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Florida Pols Float New Plan To Get Delegation Seated

Two Florida pols are floating an intriguing new proposal to get the state's delegation seated -- and calling on Hillary and Obama to support it.

The proposal is the work of state senators Steven Geller, the state senate's ranking Dem, and Jeremy Ring, both of whom are neutral. In an interview with me, Geller laid out how it would work.

Half of Florida's delegates would be awarded based on the January 29th vote, which Hillary won, 50%-33%.

The other half would be awarded based on some sort of framework that the two campaigns agreed to -- and could be based on any other reasonable metric, for instance, the national popular vote at the end of the day or on Florida polling.

"The Clinton camp wants all the votes to count," Geller told me. "The Obama camp wants none of the votes to count. So count half. Award half of the delegates based on January 29th. Then come up with some fair proposal for the others that the campaigns agree on. We're trying to set the framework" for an agreement.

What has to happen for such a thing to become real? Since the DNC has said it will do what the campaigns agreed to, Geller points out, the campaigns merely have to agree to a formula based on this framework.

"The two candidates need to show some leadership," Geller said. "They are trying to prove that they can negotiate with [world leaders]. They ought to be able to negotiate with each other."

Late Update: Another way of doing this suggested by Geller, which I should have mentioned earlier, is to apportion half the delegation based on the January 29th voting, and split the remaining half. The whole point of the proposal is to ask the campaigns to agree on a way of dividing the remaining half.


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this is just stupid ... what idiot would agree to this????

ain't gonna fly

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I couldn't agree with you more. The two candidates need to show some leadership? That's rich coming from Florida State Senator Steven Geller... Was he in the Florida State Senate when the DNC made the ramifications of moving the primary date clear? Did he show some leadership then? He must've voted against it, right? And I'm sure he gave an impassioned floor speech about the profoundly unjust disenfranchisement of Florida's electorate that would take place if the bill passed. I'm gonna look for the transcript of that speech right now. I think I'll start with his website. It should be right on the main page...

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Oh oh...

Here's Steven Geller's idea of "showing some leadership":

From the Tampa Bay Online Article "Geller Tries To Set Record Straight On Florida Primary, Says Dems May Suffer In November," Posted Feb 22, 2008 by William March...


“We are being punished for something over which we had no control,” Geller said. “The Democratic National Committee is punishing the Democratic voters of Florida for this. This is the height of insanity.”

It’s been widely reported that prior to the 2007 legislative session, when the date change was passed, many Democratic leaders favored it. Even during the session, some remained in favor.

But when it became clear that the national party intended to penalize the state, Geller notes, both he and House Democratic Leader Dan Gelber introduced amendments to push the date to Feb. 5, which would have conformed to party rules. Their amendments failed on voice votes, but most Democrats voted for them, he said.

It has been widely alleged that Geller and Gelber weren’t serious about their amendments, but Geller says they gave that appearance only because they knew their amendments had no chance of passage.

“I chose not to make us appear weak by giving a strong speech and then losing badly,” he said. In the end, Democrats voted for the bill including the change, because it was attached to a bill requiring paper-trail voting, which no Democrat would vote against.


(Full article at http://www.tboblogs.com/index.php/news/story/geller-tries-to-set-record-straight-on-florida-primary-says-dems-may-suffer/)

So the Florida Senate Democratic Leader got outmanuevered by Republicans and then didn't want to "appear weak" by putting himself on the line? That's what his new plan is really about. He just doesn't have the onions to admit it. Face saving then. Face saving now.

Attack of the zombie revotes...

I don't see how Obama agrees to this. I give them credit, they are trying any possible way to get this re-vote to happen, but this plan on its face is just bad.

Well, this isn't a revote, but rather an apportioning of the illegitimate delegation.


The only thing I see coming out of all this mess is a discussion of a reform of the primary system.

How is this "intriguing"? A crude, "let's pretend" approach to a vote is not a vote. How does this fulfill either the original aims of the DNC to avoid rewarding breaking the rules or of anyone else to "let every vote count"?

I don't see how any solution can be based on a vote that the public was told would not count.

Umm...national polling? Yeah, which poll and when?

Let's go off of the Intrade numbers :P

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"More soon."

Personally, I'm tired of florida and michigan. It's just the same over and over and over again.

