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Zogby: Obama Ahead In California And Missouri
This morning's set of Zogby tracking polls shows Barack Obama with clear momentum in the key primary states, with apparent leads in both California and Missouri, plus a big one in Georgia:
California:
Obama 46% (+1)
Clinton 40% (-1)Georgia:
Obama 48% (+0)
Clinton 31% (+3)Missouri:
Obama 47% (+4)
Clinton 42% (-2)New Jersey:
Clinton 43% (+0)
Obama 43% (+1)
Zogby credits Obama's movement to a "big Sunday bounce," but we'll find out soon enough whether that keeps up into Monday and, most importantly, the Tuesday election itself.
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Woot!
Yes We can!
I must say that I was also big John Edwards fan and am greatly disappointed that he did not endorse before the 5th.
Keith
February 4, 2008 9:03 AM | Reply | Permalink
The latest from Zogby is useful in assesing momentum, but not much else. Full analysis here: http://tpmcafe.talkingpointsmemo.com/talk/2008/02/monday-morning-polling-wrapup.php
February 4, 2008 9:09 AM | Reply | Permalink
I'm ready to register Green Party. Our corporate media has given Democrats the only 2 candidates capable of losing to McCain, and willing to leave the military budget in the stratosphere.
February 4, 2008 9:09 AM | Reply | Permalink
Obama drew an estimated 20,000 in St. Louis yesterday. It's looking more and more like the momentum of this "train of change" may be unstoppable.
February 4, 2008 9:10 AM | Reply | Permalink
I got a late start leaving the house for the rally, because my little boy was fussing. Long story short, the friends with whom I was going and my wife and I got there a few minutes before the rally was supposed to start (instead of hours in advance, as I had planned) and we were turned away. The Edward Jones dome is a huge venue for St Louis, and they were turning folks away at the doors. In other words, he did not just draw 20K people. He drew more than 20K, some of us just were not able to make it inside to show up on the counts. There is a huge and palpable excitement about the election tomrrow in my neighborhood. The windows of many of the shops I passed on the bus on the way in to work were peppered with Obama signs. I am feeling very encouraged and excited for tomorrow.
February 4, 2008 11:09 AM | Reply | Permalink
I got a late start leaving the house for the rally, because my little boy was fussing. Long story short, the friends with whom I was going and my wife and I got there a few minutes before the rally was supposed to start (instead of hours in advance, as I had planned) and we were turned away. The Edward Jones dome is a huge venue for St Louis, and they were turning folks away at the doors. In other words, he did not just draw 20K people. He drew more than 20K, some of us just were not able to make it inside to show up on the counts. There is a huge and palpable excitement about the election tomrrow in my neighborhood. The windows of many of the shops I passed on the bus on the way in to work were peppered with Obama signs. I am feeling very encouraged and excited for tomorrow.
February 4, 2008 11:09 AM | Reply | Permalink
All this says is the undecided are gonna swing these primaries something fierce!
May the best man/woman win. I just hope that it's Obama. :)
February 4, 2008 9:10 AM | Reply | Permalink
Wow, just wow. He drew 20,000 in freaking downtown wilmington delaware yesterday. Unbelievable. He's got the mo and it doesn't look like the clintons are inevitable.
This is my third or 4th try posting. Hope it sticks.
February 4, 2008 9:22 AM | Reply | Permalink
former stlounick:
Chuck, were you there at the Dome? I was making phone calls for Obama but reports were 20,000 low with the fire marshall estimating 25,000.
I was at an Obama phone bank last night. Obama volunteers are at the phones and canvassing neighborhoods to locate Obama supporters and to get them to the polls on Tuesday. There's been nothing from Hillary and I simply have no explanation for even the 42% who favor her.
I've been saying since October that I could not find the Hillary supporters here on the ground. I predict Missouri will go for Obama.
February 4, 2008 9:51 AM | Reply | Permalink
Check out this link:
http://news.yahoo.com/s/bloomberg/20080204/pl_bloomberg/aqivdvkpq3s;_ylt=Ao5bSd9fL51IH463Ncott8ys0NUE
I keep saying she is running in the wrong primary.
