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Breaking: Florida Will Not Hold Revote

In a statement, Florida Dem party chair Karen Thurman has just made it official: Florida state officials have nixed the possibility of a revote altogether:

Last week, the Florida Democratic Party laid out the only existing way that we can comply with DNC Rules - a statewide revote run by the Party - and asked for input.

Thousands of people responded. We spent the weekend reviewing your messages, and while your reasons vary widely, the consensus is clear: Florida doesn't want to vote again.

So we won't.

A party-run primary or caucus has been ruled out, and it's simply not possible for the state to hold another election, even if the Party were to pay for it. Republican Speaker of the Florida House Marco Rubio refuses to even consider that option. Florida is finally moving to paper ballots, which is a good thing, but it means that at least 15 counties do not have the capacity to handle a major election before the June 10th DNC primary deadline.

This doesn't mean that Democrats are giving up on Florida voters. It means that a solution will have to come from the DNC Rules & Bylaws Committee, which is scheduled to meet again in April.

But no revote. It's all but certain that whatever solution does eventually emerge won't seat the delegation in its current breakdown. So this is rough news for Hillary.

Full statement after the jump.

Dear Florida Democrat,

For a year now, the Florida Democratic Party has tried to comply with the Delegate Selection Rules of the Democratic National Committee.

We researched every potential alternative process - from caucuses to county conventions to mail-in elections - but no plan could come anywhere close to being viable in Florida.

We made a detailed case to the DNC Rules & Bylaws Committee, but we were denied.

Our Democratic legislators in Tallahassee tried to set the Florida primary on Feb. 5, instead of Jan. 29, but of course, their proposed amendment to House Bill 537 was greeted with laughter and derision from the Republicans who control the state government.

Does '537' ring a bell? It should. It's the number of votes that separated Texas Gov. George W. Bush and Vice President Al Gore in Florida in 2000.

It's the number that sent this country and this world in a terrible direction.

We can't let 537 - or the Republicans - determine our future again.

President Bush plans to stop in Florida tomorrow to raise hundreds of thousands of dollars for the Republican National Committee's efforts to elect his successor in November.

The last thing America needs is a third Bush term. Despite the widespread anxiety that working families feel, not to mention the broad agreement among economists that we are in a recession, President Bush and John McCain blindly believe that the economy is strong.

And let me remind you that John McCain endorsed President Bush's decision to deny health care to thousands of Florida children by vetoing an expansion of the successful SCHIP program. McCain also promises to jeopardize the financial security of Florida seniors by privatizing Social Security. He continually threatens to push Florida's military families to the brink by keeping American troops in Iraq for "100 years" or more.

This is why we are Democrats, and this is why we must stick together, no matter where this ongoing delegate debate takes us.

Last week, the Florida Democratic Party laid out the only existing way that we can comply with DNC Rules - a statewide revote run by the Party - and asked for input.

Thousands of people responded. We spent the weekend reviewing your messages, and while your reasons vary widely, the consensus is clear: Florida doesn't want to vote again.

So we won't.

A party-run primary or caucus has been ruled out, and it's simply not possible for the state to hold another election, even if the Party were to pay for it. Republican Speaker of the Florida House Marco Rubio refuses to even consider that option. Florida is finally moving to paper ballots, which is a good thing, but it means that at least 15 counties do not have the capacity to handle a major election before the June 10th DNC primary deadline.

This doesn't mean that Democrats are giving up on Florida voters. It means that a solution will have to come from the DNC Rules & Bylaws Committee, which is scheduled to meet again in April.

When this committee stripped us of 100% of our delegates last year, some members summed up their reasoning by saying, "The rules are the rules." Unfortunately, the rules did not apply to Iowa, New Hampshire and South Carolina when they, too, violated the DNC calendar by moving from their assigned dates.

As the late great Democratic President Franklin D. Roosevelt once said, "We must adjust our ideas to the facts of today... Rules are not necessarily sacred, principles are."

The Florida Democratic Party has stuck to its principles throughout this debate. We've remained open-minded while never wavering from our commitment to an open and fair election that would allow all Florida Democrats to participate, whether serving in Iraq, retiring in Boca, studying abroad or entertaining at a theme park.

Another late great President -Abraham Lincoln, a Republican - said, "A house divided against itself cannot stand."

If Democrats heed this wisdom, we will win in November.

America needs a great president again, but a President McCain will settle for the status quo and carry on the disastrous Bush tradition.

President Clinton or President Obama will make history and lead this nation in a new direction.

Let's remember this as the delegate debate continues. We must stick together as Democrats. The stakes are too high and the opportunities too great.

I will keep you posted on any major developments. Thank you for your concern and your commitment.

Sincerely,
Karen L. Thurman
Congresswoman Karen L. Thurman
Chair, Florida Democratic Party



133 Comments

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So this is rough news for Hillary.

So Greg, How rough was it?

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Rough news for whom?

Potentially for the country:


" a poll commissioned by Florida Senate Democratic Leader Steve Geller commissioned a poll of voters who participated in the state’s January 29th Democratic Presidential Primary, which found that 59% of those Democrats want a revote.
"Only 63% of these primary-voting Democrats are committed to sticking with our eventual nominee if Florida voters are not counted. That number is dangerously low," the memo says."

