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Hillary's Talking Points: Hillary And Obama Presidencies Would Both "Change History"

A source forwards me the talking points that the Hillary campaign sent out to surrogates today instructing them on how to talk to the media about Super Tuesday. One jumps out...

Daily Talking Points -- Super Tuesday -- February 5, 2008

CLOSING ARGUMENT:

READY ON DAY 1 TO SOLVE OUR URGENT PROBLEMS

Both Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama would change history by becoming President.

The real question for voters today is this: Who can actually deliver the solutions our country needs?

The "day one" experience argument, obviously, has been a Hillary talking point since the last Ice Age. But here it's being put in the context of an acknowledgment that both she and Obama would change history by becoming president.

The idea seems to be to neutralize the sense of history that's been built up around Obama's candidacy by pointing out the obvious: The election of the first female president would make history, too.

It's an argument that the Hillary campaign has failed to make as forcefully as it might have. Camp Hillary was caught off guard by the surprising success Obama and his campaign have had in making his supporters sense that they're caught up in a historical movement and even feel like they have a stake in the making of history. One wonders whether it's too late for the Hillary campaign to counter this.


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Testing, one, two, three. Testing, one, two, three.

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She's arguing change by evidence of identity politics--which is not what Obama is talking about. That said, this may be an effective way to blunt his change rhetoric IF he and his surrogates don't jump on this pronto.

. . .

I'm so excited for today I can hardly believe it. As for prognostications... Who knows? probably an HRC victory, most likely a tie, with a slim chance of a historic upset.

We'll leave the 2007 Mets comparison for tomorrow morning (crossing my fingers).

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The big upset already happened on Sunday.

I think the big turnout means the party regulars are coming out because it's looking close.

I also am, therefore, cautiously anticipating a big victory for Senator Clinton, although I think the Obama camp and supporters have spun it well enough to keep it going for the next couple months at least.

Hillary wins her expected states and takes an 150 delegate majority = Hillary wins.

Anything less and the headline is "Obama stays close (or matches) Hillary." - even though we know a win is a win (see Obama's Nevada and Florida spins).

Again, this is exciting, good for Democracy and for our progressive side of the aisle, and I'll proudly support whoever my fellow Democrats choose out of this fine field.

Go Hillary!

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The big upset already happened on Sunday.

I think the big turnout means the party regulars are coming out because it's looking close.

I also am, therefore, cautiously anticipating a big victory for Senator Clinton, although I think the Obama camp and supporters have spun it well enough to keep it going for the next couple months at least.

Hillary wins her expected states and takes an 150 delegate majority = Hillary wins.

Anything less and the headline is "Obama stays close (or matches) Hillary." - even though we know a win is a win (see Obama's Nevada and Florida spins).

Again, this is exciting, good for Democracy and for our progressive side of the aisle, and I'll proudly support whoever my fellow Democrats choose out of this fine field.

Go Hillary!

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Two brief responses:

1)

It's an argument that the Hillary campaign has failed to make as forcefully as it might have.

Of course you are right about that, and it is kind of surprising. My Aunt Gail in FL is quite excited about Clinton for this very reason and gets volubly entheused about this when I talk to her on the phone, but I have not heard nearly as much of it from the Clinton campaign itself. For what it is worth, however, I have chalked that up as a mark in Clinton's favor. I kind of like the way that she respects our intelligence enough not to push the aren't-you-excited-I'm-a-woman bit. I would not hold it against her if she sees that this line works for Obama and she has decided to try it herself (it would hardly be the first time in this campaign that she has paid my guy the "sincerest form of flattery").

2) I know that this "who can actually deliver" line is supposed to be one of Clinton's strong selling points, but actuall it is one of the larger reasons why I am in Obama's column. I have dim hopes for Clinton achieving much if she is elected. Wonkish smarts notwithstanding, she has to get things through Congress and history has shown that her husband was most successful when he was trying to get Republican goals through Congress. When he tried to achieve Democratic ends, he was far less successful. Given that the folks who did not like him like her even less, I find it hard to believe that she will be any more successful in building the sorts of coalitions necessary to achieve any goals but those of our opponents. If you doubt the soundness of my suppositions, you should read The Cooper Concerns in todays NYT.

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Anybody still having trouble posting comments?

I haven't been able to post one yet--but then, you'll probably never read this.

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Well, here is a test to try to answer Greg Sargent's question. Earlier today, I tried to post at the Cafe and, though I am 'signed in', my hitting the send button sent me to a page to log in, and that message never appeared, though a follow-up message did appear....we'll see. I think a little friendly guide to the new system might help, for us oldsters who are not what you could call adept users.

