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Chart: Polls In Super Tuesday States Show McCain Has It Made

Yesterday we brought you a roundup of Super Tuesday polls for the Democratic primaries. Today, we bring you the same for the Republicans.

The bottom line: John McCain has it made.

He leads in nearly every state, with Romney only having clear advantages in Massachusetts, Colorado and of course Utah. Huckabee runs well in some Southern states, but even then he'll probably lose a bunch to McCain. Compounding the trend for McCain, Rudy's former support will probably go almost entirely to him.

A complication: Republican primaries don't use uniform rules of delegate apportionment, like the Democrats do. Quite a few contests are winner-take-all, but many others are not. They do not use a proportional system, but instead distribute delegates by district (usually the same as House districts) and then accord all the district's delegates to the plurality winner.

What does that mean for the race? The Northeast — where McCain is strongest — is mostly winner-take-all. And where Mitt Romney and Mike Huckabee do manage some strength, it's often in states that distribute delegates either by district or even proportionally, meaning that the map alone gives McCain a big advantage.

In short, expect McCain to rack up a lot of delegates on Tuesday. He won't clinch the nomination outright, but he may build up an advantage so large that his nomination becomes a foregone conclusion.

Check out our poll chart and further analysis after the jump.

Alabama — Tie Between McCain and Huck: The most recent poll, conducted before Florida, made it an even 27%-27% race, with Romney at 15%. Huckabee's strength among evangelicals could help him win in the Deep South, or McCain's overall momentum will clinch this one. It could go either way. Total Delegates: 45, By district.

Alaska — Unknown: There has been no recent poll in this state, so it's hard to know exactly what the situation is. Huckabee has the support of longtime Congressman Don Young — but given Young's ethical problems as of late, that might not be such a great help. We'll see what happens on Tuesday. Total Delegates: 26, Proportional.

Arizona — McCain Way Ahead: McCain will easily win his home state's winner-take-all primary. Total Delegates: 50, WTA.

Arkansas — Huckabee Favored: There has been no recent polling here, but you have to figure Mike Huckabee will run well in the state where he was governor for over ten years. Total Delegates: 31, by district.

California — McCain Ahead: Recent poll has given McCain leads of around ten points, though the most recent one shows the race against MItt Romney to be a bit tighter. However, McCain should get a huge boost from the support of Arnold Schwarzenegger as well as Rudy Giuliani, who himself had been previously running strong here. Total Delegates: 170, by district.

Colorado — Romney Way Ahead: The most recent poll shows Romney ahead of McCain by 19 points. This makes sense in the context of right-wing opposition to McCain on immigration — after all, this state is the land of Tancredo. Total Delegates: 43, proportional.

Connecticut — McCain Way Ahead: Mitt Romney might have Massachusetts in his corner, but it looks like the rest of New England is McCain country. McCain most notable Connecticut endorsement is none other than Joe Lieberman, and he's also supported by Gov. Jodi Rell. Total Delegates: 27, WTA.

Delaware — Unknown: There has been no recent polling Delaware so we honestly don't know what's happening. Mitt Romney's pitch might work with state businesses, but you have to think McCain has the overall momentum. Total Delegates: 15, WTA.

Georgia — Close Race: Polling from as recently as a week ago gave Mike Huckabee a double-digit lead, but the latest polls have McCain or Romney narrowly ahead. McCain has picked up the support of both the state's Senators, while Romney has a few members of Congress and Huckabee is relying on the evangelic vote. Total Delegates: 69, by district.

Illinois — McCain Narrowly Ahead: John McCain has taken a single-digit lead in recent polls here, aided by a combination of his momentum and the support of such prominent Illinois politicians as former Gov. Jim Edgar. Former Speaker Dennis Hastert, a longtime McCain antagonist, is aggressively backing Romney. One variable: The special election primary in Hastert's district may cause higher turnout relative to the rest of the state. Total Delegates: 67, by district.

