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Michigan Congressman Floats Compromise For State's Delegates
Rep. Bart Stupak (D-MI), a former Edwards supporter who is now neutral, has floated a new plan for seating delegates from Michigan. Under his proposal, Hillary Clinton would get 47 delegates, Barack Obama 36, and the remaining 73 delegates would be doled out on the basis of the national popular vote ā thus seating the delegation with only a very small impact on the delegate math.
The plan is similar to one offered in Florida by two state legislators there ā but if their proposal's lack of traction is any guide, Stupak's plan probably doesn't have too bright a future.
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That's kind of a shitty deal, considering if they ran it all over again Obama would probably beat Hillary, according to the polls, and common sense for that matter. If they are going to split it they might as well do it 50/50, because his name wasn't even on the ballot there the first time around, while hers was, and he didn't have the opportunity to campaign there, while Hillary was default so she didn't have to. The results of the original primary are meaningless, they are tainted and void, so there is no reason to mark Obama down just because of those results. Split it 50/50 or do a revote.
March 31, 2008 2:22 PM | Reply | Permalink
Any plan that either partially or wholly endorses the rogue primaries is a non-starter.
March 31, 2008 2:22 PM | Reply | Permalink
Any plan that cuts Hillary's advantage in Michigan and Florida would likely be as unappealing to her as it would be appealing to Obama.
March 31, 2008 2:24 PM | Reply | Permalink
She has no advantage in Michigan and Florida. Those state violated rules, and the party kept to it's word and stripped both states of all delegates.
There are no delegates to be had from either state. There was no sanctioned vote, and everyone involved knew that beforehand. The only advantage for Hillary is that she's able to advance more shadow arguments based on doubt and uncertainty.
Personally, I don't see any reason not to split the Michigan delegates 50/50. There's no reason at all to use the first vote there to allocate delegates. Half split in Michigan still favors Hillary as she'll get her supers sat, but she won't agree it that as she's not done beating this dead horse yet.
March 31, 2008 3:13 PM | Reply | Permalink
barmy
March 31, 2008 2:24 PM | Reply | Permalink
I am already on record as favoring a re-vote wherein everybody gets to vote (regardless of whether or not they voted in the Jan republican primary). As such, I am definitely not one of those strict discipline types who want to insist that Michigan be taught a lesson by not seating any delegates from that state. That said, I really cannot understand the sense of any of these compromise plans being floated like the one above or Dodd's 50/50 split. How are these any better than not seating the delegates at all? I am not a Michigan voter, but assuming that I was and that it was possible to alienate me from my party, I think that a bunch of party big-wigs substituting their judgement for my own would do that much more effectively than the current "you knew the rules..." line would. Why would Michigan's democrats be pleased to see a delegation seated with their name on it, but which was chosen by the nation as a whole, not by their own votes? I do not think that the rest of the nation should get to select my delegates from Missouri; why should the nation as a whole get to select the delegates from Florida or Michigan?
March 31, 2008 2:25 PM | Reply | Permalink
Let's get this straight. Hillary violates the intent of the DNC's punishment of the rogue primary by KEEPING her name ON the ballot (everyone else REMOVED their name) and now is rewarded for her perfidy.
Hell, no!
Che coglione!
March 31, 2008 2:26 PM | Reply | Permalink
Anything that removes FL and MI as an issue will be rejected by the Clinton campaign.
Doesn't matter. After NC, when his lead is insurmountable, Obama will graciously give the Clinton camp pretty much whatever they want on FL and MI.
Delegates seated, Obama the nominee, Clinton deprived of her hypocritical complaints. Hat trick.
March 31, 2008 2:27 PM | Reply | Permalink
I agree, that is how it will probably go down, for better or worse. Obama can seat the delegates as is, and he'll still be the clear winner. So they'll get their votes counted only after their votes are moot, and everyone will be happy. Granted their rogue votes will be counted, which isn't really fair, but they basically didn't matter, which was the whole purpose of moving up the primaries in the first place, to make them matter more. Maybe Dean can leave them with only half their original vote as a penalty.
Whatever they decide, they need to decide with the next election in mind. They need to send a message that people can't violate the rules and benefit from it. This can't happen every year, but counting them like Hillary wants would unleash a pandora's box next time around. Rules must be enforced...