I have an idea on an entertaining post. Post some of her schedule that was just released and do some analysis promoting all this alleged experience from the clintons' first two terms in the white house. I can guarantee that it will be a lively thread of comments from pro- and anti-clinton people. I bet the thread would break 500 comments.

Now that would be fun.

hmmm...

And Greg:

While you are transcribing the notes from the Clinton campaign (so them on Swampland where they were honest enough to print them as notes from the Clinton campaign), did you see Roosevelt's (co-chair of the DNC committee): There WILL be no seating of delegations (in any form) without some sort of revote (Boston Globe, this morning I believe).

Also: No matter how much you BLARE!!! polling results (also on Politico and Political Wire), did you have a sense that the discourse around this race has shifted?? That the "uncertainty" is hardening into an in-your-face fact that this thing is coming to a close??? That the impact of Obama's speech is a point of interest of those who are truly interested in doing more than shoring up Clinton (NYTimes, surprisingly, this morning with TWO articles).

Also: Why doesn't TPM do something on the heavily redacted WH Clinton papers? Invisible earmarks?? and invisible tax returns??

I noticed a couple of days ago a conversation started a couple of days ago about the startling lack of diversity on TPM staff. What is interesting is not such much the lack of ethnic diversity, but TPM could really sometimes use the perspective of age. For example, for many of us who really can remember the Clinton years, all of this anxiety, playing with the rules/language, win at any costs, bullying (Michigan into a primary)is so very, very familiar. If this page had some historical perspective, then it would not be so easily manipulated by the campaign.

Also: Fly-on-the-Wall is useful, because this page reports stats/polls with a remarkable lack of sophistication (and I would say this whether or not they report Obama is up or down).

hmmm...

And Greg:

While you are transcribing the notes from the Clinton campaign (saw them on Swampland where they were honest enough to print them as notes from the Clinton campaign), did you see Roosevelt's (co-chair of the DNC committee): There WILL be no seating of delegations (in any form) without some sort of revote (Boston Globe, this morning I believe).

Also: No matter how much you BLARE!!! polling results (also on Politico and Political Wire), did you have a sense that the discourse around this race has shifted?? That the "uncertainty" is hardening into an in-your-face fact that this thing is coming to a close??? That the impact of Obama's speech is a point of interest of those who are truly interested in doing more than shoring up Clinton (NYTimes, surprisingly, this morning with TWO articles).

Also: Why doesn't TPM do something on the heavily redacted WH Clinton papers? Invisible earmarks?? and invisible tax returns??

I noticed a couple of days ago a conversation started a couple of days ago about the startling lack of diversity on TPM staff. What is interesting is not such much the lack of ethnic diversity, but TPM could really sometimes use the perspective of age. For example, for many of us who really can remember the Clinton years, all of this anxiety, playing with the rules/language, win at any costs, bullying (Michigan into a primary)is so very, very familiar. If this page had some historical perspective, then it would not be so easily manipulated by the campaign.

Also: Fly-on-the-Wall is useful, because this page reports stats/polls with a remarkable lack of sophistication (and I would say this whether or not they report Obama is up or down).

I don't see how the DNC will allow this. I thought the DNC said re-vote or nothing. The rules have to followed.

Let's hope we never replace actual voting with poll numbers.

When you take the results of an invalid election and divide them by 2, aren't the results still invalid?

And have we really reached the point in America where no one ever expects any consequences from their actions, even when the consequences are clearly laid out ahead of time?

Hold a new election or don't. But these "fair" compromises don't make any sense.

A more fair solution would be to split the remaining half in half. Relying on polls is just stupid. This way Hillary gets an advantage, but it's clear that they're not ignoring the issue of Florida breaking the rules and the results being tainted.

They can propose anything they want to, there will be no re-vote in Florida or Michigan. Why would Barack Obama want to be charitable to Hillary Clinton after all she's done and is still trying to do to hurt him and the Democratic Party?

Florida's Democratic lawmakers are trying to cover their behinds for their absolutely stupid move of defying the DNC along with Michigan. They, just like the candidates, knew what they were doing and what the repercussions would be. Now they're trying to change the rules along with Mrs. Clinton.

Not to worry because their delegates can be seated for Barack Obama when he officially wins the nomination.