Massachusetts — Romney Way Ahead: — Mitt Romney should have no trouble winning a strong majority in his home state. But there's one problem for Mitt: The primary here is proportional, not winner-take-all. Thus John McCain will get some delegates in Massachusetts, while Romney won't get any from Arizona to balance it out. Total Delegates: 40, proportional.

Minnesota — McCain Ahead: A recent poll put McCain ahead by 2-1 against his closest competitor, Mike Huckabee. McCain has long had the backing of Gov. Tim Pawlenty, who may well end up on McCain's short list for vice president. Previous polling had put Rudy Giuliani ahead, but McCain rose as Rudy fell. Total Delegates: 38, by district.

Missouri — McCain Ahead: Recent polling has given John McCain the lead by four points over Romney and six points against Mike Huckabee. Romney made a good effort to court social conservatives, winning the endorsements of Gov. Matt Blunt and former Sen. Jim Talent, while Mike Huckabee is courting his usual base of working-class evangelicals. McCain's shot to the top is a very recent delopment.Total Delegates: 55, WTA.

Montana — Unknown: There has been no recent polling for the Montana caucus, but one can plausibly see any of the three candidates having some appeal here. If it comes down to just general awareness of the national race, McCain should win. If there's considerable doubt about him on illegal immigration, Romney or Huckabee could draw some votes. Total Delegates: 22, WTA.

New Jersey — McCain Way Ahead: Much of the state party establishment had been backing Giuliani, but with him gone they're all lining up for McCain. The latest poll puts him ahead 48%-25% here, where the state GOP is based around moderate suburban voters and not social conservatives. Total Delegates: 49, WTA.

New York — McCain Way Ahead: McCain was ahead of Romney 2-1 even before Rudy Giuliani dropped out, and Rudy's support has boosted him to a lead of nearly 35 points. The state Republican committee has also come in line, switching its endorsement from Rudy to McCain. Total Delegates: 98, WTA.

North Dakota — Unknown: There has been no recent polling —nor much attention by the candidates — in this small state. It might just come down to the national trend, favoring McCain. Total Delegates: 23, WTA.

Oklahoma — McCain Ahead: Mike Huckabee originally led in this Bible-Belt state, but the latest poll put John McCain ahead by nearly ten points. This was perhaps due in part to the endorsement of McCain by Sen. Tom Coburn, a champion of the religious right and a fellow anti-pork crusader. Total Delegates: 38, by district.

Tennessee — Close Race Between McCain And Huck: Native son Fred Thompson was originally running ahead here, but a recent poll put Mike Huckabee ahead, and another gave John McCain the lead. Another poll calls it as a statistical dead heat. This race may just come down to McCain as the national Republican candidate, versus Huckabee as the Southern Republican candidate. Total Delegates: 52, proportional and by district — WTA if one candidate gets over 50%.

Utah — Monolithically Mitt: Mitt Romney will win Utah, with its Mormon population, by an extraordinary margin. WTA Total Delegates: 33, WTA.

West Virginia — Unknown: There has been no polling here, with the delegates selected at a state convention rather than a primary or caucuses. But one might think Mitt Romney or Mike Huckabee would have a big opening her, as McCain's positions on global warming wouldn't go over too well in a coal state. Total Delegates: 27, WTA

