Hillary Pollster Mark Penn: Obama Has Become The "Establishment Candidate"
This one is worth keeping an eye on, because we'll be hearing more of it in the days ahead. In the Clinton campaign conference call I mentioned below, Hillary pollster Mark Penn repeatedly said Obama was becoming an "establishment candidate" -- a rather strained effort to use Obama's high-profile endorsements to weaken his insurgent appeal.
Asked about Obama's loss in Massachusetts despite the Teddy Kennedy endorsement, Penn again reiterated the fact that voters making up their minds on the last day had broken for Hillary, suggesting (without quite saying) that this was somehow catalyzed by Obama's new high-profile support.
"The more that Senator Obama has shifted to becoming an establishment campaign based on endorsements, people said, `You know, it's really Senator Clinton who has the ideas for change,'" Penn told reporters.
Again: Keep in mind that in advance of yesterday's contest, Hillary had a massive lead in Massachusetts for weeks. Anyway, we'll be hearing more of this.















HAHAHAHA! HILARIOUS!!!
This coming from the mouth of a Blackwater enabler and union buster?!?! HAHAHAHAHA!!!!
February 6, 2008 11:38 AM | Reply | Permalink
yeah, it's not very seemly. Not sure self-awareness is Penn's strong suit.
February 6, 2008 11:44 AM | Reply | Permalink
Boy are they desperate.
The queen wasn't anointed at New Hampshire, then not again on Super Tuesday. It must be killing them that this "upstart" has her on the ropes.
The ONLY reason the delegate count is slightly ahead for her is because SHE is the insiders candidate.
Too funny.
Do you think people who get all these press releases just laugh at the never of their claims?
February 6, 2008 11:43 AM | Reply | Permalink
Boy are they desperate.
The queen wasn't anointed at New Hampshire, then not again on Super Tuesday. It must be killing them that this "upstart" has her on the ropes.
The ONLY reason the delegate count is slightly ahead for her is because SHE is the insiders candidate.
Too funny.
Do you think people who get all these press releases just laugh at the never of their claims?
February 6, 2008 11:44 AM | Reply | Permalink
A wave takes shape and builds: Obama has the wave. ♪♪♪
February 6, 2008 12:30 PM | Reply | Permalink
A wave takes shape and builds: Obama has the wave! ♪♪♪
February 6, 2008 12:32 PM | Reply | Permalink
READ KRUGMAN IF YOU THINK IT'S A JOKE
He is running to the right of Clinton on almost every issue.
EVEN ON THE WAR
February 7, 2008 1:06 PM | Reply | Permalink
That comment from Penn is one of the dumbest things I have ever heard. Even for spin-meisters, wow.
February 6, 2008 11:44 AM | Reply | Permalink
It’s the truth! Not only is Obama the candidate of big daddy bossman teddy Kennedy, he’s the candidate of choice for the establishment beltway media elites. It’s been that way for a very long time but it was just that the second you point out anything that’s obvious about Obama’s candidacy you are accused of pulling the race card. It’s so ingenious how the Obama campaign has used America’s guilt about their racists past to his advantage.
February 6, 2008 11:46 AM | Reply | Permalink
I think it's great how many Hillary supporters are bringing up this meme that the only reason white people in America support Obama is because of racial guilt.
It's so off the mark, it's not even funny. Then again, seeing as all the Clintons can talk about is race, from his actual skin color to implying he was a drug dealer as a youth, I suppose it's not surprising that the stormtroopers have picked it up as well.
February 6, 2008 1:59 PM | Reply | Permalink
Unbelievable. Ardent Clinton supporters are actually defending this argument? I was on the fence up until two weeks ago and the way the Clinton's handled themselves on the campaign trail, like children that didn't receive some entitlement, prompted my support of Obama. This just so happens to be the same reason Teddy snubbed Clinton and broke for Obama, a fresh start, a departure from the establishment. The Clinton campaign and Clinton supporters have been playing the crying game (both literally and figuratively) ever sense it became apparent that she wasn't as inevitable as they all assumed. The Clintons actively and voraciously sought the endorsement of Ted Kennedy and they blew it with their whiny, desperate, divisive rhetoric and now they want to use that endorsement to paint Obama as the establishment candidate? THAT IS A JOKE. INTELLIGENT PEOPLE WILL NOT FALL FOR IT. IF YOU DEFEND THIS ARGUMENT YOU ARE A DESPERATE, WHINY CINTOBOT. She could have had my and Ted's vote but she blew it. It's time for her to quit whining and find a way to get her message on track.
February 6, 2008 6:58 PM | Reply | Permalink
Obama is the establishment candidate.
