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Obama On Withdrawal From Iraq: "I Reserve Right As Commander In Chief To Assess Situation"

Barack Obama gave an interview to CBS News' Steve Kroft, in which he suggested that he wanted to preserve a bit of flexibility for himself on withdrawal from Iraq:

"At a time when American casualties are down, at a time when the violence is down, particularly affecting the Iraqi population, is that the right time to try and set time tables for withdrawing all American troops? I mean you talked about…the end of 2009," Kroft remarked.

"Yeah, absolutely. I think now is precisely the time. I think that it is very important for us to send a clear signal to the Iraqis that we are not gonna be here permanently. We're not gonna set up permanent bases. That they are going to have to resolve their differences and get their country functioning," Obama said.

"And you pull out according to that time table, regardless of the situation? Even if there’s serious sectarian violence?" Kroft asked.

"No, I always reserve as commander in chief, the right to assess the situation," Obama replied.

Now, it's understandable that a candidate would want to give himself flexibility to maneuver as commander in chief, but this is one matter on which proponents of a firm timetable for withdrawal decidedly don't want to see any flexibility preserved.


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"Now, it's understandable that a candidate would want to give himself flexibility to maneuver as commander in chief, but this is one matter on which proponents of a firm timetable for withdrawal decidedly don't want to see any flexibility preserved."

**laughing at all those who ever accused TPM of being Pro-Obama**

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What Obama said to Kroft is entirely consistent with what he wrote in Audacity: I did not consider the case against [the] war cut and dried.

He goes on to report that he argued in the speech he gave that the war was ill-prepared -- no exit strategy and no alliances, and hence illconceived.
And that we had time to do better since the threat of Saddam was not imminent. On the prior page he lists all the reasons that getting rid of Saddam would be a good thing.

So how much real difference is there between McCain's position this is a good war but you need to do it right and Obama's you sholdn't do this war until you get it right?

We were arguing in my office this morning about this very issue and one of the HRC supporters flat out said it was because she hadn't commited to pulling out without assessing the situation first. This will give me something to show him.

As one of many vocal anti-war advocates, I feel pretty strongly about the necessity of the draw-down and eventual withdrawal of troops from the Iraq theatre. But that being said, I don't think it's wise to use any sort of timetable as scripture, especially where the lives of both our soldiers and Iraqi citizens are at stake.

Obama has been one of the most strident anti-war critics, bar-none. I'm an Obama supporter, but I'd be very disappointed if he were to stubbornly cling to a timetable, consequences be damned. Circumstances in war change rapidly, and strategic flexibility is a military leader's best friend.

What's the point here? This is nothing new, no president is going to promise something and lock decisions in stone months or years before the event in question, and every president is going to assess situations as they arise. Any president that promises specific things which they may not have control over are being disingenuous or naive. This is one of the problems I have with Hillary's purportedly "superior" details for her plans like mandates for health care (which don't work anyway), which she has no control over in the end because the political situation in Congress will determine what any proposal actually ends up looking like.

So anyway, I'm not seeing why this is relevant at all, it isn't a change from his previously stated positions, and it isn't out of step with what any candidate would say.

Isn't this a case of Obama telling voters the truth instead of what they want to hear (at least on the Dem side)?

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Absolutely. Look a botched withdrawal will be political suicide let alone a military disaster. There has to be planning, there has to be a good method laid out for such a thing.

Instant pull out on Jan. 21 is not what I was envisioning from an Obama presidency.

Hasn't Hillary said the exact same thing in several debates? What is the news here?

Another non-story.

Of course the commander-in-chief needs the flexibility to assess what gets presented to him that he doesn't see now, the question is whether you trust him to make better judgments with all intelligence than the previous and alternative candidates. I do.

We have to remember, we aren't leaving it up to Bush to decide what to do. We already know what Obama has in mind and I don't think more of the same and sheer ignorance has any part in it.

Anyone that can take Hillary to her breaking point or close to makes me think he can accomplish some pretty impressive feats.

BHO Plan (Campaign website): "Obama has a plan to immediately begin withdrawing our troops engaged in combat operations at a pace of one or two brigades every month, to be completed by the end of next year."