Snapshot Of Most Recent Poll In Each State

StateNumbersPollsterDate
AlabamaHucakbee 27%, McCain 27%, Romney 15% ...RasmussenJan 25
AlaskaNo recent polls
ArizonaMcCain 40%, Romney 23%, Huckabee 9%Behavior ResearchJan 26
ArkansasNo recent polls
CaliforniaMcCain 32%, Romney 28%, Giuliani 14%RasmussenJan 30
ColoradoRomney 43%, McCain 24%, Huckabee 17% ...Mason-DixonJan 27
ConnecticutMcCain 54%, Romney 31% ...SurveyUSAFeb 1
DelawareNo recent polls
GeorgiaRomney 32%, McCain 31%, Huckabee 24% ...PPP (D)Jan 31
IllinoisMcCain 34%, Romney 26%, Huckabee 16% ...RasmussenJan 31
MassachusettsRomney 57%, McCain 34% ...SurveyUSAJan 31
MinnesotaMcCain 41%, Huckabee 22%, Romney 17% ...Univ. of MNJan 31
MissouriMcCain 34%, Romney 30%, Huckabee 28% ...SurveyUSAFeb 1
New JerseyMcCain 48%, Romney 25% ...SurveyUSAJan 31
New YorkMcCain 55%, Romney 21% ...SurveyUSAFeb 1
North DakotaNo recent polls
OklahomaMcCain 37%, Huckabee 28%, Romney 19% ...SurveyUSAJan 28
TennesseeHuckabee 30%, McCain 26%, Romney 22% ...PPP (D)Jan 29
UtahRomney 78% ...Dan JonesJan 10

40 Comments

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Read: McCain will be the Republican nominee like I've been saying all along. If we nominate Hillary, we are SCREWED. The only way we can win is to go with a candidate who can appeal to independents and even moderate Republicans, that person is obviously Obama. Betting on Hillary now is like betting on a three legged dog at a dog race.

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I am in broad agreement. I would not wish to say that I know that Clinton will lose against McCain, but I would feel very uneasy with that match-up.

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I agree with both above that Hilary is more vulnerable to McCain than Obama would be in the general, especially if you look at the debate last night where Obama took a few opportunities to challenge McCain (and the business dig on Romney) whereas Clinton I felt missed those opportunities to do the same.

I'm afraid of what the Republicans would do to Obama. I know it's a talking point to say Hillary would be defeated, but I think Hillary would easily match McCain on national security issues. There's too much doubt about Obama, particulary on that issue.

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Here's the one way I can think of that McCain doesn't cinch it Tuesday: Huckabee wins all the states where he's competitive (as might be abetted, in this scenario, by Romney scarcely trying in those places); Romney manages to win a few states beyond MA, UT, and CO (CA in particular would be key, if he could somehow pull it off); and though McCain wakes up on Wednesday with more delegates than anybody else, he's still nowhere close to the nomination. At that point Huckabee realizes that he's got no cash and most of his good states are already behind him, and he drops out. That leaves Romney to go one-on-one with McCain, blowing out his bank account on convincing Republicans that McCain can't be trusted, or what have you. In that admittedly unlikely scenario, Romney would still be breathing. Barely.

Wrongo, BluePuppy. Clinton v. McCain on Iraq looks like 'Democrat trying to say the same thing as Republican about war because they are weak and can only ape the Republicans'. Perfect example of my fear of what a Clinton candidacy would do: drag the party backwards, roll back the gains progressives have made within the party, and return the party to a position of weakness through unwillingness to articulate positions that clearly oppose Republican positions.

I don't see how McCain can win against either of the Democrats. Now, he's preaching to the choir, cut taxes to raise revenues, endless wars, etc., etc. In the general election, these arguments will not stand up to scrutiny, all we need to do is believe in our message and get it out there, every day.

Choose either of two excellent Democratic choices, it's ours to lose.

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I agree. Please consider:

1. 100 more years in Iraq

2. Bomb, bomb, bomb Iran (Beach Boys tune)

3. Photos of McCain hugging Bush

4. The meme: "McCain was imprisoned in a cage in VietNam for 5 years. Now he want to imprison the entire country in another pointless, endless war.

5. "There will be other wars" quote

6. The "McCain = unstable hothead" meme

7. Is it really the time to elect the oldest man ever to serve as President--and one with serious heath problems (cancer)? Is that what we need now? An old, sick man?

8. Republicans can't raise the money, can't turn out the voters.

The country is sick of war, sick of Bush. No way McCain can win. Even Ann Coulter wants to campaign for Hillary if McCain gets the Repub nod.