In other news:
Sun revolves around Earth
Cubs win World Series
Disneyworld opens second amusement park in Iraq
Dixie Chicks open McCain/Limbaugh rally in Central Park
Mark Penn named "Sexiest Man Alive" by People Magazine.
February 6, 2008 11:47 AM | Reply | Permalink
I love you...
February 6, 2008 1:59 PM | Reply | Permalink
IT’S THE TRUTH WEATHER YOU FAR LEFTIES WANT TO WAKEUP TO THE TRUTH OR NOT!
Not only is Obama the candidate of big daddy bossman teddy Kennedy, he’s the candidate of choice for the establishment beltway media elites. It’s been that way for a very long time but it was just that the second you point out anything that’s obvious about Obama’s candidacy you are accused of pulling the race card. It’s so ingenious how the Obama campaign has used America’s guilt about their racists past to his advantage.
February 6, 2008 11:49 AM | Reply | Permalink
One might take you more seriously if you proof read your comments. You wrote: IT’S THE TRUTH WEATHER YOU FAR LEFTIES WANT TO WAKEUP TO THE TRUTH OR NOT!
It's not "WEATHER" but "Whether." You don't need a whetherman to know witch way the wind blows. (Please feel free to correct my spelling, also.)
So, should we conclude that those who don't like Obama cannot spell? Do you want us to infer that you are a redneck? Avoid this by proof reading.
February 6, 2008 12:22 PM | Reply | Permalink
heh. Nothing will make someone like that more mad than a proof reading correction :)
February 6, 2008 2:08 PM | Reply | Permalink
Paul_P, dude, you have some issues, notwithstanding you can't spell. Hillaryis44.org is your site. You will like it there.
February 6, 2008 11:53 AM | Reply | Permalink
I've been curious to see how the Clinton camp moves forward from last night. This approach definitely comes as a surprise move, and, once the laughter dies down from the Obama camp, I doubt we'll hear it again.
February 6, 2008 11:53 AM | Reply | Permalink
Paul_P,
I tend to blame the Elders of Zion and One World Government for Hillary's impending defeat more than I blame The Elite Liberal Media, but they are all sleeping in the same pink bed, no?
February 6, 2008 11:54 AM | Reply | Permalink
Dont forget the illuminati, skull and bones society, and the Freemasons!
February 6, 2008 1:46 PM | Reply | Permalink
Man, the Clinton campaign is acting a lot more desperate then their results and delegate counts would indicate. We expect future races to tilt to Obama, right?
Certainly, I've noticed that the establishment has lined up behind Obama. This could be huge if it does go to the convention.
While being the "establishment" candidate can be a bad thing, it's terrible to start out as one and end up not being it.
February 6, 2008 11:54 AM | Reply | Permalink
"The more that Senator Obama has shifted to becoming an establishment campaign based on endorsements, people said, `You know, it's really Senator Clinton who has the ideas for change,'"
Penn logic, broken down:
-- Hillary is the establishment candidate to whom endorsements should naturally gravitate;
-- In spite of that, comparatively few politicians seem to want to endorse her and a large number have endorsed Obama; therefore,
-- Her lack of endorsements is a good thing, which proves that:
-- Hillary is not the establishment candidate.
Got it?
February 6, 2008 11:54 AM | Reply | Permalink
Hahaha, oookay, whatever you say Hillary.
Just because some of the establishment has endorsed Obama doesn't make him the establishment, it just means the establishment actually wants to win the election in November.
February 6, 2008 11:58 AM | Reply | Permalink
How does this guy have a job?
February 6, 2008 11:58 AM | Reply | Permalink
Classic Mark Penn. Box in your opponents and "microsuade" your allies. Yeah, I just made up that word.
This isn't 1912. Endorsements don't matter as much as they used to, in a world of free-flowing information.
February 6, 2008 11:59 AM | Reply | Permalink
They're both establishment candidates.
They share the same establishment approved beliefs.
And Greg, the fact that Hillary won over the local Mass. machine is a much bigger deal than you're making it out to be. You constantly point out that Obama closed the gap there, which is true, but he closed the gap because the Mass. political establishment boosted his candidacy.
February 6, 2008 12:01 PM | Reply | Permalink
The only reason people like Penn say this crap is because they know it will get reported, and if people hear it enough, it becomes conventional wisdom.
I know that reporting politics is competitive, but there's a difference between reporting and repeating.
February 6, 2008 12:01 PM | Reply | Permalink
I think the point is, that this framing (endorsements = establishment) shows expectations from the Clinton side that Obama's going to be winning more big endorsements soon.
February 6, 2008 12:01 PM | Reply | Permalink
Can you say:
"Willing to say anything to get elected."
