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Hillary's Closer -- A Big Moment, Or Not Enough?

Here's Hillary's emotional closer at the debate, which the on-air pundits are already saying was the breakout moment of her performance tonight. The Hillary camp is hoping that it packs a powerful, game-changing punch. But does it? Is it enough?


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I've already heard a number of people say that it presaged her concession.

What think you folks? I'd like to think so, but I'm undecided.

I agree. It seemed to be a moment of baton passing. I also thought she was letting the voters off the hook to a certain extent -- 'I'll be fine; I just worry about the country,' etc.

The tone suggested concession. I think it was unintended but accurate - a Freudian slip of sorts.

Hillary has said " I am honored to be" part on previous debates, and the day after her campaign has gone back to attacking Senator Obama with the same petty stuff about words, that she used in this debate.

She is not going to concede. That is not in her nature. Do not be fooled.

I thought her closing was almost a concession. If she had appeared as genuine throughout the campaign, perhaps things would now be different.

I still think her campaign is done and am guessing March 4 will be the end. Though I will wait to see.

It sounded like a goodbye.

It was an excellent response but it also sounded like she knows her campaign is essentially over.

Obama was very strong. He acted like the campaign isn't over, the main event is just getting ready to start.

My one and only question is, exactly how many seconds after she finished her response did it take for her campaign to email the media bragging up what a great response it was?

Ahem, "Whatever happens, we're gonna be fine..." For a moment I thought John Edwards was back in the race. Talk about a Xerox moment.

Courtesy of the commentors over at Barack Obama Website:

Everything's going to be fine

It might have if she hadn't gotten booed for nastily snarking on Obama for "lifting whole passages" from other's speeches and then doing the same thing herself in her heartfelt closer.

We'll see how it plays out tomorrow. Maybe the rest of the MSM is so invested in seeing this thing go the distance and/or so afraid she'll throw another chair, they'll give her a pass on this otherwise irresistable bit of hypocricy.

It's too bad her answer was stolen from John Edwards.

As Ben Smith, who is a frequent contributor to TPM noted, here was Edwards at the December 13th debate saying almost exactly the same thing:
"What's not at stake are any of us. All of us are going to be just fine no matter what happens in this election. But what's at stake is whether America is going to be fine."

Of course they didn't brag about how part of it is lifted verbatim off something Edwards himself said two months ago.

My take on Hillary's closer was that it was her last statement on the campaign, and not on the debate.

I think she went in there tonight with the plan that she would attack Obama (when finally given the opening) on the "plagiarism" claim, fighting the fight that her campaign wants her to fight. But when her Xerox line got booed, and Barack continued on through the debate keeping things polite and yet making his points, Hillary really didn't want to have to pull her Penn moves and get more boos.

Without being able to pull any more punches, she had no choice but to concede the evening by accepting that she has to concede the race. She closed the night echoing Edwards and her own husband, shaking hands with Barack, getting emotional, and gracefully giving up.

That's my hope, anyway.

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Good analysis. Obama handled whatever she dished out, and her choice was whether to look magnanimous or petty in the process. She lapsed into pettiness twice -- the Kirk Watson snipe got lost in the context of bigger issues and Obama never even had to respond -- and neither worked well. Her conciliatory tone, I think, was the only way not to get beat.

Greg:

Didn't Josh suggest that part of that was lifted from her hubby Bill? If that is true (and it gets out), I think it will come back to haunt her.

That being said, I think the Clinton campaign is going to try and spin this for all it's worth since she didn't score any blows tonight (and frankly got her arsed handed to her most of the night).

As touching as it was, it made me squirm that both she and McCain could face these horribly wounded soldiers and not realize the role they played in sending them to such a predicament, to sacrifice so much, for no good reason other than lies and triangulation.

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Oh, c'mon, it was gracious of her to say she was honored to be up there with Obama. Had she done something similar after the past few primaries -- congratulated him on his success, acknowledging the historic nature of their campaigns -- perhaps she would indeed be in better shape today.

Hillary Clinton really did take that "the hits I've taken are nothing compared to.." line from Bill's 1992 campaign.

Normally, no big deal, but after the "Xerox" line, what gives here?

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It sounded unscripted and genuine, but I wouldn't call it a game changer. I think she conceded the argument about super delegates, and this almost sounds like she's considering conceding the nomination.

The genuinenes and unscripted moments are often good for Hillary, but this is probably too little too late.

My one and only question is, exactly how many seconds after she finished her response did it take for her campaign to email the media bragging up what a great response it was? I'd put the over/under at 15 seconds, which gives you an idea of how "genuine" I think it was.

I always hear about how cynical reporters are supposed to be, but then they go for stuff like this hook, line, and sinker.

Good call... "(Her campaign staff was so thrilled with that closing that communications director Howard Wolfson put out a statement moments after the debate ended that proclaimed it as "the moment she retook the reins of this race and showed women and men why she is the best choice." Time will tell.)"

I'm an Obama supporter, but I thought it was the best moment of her campaign. It kind of reminded me of Gore's concession speech from 2000. Both moments reminded me of why Gore and Clinton might be better people than candidates. Having said that, I'm really looking forward to Obama's general election campaign.

I heard it as a goodbye also - I was pretty amazed.

What was Josh's remark about Bill in 1992? (last entry in the debate thread) There's someone over at Kos posted a diary about Hillary's plagiarism, expecting Josh to expand on it...

But then nothing!

LOLZ!

I do have to give her credit. I mean, some of her lines were obnoxious. Complaining your opponent is all about "speeches not solutions" and railroading over Campbell Brown to get in your line about "innovation nation" doesn't work, and the Xeroxing thing was just plain awful. But she also did try to portray herself as a human being, and she's at her best then, and I wish she'd done more of it in this campaign.

It seemed like you could see the two forces of her campaign at work--the Mark Penn scorched earth, and the Mandy Grunwald saving Hillary.

Again, though, the plagiarism thing was stupid and made her look petty. It seemed like she realized it, though.

She sounded so fake. Did anyone else notice this? She didn't have the common courtesy to congratulate Obama on his wins throughout the last 2 weeks. Now all of a sudden she is gracious enough to claim pride for sharing a stage with him? Gimme a break. The sheeples' standing ovation made me lose confidence in Texas.

Let's put it this way: someone's spouse said that this was the "fun" part. It would be for a politician. But HRC is clearly exhausted.

Here is my armchair take on the Clintons:

WJC is the true politician. He *loves* to campaign. This is absolutely required in a politician. Hell, he loves campaigning now!

HRC is someone who found a way to sort of end-run that process. She had a helluva political machine with key contacts in major Dem strongholds. She had a huge list of wealthy donors. Most of this was built upon or inherited from WJC rise to Governor and POTUS.

Am I saying that HRC didn't participate in that buildup?

No.

But just as every rock band needs a star upfront, who shines -- even when he feels like crap -- a politician is someone who, as Patton would say, "loves the sting of battle."

I think that HRC's advisors convinced themselves that other Dems would be too scared to run against her, or wouldn't have resources. She would then get the nomination and run a GE against an unpopular, incumbent party.

In short: despite claims to the contrary, she have never been truly vetted in campaign (Obama has far more experience here) and didn't think this campaign would be as difficult as it's become.

This explains the reasons why she wanted a front-loaded primary season, and hasn't thought long term down the road. She was fighting a Blitzkrieg type war.

Obama simply has been able to run the Marathon that HRC never trained for.

The irony is that Obama has truly been vetted as a politician, whereas HRC has not.

I thought it was gracious - the first sign (or second, after refusing a flat-out damaging attack earlier) to her supporters that it was OK to support O, now and in November. She just saved her senate leadership options - and saved us all a lot of grief - WE HOPE!!!

What a hypocrite!

Testy attacks, "xerox" remark.

Then at the end, copying Edwards! Ha!

If tonight's close was a good-bye, what's she going to close with next week? "And when Obama's hopes are confounded, I will be ready, with 39 years of experience..."?

"I thought it was gracious - the first sign (or second, after refusing a flat-out damaging attack earlier) to her supporters that it was OK to support O, now and in November."

I don't think it was gracious enough. Too little, too late. Especially after the Xerox remark.

Classic Hillary: When given the choice of following advisors who said to go negative, and others who said to hold back, she split the difference and did both.

Heh.

