None Of Obama's $7 Million Came From MoveOn
A spokesperson for MoveOn, which is backing Obama, just confirmed to me that none of the more than $7 million that the Obama campaign has raised since Super Tuesday came from the group's fundraising efforts.
"The numbers announced by the Obama campaign don't include any fundraising MoveOn has done on their behalf," MoveOn communications director Ilyse Hogue says.
This appears to put a crimp in the Hillary campaign's argument -- in terms of this $7 million, at least -- that their lag in fundraising is partly due to the fact that they're not just up against the Obama camp, but MoveOn as well.
MoveOn is in fact in the midst of a fundraising drive for Obama, and the group tells me that they'll be releasing the totals raised for him this afternoon -- which means still more money flowing Obama's way today. So in the broader sense, Camp Hillary is right -- they are up against Obama and MoveOn, but given that these numbers are broken out separately, it's hard to see how this can be used to explain away her lower numbers.
We'll keep you posted on those MoveOn totals when we get them.















This is very inportant information. Now when the Obama website servers are overloaded from so many people making contributions (which they have been) I know I can just go to the MoveOn website to donate to his campaign.
Thanks for sharing!! :)
February 7, 2008 11:42 AM | Reply | Permalink
The WP's The Trail has a good analysis of the Clinton and Obama fund raising abilities. An excerpt.
"Coming into January, many more of Clinton's donors had already reached the $2,300 limit for individual donations. A report just completed by the Campaign Finance Institute showed Clinton raised more than half her money in 2007 from donors who gave the maximum allowed by law. Obama, in comparison, raised just one third of his money from $2,300 donors."
http://blog.washingtonpost.com/the-trail/2008/02/07/obama_fundraising_strength_com.html#more
February 7, 2008 11:44 AM | Reply | Permalink
thanks Chris, takin' a look
February 7, 2008 11:50 AM | Reply | Permalink
♪ Still more money! I love it! ♪
February 7, 2008 11:50 AM | Reply | Permalink
chris, that is a point worth remembering. the composition of obama's support, mostly small donors as opposed to HRC's far fewer, largely maxed-out supporters, tells you where the most enthusiastic popular support is.
February 7, 2008 11:53 AM | Reply | Permalink
The most recent data (through Q3 2007) says both campaigns get more than half their money from donors giving $1000 or more. It also shows that the number of donors giving less than $200 for both campaigns is greater than the number of donors who give more than that.
So very short sentences to characterize Obama's donor base vs. Clinton's are not so easy to craft. As usual, reality is somewhat more gray.
A more accurate statement says that Clinton depends more heavily on larger donors than Obama does. Unfortunately, that doesn't make for overly simplistic headlines that pundits, 24 hour news shows, and many bloggers, prefer.
February 7, 2008 1:53 PM | Reply | Permalink
Hey Greg.....I know how we are really hot on Gallup pools......ot........13 point Gallup National Lead
isn't that news?????
http://hinessight.com/
http://www.talkleft.com/story/2008/2/6/20276/72542
I would think this would make this front page...maybe not.
February 7, 2008 11:54 AM | Reply | Permalink
Wow. If anyone still thinks that Josh and the gang are biased toward Hillary, or biased toward Obama, they should really check out these websites. Now THAT'S biased!
February 7, 2008 12:16 PM | Reply | Permalink
Greg-
Any reasonable person never would have used the MoveOn connection as an explanation when Obama raised $8 million dollars after he lost NH, and MoveOn had yet to endorse him then.
It's clear that his online donors who tend to be small donors are buying into the engine that is his campaign. Hillary's donors (as has been stated before) are paying for a win, not a tie nor a loss. They comes when her numbers look good, never when it looks like she might fold.
February 7, 2008 11:54 AM | Reply | Permalink
I told Moveon I was voting present on them until after the GE.
February 7, 2008 11:57 AM | Reply | Permalink
Thanks for the update Greg. It'll be interesting to see what those numbers are combined this afternoon.