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Well, clinton didn't break 50% last time, so why is this bad news? Presumably she wouldn't do any better and might even do worse.

I see a 50/50 split in the offing. But the clintons will keep whining and whining and whining until the end of time. Who wants a whiner in chief?

Why is it rough news for Hillary? Now she can fight for the full delegate margin she got in her sham victory.

It's rough because the issue now goes to the Credentials Committee.

The Credentials Committee meets in July.

The makeup of the credentials committee is twofold. First are a few DNC members that have already been assigned to the committee by Howard Dean. Second is the vast makeup of the committee assigned via a formula based upon the makeup of the delegations from various states.

Guess whose supporters will make up the majority of the Credentials Committee.

This is really crappy news for Clinton because Obama's delegates will determine the fate of the MI and FL delegates, and do so in July.

Hillary cant get a break...This makes it even more difficult for her. I wonder who they will blame for this?

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Then let's just give those delegates, every last one of Florida's (and Michigan's), and be done with it.

She really deserves it, and we all owe it to here for all the rough times she's experienced in public life.

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er, Then let's just give her...

They should take the delegate breakdown at the end of the process and apply the same percentages to FL.

Problem solved.

Why do Floridians hate Senator Clinton?

Don't you wish everybody did?

Ummmmmmm... Don't they love her in Florida? Isn't Florida full of senile giesers who were convinced by Hillary's fear tactics?

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The reason Obama is not pushing for a re-vote is that Floridians don't hate Clinton.

...feel that sting, that's pride...

Halve them and seat 'em or just seat 'em, it makes no difference in the end. I'll just be glad to get one of the goalposts removed.

We "owe it to her"? We don't owe her anything--she is continuing her doomed campaign and driving a huge wedge between the Democratic Party.

I bet you'll also say that she "deserves" the presidency, too. As if anyone could.

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Yes, she . Bill promised it to her after embarrassing her in front of the world in the 90s.

A lot of Dem insiders owe Bill, Bill owes her, and hence a lot of Dem insiders owe Hillary. Super delegates should all vote for her for that reason alone.

Somehow, I feel wrapped up in her psychodrama and feel like I/we owe her as well.

GO Hillary! (by any means necessary)

Turn your satire meter on, dude.

Damn. I got owned. I apologize for not having the snarkmeter switched to "on." =(

The main reason why this hurts Hillary is it makes it impossible for her to keep saying that we should wait for a Florida revote thus allowing her to move the goal post back more. Now it looks like Penn is the only state that could give her any type of movement on Obama's pledge delegate lead. 1 problem though, even if she wins ALL the pledge delegates in Penn she is still behind.

THIS IS EXCELLENT NEWS!!! FOR HILLARY!!!!

I AGREE!!!

DRINK MORE KOOL-AID!!!! TASTES GREAT!!!!

This has been a FAKE issue, manufactured by the Clinton thugs, from the beginning. It was never like there is no solution EVER...etc.

At the end, in Denver, these delegates will be seated of course. For now, the fucking MONSTER won't be allowed to get a head jump, hoodwink the people, triangulate, just to MAKE THINGS LOOK somewhat better. I am happy with this decision!

Of course, I say all of this becasue I don't think she can catch him EVER, but she wanted to use all possible con jobs to MAKE IT LOOK LIKE she is closer than she really is...I am so glad, she will be talking to the hand!

People say hello to President McCain. I am a life long liberal democrat and I will not vote for the newcomer from Illinois! I will leave the ballot blank!

HMMMM, so you were hoping that somehow fucking with the rules, would let HER get ahead? And would be a great accomplishment?

She fucking lost (becasue she is a loser) on votes and Delagates and states won!!! What part of L O S T do you NOT understand? Or do you hate math?

That's your prerogative, but I have to ask -- how does that relate to Florida in any way, shape or form?

Depending upon Florida lost the Democrats two presidential electinos in a row.

Obama's GE strategy does not depend upon Florida.

"I am a life long liberal democrat and I will not vote for the newcomer from Illinois! I will leave the ballot blank!"

I am Hillary Clinton and I approve this message.

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So you want to hand another 2, possibly three SOCTUS nominations to Alito and Roberts clones?

Not to mention never getting out of Iraq and possible initiating a war with Iran?

BTW, You claim to be a life-long Democrat at all. I call bullshit.

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Only the most short sighted and rabidly partisan advocates for Obama can believe that failing to find a way for the Florida voters to register their preferences is not a problem.

Obama's failure to recognize this and to insist on it shows that he is not a (small d) democrat.

And if you think this will only cause him problems in Florida, think again.

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If you google Rouse and Obama you will learn that Obama wanted to vote for Roberts but was dissuaded by Rouse because there would be political costs.

Don't count on Obama backing people on his side of the political divide: look how far out of his way he went to support Lieberman in the Connecticut primary.

Your call, dude. We adults will be deciding between the two choices presented to us. I hate Hillary, hate her diviseness and short sighted campaigning. I think she'll continue to play petulant, hard ball politics that leave us in a quagmire. But do I really think I could go vote for McBush? I don't think so. And leave the ballot blank? Why bother?

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Why? How was this Obama's fault?