John Edwards: "What's not at stake are any of us. All of us are going to be just fine no matter what happens in this election. But what's at stake is whether America is going to be fine." [Democratic Debate, 12/13/07]

John Edwards: "I want to say this to everyone: with Elizabeth, with my family, with my friends, with all of you and all of your support, this son of a millworker's gonna be just fine. Our job now is to make certain that America will be fine." [Edwards Speech, 1/30/08]

didn't change the trajectory of Edwards' campaign and he said it first -----

She sounded so fake. Did anyone else notice this?

I'm with you, Brett. She started with "You know, people ask me how can I go on..." sounded a lot like the moments before the tears in NH.

And then she almost got to tears here.

There were enough obviously scripted moments in her talk tonight ("xerox" comes to mind) and the fact that her closer statement didn't answer the question, makes me feel that her handlers wanted her to get in one last huge emotional appeal.

If I'm cynical, it's because I grew up on the Bush-Clinton way of politics and so make no apologies for my reaction.

I do admit, however, that she was effective in that moment and probably scored with exactly the types of voters that were drifting away from her.


"HRC is someone who found a way to sort of end-run that process. She had a helluva political machine with key contacts in major Dem strongholds. She had a huge list of wealthy donors. Most of this was built upon or inherited from WJC rise to Governor and POTUS."

HRC also never seemed like someone who enjoyed this. She dwells upon her "battle scars". She nurses her wounds, cultivates enemies, and recedes into her safe innercircle of trusted loyalists.

However fine we may think her close, it can't possibly counteract this disastrous article in tomorrow's TIMES, indicting her for financial mismanagement of her campaign:

http://www.nytimes.com/2008/02/22/us/politics/22clinton.html?hp

"It’s easy to be critical, but had she won Iowa, none of this would have mattered. It wouldn’t have mattered what she spent because money would have come pouring in,” said Hank Sheinkopf, a Democratic political consultant and a veteran of Mr. Clinton’s successful 1996 re-election bid.

Had those people earned their multi-million fees, she would have won Iowa!

Makes you wonder about her tax returns, right?

Ready for the coronation from day one... of the campaign.

the only thing that's ungracious are all of the comments in this section. apparently, hillary supporters have all "cleared out" from TPM leaving it open for all the obamaites to treat themselves to lots of endzone dancing... let's not forget how many millions of us are having to face the prospect of holding our noses and crossing our fingers while voting for Obama in november...

kensdad,
sorry to disappoint you, but you are one of a very small minority of people who will have to hold their nose for Obama. The vast majority of Democrats clearly think that both he and Clinton would be outstanding candidates. That shows up in every single poll. Don't delude yourself into think there are many people who share your feelings.

And yet, research tells us that only 23% of the 20 to 24 year olds who have gone to college can find Iraq and Iran on a map, even if the countries are labeled. How do you explain that? Bad research? I wouldn't put a lot of faith in those polls.

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It was gracious and seemed to indicate that she'll take the high road in the near future (March 4th, 5th, or 6th and concede.

Every Dem wants to unify soon and Obama is emerging as the winner. The last thing we want or need is a drawn out battle with strong-armed tactics and the possibility of superdelegates overruling the will of the people. For the first time in this campaign Hillary offered us HOPE - hope that she'll exit with grace.

Given that she made such a big deal about the alleged plagarism by Obama, I think the fact that she borrowed from Edwards and her husband, I think whatever benefit she initially derived from it will be lost when reporters start pointing it out (Obama won't do it).

Although I thought Sen. Clinton's last answer of the debate (about crisis in her life) was sincere and moving, I couldn't help but think as she mentioned watching the wounded and disabled veterans at an event she attended, that she herself was partly responsible for their plight because of her unwise vote to go to war in Iraq.

I think it was a concession handshake. I also think it was very possible that she has had the riot act read to her by very important Democrats. "Disagree with him, but do NOT drag him down!!!" Either that, or she figured it out on her own. I think she has started thinking about life as a Senator from New York, and maybe more in an Obama administration. She sees the advantages of not upestting her fellow Democrats.

Smart comments, Joe. She may not be highly visible in the GE, but she sure doesn't want to lose her visibility in the most exclusive club in the US. At some point, she is alienating people she will be seeing on a daily basis.

A reality that Penn and cohorts won't have to deal with themselves.

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Look, Hillary Clinton's biggest problems are that she's not gracious and doesn't show true feeling. This statement was both gracious and seemed to show true feeling, so I give her full credit. It was easily her best response in the debate. Much to my chagrin, Obama's last response was his worst of the debate--rambling and incoherent. And he had been doing so well. Ah well. I don't think it matters at this point. And it did seem like Hillary was accepting what appears to be inevitable.

Not only did she not congratulate Senator Obama on those victories, but she did not even thank those who voted for her in each of those states, and she is the person who threw a hissy fit about a perceived snub at the State of the Union. Look at how she has snubbed all those people who came out and voted for her in the past ten states!. She has no class.

well, i mispoke there... i won't be holding my nose, but i will be holding my breath. i don't feel very confident voting for a freshman senator who has been running for president longer than he was in the senate when he made the decision that he was qualified to be president.

Looking back to history, you will find great Presidents who did not come to office with dazzling resumes or decades in politics. You will also find Presidents who had tons of experience and turned out to be mediocre at best.

To allay your worries, you might consider reading more into their background and accomplishments to see what they've done and what they stand for. Here's one link to help you get started:

http://www.dailykos.com/story/2008/2/20/201332/807/36/458633

What a wonderfully condescending post. Just when I think I'll feel sorry for him when he walks into the buzzsaw, I run into an Obama supporter.

I can sympathize entirely, because I find exactly the same dynamic comes into play vis-a-vis Clinton. Every time I see her in a forum like last night's debate, I realize what a great nominee she would be, but then I encounter the boorish condescension of her supporters and find myself reconsidering. It is a pity that one can be distracted by such irrelevancies as the idiocy of a candidate's supporters, but there is it.

I didn't mean for my reply to be condescending, so I'm sorry that you interpret it that way. His issue seems to be with experience and qualifications, and that's what I was addressing.

Hey Greg!

You got the HRC email about her last comments changed the campaign and you didn't just laugh at it??

So, basically you're becoming a stenographer too for them?

How about you tell people reading the post that you just received one of the 10,000 fired off emails trying to spin the debate and that's why you're asking?

The more & more I hang out here, the more disingenuous I'm finding your post.

Minor side point, and I may have missed this earlier, but does anyone know why Obama's notepad kept flapping up-- was there a fan trained in his direction or something?

Anyway, I agree with others-- she handled her final answer very well, with a truly *conciliatory* tone, thank goodness. Yet she sank to the silly/petty/lame level earlier esp. with the Xerox "xinger." That was just sad (it doesn't even make sense if you think about it...)

Of course, the pundits will play and replay this and her final moments since that is the easiest thing to do. Wonder how many will pick up on her "plagiarizing" Edwards/WJC phrasing?

I saw that, same thing with HRC's. It's hot under those lights and I bet since 1960 all handlers have a "Nixon Sweat" clause that the networks have to sign before they accept a debate!

I think the fact that we have all been conditioned to doubt her sincerity even when confronted with a moment like her close tonight is the number one reason she loses this nomination.

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Hillary's last three minutes were very human and certainly connected. Based on three minutes I will now forget her dishonesty, mean-spiritedness, vote for the war in Iraq, victim politics, corporate coddling, selling of influence, neopotism, lies about Monica, petty plagairism charges, arrogance. Based on three well-crafted moments, I'm ready to embrace the Bush Clinton dynasty and a self-serving,greedy, crony-filled, Bush-like presidency. I am changed forver.

Right

the media has done their job superbly! democrats believe that hillary clinton is insincere... too bad that the other message that the media is pushing is that mccain is a man of integrity!

You are such a whiner. Those sour grapes are eating away at your insides.

On fuller reflection, it is clear that she had at least the outline of this talk in her head when she came in. If she keeps this tone, it will be a valuable and outstandingly gracious contribution to the party and the nation. Hopefully, it will also send a message to both the new 527 group and to her increasingly unhinged supporters in the Hillaryis44/Taylor Marsh section of the universe to keep the nuclear weapons in the bunker.

There was also a strong element of "and maybe, in the process, I can get a little of that New Hampshrire thing working for me too" built into it. that's fine too. Nothing wrong with a little forking.

The problem was that she folded in material she lifted from John Edwards and another quote she lifted from Bill. As Josh said, that's fine. It is what politicians do. Its fine.