Now I since we're starting the sixth year in Iraq, consider that Hillary has a streak of bad decisions that she later tries to disown. She knew perfectly well what her Iraq vote meant, but now refuses to apologize for it but in essence says she didn't know what it meant. Now with the Florida/Michigan situation which she agreed to knowing full well what that agreement meant, she is again saying she doesn't agree with her decision.

She was for it before she was against it, just like her Iraq vote. Now she's acting like the protector of the "disenfranchised" even stooping so low as to put a racial Civil Rights spin on her rhetoric. It seems to be a pattern with her and goes to the essence of why it is a blessing for Democrats that she will lose the nomination. She is willing to do anything even hurt the party to win.

If the situations were reversed and Obama was in her shoes, don't think for a second that she would be pushing for a revote. What would do you think she would tell Obama and Florida what they could do with their proposal. Just like her Iraq vote, she made her bed and has to sleep in it.

Senator Obama has proven time and time again even when his decisions or judgment was not the best, that he is willing to take responsibility for them. He's proven that with Iraq and with his agreement to playing by the DNC rules among other equally serious things. Hillary can't even release her earmark history, her tax information, and has blacked out so much of her first lady schedules that it raises more questions than answers--very Cheney-esque.

Also, a re-vote would be extremely unfair to John Edwards, Bill Richardson and the others who were still on the ballot at the time.

Just say no.

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Why would Barack Obama want to be charitable to Hillary Clinton after all she's done and is still trying to do to hurt him and the Democratic Party?

Because he'll win anyway, and he'll need her supporters to be firmly on board come November? You asked…

Fl and MI did not play by the rules. Follow the rules, when we deviate we cause grave damage. We need to be consistent.

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Don't seat the delegates or split them 50-50; anything else is unfair to those who played by the rules to which both campaigns agreed. I don't see how anybody can claim with a straight face that it is fair to count the votes in FL or MI 'as is' (or even a percentage of those votes); neither side campaigned (or pledged not to) and Obama wasn't even on the ballot in MI.

Clinton should resign for the good of the party and country and quit all the shenanigans.

More stupid "how can we cheat?" type solution.


I say there are two options:

- 50/50 split

or

- revote without all kinds of stupid exclusions


If Hillary can't agree to these, so be it.

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MORE GOOD NEWS FROM THE CLINTON TALKING POINTS MEMO!

CHECK OUT HRC'S MEMBERSHIP TO THE FELLOWSHIP, TRULY A CULT LIKE RIGHT WING BIBLE GROUP.


http://www.motherjones.com/news/feature/2007/09/hillarys-prayer.html

Who made that post yesterday about Clinton trolls lurking about?

This is getting silly.

Revote, ok. It's probably a waste of time and a deliberate distraction by the Clinton campaign, but it does at least give people in Florida (and Michigan) the chance to express themselves.

I don't see any point whatsoever in a contrived delegate split. There's just nothing gained by it.

So 59% Clinton and 41% Obama, is this served with a small glass of Hemlock?

Are you guys going to do a post on the Clinton schedules that were released? The NAFTA thing seems very pertinent. (Unfortunately, the MSM is just focusing on the Lewinsky stuff, which is just typical.)

The maneuvers of Florida and Michigan politicians are getting tiresome. They are the ones who got their state parties into this mess, by deliberating violating DNC rules, and so of course they have incentives to keep floating re-do proposals. It just isn't going to go anywhere until after the nomination is settled by superdelegates who have a rough idea what Florida and Michigan voters think from polls. So news outlets, especially including this one, ought to quite trumpeting every new "proposal" for a re-do, until we get to summer when it matters before the rules bodies. None are realistic right now, but their mere proclamation is necessary for pols inside each state to appear to be doing something about their earlier miscalculations. It really is just a bunch of local noise, less important than occasions inside states about to vote. Can't we focus on candidate speeches and the broader dynamics of the campaign?

How is this a revote? Better change that headline.

No one is going to agree to this. At best it only half respects the January vote. I thing Nelson's suggestion of jsut cutting the delegation in half, but repecting the January proiportions is a better idea, even if it did come from the Republicans.

If I were a Florida or Michigan voter, I'd be very interested in having my voice heard at the convention. And when I say "having my voice heard," I mean the results of a fair election, not some mumbo-jumbo cooked up to allow the seating of some group of delegates selected in a way that has little or nothing to do with the preferences of the electorate.