Obama and Clinton were both on the Florida ballot. Clinton won. Divide the votes according to the vote. Easy.

But it won't happen that way. Obama will shriek, "GOD DAMN AMERICA!" and whine about how unfair the process is.

Who's whining about the process? Last time I checked it was your horse, friendo. The FL vote wasn't going to count because the state of FL's Dem reps broke the rules. Pretty simple. "Don't move your date."

I guess we need to teach some party reps the same lesson we give to our three year-olds when we say "Behavior has consequences." Maybe HRC should have spent a fraction of the time she's spent wooing superdelegates instead on telling FL officials to just stick to the process.

After all she has the power to change the world, surely she could have convinced some party shills to be patient. I guess that brilliant big state strategy is looking a little bit like it had some holes in it.

As an Obama supporter, I'd be content to see the DNC cut the FL delegation in half and seated as is, with the Edwards delegates as free agents.

How many did Edwards get in Florida? And how should we handle the Super Delegates from Florida?

I think Edwards got 13 in FL - although that may be too high.

Regarding supers, I think it makes a lot of sense to say they don't get their votes as part of the punishment to the state. It makes more sense to punish the leadership than it does the people anyway.

The popular vote breakdown was:
Clinton 50%
Obama 35%
Edwards 14%
Kucinich 1%
I don't know whether there was the usual 15% "viability" threshold, which Edwards and Kucinich obviously failed to reach. If so, I'm not sure how their combined 15% would get split.
Regardless, I maintain the best solution, the one that seems most fair - real and perceived - is to cut the 210 in half (just like the GOP did) and seat them proportionally:
Clinton 53
Obama 37
Edwards + Kucinich (uncommitted) 15
Thus, if Obama were to wrap things up before the convention, the 53 Clinton dels could vote for her on the first ballot, and the 15 "uncommitted" dels could join with Obama's 37 dels on the first ballot, resulting in the much-vaunted 50/50 split.

The popular vote breakdown was:
Clinton 50%
Obama 35%
Edwards 14%
Kucinich 1%
I don't know whether there was the usual 15% "viability" threshold, which Edwards and Kucinich obviously failed to reach. If so, I'm not sure how their combined 15% would get split.
Regardless, I maintain the best solution, the one that seems most fair - real and perceived - is to cut the 210 in half (just like the GOP did) and seat them proportionally:
Clinton 53
Obama 37
Edwards + Kucinich (uncommitted) 15
Thus, if Obama were to wrap things up before the convention, the 53 Clinton dels could vote for her on the first ballot, and the 15 "uncommitted" dels could join with Obama's 37 dels on the first ballot, resulting in the much-vaunted 50/50 split.

First they give us Bush, and now this whole mess.

Enough is enough. There's only one solution.

Give Florida back to Spain, immediately. Tell them it was broken when we got it, and demand our five million dollars back. I just hope we can find the receipt.

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Now that is 21st century business solutions for middle American middle class blue collar beer drinkers!

Shorter: Brilliant!

I like how she tries to slip in that Iowa/NH/NV moved their dates without mentioning that THEY moved because FL and MI were trying to move.

Iowa/NH/NV petitioned the DNC commitee for waivers that allowed them to move their dates and the waivers were approved.

It's a half truth but damn does it sound juicy to anybody not paying FULL attention.

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So the DNC would waive the rules to preserve Iowa's and New Hampshire's unfair advantage but the rules have to be strictly applied to Michigan and Florida? In ways that disenfranchise the voters of both states?

And, yes, 50/50 is just another way to disenfranchise these voters. They might as well not have voted.

Apparently someone in Florida finally got tired of being the butt of every election joke.

Split-em and seat-em!

I like how she tries to slip in that Iowa/NH/NV moved their dates without mentioning that THEY moved because FL and MI were trying to move.

Iowa/NH/NV petitioned the DNC commitee for waivers that allowed them to move their dates and the waivers were approved.

It's a half truth but damn does it sound juicy to anybody not paying FULL attention.

sexcellent

Wow. Finality. Whodathunkit.

Well, let's see where this goes, then. My money is on 50/50.

I think that's right. At least if I'm Obama I only agree to 50/50 since the earlier election was unsanctioned. It's the ONLY win-win situation short of a re-vote.

I don't believe 50/50 is fair to Clinton, and even if I did, it has too much spin potential. A halving of the delegates would be a fair compromise of a bad situation. The will of the Floridian voters, such as it was expressed in an unsanctioned contest, should count for something -- but the FDP needs a consequence in some form.

Halving their delegates but keeping the percentage intact doesn't serve either candidate to the full extent of their wishes, but at least rewards those who came out to vote.

Not sure how it's unfair to Clinton other than in the sense that she won't gain from the unsanctioned event. You wouldn't be arguing that she should get the benefit of a beauty contest, would you? That's a VERY Clintonian argument. Like, Michigan was a fair contest and should count too. No one told Obama to take his name off the ballot. Right?

Seriously, I'd like to think that at the end of the day we can all agree that seating the Florida delegate without rewarding any parties malfeasance is in the best interest of party unity. No candidate can claim foul and Florida delegates are seated.

Win-Win.

