, they better be voters in red states that no democrat will ever win. Obama has proven, with the exception of his home state of IL, he can't win big blue states. And after losing OH by 10 pts. (even outspending Hillary 2-1), he's proven he can't win the most important democratic pick-up state.
Unlike most Obamaphiles on this site, you seem like a resonable person; ask yourself the following questions:
Why does he dominate caucuses and lose primaries in big blue states (there ain't no caucuses in the general election)?
Why does he agree with Hillary on almost every issue?
In his speeches, why doesn't he explain how he's going to transcend the differences in american politics?
Why hasn't he demonstrated any significant bipartisan achievements during his three years in the senate?
Think about it.
March 7, 2008 10:48 PM | Reply | Permalink
Obama dominates the ground, that's why he kicks ass in caucuses.
Plus, it's not like Obama doesn't win Primaries as well, in case you can't count, he's actually won more states than Hillary.
He agrees with Clinton on most issues because he's a Democrat. It's not so much about the issues, but about personality, and who you trust more.
I'm pretty sure if you did some research, you'd find Obama has succeeded in passing tough laws:
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2008/01/03/AR2008010303303.html
I do agree, he needs to toot his own horn more, and make more people aware of the fact he's not only a kick-ass speaker, he also passes good laws.
Bi-partisan laws.
Think about THAT, and then ask yourself:
Why are you still supporting the losing candidate?
March 7, 2008 11:05 PM | Reply | Permalink
Lestatdlec,
He has a lock on the lead in pledged delegates going into the convention unless you seriously expect us to believe Clinton can win all the remaining contests by better more than 70% of the vote.
That was pre-determiend when Clinton failed to win by a signfigant margin in Super Tuesday. Neither can win outright on pledged delgates. That has been the case for over a month now as I sad upthread.
There is zero evidence to support your proposition given that he will be going into the convention having won more delegates, more states, beats McCain in 50 state head-to-head match up polling, has higher favorables, and is widely considered by most elected Dems to have more significant coattails.
What makes you think superdelgates would want to overturn the results of the primaries and caucuses to throw the nomination to someone who polls worse, has lower favorables, less coattails, and doesn't help down-ticket?
You are right in that most superdelegates are not blind, however your assertion is totally wrong. They care far more about someone who can swing purple states which Obama has shown in the primaries than carrying states we know we will carry. The SurveyUSA 50 state polling confirms that. It is far more important to the Senate and House races (as well as the Preisdnetial) to win in places like VA, Iowa, perhaps even Texas than to hold CA, IL, etc. by slimmer margins, which is what the polling shows. Obama helps the larger electoral map better than Clinton does.
Your statement makes zero sense. I think winning Virginia is a better proposition than only appealing to states we know are going blue regardless.
This is nonsense. He won Georgia, Washington to name others, and as the SurveyUSA polling shows, because Clinton won OH, CA in the primaries does not mean Obama can't win them in the General, and in fact in head-to-head match-ups Obama wins CA, OH and other big blue states by wider margins than CLinton while making states like VA and IA blue in the general election, which means taking the fight to McCain instead of having to play a defensive game in blue states
Nonsense. The SurveyUSA polling shows he and CLinton both winning oH by +10. You are making a logical fallacies in thinking because Ohio primary voters prefer Clinton to Obama by 9 points, means they would rather vote McCain than Obama. It is comparing apples to anvils, It is analogous to saying because more people prefer lobster to fillet mignon, that if given the choice between fillet mignon and dog food they would choose dog food because they prefered lobster a little more fillet mignon.
First he doesn't lose big blue states, witness WA, IL and he does better in caucues than CLinton because he has a better organized ground game and campaign.
March 8, 2008 3:09 AM | Reply | Permalink
And now she's gone. Time to move on.
March 7, 2008 10:52 PM | Reply | Permalink
from the mindset that brought us 8 years of GW Bush
The woman made a perfectly logical statement --
you have to reacts to facts at the time
No one can take away Obama's courage and vision on Iraq and what would happen
He will end the war
But as common sense demands - when he has the power to make this happen - the time table and methods will be determined by the conditions on the ground at that time
Have we no patience for common sense
Do we have to route every person with intelligence out of the government in favor of people who are skilled with sound bites and skilled at the politics of personal destruction?
We want the "best and the brightest" but only if they kmow how to play the game?