Except its not fine when you unleash a rehersed, calculated snark attack on your opponent for doing the exact same thing in a way that's so nasty you get booed less than an hour before you do it yourself. That's not fine. That's hypocrisy and, perhaps even worse, its horrendously short sighted if it happens to encapsulate exactly the kind of crap your opponent has been running against.

This should have been a pretty clear either/or in her reputedly meticulous debate prep. Either use the "xerox" swipe, or lift from John and Bill. Pick one. You can't have it both ways. It won't work and you'll play into the other side's hands. But, as usual, she did try to have it both ways and the resulting dissonance is a convenient metaphor for why her campaign has failed.

It is also, btw, a good example of why she's not ready to be Commander in Chief, no matter how much she thinks she is. If you don't even have enough tactical and strategic sense to see why this is a problem, you are not the person I want down in the situation room when there's a crisis. The job is not about being decisive or making decisions. Its about being able to see how your decisions fit together and could intereact in the future.

But all that aside, she gets big points in my book if it really turns out she's decided to ignore Penn's advice to pull out the flamethrower and keep in classy come what may. On the other hand, if she only put the flamethrower away for the debate, I've got a lot of ugly words in reserve I haven't used yet.

Wonder how many will pick up on her "plagiarizing" Edwards/WJC phrasing?

I think the plagiarism issue died tonight. The Xerox comment, with the following boos from the crowd, ended the line of attack from the Clinton side. Obama will not make an issue of any apparent Clinton plagiarism because he thinks it's nonsense.

What a farcical debate when every question posed--except the last one was posed to Clinton first. She did all the policy leg work, she had all the facts, she had all the detail and all Barack--low bar-- Obama had to do was say, "I agree for the most part..." and then add something she didn't mention and he looks like he held his own. When will voters elect someone president other than a guy they can drink beer with or one who has no genuine ideas of his own and parrots other people's ideas and lines?

http://www.boston.com/bostonglobe/editorial_opinion/oped/articles/2008/02/21/turning_hope_into_action/

Well, then I guess anyone can become nominated. Why don't you go ahead and give it a shot?

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When will voters elect someone president other than a guy they can drink beer with or one who has no genuine ideas of his own and parrots other people's ideas and lines?

Jeebus H. Crikey, some people just never freaking learn.

Try here. Or here (h/t valen upthread.

I don't know why I bother. You're not going to read those anyway. You're happy in your comfortable little delusional world.

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We can debate whether it will "re-energize" her campaign, was pulled from Edwards, or it was a strategy to pull in some sympathy vote ... but I don't think it matters.

I think if anything, the voters have proven this cycle that they don't care anymore about the keeping score, horserace aspect of elections (at least this time). A good line here, an attack here, it's not changing the trajectory of this election ... and thank God. The point I make isn't about Obama or Clinton as candidates, it's about the style of campaigning. Obama has been consistent from the beginning and it's paying off. He hasn't relied on playing the media, instead he's obviously out-organized and out-campaigned Clinton among the voters.

Clinton is a fine person, and she had a fine close, but in this election, I don't think it changes the flow of the trajectory. She had a good moment, and the crowd rewarded her for it, but to think the entire electorate is going to pull a grinding about-face b/c of it disregards the overall progress of the campaign thus far.

I am an active Obama supporter, but I'm not going to hate on Senator Obama. Her final response was her best response of the night. She felt authentic and unguarded, more authentic than she has seemed in 16 years of my watching her. (I agree, too, that her response seemed to presage her eventual and soon-to-be delivered concession speech. As did her husband's observation that losses in TX and/or OH would end her campaign.)


Does it save her campaign? Not likely, in my judgement. That single moment won't rewrite the meta-narrative that has been attached to her (that she will do and say anything to "win") in one fell swoop; in fact, if she should suddenly turn into Emotional Hillary, many will assume that she is only play-acting at authenticity. Given her history, many folks simply assume that "The Clintons" are classic politicians--with everything negative that label assumes.


Should her campaign try to spin her best moment of the night? Sure. That's what they're paid to do. But, I'm not going to assume a fixtionalized presentation, especially in the absence of actual snark.

..... drink a beer with Obama? Screw that I would rather visit Havana and Damascus and possibly talk to people that have been told are completely different than me.

We voters are not stupid, or are we?

Can we all not see that Hillary is for Hillary and that her motivation is for herself and not for the country?

Here is a candidate that first criticizes the use of only words as words and then gets anointed from the media by a closing speech that moves people due to words that are not even her own. See John Edwards’s speech. Did she give credit to Sen. Edwards for those words?

Here is a candidate that talks about the fate of the troops and the senseless of it all and she is the one who sent them there.

Here is a candidate that takes a stand and now backs down from it because of the political incorrectness of it all as view by opinion polls. If the war was popular by public opinion she would not be backing down of her vote then!

Here is a candidate who criticizes Obama for not holding debates and in the New York Senate race she would not agree to any debates once her lead was in double digits against her opponent.

The problem with Hillary is character and her inability to connect with the common person because she has never been the common person and is acting like she is.

Just look how she has handled her campaign and read tomorrow's New York Times article and you will see her in action. Just look what a disaster she had in health care in Bill's administration.

Here is a candidate that talks about Obama having substance and yet she has none of her own.

Lets bottom line it : She is a person that cannot be trusted!

I think it was sincere and genuine, but I think it was also planned. Maybe it was meant as a concession -- or, at least, a sort of resigned "whatever happens happens." But I also know that Hillary's support has always been strongest when she appears most vulnerable and so I wouldn't discount the notion that this was tactical move more than a rueful farewell. It may also strike a chord with people who aren't sold on Obama, but have been put off by Hillary's attacks and lack of graciousness. I don't think she's giving up, and I think it would be premature to write her obituary just yet.

It was a fine moment for her, and overall, I did think it was a preparation for farewell. I think at some point in the debate she knew it was over- not only that she had not changed the dynamic of the race, but he had neutralized most of her attack lines- she's not gonna go anywhere, but she's preparing- herself, her staff, and her supporters for her ultimate exit.

Interesting, there was a story earlier in the Times about the divisions in her staff with Penn and Ickes on one side (attack, win at all costs), Grunwald and Wolfson on the other (longview, preserve her legacy). Tonight, it seemed like she was trying to play both strategies, and at some point realized that she had to go with the later, because the former was not going to do it for her.

We voters are not stupid, or are we?

Can we all not see that Hillary is for Hillary and that her motivation is for herself and not for the country?

Here is a candidate that first criticizes the use of only words as words and then gets anointed from the media by a closing speech that moves people due to words that are not even her own. See John Edwards’s speech. Did she give credit to Sen. Edwards for those words?

Here is a candidate that talks about the fate of the troops and the senseless of it all and she is the one who sent them there.

Here is a candidate that takes a stand and now backs down from it because of the political incorrectness of it all as view by opinion polls. If the war was popular by public opinion she would not be backing down of her vote then!

Here is a candidate who criticizes Obama for not holding debates and in the New York Senate race she would not agree to any debates once her lead was in double digits against her opponent.

The problem with Hillary is character and her inability to connect with the common person because she has never been the common person and is acting like she is.

Just look how she has handled her campaign and read tomorrow's New York Times article and you will see her in action. Just look what a disaster she had in health care in Bill's administration.

Here is a candidate that talks about Obama having substance and yet she has none of her own.

Lets bottom line it : She is a person that cannot be trusted!

She really was great at the end. Why did she wait so long, perhaps she too used to campaigning the way she does.

She was trying to use the debate to see if she could ratlle him, make him stumble, if he had we would have heard the closing from her but a stinging rebuke.

When she saw he did not stumble, and she did with the Xerox remark, she finally called it quits.

I think she found new supporters with that, not votes but people who will hate her a little less.

It takes some gall to vote soldiers into war, marvel at their horrific and disfiguring injuries, and then say that one's only goal in life has been to insure that the less fortunate receive as many opportunities as I've been blessed to have had.

What I find incredible is that everyone seems to be looking for some "moment" that is supposedly going to transform Hillary into the winner in one fell swoop. Obama wins 11 primaries in a row in landslides, yet if Hillary can eke out a 3-point win in Texas, it will be the greatest comeback of the century and Obama will be in big trouble. How does that work? Hillary can win both Texas and Ohio and it won't change a thing as far as delegates go unless she wins by 25 points in both races. And that ain't gonna happen.

I predict an Edwards endorsement of Obama is coming and the Clinton camp knows it. They know it is over.

It was her finest moment, and it was the closest she has gotten to him rhetorically in a year.

She proved his point: words do matter.

