i don't know if this poll is any more encouraging than yesterday's... let's just hope that things calm down after there is a nominee.

i've said it before, but i think it's important to play this out to the very bitter end. it would be best if the so-called "elders" like dean and pelosi keep their noses out of it.

there has to be resolution, so that no one feels cheated. there has to be resolution regarding FL and MI... both sides have to be satisfied that the process worked. short circuiting the process after all this would ensure that one side or the other feels cheated.

btw, CNN is showing new video of Hillary begging people NOT to vote for mccain in november regardless of who the dem nominee is... i suppose all those hillary-haters out there won't give her credit for that, since it doesn't fit with the "hillary as the cause of all evil" theme.

There is a reason folk will vote for McCain if Obama wins the Democratic Party's nomination . . .

McCain-Clinton '08

Oh, and the buried lead is that Obama is ahead by 10%

Obama: 49%
Clinton: 39%

That lead is pretty much unchanged since Feb 24th.

Yet another reason for the Supers to support Obama.

I have known in my head for a while now that Obama had won the nomination. Now is the first time that I feel it in my heart. For me this race now seems more like the McCain/Huckabee one, except that the part of Huckabee is being played by a rabid hyena.

10% of Dems think Obama is Muslim?!?

That's crazy!

Did the poll ask how many also believe Obama is an insect being from the planet Milktor?

Sometimes I really think people are just shining the pollsters. Then I remember the two drugstore clerks who asked me in all seriousness to settle their bet and tell them if dinosaurs and people existed at the same time.

I try not to think about that too often - cause it makes me want to hide under the bed from now on.

ok, im not much with numbers, so someone help me out.

If 30% of her voters would support mccain in a general against Obama, how is he beating mccain in match-ups? I don't know if those have any relation to one another, but its been confusing me.

I think its funny that Clinton's voters are supposedly the "real Democrats," yet so many of them are willing to vote for a neo-con...

I have been a lurker here for a long time and decided finally to post because it seems pretty incredible to me that this is the ONE thing that gets featured on this post. No mention of the 10% spread between the two candidates. Or the other cross tabs which are thrown in the last graph as an afterthought.

I hear hear Patagonia for posting it.

Is Hillary Rambo Clinton really a secret Muslim?

Why else would she have her Money Goons making "Veiled Threats" to Nancy Pelosi.

Did Hillary issue The Fatwa on Speaker Pelosi?

Hi Greg - thanks - and a quick question (naturally!).

Are you going to post the Gallup results out today? I read that it is back to Obama 48, Clinton 44 today but haven't seen any of the tab details anywhere yet.

Best ~
Ardanien

Fux's viewership declining?

Nosediving.

Their demographic is nursing homes and wherever Dick Cheney happens to be.

"Separately, the poll has tons of other interesting stuff -- it finds that Obama has basically weathered the Wright storm, though it also finds that persistently large numbers still wrongly believe he's a Muslim."

Arguably, the the latter fact is the main reason why the Wright storm failed to damage him. :o)

More likely, it's evidence that a lot of people still aren't following the campaign too closely (or ever will). A lot of people online have developed strong opinions one way or the other that just seem strange to people who don't live on the internet. And probably vice versa.

Don't forget those who tend to find the Democratic Party in general, and especially Hillary in particular, too right-leaning.

There's a number of progressive folks who have been waiting for a candidate like Obama as a reason to rejoin the national Democratic Party. No Obama, and you're gonna see a lot of votes go Green if not walk away from the ballot box all together this Fall.

Have your husband take a look.
Posted by

Don't push it - I don't push him. He's voting for Obama and that's all that I care about. No sense in boring the man to death. ;)

But thanks for the thought.

Am I missing something.. I only saw that Obama was ahead 49 to 39 when I read the comments. I know we're trying to disavow the tracking polls, but this isn't a tracking poll.

To quote the Tom Ricks book "Fiasco", your co-worker is "crack smoking stupid".

"There's no question that they are partly a product of temporary circumstances -- lack of aggressive coverage of McCain; intense media scrutiny of both Dems; and the white-hot acrimony between the two Dem campaigns and some of their supporters"

I think lot of people are underestimating the depth of the anger and resentment among Clinton supporters.. Isn't it a surprise after media serially dismissing her chances (some say 10%, some say 5%) everywhere in cable, print, blogs and talk-radio she is still going toe to toe with Obama in all the tracking polls? even after counting her out over and over again she consistently maintains over 40% support. that tells you one thing for sure. There is a solid base of support for Hillary and they aren't moving an inch. Contrary to what many here think, its not the sniping coming from Obama campaign that's hurting (It's expected in a campaign that it will happen), it's the continuous unfair media bias against her that is pushing these people more and more to the edge and they'll be going over to Mccain. The current headline story in this blogsite "TPMtv: Summa Bosniatica" did it for me. For a long time, i thought this website was fair, but i guess i was wrong. Seeing one of the democratic candidates whom i support being parodied like this in a left-leaning website has left a real bad taste in my mind and i can't see myself siding with the same people again, PERIOD!
I'm sure the same thing is happening with lot of other hillary clinton supporters who watch evening news or cable news! It's not the criticism, it's the vitriolic nature of the criticism, the tendency of piling on by fellow democrats that is making lot of people cringe and run away from Obama.

I wonder if these surveys control for dittoheads and if not what kind of impact that would have on the results. It seems to me that they should also ask Clinton voters if they intend to vote for Clinton if she gets the nomination and also ask Obama voters if they intend to vote the same way in the general.

Fogu, none of those things are actually true. I actually used to think Hillary would be a good president, but I have never thought she was electable. I will see you a Wright and raise you Hillary misspeakings--her Dukakis in the tank. Her approval ratings right now are almost Bushian. All that matters to me is beating John McCain an the Republicans. The fact that I believe Barack Obama is in an unique position to heal the country after these past eight years are an added bonus.

Please don't put words in my mouth or thoughts in my head. It does no one any good to demonize and marginalize every single one of your opponents supporters. (Unless your opponent is George Bush.)

CNN has an article on their website about the low turn out of voters from either camps. Democrats are not only defecting to McCain if their candidate is not nominated, they just won't vote in Novemeber.
http://www.cnn.com/2008/POLITICS/03/27/dem.turnout.poll/index.html