MoveOn Members Vote Overwhelmingly To Endorse Obama
Move On has just announced that its membership voted to endorse Obama -- giving him a good deal of organizational heft on the left and a bit of a bulwark against criticism of his conciliatory, centrist-sounding rhetoric.
What's interesting, though, are the numbers of the vote: Obama trounced Hillary among MoveOn members, 70%-29%.
Even more interesting, a MoveOn spokesperson tells me that roughly 300,000 members voted in the last 24 hours. In 2004, when the group did a similar vote, it took three days to reach that number. And keep in mind that Howard Dean was in the mix that year.
MoveOn's full statement is after the jump.
MoveOn's statement:
“Our members’ endorsement of Senator Obama is a clear call for a new America at this critical moment in history. Seven years of the disastrous policies of the Bush Administration have left the country desperate for change. We need a President who will bring to bear the strong leadership and vision required to end the war in Iraq, provide health care to every American, deal with our climate crisis, and restore America’s standing in the world. The enormity of the challenges require someone who knows how to inspire millions to get involved to change the direction of our country, and someone who will be willing to change business as usual in Washington. Senator Barack Obama has proved he can and will be that President.“With 3.2 million members nationwide and over 1.7 million members in states that vote next Tuesday, we’ll be able to immediately jump into action in support of Senator Obama’s candidacy. We’ve learned that the key to achieving change in Washington without compromising core values is having a galvanized electorate to back you up. And Barack Obama has our members ‘fired up and ready to go’ on that front.
“We congratulate Sens. Clinton, Dodd and Biden, former Senator Edwards, Governor Richardson, Congressman Kucinich and former Senator Gravel on running tremendous campaigns. We thank them for their contributions to the important debate that has gripped our nation and for their ongoing engagement with our members. We’re looking forward to working together to bring progressive values to the nation’s capitol and to end this disastrous war in Iraq. MoveOn members are committed to putting a Democrat in the White House in 2008 and ushering in a new era of progressive values no matter who wins the nomination.”















Ok, but the thing is some of us have tpmcafe accounts and they don't seem to be working here.
February 1, 2008 12:25 PM | Reply | Permalink
BOOYAH! Well, I guess it's not THAT big of a deal, since these are core democratic voters, anyway.
Important? Probably not. Though I do like it, anyway, for my candidate.
February 1, 2008 12:27 PM | Reply | Permalink
Well, Hot Dog!!!
February 1, 2008 12:29 PM | Reply | Permalink
I think strategically this helps Obama in terms of getting out the vote on SUper Tuesday. Still- I wonder long term if this is an association that helps Obama in the General. Can he reach out to independents and republicans with MoveOn attached to him? Will MoveOn adjust their tactics for a campaign about concilliation and hope? Would it be possible to use MoveOn to address attacks (swiftboating) and mobilization get out the vote without some of their more strident advertising? I think Obama has to be very careful with this endorsement...
February 1, 2008 12:32 PM | Reply | Permalink
I think strategically this helps Obama in terms of getting out the vote on SUper Tuesday. Still- I wonder long term if this is an association that helps Obama in the General. Can he reach out to independents and republicans with MoveOn attached to him? Will MoveOn adjust their tactics for a campaign about concilliation and hope? Would it be possible to use MoveOn to address attacks (swiftboating) and mobilization get out the vote without some of their more strident advertising? I think Obama has to be very careful with this endorsement...
February 1, 2008 12:34 PM | Reply | Permalink
Well I'm not sure I think that this endorsement or the most liberal senator tag are good for Obama. I almost wish MoveOn had stayed out of it. I also find it odd since Obama skipped the vote on condemning MoveOn.
February 1, 2008 12:38 PM | Reply | Permalink
It's not odd. He specifically stated he wasn't voting for something meaningless and that it's only purpose was to provide Republicans with attack points.
February 1, 2008 1:14 PM | Reply | Permalink
This really locks up Obama's position as being way too liberal to win a general election. Ted Kennedy's endorsement, the ranking as the #1 most liberal member of the Senate based on votiing records, and even the Iraq vote (where Hillary has a more mainnstream record while Obama puts Dems back in the seat of being seen as afraid to ever use the military for any reason) all add up to one thing ... Obama may be gaining steam in the Primary, but he looks increasingly unable to win a General Election.