Let me see if I have this right. The candidate whose campaign is primarily premised on her having been at her husband's elbow during his years in the White House is now the insurgent.
I'm surprised I didn't hurt myself falling out of my chair laughing. Penn continues to compromise what little credibility he has left. Good luck turning a restoration candidate into a change agent. Are the media and the voters really this stupid? I hope not.
February 6, 2008 12:02 PM | Reply | Permalink
Well we certainly can’t accuse Obama of that can we as he hasn’t said anything of substance on any of the major issues facing America today? Obama has only been showing up at debates and rallies and voting present to the jubilation of all you nutrooters on the far left of the Democratic Party. He has no plane for the economy, he has no universal plan to deal with healthcare, he has no real Iraq plan beyond regurgitating the so-call relevancy of a generic speech of no consequence which was being made my tens of thousands of Americans in subways and parks all over America. Obama is nothing more than a candidacy that’s driven by the guilt of liberal Americans over their racists past and that of an elite liberal media who is help bent on seeking redemption for their abdication of their responsibilities as journalist when they aided and abetted the Bush administration in selling the America public a bag of goods on the Iraq war.
February 6, 2008 12:21 PM | Reply | Permalink
For heaven's sake, you can't be so naive. Obama has been painted as the poetic rhetorical candidate versus Clinton the Nuts-and-Bolts-Policy candidate simply because she has about as much enthusiasm as a shoe. The whole, "He's just a great orator but has no substance," argument is spin manufactured right out of the Clinton Campaign and was probably penned by Penn himself, punny. I've watched dozens of debates and stumps from both candidates and Obama talks hard policy in every stump and is also charismatic and inspiring. Clinton talks hard policy in every stump and bores the s*** out of anyone listening. Campaign solution--paint competitor as the lack-of-substance-charismatic guy. Have you ever heard of Cranial Insertum Rectumitis? You may want to look into it, you're showing strong symptoms.
February 6, 2008 7:09 PM | Reply | Permalink
Is this satire or absurdity?
February 6, 2008 12:05 PM | Reply | Permalink
Seriously, this idea could only be more ridiculous if it came from former President Bill Clinton himself.
February 6, 2008 12:06 PM | Reply | Permalink
This argument has been out there a while. BTD over at Talkleft posted about it here:
http://www.talkleft.com/story/2008/1/29/960/37411
There can be no question, in my mind, that Obama is favored by the elites in the democratic party. It does seem counterintuitive that this would be so, but it does seem to be the case.
February 6, 2008 12:07 PM | Reply | Permalink
hahahaha.
He gets paid for this crap? saw the headline over at huffpo that the clintons have paid him more than $4.3 million bucks. What a waste. I don't think I want a president who is so stupid to be suckered by this sort of idiocy.
February 6, 2008 12:07 PM | Reply | Permalink
Now Reece, to be fair HRC was also fooled by Prez. Bush too, so far, far less and intellect than Mark Penn can apparently sneak one past her.
February 6, 2008 1:10 PM | Reply | Permalink
Obama has become the establishment candidate because of the overwhelming bias of the media. Anyone who thinks that Barack has been treated as roughly as Hillary has been is definitely on mushrooms.
Hillary's win despite the daily barrage of negative biased attacks from the media is significant indeed. Barack's numbers would plummet if he had to endure the same amount of negative media coverage. When you think about it though, it's rather obvious - most of the media commentators are wealthy white males...Barack's typical supporters...of course they don't want Hillary to win!
I
February 6, 2008 12:12 PM | Reply | Permalink
I think that it's significant that Hilary is more popular among the traditional base of the party, blue collar people, older voters, women and powerful minority groups.
I think a lot of Obama supporters believe that base should be supporting Obama, but in general they are supporting Hillary. The college educated Obama base seems to think that it knows what is best for the working class. The elephant in the room is that the poor don't always vote against their interests, sometimes they vote for who can bring the change they want to see. It may be the case that Hilary's corporate history rules her out for a lot of college educated Democrats, but if the working class doesn't buy Obama's stumping about the We movement, if they don't feel included in the We, what good is the We?
February 6, 2008 12:36 PM | Reply | Permalink
The poor uneducated base of the party is also the older part of the party. They are nostalgic for the high wages and consistent growth of the Clinton years. They refuse to admit that the world is changing and always want to go back to the way things were when they were younger, when things were better.
And, most importantly, they are racist. Old people are much more likely to have not had as much contact with black people as young people. Plus they are scared of them. Poor people are racist for basic political economy reasons, poor whites compete with blacks for the jobs and feel threatened. Latinos are the worst - they hate the blacks because they think the blacks have too much political power for their population and economic impact.