March 31, 2008 2:42 PM | Reply | Permalink
Since one campaign (Hillary Clinton's) was amenable to redoes, even financing Michigan's, and the other campaign (Barack Obama's) opposed every feasible proposition, it is, in a strange way, true that the two sides weren't collectively ready for a deal. In all the buzz about the media's pro-Obama tilt, its indifference to his resistance to including these states in the "actual" nominating process is its most disturbing favor, especially since this brand of "conventional politics," as Obama would put it, flies in the face of his contention that "the people" should pick the nominee. Obama's only proposal so far has been to split the delegates evenly, just like he and Michelle parcel out Christmas presents to their two daughters.
March 31, 2008 2:28 PM | Reply | Permalink
Care to cite a source for the claim that Obama has proposed a 50/50 split? I have not seen that one and would be interested to read it.
March 31, 2008 2:33 PM | Reply | Permalink
It was down to the states to work out a revote - they didn't. If I were from MI or FL, I couldn't wait to vote out the idiot state legislators so desperate to move the primary forward who stole my chance impact the nomination as the race came down to the wire. Anger at Obama misplaced.
And anyways, while the Clinton campaign might have agreed to finance a revote, but i don't think michigan's taxpayers would've taken too kindly to being stuck with the unpaid bill.
March 31, 2008 2:51 PM | Reply | Permalink
I'd modify this to split 84 delegates 50/50 and split the remaining 72 delegates according to the national popular vote.
March 31, 2008 2:31 PM | Reply | Permalink
Obama will block it.
"Last Refuge ...
PA Gov. Ed Rendell on Fox News coverage of the Democratic primary campaign ...
I think during this entire primary coverage, starting in Iowa and up to the present -- FOX has done the fairest job, and remained the most objective of all the cable networks. You hate both of our candidates. No, Iām only kidding. But you actually have done a very balanced job of reporting the news, and some of the other stations are just caught up with Senator Obama, who is a great guy, but Senator Obama can do no wrong, and Senator Clinton can do no right."
He just called Josh and corporate media out on his bias.
Congrats Josh, you are part of the corporate media. No credibility.
Do you know what neutral means?
March 31, 2008 2:32 PM | Reply | Permalink
Well, if Ed Rendell says it then it must be true. FOX's long and well documented record as an outlet for Republican propoganda should certainly be disregarded entirely if the latter-day Tirisios from Pennsylvania says so.
Mind you, I really like Ed Rendell and think quite highly of him, but not so highly that I can be persuaded to believe that FOX is more objective than TPM & al.
March 31, 2008 2:49 PM | Reply | Permalink
I'm so over this. I'm from Florida. Hey, MI and FL Dems, you screwed up, deal with it (I have especially little sympathy for MI, at least the FL party can say they were forced into it, though that's only half true).
This won't be decided until after the final votes (June 3rd?).
And it isn't enough for the vote to have a "minor" impact on the totals, it needs to have NO impact. That was the deal. They knew it, and they went ahead anyway.
You made your bed, lie in it. My mother taught me that when I was in diapers.
March 31, 2008 2:32 PM | Reply | Permalink
The MI and FL plans would result in a 30 delegate gain for Clinton. Not as much as she actually won but I suspect there would and should be not objection from either candidate. The DNC would be foolish to not acceptt it and move on.
http://www.breitbart.com/article.php?id=D8VOHH3G0&show_article=1
March 31, 2008 2:37 PM | Reply | Permalink
This is the beginning of Clinton's break on the final turn. In the homestretch she will beat Obama at the wire.
March 31, 2008 2:39 PM | Reply | Permalink
In other words…
THIS IS EXCELLENT NEWS!!! FOR HILLARY!!!
(sorry idiotic, I couldn't wait for ya)
March 31, 2008 4:10 PM | Reply | Permalink
These types of proportional proposals are non-starters because the Clinton campaign needs more than a 10 delegate swing from MI to stay viable at this point. Obama probably gets the short end, but I imagine his campaign would take the deal anyway since it removes one more justification for Hilary's continuing candidacy. That, of course, is the same reason why the Clinton campaign will nix the proposal and continue to loudly spin that MI/FL were disenfranchised. They'll happily hold onto any justification to stay in the race that they've got at this point. Even if a deal like this clears up the delegate situation, the "popular vote" is still mud.