Sen. John MCain (hypothetical debate): " My friends, I am pleased that the junior Senator has agreed with my considered view that timetables cannot be set in stone. Of course, he was for timetables before he was against timetables. Now I understand why John Kerry took time away from his windsurfing to endorse the junior Senator."

Thank you Richmond!
Didn't get your pair of rose tinted Obama goggles I see...

Greg,

I doubt few are more adamant about getting the hell out of Iraq ASAP as myself. Early on I lost considerable enthusiasm for Obama because of his wavering on the Iraqi occupation and wrote to the campaign to complain.

I disagree with your assessment that any reasonable person would object to the commander-in-chief assessing the situation as it unfolds.

Besides American lives involved, there are also the Iraqis that have aided us and worked for us whose lives are now forfeit with the Bush administration unwilling to even admit such desperate people to enter the U.S. with rare exceptions.

I do take exception to your thesis this once.

Best, Terry

Ruh-roh.
Wasn't Hillary killed in the 'sphere for this exact thing?

Greg,

It looks like Mr. Obama committed without hesitation to adopting a timeline.

Kroft's follow-up question was poorly designed to highlight relevant distinctions or otherwise get to the bottom of a complicated policy issue.

It was, however, well designed as a "gotcha!" question-- a question to which an honest answer could be horribly misconstrued in the arena of watered-down debate that is the MSM.

Thank you for playing into that. I would think that, next time, TPM would much prefer skipping the obvious political analysis for something that adds depth to the war debate, or calls out Kroft for thinning the paint.

Shiva

Greg,

It looks like Mr. Obama committed without hesitation to adopting a timeline.

Kroft's follow-up question was poorly designed to highlight relevant distinctions or otherwise get to the bottom of a complicated policy issue.

It was, however, well designed as a "gotcha!" question-- a question to which an honest answer could be horribly misconstrued in the arena of watered-down debate that is the MSM.

Thank you for playing into that. I would think that, next time, TPM would much prefer skipping the obvious political analysis for something that adds depth to the war debate, or calls out Kroft for thinning the paint.

Shiva

Not to pile on here, but I'm a Gulf War I vet who never thought this was a good idea and wants to see our guys (and gals) out of harm's ASAP. Having said that, I think Greg should read up a titch on his military theorists, starting with Sun Tzu, Clausewitz, and Moltke.

The idea that any commander would say they're not going to reserve the right to assess the situation on the ground would be one big effing flag as to their complete incompetence, or as Moltke put it:“plans are nothing, but planning is everything.”

Saying exactly how you're going to execute a military withdrawal of the size and complexity that leaving Iraq engenders is the rankest stupidity and could only be considered political grandstanding. Moltke again:

    Only the layman thinks that he can see in the course of the campaign the consequent execution of the original idea with all the details thought out in advance and adhered to until the very end.

For my money, it was just the kind of blind adherence that Moltke was cautioning against that helped get us where we are today. Less of the same would be appreciated.

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This seems like a gross mischaracterization of the exchange, or at least, bad faith selective highlighting of the less important part of what Obama said. It will come as a relief to my mother-in-law that Obama thinks "now is precisely the time" for withdrawal, and that "it is very important for us to send a clear signal to the Iraqis that we are not gonna be here permanently." That seems like the important bit.

It's simply not surprising that Obama might keep troops on the ground if Saddam Hussein rises from the dead and joins forces with Osama bin Laden to deploy long-sought-after weapons of mass destruction from secret Iraqi ICBMs. It's just common sense, and thank God Obama has it.

So, now Obama wants to be a bit less extreme and adopt Clinton's moderate and careful position. Please give credit to Clinton for being right on this and for Obama realizing he needed to get himself out of the corner he had backed himself into.

And yes, for my perspective, I too opposed the war and think getting out tomorrow is too late, but, that said, we must face reality that we have 250K troops and contractors there and it will take a bit of time to untangle them from the country. And likewise, the next president will have to figure out a way to unbreak Iraq in the process (without getting us stuck with too much reparations for the death and damage Bush has caused). Maybe we can offer to turn Bush over for war crimes?

The failure to properly assess the situation has always been the problem with Iraq. President Bush and those who voted for the war failed to properly assess the situation before going in... otherwise we wouldn't have invaded in the first place. The war has been largely botched since the invasion due to a failure to properly assess the situation. The last thing we need is a redeployment of the troops that is as haphazard and poorly executed as the war itself.