February 1, 2008 12:39 PM | Reply | Permalink
I voted for Obama in the MoveOn poll yesterday.
It just seems incredibly obvious to me that Obama has a much better chance of beating McCain.
1) He attracts independents in a way she simply cannot. In fact, she repels them.
2) Hillary will unite the Republicans in a way that no one else could.
3) An Obama loss will be massively disheartening to his supporters, and I don't think they will bring their energy or cash to the Clinton campaign. They may vote for her, but will they campaign for her?
She is qualified for the job, but that doesn't mean she can win it. I understand that she is incredibly inspiring to millions of women. Hell, I'm inspired by the fact that a woman is a serious candidate for the Presidency. But there is simply too much at stake right now. Casting a vote to make the point that a woman is qualified to be President is deeply irresponsible.
This is a once in a lifetime opportunity to recast the future of the Democratic Party and our country on a much brighter path. Let's not blow it.
February 1, 2008 12:39 PM | Reply | Permalink
CT Voter here (since the site won't take my existing registration OR let me create a new account--love the new system so far, guys)
I wish MoveOn had just stayed out of this--if Obama is the nominee (and that's a big IF), the Republicans will paint him as the person who personally designed the General Betrayus ad...
February 1, 2008 12:41 PM | Reply | Permalink
CT - can you email Andrew Golis with your problem?
andrew@talkingpointsmemo.com
February 1, 2008 12:52 PM | Reply | Permalink
That's what I was thinking, more ammo for the GOP.
February 1, 2008 2:20 PM | Reply | Permalink
I have some usesful information on the subject of the Moveon.com poll. As an Obama supporter I cast one (1) vote for Obama. My email inbox was inundated with "thank you for voting" replies - certainly more than fifty and perhaps close to 100. I did everything I could to inform Moveon.com that there was a problem, finally unsubscribing.
As an Obama supporter, I want to be among the first to state that gross number of ballots recorded in the Moveon.com was false. I cannot say whether the proportion of ballots was erroneous. If every voter received an equal number of excess votes for his/her vote, then the proportion would not be affected.
February 1, 2008 12:41 PM | Reply | Permalink
Moveon is going to be attached to whomever wins the Democratic nomination, so this is a net plus for Obama in that it helps him in the primaries.
February 1, 2008 12:42 PM | Reply | Permalink
It doesn't look to me as though moderate Republicans and Independents have the animosity toward MoveOn that the conservative base does. It doesn't strike me that they'd be turned off by this endorsement, especially given that it wasn't MoveOn's leadership that made the decision, it was MoveOn's membership. I think this will help him, especially given the bizarre support that the liberal base has given Hillary.
February 1, 2008 12:43 PM | Reply | Permalink
If I recall correctly, MoveOn.org's primary last time around was held much earlier in the cycle — in Summer of 2003. That's a large part of why participation was so much higher this time.
In that primary, they required a 50% threshhold to make an endorsement, rather than the 66% they mandated this time around. Of course, there were ten candidates in the race in 2003. Howard Dean won a plurality of the vote, but not the majority.
February 1, 2008 12:44 PM | Reply | Permalink
Progressives are on the march! Ann Coulter endorses Hillary (out of McCain and Hillary), and MoveOn endorses Obama, can we just accept that Obama is what our party and our nation needs now???
And the General Betrayus thing won't matter in the general, MoveOn will support whoever the Democrat is, so the argument is moot. Not to mention, they aren't going to be on the front page of what is going on, so no one will care. Quit trying to make this into a bad thing, it won't hurt us in the general.
February 1, 2008 12:47 PM | Reply | Permalink
I agree. The Republicans and the media will make the Dem nominee own Moveon regardless. and i don't even think there's anything wrong with that for either side. but the primary endorsement wont' change that one way or another.
February 1, 2008 12:47 PM | Reply | Permalink
I am not much impressed with MoveOn.org in terms of effectiveness, so I doubt that this will help him much. That said, I doubt that it will much hurt him either.
Meanwhile, I notice that Sen Clinton has picked up the implicit endorsements of both Paul Krugman and Ann Coulter today. Fancy that...
February 1, 2008 12:48 PM | Reply | Permalink
Like CT Voter, I'm a guest because the new system won't yet accept my existing registration or allow me a new one.