Obama. 080120. Turn the page.


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Given the voter's tendency to to muck with the 'will of the polls' this primary, perhaps we should wait until actual votes have been cast and counted before discussing doomsday scenarios here.

Besides, I tend to agree with the guest comment that the WH is ours to lose regardless of the opponent.

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Yep, mccain v. clinton and we have president mccain and status quo. Mccain v. obama and we have president obama and change. It's not really that complicated. I am really amazed that clinton people just don't see it.

On another note, some food for thought about the proposed clinton restoration. When the clintons took office in 1992 the dems had 258 reps and 57 senators. Clear majorities in both houses. In two years the dems lost the house and the senate as we all vividly remember, because of public dissatisfaction with the clintons' administration. In 1994, dems had 204 house members and 48 senators left and we got newt the nazi as the speaker. At the end of his term there were 211 house members and 45 senators left standing. A net loss of 47 house members and 11 senators!!!!!!!! That was really great for the democratic party and it took a war and the horrible administration of the king for the dems to partially recover 12 years later in 2006.

Please people remember the nightmare of the 90's and the damage to the dems. The clintons gave us newt, tom delay and the king. That was their legacy. Do we really want to relive this nightmare????? I don't.

I am really amazed that clinton people just don't see it.

I suspect that very often that's because they don't trust Obama to successfully contend with the GOP's mudslinging. I am not sure he can, either, even though on the whole I prefer him.

McCain will eat Obama alive. The back and forth now about Obama's lightweight background doesn't stand up to Clinton and is a complete joke compared to McCain. Consider a few points:
1. No international experience at all
2. Obama is an absentee chair of European subcommitee but hasn't even been to Europe or done anything in this commitee. (Plus, it appears that his overseas travel experience is minimal at best.)
3. Obama has ideas, even about Iraq and Iran, but has no substance behind them and no experience to back them up.
4. Obama has no legislative history to lay claim to.
5. As LA Times suggests, he's a pretty, Black face, with Muslim parentage to say this will restore U.S. credibility overseas. I can think of many, many ways that McCain will point out comparatively how pathetic this is.
6. Obama wants to give driver's licenses to illegal aliens. While McCain is moderate on addressing illegal immigration, he'll destroy Obama on this for so many reasons, first being national security.

Wow, I could go on but, well, I think the point is abundantly clear. Obama is not ready for the general election and will become a Dukakis-like failure.

Ah, the Keating Five! Some voters are too young to remember that caper. Charles Keating, a Big Man in Phoenix, owned a savings and loan that allegedly was part of the so-called "Daisy Chain" of S&Ls of which Michael Milken of Drexel, Burnham was in the center (see "The Predator's Ball" by WSJ reporter Connie Bruck). The members of the chain would trade junk bonds back and forth with each other, marking up a gain on each transaction to make their financial statements look good. Keating went further: he had his employees sell "certificates of deposit" to the account holders of his bank, most of whom were elderly, ill, ignorant and living on pensions, wirhout disclosing that unlike federal deposits, they weren't insured...Keating also sent appraisers out into the desert to overvalue vacant land which he then obtained by writing up a phony loan, booking phantom interest income on each loan to make his books look good and fool the feds. The Federal Home Loan Bank Board (popularly known as FLUBB), was stymied in trying to enforce its powers by a bloc of 5 senators of which John McCain (and Alan Cranston of California, who, as I recall, resigned from the Senate rather than undergo an Ethics Committee investigation), were members. OK. In either the 2000 or 2004 campaign, McCain was asked about the Keating Five, and replied, "I did a dumb thing." As Howard Duff used to say at the end of the Sam Spade radio program, "Period, end of report." McCain's lack of grasp of economic facts and realities rivals even George Bush's, whose "faith based" economics has driven us into a severe and growing deficit. Disastrous as it was, Bush at least had some business experience in oil. Finally, to wrap it up, Keating got off scott free. Judge Lance Ito (remember Ito and OJ's Dream Team?) erroneously instructed the Keating criminal jury that the prosecution did not have to prove actual involvement by Keating in the fraud committed by his employees...so the court of appeals reversed. A bit of history for our time. It shall come back.