This country is in really sorry shape
I for one want a lot of different ideas out there to be formulated and enacted under the guidance of President Obama
It is a roll of the dice?
Yup
And so is a Hillary presidency and a McCain presidency as was the Bush presidency and the Clinton I presidency
Some work out better than others
But I'd rather go into it with an engaged interested populist and a brilliant mind at the helm - than a war monger who can't control their temper or their emotions, whose spouse has affairs that embarass them -- or Senator Clinton (McCain/McClinton - no real difference)
March 7, 2008 11:01 PM | Reply | Permalink
Since super tuesday, I've been hammering away on Obama's red state/blue nomination strategy. It was fairly obvious what Axlerod was trying to do. The experts in the MSM are a little slow to come around, but at least two WaPo reporters, Weisman and Murry, just nailed it. Enjoy the read:
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2008/03/07/AR2008030703318.html?hpid=topnews
The hole in the Obama packaged marketing creation is starting to show through.
March 7, 2008 11:06 PM | Reply | Permalink
LOL, are you actually saying that Ohio and PA matter more than the rest of the country?
And for the last time, Obama won Texas. Superdelegates aren't going to flock to Clinton by 2 to 1 (at least the margin she needs to win the nomination) just because a bunch of New Yorkers and Californians voted for her... when they now CA and NY will always be blue!
Hillary supporters are so desperate, and Obama supporters freak out and make Obama look desperate.
The strategy is working. Obama is winning. Quit listening to the stupid media, do the math, sit back and enjoy the ride.
Yall deserve it.
March 7, 2008 11:14 PM | Reply | Permalink
when they know* CA and NY will always be blue!
desperate*
(sorry)
March 7, 2008 11:25 PM | Reply | Permalink
I'm still trying to figure out why someone would quit the campaign for calling a monster a monster.
:-)
"No foreign experience" practically from Hillary. Obama has experience at living in a foreign country (and Hawaii) at least. McCain leads in experience.
Hillary doesn't deserve to be in this race; and I'm hoping she is so defeated in the near future that she will be forced to leave. However what I really believe is that she'll continue to fight to the last delegate even though she KNOWS Obama will eventually win just because she didn't get the "job SHE deserved." She is, indeed, a monster.
March 7, 2008 11:25 PM | Reply | Permalink
Hey mikey500, do you support John McCain?
You said the piece in the washington Post was devastating, did you read it?
here is the last paragraph:
The Obama campaign has sent journalists eight pages of examples of his reaching across the aisle in the Senate. I am not the only one to note, however, that these are small-bore items of almost no controversy -- more help for war veterans, reducing loose nukes in the former Soviet Union, fighting avian flu and the like. Bipartisan support for apple pie is hardly a profile in courage.
On the difficult compromises that required the political courage to challenge one's own political constituency, Obama flinched: the "Gang of 14" compromise on judicial appointments, the immigration compromise to which Obama tried to append union-backed killer amendments and, just last month, the compromise on warrantless eavesdropping that garnered 68 votes in the Senate. But not Obama's.
Who, in fact, supported all of these bipartisan deals, was a central player in two of them and brokered the even more notorious McCain-Feingold campaign finance reform? John McCain, of course.
Yes, John McCain -- intemperate and rough-edged, of sharp elbows and even sharper tongue. Turns out that uniting is not a matter of rhetoric or manner, but of character and courage.
So protecting veterans, trying to prevent loose nukes from getting in the wrong hands and how the US can be ready for avian flu is insignificant next to the 68 votes for FISA in the senate for telecom immunity and I would agree the McCain-Feingold is a good start but there are legitamate questions regarding whether this current supreme court will uphold it based on first amendment challenges. Maybe you were jesting by linking these two articles?
March 7, 2008 11:28 PM | Reply | Permalink
SCMadden,
Thank you. Now it's clear why democrats have only won three presidential elections out of the last ten, we've been too focused on the issues. When what we really needed to do was nominate a pretty-boy empty suit with a great personality -- brilliant.
"It's not so much about the issues, but about personality, and who you trust more." By the way this sounds like a line from W's stump speech in 2000 and 2004.
March 7, 2008 11:28 PM | Reply | Permalink
Wait, because Obama is popular he equals George Bush?
When was the last time the Democrats nominated a popular candidate? I believe it was... Bill Clinton.
Just because Obama is more popular than Hillary is not a reason to dismiss him. But, fine, if Mandatory Health Care is your determining issue, than vote for Hillary.
