Those numbers point to an Obama win, because he will probably end up getting 80 percent plus support of the African American Community.

If she had any decency she'd stop attacking Obama now and just leave after the 4th. Going into this she didn't just have to win Texas or Ohio, she had to win them both, and by a landslide. She can't do it, the math doesn't add up (Penn admits this), and Democrats will never let her hijack this with superdelegates (and she won't even be able to because they are all going with Obama now), so there is ZERO chance she can win. She needs to quit backstabbing the Democratic nominee and leave, now.

So in other words, it's in the bag for Obama. He's outperformed his polls significantly in recent races. As we all know, the more people see Hillary up close, the more they are reminded of why they never liked her. Conversely, the more people see Obama up close, the better he does.

I don't believe the numbers. PPP should be more open with their numbers. Based on my calculations they estimate the Hispanics vote at over 45% of the overall primary vote, and the white vote at a little over 10%. This is completely implausible, and skews the results heavily towards Clinton.

Calculations:
x=fraction of Hispanic vote
y=fraction of white vote
z=fraction of black vote

.66x + .27y + .44z = .48 (Clinton's numbers)
.27x + .73y + .51z = .48 (Obama's numbers)
x + y + z = 1 (total is 100%)

Solution:
x = .4868
y = .3947
z = .1184

"Are we seriously to understand that both Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama could be within striking distance of carrying Texas?"

Yep.

I'm eager to see how the map looks once all of the states have been polled and the primaries are done. The Republicans should still be ahead in a bunch of states, but it's looking like the Democrats are going to knock 10% or so off of their lead in a lot of the deep reds. Alabama seems to be the only exception so far.

Of course this means that the Republicans will either have to send their 72-year old candidate on a 50-state tour instead of a 30-state one, or risk having Mr. Popularity stump on his own in half the country. As Hillary Clinton can tell you, that's not such a good idea.

Is no one else shocked by those hispanic percentages?

I know we were always told that they loved her, but we were told lots of things that weren't the case. We've also seen lots of stories about how the tide was turning and that young hispanics, especially, were being Obamafied. But a 66%-27% lead being attributed to Clinton? That seems inexplicable to me without motives and trends that I haven't heard about. (I'm excluding here a crude anti-black prejudice that has been alleged among hispanics, but then we've also been told that whites won't vote for a black when it clearly is untrue.)

I just think that there is going to have to be a lot of "deal making" - maybe Obama wouldn't want the VP slot, but how could he resist? Why would he have to be "third wheel"?

But wait a minute. She's winning 27% of the black vote? How come no one is noticing that? As Ali once said: That can't be right.

Here is a cliff hanger. A very strong Edwards endorsement either way could tip the white male vote in Texas. It would have to be a persuasive argument for his choice and he would have to campaign -- but he could do it. Is this the moment Edwards has been waiting for? Will he declare right after the debate? Oh my. I finally found something to get excited about.

If...

Why, exactly, is it her time?

What goes up must come down
spinning wheel got to go round
Talking about your troubles it's a crying sin
Ride a painted pony
Let the spinning wheel spin

You got no money, and you, you got no home
Spinning wheel all alone
Talking about your troubles and you, you never learn
Ride a painted pony
let the spinning wheel turn

Did you find a directing sign
on the straight and narrow highway?
Would you mind a reflecting sign
Just let it shine within your mind
And show you the colours that are real

Someone is waiting just for you
spinning wheel is spinning true
Drop all your troubles, by the river side
Catch a painted pony
On the spinning wheel ride

Someone is waiting just for you
spinning wheel is spinning true
Drop all your troubles, by the river side
Ride a painted pony
Let the spinning wheel fly

As a Texan (and older woman who is supposed to be squarely in the Clinton camp but who is actually an Edwards supporter who could support either in Nov), I want to contribute my anecdotal evidence to the discussion about Texas. Obama will win in a walk. Everyone I talk to is voting for him. Older people who say they have never voted in a primary before are voting for him. Several people who are usually Republican have told me they are voting for him. My Latina sister-in-law loves him more than anyone I know. Most of the people who are waffling are friends who have always liked Hillary but don't think she'll win in Nov. In a red state like TX where the intensity of Clinton-hatred is sometimes scary, even those of us who respect Hillary think it would be wiser to go with Obama.

Could you tell me how Hillary Clinton lacks common decency if she exercises her right to continue with her candidacy for the nomination for as long as she likes?