TaraV already covered what I'd say, but I'll expound:

Both names were on the ballot. Yes, it was a pointless beauty contest, but Obama people had an equal ability to go out and vote. More of Clinton's people showed up, and whether it's due to her name recognition or that more of them were vested in the down ballot issues, if we're going to be advocates of math then let us be advocates of math.

Throw her a bone in FL -- it's not worth fighting over. Splitting the delegates is just as "disenfranchizing" as not counting them at all because in both cases you aren't considering how people voted.

Punish the party, but don't punish the people. That is what will bite us in the ass in the general, and that is what the Clinton camp will run with and yell about come convention time.

It's the ONLY win-win situation short of a re-vote.

It's the only situation that doesn't favor one candidate over the other. Since both would shriek bloody murder at the slightest hint of favoritism, it is the only way to seat the delegates without getting bogged down in infighting.

I disagree. I think he get to be magnanimous and seat them at 50% each with the current allocation. She nets +19. You can do that when you are ahead by +167.

Then FL goes away and we revote MI, which was always the bigger problem anyway. At worst that state splits its delegates.

Wow, the math just got a lot easier...

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The superdelegates are the real reason for FL and MI. She gets a MUCH bigger net gain with the FL and MI being seated than any pick up in the pledged delegates form those states. That has been what this has always been about for her campaign. She wants her 8 superdelegates from Florida and 7 from Michigan seated.

That would net her 10 delegates right there.

Halve the supers, too (though may have to eliminate some rather than have any given super worth .5 votes.

Florida won't hold a revote...Thank God!

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Um, a question for someone following this more closely than I have: To what exactly is Thurman referring when she says that other states violated the calendar? All I remember is that the early states had to shuffle to maintain their early places in the face of the threats from MI and FL.

You remember correctly. The first four moved their primaries, either to stay ahead of MI/FL, or to separate theirs out a day or two from MI/FL. The reason why they didn't get stripped of delegates is simple -- they requested and received permission from the DNC.

Donna, the short answer is the only the DNC can approve the calendar and only four states were allowed to go before Super Tuesday. MI and FL were not on that list. The approved four had to push back their votes to get in early.

The entire state of Florida is sexist. Look at it... it's a big dong!

If you go 50/50 with the vote, what about the superdelegates? Maybe give each superdelegate a 1/2 vote? ---------- If they come up with a truly reasonable solution, maybe Michigan would opt for it also instead of an expensive primary. The sooner all this can end, the better.

If you go 50/50 with the vote, what about the superdelegates? Maybe give each superdelegate a 1/2 vote?

My point of view is, since the superdelegate votes aren't predicated on the outcome of an election contest (primary or caucus), nothing should affect the seating of those delegates or their votes.

Whether one wants to punish them for putting the DNC through this is another matter, but that's how I look at it.

Not as expensive in MI. Plus in MI, the names were not even on the ballots. Private monies may end funding this revote in MI.

This is no way bad news for Hillary.

Howard Dean remains a total AH, incapable to take a firm stand. 170 unassailable delegates behind and Madam H keeps refering to the delegates that don't count in FL and MI to stay in the race.

No doubt, FL and MI will be seated. How? and How many? That's the question.

If Dean could just grow some balls and says:

Only half of the delegates would count and would be shared proportionate to overall popular vote- this thing can be rested.

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WTF are you raving about?

When has Dean not been firm that the rules be observed?

When has Dean not been firm that the rules be observed?

How about...NOW?

The longer he keeps his face in his ass and stays silent the difficult it will get. Hillary has already "legitimizing" illegitimate delegates of FL and MI. Wait until she wins PA.

It's time to draw the line in the sand NOW:
Seat half of the overall FL and MI delegates proportionate to overall popular vote (incl. FL and MI).

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What nonsense. Your reply is devoid of substantive content.

So after declaring the event unsanctioned, he awards half the delegates based on the unsanctioned event? Yeah, that makes sense. The event was unsanctioned and they couldn't agree to sanction a new event. Seat the delegates 50/50 and be done with it. It's neat, clean and lets Florida participate.

Even better, just don't seat them. Dean gave them a chance to get their shit together for a revote. Florida failed. Too bad.

Dean has balls out the wazoo. His stance has been, and remains, firm. To quote (forgive me if I screw up formatting):

[quote]
The rules, which were agreed to by the full DNC including representatives from Florida and Michigan over 18 months ago, allow for two options. First, either state can choose to resubmit a plan and run a process to select delegates to the convention; second, they can wait until this summer and appeal to the Convention Credentials Committee, which determines and resolves any outstanding questions about the seating of delegates.

We look forward to receiving their proposals should they decide to submit new delegate selection plans and will review those plans at that time. The Democratic Nominee will be determined in accordance with party rules, and out of respect for the presidential campaigns and the states that did not violate party rules, we are not going to change the rules in the middle of the game.[/quote]

Today's decision by Florida means they've chosen the latter options -- to go before the CCC after the final contest is held and decide on some compromise.

I say seat the Florida delegation as is... and good riddance to the screwy-ass state.

It's already trending Republican, and with McCain at the top of the GOP ticket it's bad prospects for either of the Democrats this year. Clinton does a little better because she rather self-servingly fought to 'make their votes count,' but unless I'm mistaken, current polls show both Clinton and Obama losing the state to McCain by a comfortable margin.