March 7, 2008 11:43 PM | Reply | Permalink
JoshQuasimoto,
You pose an interesting question that I've been pondering for awhile now. If the superdelegates nominate a pretty-boy empty suit who can't win democratic primaries CA, NY, NJ, MA, OH, TX, FL, MI, and PA, I'd seriously consider it, hopefully along with a few million Hillary voters in big blue states, especially women and latinos in CA and NY.
Any political party that would nominate this guy deserves to be punished at the ballot box -- punished bad.
Hillary Voters for John McCain -- Don't get shafted twice vote McCain -- catchy?
March 7, 2008 11:49 PM | Reply | Permalink
well, you just proved your true colors.
Just another Rush Ditto-head. Nice.
(BTW, Obama won Texas. Sorry to rain on your parade, McClinton.)
March 7, 2008 11:57 PM | Reply | Permalink
The "pretty boy empty suit" taught Constitutional Law at the University of Chicago School of Law and was President of the Harvard Law Review. While in law school, he was Lawrence Tribe's research assistant. Here's what Professor Tribe said about him in the Washington Post last January.
Yeah, nothing going on there. Just an empty suit.
March 8, 2008 12:08 AM | Reply | Permalink
The Commenter Formerly Known as NCSteve,
You're right; I forgot the whole Ivy League thing -- he's an elitist pretty-boy empty suit, prepackaged marketing creation by Axelrod, a less effective imitation of Deval Patrick.
Before you get all giddy over Lawrence Tribe, we hired the guy to represent us in an appeal to the 10th Circuit several years back, he had his clock cleaned by a GC to a state agency that probably had an annual salary 1/10 of Tribe's and 1/100 of the resources. But I guess everyone has a bad day...
Hey, isn't W. an Ivy Leaguer too?
March 8, 2008 12:30 AM | Reply | Permalink
Silly me. A guy shows up on the comments section of a blog and proudly makes arguments composed by stringing together classic logical fallacies, and I go and try to reason with him.
Well signing off now to go beat my head against a brick wall. I expect it will be more productive.
March 8, 2008 12:47 AM | Reply | Permalink
The Commenter Formerly Known as NCSteve,
"classic logical fallacies" -- wow, gosh, I bet you're an Ivy Leaguer too, maybe a philosophy major?
And Good luck with the head banging against the wall thing; it's going to help.
March 8, 2008 1:02 AM | Reply | Permalink
Can the great and magnificent Obama also heal the lame, the sick and the blind? Sorry, I just couldn't resist.
I gotta come out on the side of yet another empty suit here. Ivy league Schmivy League! Big deal. Lots of dumbasses do well in the Ivy League. The Ivy Leaguers brought us Vietnam, our insane policy against Cuba, and lots of other foolish crap that came back to bite America in the ass.
March 8, 2008 2:36 AM | Reply | Permalink
And how well has voting stupid turned out the last 7 years. hmm? WJC was a Rhodes Scholar. BOO!
March 8, 2008 4:45 AM | Reply | Permalink
SCMadden,
"Obama is more popular than Hillary.." Are you old enough to vote? Does your mom know you're on the computer again?
March 7, 2008 11:59 PM | Reply | Permalink
LOL, mikey500! You crack me up!
In case you didn't know: Obama leads Hillary in the popular vote. Just like he leads Hillary in delegates. And in states won.
Which is why Hillary supporters have to go to such ridiculous lengths to justify their support of a losing candidate.
March 8, 2008 12:19 AM | Reply | Permalink
SCMadden,
You're correct -- he is now; we'll see where it's at in June. Now you better go to bed before you get grounded and lose your computer privileges.
Night, Night.
March 8, 2008 12:36 AM | Reply | Permalink
The Commenter Formerly Known as NCSteve,
Hey.. Samantha Power is an Ivy Leaguer too. Heck, she's so smart and accomplished they made her a Harvard professor, maybe even a full professor. Wow, consider that...
You're right The Commenter Formerly Known as NCSteve -- Ivy Leaguers RULE! And stick together so nicely...amazing.
March 8, 2008 12:45 AM | Reply | Permalink
Remind me again, who is supposed to be guilty of using right wing talking points? "Ivy Leaguers stick together"? "Limosine liberals..."?
And we Obama supporters are the ones who are destroying the democratic party?