I also wish that MoveOn had hung back from an endorsement at this point. I think (and I told them) that it will reduce their influence if Hillary becomes the party nominee.
February 1, 2008 12:49 PM | Reply | Permalink
How ironic! The organization formed, and *named*, to tell us to "move on" from the Clinton impeachment, is now telling us to "move on" from the Clintons!
I'm beginning to believe in miracles.
It's ironic that the HRC campaign started off by telling us how Obama was too centrist -- and now we have a Kennedy endorsement and a MoveOn endorsement. I guess Obama is okay with the left.
I believe that in the GE this year, the sorry tag of "liberal" will have lost it's sting. In fact, "conservative" will be a tag bashed around the GOP as they decide who is purest among their nominees.
As was clear from the LA debate, after the dismal record of the Bush White House, it will be tough to sell "liberal" as a terrible evil on the country. In fact, as the economy tanks (and more and more evidence indicates the slide is getting worse), all those so-called Reagan Democrats will start looking for big government bailouts and handouts. Remember that the GOP has essentially had a grip on the country for the past 30 years because the general populace has been voting against their own economic self-interest so that they could win the "culture wars".
That was the genius of the GOP in the 60's and 70's. They made themselves the party of cultural restraint -- and slipped in all the "business first, people second" dogmas after that. (I'd say "conservative fiscal values" but there was nothing conservative about Nixon taking us off of the gold standard, Reagan's out of control DoD spending, or GWB's outrageous deficits.)
February 1, 2008 12:50 PM | Reply | Permalink
Well I'm happy... even if this never posts!
February 1, 2008 12:50 PM | Reply | Permalink
Meanwhile, both the Transportation Workers' Union and the CA SEIU have moved from Edwards to Obama.
February 1, 2008 12:51 PM | Reply | Permalink
RIGHT ON!!! HERE IT IS...THE PROGRESSIVE ACTIVISTS WILL GO OUT OUT TO SEE OBAMA WIN. IF (OH I HOPE NOT) IT IS HILLARY SOME WILL VOTE, SOME WILL NOT, NOT MANY WILL WORK AND CONTRIBUTE...SHE IS JUST TO POLARIZING AND DON'T FORGET THE WAR.
February 1, 2008 12:53 PM | Reply | Permalink
They (the Republicans) are going to try and paint whoever the Democratic nominee is as the most liberal person on the planet. From an organizational standpoint, this has to help, especially post-February 5th.
February 1, 2008 12:55 PM | Reply | Permalink
I agree that MoveOn will be attached to whomever wins the nomination. (For example, if Hillary wins, believe there will be ads about her "willing suspension of disbelief" remark.) But I think this only helps Obama in the primary.
I'm surprised that Obama won the endorsement by such a wide margin. This is particularly interesting given the fact that MoveOn was born as a defense of Bill Clinton during the impeachment.
February 1, 2008 12:56 PM | Reply | Permalink
"Moveon is going to be attached to whomever wins the Democratic nomination, so this is a net plus for Obama in that it helps him in the primaries."
I agree. I'm a moveon memeber and I've received plenty of emails from them already about the efforts they are planning on behalf of the dems in the general election.
February 1, 2008 1:04 PM | Reply | Permalink
I haven't been able to sign in. I wish moveon.org just kept its mouth shut. It's one thing to artificially paint a dem with moveon.org's nonsense and quite another to be endorsed by them. I don't think that this is a good thing and I think moveon.org gives themselves more credit then they are due.
Also, Josh was great on olbermann, the US's only surviving newscast and obama did a great job in the debate. I thought he was inexperienced and didn't know anything other than singing kumbaya. Well, he didn't seem like an inexperienced and uneducated novice to me, but I guess that I am biased.
Michael A.
February 1, 2008 1:05 PM | Reply | Permalink
TPM does a major website overhaul on the day of the final Democratic Debate, knocking the comments sections down for nearly 24 hours.
Well done.
Perhaps you should schedule your next website overhaul during...
1. The Summer Conventions.
2. The Presidential debates.
3. Election Day.
This site is clownish. I'm moving on to better places.