Greg,

Your partisan dishonesty is really getting old.

This post just proves your desperation.

Next time, try not to be so transparent.

Of course Obama's new position is perfectly reasonable.
It would be nice though if he credited HRC with getting there ahead of him.

It's called bait and switch. Having locked up the anti-war vote, Obama is pivoting to face McCain. He figures, quite rightly, that his base has too much invested in him to back away now that begins to pander to the Patriots.

Just for laughs, check out the link to Paul Krugman's article today at the Taylor Marsh website.

Irony, thy name is partisanship.

Obama needs to fine tune this a bit. He should emphasize that he's looking for a way to WITHDRAW responsibly; i.e., his emphasis is going to be on withdrawal, not permanent bases, 100 years war, etc. As long as he keep stressing that his goal is withdrawal, I don't worry too much about this being a "I was against the war before I was for it" moment.

And for you Hillarybots out there: just this weekend, Clinton was claiming that, because the Republicans nominated McCain, we need to show we're tougher than the Repubs on national security.

Do you really want to support someone whose plan for the general election is to out-warmonger the biggest hawk in the Senate?

Hillary doesn't want to have a definite timeline, Obama does, that hasn't changed, he is simply saying there is always a Plan B if something comes up. This isn't the same as Hillary's plan, and it is still 100% committed to getting out of there as soon as possible. He is just stating the obvious here, nothing more.

God, I hate slow news days..

"Now, it's understandable that a candidate would want to give himself flexibility to maneuver as commander in chief, but this is one matter on which proponents of a firm timetable for withdrawal decidedly don't want to see any flexibility preserved.'

Good one, Greg. Those people should love George W Bush, since he would meet their rigid standards for being inflexible at all times, regardless of how conditions and facts may have changed.

Those people are not seeking a rational leader; they are seeking a prophet and messiah.

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I don't think this is any sort of backpedaling here. I'm confident that Obama wants to get his ass out of Iraq, but it was very clear during the early campaign that Richardson was the only one who favored full, immediate withdrawal.

Hillary and Obama's stances on Iraq has always been very similar.

I have to agree with others. This is a silly post.

I hope Mr. Obama is reading the spin his supporters are giving to the fact that he just flip-flopped on his promise to get out of Iraq. Assessing the situation on the ground is exactly what Petraeus and Bush have been doing. Keep that spin coming. He'll need it when he meets McCain. I can't believe you are going to put another flip flopper who was against an open-ended occupation before he was for it up against McCain. We're gonna get spanked!

It's the old bait and switch. Having locked up the anti-war base, Obama thinks he can pivot to face McCain by flip-flopping on how he'll act as CIC. I hear his latest ad on Health Care now claims he's for universal coverage. For those of us who knew Obama was just another politician, losing the Presidency is a bitter price to pay for being right.

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You Sir, must always be right.

At least one must assume thus based upon your general tone.

I hope the commenting function sooths your Rightness.

I'll settle for being consistent.

Then you must love George W. Bush.

A foolish consistency is the hobgoblin of little minds, adored by little statesmen and philosophers and divines.
Ralph Waldo Emerson, Self-Reliance
US essayist & poet (1803 - 1882)

Ah. Covering the Kerry card with the old Bush card. And you such an educated person and all. Why not "Do I contradict myself?" I'm sure that, like us all, Mr. Obama contains multitudes. The problem is, if you read his answer carefully, you see that he's saying he might stay if things get worse. Unbelievably, he's saying he might stay in the midst of a civil war. That's just Petraeus and the surge. No one here is going to change their minds at this late date, but what we might do is start keeping a list of the promises Mr. Obama will be admitting he can't keep before the general election. I'll start.

1. He can't withdraw from Iraq unless his commanders on the ground say the conditions are right. That means he can't promise to end the occupation.

2. He now says his health insurance will be universal. That means he'll be mandating health insurance.

3. He can't meet personally with Ahmadinejad without preconditions. Our allies in the Middle East won't let him do that.

Like the chesire cat. But it's a great smile.

Next Statement Coming... I was againist timetables before I was for them.