I want a roadmap to victory in November that doesn't run through Florida, or at least doesn't make it a major part of the route. Let the old people have their old man.

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And coult this possible be related to the disdain shown by the DNC for the right of the voters in Florida to be heard?

Maybe you might consider whether or not the right of the voters to be heard should trump the deisre of the DNC to preserve the favoritism shown to Iowa and New Hampshire?

Part of the reason Florida matters now is that it will matter in November, and nobody wants to give McCain the ability to run ads saying, "Floridians, the Democrats showed how little they care about you by taking away all your votes in their primary. So now you should repay them by not voting for them in November."

So how about duplicating the Republican's own response, which was to cut in half the number of delegates Florida (and Michigan) receive?

We should try to make it so that Florida isn't necessary come November, though it would be excellent to win it.

I could see halving Florida's delegate count. But Michigan was a joke of an election. They should revote, and they will.

So how about duplicating the Republican's own response, which was to cut in half the number of delegates Florida (and Michigan) receive?

This is what the DNC should have done as punishment instead. I think going forward, Florida will go 50/50.

No HRC trolls? A wonder when the news isn't so great for her, they conveniently vacate the premises. No Marginal Player, no Mikey500, no RaeK.

Paging idiotic ... ;-)

Florida. Why do we keep them in the Union again?

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The question is: Will they ever get an election right? You would think they were a state in russia for pete's sake.

What a mess. When the national party says "don't move up your primary, or we won't seat your delegates" you should probably listen.

If they get away with it, then won't all states move up their primaries next time?

They'll have to split them 50/50. What other choice is there? (And no, you Clinton supporters, what you're thinking isn't actually a realtistic choice.)

Also, there it would make no difference at the end of the day:

They should seat delegates not on 50/50 theory but based on the overall national popular vote which includes FL and MI. It says look we took your vote into the equation to seat the delagates.

It would make no difference at the end of the day, but they should seat delegates not on 50/50 theory but based on the overall national popular vote which includes FL and MI. It says look we took your vote into the equation to seat the delagates. Also they should cut the delegates into half to show they were serious.

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As an Obama supporter I'm good with splitting MI and FL according to the overall popular vote. Right now that is 50/50, with a slight edge to Obama.

Doing this stops her from claiming she "won" Florida and Michigan. It also ends this primary season sooner rather than later.

And ending this as soon as possible means we can get the Clinton's off the stage as soon as possible.

SPITZER FOR SENATE 2012!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

This is a crushing blow for HRC.

For one, no chance at getting to her "won the popular vote" meme, now. No one can count the votes in Florida toward the popular vote.

And no chance of gaining a delegate advantage, either. They'll either be split 50-50 or seated after the nomination is decided. Either way, bad news for the Monster.

You don't need to leave it blank. Just vote for Nader like the rest of the d-bag "liberals" who would rather see this country and the world spiral further down the drain due to immaturity and god knows what other kinds of mental problems.

Hillary to Bill: I coulda been somebody, Bill, I coulda been a contenda.

This really isn't good for either side. I hope the DNC has learned that revoking delegates may go a bit harsh for monkeying around with the primary schedule. Live and learn, I guess.

The DNC should of said if the state part wants to move up the primary then the state party gets to lose their delegates and not the voters. So I think the DNC should of just threaten to take away the super delegates.

Considering that mathematically it is still possible for Obama to win the nomination you'd have to wonder why so many of them don't want a re-vote or just want them split 50/50. They'd rather disenfranchise voters than risk a loss that would give Clinton the momentum in the final days of the nomination.

Should Obama win it will be a false win and many Dems will not accept him as the actual winner. He is Bush to Clinton's Gore. He will be an illegitimate nominee. Or to quote Nixon regarding Kennedy:"He stole it fair and square."

And in the Bush/Gore vein, I belive if they don't seat the delegates based on the primaries that lawsuits will be filed.

Sense is something you are not making!

McCain/Clinton '08!!!!!!!!!!!

He is the actual winner. He's been in the lead since Iowa, and he still is. He's winning in delegates, the popular vote, and crushing in fund raising. He has a bigger more energetic grassroots.

He has won, and Clinton has lost. She's not losing. She's already lost. Therefore, of the two of them, she's the only one who could conceivably steal this nomination. It already belongs to Obama, so he can't steal it.

And the only way there will be a lawsuit is if someone like you files it.

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He doesn't win until he wins the GE. Winning ugly in the primary may make that impossible.

Seat them at the Republican convention in Minneapolis!

McCain/Clinton '08!!!!!!!!!!!


Maybe France could kick in some support for Louisiana too. And Russia could take Ted Stevens. The possibilities are endless!

I think that a 50% delegate penalty for Florida is the only fair option left. If not that, then the entire Florida delegation must be seated, and Obama must take the hit. Florida voters cannot be disenfranchised. I'm appalled that other Obama supporters are so blind they can't see the folly in that. Even Obama himself said a few months ago that one way or another Florida delegates will be seated (that was before he expected a virtual delegate tie).

An Obama supporter, so don't flame me, okay?

Yeah they will most likely be seated once Hillary has conceded.