March 31, 2008 2:40 PM | Reply | Permalink
Another "compromise" that favors the cheater.
Don't the Clinton surrogates offer these every week?
March 31, 2008 2:40 PM | Reply | Permalink
MI and FL will get seated but only after the Trials of the Tuzla Terror are terminated
March 31, 2008 2:45 PM | Reply | Permalink
I still think the best deal would to seat FL/MI based on the delegates won in the remaining primaries. That gives both of them a fair fighting chance.
March 31, 2008 2:48 PM | Reply | Permalink
A Modest Proposal.
Add up the selected delegate counts in all those States that Florida and Michigan jumped ahead of by violating the agreed upon order. Divide those two states delegate totals between Hillary and Obama in the same ratio as cumulative delegates were won by the candidates in the States that were cheated out of their proper turns by Florida and Michigan.
That would deprive both States of having gained any advantage over the States that played by the rules.
March 31, 2008 2:51 PM | Reply | Permalink
It's all going to be irrelevant.
According to Chuck Todd, if Pennsylvania, North Carolina and Indiana go as they're trending, Obama can GIVE Hillary Michigan and Florida and STILL win the election outright.
Besides, the act of charity will make him look gracious, especially to MI and FL, and make her look even more pathetic than she does now trying to change the rules.
And it will shut up the trolls.
March 31, 2008 2:54 PM | Reply | Permalink
The delegate allotment is arbitrary by definition, since Obama wasn't even on the ballot. Any attempt at a so-called "fair" allotment is a non-starter. They do not reflect anything, certainly not intent of the voter.
The delegation from MI and FL should still be seated. But they are comprised of equal numbers for each of the two candidates. There is no pretense that it reflects the votes in these states. But the seating seeks to show unity in the party. It also does not have impact on the outcome, as the penalty from the DNC originally has called for.
BTW. I wish there could be more reporting on Hillary's campaign not paying for healthcare premium for its people. Obama's camp should pound on this point, to show how HIllary talks one thing and does another, like Bosnia, except this time it concerns people's healthcare.
March 31, 2008 2:54 PM | Reply | Permalink
Actually it is more than fair to Obama. The people who voted for Clinton unquestionably voted for Clinton. The others voted for no one in particular so the plan not only give Obama votes that were for him but also for Edwards and several other candidates. Obama would actually be stealing votes.
March 31, 2008 3:10 PM | Reply | Permalink
In reply to fogu2:
Quote
Actually it is more than fair to Obama. The people who voted for Clinton unquestionably voted for Clinton. The others voted for no one in particular so the plan not only give Obama votes that were for him but also for Edwards and several other candidates. Obama would actually be stealing votes.
End-Quote
What! "Obama stealing votes"?
At the time of the vote, Hillary has the most name recognition and everyone has agreed not to campaign in MI/FL. Clearly she had an unfair advantage going in. How is that fair?
And no, Obama does not need to "steal" votes. He's got enough to last through June.
And no, Obama does not need charitable votes either. Be honest and admit this. The only reason we are even talking about MI/FL is because Hillary is losing.
And I'll be honest too. If Obama is in HIllary's predicabment, he would push for a revote too. I understand this is all about winning. So do not pretend this is about "fairness".
March 31, 2008 4:16 PM | Reply | Permalink
The body count that the mainstream media has regurgitated out of Florida and Michigan is that 2.3 million Democrats voted in primaries that broke the rules, leaving the DNC with no choice but to level both villages, even if the collateral damage might include the party's prospects of carrying those disenfranchised states in November. The DNC and the MSM appear to have simultaneously concluded that even Clinton's 300,000-vote win in Florida, where both candidates competed on a level playing field, shouldn't be counted in the popular vote tally, a calculation that appears nowhere in DNC rules and turns 1.7 million Democratic voters into ghosts.