I'm afraid of what the Republicans would do to Obama.

Fear of what the Republicans would do is exactly what has gotten the Democratic Party into its sorry state.

Really? Romney ahead in Utah? He probably won't need an ad by there with all the prophets campaigning for him.

Guest on Romney:

"Really? Romney ahead in Utah? He probably won't need an ad by there with all the prophets campaigning for him."

That comment adds nothing to this discussion and is very insensitive, especially in light of the fact that the funeral of LDS Church president Gordon B. Hinckley is tomorrow.

I know, I know, it's a free country and you can say anything you want to. But that doesn't mean that you should.

You may be right, except that McCain has promised endless wars. I'm not sure if that's what Americans want, but somehow I don't think so.

"I'm afraid of what the Republicans would do to Obama."

Obama will swamp them with independents. He brought in RURAL areas of Nevada. Obama can use John McCain's claim that we might be in Iraq for 100 or 1000 years with great effect. Hillary would always have hanging around her neck a version of "I voted for the war before I gave carefully worded speeches against it."

Sorry, for my insensitivity, but prophets and Jesus coming to America...well, it just seems frigging insane to me, not to mention the inherent racism and "Who let the dogs out?" photo shoot. The last thing we need right now is a president that belongs to a religio-nationalist cult. Thanks, but no thanks.

Condolences to Mr. Hinckley's family.

Ann Coulter would disagree with you. Look, you may be an Obama guy and good for you for it, but the electabilty argument is bogus.
Richard

I think Ms. Clinton could hurt Democratic candidates on the state level, in some, if not many of the states. As a candidate for state representative, my chances for election are enhanced, possibly, by having Obama as our candidate. I really believe that this is a change election. I will support The Democratic Candidate and campaign for either.
Kenneth D. Franks The Democratic Candidate for The Texas House of Representatives, Texas House District 9.

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I'm afraid of what the Republicans would do to Obama.

Technically, That makes you a coward. No offense.

One way or the other, the Dems are fated to make history this time around.

Look, this is easy: IF the Dems want to lock up the presidency, all they have to do is ONE simple thing - put egos aside and split the ticket.

If Obama wins the nom, he makes Hillary the VEEP; if Hillary wins the nom, she makes Obama the VEEP.

Either way, such a combo GUARANTEES the following:

1) The Dems win the general in the largest landslide in American history;

2) The Dems make history by having the first African-American president and female VEEP; OR

3) The Dems make history by having the first female president and African-American VEEP;

And IF they do NOT do this, there is a decent chance that the "Dream Ticket" that WOULD have won will result in an internally-polarized Dem party that LOSES AGAIN in the general.

Not really surprising that the Dems could suffer a stunning loss by letting egos get in the way and UNDERESTIMATING John McCain.

This is a no-brainer, folks. How BADLY dothe Dems want to retake the presidency!!??

How badly do WE want it?

prophets and Jesus coming to America...well, it just seems frigging insane to me
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During a trip to Tijuana, I was surprised to see a Chinese restaurant -- until I realized that it made as much sense for there to be one in Mexico as in California.
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Likewise, how is it more reasonable for prophets and Jesus to come to the mid-East than to America? Were not people in America also God's children in need of His word and His Son's ministry?

Republicans must vote for a candidate WITHOUT having to hold their noses!!

I'm very concerned the the GOP has a safe candidate for the general and Dems have to choose between two risky ones.

The GOP is going to keep the White House and I have to blame the rock star candidacy of Obama. Edwards should have been the alternative to Hillary but he was pushed out.

I agree. Be respectful.

The Clinton's didn't attempt to "triangulate" (read compromise) until after the 94 election. Perhaps it was the progressive attempts change health care and accept gays in the military that brought on fag Newton. You think Obama's progressive positions won't result in the same outcome?