This advice given directly to Obama by none other than his good friend and supporter, John Kerry.

Before you go nuts here, this is all said in fun,(however, if you dig deep enough i believe you can find where Obama was not sure that timetables were a good idea) but I do have one thought. I can see this as plain as day on a debate with McCain and Obama.

Obama: I was againist this war from the start Senator McCain.

McCain: My friend, if you were againist this war, then please tell the American people why you voted repeatedly to fund it.

Obama:..............................uh, wait, wait, wait :/

And that will be the end of Obama's so called advantage againist McCain on the war in Iraq.

This isn't new. Obama has been saying on the stump since Iowa that he wants to "be as careful getting out as we were careless getting in."

Steve Kroft said: At a time when American casualties are down, at a time when the violence is down, particularly affecting the Iraqi population . . .

In fact, American casualties are up.

And violence is escalating every day.

Yet, by accepting Kroft's faulty premise that the exact opposite is true, Obama parrots McCain's talking points. Not the first time Obama has done this (argued on a faulty premise and/or parroted McCain), and it surely won't be the last.

But there is no need to ignorantly accept CBS's or Obama's bullshit premise on what's going on in Iraq. The facts are easy to ascertain. Obama knows the situation in Iraq is worsening. That's why he needs to say on record, "I always reserve as commander in chief, the right to assess the situation."

It's a disservice to vast numbers of uninformed voters that John Edwards or Dennis Kucinich are no longer in the race to call the frontrunners on their misstatements and mischaracterizations of a variety of "situations." And it's deeply depressing that Americans so desperately want to be absolved of our responsibility for the disaster in Iraq (or New Orleans or Guantanamo or any number of places) that we'll passively believe anything we're told by our favorite candidates. At this point, the 2008 presidential election has effectively been degraded to nothing more than an American Idol contest.

This is not new.

Obama has been saying on the stump since months before Iowa that he wants to be as "careful getting out as we were careless getting in."

Now, now! I accused Greg of being pro Hillary just last week. Perhaps we're the true partisans here.

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Hillary stood up and cheered when Bush said the surge was working in his SOTU speech. WTF? She doesn't know batter than that? In the last debate she said she believes in "coercive diplomacy". Somebody should tell her Putin, the Red Chinese and the Saudis do too. Our military and our economy are in no shape to be coercing anybody right now. Talk about living in the past.

McCain: My friend, if you were againist this war, then please tell the American people why you voted repeatedly to fund it.
Obama:..............................uh, wait, wait, wait :/

And that will be the end of Obama's so called advantage againist McCain on the war in Iraq.

Posted by Junionman

Not by a long shot. Obama's answer is a fairly easy and obvious one: once the troops are in the field you don't leave them there without ammo, food, or armor.

Defunding a war with troops in the field is one of the most ham-fisted ways to affect foreign policy imaginable; it's like trying to drive a finish nail with a sledgehammer.

MattKoesters said: Obama has been one of the most strident anti-war critics, bar-none.

Sorry, but Obama has been neither "strident" nor "anti-war." This is a myth. Obama has said repeatedly that he's "not opposed to all wars." Watch as Obama articulates that his view (on war) is not just "a anti-military, '70s love-in kind of approach."

Mike Gravel, Dennis Kucinich, and Ron Paul are the only presidential candidates who have been "stridently" and consistently anti-war. Obama is an admitted hawk.

cyntax:

I am a democrat and your thinking and mine are much the same. I really can't see defunding troops in the field either. However, the republicans have intermingled the vote of authorization and funding to the extent that to many americans its the same vote. Another point is what about the senators that did not vote to fund the war? Was Dick Durbin from Illinois one of the few? Was Ted Kennedy one who voted to fund it? I'm really not sure, but i think they were. Maybe you would know. I am just making a point that alot of the public only sees the vote, not the logic behind it. Much like Obama supporters that blame Hillary for authorizing it. When that vote took place, I believe the American people were like 85% in favor.

The way I understand both the Obama and Clinton commitments is that they want to get out of Iraq but in a controlled, careful manner. I believe that is the way it should be and that we cannot know what conditions will be when the the future president takes office. The main thing is they want to get out and are opposed to permanent military bases.

