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Polls Show Dem Race Tightening In New Jersey
In a sign that she may be losing ground in a state that should have been in the bag for her, Hillary Clinton is now polling under 50% in four different polls of New Jersey, a state that is right next door to her home base of New York, and shares a media market. The numbers:
Quinnipiac: Clinton 48%, Obama 43%Strategic Vision (R): Clinton 47%, Obama 41%
Zogby: Clinton 43%, Obama 43%
Mason-Dixon: Clinton 47%, Obama 39%
New Jersey still has to be seen as leaning to Hillary, but Obama would pick up a fair share of delegates here if Hillary only has a narrow majority.
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These "promising" polls are nerve-wracking for Obama supporters. I hope we all act as if we're down by 10 points to Clinton.
The message to our friends and families should be: because of proportional representation, every vote counts.
February 4, 2008 10:22 AM | Reply | Permalink
Wow, its called the big mo. Maybe there was enough time between sc and super tuesday after all.
February 4, 2008 10:29 AM | Reply | Permalink
This site has become obsessed with polls, to the exclusion of any substantive reporting or discussions about real issues. If polls are this important, why not let them make our choices, instead of requiring voters to actually vote!
February 4, 2008 10:31 AM | Reply | Permalink
Another point - if Obama stays close in these east coast races, the storyline on CNN/MSNBC/etc... from 7:00 to 9:00 will be how Obama is fairing surprisingly well on Hillary's turf. At the very least, they won't be able to call any races for Hillary till late.
That would create a nice buzz for Obama at a time when polls in other states, especially California, are still open.
February 4, 2008 10:57 AM | Reply | Permalink
Hillary cries again; this time in Connecticut.
http://weblogs.chicagotribune.com/news/politics/blog/2008/02/clinton_crys_in_connecticut.html
Hillary Clinton cries in Connecticut
by Jason George
NEW HAVEN, Conn. – Sen. Hillary Clinton teared up this morning at an event at the Yale Child Study Center, where she worked while in law school in the early 1970s.
A doctor, who was introducing Clinton, began to choke up, leading Clinton's eyes to fill with tears, which she wiped out of her left eye. At the time, the doctor was saying how proud he was that sheepskin-coat, bell-bottom-wearing young woman he met in 1972 was now running for president.
"Well, I said I would not tear up; already we're not exactly on the path," Clinton said with emotion after the introduction.
Clinton is holding a roundtable discussion with Connecticut women to talk about childcare and healthcare.
When Clinton got misty-eyed at an event in New Hampshire on Jan. 7, politicos and pundits filled hours discussing if it helped her, and Clinton eventually pointed to the moment as when she "found her voice" and turned the corner in the Granite State.
At the time, there was much debate if the candidate was shedding genuine tears or if the emotional response was calculated.
Let the conversation begin again...
February 4, 2008 11:01 AM | Reply | Permalink
doubt crying can give a bump more than once or twice. long term it is not a good campaign stratagy.
February 4, 2008 11:26 AM | Reply | Permalink
If he comes within 10 points of HRC in New Jersey, it will already be a tough day for HRC's campaign. That is one state where she has (or had) to be counting on a large margin of victory.
February 4, 2008 11:54 AM | Reply | Permalink
I live and work in Princeton, NJ which was supposed to be a Hillary hotbed, but around here there seems to be a ton of Obama support. I know its not the best indicator, but I've seen 20 or so Obama yard signs and bumper stickers in the last few days, and 0 for Clinton (and this is in the town, not on the campus)
The weather is supposed to be bad here tomorrow, so what effect that will have will be interesting. Hopefully Obama's grassroots campaign will be able to overcome that.
February 4, 2008 12:36 PM | Reply | Permalink
I live and work in Princeton, NJ which was supposed to be a Hillary hotbed, but around here there seems to be a ton of Obama support. I know its not the best indicator, but I've seen 20 or so Obama yard signs and bumper stickers in the last few days, and 0 for Clinton (and this is in the town, not on the campus)
The weather is supposed to be bad here tomorrow, so what effect that will have will be interesting. Hopefully Obama's grassroots campaign will be able to overcome that.
February 4, 2008 12:37 PM | Reply | Permalink
These are the kind of crappy votes that I want to know about. Where is the news and the press on this kind of stuff? Another glaring reason not to vote for the clintons, but there is no gd press on this!!!!!! It's a gd outrage and I hope that this post sticks.
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/david-rees/clinton-obama-and-clust_b_84811.html
February 4, 2008 12:48 PM | Reply | Permalink
Test, I am tired of writing stuff and then it get's booted.
February 4, 2008 12:55 PM | Reply | Permalink
test
February 4, 2008 1:08 PM | Reply | Permalink
Ah, finally, I have been trying to post this for hours. This is the kind of information people should have in order to make a decision to vote for a candidate. Where is the press on this? Where is the voting record of clinton? I really want to know and people should know. This is a glaring reason NOT to vote for the clintons.
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/david-rees/clinton-obama-and-clust_b_84811.html
After a year of campaigning, why don't we have this kind of information??????
February 4, 2008 1:15 PM | Reply | Permalink
No matter how I feel about either of these lackluster candidates . . . I find myself a bit taken aback with the passion of the Obaminites.
They were infesting major street corners and waving signs during the drive time this morn . . . And soccer mommies with their spawn waving signs in front of two schools while parents were doing the drop-off thing.
Imagine if Obama were worth voting for . . . instead of being the choice you are choosing to vote against . . .
Sigh.
February 4, 2008 6:39 PM | Reply | Permalink
Monday about 7PM our South Jersey household got a recorded message from Rep. Steve Rothman (North Jersey & pro-Obama). The purpose of the call was to tell unaffiliated voters that they could indeed vote in the primary of their choice.
We've voted in NJ for 15 years and never knew this was possible. (Because NJ primaries were late and possibly meaningless?) I spent this morning driving to and from my son's college. He and I each voted in the Democratic primary. I'm going to leave my registration as a Democrat while my son plans to return to unaffiliate ASAP. My mom votes in upstate New York and said she had heard on the evening news that unaffiliated voters could vote in NYS, too.
I don't know how many others will find out and choose to vote, but if it's a large number things could be even more interesting.
February 5, 2008 2:15 PM | Reply | Permalink