Predictions? Might Obama raise 12 million in 48 hours?
February 7, 2008 11:57 AM | Reply | Permalink
Speaking of fundraising, Ben Smith says that Taylor Marsh says that the terms of Bill and Hill's loan to her campaign provided it was to be paid back within 48 hours of Supercalifragilistic Tuesday.
http://www.politico.com/blogs/bensmith/0208/On_the_money.html
This strikes me as a moderately big deal. It means all of this fundraising surge of Hillary's, plus some more, is going to pay back money that's already been spent. (If they didn't already spend it, why did they borrow/lend it and why are senior staff foregoing salary?)
Essentially, that means that Obama isn't ahead of Hillary's fundraising by 3 or 4 million since Tuesday, he's ahead by 7 or 8 million.
Also fascinating how quick the Clintons are to get their money back, rather than waiting until after the election. Makes one wonder about how confident they are getting the win.
Sorry about the high schoolish Ben said that Taylor said, btw, but no way am I going to that woman's site myself. Ben also said that Taylor has "pretty good sources" inside the Clinton campaign. There's the understatement of the year.
February 7, 2008 12:08 PM | Reply | Permalink
Speaking of money, the Chris Ward story is huge. Stand back when this bomb goes off. The Republicans just don't now how to handle money.
http://www.nydailynews.com/blogs/dailypolitics/
February 7, 2008 12:08 PM | Reply | Permalink
Hey, I was having issues with comments the other day. After I posted I was logged back off. So this is kind of a test.
Anyway, it will be interesting to see how much money MoveOn brought in
February 7, 2008 12:10 PM | Reply | Permalink
Team Clinton just wants to put "Obama" and "MoveOn" in the same sentence as often as possible.
February 7, 2008 12:11 PM | Reply | Permalink
National polls are meaningless at this point. I'd rather see something from the upcoming states where folks HAVEN'T voted.
February 7, 2008 12:11 PM | Reply | Permalink
Anon@11:54
I posted on Gallup yesterday (you can read it by clicking on my name) and Mark Blumnethal has promised a comprehensive post at pollster.com today. The essential point is that whatever Gallup is showing, it's not the probably outcome of the race.
That 13-point spread is from polling done before the polls closed Tuesday, and on the two previous days. In other words, Gallup announced to the world that likely voters favored Hillary by 13 points at the same time 14 million actual voters went to the polls and split their votes right down the middle. So no, the poll isn't big news. It's just a little embarassing for Gallup.
February 7, 2008 12:13 PM | Reply | Permalink
Or a little embarassing for Fly. Gallup's poll is nationwide. While Super Tuesday did have 22 states voting, last time I looked there were 50 states. Whatever the Super Tuesday totals, they did not reflect the entire US.
February 7, 2008 12:27 PM | Reply | Permalink
Hallelujah! My comment posted. Always grateful for minor miracles.
February 7, 2008 12:17 PM | Reply | Permalink
$7.5 plus in about 36 hours. Does that count as a microtrend, Mark Penn? You slimy, triangulating goon.
We drink your milkshake! WE DRINK IT UP!
February 7, 2008 12:22 PM | Reply | Permalink
FOTW- Good points.
Has anyone seen anything on Ohio or Texas? Like demographic breakdown of the democratic electorate? I'm hearing hints out there that the hispanic vote will not be so solidly pro-Clinton, partly because alot of the hispanic population of Texas is 4th or 5th generation....
Any thoughts?
February 7, 2008 12:26 PM | Reply | Permalink
Hill wouldn't be "up against move on" had she not lost the move on primary by such a staggering margin.
February 7, 2008 12:28 PM | Reply | Permalink
This appears to put a crimp in the Hillary campaign's argument -- in terms of this $7 million, at least -- that their lag in fundraising is partly due to the fact that they're not just up against the Obama camp, but MoveOn as well.