McCain is a Cincinnatus who put down his plow to serve his country with honor. He's a hero. He'd make a great Secretary of Defense, in any administration.
But this isn't an empire that needs a militarist in charge, despite what Cheney, Rumsfeld, and other neocons would have us believe.
We have THIS country to worry about, first.
We need a president who can unite our people, and motivate our people, young and old, to get involved in the public sphere.
(Hillary would be okay at Health & Human Services, maybe, but judging by the performance of her crony Donna Shalala, the former head of HHS, there may be cause for worry. Shalala is involved in the UnitedHealth scandal, the gigantic fraud involving the backdating of stock options.)

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Guest:

Prophet's funeral or not, and regardless of your opinion of the LDS church... your comment displayed the utmost ignorance and fallaciousness.

No officials of the Mormon church, whatever you've read or heard, campaign for any candidate in any election race. I live in Utah and the only comments made within the church relate to the increased attention that the church is receiving due to Romney's campaign. Romney is rarely even mentioned by name.

Our governor, a prominent Mormon, commented long ago that he supports McCain, not Romney.

Romney is wildly popular in Utah because A) he is a Republican and B) he's a Mormon. No other push is necessary, especially when you consider that most Utahns are about as politically aware as the rest of the country. So while someone in another state elects someone because they'd like to have a beer with him, a Utahn may choose Romney because they want to share a crappy casserole with him. Or whatever.

Regarding your comments on Mormonism itself... if you're a Christian, I don't know why the concept of prophets is so bizarre to you. I mean, the Bible is the story of God's dealing with his people thru prophets, for thousands of years. So whether you believe in the Mormon prophet or not, the concept of prophets shouldn't be so foreign.

If you're NOT a Christian, then I don't know why Mormons are any more odd to you than other Christians. We all believe in prophets, just different ones in different eras (and a lot of the same ones, e.g., those in the Bible).

Jesus in the Americas... again, if you're a Christian, I don't see why Jesus being able to go to the Americas seems odd. Is he not capable? Does he not have the power? If you're not a Christian, then... again, in your view, Mormons shouldn't be any more crazy than other Christians.

As far as racism... by the strict definition, yes, I guess the church practiced racism. Black men could not obtain the priesthood, so there was an official racial divide. That's over. A few church members couldn't handle it and even left the church over it, but the vast majority are fine with it. Church leaders who made the decision speak of it with joy. And I re-enjoyed a comment from the prophet Gordon B. Hinckley that they ran on the news coverage of his death, during one of his talks to the men of the church: "No man who makes disparaging remarks concerning those of another race can consider himself a true disciple of Christ."

So however much you may dislike the church's history with regards to black people, it is overwhelmingly clear that nowadays, there is no racism in the church. It's just not there. The great, great majority consider all human beings to be children of God.

Yeah, Mitt's "who let the dogs out?" comment was stupid. I'm always quick to point out that he is in no way an official representative of the church.

In short (after saying it in long), your comments have been ignorant and false. The first half of your crack was fine; I mean, does the GOP race in Utah even really need to be polled? Romney has had it in the bag since he declared, and he doesn't have to do anything (I don't think I've seen any of his ads here). But his popularity here has nothing to do with any official church endorsement.

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Tee Gee,
I never implied that there was any official endorsement of Mitt in Utah. I merely implied that if the large majority of people there are crazy enough to believe in Mormonism, then, in their fervor for such superstitious hokum, they'll probably support Mitt.

"Jesus in the Americas... again, if you're a Christian, I don't see why Jesus being able to go to the Americas seems odd. Is he not capable? Does he not have the power?"

No, I am not a Christian. And two thousand years of history tells me that a carpenter from the Middle East who was executed at the age of thirty-three, probably did not come to America to shoot the shit with ancient Native Americans and teach them about underwear.