February 1, 2008 1:13 PM | Reply | Permalink
Greg DeLassus here
Strangely, I can sign in, but none of my comments appear when I do. So, in any case, I would like to say that I do not expect that MoveOn.org's endorsement will help much or hurt much. For what little my opinion is worth, I expect that it will pass largely unnoticed, even by those who get the e-mails (evidently most of them are for Obama already, given that they had to have received e-mail ballots in order to vote).
Meanwhile, I noticed that Obama also picked up the Transportation Workers' Union and the CA SEIU endorsements now that Edwards is out of the race. Also, it would appear that Sen Clinton has picked up the implicit endorsements of both Paul Krugman and Ann Coulter.
February 1, 2008 1:14 PM | Reply | Permalink
Move-on will help turn out the progressive base. That's a plus. The Repubs are going to use everything they can to smear anyway in the fall so one step at a time.
February 1, 2008 1:17 PM | Reply | Permalink
This is great -- and it caps a week of pretty good news for Barack.
I don't see any reason, in 2008, to be afraid of being tagged a liberal or of being endorsed by an avowedly liberal organization. It's the conservative brand that's been dragged into the third over the past few years. And for that matter, "independent" isn't looking so great if it evokes marginal types like Ron Paul or Ralph Nader.
I so wish John Edwards would come on board -- if only to persuade the more extremely fervent of his flock that he isn't the ONLY Democrat who can walk on water (when the need arises).
February 1, 2008 1:29 PM | Reply | Permalink
[DonnaG here, another who cannot otherwise get on to comment until the tech problems get solved]
I am proud of MoveOn, especially their efforts after Katrina in which they worked diligently to get volunteer hosts for homeless victims.
For those who say that the MoveOn association with Obama could hurt, all I have to say is that, for me, there comes a time when grassroots organizations have to reach for the clarity of taking a stand and simply moving on for change, rather than putting their fingers to the wind to guess about and try to preempt all the possible reactions that might come.
Obama said something in an interview way back in 2002 [I think] to the effect that Democrats seem to take wishy-washy stands and then whine about results, rather than stake their position, and even if they don't win, they'd still be stronger to just take their lumps and go on.
February 1, 2008 1:51 PM | Reply | Permalink
Anyone can join MoveOn and vote. MoveOn held a vote first about whether to even vote on endorsing a candidate. Then they held a vote on either Hillary or Obama. They set a 66% threshold to endorse a candidate. Agree or not, they are democracy in action.
I also agree that Josh did a great job on Olberman. MSNBC should start a new show with Josh Marshall and Glenn Greenwald. Maybe then we could get the real stories.
February 1, 2008 1:56 PM | Reply | Permalink
I like the idea of MoveOn.org, but in the style and content of the ads, there is often too much "preaching to the choir", not phrased or communicated in a way as to connect with people in the middle, or having other points of view. There is a tone to the MoveOn.org ads which reminds me of the mid to late 60s, after the unity had turned into polarization, and there was a sense of all government institutions being "wrong" or "bad" among young people. In the MoveOn.org ads the new villains are the Republicans: "we're good, they're bad". It is a very different tone from the early 60s. I find this approach to be somewhat arrogant and ideologically rigid in a way which is similar to conservative Republicans, just coming from the left rather than the right. Liberal-Progressive extremism alienated people in a serious way during the 60s, hence, Nixon, Reagan, Bush. Evoking the spirit of the 1960s requires a degree of finesse to avoid such a pitfall.
February 1, 2008 2:03 PM | Reply | Permalink
Hate the new system, can't sign on, giving up. Back to the DailyKos...
I'm a MoveOn member (made GOTV calls in the 2006 cycle), a former community organizer in Chicago's Uptown neighborhood, and a lifelong activist (both in paid and unpaid jobs) in progressive movements (Civil Rights, anti-Vietnam, feminist, environmental, LBGT, anti-poverty, against both Iraq Wars, etc) and I voted in the MoveOn poll for Barack Obama. A lot of MoveOn members are actually Baby Boomers (we all got a laugh as we gathered the first time to do GOTV calls and saw that multi-racial grey hair predominated versus the common perception that MoveOn members were exclusively young and white)and I believe the MoveOn vote demonstrates how deep and growing is the active "old guard" (sigh, I guess we got old) progressive support for the message of Barack Obama.