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Yeah, thanks, Clinton campaign. I don't think we're really so interested in changing history. I think we're more interested in changing trajectory. And I don't think that's going to come down to issues of race or gender.

But thanks for trying to trivialize the real issues for us...

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Feedback, Greg:
I just tried to answer your question. The 'Hello, DonnaG' was at the top of this page......and my hitting send 'seemed' to work, and perhaps my earlier comment will yet appear. When I hit the prompt to return to this page, though, suddenly I returned to a page that no longer showed me signed in! That 'Hello, DonnaG' had disappeared to be replaced by the log-in boxes.....

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Yeah. Thanks, Clinton campaign. I don't think we're really so interested in changing history. I think we're more interested in changing trajectory. And I don't think that's going to come down to issues of race or gender.

But thanks for trying to trivialize the real issues for us...

PS: These boards are REALLY messed up. I'm constantly having to log in, log out, log in, log out just to post a message. And half the time it doesn't work anyway. Hope it's fixed soon.

They haven't been able to make the argument because it's not going to feel like much of a change at all. It'll make me happy to have a woman as our candidate in the general, but for all of that progress, the reality is that we'll be right back in 2004. Hillary was giving the commencement speech at Wellesley while McCain was in a cell, Hillary was for the Iraq War before she was against it, Hillary was for the Vietnam War before she was against it, and Republicans were against war heroes before they were for them.

I'm tired of fighting about the 60's and 70's. Move on.

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Yes, I am still having trouble posting comments.

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Honestly, I think the average voter understands the historical significance of electing either Obama or Clinton. I don't think it even necessitates being pointed out. Obama's success isn't necessarily tied to his race. People are looking at these two and deciding based on their gut reaction to either. Some prefer the steady-handed, experienced, states-woman image Hillary portrays. Others prefer the fresh, energetic, inspiring image Barack portrays. Its going to come down to a gut vote on which appeals to the individual voter more. I'm not even sure you can predict what that outcome might be. Its a crazy time, but its exciting isn't it?

http://greenpieceblog.blogspot.com

First try at attempting a post in 2 days. Fingers crossed.

Sounds like a dog-whistle to the folks that want to see a joint ticket. It's clear that the Clinton camp have officially adopted the 2 (3?) in 1 approach too appeal to undecideds. That's why Obama's camp, to include Michelle the other day, have tried to push back against the unspoken thought-line of, "if I pick Clinton, she'll pick Obama...". It's difficult to push back against without seeming to be fractious, but the longer it sits out there without being addressed, but more traction it'll get with fence sitters.

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They would both "make" history.
Only Obama would "change" history.

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They would both "make" history.
Only Obama would "change" history.

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This was posted over at mydd.com. Is the election breaking for Hillary?

Is the country breaking from Barack? (none / 0)


In the last day of polling before NH, something changed - and the pollster did not notice until it was too late. Rasmussen, for instance, had the race dead even on the final day, but the mechanics of the tracking poll hid the effect.

Rasmussen and Gallup, though, both have a huge movement in yesterday's national polling: Hillary is way up, and Barack is way down. The sample individual sample sizes are on the small side, but they both have Barack nailed around the 35% mark - Hillary's number is volatile.

Rasmussen: 47-35
Gallup: 55-34

Average: 51-35

The underlying data since 28 Jan:

Gallup Polling Tracker
HRC BO HRC BO

28-Jan 45 36 43 34
29-Jan 40 38 42 36
30-Jan 43 43 43 39
31-Jan 45 42 43 41
01-Feb 56 37 48 41
02-Feb 37 53 46 44
03-Feb 48 40 47 43
04-Feb 55 34 47 42

Ras Polling Tracker
HRC BO HRC BO

28-Jan 42 33 41 32
29-Jan 40 32 41 32
30-Jan 44 41 42 35
31-Jan 46 37 43 37
01-Feb 45 34 45 37
02-Feb 56 43 49 38
03-Feb 38 43 46 40
04-Feb 47 35 47 40

Average Polling Tracker
HRC BO HRC BO

28-Jan 44 35 42 33
29-Jan 40 35 41 34
30-Jan 44 42 42 37
31-Jan 46 40 43 39
01-Feb 51 36 47 39
02-Feb 47 48 48 41
03-Feb 43 42 47 42
04-Feb 51 35 47 41

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I think most folks have this right. Hillary's people think that Obama is popular as the 'change' candidate because he's black. It's not -- that has little to do with his appeal as a "transformative figure" and "agent for change." I think it has a lot more to do with the fact that he's of a different generation -- he's not caught up in the right/wrong side of the Vietnam war. He expects the battles to be about the issues -- not about him.