Anyhow, because I am a liberal I do believe strongly in religious freedom, freedom of expression, and freedom of speech. So do whatever the hell you want. I just don't want someone who believes in such incredible nonsense to be the president of this country. Thanks.

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Tee Gee,
I never implied that there was any official endorsement of Mitt in Utah. I merely implied that if the large majority of people there are crazy enough to believe in Mormonism, then, in their fervor for such superstitious hokum, they'll probably support Mitt.

"Jesus in the Americas... again, if you're a Christian, I don't see why Jesus being able to go to the Americas seems odd. Is he not capable? Does he not have the power?"

No, I am not a Christian. And two thousand years of history tells me that a carpenter from the Middle East who was executed at the age of thirty-three, probably did not come to America to shoot the shit with ancient Native Americans and teach them about underwear.

Anyhow, because I am a liberal I do believe strongly in religious freedom, freedom of expression, and freedom of speech. So do whatever the hell you want. I just don't want someone who believes in such incredible nonsense to be the president of this country. Thanks.

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Guest,

No, you actually did imply that there was official church endorsement of him: "He probably won't need an ad by there with all the prophets campaigning for him".

And "imply" is a pretty soft was of saying it. I mean, if someone is allegedly campaigning for someone, it's safe to say that they endorse that person. So you didn't really "imply" as much as "came write out and wrote it".

At any rate, I don't have a problem if someone doesn't want to vote for a mormon because of what they believe. I mean, isn't that pretty much what everyone does? If you don't like what someone believes, you don't vote for them.

But your initial comment said nothing of the sort. You simply said, "He probably won't need an ad by there with all the prophets campaigning for him".

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Guest,

Moreover, I don't think that many Utah mormons will vote for Romney due to their fervor over the "superstitious hokum". It's not as if they're hoping Romney will make Mormonism public policy (though I'm sure there are a few crazies that would like that).

Some people tend to vote for someone, I think, if they know that person shares their religious or spiritual beliefs. For the politically lazy/ignorant, it's the easiest way to vote: no thinking or analysis involved. I think that's crazy, because religious beliefs and political beliefs are two different things (or should be, at least). That's why I can't stand Romney. Double Guantanamo? Not on your life, Mitt.

But there are people everywhere that have even less sensible criteria for selecting a candidate. How many people are still waiting at the bar to have that beer with George W?

And... I've heard that Mormons don't have a majority in Utah anymore. I don't have statistics on hand, and while it seems questionable, they certainly don't have a "large majority". And I point THAT out... just to be contentious. (Here is where I would put a colon-parenthesis smiley face if I didn't hate them)

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(I don't know why my original reply didn't go thru, but it's still not there.)

You're right, guest, you didn't imply that there was any official endorsement of Mitt in Utah. You directly commented that there was official LDS Church endorsement of him: "He probably won't need an ad by there with all the prophets campaigning for him."

Campaigning for someone is a pretty strong endorsement of them... if you're actually campaigning for them, or even expressing support for them... which no prophet or general authorities of the church have done.

"As far as racism... by the strict definition, yes, I guess the church practiced racism."

Gee, ya think?

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Thanks for noting the obviousness of my statement. By certain aspects of church practice not being available to black people, yes, there was institutional racism. Duh, right?

Also please note that I have in no way implied that racism -- commonly understood to mean a dislike or intolerance of another race -- was practiced. There were black members of the church before they could hold the priesthood and there have been even more since then.

And I understand people's objections the church's former practices regarding black persons. Still, it's significant to me that many black people have determined that their faith in the church trumps that history.

Tee Gee,
I never implied that the prophets who are out campaigning for Mitt in Utah are doing so in an official capacity for the Mormon church. So, I absolutely did not imply or directly say that there was any official endorsement of Mitt by the church.

Anyhow, Mitt's Mormon faith is not the reason I would not vote for him. I will not vote for anyone who seems to me to be a religious extremist, including Mitt, Mike Huckabee, Joe LIEberman, Al Sharpton, Osama Bin Laden, or anyone.