March 8, 2008 10:42 AM | Reply | Permalink
What basis does anyone have for not believing Obama's close advisor on his "say one thing but do another" war policy? Whatever the "news" is in this plan, it is NOT that Obama is fuding on ending the war.
Sure he opposed the war at the beginning, but since he got to Washington he's voted for every penny of war funds the tyrant requests just as Hillary does. He is a pro-corporate, centrist defender of the status quo with a great marketing operation. If he gets elected the war will not end, indeed it will linger and he'll offer some convincing and sincere reasons about how the Generals now tell him it must be done gradually.
March 8, 2008 2:29 AM | Reply | Permalink
Another example of Obama and his advisors disagreeing
http://thinkprogress.org/2008/03/07/obama-brennan/
Is he not in control of his team, or is he trying to have it both ways?
March 8, 2008 6:57 AM | Reply | Permalink
mikey500,
Ignorance is not cool. Mocking someone for having a better vocabulary than you is not only grade-school-level bs, but as an adult it draws sharp attention to your shortcomings. It says "I'm not only ignorant, I'm so insecure about it that I'm actually uncomfortable around people who know more than I do."
An Ivy League education is an excellent opportunity. It is absolutely true that many people do not take advantage of that opportunity, either because they lack the capacity or the will. An Ivy League diploma is meaningless in and of itself--it just says "I had a shot at a good education".
On the other hand, one does not get to be an academic superstar at a top school by lacking either capacity or will. Period.
Good luck finding a presidential that didn't go to a top school.
Nixon: Turned down Harvard because he couldn't afford it, but got his law degree from Duke (#3 in his class)
Carter: Naval Academy (Georgia Tech is nothing to sneeze at, either).
Reagan: There ya go, Ronnie Raygun went to Eureka College -- A true American
Bush I: Yale
Clinton I: Yale
Bush II: Yale
Clinton II: Yale
McCain: Naval Academy
I guess you're pretty bummed that Fred Thompson dropped out of the race, eh?
March 8, 2008 7:23 AM | Reply | Permalink
fuzz,
Like I says – elitist
March 8, 2008 10:11 AM | Reply | Permalink
A reliable source told me Hillary is really an alien MONSTER.
March 8, 2008 7:23 AM | Reply | Permalink
Yepp a nasty eye gouging one
March 8, 2008 8:27 AM | Reply | Permalink
Everyone wants to be a campaign strategist - in fact, that is what’s wrong with most of what passes for political reporting these days. But, as an Obama fan, here are my suggestions for Barack leading up to Pennsylvania:
1. Accept the idea that the press won’t do its job and begin attack Clinton as vigorously as it has done to you lately. The political press is driven by three things: imitation, fear and cowardice. When covering you fairly coincides with one of the above three things, they’ll do it. Accept that.
2. Don’t take the bait to start heavy-handedly bashing Hillary. Instead, just start subtly pointing out what most people observe , but have been afraid to say openly (except for Larry David in a brilliant Huffington Post article that’s become an Internet rage): While you have been unflappable, steady and emotionally consistent during the ups and downs of this campaign, Hillary has been acting like unhinged, emotional train wreck - her behavior erratically swinging back and forth, based on the latest poll results.
3. Take a 3-day campaign bus trip throughout Pennsylvania - from the cities to the farthest rural towns. Take some of your many celebrity supporters along. Get off the bus and make great speeches. Let the people you need to win over - working-class whites who still (unfairly, in my view) see you as a “slick-talkin’ black guy” - see you as the down-to-earth guy you really seem to be.
4. Win
March 8, 2008 8:45 AM | Reply | Permalink
The Obama Movement has become an experiment in how far you can ride a dead horse.
March 8, 2008 9:06 AM | Reply | Permalink
The Clinton "movement" on the other hand remains an exercise in how far a snake can slither.
March 8, 2008 9:43 AM | Reply | Permalink
Touche! ROFL
March 8, 2008 10:14 AM | Reply | Permalink
Billy my little kid:
Thank you.
Now do you have any remedy for all these hoof marks I got on my back and ass?
March 8, 2008 9:42 AM | Reply | Permalink
"Do you think African-Americans will turn out for her in November if she steals it?
It is clear to me that Billy Glad does not factor this consideration into his theorizing." -- Greg D
On the contrary. I do consider it. I just come to a different conclusion. She only needs the black women, and she'll get them. Probably the black men, too. Unlike you, Greg -- and I don't mean this as a slight -- they have real skin in the game, so you should be careful about projecting your own feelings on to them.