So combine the two effects and its no doubt that the "base of the party" is voting for Hillary. Is that a good thing.. should we accept the ignorant racist decisions of the base as good judgment?
Should we appreciate Hillary's race baiting?
February 6, 2008 1:48 PM | Reply | Permalink
themadeph says:
"The poor uneducated base of the party is also the older part of the party... And, most importantly, they are racist... Latinos are the worst - they hate the blacks... should we accept the ignorant racist decisions [the votes for Hilary] of the base as good judgment?"
I respond:
Living in a two party democracy dictates that, generally, we accept the leaders that the most people vote for. I encourage Obama supporters to keep fighting for their candidate and I encourage them to convince the working class that Obama is their candidate. But, if you are a member of the Democratic party, and the majority of your party nominates a candidate you don't like, that nominee is still your candidate. If she isn't, then you are not a Democrat.
Furthermore, your generalizations about the working class are demeaning, insulting and ignorant. I acknowledge that Obama's candidacy faces racism, even among some Democrat's, but to say that the working class and Latinos are in lockstep in their ignorance and bigotry, is the height of both impulses.
February 6, 2008 2:45 PM | Reply | Permalink
To deny the well known racist tension between the latinos and the blacks is the height of, if not ignorance, then being severly uninformed.
Racism is always the most prevalent among the groups which compete - usually for jobs. Historically, some of the most racist people in the United States after the Civil War: thats right, the poor irish in the north who were having to compete with blacks economically.
Read some history, or sociology, or something....
February 6, 2008 4:13 PM | Reply | Permalink
Steven -
You said this:
"Furthermore, your generalizations about the working class are demeaning, insulting and ignorant."
And before that you said this:
I think a lot of Obama supporters believe that base should be supporting Obama, but in general they are supporting Hillary. The college educated Obama base seems to think that it knows what is best for the working class.
Please dude, hypocrisy suits no one. Even people who write well like yourself can't get away with it. I am college educated, and when I went to the polls yesterday I didn't go in thinking "Oh God, their blue collars make them stupid."
And you're right, I do think the the base should be supporting Obama, but they're not and that is what it is.
February 6, 2008 7:09 PM | Reply | Permalink
Maybe you weren't thinking Senator Clinton's supporters were stupid, Eric, but any reading of the comments section on virtually any post about Hillary will reveal a vocal animosity and dismissal of her. That also, simply is. Perhaps Obama's supporters can dismiss Senator Clinton without dismissing the people who wish her to represent them; if so, they could do a more lucid job of making this distinction.
I accept that I was making a generalization that does not apply to all, probably not even most, Obama supporters. I'll also acknowledge that I showed some hypocrisy by generalizing about generalizers.
In response to themaph, further up in the thred:
I'm not ignorant about the animosity between some blacks and some latinos. What I took issue with is the idea that this animosity translates into votes; normally it does not. I pointed to Illinois as the most recent example, among many, of latinos supporting a black candidate, Barack Obama.
February 7, 2008 2:17 PM | Reply | Permalink
Speaking of the poor voting against their interests I seem to remember that sometime in the 90's (AFTER 1992) the President slashed welfare for desparate women!
February 6, 2008 10:22 PM | Reply | Permalink
laurel_nyc please don't tell anyone what you have discovered because us drug dealing super secret secular madrassa trained African Americans have finally shucked and jived the White male media into doing are bidding and we are so close to taking over the country. Now all we have to do is charm with our substance free magic the DNC party establishment, White woman, Latinos, Asians, racist, NOW, Gloria Steinam, Taylor Marsh, etc and all our plans will be complete.
February 6, 2008 2:19 PM | Reply | Permalink
I,
Hillary's numbers have not plummeted, they've remained pretty solid. Obama's numbers have simply soared. He invigorated the young voters and inspired change. I agree that the media is softer on Obama but that's because the viewers like him. Hillary had her chance with the media and the viewing public in this early primary season and she blew it. She made negative comments and backed herself into a corner. Every media source I've seen still broadcasts the 15 to 17 point "National Lead" Clinton has over Obama which is obviously BS but it hasn't stopped Obama supporters from coming out in droves.
February 6, 2008 7:17 PM | Reply | Permalink
I see Penn's claim for what it is, a clever device to get people talking. Certainly this claim, if picked up by the MSM echo machine, will cause a few laughs and some rolling of the eyes of the analyst class. But it will not damage her in any constituency except for the Obama constituency that has already, and vociferously, rejected her. It's the same as Bill Clinton's involvement: bad in the eyes of her detractors, good, or benign, in the eyes of everyone else.