The point is moot, anyhow, because Republicans seem to have chosen that incredible nitwit John McCain over Mitt.

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Up here in Boston, I re-registered as an independent specifically to vote for John McCain in the Republican primary. I am very curious to see how Mitt does up here on Tuesday. He has burned bridges with those that elected him here, crossover democrats and independents, I'm wondering what the blowback will be.
As I follow the campaign, I'm still amazed that nobody has called Mitt on his record as Gov. - he ran saying he would attract business to MA, he didn't, the state lost jobs. He went on a barnstorming tour to increase the number of Republican in the legislature, they lost seats. The Republican Party lost membership while he was Gov. I'm shocked that we haven't heard anything about how he and Ted Kennedy worked to kill the Cape Wind windfarm. Yes, energy independence is important, but not if it interferes with people's yachts.

A Call for Reason:

How best to know who is in the country illegally; give them a driver’s license?
My name is Franklin and I am a registered Floridian independent voter who voted Gore in 2000 and Bush in 2004.

The case against Mitt Romney:

I am surprised Romney does not walk with a limp. Having taken so many contrary positions, it must hurt a little. If it is said Kerry has no convictions, how then does one qualifies Romney? Who here can show one major conservative issue that Romney has not flopped and flipped over? Please make your case with reliable sources. Example: http://abcnews.go.com/Video/playerIndex?id=3453214 and http://www.ontheissues.org/Governor/Mitt_Romney_Abortion.htm and http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2006/12/09/AR2006120900837.html Mitt Romney is not honest with himself, and therefore will not be honest with us.

The case against Mike Huckabee:

It is clear he has not the intelligence and is in desperate need of a lesson and education on U.S. history, focusing on the Civil War http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lkR9VWUEQxM

The case for/against John McCain:

McCain has demonstrated that he does have convictions. He has taken unpopular positions at times without regard for political consequences; it takes an honest person to challenge and defend that which he/she believes to be right. But he wants to stay in Iraq for another 100 years. http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vf7HYoh9YMM and he wants to bomb Iran. http://www.news.com/2100-1025_3-6178173.html America cannot afford another unreasonable and unnecessary costly war. Although being born in the Panama Canal Zone, which is outside the United States of America, would not be an issue, McCain is also getting close to 100 years old.

The case against Hilarious Clinton:

Clearly, we know, yes we, know that Bill Clinton will be in charge in the White House. This is a scary thought for me, many relatives and friends. Clinton has zero self control. Hillary is plastic, scripted, and does not believe what she says. Let’s not forget she is extremely corrupt. http://prorev.com/wwindex.htm and http://www.judicialwatch.org/hillarywatch.shtml . She refuses to release the records pertaining to years at the white house in which she bases her 65 years experience. I wonder what she is hiding…

Barack Obama:

Obama has been in elected office longer than Clinton, but Clinton has been in Washington longer. Obama is clean and uncorrupt. It is important that we elect one who is not indebted to favor. Regarding Iraq, Obama perceived the danger in an unauthorized war that has left many young men and women including those with whom I graduated high school in the year 2000, dead and many more maimed. The truth is we should not wait to be attacked before we attack, but we ought to know our enemy. For the love of God, do some readings my fellow Americans http://www.dni.gov/press_releases/20071203_release.pdf On health care, Obama does not believe we should fine or arrest those who cannot afford mandated health care system contrary to Clinton and Romney. Obama believes we should keep an eye if not both on China. China is expanding militarily and is currently manipulating its currency which has tremendous impact on our economy. Energy is a major issue plaguing our economy today. Obama believes in alternative means such as clean coal, solar and possibly nuclear. http://www.barackobama.com/index.php Obama will be respected all around the world, especially in the Middle East where they need to see a different representation of politics. I am a Christian and yes we can. http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jjXyqcx-mYY

Franklin T

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