February 4, 2008 10:11 AM | Reply | Permalink
Given that Zogby has Romney leading big in California, I'm gonna take these numbers with a grain of salt. Still, I'm glad to see Obama with all the momentum. Typically, in a close race, momentum is the best indicator of where all those last minute undecided votes go.
February 4, 2008 10:57 AM | Reply | Permalink
This morning I called both Obama's and Clintons Sen. Offices asking if they plan to be on the floor to vote for the Amendment banning the Telecom Immunity. Neither office would say if they plan to be there for what could be one of the most important votes of the yr. If Barack does not show up to vote he will prove he is just another beltway politician and not a man of his word. As a former Edwards supporter who switched to Obama when John withdrew, I would have to rethink my vote in the Ca. Primary tomorrow if he isn't there. CNN is advertising a 4:00 live interview with Obama, the same time as Harry has said they will be voting. Prioritys matter.
February 4, 2008 11:20 AM | Reply | Permalink
Ok, off-topic, but another reason to vote for obama and against the clintons. This is a very good reason, among many.
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/david-rees/clinton-obama-and-clust_b_84811.html
February 4, 2008 11:44 AM | Reply | Permalink
Hillary praises John Edwards is WSJ essay
My Plan for Shared Prosperity
By HILLARY CLINTON
February 4, 2008; Page A15
Throughout my campaign, I have been listening to the voices of people across America. I met one man who told me, "I don't know what I did wrong. I got my education and I worked hard. I've been at the same company for 12 years now, but I've just been asked to train my successor because my job is moving to another country."
Another woman said to me, "I just can't make ends meet. My health care premiums have doubled, college tuition is up. How am I supposed to make it as a single mom?"
I am running for president to bring those voices to the White House and give people a chance to achieve the American Dream: having a good job, owning their own home and living with financial security. That means tackling our toughest challenges -- rising inequality, stagnating wages and a growing sense that too many middle class families are just one pink slip away from financial devastation.
My measure of economic success will never be a single, dry statistic. Rather, success means an economy that allows those at the bottom to work their way into the middle class, without pushing anyone out. It means leaving people better off when I finish than when I start. In short, success means an economy that shares its prosperity with all.
In the 1990s we saw how smart economic plans could help spur the economy to create 22 million new jobs and income growth across the board. For the past seven years we've seen the opposite. Corporate earnings have been impressive, but the average income of workers has declined. The typical household is paying $2,000 more in energy costs. Health care is nearly twice as expensive, with the number of uninsured rising to 47 million. Five million Americans have fallen into poverty.
Because of the Bush administration's neglect, the forces of globalization and technological change -- which should represent opportunities for economic growth -- have weakened America's great middle class.
Simply put, since 2001, our economy has failed the shared prosperity test, and we need decisive, experienced leadership to get us back on the right track.
As president, I will not hesitate to take swift, bold action to address our immediate challenges, starting with a strong stimulus package and a comprehensive solution to our housing crisis. And I will have a long-term economic plan that creates jobs, strengthens the middle class, and allows everyone to share in our economic growth.
- Shared prosperity means providing greater economic security and opportunity for middleclass families.
American families don't need new government bureaucracies; they need new tools to help them climb the economic ladder. This begins with health care, because rising costs erode workers' savings, make insurance less affordable, put businesses at a competitive disadvantage, and threaten our fiscal future.
And let's be clear: Unless we cover all Americans, we will never end the hidden tax that the uninsured pass on to the rest of us when they end up in the emergency room and we wind up footing the bill. Of all the candidates in either party, I have the most aggressive plan to lower health-care costs. It steps up prevention and chronic-care management, cuts unnecessary spending, creates electronic medical records, and ends health discrimination by insurers. And by providing sensible and generous health-care tax credits, I will ensure that everyone can afford to be covered.
Shared prosperity also means doing something about the cost of education. My plan will make college affordable again by more than doubling the Hope tax credit, increasing Pell grants, enacting more sensible loan repayment schedules, returning to direct loans with stable and low interest rates, and allowing those who perform community service or pursue a public interest career, like teaching, to get a break on college costs.