Hilary has often been portrayed as desperate in her attempts to secure the nomination, but given the success of her strategy, so far, I'm hesitant to characterize her as desperate, so much as aggressive.
February 6, 2008 12:12 PM | Reply | Permalink
Go Hillary!!! =)
February 6, 2008 12:14 PM | Reply | Permalink
Strong point.
February 6, 2008 7:23 PM | Reply | Permalink
What a joke. The Clintons are the EMBODIMENT of establishment!
The fact that the Clintons have the reptilian pollster running their campaign is reason enough not to vote for them. Do you really want this snake running the White House's politics arm a la Rove for the next 4-8 years? That's assuming they could even beat McCain. Penn's consulting/lobbying firm helped BLACKWATER try to clean up its image. Nuff said.
February 6, 2008 12:20 PM | Reply | Permalink
Wow this Paul_P guy sure is angry. Sheesh, he's all over these boards just spewing anger.
Calm down, dude. Inhale. Exhale. Inhale. Exhale. 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10.
February 6, 2008 12:21 PM | Reply | Permalink
Well we certainly can’t accuse Obama of that can we as he hasn’t said anything of substance on any of the major issues facing America today? Obama has only been showing up at debates and rallies and voting present to the jubilation of all you nutrooters on the far left of the Democratic Party. He has no plane for the economy, he has no universal plan to deal with healthcare, he has no real Iraq plan beyond regurgitating the so-call relevancy of a generic speech of no consequence which was being made my tens of thousands of Americans in subways and parks all over America. Obama is nothing more than a candidacy that’s driven by the guilt of liberal Americans over their racists past and that of an elite liberal media who is help bent on seeking redemption for their abdication of their responsibilities as journalist when they aided and abetted the Bush administration in selling the America public a bag of goods on the Iraq war.
February 6, 2008 12:22 PM | Reply | Permalink
I'm fairly certain you're just trolling at this point, Paul_P, but this comment is shockingly uninformed:
[i]"Well we certainly can’t accuse Obama of that can we as he hasn’t said anything of substance on any of the major issues facing America today?"[/i]
Take a look at Obama's lengthy energy policy or his plan for health care reform. They're detailed enough, clear enough, and progressive enough to satisfy most people on the center-left. But, I suspect you're not that interested in researching the candidate's positions. It's much more time-consuming than spouting nonsense.
February 6, 2008 12:43 PM | Reply | Permalink
Nice. I like the re-post tactic. You're argument is even more sound this time through. You know, I had an angry, militant Clintobot supporter in my caucus last night. After defeating him with 4 times as many votes in a run-off for caucus chair, I nominated him as co-chair and he declined. After we tallied the preference poll--Obama 75, Clinton-25--I had him flip the coin for a delegate we had to assign by lot. He lost the coin toss, and the delegate and his cool. He starting peeing and moaning and crying and stormed out before the party resolutions. He'd rather not contribute to the betterment of the party through platform considerations than to stay in a room full of friendly neighbors that just so happen to favor his candidates competitor. Several people followed him out, they didn't contribute to the resolutions. It reminded me a lot of the Clinton campaign and your rhetoric brings it all full circle.
February 6, 2008 7:32 PM | Reply | Permalink
Once again had a comment "held by the blog owner" and it's not up.
February 6, 2008 12:31 PM | Reply | Permalink
I realize you guys think you're clerverly pulling a play out of the Republican playbook and "working the refs" (as Alterman calls it) with this "boo hoo hoo the press is so biased against poor Hillary" crap, but you're just making her sound more like Nixon in a pantsuit.
Hmmm. Nixon.
Introverted? Check.
Paranoid? Check.
Excessively secretive? Check.
Self-pitying? Check.
Policy wonk? Check.
Say anything, do anything to win outlook on politics? Check.
Excessively secretive? Check.
Tiny group of invisable adoring clique of hangers-on who've been with her for years and years? Check.
Yep, those are all traits we need in a president again. If history tells us anything, its that giving a person like that a lot of power always makes them a better human being.
February 6, 2008 12:32 PM | Reply | Permalink
Absolutely. Nixon showed us that electing a person like that betters the person, the nation and the world.
February 6, 2008 7:35 PM | Reply | Permalink
Yes, poor poor Obama is totally out of the loop, and has never ever been a politician nor part of the establishment. Oh wait- he was a state senator in Illinois and is now a US senator, a member of the ultimate "in club".
Obamabots refuse to understand the guy is a politician. Ask Jack Ryan, Obama's opponent in the 2004 Senatorial contest. Unsubstantiated allegations made in Ryan's sealed divorce action were made public and Ryan's campaign crashed. So where was Senator Not A Politician in all of this? Where was he taking the high road? Big surprise- he didn't. He went in for the kill just like the old political hand he is. And oddly enough this was the second crash and burn divorce that benefited Obama enormously in that election. The sealed details of his primary opponent's divorce mysteriously became public too. That's your 'agent for change'.