Given how tight the public polling is in Texas, I curious as to what the respective campaigns internal polling numbers show? Is the writing on the wall?

Although I can't help but feel it was rehearsed, it was one of the strongest moments of her entire campaign (that's not saying too much). I think midway through the debate tonight (probably after the "Xerox" joke fell flat) she came to the realization that this thing isn't going to go her way. She has a long career as a public servant and influence-peddler ahead of her, why throw it all away tarnishing her own image in a losing cause? I don't think she ever really drank the punch that Penn and Wolfson were serving her, she's always seemed too smart and in charge for that. I think we'll begin to see the wind-down of the HRC campaign for the Democratic nominee for POTUS, and the first sign this hunch is correct is that her flegling 527's make a hasty retreat in Texas and Ohio.

Enough for what?

To win Texas and Ohio by 25pts, like she needs to?

No.

Not true that she needs to win by 25%. 5 or 6% would suffice according to a recent study. These are big states, remember, and Hillary can win in big states. In fact, in big states the Dems need to win to carry the GE, like Florida, she even beats McCain by larger margins than Obama does.
Sure Obama now does better against McCain than Clinton does nationally, but that doesn't mean anything in a winner-take-all Electoral College environment. And don't forget before we get all excited: Dukakis was up by 17 pts at this stage.
McGovern was the last to believe that a rack-up-the-Red-States strategy would work for the Dems. It can work to get the nomination, granted, as we seem to be seeing here...

how would 5 pts be enough?
she is down about 160 pledged delegates.
there are about 300 delegates in tx,oh. winning by 5 pts will catch up by 15 or so. that's not enough.

In fact, in big states the Dems need to win to carry the GE, like Florida, she even beats McCain by larger margins than Obama does.

Not to put too fine a point on it, but she is not beating McCain by larger margins than Obama; she is losing to McCain by smaller margins than Obama. That is to say, she is (at least at present) the more competitive candidate in Florida, but she still loses. This reinforces a point that I have been making all along - neither democrat is going to carry a single southern state. Not Clinton, not Obama. Just like Kerry and Gore. The business of winning this election will not be the business of taking southern states; it will be the business of flipping midwestern and western swing states like IA, MO, CO, NM and OH while holding onto the swing states which we won last go around (MI, WI, WA and PA). It is Obama, not Clinton, who shows more promise (according to present poll numbers) to do that. To lose sight of this point in favor of who loses by less in Florida is to miss the forest for the trees.

Speaking of racking up red states, neither Ohio nor especially Texas have gone blue in a while.

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Like nearly everyone, I thought it was a strong moment for her. First, it was a very humanizing moment for her, and that can't do anything but help. To me it suggests the opposite of the notion that "she would do anything to win", which has been the undercurrent of many criticisms of her, her husband, and her campaign. I think that this will potentially drive down her negatives and help her.

Maybe it's like a lesson from the old Kung Fu TV show or something like it, where the master teaches his student that he is unlikely to get something if he wants it too much, or at least convinces everyone that he wants it too much.

Excuse me while I go make some green tea.

From TalkingPointsMemo, Hillary's last line was lifted from none other than Bill Clinton:

http://talkingpointsmemo.com/archives/179614.php

I hope this is the last we hear of this "plagiarism" business...

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I thought Clinton's performance tonight was very mercurial, which suggests to me that she is physically and emotionally exhausted. Obama also seemed very tired and horse initially, but seemed to draw strength and energy from the debate, and was very strong in the second half.

Clinton started out very well, with a lot of positive energy and confidence, and then inexplicably decided to go with the crassly negative Xerox line which bombed with the crowd and put her back on her heels for most of the rest of the night, until her final remarks.

I'm afraid I do think the initial portion of that final speech was calculated and inauthentic. As soon as she began with, "people ask me how I do it," I immediately recognized that phrase as the famous question from the Portsmouth, New Hampshire moment where she "found her voice". Clinton then went into a series of sob stories which frankly seemed planned and designed to make herself well up. But she didn't seem completely engaged there with what she was doing. I think by this point she has so many conflicting ideas in her mind about what she is trying to do that she is unsure of herself. She's got Mandy Grunwald telling her one thing and Mark Penn another - and probably Bill a third thing.

But I do think the final moment where she took Obama's hand and said in effect that whatever happened to her, she would be fine and Democrats would go on to win in the fall, was sincere and effective, and that it was even a moment of genuine bonding between Clinton and Obama, even if it is true that some of the words she used were derivative.

And like many others, I interpreted those closing words as a swan song. While many might be moved by them, and soften toward Clinton as a result, I don't think it will really get her any votes, and might in fact lose votes, because it seemed like the beginning of a concession.

I'm a big Obama fan and would like to believe that the nomination is his, but before we write all these HRC obituaries we should probably pause to remember that she CURRENTLY LEADS in the polls in both Ohio and Texas!!!

nah. TX is tied, and with a 7% lead in OH, she has lost about 16% in just over a week. she'll probably win OH, but she needs to get 70% of the vote in BOTH states to win enough delegates to catch up, and win a couple of states that she's not expected to win in the meantime also.

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Clinton Summary... OK sorry .... but nothing appeared authentic... the snide looks -- I've had it... please will someone give her the necessary message -- that we have our candidate and it's not her... Sorry!

NOR as a VP candidate. For us to tackle the republican and media attack machine we need someone who is NOT a lightening rod to deflect from the strengths of our presidential 'candidate', that being Obama. Plus, we need a VP candidate that has the nuance to holdback from making The bad/feeble stident judgment calls trying to make dramatic hits that don't coincide with a 'real-time' free-flowing debate format...?

Some of her responses were just plain weird...


Jesus, Obama is caught lifting his lines from a friend, he reads victory speeches from a teleprompter, and all people can come up with is that Hillary's scripted?

Of course it's a campaign. Things are scripted. And I'm amazed that with Hillary working on her husband's campaign so many times, being First Lady with him 20 years(? 12+8?), using the same writers, having strategy sessions, and of course simply being married, that people think her saying something from Bill's campaign is comparable. Who knows how many background suggestions of hers made it into his campaign. Is that her plagiarism or hers, or simply cooperation?

Whatever it is, the point is that she's throwing proverbial stones from a glass house.

Obama's last victory speech was not teleprompted.

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Jesus, Obama is caught lifting his lines from a friendwho also works on his campaign and who has said they share words and ideas, and that it was perfectly fine for O to use those words, he reads victory speeches from a teleprompter as opposed to index cards or the back of his hand, and anyway I got the memo from Mark Penn about that, and all people can come up with is that Hillary who lifted lines from Edwards and her own husband [i]s scripted?

There, fixed that for you. You just left a few things out.

Is that her plagiarism or hers, or simply cooperation?

Now you get to explain why Barack using Deval's words with permission is so Very Different. Is that plagiarism or simply cooperation? Gotta be plagiarism, right? Right?

Criminy.

hoffmaid,

Commanders-in-Chief do sometimes order soldiers into battle. It's part of the position. A good Commander-in-Chief does this grudgingly and only for good cause. There's nothing contradictory about that and trying to make sure others have opportunities. Life doesn't always give easy and just decisions.

And many people don't seem to realize that a Commander-in-Chief has to use some sharp elbows sometimes on the world stage to get things done and to protect our interests. If that's the only tool in the toolkit, it's bad policy. But Hillary pushed for the White House to use diplomacy and verification and on-site inspections as the preferred step. And she had assurances from supposed wise, respected, honest voices in Washington, such as Colin Powell. If you recall, Bill Clinton used the military a number of places, but our military didn't suffer very many casualties. Use it, don't abuse it.

desidero,

Bill sending our military into the Balkans without Congressional debate and authorization was, IMO, wrong. Congressional debate and authorization was required.

In regard to the Iraq Resolution, Congress (including Senator Clinton) should have debated long and hard--and without the intent of kicking the can to the president to make the final decision on timing of the war. This was a pre-emptive war and should have been debated thoroughly and shelved if need be.

In the Post Cold War world, Amerca seems to be embarking on swaggering around the world and making pre-emptive action our hallmark. I'm having none of this. None.

America is not the only side of the coin--do you suppose that folks in the Balkans or in Iraq did not die, get injuried, have to migrate, or just plain suffer? Or don't these folks matter?

Congress will HAVE to revisit our post Cold War foreign policy and Obama is just the person to force that. And please respond with the "world is a dangerous place" tired and facile argument because it is meaningless. Those of you believing this with every fiber of your being need to start living in mile-deep caves to protect yourselves from the enemy of the day.