We must also encourage America's families to save. Research confirms that when you make savings easy and automatic, and give generous incentives to save, more people will save. So my American Retirement Accounts plan will offer up to $1,000 in matching tax cuts, and will give employers new incentives to automatically enroll their employees in savings accounts.
- Shared prosperity means addressing the root causes of poverty.
I thank John Edwards for his role in making poverty a central focus of this campaign. Ensuring that all Americans, especially our children, have a decent life is central to the goal of shared prosperity.
The cause of children in need has been the passion of my life, fueling my interest in early childhood education, foster care reform, and children's health care and combating poverty. It will be a top priority for my presidency.
We will fight for universal pre-school to close gaps in cognitive development. We will improve our schools by ending the unfunded mandate known as No Child Left Behind, investing in mentoring programs for at-risk middle schoolers, and cutting the black and Hispanic high-school drop out rate in half.
We will raise the minimum wage, expand the Earned Income Tax Credit (EITC), and pass the Employee Free Choice Act. We'll take on the issue of homelessness, particularly for our veterans. And I want to say directly to the people of New Orleans: We will not forget you. So long as any of our neighbors remain in poverty, our nation's commitment to the "pursuit of happiness" for all cannot be fulfilled.
- Shared prosperity means restoring a strong climate for investment, innovation and job creation.
As president, I will foster job creation by restoring America as the world's innovation superpower. I will double investments in basic and applied research, extend broadband throughout our country, and encourage more women and minorities to pursue careers in math, science and engineering.
In the face of high energy costs and a climate crisis, we can turn a grave challenge into a historic opportunity by developing green technologies and energy-efficiency solutions. That will drive productivity gains and help create at least five million new "green-collar" jobs over the next decade.
And finally, to restore a climate of investment, we must end the culture of waste. That is why I believe in making government more efficient and restoring fiscal responsibility so we can pay down the debt, quit borrowing money from countries like China, and deal with long-term challenges like Social Security. As a sign of that commitment, you can go to hillaryclinton.com and see exactly how I plan to pay for my economic plan.
If we listen to the voices of the American people, we can find common ground on solutions to provide economic security, fight poverty and move toward balanced budgets.
With shared responsibility we can have shared prosperity, and finally give all of our families the opportunities they need to live their dreams.
Mrs. Clinton is a Democratic senator from New York.
February 4, 2008 12:56 PM | Reply | Permalink
It can't hurt that all the news stations appear to have Obama's Super Bowl ad in heavy rotation. How's that for free advertising?
February 4, 2008 12:56 PM | Reply | Permalink
It can't hurt that all the news stations appear to have Obama's Super Bowl ad in heavy rotation. How's that for free advertising?
February 4, 2008 12:56 PM | Reply | Permalink
Hillary praises Edwards in WSJ commentary today.
Here is an excerpt:
My Plan for Shared Prosperity
By HILLARY CLINTON
February 4, 2008; Page A15
- Shared prosperity means addressing the root causes of poverty.
I thank John Edwards for his role in making poverty a central focus of this campaign. Ensuring that all Americans, especially our children, have a decent life is central to the goal of shared prosperity.
The cause of children in need has been the passion of my life, fueling my interest in early childhood education, foster care reform, and children's health care and combating poverty. It will be a top priority for my presidency.
We will fight for universal pre-school to close gaps in cognitive development. We will improve our schools by ending the unfunded mandate known as No Child Left Behind, investing in mentoring programs for at-risk middle schoolers, and cutting the black and Hispanic high-school drop out rate in half.
We will raise the minimum wage, expand the Earned Income Tax Credit (EITC), and pass the Employee Free Choice Act. We'll take on the issue of homelessness, particularly for our veterans. And I want to say directly to the people of New Orleans: We will not forget you. So long as any of our neighbors remain in poverty, our nation's commitment to the "pursuit of happiness" for all cannot be fulfilled.
February 4, 2008 1:29 PM | Reply | Permalink