Do you seriously expect us to believe that none of the Obama money came from MoveOn folks, even if it was donated at the Obama site rather than thru MoveOn?
February 7, 2008 12:29 PM | Reply | Permalink
Do you seriously expect us to believe that none of Clinton's recent roll of donations came from MoveOn folks? What is your point? The fact of the matter remains that the eye-popping $7.6 million is not yet the whole story. If Clinton is distressed that her campaign cannot keep up with the fundraising power of Obama + MoveOn, she has not seen the worst of it. His total haul since Super Tues is only going to get bigger.
February 7, 2008 12:36 PM | Reply | Permalink
Hillary, as usual lately, is on a slippery slope.
Her argument that the fundraising my MoveOn for Obama is unfair is laughable, ESPECIALLY in light of the fact that the organization was founded in many respects for her and her husband.
She is being outpaced in fundraising for many reasons. MoveOn's support is not a bad thing and she would have jumped at the chance to have it.
If she want's, maybe we should explore why a LARGE percentage of her donors are maxed out for the contribution limit? It's ironic that she recieved a large portion of "working class" Democrats votes while she has fundraising issues because her donors gave $2,300 a shot. Working class people can't do that. My question is, who is the one who represents the working class?
I think Hillary in this case is the one who needs to MoveOn.
February 7, 2008 12:34 PM | Reply | Permalink
no one expects you to believe that, but it's meaningless.
February 7, 2008 12:35 PM | Reply | Permalink
Moishele,
Yes, I'm sure some people who are MoveOn folks donated to Obama's campaign. The reason for this is because some MoveOn folks are Obama supporters hence the endorsement by MoveOn. Those supporters would have donated to Obama whether or not MoveOn endorsed him.
I am also sure that their are some MoveOn members who have donated to Hillary's campaign.
Jeez! How about a little common sense.
February 7, 2008 12:36 PM | Reply | Permalink
Hope this doesn't double-post. Last time I tried, it went to the comment roach motel.
Ben Smith cites Taylor Marsh as saying Hill and Bill's loan terms provided it was to be paid back within 48 hours of SuperDuper Tuesday.
http://www.politico.com/blogs/bensmith/0208/On_the_money.html
Lots of implications.
1. The 4 million raised since Tuesday doesn't give them anything like parity with Obama's post Tuesday spending. Obama's new money is in the bank waiting to be spent. Hillary's new money is back in Hill's pocket and they still owe her the next million as well. In terms of the campaitns' bottom lines, the comparison isn't 3 or 4 million to 7 or 8 million. Its -1 or -2 million to 7 or 8 million.
2. This prompt payback is not the mark of a campaign that is highly confident in getting the win. Usually, a self funder lets the loan ride until after the election and counts on the power of the office to attract doners to retire the debt. Phrased another way, Hillary felt like getting paid back was a higher priority than leaving the money in the campaign.
3. I wonder if the doners realized they were paying back the loan rather than paying for more campaign leverage. Some doubtless would have given more, if they'd known, but I expect others will feel kind of ripped, especially given that Hill's staff is going with out pay this month.
4. Speaking of which, that's gotta be a big morale booster at Camp Clinton. No paycheck for you this month, but the boss and the othe boss get their money back out, skimmed right off the top of the first cash raised from your hard work. (Though Mark Penn certainly has the 4.7 million he's drained off the campaign thus far for his brilliant work to tide him over the hard feelings.)
February 7, 2008 12:37 PM | Reply | Permalink
TCFK as NCS: I just have to chuckle trying to comprehend the new name or the reference to the old name... the existential questions involved!!!
♪♪♪
February 7, 2008 1:53 PM | Reply | Permalink
I'm a MoveOn member who has been making small contributions to the Obama camp for months, including yesterday. I guess I can spare another $25 for the MoveOn campaign though. Thanks Hillary for pointing this out! :)
February 7, 2008 12:37 PM | Reply | Permalink
Moishele, yep. Do you seriously expect us to believe that alot of the clintons' campaign contributions did not come from lobbyists, people trying to buy favors (like the dictator of kazakstan) and the dem establishment?