Of course the on-air pundits thought it was the highlight...they aren't deep thinkers now are they?

She may have meant some of the verbage, but she's walked herself into the iron queen tag through her past actions.

I believe she has real emotions. I also believe she is one heck of a pol and knows she's going to lose unless she changes the tide. She's trying putrid negative both air and mail, and believe it she'll try emotion.

She even might have been saying goodbye to a national audience...I'll believe it, and give her full credit for this when it happens, when I see her give up the race of her own free will.

Like she says, she has 35 years of very calculating experience. One two minute snippet is not going to change my mind.

Besides, the rest of the debate she looked wonky and rambling when side by side with Obama. He's just too smooth and quick for her.

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Hillary's statement "The hits I have taken every single day" will inspire us for generations.

Wonkette has both the Bill Clinton and Edwards quotes Hillary "lifted" meshed with Hillary's here. This whole plagiarism scandal was always beneath Hillary, but since she insisted on attempting to shame Obama in the debates and ensured all the newspapers the next day would headline with "Change we can xerox", she should accept being caught out herself.

http://wonkette.com/359517/hillary-plagiarizes-john-edwards-bill-clinton

I do not however think Hillary's use of other people's phrases or Obama's for that matter, is that big a deal. She does.

I do applaud Hillary however, for making a point in her final remarks to indirectly reassure Democrats that she is as or more concerned about the party's victory as she is about her own.

I think it was a breakout moment. You saw Obama visibly annoyed at the standing ovation it received and tried to attract the moderator to get a rebuttal finish. But as he was always given the last word in each of the exchanges at the beginning, it was fitting that at least this last time she could end an exchange.

Clinton dominated the debate with her poise and command of the issues. On health care, she nailed it down that her solution is the right one. On talking to our enemies, she was convincing in maintaining that the presidential visit is a reward for making progress, not an initial concession to break the ice so to speak.

On the whole, the debate was cordial. She avoided going for the jugular (with exception of the Xerox comment, which didn't go over too well). He did not use the usual sexist attack codewords, like in this one:
"I understand that Senator Clinton, periodically when she's feeling down, launches attacks as a way of trying to boost her appeal. ... .." http://www.taylormarsh.com/archives_view.php?id=27029

Whatever happens in the next few weeks, Clinton comes out of this statesmanlike and a future asset to the Democrats.

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taylor marsh is about as credible and objective as rush limbaugh.

you might want to dislose that when you link to her hate filled site. Whenever i go there all i see is her (and her commenters) bashing Obama and treating him like he's the anti-christ or something for daring to challenge Hillary Clinton. Doesnt he know she's entitled to the White House, damn it?

What a bore.
If you like Obama then he "won".
If you like HRC she "won".
Hillary can't pull off the huge upsets she needs on the 4th so the nomination will be Obama's unless those pictures of Michele pole dancing for the Duke Lacrosse surface.
Now that McCain has been immunized against the philandering charges (which, given his age, are as much a plus as minus in many circles... he certainly wins the Viagra vote) Hussein is toast. Milquetoast at that.
No need to document the many ways that the flip flopping, for timetables before he was against them, tax and spend surrender monkey will be cooked, carved. and served up for public consumption. Obama will succeed in making cannibals of us all.
But who can decide which will be worse? a disastrous and humiliating Obama campaign ending in a sound thumpin or a disastrous and humiliating Obama presidency when after the first nine months America wakes up to a hangover and massive buyers' remorse.
On no! Not another naked Emperor Jones!
Probably the latter would be most repellent; fortunately it is also the least likely scenario.
One thing for sure, it'll be bloody.
And listen up: that's Obama crying Wah Wah Wah RACIST! all the way to the woodshed.
What a tedious and predictable minstrel show his campaign has become.

Funny and I thought the moderators were horrible as well.

"What a tedious and predictable minstrel show his campaign has become."

Ladies and gentlemen, we have the troll winner for the night.

I don't mean to "cry 'racist.'" After all, there were plenty of blacks and whites in minstrelry.

It seemed fake as hell, I mean c'mon seriously. Maybe I just know her too well to believe anything that comes out of her mouth, but her actions show she only cares about her political ambitions, she doesn't care about her party, or the voters (who don't vote for her), or the states (which don't vote for her), or the rules when they don't help her...she doesn't care about the people, give me a break.

And yes, she was a total hypocrite because in the process of being fake at the end she managed to steal lines directly from Edwards.

I think the debate was a wash, no advantage to either.

I would have allowed the candidates to go further along the lines of health care and not have stopped the discussion on what was I feel a gnuine difference in their campaigns.

I did not like the Campbell moderator and thought that the panel would have been better with Anderson Cooper, Lou Dobbs, and Blitz asking questions.

I thought the moderators were second rate and let the public down, I sort of liked the Hispanic guy.. he seemed to be able to go with the flow, but really disliked how Campbell kept interjecting and a preset amount of time with a buzzer to allow the audience to know they had gabbed to long would have been welcome.

Too much stump speech and no substance, and they should have been allowed to discuss health in detail.

JMHO

Nice, she apparently stole the "hits" line from Bill AND the "we're going to be okay" line from Edwards, very classy.

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I think that this was clinton highlighting the end. She is out of money and really can't be competitive. Alter was saying after the debate that a smart move on her part would be to concede before more blowouts on 3/4 and he might be right. It might be a smart move and set up a future run.

It was really kind of sad, the clips that I saw. I stopped watching the whole debates about 10 debates ago. How many times can they say the same things over and over again. Boring.

The xerox statement reminded me of the kindergarten attack several months ago. She really didn't seem into it. It obviously was a scripted attack and she didn't want to do it. It's kind of funny doing an attack that someone told you to say when attacking someone on a bogus allegation of plagiarism. The fact that she really wasn't into it is a good reflection on her character, which leads up to the following quote, which is right on target:

It made me wonder how her campaign might have gone had she not been given (and accepted) so much bad advice. There were reports this week that Mark Penn wanted her to go even more negative than she has so far. That approach would have been catastrophic tonight. And it made me think of Bill Clinton's advice to John Kerry in 2004, that he come out in favor of those anti-gay state amendments in order to undercut the right. I wonder how many of her greatest mistakes, including her 2002 war vote and her subsequent refusal to acknowledge it was a mistake, came from men like Penn and her husband.

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/rj-eskow/who-won-tonights-debate_b_87916.html

If she just would have been herself and been honest, she really could have pulled this off. She has made mistakes forced upon her, which she accepted, for decades. That doesn't reflect well on her. She should have stood up in the senate on the iraq war vote. She should have tried to accomplish more. She should have stood up to mr. bill. Sadly, she didn't.

Anyway long post, but I think she has gotten a raw deal because of those around her. By the way, some people have talked about her being majority leader in the senate. No way. The dems in the senate would never put her there. There are too many bitter memories from the clintons first two terms. Sad.

We are only near the end of Act 1 in this tragedy. Call it Hubris.
Act 2 is Nemesis and stars Obama alone.
In Act 3 we will see that whom the gods wish to punish they first make Dem nominee.

I really fail to understand why people thought that whole borrowed (from Edwards) bit at the end was such a huge home-run, other than that Clinton was finally acknowledging publicly that her opponent was getting the best of her. I don't even think that's what she meant to say with the "I'm so honored...", but I think that's what everyone heard. And that's what got the applause, really.


No evidence Obama used Deval's words "with permission" before the fact. Of course he can quote the Bible, Shakespeare, MLK or the Bhagavad Gita.

But it's Obama who made the big issue about "words being important". Is it who came up with them, how they're spoken, which ones you choose? Should we have Ted Koppel running for office because of how he reads/speaks? Should we have Favreau running because he writes most of the words? Should we have Deval Patrick running because he better expresses the idea of change and words? Are we allowed to compare Deval Patrick's record as an example of what Obama's words might translate to in practice? Are Michelle's words important as well? [Seeing as ABC chose to bury them the night before the Wisconsin primary]

By the way, Obama misled when he noted that Patrick is part of his campaign - Obama's been lifting Patrick's words since before last summer, as Jake Tapper points out (link below). Even though Obama claims Patrick supposedly gave his go-ahead last summer. Why didn't Obama just say, "Yeah, I liked his words, no problem, beginners borrow, professionals steal?" But typically politicians borrow the ideas and repackage the words, at least slightly, not quote verbatim whole passages. Why is this important? Well, if the big reason people favor Obama over Hillary is the loving words he uses, Hillary can simply hire Favreau after the nomination. Once the campaign is over, filling 20,000 people stadiums isn't high up on the job description. Reaching across the aisle is a nice idea, but most of the reaching has been done by Hillary, except for asking Republicans to cross over and vote in Democratic primaries and caucuses and a begrudging "you're likable enough". And as Hillary said after the Xerox comment, roughly "we have to come together, but around specific goals, to overcome the opposition of those who do not want universal health care", etc.

http://blogs.abcnews.com/politicalpunch/2008/02/deval-patricks.html
Patrick in June 2006, at the Massachusetts Democratic party convention: "I am not asking anybody to take a chance on me. I am asking you to take a chance on your own aspirations."