The irony is that the drumbeat for Clinton's withdrawal -- coming on the heels of her recent wins and right before what may be her biggest in Pennsylvania -- is rooted in the collapse of the effort to redo Michigan and Florida. The theory is that she should quit because there is no way she can win, and that there is no way she can win because two states she could win, at least one of which she actually did win, will not be counted until she gets out. Barack Obama would thus become the nominee -- not because of an honestly earned if precariously narrow lead in the final national vote, but because of two elections he would not let happen.
If that sounds like a curious way to end a nominating contest that 30 million to 33 million voters will participate in before it's done, even stranger is that the DNC is following only some of its rules -- and that the real culprits who caused this debacle are Republicans, who are now relishing the catfight they provoked.
March 31, 2008 2:55 PM | Reply | Permalink
Damn, you write well.
Good stuff.
March 31, 2008 3:17 PM | Reply | Permalink
Your blatant copy-and-paste strategy is showing.
(The compliment from your troll boyfriend was a clear tip-off . . . )
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/wayne-barrett/could-the-republicans-pic_b_94158.html
March 31, 2008 3:55 PM | Reply | Permalink
Holy crap you are pathetic.
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/wayne-barrett/could-the-republicans-pic_b_94158.html
Somebody better go get gotalife a towel.
March 31, 2008 4:01 PM | Reply | Permalink
Why must these people keep attempting to screw up the election with Michigan and Florida? This proposal is dead on arrival. Is it really fair to give Hillary or Obama a Delegate advantage in a void election that has now been declared illegal.
I have a better idea. Why not void the delegates for the state breaking the rules. That way, the other states that held legitimate contests won't have their votes and voters disenfranchised through the seating of void illegal elections. Oh wait, this is the DNC policy.
Lastly, can the Clintons just shut up about Michigan and Florida. Where were they months prior to the primaries fighting for the votes? Seriously, I think polarizing the electorate for delegates that won't even make a difference is just plain wrong. Hillary stop the hate.
March 31, 2008 3:01 PM | Reply | Permalink
Let the MI and FL delegates present their credentials in Denver and take their chances.
Everybody knew going in what the rules were. If Clinton was concerned about the DNC rules disenfranchising the voters, she should have said so at the beginning instead of changing her position when she started falling behind.
Obama's position was to follow the rules, and to defer to the DNC on any deals with the two states. Obama should stick by his guns and the delegates should make their case to the credentials committee in Denver.
March 31, 2008 3:09 PM | Reply | Permalink
I get the feeling that Clinton wouldn't accept this, nor would she accept the 55%-40% "results" because in order to reamin viable, she needs the issue. Or, as a friend of mine put it, she needs the "well,..."
As in:
Obama leads in overall delegates, pledged delegates, popular vote, and states won.
"Well,...but if you count Michigan and Florida it's actually a lot closer"
Her only other "well,..." is the nonsense about big states, but I think that one has been thoroughly debunked enough that even the MSM can handle it.
March 31, 2008 3:09 PM | Reply | Permalink
Forgot to add:
Bold prediction that I made in another thread about this...just watch the following unfold:
Obama campaign: ok we'll seat MI. You get 55%, and I get 40%...
Clinton campaign: whoa, whoa, wait. You don't get 40%, those went to "uncommitted" so I should get half of those, too...
I'm absolutely positive that this is will happen, and I dare you to say "no way could she be that brazen..."
March 31, 2008 3:13 PM | Reply | Permalink
And the Obamites continually point out the the FL and MI delegates are irrelevant to the fnal outcome but refuse to allow them to be seated.
This is certainly getting beyond "politics as usual", this is the new Obama-style of self-centered obfuscation and obstruction.
March 31, 2008 3:15 PM | Reply | Permalink
Hillary's next book title will be:
It takes a Clinton to Raze our Party.
March 31, 2008 3:20 PM | Reply | Permalink
Clinton also followed the rules.
It was the state officials that violated the arbitrary rules.
The solution should neither penalize the candidates nor the voters.
The Dem state officials who approved the dates should be banished from the DNC. The delegates should and must be seated in a formula that roughly follows the vote.
Any other solution will result in the nominee being considered illegitimate which will split the party and result in a McCain victory.
March 31, 2008 3:38 PM | Reply | Permalink
First: the rules were not arbitrary. They were discussed, and all parties involved knew what they were and why they were in place.