February 7, 2008 12:40 PM | Reply | Permalink
Angry,
TX won't have the Asian vote, which went 75-23 in favor of Hillary in CA. Asian's composed 8% of CA's electorate. Also, I can't imagine TX having as many seniors as CA or AZ, and seniors have been huge Hillary supporters....
As for Ohio, I think Obama will carry all of the Big 10 states. :)
February 7, 2008 12:41 PM | Reply | Permalink
JTin - Pennsylvania is a Big 10 state too, ya know. That would be a nail in Hillary's coffin.
As a loyal Big 10 supporter, I'm thinking we need to work this angle. ;)
February 7, 2008 12:50 PM | Reply | Permalink
Little known fact: MoveOn was founded during the Clinton impeachment and meant Censure President Clinton and Move On rather than impeach him.
Anyway, MoveOn voted 70% for Obama, 30% for Clinton, so you are clearly in the small minority of MoveOn members.
February 7, 2008 12:54 PM | Reply | Permalink
Great analysis.
I agree that once word gets out about the loan and payback terms, some potential Clinton donors are not going to want to donate just repay the loan to the campaign.
I loved Hillary's response when asked about the loan: "It's my money." In other words, none of your damn business how I got $5 million to loan my campaign. Maybe it was Bill's friends in the Kazakh oil industry, but I'm not going to tell you. More of Hillary's penchant for a lack of transparency that goes all the way back to the failure of Hillarycare.
February 7, 2008 12:58 PM | Reply | Permalink
JenLynne,
Hopefully Hillary's done by March 4th. Obama should win Feb. 9, Feb. 12 and Feb. 19, and Hillary may be running on fumes going into TX and OH.
February 7, 2008 1:04 PM | Reply | Permalink
"This appears to put a crimp in the Hillary campaign's argument -- in terms of this $7 million, at least -- that their lag in fundraising is partly due to the fact that they're not just up against the Obama camp, but MoveOn as well."
What Greg is glossing over (which he does quite often) is the fact that the Hillary camp has no problem posting incorrect information as if it were fact. Of course once the meme is corrected, the incorrect info is out on the blogosphere for the Hillary Supporters to latch on to.
At TPM, the mission for years is to cut through the spin. Separate fact from fiction. While I am heartened to see Greg doing some actual fact based reporting for a change, his neglect in pointing out the motive for the false assertion before they had the facts does a disservice to those of us who are really trying to sort fact from fiction.
February 7, 2008 1:04 PM | Reply | Permalink
Isn't it interesting the the most well-known grassroots organization around has not only endorsed Obama, but is willing to find raise? Isn't it interesting that Clinton has support from fat cats who can afford to donate thousands, but is being swamped by plain old people who can pitch in just a few buck. Doesn't that say something party leaders should pay attention to?
February 7, 2008 1:11 PM | Reply | Permalink
On the loan, what type of interest rate did she ask for? And if the $5MM has to be repaid by today, is she effectively BROKE at this point?
February 7, 2008 1:13 PM | Reply | Permalink
Has anyone else noticed the massive swing appearing in the intrade prediction market towards Obama?
Looks like post-super-tuesday momentum to me... why is that not news? It was covered when Hillary surged. Greg, how about a post?
February 7, 2008 1:19 PM | Reply | Permalink
Please, no. I am an Obama supporter and am delighted to see him get good press, but please do not indulge the conceits that the intrade markets are in any wise relevant. Those folks know nothing more than you and I know. The whole wisdom-of-the-markets line is just a bunch of hooey. We are all better off if the intrade nonsense is ignored like the garbage it is.
February 7, 2008 1:38 PM | Reply | Permalink
I am not sure if any of you read this article posted on feb 4, 2008 on Bloomber.com: Politics titled "Clinton Gets Most Lobbyist Money, McCain Most Help". This article points out what most of us already know, but it goes to show that Billary is getting money from lobbyists.