Obama one year later, as quoted in USA Today: "I am not asking anyone to take a chance on me. I am asking you to take a chance on your own aspirations."

There's more.

you know not whereof you speak. Keith Olbermann on Countdown already did a story on the incident you mention. you conveniently forgot to mention the whole quote, which included the phrase "I'm going to steal a phrase from Deval Patrick, because he steals lines from me too..."

I would say 'nice try', but it's pretty sad that you either don't understand the situation but feel fit to comment on it, or you do know and are being disingenuous. I mean, I watched the video of it on Countdown, the Boston Globe wrote about how they exchange lines (Patrick was frequently described as 'basing his campaign on Obama's') and strategize together.

what I find interesting is that both Patrick's and Obama's opponents employed the same generic line of attack against them - that they are full of pretty words but can't be trusted, they've never done anything, don't / can't possibly know what they're doing, etc. for some reason, Clinton is never asked to back up her own assertions about Obama, she gets a free pass to say he's done nothing when she as a Senator knows full well it's not even close to being the truth. funny that.

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If Hillary redeemed herself, great. More importantly, we effectively have a nominee. Time to move on. Re much of the post-debate "analysis", I agree with this sentiment from American Street ...

Think strategically, act locally

Let the partisans bleat. Obama doesn’t have to say a word and can remain more classy by leaving it alone. After all, ultimately, they’ll return to being allies when the primary season concludes.

What truly progressive partisans should be doing is pointing out the things I just noted about McCain in letters to local editors, all across the nation. Just because the Times and WaPo and blogs cover these things doesn’t mean it’s getting to the eyes of near enough voters. That kind of local action repeated by a few thousand can profoundly impact the presidential race. Commenters touting Obama and Clinton to each other has proven a terribly inefficient and annoying way for progressives to spend their time with the ripe target of McCain looking like a sitting duck.

Inevitably the GOP will try to turn around McCain’s campaign finance squeeze. They’ll say the Democratic Senate is blocking the quorum needed so the FEC can grant him a reprieve. But it’s not an easy argument for them to make because it suggests Bush’s appointees would issue a partisan decision favoring McCain.

The general election campaign hasn’t officially started and McCain is financially hamstrung with a fresh round of revelations to face that diminish his strength as an ethical reformer. What more could a Democratic nominee ask for?

Though I’m not a man of faith, there sure seems to be an overabundance of seemingly divine intervention going on. I just hope all the Obama and Clinton partisans and even more liberal progressives quit aiming at each other and use these gifts effectively by going local with their efforts. So much is falling in our laps and instead of gloating, we should be thinking strategically. It’s what winners do.

Hear, hear. The internecine battles have become tiresome, but we’re nearly there. At some point, I think most of us will figure out that the partisan vs bi/post-partisan argument we’ve been having amongst ourselves is actually much less critical than we’ve imagined it to be … once we have a nominee, it won’t really matter which side we took in that argument, since even nominally “post-partisan” Obama supporters like myself are committed to winning for our party in the GE.

For those who took umbrage at a perceived lack of partisan fervor on our part during the primary, well, guess what, good news my friends, that process is nearly over and you’re now free and welcome to unleash your partisan attacks on our shared opponent. Going forward, if you’ll pardon me while I make friendly overtures to non-Dem voters in the hopes of bringing them to the party, you can be assured that I’ll be cheering on all your efforts at undermining our opponents in less subtle ways.

That said, what remains annoying at the moment are those self-proclaimed fierce partisans who insist on sneering at our likely nominee during this 11th hour. But I suppose that too shall pass. If it does not, I’m not sure how they’ll defend any reluctance to engage on their party’s behalf, considering the enormous prior efforts they’ve made to convince all of us that the only good partisan is an obvious partisan. IOW, now that we’ve got our nominee, please, don’t mind me, and go be the kind of partisan you’ve told me I should be. If you balk at that, I’ve really got to wonder if all your partisan bluster wasn’t just a lot of talk about yourself and your own disappointment that events on the ground didn’t go according to *your* plan. If that’s what’s bothering you, please try to keep in mind that it’s about the process, not the person … we can all agree on that, can’t we? Your theory of partisan retribution and my theory of change can get along just fine and together get us to where we all want to be.

It was Obama and his fans who bleated that they would support McCain before voting for HRC. That was supposed to be one of his selling points.
For myself, spare me the rectitude. Not ready to make nice.
If I knew who to credit for the metaphor I would but the important thing is that many many of us are unwilling to turn the asylum over to the inmates.
Obama is the Nader of the 21st century; not gonna drink that kool aid.
But congratulations, if and when they become due, on your Pyrrhic victory.

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Tit-for-tat = ba-ba-ba-bleat

Time to appropriate the language of the candidate who should've won and focus on solutions, no?

Yeah, classy Obama as always. From Shakesville:


Yes, for the record, "I understand that Senator Clinton, periodically when she’s feeling down, launches attacks as a way of trying to boost her appeal" is indeed a sexist dog whistle.

Once again, I'll note that the same person who is almost universally regarded as an orator of unrivaled competence, who is heralded as a linguistic maestro gifted with the talent for launching a political movement with the mere power of his well-chosen words, cannot believably claim to not have had the slightest inclination that "periodically feeling down" might be construed as having a double meaning as applied to a female opponent.

http://shakespearessister.blogspot.com/2008/02/periodically-speaking.html

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Sure it has a double meaning.

Assuming that you do not take into account the fact that all humans feel down(and up) periodically. Some might even argue that men have the same monthly cycle (sans blood) in terms of emotion that women do. If everyone isn't allowed periodic ups and downs, then what are we allowed?

But I bet that makes me a sexist.

If the obamabotcultists see racism in every shadow... the clintonistas see sexism in every man.

And presumably Obama's so clever about words that who would check his wife's stump speech for anything hugely embarrassing. A stump speech: "the first time as an adult I've been proud of America". Someone should be fired. But then they spun it and acted like she said this impromptu to reporters - of course there were at least 2 versions out there, one with "really", one without. Why did it take so long to to do damage control? Still don't know. But it doesn't matter, Michelle's not part of the campaign so isn't news, that's why ABC buried the story but praised the "clarification". Unlike Chelsea Clinton, who's "pimped out" and even dissed a cub reporter. Takes a detective to work out the trail.

Yes, all these things stick in your craw. After years of McCain as the last honest man, we've now got the 2nd. Especially when Obama fans think he's had a rough ride, taken as hard as it gets.

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Whatever's stuck in your craw, in my craw, it's time to clear our throats and let rip with a hymn to heal our party. Or something like that. At this point, I need to get sobered up and ready to go.

wait, are the names on the ticket Michelle Obama and Bill Clinton?

wouldn't that be a bit, how can I put it, *unconstitutional*?

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Obama was very presidential. Even during the heated conversation about Health Care, Hillary went overboard trying to imply that Obama DOESN'T WANT everybody to have health care. Even he said, that they BOTH want health care for all, they just differ in specifics of how to get there. She blew that.

She also blew the last question about her worst crisis -- she reminded folks of BILL's impeachment - bad times. She should have said, 9/11. Obama messed up too by just discussing his growing up years.

Hillary's last comment was meant to get people to FEEL SORRY FOR HER. They let out that they are in Debt too yesterday -- hoping to draw more money. Pundits claim it was her GOODBYE statement -- they are full of it.

Coonsey's View
www.freewebs.com/coonsey/

>>>Yes, for the record, "I understand that Senator Clinton, periodically when she’s feeling down, launches attacks as a way of trying to boost her appeal" is indeed a sexist dog whistle.

