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Polls: Obama Holds Small Edge In Wisconsin

Tomorrow is the big primary in Wisconsin, which could either give Barack Obama another consecutive win or be the site of Hillary Clinton's surprise comeback. It's also the last primary until March 4, when the big states of Ohio and Texas will vote, plus Rhode Island and Vermont — meaning that whoever wins this will get to claim the title of most recent winner, and any momentum that can come with it.

Here are some recent polls:

ARG: Clinton 49%, Obama 43% (Feb. 16)

Research 200: Obama 47%, Clinton 42% (Feb. 15)

Rasmussen: Obama 47%, Clinton 43% (Feb. 14)

Strategic Vision (R): Obama 45%, Clinton 41% (Feb. 13)

PPP (D): Obama 50%, Clinton 39% (Feb. 12)

The polls have a near consensus that Barack Obama is ahead here, but the lead is just small enough to keep us on the edges of our seats. The only outlier is American Research Group, who have had a pretty good record this cycle of getting it wrong.

So will Obama's lead hold up or even get bigger, thanks to big showings in Madison and Milwaukee, or will Hillary pull off an upset win on suburban votes? We'll all find out tomorrow night.

Late Update: A new PPP (D) poll gives Obama a 13-point lead.


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