February 6, 2008 12:37 PM | Reply | Permalink
that's just ridiculous. how does this clown still have a job?
February 6, 2008 12:39 PM | Reply | Permalink
Wow this Paul_P guy sure is angry. Sheesh, he's all over these boards just spewing anger.
Calm down, dude. Inhale. Exhale. Inhale. Exhale. 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10.
February 6, 2008 12:47 PM | Reply | Permalink
A shill for Blackwater repping the biggest brand name in this race claims Obama's the establishment candidate. This should speak volumes about how dumb the Clinton campaign thinks (and hopes) you are. They feed upon misinformation, misdirection and hopes that voters vote for the brand name and not what they're actually getting.
Frankly, if Clinton had had such a great Super Tuesday, why does Penn feel the need to reposition the race in such a transparent fashion?
February 6, 2008 12:53 PM | Reply | Permalink
Belated praise to Josh Marshall for his insightful analysis last Thursday night on the MSNBC blogger panel discussing the Clinton-Obama debate.
On the subject of the "establishment" candidate, that was made last week immediately after the Ted Kennedy endorsement. It's patently silly as the establishment candidate can be discerned at this time by checking who had the most super-delegates before last night.
My own take before last night's results was that if Obama could be within 10% of Clinton on the delegate split (i.e. a 55-45% division), then he would have had an acceptable night. I believe that he got better than 45%. More importantly, the next several weeks of primaries and caucuses are actually critical. If these are an unbroken string of Obama victories until March 4, Clinton will be in trouble.
Lastly, I really like Hillary Clinton but voted for Obama. As the nominee he may, as Clinton suggests, sink under savage Republican attacks in the fall. However, I want to vote my hopes rather than my fears.
February 6, 2008 12:56 PM | Reply | Permalink
More of your posted are highly encouraged. We should also find a Clinton supporter with your mindfulness. I know they're out there (one of them is my fiance).
February 6, 2008 7:43 PM | Reply | Permalink
Notwithstanding the source, this seems like a valid point. And once again the cult of personality chooses hope over facts. I'm a former Edwards supporter, and I've decided to go Hillary. Not because I think she's perfect, but because I think she's the true liberal in this race, talk of change notwithstanding.
Which candidate refuses to give a timetable for leaving Iraq? That would be Obama.
Which candidate has a subprime "plan" that is essentially reliance on the free markets, and the same as Bush's? That would be Obama.
Which candidate criticized Hillary's rate freeze plan for subprimes by adopting the rightwing criticism that government intervention would increase interest rates (when there is no such evidence in this case)? That would be Obama.
Which candidate has criticized mandates in health care and offered up a meager health care plan that would rely on altruistic minded healthy young people to voluntarily subsidize older sicker folks by paying higher rates and choosing not to opt out until they were sick? That would be Obama.
Which candidate spent virtually all of his speech last night talking about how he would reach out to Republicans, while also lumping together the Clinton and Bush administrations as being the same, and criticizing Hillary as divisive (adopting Republican criticisms, notably)? That would be the same candidate who has glorified Reagan, and his name would be Obama (although I suppose you're also correct if you say McCain, Huckabee or Romney).
Hillary attacked the true problem in her speech: reversing the legacy of the Bush administration: its really crappy policies. By trying to claim that Bush and Bill Clinton are the same, and that Hillary would perpetuate "more of the same", Obama is really blurring the differences between Democratic and Republican policies.
I do not think GWBush and BClinton were the same. GWBush was a terrible president who implemented terrible policies that have harmed America. BClinton, while flawed, was largely a good president who implemented good policies that have helped America. I believe that Democratic policies are the correct ones, and that pushing these is more important than agreement and bipartisanship for their own sakes.
I have followed Obama and Hillary fairly closely since Edwards lost Iowa. Based on his limited policy proposals, and his rhetoric, I have no reason to believe that Obama is not who he says he is: a centrist establishment candidate for whom consensus is more important than quibbling over policy details, which is why his proposals have been consistently much further to the right than Hillary's.
But that is not what I want. I want a Democrat as President, first and foremost. Someone who is willing to fight, and yes, be divisive when necessary, in order to pass good Democratic policies. Nothing Barack has said or done has indicated to me that he would be that President.
February 6, 2008 1:00 PM | Reply | Permalink
You don't actually understand economics do you?
If you place a cap on the price a company can charge (e.g mortgage rates) they will either give you less of it or they will raise some other price. So it is neither a good policy if you want to increase the willingness of banks to lend money , nor if you think you are actually going to make something cheaper. If you have evidence to the contrary please share it.