Er..... how about his comment being a rather more polite reflection of a comment she made about him earlier on (after NH I believe but not sure) when she said that she could "understand he's feeling desperate right now" when asked about something negative he'd said? Put it in context. He made this statement when asked about something negative she had said about him after she lost a primary. I suspect he thinks "politically" a lot more readily than he thinks "hormonally." BTW, as my name implies, I'm a woman and didn't take it as a sexist statement at all ..... just another bit of *political* put down. She was FEELING DOWN because she had just LOST a primary!!

yeah, that's what happens when people try to apply a purely academic interpretation to an off-the-cuff remark, as opposed to an academically-produced document. not applicable.

If she is such a tough seasoned fighter, like she is always claiming, why is it that Senator Obama has put her on the canvas in each of the last eleven rounds of the fight.

Since she can not land a glove on Senator Obama, then that proves that Hillery is all Glove and no Punch.

When is "I have been snubbed" Hillary going to thank those who came out in all kinds of weather, to vote for her in the last ten state contests? To date she has not done so. How classless can she be!

Isn't there another debate before March 5? Or do you think she'll cancel that one? She having conceded and all? All he has to do to win the nomination is beat her in Texas, Ohio or Pennsylvania. If he wins just one of those states, he's the nominee. How hard can that be?

Billy,

MSNBC debate 2/26.

You're right. After Wisconsin Chuck Todd (MSNBC) did the delegate math and said (I'm summarizing from memory) that Clinton would have to win by 65+% in TX, OH, and all states remaining just to marginally take the delegate lead. Extremely unlikely, especially on a win all basis.

Todd calculated it further by applying wins to the states that demographically favored the respective candidates (based on pre-Virginia primary exit polls). Using that algorithm, Todd determined Clinton would have to win with 70+% in those states and by the same huge margin in TX and OH.

I believe those calculations included results of voting in MI and FL.

Whatever spin either camp is employing today or tomorrow, it is virtually impossible for Clinton to win the primary from a mathematics perspective.

OBTW, one qualifier. I think Todd's "marginal delegate lead" = elected delegates. Super delegates would apply after the fact. I don't think I'm wrong, but my memory is just not as clear on super vs. elected. But to a certain extent, the super delegate factor would be relatively moot since the probability of 65+% or 70+ wins by Clinton in all those states is extremely unlikely.

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At the end, just before she says, "No matter what happens," she pauses and looks down, reading this off her notes. This was obviously a prepared moment, as was, likely, her reaching her hand across to Obama.

Passing the torch.

Surely she spoiled things, as others have said, by prior attacks, xerox remarks, but nevertheless, she needs a future... the electorate needs to heal here, and it will be important that her supporters also move to shaking Barack's hand and the hands of his supporters.

I think she will do a superb job in the Senate. Barack needs her help passing legislation.

Let us all set aside conflict here. And work for the good of the country.

No she finally sounds like the candidate I would have supported. I've been for Obama since early last Fall and everything her campaign has done since the new year just made me angry and disgusted (see Bill Clinton). I've always respected her and felt for her after Bill's picadillo with the intern. But I think Obama is the better leader to make things happen (see Change and Hope). I reallly wish she continues to be this gracious in the coming weeks and I can once again feel good about her again.

Yes, Elizabeth2, and he used the "pulling out their claws" metaphor because he was using a claw hammer, right?

While I won't pretend Hillary's run a perfect campaign, she's running against the media. Imagine Bill saying he's only now proud of America the night before a primary and not having it appear all over the news. What happened after Florida? The press decided to simply ignore it. Wow. The Republican legislature effectively silenced the Democratic primary. What happened when Obama lost Nevada? He spun it as "delegates matter" (so why wasn't Hillary 2nd in Iowa?). The press played along. South Carolina? Bill said "Jesse" - ohmygod, I must faint. Meida repeat. New Hampshire? "Voting irregularities, the polls couldn't have been that wrong" combined with the "fake tears". And just all the Chris Matthews/Tim Russert/Maureen Dowd comments to pave the way, what with media frenzies over Hillary cleavage and pantsuits.

Could be worse - she could have been John Edwards and been completely locked out of the news when not talking about his haircut or bashing him on his wife's cancer.

a) Michelle's comment was all over the news
b) it would be even more worthy if Bill had said it, considering he was president and thus might have something to be proud of!
c) it offends me to my core that people are saying the "claws" thing is sexist. it's a common phrase, man or woman--someone on a news show found several examples of people using it about John Edwards. there is so much actual sexism in the world (see: Chris Matthews) and it belittles it when people do this.

It was a rare moment of graciousness from Clinton. But after all the negative personal attacks, it seems too little too late. She was looking for her own future and also probably received pressure from the DNC to not ruin the Democrats chances in November.

It also did seem like a prepared remark. I think she may have been hoping for Obama to make a big mistake, but it didn't happen. At the end, she knew she will lose.

As a concession speech it was a "floater" if you can imagine a concession speech being a floater. Kidding aside, it was a concession of sorts. It is the same kind of message a coach may give when his 1-9 team goes up against a 9-1 team. "Just go out there and play your hearts out, have fun. It's the game that counts."

So she is saying if she loses it's not the end of her life, she is still a senator, and Chelsea is smart, and she and Bill are very rich. And despite the fact that she hates Obama she likes him.

But she will still fight, but with other tools. They are not trying as hard to win primary elections (they are LOW on money) as convince the DNC to seat ML/FL and to win over as many superdelegates as they can.

So my answer is yes, she is conceding she will lose the fight for committed delegates through the primaries, but she thinks she is going to win in Denver.

In other words, as of last night, Hillary's next firewall is Denver.

I think she knows she isn't going to get any kind of a fair shake from the press and the media. And that her ending statement was her last shot at saying what she wanted with out being cut off like she was the whole debate. Barack Obama was aloud to run his mouth with his empty words, that have nothing to back them up but sound good to idiots. Words without substance spoken to people that have no substance, that is who you want to be your next leader.

It's too naive to think Senator Clinton conceded last night.

Clintons don't like to loose and they'll say anything or do anything to win.That's not a myth. That's not an accident. It would be a utter mistake to underestimate Hillary Gladiator Clinton.

It's not done until it's done.

She's still ready on day one....errr, the day before TX and OH to let out a good cry again.

I agree with the posters who pointed out there's a bit of, um, inconsistency in trying to cash in politicall on the maimed troops when, were it not for her utter lack of principle and political ambition, might not have had their lives utterly destroyed in a senseless war.

Shorter Clinton: "Me and John McCain will do everything in our power to scare the American public into supporting more wars in service of the oil and defense industries, and then will try to capitalize politically by telling sob stories about how bad we feel about all of the carnage our cynicism has caused."

This is what Obama is talking about when he talks about "politics as usual." She disgusts me.

it's ironic that she couldn't say goodbye using her own words... especially with the stinking hissy fit her campaign's been throwing all week about "borrowed words"!

the writing's on the wall for some time, and hillary and bill are finally starting to comprehend what it says.

it's my sincere hope that hillary will take the important lessons engendered in this primary season to heart, take responsibility for her arrogance and plethora of mistakes, and come back some day to run again with a more appropriate level of preparedness and NO sense of entitlement. because these are the things, along with extremely poor judgement with regards to the virtue of smear and it's ramifications, which torpedoed her campaign. times have changed, the people of america have changed, and even the gop will find that their bag of dirty tricks won't work like they used to.

her first mistake was impatience, embodied in the act of throwing her hat in the ring this particular election cyle. it would have been MUCH wiser politically for her if she had let the bad taste of the first scandal ridden, polarized partisan politics clinton era - and her vote to approve the iraq war resolution - mellow and fade into a far more distant memory in the minds of voters before she ran.

Unfortunately, it doesn't sound concede-y to me at all. She chose to be gracious and, dare I say it, genuine, as opposed to snide and crappy. Had she sounded like this over the past couple months, I might actually have considered voting for her. But it's too little too late and I can't help but doubt her motivations. She sees that everything she's thrown at Barack has failed.

I think she sees graciousness as her last best hope.

Hillary is at her best when that guard comes down, and you see the raw emotional side of her. Thus, the last line (even if it was used by Bill and Edwards' before) was her best line - she seemed a genuine person.

Having said that, I thought the debate was a draw, neither she nor Barack won it. However, she HAD to have a knockout, and she tried, and failed, to throw Obama off his stride.

Hillary was showing a conciliatory side, a gracious side, and I think it is a very strong indicator of what is going to happen come March 5th.

Both campaigns have internal polls, and I'm betting she sees the writing clearly on the walls and is preparing for pulling out of the race. In the meantime, if course, she will do what is expected and try to win Texas and Ohio, but after she loses Texas, she is going to hang it up.

