Obama Wins Georgia
CNN calls Georgia for Obama.
Some interesting numbers that lend comfort to Obama: Obama won 86% of the African American vote, and in addition to that, he captured 39% of the white vote, according to MSNBC exit polls.
That's nearly double the 24% of the white vote he got in South Carolina.
Late Update: More key numbers from the Georgia exit polls: Among voters who decided in the last few days, Obama won, 50%-45%. So the undecideds seem to have broken towards Obama by a worthy margin.
Late Late Update: The Obama campaign points to the victory as proof of Obama's broadening coalition.
Still Later Update: Hillary wins Oklahoma and Tennessee, and Obama wins his home state of Illinois.
Even Later Update: Hillary wins Massachusetts. While this is a big repudiation of the Kennedy endorsement of Obama, keep in mind that Hillary was way ahead of Obama in polls in the state for some time.
Much Later Update: Hillary wins New Jersey, a state that the Obama camp had hoped to steal out from under her.
Could be a good night for Obama, we'll see. At any rate, it was nice to be watching MSNBC and see Pat Buchanon silenced on Obama's lack of support among southern whites.
February 5, 2008 7:30 PM | Reply | Permalink
hillmentum?
February 5, 2008 7:35 PM | Reply | Permalink
"Worthy margin?" Hardly.
If you assume that 10% of voters were undecided, a 50% to 45% split in favor of Obama accounts for a 0.5% increase in his support for the overall primary. If Obama was trailing Clinton by 1% before the undecideds decided, it still does not allow him to overcome.
February 5, 2008 7:36 PM | Reply | Permalink
Exit polls on Drudge:
OBAMA LEADS: Alabama: Obama 60, Clinton 37... Arizona: Obama 51, Clinton 45... Connecticut: Obama 53, Clinton 45... Delaware: Obama 56, Clinton 42... Georgia: Obama 75, Clinton 26... Illinois: Obama 70, Clinton 30... Massachusetts: Obama 50, Clinton 48... Missouri: Obama 50, Clinton 46... New Jersey: Obama 53, Clinton 47...
CLINTON LEADS: Arkansas: Clinton 72, Obama 26... California: Clinton 50, Obama 47... New York: Clinton 56, Obama 43... Oklahoma: Clinton 61, Obama 31... Tennessee: Clinton 52, Obama 41...
February 5, 2008 7:39 PM | Reply | Permalink
drudge???
February 5, 2008 7:57 PM | Reply | Permalink
OK, I'm being anal here. You mention that 39% is "nearly double" the 24% he got before. Double 24 is 48, not exactly close to 39. It would be better if you said 15 points higher than before.
February 5, 2008 7:41 PM | Reply | Permalink
allsburg, the margin was "worthy" enough. Besides, quibbling over the definitions of words is so very....Clintonesque. Hilmentum!!
February 5, 2008 7:41 PM | Reply | Permalink
I guess the Georgia voters don't get the Hallmark Channel.
February 5, 2008 7:47 PM | Reply | Permalink
These exit poll numbers are really no surprise. But, how will they match the actual votes once they get reported?
And even if these percents carry in other areas--giving Obama 80% or more of the Black vote and splitting the White vote still means he loses overall. But, it will be interesting to see how this plays out over the course of the evening.
February 5, 2008 7:50 PM | Reply | Permalink
So HRC has moved campaign headquarters to a location somewhere along de Nile? Oh, the tangled web we Weaver when we vote for Ms. Deceiver.
February 5, 2008 7:55 PM | Reply | Permalink
here's an interesting number...
Which candidate can unite the country?
Obama 66%
Clinton 27%
Hillmentum?
February 5, 2008 7:55 PM | Reply | Permalink
Run Obama! Run!
Let tonite be a symbol that inspiration and perspiration can bring about the change this country so desperately needs.
February 5, 2008 7:56 PM | Reply | Permalink
Hey Matthew,
I'll make a deal with you. If Hillary wins tonight, I'll grow a beard. If Obama wins tonight, you shave yours!
All in the spirit of Democratic Unity!
February 5, 2008 7:58 PM | Reply | Permalink
I'd love to believe that Obama's won but only 2% reporting isn't enough to call a race. We still don't know what the outcome will be and Georgians are crazy. so who knows.
February 5, 2008 8:04 PM | Reply | Permalink
Can see why Hillary wants all these debates now....
February 5, 2008 8:07 PM | Reply | Permalink
I guess they don't get the Hallmark Channel in GA
February 5, 2008 8:19 PM | Reply | Permalink
I agree with charb08 above; after New Hampshire, I don't trust polls at all, I want to see actual votes.
February 5, 2008 8:26 PM | Reply | Permalink
Why the hell is MSNBC calling Mass. for Hillary? Boston isn't even in yet. Not only is it the largest city in the state, but it's also chock full of college students who will presumably vote for Obama.
Hillary still may take the state, but to call it without Boston's votes is retarded, IMHO.
February 5, 2008 9:24 PM | Reply | Permalink
If the night follows the current pattern, it is still a "horse race," and we'll be treated to weeks more sniping and trash talk from both sides.
I love proportional delegation!
And a good time was had by ... all. Or, nearly all.
(I don't like either one of these candidates, particularly, but I find I like one less than the other. What a pickle. The best candidate dropped out last week.)
Thanks.
mp
February 5, 2008 9:40 PM | Reply | Permalink