Second: voters in both Michigan (and in Florida) were informed that their Democratic primary broke party rules, and would not be valid. It did not count. In that light, many of them voted in the open Michigan Republican primary, or simply stayed home. Allocating delegates based on that first vote is silly, and is essentially disenfranchising those voters that took the party at its word. It's telling that there were as many uncommitteds as there were, but that doesn't make it a representative vote by any means.
March 31, 2008 4:06 PM | Reply | Permalink
How legitimate would it be to count votes in an election where only one candidate's name was on the ballot?
March 31, 2008 4:08 PM | Reply | Permalink
So, early last year, all the states' Democratic representatives put together a joint venture via the DNC, a primary calendar for all member states and all candidates to use. At that time, all candidates and states agreed. Florida and Michigan months later threw their monkey wrenches into the calendar agreement and defiantly refused to retract their usurpation in spite of being warned of the consequences. Anyone else notice that Hillary supporters in Florida and Michigan were the very leaders who led the usurpation?
We are still dealing with those same monkey wrench throwers, except now their subject has morphed from 'unfair calendar' to 'disenfranchised voters'. I suspect that the same Hillary supporters who originally threw the wrenches are the very ones putting forth 'solutions' that would only benefit Hillary. Talk about extortion. Those Hillary supporters in Michigan and Florida knowingly kidnapped the rights of their own voters who they now hold hostage waiting for us to ransom them.
There aren't any of us who don't want to return those voters' rights to them, but the 'do it or else' extortion message to the DNC, to Obama, and to the rest of the country is disgusting.
March 31, 2008 4:12 PM | Reply | Permalink
Real live Michigan voter here.
The proposals based on allocating all or a portion of the illegal primary are ridiculous. The DNC did not disenfranchise our voters. Our Clinton-supporting state leadership did.
I initially believed a revote in the state was our best option until I heard that voters that voted in the Republican primary would not be allowed to vote in the new election. Large numbers of voters (particularly Obama and Edwards supporters) crossed over to vote in the Republican primary since we were all aware that the Democratic election would not count.
There is no way to have a fair election at this point. The only fair thing is to split the delegates 50-50 or not seat them at all. The state leadership broke the rules, and the superdelegates should not be able to vote at the convention.
March 31, 2008 4:26 PM | Reply | Permalink
Any compromise will not work. The issue is that if the delegates are sat without a new election or the delegates are sat utilizing some metric based on the flawed elections, Hillary will utilize such concessions to push for the seating of all the delegates per the flawed election. That is the facts. If you give Hillary an inch, she wants a foot. The rules are the rules and all knew them and agreed to them.
March 31, 2008 4:35 PM | Reply | Permalink
One nitpick I have with his plan is that he seems to want to count the superdelegates in his split. If anyone in the delegation deserves to be left out its the people who caused and failed to resolve this problem in the first place. Michigan has 128 pledged delegates and 28 superdelegates.
I say no superdelegates at all, award half the pledged delegates on the basis of the original primary, giving Obama the uncommitted votes. Award the other half split based on the national pledged delegate totals after all the primaries.
You can't split them based on popular vote since some states have caucuses, Washington had a caucus that awarded delegates and a primary that did not, which do you count? Like them or not caucuses are part of the process and if you are awarding extra delegates based on national vote totals then caucus states have just as much of a right to participate in that alocation then those that have primaries. Besides the Clinton argument on caucuses is essentially "That damn Barack Obama out worked and out organized us in caucus states. Shame on you Barack Obama for running a better campaign." Not exactly an argument that should be rewarded. Once all is said and done you will essentially have a 50/50 split but in more democratic means and the issue is off the table for Clinton.
March 31, 2008 4:51 PM | Reply | Permalink
The real compromise would be to seat the Michigan and Florida delegations as uncommitted, with 1/2 vote, or as 50/50 split delegations and stripped of super delegates.
Democratic leadership in Michigan pushed the plan to violate the party's rules and in Florida not 1 democrat stood up in the state house to oppose the republican plan to move up the primary.
By all means, if full blown publicly funded primaries can not be held then seat these delegations as uncommitted or 50/50 since any election where the candidates did not have the opportunity to fully compete is no election.
March 31, 2008 9:54 PM | Reply | Permalink