Can anyone explain how splitting the delegates 50/50 is any less of a disenfranchisement than locking them out altogether -- or, for that matter, seating them based on the results of an election where there was no campaigning, where people chose to vote (or not) under the assumption that there vote wouldn't count, and where (in the case of Michigan) one of the candidates wasn't even on the ballot?

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Don't get me wrong, I agree that this contrived halve-ing of the delegates from the January vote is an un-principaled, bogus solution, and that fair-play requires either a fifty fifty splitting of the delegates, or seating none at all. All true.

But just to play devil's advocate, isn't the one remotely legitimate argument for this "let's count half" idea that it's the approach that the republiucans are taking, and will therefore incline Florida voters to feel that they've been treated equally by both parties come November?

What I hate about this whole Florida-Michigan thing is the way Obama is in another box (the first box being if he fights Hillary he's betraying his campaign promises and if he doesn't he's a wimp)--if he protests seating their delegates according to any formula that's been proposed so far as unfair, he's portrayed as being against democracy or against the citizens of FLA and MI having a voice. And the MSM is promoting this interpretation with most of their headlines "Obama Opposed to Revote" or "Obama Opposed to Seating Delegates" when they could equally say "Hillary Trying to Break Rules" or at the very least "Revote Impossible". Folks who only read headlines are getting a very distorted picture of Obama trying to silence the people of 2 states.

You're looking at this the wrong way. Do you think that Hillary and company care about the tag that they are "trying to steal the nomination?" Not at all. Did you see the last Saturday Night Live when Tracy Morgan gave his rebuttal to Tina Fey's Hillary endorsement? He made light of the way that the Clintons are trying to paint Barack Obama:

"People are saying that he's not a fighter. Let me tell you somthing. He's a gangster; he's from Chicago..."

It's sweet that you feel sorry for Barack Obama, but he doesn't need sympathy because he's winning and has been outmaneuvering the Clintons from the beginning from playing rope-a-dope to the "inevitable" in Iowa to strategizing in Texas to win more delegates than the unwitting and unprepared Clinton Campaign.

I said it in my comment earlier that Senator Obama is a skilled lawyer and politician, and he knows well the art of stalling. It is not by accident that he is in this advantageous position. Believe me, Clinton would not care about what people thought of her (or doesn't now) if the tables were turned.

Barack Obama can take it without getting flustered or bent out of shape like Clinton. He is Michael Jordon to Hillary's John McEnroe.

Here's the Tracy Morgan Weekend Update clip:
http://www.crooksandliars.com/2008/03/16/snls-weekend-update-spitzer-romney-and-tracy-morgan-on-obama/

Also, the Daily Kos take on it:

"But eventually, the math became impossible for Clinton and she set out on her current path of coup by super delegate. It was the only way she could win this thing after enough voters had decided they wanted Obama to be their nominee.

But fed by the uncertainties of Michigan, Florida, and the super delegates, and the Clinton campaign's masterful way of glossing over her obvious disadvantages, the national media continued to pretend Clinton still had a chance in this thing, as NBC's Chuck Todd notes:

A Clinton always finds a way to survive, so goes the myth [...]

[W]hile the mechanics of the Democratic nomination fight overwhelmingly favor Obama, the media is giving Clinton a huge lift. And this comes after a year of Clinton complaints that the media was doing them more harm than good.

But apparently, the news out of Michigan and Florida may have lifted enough of that uncertainty to begin shifting that media narrative. Uber-CW-meister (and professional asshole) Mark Halperin, formerly of The Note, and now at Time, delivers the cruel blow:

Monday's decision by Florida Democrats to abandon their efforts to hold a new primary, in order to get their delegation seated at the national party's August convention, is another blow to Hillary Clinton's attempt to close the small but near-impregnable delegate gap on her rival, Barack Obama. And she's having little more luck in Michigan [...]

Clinton's only hope now in Florida would be for the national party's credentials committee, which meets later this year, to change course and count some or all of the delegates elected in January. But most Democrats - and even some of Clinton's supporters - believe this is unlikely [...]

The Obama campaign has cleverly slow-walked the debate over the Florida and Michigan primaries, knowing that the clock on their side. With Florida essentially giving up, and Michigan struggling to find a solution, Clinton's time - and options - are fast running out.