Simply it states this "Democrat Hillary Clinton has raised more money from lobbyists than any other presidential candidate" ... "Clinton took in $823,087 from registered lobbyists and members of their firms in 2007".
They will do anything to win. You can read this at:
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601070&sid=aPnPwl7XNJik&refer=home
February 7, 2008 1:25 PM | Reply | Permalink
"Littlest strokes fell great oaks."
This isn't spin, it's just clear thinking.
February 7, 2008 1:26 PM | Reply | Permalink
Thank you, clearthinker!! You know what I mean. ♪♪♪
February 7, 2008 1:57 PM | Reply | Permalink
I'd like to know more about the terms of this loan.
* will she be transparent about the loan? (is there muck to be raked?)
* what happens if she doesn't pay it off today?
* will she pay it back to herself out of her general election or senatorial coffers? (is that legal?)
* can we get a real source for her fundraising totals?
Do your thing, TPM. We'll wait...
February 7, 2008 1:29 PM | Reply | Permalink
even though I had my eyes on Obama since 2004, would never have thought he could come this far. it looks like more she's trying more she's loosing the ground. now I really start to think that if she is not able to kick a junior senator's butt from the city of Chicago, how can she insist on kicking the United Against Clintons of the republican party? how is she going to turn this movement for "change+hope" to her and unite the democratic party? anyone has any good idea for Hillary?...
February 7, 2008 1:41 PM | Reply | Permalink
Does anybody get a flashback from the Brady Bunch here? Hillary PO'd because "everyone loves Barack".
I keep hearing Jan Brady in my head ranting "Its all about Marsha. MARSHA MARSH MARSHA!
February 7, 2008 1:42 PM | Reply | Permalink
this headline and content are both demonstrately stupid and show the bias of this site. Clinton campaign never said Moveon.org raised money for Obama. They only claimed Obama has access to the email list of Moveon.org, like that of Kerry's. How can Moveon.org raise money for Clinton if it is not a hired fundraiser for Obama. Moveon may have its own independent expenditure but how can it raise money directly for Obama? Use your brain, would you please?
February 7, 2008 1:43 PM | Reply | Permalink
I don't know if I trust Taylor Marsh's comment that the loan will be "paid back in 48 hours" to mean that the loan literally had to be back in her bank account in 48 hours.
February 7, 2008 1:52 PM | Reply | Permalink
Been listening to Rush Limbaugh and he may fundraise for Hillary... He said since the GOP's strategy is to unite behind Hillary hatred, instead of party leadership, he needs to do his part and try to get Hillary nominated. :)
February 7, 2008 2:20 PM | Reply | Permalink
This just in - that big pool of money flowing to Obama from MoveOn - 320K...
so big pool turns out to be wading pool.
Oh well.
February 7, 2008 3:13 PM | Reply | Permalink
320K is not bad. I'm sure there is no transfer of money between Moveon.org, the ultra-liberal site and Obama, the savior of humankind. I bet it is only a conduit for Obama to raise money. I wonder why pro-Hillary sites do not set up more of such conduits.
February 7, 2008 4:33 PM | Reply | Permalink
Let's step back for a minute and look at the playing field:
a) HRC says no Fox News and then backtracks
b) HRC says no MI and FL delegate and then backtracks
c) HRC says no personal financing and then backtracks
d) HRC agrees to debate schedules and then wants to rewrite them
Is this the sort of responsible, consistent, stable leadership we want in the White House representing the Democratic Party?
February 7, 2008 4:57 PM | Reply | Permalink
How about....Obama critizes Hillary for her vote allowing Bush to go into Iraq but doesn't even bother to show up to vote against it.
February 7, 2008 5:57 PM | Reply | Permalink
How about, Obama touts his opposition to authorizing to go into Iran but doesn't bother showing up to vote. Yet constantly criticizes Hillary for doing so.
February 7, 2008 5:56 PM | Reply | Permalink