I hear very little consideration given to the Iraqi civilians which troubles me greatly. The iraqis have suffered far more casualties, have miserable medical facilities and no support for the many who need prosthetic limbs and rehabilitation. There is much talk in our press about Christian values but little Christian concern for the innocents. We were not invited to Iraq, we broke it and we must some how help fix it.

My vote goes to Obama because he was against going in originally. I have yet to understand how the interests of the USA are being served by being in Iraq. On the contrary, we seem to have lost everything by engaging in this preemptive war and occupation.

Since we're finally able to deal with Obama the politician, let me just add that he lost my support back when he politicized Feingold-Reid by saying he actually had a better plan. The worst thing about Obama's answer, if you read it, is that he is saying he might stay if things get worse. How the hell is keeping the option to stay in Iraq if sectarian violence gets worse setting us up for anything except another surge? Face it, people. The emperor has no clothes.

readytoblowagasket, very good point on Obama's war stance. Even now he tacts to the middle about Iraq. Regardless of his pandering to the anti-war left, he'll just as quickly send troops into conflict as any other president.

Junionman,

I think that the difference between voting for the AUMF and voting for funding the war are very simple issues for Obama to disentangle. Horse meet barn door. And that's what a good leader does: explain their reasoning. I really don't think this is a hard one for the American public to grasp and the upside for Obama would be great in a debate with McCain; Obama can show the difference between supporting the war and supporting the troops. And if McCain gives him that opening then I say, take it.

As to blaming Hillary, I most assuredly do. See former Republican Lincoln Chafee's comments in his new memoir (he voted against the AUMF as you may recall):
That includes New York Sen. Hillary Clinton, whom Chafee says put her presidential ambitions above standing up to Mr. Bush and the rush to war in Iraq.

“I find it surprising now, in 2008, how many Democrats are running for president after shirking their constitutional duty to check and balance this president,” writes Chafee...

“They argue that the president duped them into war, but getting duped does not exactly recommend their leadership. Helping a rogue president start an unnecessary war should be a career-ending lapse of judgment.”

Having said all that, I'm damn sure voting for Hillary if she gets the nomination. So Junionman, we can have our differences now, but I'll be in that booth in November voting for the Dem nominee, and I hope you'll be there too.


So if I understand people here Obama will get a pass on anything he does in Iraq, no escalation too great, all because of a single speech he made when he bore no responsibility for the outcome of a decision he had no part in making?
Obama in the past most definitely did commit to a timed withdrawal from Iraq. Fact. And in the past HRC was slammed by the netroots for not making that same commitment. Fact.
But now that Obama is backstroking towards the center right all his earlier statements just get flushed down the memory hole?
Why? Or is that a racist question too?
You can be sure that the Republicans will pound him hard on this and he will have to respond by becoming yet more hawkish.
He will be "saying anything" as he says. Sad.

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Obama has said he will not lie to us even if the truth is not what we want to hear.

He was given one of those setup questions (like the torture one about ticking time bomb) where they said 'What if by leaving we cause massive sectarian violence?' He answered honestly.

But the question was still a setup. For myself, I want us OUT of Iraq. I don't believe that the lack of our presence there will cause more violence. I believe our presence aggravates the violence.

Even so, if genocide (theocide?) occurred on withdrawal, I would not fault our president for trying to help stop it. The U.S. made the mess so we owe something to the poor Iraqis. They have, after all, done nothing to deserve what we have done to them.

A foolish consistency is the hobgoblin of little minds, adored by little statesmen and philosophers and divines.
Ralph Waldo Emerson, Self-Reliance
US essayist & poet (1803 - 1882)

Consistency on the life and death of our troops is not foolish, my friend.

of course i will.

So if I understand people here Obama will get a pass on anything he does in Iraq, no escalation too great, all because of a single speech he made when he bore no responsibility for the outcome of a decision he had no part in making?
Posted by JTHB

I know I've said nothing of the kind, and I don't believe anyone on this thread has either. Now if you think the stand Obama took during his senate race was one of a political calculation that engendered to risk to attaining the office he sought--OK. That's your interpretation and you're welcome to it. I see it differently.

As to your backstroking accusation, for all the reasons I've laid out upthread, I think that any other answer to the question he was given would have been cynical political triangulation on his part. So maybe you and I just respond to different styles of leadership in our politicians...

cyntx wrote: "... So maybe you and I just respond to different styles of leadership in our politicians..."