I actually think - regardless of the Dem letter that went out to voters asking them to get on board in unison behind the eventual nominee against McCain - you're right.

F' Florida and F' Michigan.... and if HRC gets on the bandstand any longer stand up and say (rightly so).... "where was Hillary when this ruling came down 18 months ago? She didn't give a damn about that vote, or the committees decision. She even supported it back then. If you want someone who only has your back when it helps her, HRC is the obvious choice. Its just like her stance on the Iraq. When it was popular to support it, and winning favors from the Bush administration helped her campaign, she's practically loading the rifles. This even after her 10 years of 'experience' years of successful sanctions against Iraq"

I think Obama has to start playing the victory card. This primary contest is over..... getting further drawn into the primary takes his messaging off the big win, against McCain.

Psyched he's dealing with the Race card and Wright thing tomorrow.... I bet its an amazing speech.

Bill?

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What should be done is to seat the Florida pledged delegates according to the January vote but don't seat the super delegates from Florida as punishment.

Its not going to matter though. Obama is the nominee. The only question is how much damage Clinton will inflict on the party before its official.

Why don't Florida just go and have their general election early too... Oh wait, the law won't allow it!

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You know, after all the whining the Clinton campaign has done about Florida and Michigan, I wanted to see what this decision to not hold a re-vote in Florida has actually cost her. And boy was I surprised...either I never knew or forgot that she only took 50% of the vote in the (non)primary. Obama got 33%, and Edwards got 14%. Which to my eye looks an awful lot like at best, with a complete re-vote, she could have gotten 67% (assuming none of her voters or Obama's have switched alliances in the meantime and she gets the votes of everyone who voted for someone other than her or Obama the first time around). So at best she would have gotten 124 of the state's 185 delegates with the other 61 going to Obama, netting her 63 delegates - which would still leave him over 100 in the lead.

But let's be real. No way would she pick up all the votes not cast for her or Obama the first time around. A much more likely scenario would find her getting half of those votes to lead by 58.5% to Obama's 41.5%, getting 108 delegates to Obama's 77, for a net gain of 41 - putting her 120 delegates out of the lead.

Considering she only got 55% of the vote in Michigan despite being the only name on the ballot, it's a safe bet that she would (and may still) net zero additional delegates from Michigan, and more likely, given her weak showing in the primary, will lose ground.

Suppose Obama was in a magnanimous mood and announced no objection to seating the full Democratic delegation from Florida, and the DNC went along...Hillary would probably net fewer delegates than if a revote was held, because there would be the gratitude factor on the part of those delegates currently pledged to other candidates who are no longer in the race. But even if she tied the result of the most likely re-vote scenario outlined above and netted 41 delegates, she would have to get 80% of the PA vote to draw even with Obama on the delegate count - and that's not taking into consideration any of the other states that have yet to vote. And given that it's unlikely that Obama will suggest or the DNC will accept seating the full Florida delegation, she's going to net at most 20 delegates there... which means even a 90% win in PA won't put her in the lead.

The bottom line is that this thing has been over for awhile, and re-voting would not have changed the outcome. All the re-vote speculation has done is to throw a smokescreen over the fact that the race is over and give the Clinton campaign some extra time to try to beg, borrow, or steal the delegates needed to win the nomination. Now that Florida has declared "no" on the re-vote, that smokescreen is going to dissipate fairly quickly.

If Obama wins the nomination by disenfranchising millions of voters in Florida his candidacy will be a worthless, undemocratic sham and he will lose in November.

In 1980 the state of Wisconsin violated National Democratic Party rules by having an open primary. The National Party said that Wisconsin's delegation would not be seated. The state party sued the national party to force them to seat the delegation, and the Wisconsin Supreme Court ruled in their favor. Then the US Supreme court over ruled and stayed that decision. But in the end, the Wisconsin delegation was seated and today many states have open primaries.

He's not disenfranchising voters. Please read the story in its entirety.

What did Obama have anything to do with this? Please, besides the history lesson, can you state your case as to why Obama's to blame here?

Makes my voting. Don't count me and then don't count on me. No money, no vote in November. You get what you wish for.

How about blaming the legislature in your state, and not the Democratic candidate, who had nothing to do with it?


Rules are rules! Unless they don't favor Hillary, in which case they are suggestions!

McCain/Clinton '08!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

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Ok lovers of the clintons, why are they always trying to prevent people from voting? I don't get it. I thought that was a republican thing. I saw some posts about the clintons whining about texas. I didn't know what the issue was so I had to do a search. Gee, what a surprise there is no post on TPM. Anyway, they wanted the texas dem party to "verify" caucus goer signatures, which would cost a small fortune. WTF???????

Let's see, they filed a lawsuit to try to prevent caucus's from proceeding in nevada, they tried to prevent students in iowa from voting . . . . Is Von Spasky on the clintons' payroll? Next thing you know they'll be doing caging in the upcoming primaries. Unbelievable.

They are so gd republican. I wish they were running in the republican primary. I really do. This is sooooo Pathetic.

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Obama isn't really disenfrachising anybody, the state party is. The Florida Democratic Party knew the rules, knew the consequences of breaking them, and did it anyway. The fault for this mess lies with them, not any of the candidates.