I want to start seeing more info on how Obama is going to go after McCain, and we saw a little of that when he looked into the camera and talked about McCain being wrong about wanting to stay in Iraq for another 100 years.

The economic message should be honed further as well. They need to press the McCain-Bush economic policies and hammer that home.

I do not think that anything that Sen Clinton did last night will be "enough" (although I do not have cable, so I was only able to watch highlights of the debate on YouTube, not the whole thing, so it is possible that I missed a sense of the totality). That said, I think that she acquitted herself well and demonstrated, once again, that we would have been lucky to have her as our nominee had she won, just as we will be lucky to have Obama if he wins.

Or is it that Hillary knows that Obama's assassination is imminent? ("Whatever happens, we'll be fine." Reminded me of that BBC drama, "House of Cards".)

Not to mention Drudge's current lead story:

Police concerned about order to stop weapons screening at Obama rally
http://www.star-telegram.com/667/story/486413.html

Sorry. I spent an hour a couple of weeks ago talking with a Huckabee acolyte who called Hillary the anti-Christ and continues to believe that she was involved in Vince Foster and Ron Brown's death. Still, we had a civil conversation, and despite it all, I'm still on board with Hillary and her experience. How the heck will Obama ever combat McCain's war rhetoric? "I marshaled the troops of urban renewal as a community organizer"?! I don't think so. Hillary's shored up her Commander in Chief credentials throughout her Senate career, making her strong enough to argue against McCain's Iraq platform.

Dear Mr Ginzberg,

I make no pretensions to any sort of clairevoyance, so my own predictions could well be wrong, but I find yours to be rather implausible. Sen Clinton's military bona fides might be more impressive than Obama's, but only in the same way that Tom Cruise looks less like a dwarf than does Gary Coleman when they are standing next to Michael Jordan. If this really comes down to a fight about who is better prepared to lead the military, either democrat will lose. The business of winning this election is not the business of out McCaining McCain, but rather the business of shifting the terms of debate onto fronts which are more favorable to democratic strengths.

Obama has been doing just that this whole time. Clinton has been trying to make this race about experience and he has successfully managed to shift the focus to other subjects again and again. That is what needs to be done against McCain, and by this point it is much harder to see how Clinton can do as much than it is to see how Obama might.

good post, greg.

It feels like a ploy to me. Act uplifting and genuine while your 527s play the negative stuff.
No way this is over.

"It's too naive to think Senator Clinton conceded last night.
...
It's not done until it's done. "

The voice of reason

TPM! Where's the update?
Everyone is playing up the horrible Xerox
line, sometimes mentioning the boos and sometimes not, and at the same time championing HRC's final statement, without bothering to mention the obvious hypocrisy involved with the whole thing due to her borrowing lines from Bill Clinton and John Edwards.
Also, since when does someone score points for an obviously rehearsed speech and handshake. If she was so damned proud to be on stage with BO, then why didn't she acknowledge his victories the past two weeks during her concession speeches. Everyone seems to be ignoring this, in order to ramp up the horse race again, after Obama effectively put it to
bed. HRC will be right back on the stump spewing her same old lines today, but the media will not bother to report it in the context of her great
moment last night.

I think she did in her best way concede last night but I wish I am wrong I would wish she would blow this party up. I think in a year or 2 or 3 we will be here you all being played as suckers with our own Bush #2. I hope you all are right and I am wrong but in my gut I see a guy just like Bush was. No plan voted in on a see of popularity only selling himself real well. It's not about losing, hell I've voted since the McGovern days and have lost alot, it's about being played for a sucker. That's what it feels like here. So with that in mind I would hope she would say fuck it let's fight on but it seems she's said I'll stay in the Senate and remain an viable option in the future. This is not the end of HRC, don't you believe it. Don't kid yourself. She's only 60. I just hope We aren't disappointed by Obama. I think we will be. I hope I am wrong.

Gah'bless John McCain for his service to the country, but I think Barack's got the drop on him when it comes to Iraq. The "surge" is (slowly) being exposed for the fraud that it is, and Obama will have ample opportunities to make his case against McCain that this war never should have happened in the first place.

Then there's this:

http://blogs.abcnews.com/politicalpunch/2008/02/military-donors.html

Expected jingoism aside, I think he'll fare well in this arena against McCain. Any talk of a Wesley Clark-ish running mate?

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Is there something wrong with me that Hillary's scripted closer for the most part made me cringe? She blew it with the silly snarky plagiarism remarks,she failed to rattle her opponent who was having a very good night despite a head cold, so she reprised the "how do you do it" question all on her own hoping for the New Hampshire effect. Again, it was all about her. How does SHE do it. How does SHE get up every morning... I found it to be calculating, self-serving and bordering on self-pitying because she knows the nomination is slipping away from her. In the end, I think what brought the audience to its feet was her recognition, finally, of the formidable candidacy of Sen. Barack Obama, his victories, his superbly organized and run campaign, a belated gesture for which I would have given her a standing ovation as well and au revoir, adios.

About her closing speech, and how blatantly hypocritical it was given her attacks on Obama for plagiarism:

http://thepersonalispolitical.tumblr.com/post/27015007

She loaned $5M. People started to pour
more money.
One reportedly even said something along the line
of "Why didn't you tell me you needed money?"
$15M in 15 days ... nearly the same rate as
Obama's in January.

She supposedly said goodbye. More of her
supporters going to come out and vote.

Wasn't that the idea, hmm?


~ Jess

According to their FEC reports, in January, Obama raised $35 million, Hillary raised 13 million.
http://ap.google.com/article/ALeqM5iU_P23eyGmxqE8EEa7ba6r86BpIwD8UV18GG0

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It would have been a bigger moment if her "sincerety" was actually, you know, sincere.

Instead to show how much she cares about america and how warm and compassionate she is, she rips off old lines from her husband and John Edwards.

She couldnt think of her own words? She couldnt think of something SHE wanted to say. But hey if it worked for Bill in 92, it might work for hill in 08.

And it doesnt help that Howard Wolfson immediately put out a statement claiming that that speech was why Hillary will be president.

And i was thinking, doesn't that just underscore that it was nothing but political posturing done for political reasons? And that is wasnt a warm sincere moment, but rather a cold and calculated one that was thought out well before the debate transpired?


Wow. You guys (in the comment thread) are hopelessly captious and stingy. But maybe that's because Greg Sargent's question is based on a captious and stingy premise.

I guess you all missed the part at the end where Hillary got a standing ovation.

Therefore, judging the reaction of those who attended the event, the answer to the question "Was the closer enough?" is a resounding Yes. It's a question that needn't be asked.

I saw no concession. I saw her putting on a happy, congenial face to provide cover for her 527's coming onslaught of nasty in Texas and Ohio. And, forgive me, I saw her switch on the misty well up like she did in NH while couching it in the veiled reference to her surviving Bill's philandering (compliments of Campbell Brown's SECOND debate-ending softball Q to her).
Sorry. Not ready to make nice just yet.

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If I had one magic power it would be to have the left stop bashing Hillary Clinton. I am/was/whatever an Edwards supporter. I have already voted. I have no horse in the race now. I'm just waiting on a nominee. I think that nominee will be Barack Obama. I will want him, or Hillary should she somehow do this, to win. Right now, from an objective viewpoint looking in, I think Obama's biggest challenge will not be the right but the support he loses on the left because they have accepted the same rules as everyone else on Clinton treatment. People, look how many people are voting for her. Is it as many as Obama? No. Is there enough deep support for her in there that has been so shunned they might make a stupid decision in November? Yes. Hillary Clinton is most certainly not my first choice for President but isolating a large portion of the party is not the answer. Is the left kicking them out? We'll do it with those remaining? I hardly think he could possibly pick up enough swing votes to make up the difference. If you genuinely think there is a level playing field on the left, you are delusional. Democrats need the votes of the enemies you are making. Yes, I am ashamed of myself too. Until I had no horse in the race I cannot say I recognized what was happening but now that I literally will be fine with either it is painfully obvious what has created things like the reverse rubbish you read at the likes of Taylor Marsh, Hillary supporters were previously members of the left too who visited these sites and have nowhere else to go now. Are there enough of them to equal what they left? Of course not. The Obama haters are now a small isolated group turned away from where they thought the belonged. I ask no one to like, vote for or support Hillary Clinton. I didn't. I ask that you realistically look at the treatment of her and her supporters before we lose their votes.

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