Well yes, thank you, which is exactly my point.
For you Obama's backtracking and newly articulated triangulation is simply a "style of leadership" while HRC's is a Faustian bargain with all that is unholy.
HRC is damned by the lefties for refusing to set a timetable for withdrawal when Obama did so and now his refusal to adhere to what he earlier said is again a "style of leadership".
Of course what you call his "style of leadership" I think many people will call hypocrisy. And worse.
Mark you, I don't care what Obama has to say about anything and not only because I don't really believe his bs. The Dems could run a native born Vlad the Impaler and I'd vote for him before I'd help elect 10,000 Years In Iraq McCain.
I just want to be clear on the latest tenets of faith in the Church of Obama, that's all.
So thanks for that.

On the other hand if you meant to say "If I spin people here...", then I think I'm with you 100%.

(Apologies in advance if this comment posts twice. I used a bad word the first time I wrote it, and so my comment was held by the bad word police. This version is rated PG.)

Steve Kroft said: At a time when American casualties are down, at a time when the violence is down, particularly affecting the Iraqi population . . .

In fact, American casualties are up.

And violence is escalating every day.

Yet, by accepting Kroft's faulty premise that the exact opposite is true, Obama parrots McCain's talking points. Not the first time Obama has done this (argued based on a faulty premise and/or parroted McCain), and it surely won't be the last.

But there is no need to accept CBS's or Obama's faulty premise on what's going on in Iraq. The facts are easy to ascertain. Obama knows the situation in Iraq is worsening. That's why he needs to say on record, "I always reserve as commander in chief, the right to assess the situation," in case he gets the nomination.

It's a disservice to vast numbers of uninformed voters that John Edwards or Dennis Kucinich (or even Bill Richardson) are no longer in the race to call the frontrunners on their misstatements on and mischaracterizations of a variety of "situations." And it's deeply depressing (to me, anyway) that Americans so desperately want to be absolved of our responsibility for the disaster in Iraq (or New Orleans or Guantanamo or any number of places) that we'll passively believe anything we're told by our remaining candidates. At this point, it seems, the 2008 presidential election has effectively been degraded to nothing more than an American Idol contest.

Of course what you call his "style of leadership" I think many people will call hypocrisy. And worse.
Mark you, I don't care what Obama has to say about anything and not only because I don't really believe his bs. The Dems could run a native born Vlad the Impaler and I'd vote for him before I'd help elect 10,000 Years In Iraq McCain.
I just want to be clear on the latest tenets of faith in the Church of Obama, that's all.
So thanks for that.
Posted by JTHB

Well good on you for ignoring my arguments upthread and sticking to your HRC talking points. There aren't tenents of faith and there's no church, but there is a lot of energy, momentum and new voters--which seem to provoke your ire for some reason. I wonder why...

(Ahem, this is my third and final attempt to post this comment . . . not that anyone's still reading this thread.)

Steve Kroft said: At a time when American casualties are down, at a time when the violence is down, particularly affecting the Iraqi population . . .

In fact, American casualties are up.

And violence is escalating every day.

Yet, by accepting Kroft's faulty premise that the exact opposite is true, Obama parrots McCain's talking points (the "surge" is working). Not the first time Obama has done this (based a position on a faulty premise and/or parroted McCain), and it surely won't be the last.

But there is no need for us to accept CBS's or Obama's faulty premise on what's going on in Iraq. The facts are easy to ascertain. Obama knows the situation in Iraq is worsening. That's why he needs to say on record, "I always reserve as commander in chief, the right to assess the situation," in case he wins the nomination.

But it's a grievous disservice to untold numbers of uninformed voters that John Edwards or Dennis Kucinich (or even Bill Richardson) can no longer afford to compete in the race to call the frontrunners on their misstatements and mischaracterizations of a variety of "situations." And it's deeply depressing (to me, anyway) that Americans so desperately want to be absolved of our responsibility for the disaster in Iraq (or New Orleans or Guantanamo or any number of places) that we'll passively believe anything we're told by our remaining candidates. At this point, it seems, the 2008 presidential election has effectively morphed into an American Idol contest.

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