Besides, it seems to me that a candidate staking their presidential bid on a couple of the larger states is, in a way, disenfranchising the rest of the country, i.e. "the only states that matter are the ones that will win me the presidency". Just a thought.

Obama won't have won the nomination by disenfranchising millions, he'll have won despite that fact.

It's not his fault Florida knowingly broke the rules. It's not his fault the DNC rules Florida's results wouldn't count.

It's not his fault Florida knowingly broke the rules.

Is he actively working to disqualify the IA, NH and SC results as well?

When this committee stripped us of 100% of our delegates last year, some members summed up their reasoning by saying, "The rules are the rules." Unfortunately, the rules did not apply to Iowa, New Hampshire and South Carolina when they, too, violated the DNC calendar by moving from their assigned dates.

To reiterate AudaciousOne's earlier comment: "Iowa/NH/NV petitioned the DNC committee for waivers that allowed them to move their dates and the waivers were approved." I think Audacious actually meant SC (not NV), but you get the point.

MI and FL did not. There's a difference there.

I thought that was a well thought-out letter to the Florida Dems. Ms. Thurman stressed the importance of going to the polls in November to vote Democratic. This is imperative. While she did not mention the Supreme Court, she did mention four years of McCain is akin to a third Bush term. (spit) One more justice in the mold of Roberts or Alito, and we're screwed. Florida voters, go vote Democratic come November. Our future depends on it.

testing

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No one has to wonder that Obama is the source of all this divisiveness and race baiting.

Just look at the arrogance and vitriol of his supportors who feel an entitlement to both (1) divisness and (2) race baiting.

There is your proof it is Obama who has been destroying the Democratic Party. Just look at what his supporters continue to right.It is time to move away from this destructive person before he brings down the entire election. Nice way to go, Obama.

hehe, "right."

But seriously, to what comment are you specifically referring?

I hope you're being sarcastic.

Obama was baited into this spiral of negativity by a truly divisive opponent who started running scared when she saw the seams coming apart and a poorly-conceived campaign strategy.

What's more divisive: courting all votes - big states and small OR calling small states boutiques and claiming only the big states count?

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Obviously some people aren't reading the comments.

Florida hasn't been disenfranchised at this point. They've voted. They will not be "disenfranchised until and unless they are not allowed to seat a delegation at the convention. The most likely scenario at this point is that they will get to seat half their delegation in accordance with DNC rules. I say most likely because I do think the DNC will reverse their decision stripping the state of all its delegates. But it won't get better than seating half of them.

Clinton gets to keep her victory in Florida, though as I outlined above, revote or no, seat the entire delegation or half, it's not going to really help her.

Did you see that Monster today in that green scarf? Not only did I shit myself, but I barfed up a perfectly good Guinness, too.

I see this as a bird in the hand for Clinton, and two in the bush for Obama.

If there is no revote, it gives some weight to the current slate of delegates as the only fair assessment of Florida's intentions.

On the other hand, if they are not going to be seated as is, it chops a bunch of votes away from Clinton's claim to the popular vote lead, and it kills her chance of mounting a string of late victories to catch Obama in delegates. Even if it is decided to seat them as is, Obama will start to pull away again after Pennsylvania, and Clinton will have run out of ways to catch up.

I hope the Democrats can navigate this to the finish line, but what Florida obviously needs more than anything is a reinvigorated state party. I didn't know that the bill setting the January date was named "537" in honour of Bush's victory, and it makes me angry that those buffoons obviously knew what they were doing and did it deliberately.

It's made me happy to see via the internet that Texas residents responded to Republican gerrymandering in their state by resolving to turf out the lot of them, and I rejoice in their success so far and hope very much that they can finish the job. Win or lose in November, Florida Democrats need to do the same. Only one thing will wipe the smirk of those people's faces, and that's spending the next decade on the minority bench.

Where is this story?

"The mostly unnoticed switch of Puerto Rico from a caucus on June 7 to a primary on June 1, gives Hillary Clinton a very real opportunity to surpass Barack Obama in the popular vote count. If Senator Clinton can "win" the popular vote, this will provide undecided superdelegates ample rationale to go with the less risky general election option of Senator Clinton. "


Why does TPMeC have up a story on how and when this happened?

The problem, however, (and I suspect you already understand this) is that a contest where you can't campaign to let the voters get to know you, will ALWAYS favor the one with the higher name recognition, etc.

A first-term US Senator vs a 2-term First Lady with a major high profile in the Democratic Leadership. That's not really fair contest.

Obama's number increase dramatically when he goes in and starts campaigning. When his team builds GOTV operations, phone banking, and advertising.

How would you think the election would have turned out if we just voted in every state without any campaigning??

Yeah, GOTV worked real well in California, Massachusetts, Texas and Ohio. I think Ted Kennedy was the super-double-secret weapon.

And it's too bad they confiscated all the TVs and internets in Florida so they couldn't see the Oprah-thon 2 states away or hear the debates and campaigning for the previous 6 months and the first 3 contests that month. Because Obama was just so unknown that it's surprising anyone voted for him at all. Unlike in Pennsylvania where he's likely to get at least 40% of the vote now that they have a chance to get to know him, as compared to Florida last time where he and Edwards gathered 47%.