The fact that Obama was the third black Senator since reconstruction -- and the only one currently serving -- was celebrated, but quickly forgotten. The fact that Nancy Pelosi was the first female speaker was celebrated, then forgotten. People think its great that non-white-males have the opportunities and even greater when they seize those opportunities.

But Obama's message isn't about that. He's working under the assumption that THAT's already possible. His message for change is about leadership that doesn't try to alieante people, transparency, and the actual, god's honest belief that government exists by/for/from the people.

That's why Clinton's me-too message falls flat.

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Ugh. I just wrote a long post ... and then TPMEC reverted to some ugly 1995 internets view and I think it might have lost it.

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Yeah, I've been having the same problem ever since the latest changes. What works for me is to log out and then log back in again. Every. Single. Time. I. Want. To. Post.

In the words of Casey Kasem:

"It's ponderous, man. It's just f*cking ponderous."

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along---

Does Obama have a time machine?

My concern about Hillary is that the change she is speaking about is only about the change represented by having a woman or an African American president. In other words, her sense of change is about herself and her victory. Obama's sense of change is not about himself so much as about the possibilities for our country with a different kind of politics, a broadened participation, and a different kind of leadership that could call us all to a renewal of our deepest and most generous democratic values. I don't have a sense she even understands what he represents.

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Exactly. But I think she knows exactly what he represents. She's just hoping to marginalize him by preying on the easily confused. Allen Raymond, incarcerated dirty trickster for the RNC, put it this way in a recent article for the L. A. Times:

"What really needs to happen is for voters to learn how campaign operatives use demographics to manipulate them and lead them down a predetermined path. Knowing how the machine works would give them the ability to pause and decide if the choices they make at the ballot box are merely reactionary or are truly in their best interest.

Most voters are led by the nose to the voting booth still convinced their ballot is cast of free will. What they really need to ask themselves is not, "What's wrong with the system?" but instead, "What am I going to do about it?""

http://www.latimes.com/news/opinion/la-op-raymond3feb03,0,5876498.story

I know you guys are still working out the kinks...but man this is frustrating. The kinks still exist.

When you post you are changed to as Gnopple said and 1995 looking page and when you try to come back here you have to log back in. Something is still way off in the system.

Not fun.

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i dont see how electing bill clinton to a third term would make history...

Seriously though, with Obama it feels historic. I don't get that feeling with hillary. With Hillary its more like, been there done that.

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How is getting there because you happen to be married to a former president, changing history! Two wives of Juan Peron have already blazed that trail, and the current woman president of Argentina has followed her husband into the office, so Hillary, you are not changing anything. On the other hand, the election of an African American candidate to the Presidency of the USA would be an actual globally significant historical precedent.

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If I were in charge of debugging this board, the first thing I'd look into is how session ID's are being saved. Seems to me the data isn't getting written to the cookie properly (or not at all).

I tried to post this around an hour ago, and it has still not posted, so I will try again. I apologize if this ends up posting twice:

Two responses:

1)

It's an argument that the Hillary campaign has failed to make as forcefully as it might have.

Indeed. My Aunt Gail in FL is volubly entheused about Clinton for just this reason and will let me know it every time I talk to her on the phone, but I have not heard much of this line from the Clinton campaign itself. For what little it is worth, I counted this as a mark in Clinton's favor that she respected our intelligence enough not to try the aren't-you-excited-I'm-a-woman line. Now that she is trotting it out, however, I am hard pressed to hold it against her, because it is really nothing more than an instance (one among many) of the "sincerest form of flattery" of Obama and his campaign.

2) I know that the "who can actually deliver" line is supposed to be a strong selling point for Clinton, but for me it is exactly the opposite. One of the stronger reasons why I am for Obama is that I have dim hopes of Clinton being able to accomplish much of anything in the White House. Resistance to her will simply be too great. I know that any democrat will encounter resistance, but not like Clinton. She does not possess the skills necessary to build the coalitions which will be needed to achieve anything more than the hollow "victories" of triangulation. Anyone who doubts this supposition of mine should read The Cooper Concerns in today's NYT.

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Here's another abbreviated shot at posting:

- HRC misses the point of the historical importance of the election; not about race or gender;

- When Obama was elected as the 3d black US Senator since reconstruction, it was celebrated and promptly forgotten;

- When Nancy Pelosi was elected as the first woman speaker, it was celebrated and quickly forgotten;

- Obama's candidacy isn't important because he's black and "has a real shot." It's important because it's a generation change beyond the Vietnam war divide. He can heal those festering wounds; he can equate liberalism with the purposes FOR liberalism -- equality, justice, fairness, transparency & participation in government.