We've heard Clyburn say black voters will "get depressed" and stay home. We've heard Doug Wilder say there will be riots in the streets of Denver if the super delegates overturn the will of the voters -- whatever that means -- that will make the Chicago riots look like a picnic. That's just scare tactics. We weren't fighting the police over delegates in 1968, and if black leaders let black voters get depressed and stay home, they will be pissing away the power Jesse Jackson worked so hard to create.
Except for the "Latte Liberals" the Party will come together behind Clinton. My guess is, having made up for missing the Civil Rights and anti-war movements by voting for Obama in the primaries, the Latte Liberals will shuffle along with the rest of the Democrats to the Fall election, pissing and moaning all the way.
March 8, 2008 9:59 AM | Reply | Permalink
I think it's safe to say you don't have a clue what Black people think about much of anything - and neither do I.
But considering they're the staunchest demographic in the Democratic Party - voting 85-90% for Dems - I think they deserve more respect than you or Hillary Clinton or her supporters are giving them.
Assuming they'll always be Democrats because they have no alternative is arrogant and offensive.
March 8, 2008 10:30 AM | Reply | Permalink
I didn't say that. Don't be so arrogant and offensive, please.
March 8, 2008 10:44 AM | Reply | Permalink
Projecting? I might say the same to you, although I would not intend that as a slight any more than you did. For your information, I am not presenting this on my own say so. The above prediction comes from my wife, who is a black woman. I grant that nobody elected her spokesperson for all black women everywhere, but then the same could be said of yourself.
Meanwhile, I will happily concede that I have no crystal ball nor aptitude for reading tea leaves. That said, I can remember four years ago when decorated war heros were made out to be cowards by a few astroturf "concerned citizens" groups with more money than morals. If Max Cleland can be restyled as a coward and a traitor, then it will be small work to repaint Clinton and the Democratic party as the Great White Satan.
Picture the following 527 ad:
Play that enough times during the right programs and the democrats will not even be able to carry Illinois, let alone swing states.
March 8, 2008 10:40 AM | Reply | Permalink
And, btw, you lose that bet.
March 8, 2008 10:17 AM | Reply | Permalink
Billy Glad -
I missed it, how do youthink Hillary will win?
March 8, 2008 10:33 AM | Reply | Permalink
Win what, SC?
March 8, 2008 10:45 AM | Reply | Permalink
From today's Telegraph in the UK:
Hillary Clinton had no direct role in bringing peace to Northern Ireland and is a "wee bit silly" for exaggerating the part she played, according to Lord Trimble of Lisnagarvey, the Nobel Peace Prize winner and former First Minister of the province.
"I don’t know there was much she did apart from accompanying Bill [Clinton] going around," he said. Her recent statements about being deeply involved were merely "the sort of thing people put in their canvassing leaflets" during elections. "She visited when things were happening, saw what was going on, she can certainly say it was part of her experience. I don’t want to rain on the thing for her but being a cheerleader for something is slightly different from being a principal player."
Mrs Clinton has made Northern Ireland key to her claims of having extensive foreign policy experience, which helped her defeat Barack Obama in Ohio and Texas on Tuesday after she presented herself as being ready to tackle foreign policy crises at 3am.
"I helped to bring peace to Northern Ireland," she told CNN on Wednesday. But negotiators from the parties that helped broker the Good Friday Agreement in 1998 told The Daily Telegraph that her role was peripheral and that she played no part in the gruelling political talks over the years.
Lord Trimble shared the Nobel Peace Prize with John Hume, leader of the nationalist Social Democratic and Labour Party, in 1998. Conall McDevitt, an SDLP negotiator and aide to Mr Hume during the talks, said: "There would have been no contact with her either in person or on the phone. I was with Hume regularly during calls in the months leading up to the Good Friday Agreement when he was taking calls from the White House and they were invariably coming from the president."
Here's the link: http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/main.jhtml?xml=/news/2008/03/08/wuspols108.xml
And while her campaign got a statement from Hume to defend her it's obvious he makes no claims that she was more than peripherally involved in "bringing peace to Northern Ireland."
March 8, 2008 10:34 AM | Reply | Permalink
McCain supports torture, and........