People like me, women like me, who have been in the trenches doing the hard, poorly-paid but ultimately rewarding daily work of progressive movements for decades (unlike Paul Krugman who has had a cushy tenured job in the insular world of academia) are getting behind Obama.
It's been fun, Josh. And I, too, loved your appearance on air. Hey, what a change for MSM, a smart guy who actually has reasoned, measured opinions on relevant issues.
"Think big, start small, and act now, because later may be too late" - Gov of Papua New Guinea at the Global Climate Conference 2007
February 1, 2008 2:10 PM | Reply | Permalink
What's ironic is that "Move On" was started as opposition to the impeachment of Bill Clinton. The gist was, "censure him & move on." You would send e-mails and faxes to the congresscritters to implore them to move on from the issue of impeachment.
I guess Move On has a different meaning with this Clinton.
February 1, 2008 2:14 PM | Reply | Permalink
Except it's not quick. It's not slow. What is it?
non-functional
I echo "guest" at 2:10. Hate the new system.
CT Voter
February 1, 2008 2:17 PM | Reply | Permalink
Greg, what about older users who can't log on?? I don't want to create a new account and lose my blog at the cafe
February 1, 2008 2:17 PM | Reply | Permalink
MoveOn needs to work on their image as a "radical extreme leftist" organization if they really want to do everybody a favor.
They've allowed that label to be plastered on them by the corporate media and the gop for way too long. Just a little PR campaign that shows people how normal the membership is would be nice.
Duckman GR
February 1, 2008 2:17 PM | Reply | Permalink
Here’s the link to a really funny YouTube ad targeted at independent voters in CA (called declined to state voters – DTS) who want to vote in the democratic party’s primary on Tuesday.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tP9lDAxMZpk
Enjoy. Forward it to your friends.
Sue.
February 1, 2008 2:25 PM | Reply | Permalink
Take that poll with a couple of grains of salt. Trapper on Dailykos received an email from MoveOn thanking him for voting even though he had not done so. Either someone has hacked into Trapper's gmail account or Trapper was stoned beyond belief when voting or, more likely, MoveOn's vote tallies aren't the most accurate in the world.
February 1, 2008 2:41 PM | Reply | Permalink
Moveon should just do that move on. In the past few years they have done the party more harm than good. For the good of the country it is time to think about what it is going to take to repair all of the damage of the past 8 years. Stop thinking me, me ,me, a candidate has to be strong enough to do things that sometimes there party might not like, but it is for the good of the country. Moveon wants the candidate to kiss there rear end, well they picked a good one to support.
February 1, 2008 3:41 PM | Reply | Permalink
BFD.
February 1, 2008 3:41 PM | Reply | Permalink
What good does this do the democratic party? If you watched the debate last night you would see little policy differences between the candidates. For Move On to endorse someone now just creates a further split in our party. I am not writing to change anyones mind about their vote, I just see this as a bad move. I don't believe moderate republicans and independents see Move On in a good light. Although I agree on a lot of their views, sometimes they do cross the line in my opinion. I believe this is one of those times. I wonder what their motive is, other than one that is self serving. They have lost at least one member today. Live Better/Work Union
February 1, 2008 7:54 PM | Reply | Permalink
I echo the experience of the Chicago poster about Boomer representation in Moveon. They recruited eight 50ish folks in my suburban precinct to campaign for Kerry. But Democrats don't need folks to GOTV apparently. I hope Obama can help change the mindset in our party that it's so dangerous to reach out to liberals that it would just be so much better if we stayed home and didn't show our leftie faces at the polls on election day to keep the election pure for the centrists. That worked so well in 2004. Ha! The only bright spot in my GOTV efforts in 2004 were the people who spilled out the front door to tell me how passionately they opposed the war in Iraq. I'm sure they did vote. But I sure will not vote for anyone who still can't admit the vote for war was a mistake. But then I'm a leftie so pretend you don't know me.
February 1, 2008 9:41 PM | Reply | Permalink
It's good for Hillary NOT to get the Ted Kennedy, Kerry and MoveOn endorsements. They are all seen as way left, too liberal. Historically, they never win because of that.
Hillary on the other hand has the Bobby Kennedy wing in her camp. A far better endorsement.
She's moderate and therefore she can win.
Obama is way too devisive.
February 2, 2008 3:56 PM | Reply | Permalink