Democrats should not be in the business of offering up policies that sound good but will end up doing no good to the people they are trying to help. Bill Clinton at least understood this to a large extent.
Having your economic policy made by lawyers is going to be a mess.
February 6, 2008 1:38 PM | Reply | Permalink
Umm, yes i do understand economics. And I study this issue. And I know it. Much better than you, I would daresay.
A few facts for you, Mr. Kettle:
1) Hillary's rate freeze applies to a very limited category of loans. 2/28 and 3/27 subprime loans scheduled to reset from the time of implementation to 5 years from then. It does NOT apply to loans going forward.
2) There is an acknowledgement by Wall Street that this crisis is a historic event. Limited government intervention ex post facto, which does not affect behavior going forward, is acknowledged as necessary by most of the Street. And they're accepting that.
3) Among subprime mortgages, there is ALREADY a dearth of investors. No one is buying this stuff, and so no subprime mortgages are being offered. So there is no reason to think subprime rates will go up in the short term.
4) in the long term, it's not clear that there will ever be investor appetite for 2/28 and 3/27 subprime loans again. regardless, even if there were, Hillary's proposal arguably helps out even there, by stabilizing prices and allowing price discovery to occur without the backdrop of mass foreclosures.
Or in short, perhaps you can tell me how a limited government intervention will raise rates on a type of mortgage product which is currently not being bought or sold, and which may never return. Especially when that government intervention may mitigate the wave of delinquencies that is the real problem in the mortgage securitization market right now.
You hear that sound, champ? That's called "You getting pwned".
4)
February 6, 2008 3:11 PM | Reply | Permalink
Also, I'd point out that this is classic Econ 101 "inside the beltway" conservative economics.
Take a very pithy general observation, and try to apply it to a circumstance to which it doesn't fit.
In this case, the fact that Hillary's plan only applies to a market (2/28 and 3/27 subprime ARMs) which is already illiquid, and likely to remain that way forever, in an instance which begs for a onetime government intervention, which is in fact what Wall Street and investors are asking for, to overcome collective action problems and other externalities.
But NO, this commenter remembers something from Econ 101 about government intervention and pricing, and decides it MUST apply here.
This, my friends, is why so many people outside of DC hate DC. We apply rigid elitist orthodoxy, which is largely wrong, and expect the masses to follow us.
February 6, 2008 3:19 PM | Reply | Permalink
Umm, yes i do understand economics. And I study this issue. And I know it. Much better than you, I would daresay.
A few facts for you, Mr. Kettle:
1) Hillary's rate freeze applies to a very limited category of loans. 2/28 and 3/27 subprime loans scheduled to reset from the time of implementation to 5 years from then. It does NOT apply to loans going forward.
2) There is an acknowledgement by Wall Street that this crisis is a historic event. Limited government intervention ex post facto, which does not affect behavior going forward, is acknowledged as necessary by most of the Street. And they're accepting that.
3) Among subprime mortgages, there is ALREADY a dearth of investors. No one is buying this stuff, and so no subprime mortgages are being offered. So there is no reason to think subprime rates will go up in the short term.
4) in the long term, it's not clear that there will ever be investor appetite for 2/28 and 3/27 subprime loans again. regardless, even if there were, Hillary's proposal arguably helps out even there, by stabilizing prices and allowing price discovery to occur without the backdrop of mass foreclosures.
Or in short, perhaps you can tell me how a limited government intervention will raise rates on a type of mortgage product which is currently not being bought or sold, and which may never return. Especially when that government intervention may mitigate the wave of delinquencies that is the real problem in the mortgage securitization market right now.
You hear that sound, champ? That's called "You getting pwned".
4)
February 6, 2008 3:20 PM | Reply | Permalink
Did you just pawn that poor guy? Man, I hope you can afford the juice when it's time to get him out in 30 days.
p.s.
you peed way farther than that other guy high five, smack on the butt, good game
Further proof that elitist snobs don't teach, they preach. Thanks for the tutorial and for marginalizing yourself as the a-hole that has to be right.
February 6, 2008 7:51 PM | Reply | Permalink
Umm, yes i do understand economics. And I study this issue. And I know it. Much better than you, I would daresay.
A few facts for you, Mr. Kettle:
1) Hillary's rate freeze applies to a very limited category of loans. 2/28 and 3/27 subprime loans scheduled to reset from the time of implementation to 5 years from then. It does NOT apply to loans going forward.
2) There is an acknowledgement by Wall Street that this crisis is a historic event. Limited government intervention ex post facto, which does not affect behavior going forward, is acknowledged as necessary by most of the Street. And they're accepting that.