Right now, liberalism is "owned" by Hillary's generation -- it's locked in a mortal combat with extremes. It doesn't have to be. Liberalism has been frozen to a caricature since Nixon's supposed "silent majority" roared back into power. We haven't had a national liberal leader since then -- President Clinton had to 'triangulate' and incorporate major conservative principles to eek out his plurality.

My point is that we remain 'locked' in this mindset with Hillary. It's NOT because she's a CLinton, or because people don't like Bill; it's because she embraces the warrior role -- fighting a war that can only be tied, not won.

We have this UNIQUE opportunity -- when there is no incumbent, and a nation THIRSTY for something new. That was Obama's point with Reagan -- he recognized his historical moment and swept conservatism into the American dream. Obama can do that for liberalism: equate it with common sense.

Obama represents that chance to move on and "change." THAT'S why his is a historic candidacy. It's nothing as minor as race or gender.

Umm...but Obama can lead on Day One too, so what exactly is your point Hillary? You don't have any better experience than he does, in fact he has more experience as an elected official, and he has had more success in getting things accomplished than you have, so, again, what is your point? Is your point that you've spent more time physically inside the White House than any other candidate, is that your unique "experience" that makes you so super duper prepared for Day One? Is it because you know exactly where the restrooms are, so on Day One when you really have to go, you know the shortest route? What exactly is your point...? You may be older, you may have more years listed on your resume, but there isn't anything impressive there, and your biggest accomplishment to date has been developing a failed health care policy behind closed doors. And I'm supposed to be impressed? You have time and time again shown either horrible judgment or a complete lack of political will (Iraq, flag burning, landmines/clusterbombs, etc), again, am I supposed to be impressed with your "leadership"?

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Hope is important. If hope for change can motivate previously apathetic young people to get involved, the Obama's candidacy has done a service to our country.

This being said, a certain amount of realism has to come into play. As much as internet bloggers, and university professors, movie stars and students scream for change and line up to vote in primaries, there will still be a GENERAL ELECTION IN NOVEMBER...has this sunk in on people yet?

We will NOT be voting for the BEST FRESH FACE.
We will NOT be voting for the most TELEGENIC.
We will NOT be voting for the most INSPIRATIONAL.

We will be voting for the most CAPABLE and EXPERIENCED. (Change, by the way, also scares the hell out of a lot of relatively conservative Americans without whom the election simply cannot be won. So change, yes, but to a REASONABLE degree.

Obama's speeches are about...change, change, change...(not the first time voters have heard that...)

"Change?" you say? Just what are your REAL POLICY DIFFERENCES with Clinton? Or do you feel that if you start giving specifics you might start sounding like a policy wonk and make yourself vulnerable to the same attacks that Hillary has had to deal with?

Granted, it's hard to criticize his record...he has done so little...besides voting Present (safe).

At some point this mindless banter will start to ring HOLLOW.

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I just wish the obama crowd would stop insulting MY intelligence. Unlike his naive and ignorant supporters I remember hearing this message before. Every new guy argues for changed. Our problem is we want change without fighting for it. If you think you can get it without a fight with the DC estalblishment you are naive and ignorant of the reasons behind the CLINTON battles of the 90's. THe DEMS have a real problem. They get tired of the fight and move on to some new canidate who is harping change without having the guts to stick with those who are already in the fight. All you change blowers, the reason why we have not changed anything is because we fall for the establishments rhetoric everytime and jump on a new bandwagon. For once stick with the fight. You want to know who the DC establishment candidate is take a look at the endorsement. They want OBAMA so they can leave the 90's behind, an era that started a progressive movement and now you are buying into the garbage that we need to moveon. It was not clinton that divided this country. Reagon promised us all a new mourning in Am then proceeded to screw us over, I hesitate to fall for that line of change again. I choose to keep the fight going not run away from it. After all civil rights and sufferage did not happen over night.

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Good grief. I wish Hillary would be called out on her shtick of marginalizing Obama's biggest asset. I'm glad to hear a bunch of folks here pointing out she completely misrepresents what Obama is standing for... she rings us all back a decade or two with her concept of change.

Obama says he will fundamentally change the way Washington works. Not that he's a black man.

Hillary is a total witch to try and claim some of this "change" that she speaks of as if she's reliving the Women's Rights Movement.

Makes me puke.

Too bad 3/4 of the country only watches her deliver these lines on TV and nothing more.

Our country is simply dumb and makes decisions off of soundbites.

Case in point... CNN's poeple reader thing during the debates.

Go ahead, carefully study the lines as they move. The minute someone touts a talking point, the line shoots sharply up or down.

Total suckers. No wonder politicians get away with murder. literally.

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