Hillary has been running around endorsing John McCain. He has said that he is going to have the same foreign and domestic policies as George W. Bush. Yet Hillary has endorsed him, over Senator Obama. That makes Hillary just another traitor to the party. She is just the same as Joe Lieberman, and should be given the same treatment. She should be driven out of the party. She is not a loyal Democrat, any more than Joe Lieberman was.
March 8, 2008 10:49 AM | Reply | Permalink
Wow. Is anyone reading the Clinton quotes from New Hampshire compared with what the diplomatic players are saying actually occurred in Northern Ireland?
Senator Clinton has been telling some real whoppers re: her foreign policy experience.
It's amazing she's getting away with it.
These are outright lies. My hope is she's called on them.
March 8, 2008 11:15 AM | Reply | Permalink
Greg D. How interesting. I won't comment on your "ad" except to say I think black voters are too hip for that kind of bs -- but is your wife really not going to vote for Hillary? Does she say why? That puts her so far outside all the polls I've seen that show support for the Clintons running 70% or so among black voters, in spite of the fact that Hillary is running a tough campaign against a black man.
I hadn't thought of this before, but, in addition to a lot of "Latte Liberals," I suppose a lot of blacks missed out on the Civil Rights and anti-war movements, too. And, of course, there are black Latte Liberals, aren't there. They would be doubly sore about Obama losing the nomination.
How about we just agree to disagree and see what happens if Hillary is our candidate in the Fall?
March 8, 2008 11:17 AM | Reply | Permalink
I still find the scenario which you are proffering thoroughly incredible. John McCain has a demonstrated appeal among independants (read "swing voters"). Meanwhile, it is a daily talking point around these parts that Clinton should get the nomination because she is winning among democratic partisans, while Obama's wins are the result of independant support. In other words, there is lots of reasons to expect independants to break for McCain in November and little reason at all to expect them to break for Clinton.
Now if winning nothing more than the democratic base were enough to win the White House, we would not even be having this discussion because Pres Kerry would be running for his second term right now. But you are not even asking us to consider a scenario where she wins the GE by virtue of democratic base. You are asking us to credit a scenario wherein she wins the GE by virtue of a divided base missing certain elements (black men, "latte liberals" and while you did not mention them, let us mention college age voters). If the democratic base was not enough to elect Kerry, how do you imagine that a diminished base, by itself, will be enough to elect Clinton? And with that question still hanging in the air, how do you imagine that the superdelegates will be more impressed by a narrow win in TX, OH & PA than by the glaring implications of that rather obvious question?
That said, I can happily agree to disagree. Indeed, I am not sure that there really is an alternative. I have participated in enough internet discussion fora over the years to know that the chance of one party convincing another of anything s/he does not already believe is about the same as Sen Clinton's chances of winning the democratic nomination this year.
So, why I am still arguing with you? Well, isn't that what the internet is for? Meanwhile, it beats the heck out of typing the revisions to my manuscript (which was the original reason I turned the computer on this morning). That said, I suppose that I do need to get this thing back to the publisher soon, so I had best bid you all a pleasant Saturday and get back to my work.
March 8, 2008 12:01 PM | Reply | Permalink
I'm not going to bother to read all of the comments, because they never change from thread to thread. However, one of the early comments from Publkicus Hussein said : "Maybe he gets troops out in 6 months. Or maybe it takes 3 years. It will all depend on the facts on the ground."
I'm sure there are many variants of this throughout the comments, along with the usual hate. But Obama supporters are always telling us to "go to his web site." For those who question whether he takes actual positions, this is supposedly where we'll find them.
So if you go to his web site, here's what you'll find: "Obama will immediately begin to remove our troops from Iraq. He will remove one to two combat brigades each month, and have all of our combat brigades out of Iraq within 16 months."
There are no qualifiers, no "facts on the ground." He makes a declarative statement, and has criticized Hillary for not having a plan. So character slurs aside, how can Obama supporters say this is in any way consistent with Powers' remarks?
And by the way, I get that Hillary voted for the war and all, but perhaps you can understand why some of us find Obama arrogant, when he says things like his opponent "has no standing to question" him on the war. She has standing to question all of his policies. It's a campaign, for Christ's sake. And he has standing to question her policies. Asking your opponent about his policies, or pointing out the flaw in their policies, isn't "sliming" him, and it's not a personal attack. Who is he to say he's not to be questioned?
OK, let the hate continue.
March 8, 2008 11:17 AM | Reply | Permalink
I don’t blame Obama for saying these words on the campaign trail because they appear to have worked so effectively for him right up to the present time.
