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Exit Polls: "Change" Beating "Experience" By Big Margins In Ohio And Texas
Some info from the exit polls that will lend comfort to the Obama camp:
The ability to "bring needed change" beats "experience" as the most important quality in a candidate by about a 20-point margin in Ohio and by about 15 points in Texas, according to preliminary exit poll results.
A possible harbinger of a closer-than-expected outcome in Ohio and who-knows-what in Texas...
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Vermont now makes the Obama win streak TWELVE straight victories, and every one of them a trouncing of Hillary.
Hillary is on a role. Super Delegates must be swooning at how well she has been doing!
March 4, 2008 7:47 PM | Reply | Permalink
And to think that Hillary's so-called experience is basically nil beyond her Senate record, which is not so shiny with the 2002 vote and all.
Her 35 years started in law school for some reason and includes being First Lady, yet she won't (er, Bill won't) release records to reveal what her role may have been.
Trust her. She's experienced.
Guess voters aren't really buying it.
March 4, 2008 7:50 PM | Reply | Permalink
I think a lot of folks who voted for Clinton probably concluded that she would bring change as well (or that electing her would constitute change (i.e., female president)). Not sure if these figures are dispositive of anything.
March 4, 2008 7:50 PM | Reply | Permalink
Yes, a lot of folks do see Clinton II as change, but I would venture that after the campaign having gone on as long as it has that anyone not living under a rock understands clearly that Hillary has tied herself to the concept of Experience and Obama Change.
As for the numbers themselves, you are technically correct, but we'll have to wait to see how they align or not with actual vote tallies to further interpret them. At this point they suggest Obama will take both Ohio and Texas tonight, albeit not by Vermont margins.
March 4, 2008 8:00 PM | Reply | Permalink
Comfort not needed, thanks for asking. Clinton needs to concede the campaign; she cannot win the nomination.
March 4, 2008 7:51 PM | Reply | Permalink
Thirteen if you count Dems Abroad...
Ohio is still too close to call- which means that the this is a lot closer than recent polls have shown. Likely still a win for HRC but as an Obamanite, I will happily take a squeaker under the circumstances.
March 4, 2008 7:52 PM | Reply | Permalink
are you counting alaska?
March 4, 2008 8:10 PM | Reply | Permalink
If he gets more delegates out of Vermont than she does out of Ohio, isn't that a pretty stunning repudiation of her entire reasoning for her candidacy?
March 4, 2008 7:55 PM | Reply | Permalink
My mom just called me from her caucus site. She said they told her she couldn't get it in before 7. She just discovered that they were letting folks in the back door. Just one piece of anedoctal evidence of the shenanigans to come in Texas.
March 4, 2008 7:55 PM | Reply | Permalink
12 includes Democrats Abroad, doesn't it?
March 4, 2008 7:56 PM | Reply | Permalink
I read that there are some vote stealing in Texas. In such a close race, these things play a very important role and changes the outcome of the vote. Sad.
March 4, 2008 7:56 PM | Reply | Permalink
12 includes Democrats Abroad, doesn't it?
March 4, 2008 7:57 PM | Reply | Permalink
The linked article indicates that the change percentage is smaller than in past primaries. So it may be greater comfort for HRC than Obama.
March 4, 2008 7:57 PM | Reply | Permalink
I don't ever trust exit polls.
Not after 2004 ;-)
I'd rather wait for the results.
Gooooooooooooobama!
March 4, 2008 8:02 PM | Reply | Permalink
Don't forget the 15 years she spent in a law firm known for representing corporations -- how does that fit in with her pro-worker stance?
March 4, 2008 8:03 PM | Reply | Permalink
THIS IS EXCELLENT NEWS!!! FOR HILLARY!!!!
March 4, 2008 8:04 PM | Reply | Permalink
A single digit win for HRC is still a win for Obama.
Make that 14 in a row for Obama unless we see 20+ margins the other way.
March 4, 2008 8:08 PM | Reply | Permalink
seems hillary is taking ohio
8;08
Obama must carry Texas
March 4, 2008 8:09 PM | Reply | Permalink
Texas Early voting returns
Harris County (Houston):
Obama 106,245 63.01%
Clinton 61,646 36.56%
Dallas County:
Barack Obama 65.91% 81,245
Hillary Clinton 33.52% 41,318
Travis County (Austin):
Obama 63,154 64.97%
Clinton 33,401 34.36%
March 4, 2008 8:11 PM | Reply | Permalink
Thanks Hunter H. I was wondering if it was excellent news -- FOR HILLARY!!!
March 4, 2008 8:11 PM | Reply | Permalink
According to what CNN is seeing in TX, Obama's carrying it.
March 4, 2008 8:12 PM | Reply | Permalink
THIS IS EXCELLENT NEWS!!! FOR HILLARY CLINTON!!!
bwahahahaha
March 4, 2008 8:13 PM | Reply | Permalink
The early voting out of Texas has Obama up 15% so far..make that 17%.
I kept hearing that Latinos don't actually turn out to vote in big numbers in Texas. That would be bad for Hillary.
March 4, 2008 8:21 PM | Reply | Permalink
Texas Early voting returns for the 5 largest counties.
Harris County (Houston):
Obama 106,245 63.01%
Clinton 61,646 36.56%
Dallas County:
Barack Obama 65.91% 81,245
Hillary Clinton 33.52% 41,318
Tarrant County (Fort Worth)
Barack Obama 58.86% 50,585
Hillary Clinton 40.91% 35,092
Bexar County (San Antonio)
Obama 44.74% 46,218
Clinton 54.22% 56,013
Travis County (Austin):
Obama 63,154 64.97%
Clinton 33,401 34.36
Net result of about 110,000 votes in favor of Obama. That will be almost impossible for her too overcome.
March 4, 2008 8:23 PM | Reply | Permalink