But with a chance to woo the Hispanic vote, he should get at least 35% like he did in Texas or at a minimum his 32% in California!!! And Jewish voters in Florida will likely come out in droves for him now that the last week has showcased Obama and his TUCC congregation - Jews heart religious people, and shucks, our religions share the same roots - what could be more uniting! And with all those snowbirds in Florida? Obama should get at least 34% of the 65+ vote like he did in Texas, or certainly at least 29% like he did in Ohio!!!

See, unlike with Hillary, voters really warm up to Obama once they get to know him.

Well maybe Publicus she is a Coniving IRON BITCH
that will say or do anything to WIN!!!
1.She will LIE
2.She will CHEAT
3.If 1&2 don`t work she will do a sneaky underhanded attack and STEAL the Election!!!
4.She is UGLY
5.People who get close to her have a nasty habit of disappearing and other things as well.

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Dragon: TAKE YOUR MEDS

We Floridans secede... to Cuba. We always hated Math.

After reading the initial post and the subsequent replies, I have to wonder, Are there any grown-ups in the room? Howard Dean is trying to be an "honest broker" in all of this. However, he fails in that role for the reason he has to deny reality to do so.

HRC cannot, and will not, be the Democratic nominee. The Democratic Party needs an adult to speak to the truth to HRC for good of the country and the Party. HRC had her chance in 2004 and she didn't have the gonads to run against GWB. This is 2008 and she, like McCain, is now irrevelant in the American political equation.

It is, also, time for older white women to realize that they are no longer relevant. I realize that is difficult for the likes of Geraldine Ferraro. I am part of that old generation. However, I have come accept my role as an party elder... I realize the party does not revolve around me... Neither HRC, nor Ferraro, have come to grips with that reality...

On a personal note, I will really be pleased that when I'm being lowered into my 6-foot hole in the ground in the next 6 months that my country has been handed over to a new generation without all the 1960s psychosis of an HRC.

Thank God! Why should be give HRC another chance to steal the nomination?

I really can't believe the party leaders, many of them superdelegates, are going to let this thing go to all the way to the convetion.

If determining the fate of the Florida delegates is being delayed till then, then this is definatley very bad news for the Clinton campaign.

Trying to sign up the vast majority of superdelgates, her only hope at this point, just became a much harder task (and it wasn't looking likely even before this news).

http://100reasonsnottovoteforhillaryclinton.blogspot.com/

Is he actively working to disqualify the IA, NH and SC results as well?

Why should he when those states had waivers from the DNC? Why did they get waivers? Because of Florida and Michigan moving their date up, and these state were approved by the DNC to be the first states to hold their primary/caucus.

This argument of yours is a red herring. Those states moved their dates up, with permission of the DNC, because of the actions of Florida and Michigan. Nice Clintonista Talking Point though, but No Sale.

On top of this, the Florida Democrats sponsored the bill to move the date up, with a nod and a wink to the Republicans for passage. There is a nice clip on YouTube showing that they knew exactly what they were doing, no Republicans shoved it down their throats, they did this willingly.

Trying to hang this on Obama is another Clintonista Talking Point. Hillary wanted to front load the primaries with the 'big states', and shut her competition down immediately so she could cruise to an easy primary victory. But it seems that she came up against someone who would not play her (and the DLC) game of 50%+1. Instead, he went to all of the states with the exception of Florida and Michigan, as per the pledge that both Clinton and himself signed, and he campaigned for votes the old fashioned way. He asked for them and gave damn good reasons why we should consider him.

It is ironic that Clinton and her supporters are calling for sympathy for the 'poor, disenfranchised people of Florida', calling for their votes to be counted, yet Hillary and her supporters dismiss 'small states' out of hand since they do not matter to them. It is just another example of Clinton Rules; if it is good for them and bad for their opponent(s), then it must be right and fair.

So people of Iowa, Idaho, Mississippi and all the other 'small states', what do you think of Hillary and her supporters saying that Floridians matter more than you do? They dismiss you out of hand while embracing another state, but hey!, she is a great candidate! Not.

The reality is that Hillary does not care about anyone but herself and her immediate family and friends. The rest of us matter to her only if we are going to vote for her. And with this attitude, you can bet that if she wins the primary and the general, she will dump on everyone she has to, just like when hubby Bill was in office.

This is over, Hillary has lost using every metric that matters, and she is only delaying the inevitable in the unlikely event that Obama implodes. The fat lady is going hoarse from the endless singing.

You get a 2/10 on the troll-o-meter. Too obviously and deliberately nonsensical.

In all your vaunted states where Hillary won or kept it close thanks to Republicans and the senile, even in those, Obama cut her leads by double digits in the final week. So, yes, obviously, the more people see both of them, the more they like him over her. The fact that she held on to some victories doesn't change this, which you know; you're not that stupid, just a weak troll, Hillary Campaign Astroturfer #23.

Not to mention.... CA and MA will vote for any Democrat, Florida will not vote for any Democrat (even less of a chance than Kansas or Wyoming), Ohio will not vote for McCain. That leaves TX, out of your litany of the 15% of states where Hillary was anything but humiliated in the polling, which Obama won in case you hadn't heard.

In other words, get real.

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