That's the polite way of saying, "this thing is over, folks.""

http://kos.dailykos.com/

Greg:

Just for shits and giggles, why don't you ask these two pols how they voted on the measure to move up the primary in violation of DNC rules? As I recall it was 118-0 in the Florida House and 36-2 in the Senate. Were they the two?

With respect to this proposal, it's stupid. Either the contest in January counted or it didn't. All of the candidates agreed that it wouldn't count. Now one of them is arguing that it SHOULD count. I think that's been lost in this sad situation. No one in the media (and that includes TPM) seems to remind folks that this is (A) a self-inflicted wound and (B) the candidate that is now arguing the injustice of this situation (1) agreed to it and (2) has a senior adviser (Ickes) who APPROVED the action to strip them of delegates. That hasn't been repeated enough.

I'd chalk this up to bias if it wasn't a clear case of ignorance. You (the media) need to step back from the spin and look at this situation and THEN report it. This proposal, in context, is bullshit.

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Revote, no revote the Super D's still decide.
First I'll say I agree with the general sentiment here. Why someone would call this a new plan when it is patently unworkable and useless is over my head.
The answer to the Fla and MI issue already exists. Superdelegates will each have an opinion at the end of the day what the reasonable probable results of a full out Fla/MI revote would add to Hillary's and Baracks total. For discussion sake say a range of Hillary 4 to 10 delegate uptick and 100,000 to 350,000 vote uptick.
If the high end of these numbers turns out to be crucial to the final national tallies, the super delegates can base their decisions on that perception. Conversely if it's clear that Barack wins the pledged delegate count and the total vote count, the super delegates can base their choices on that perceived data.
The point is, that the candidate who becomes the Democratic nominee will in all cases be called to compete with McCain by the super delegates. They know today what the probable results of a Fla/Mi redo would be and can cast their votes with an easy conscience. Additional polling which would include the mathematically modeled results that Barack always, always closes any Hillary advantage when he campaigns in a state could be purchased to clarify probable results.
I think that there is a 95% chance that the super delegates have more than enough reliable information on Fla/MI outcomes to cast their support to either Barack or Hillary comfortably and intelligently.
Revote, no revote, the super d's are get to call the eventual outcome. Move on.

Hm, I have a hard time seeing how any proposal which involves honoring the January vote can get off the ground. This seems like a complete non-starter to me.

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I wouldn't call that a plan.

More like a vague suggestion.

Splitting the delegates isn't, in any way shape or form, the voice of the people. That's what this election is supposed to be about, right? The voice of the people.

Revote, or nothing. And certainly strip the superdelegates of their votes regardless for causing this fiasco in the first place.

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"Since the DNC has said it will do what the campaigns agreed to..."

Wait. Whaat?

When did this get established as "fact"?

That assertion is just not true. The DNC has not said anything like that with regard to any potential seating of the delegates that does not involved a re-vote.

As several people have pointed out here, the DNC's hard line has been that there will be no deal on seating delegates, at least not before the Credentials Committee has jurisdiction.

Now, I can certainly see Dean and other RBC members encouraging some sort of compromise behind the scenes. Dean has never shot down the "half-Nelson" idea, for example. But that's just speculation on our part.

Unless Geller has given you some new, specific information, and you've buried the lede. Do you have more to tell us?

Just about the only good that could come of this whole mess is if it sparks a discussion of primary reform. Wiki has reasonably good coverage of the various proposals, the one I like is:


http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Interregional_Primary_Plan


another that is good is


http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Graduated_Random_Presidential_Primary_System

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Apologies if these topics are discussed above, didn't have time to read it all.

It's rumored that Clinton has wrangled unofficial commitments from most of the FL Superdelegates and that is a key reason she is so keen on having the Florida delegation seated. Any discussion of how the above compromises would affect superdelegates allocated to Florida? How would the compromises affect the legitimacy of including the Florida popular vote in the nationwide totals?

What a joke. Here is video of the very same Steven Geller speaking on the floor of the Florida state senate one year ago about their plans to move their primary forward in violation of DNC rules. This should be an eye-opener to those who contend that it was the big bad Republicans steamrolling the poor Democrats who would never agree to such a thing.

Greg, I think this probably deserves a post of its own:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rpHuQi17EaE

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