I suspect this is a momentary surge based on the Tuzla flap (comparable to the bump Hillary received on the Wright flap).

Furthermore, I suspect the race to even back out in the near future to near neck-and-neck numbers again, given there are no new flaps the MSM echo chamber creates.

Correct me if I'm wrong, but isn't this an all time high?

So much for Hillary's hopes of exploiting Fox New's Wright smear to her advantage. =)

O hell, it's over.

Bill is saying she'll win the "popular vote" in the upcoming primaries. Ok, I have to say this, finally - they are still bitching about the caucuses - one thing that I think I saw happen here, where in certain parts of Dallas County (read South Dallas, Oak Cliff, West Dallas - predominantly African American areas) people have had a tough time voting. Certain precincts are constantly fucked with. So everyone who supported Obama here got the message and made damn sure that our votes counted by going back and doing what we were asked to do in this participatory democracy. It was brilliant. It was the most astounding thing I've seen happen here in an election.

I'm really tired of the Clintons denigrating the process like they are. It's just more damage to the Democrats. The Dallas News will not let up on it - they seem to want to delegitimize all the thousands of caucus votes along with the Clintons. It is only in the most technical sense that that caucus votes weren't
"popular" votes. What the hell else were they? Regular voters lined back up and voted again.

Okay, not to say I toldja so (though I did), but this would tend to confirm my theory about the real purpose of the increasing frequency and ridiculousness of the Pennspin. It's starting to sink in that she can't win the nomination in a way that won't destroy her chances of winning the general, and all she's doing is hurting our chances of winning in the fall.

And, of course, that whole exposure of her repeated Bosnia lies and her lame-ass response is pretty devestating too.

Confirms Pew, esp when you consider this is a tracking poll, Pew isn't

Last dog dying fast

As an Obama supporter who has absolutely been sickened at what has happened over the last 8 years, I have to say that I don't think Hillary should drop out or quit fighting for power.

Doing so would be going against everything the Clinton's believe in, which is that they - and they alone - are capable of leading the Democratic Party.

So Hillary, fight on! All summer long just keep campaigning as hard as you can. And if Barack manages to win the nomination at the convention, I hope you immediately start planning your run for 2012. Do whatever you have to do to torpedo him so he loses to McCain. That way a grateful Democratic electorate will turn to you in 2012.

And if Obama should somehow win in November, then on the day following the election I hope you start planning how you and your supporters will bring down his Presidency. Maybe you can find a way to force him to resign from office, setting you up to win the nomination in 2012! I know it is a dream, but sometimes dreams come true if you just fight hard enough.

Be true to yourself, Hillary, and your absolute conviction that only you are capable of leading the Democrats. Never give up! Never give in!

I'm sure that someday, if you keep at it, we Democrats will all wake up and realize that - yes - we were wrong to think that anyone other than a Clinton could lead the party.

Brilliant post Choska! Clinton cannot win. She cannot capture the will of the party, the popular votes, the delegates or the super-delegates. Obama is the candidate of hope, she is messenger of doom. Clinton will keep siphoning votes to McCain and try to tear down Obama just to feed her massive ego.

No, it's tied for his biggest lead. Obama also led 50-42 in the tracking on March 1.

The big difference between Wright and Tuzla is that Obama expanded Wright into a discussion of race that left many, left and right, with admiration. According to polls, most of those who thought worse of Obama after his speech were (a) those who would never have voted for him and (b) were matched by those who thought better of him. People may want to hear more from him, but he has given himself and the voters a way out.

There is no comparable way out of Tuzla for Clinton. While the Tuzla lie does not matter much as an isolated fact, it goes to the heart of Clinton's struggle for a good reputation. That she tried to minimize initial skepticism from Sinbad by stating he was just a comedian reminded me of the Clintons' trashing of Lewinski until the semen DNA showed up, just as the video at the tarmac gave convincing evidence about the lie.

Another difference is that Mr. Clinton went on a "forgive me, I am so bad" campaign while Mrs. Clinton gave a flimsy and non-credible answer -- sleep deprivation, or millions of words, or I said it correctly in my book. In summary, Clinton lied about Tuzla several times, got caught with unimpeachable evidence, and now has absolutely no rationale for her lie. That will never go away. I still don't understand why she was so reckless, after being challenged the first time. That's a bad character trait for a president.

Uh oh, time for the clintons to lob another stink bomb. Run for cover.

The professor thing is over too, the University of Chicago released a clarification today. Of course, Hillary was spreading lies again.

His troubles aren't over, but he has weathered the storm. Time to put Hillary behind him and start thinking about how to deal with McCain. And that's where the public dialog from his camp needs to focus. From here on out, Hillary should be a non-issue.

Shame on you! Ready on Day One! Commander-n-Chief Threshold! Lifetime of Experience! As far as I know. Celestial choirs! Disenfranchise voters! I'm a fighter! I did not have sex with that women,Miss Lewinsky!(oops,wrong clinton)McCain and I are qualified,Obama has a speech. Just a few fave bullet points for Hillary supporters who might be feeling a little down these days. I'm sorry, did I say bullet points? Gotta go, Incoming Sniper Fire!......Fork,meet Hillary.

Snarky, no. Wingnut who supports McCain - yes. I think Rezco and the crazy preacher won't mean shit to the 60% who0 will vote for Obama after they get through listening to McBush when he starts peddling how great the surge is going, and why we need to make tax cuts for the ultra-rich permanent, and when his solution to the foreclosure/credit crisis is to convene a commission of accountants. Believe me, Jeremiah Wright isn't 1/10 the albatross George W Bush will be -- and McCain is tying himself to Dubya at the ankles and wrists.

Oh, what the hell these guys know, they are just law professors..

Ya know I went to law school and I actually agree with this in a lot of ways.

Law professors who are tenured and make a full-time career of it are some of the the most myopic, naive silly-minded people I ever met.

But I'm talking about the full-timers. The article explains that he had a special status that is reserved for professors who are politicians or other figures with positions that require a lot of their attention.

The whole Tuzla thing seemed silly and inconsequential to me: except for the context that it came as part her Ready on Day One argument, and thus undermined the central thrust of her campaign. Of course, the same was true of Pastorgate, but Obama just found such an eloquent and couragous way to respond to that. I think if she drops more, it will have more to do with people buying the Let's Unify Behind the Winner argument. That argument works more subtly, more subconsciously on people. No one wants to be told, you can't support Candidate X, because she has no chance of winning. But if you hear Candidate X has no chance of winning, and that Candidate Y is the best hope of your party to take the White House, and you keep hearing that, then eventually you'll say, Yeah, I'm with Candidate Y.