But I don’t give Obama much credit for them in relation to Hillary due to the following. I thought at the time of the AUMF that people like Hillary Clinton and John Kerry were very much against invading Iraq. I think most everyone thought that way, and for a long time afterward. Certainly George Bush did, because in March 2004 he was still pointing out in his speeches that John Kerry did not support the forced removal of Saddam. However, shortly after March 2004, Bush began claiming that Kerry had “voted for war”. It was campaign phrasing that Barack Obama publically disagreed with.
Note that in Obama’s famous 2002 anti-war speech he did not even mention the AUMF. Why? It was not a done deal. And why did he later say point blank that he did not know how he would have voted on the AUMF. He knew that the Democrats (plus Chuck Hagel) were trying to reign in a rogue President. He knew that it was a judgment call on whether it was best to force Bush into a UN process that had worked, or risk Bush invading based on the previous UN Iraq resolution, as Bush said he could. Remember, at that time Bush was not only saying he could invade anyway, but he and his administration was also saying UN inspectors were not necessary and that Iraq’s offer to re-admit the inspectors was not serious.
Yes, things get complicated. Look at Obama now trying to make safe and responsible statements about Iraq, trying, as he says, to avoid confusion. I give Obama credit for being against the war. But I also give John Kerry and Hillary Clinton credit for being against the war. None of them would have driven the car into the ditch.
George W. Bush, at the time of the invasion, owned that war. Everybody knew it at the time, and everybody was saying it: If ever a President owned a war, George W. Bush owns Iraq.
The AUMF was not a declaration of war. It did include a built in requirement for diplomacy. Unfortunately, GWB could not be trusted. You can question the judgment of those who voted for the AUMF, but you cannot call it a declaration of war. And you cannot claim the Obama would have voted against it.
March 8, 2008 11:35 AM | Reply | Permalink
"The AUMF was not a declaration of war. It did include a built in requirement for diplomacy. Unfortunately, GWB could not be trusted. You can question the judgment of those who voted for the AUMF, but you cannot call it a declaration of war. And you cannot claim the Obama would have voted against it."
Thank you, jrockett2. Yes, the actual history of what was at stake during the AUMF debate was so much more complex than Obama's campaign rhetoric would have it.
But campaign rhetoric generally thrives on oversimplification. Just look at how well this particular narrative was working until recently, when the Clinton campaign was finally able to raise the issues of trust and competence in an effective way.
March 8, 2008 12:57 PM | Reply | Permalink
Maybe what should happen here is that Obama should take his money and his base -- college students, Latte Libs and blacks -- and make a Third Party run. I think that would be far more helpful than letting people drift into the McCain camp or just stay home.
March 8, 2008 1:28 PM | Reply | Permalink
Great, Billy G.,we are now getting down to serious discussion of political strategy.
I agree that Obama's support comes most solidly from the groups cited, college students, latte libs and African-Americans. There are some independents and Republicans also. We Democrats need all of those people in the GE, so that Obama makes sense to me as the VP candidate. He and his supporters may not like it at first, but that is what would be best for the party.
Despite the slickness of the image that was created for Sen. Obama by his campaign, and despite the fact that it has worked very well in the primary, he can't possibly win the GE. Just look at what the Iowa Republican Congressman is already saying, as cited today on TPM. This is only a mild sample of what will be said later.
March 8, 2008 3:06 PM | Reply | Permalink
"Power didn't merely say in the interview that Obama's withdrawal would be 'subject to decisions and the situation at the time.' She also said: 'He will, of course, not rely on some plan that he’s crafted as a presidential candidate or a U.S. Senator.'"
Clearly, the meaning was, when the time comes, he won't follow the plan he has crafted without considering what is happening on the ground. And Powers also said, in fact emphasized, that what Obama is comitted to is getting forces out "as quickly and as responsibly as possible". That is in fact Obama's stated position. If Mr. Sargent is going to nitpick answers to suggest something doesn't match up, he shouldn't use selective quotations to do it. Powers' wording may not have been politically saavy, but the suggestion that they don't match up with Obama's stated position is absolutely false. Read Ms. Powers full statement in context. Of course the final ACTUAL plan that is used to remove forces will look very different than the plans you find on Obama's (or Clinton's) website. Duh.
March 10, 2008 5:20 AM | Reply | Permalink