3) Among subprime mortgages, there is ALREADY a dearth of investors. No one is buying this stuff, and so no subprime mortgages are being offered. So there is no reason to think subprime rates will go up in the short term.
4) in the long term, it's not clear that there will ever be investor appetite for 2/28 and 3/27 subprime loans again. regardless, even if there were, Hillary's proposal arguably helps out even there, by stabilizing prices and allowing price discovery to occur without the backdrop of mass foreclosures.
Or in short, perhaps you can tell me how a limited government intervention will raise rates on a type of mortgage product which is currently not being bought or sold, and which may never return. Especially when that government intervention may mitigate the wave of delinquencies that is the real problem in the mortgage securitization market right now.
You hear that sound, champ? That's called "You getting pwned".
4)
February 6, 2008 3:22 PM | Reply | Permalink
One last comment here, anticipating an argument I expect to hear: Hillary's proposal would raise rates not only on subprime mortgages but on other mortgages. You're probably too unsophisticated to elucidate this, but the underlying basis of your argument would be that govt intervention, even limited to past subprime 2/28 and 3/27 loans, would raise the specter of future govt intervention in other types of mortgages.
Again, wrong.
In the 00s, up til last year (third quarter or so), everyone was investing in US private-label mortgage backed securities- subprime, prime, jumbo, etc. They did this because historically US mortgages had a decent return and low default rate. They also did this because the rating agencies deemed this stuff very safe (AAA for the most part, as safe as any non-Treasury bond out there). Operating among all this were the GSEs, government sponsored entities, Fannie and Freddie.
Flash forward to today, what do we see? Total investor flight from US mortgage assets. Illiquidity in all segments of the market, except one. Which segment still has liquidity and normal prices? GSE conforming loans.
So you are basically trying to claim that limited government intervention will cause illiquidity (due to investor flight) in the mortgage markets. But dude, the mortgage markets are already illiquid, and investors have already fled, except for the GSEs. And this is due to a complete lack of investor confidence in the US real estate market. So any proposal that would stabilize this market is likely to stabilize the mortgage markets for non-conforming loans.
You might want to sit this one out, Econ 101 guy.
February 6, 2008 3:32 PM | Reply | Permalink
Kudos to you, BronxInTN. Not just because we agree on the candidate, but because of why you made your decision. Hope over fear. I'd say the same if you voted for Clinton for the same reasons (though I'm not sure it's physically possible...kidding, people - relax).
February 6, 2008 1:01 PM | Reply | Permalink
There is some fact to what Penn is claiming. When Clinton ran in 92, all of the establishment candidates were keeping out of the race due to Bush's high poll numbers after Gulf War 1. Bill was considered a young upsart who really had no chance. The establishment candidates (Gephardt, Cuomo, Kennedy, Kerry, Kerrey, Gore, Jesse Jackson, etc) all had bowed out of the race. The three serious candidates were Paul Tsongas, Jerry Brown and Bill Clinton. Bill Clinton ran the table and the rest is history. Democratic Senators have fragile egos and set out to "correct" and taunt Bill Clinton at every turn. Their weakness, and similar lack of backbone in the House led to the sweeping Gingrich revolution in 94. Bill Clinton has forever been running against the establishment. Bill and Hill may be the "Clinton Establishment", but they are not the Democratic Establishment. Bill was a maverick and should be recognized as such. Hillary should be recognized as her own person. The Clintons are not running for president. Hillary Clinton is. Bill is just a loud husband over compensating for his past behaviour.
Good luck to whomever wins, they have my vote.
February 6, 2008 1:01 PM | Reply | Permalink
Senator Obama is the candidate of the Chicago Political Machine, which has close ties with the Boston Politcal machine. Chicago called in its markers and got the Kennedy endorsement. Corporate media, particularly NBC, is pushing Senator Obama so hard that Matthews, Russett, etc will be in the hospital before long for hernea operations. Senator Obama has raised well over $100 million, and has strong "established" support.
Clinton started with strong name recognition and a lead in the polls because of that, but has established herself with voters with her performance in the debates, which had her taking off...until everyone (by everyone I mean the other Democratic candidates, corporate media, and the "establishment") came down on her.
Yet she endures because of her talent, courage, smarts and passion.
Some of us see it that way. The rest will see it their way.
February 6, 2008 1:02 PM | Reply | Permalink
Mark Penn is a professional political hack. He takes money to LIE to us and tell us that day is night, and blue is really orange.
He's "Baghdad Bob" but with worse spin.
February 6, 2008 1:03 PM | Reply | Permalink
RE: anti-Hillary media bias. Live by the brand name, die by the brand name. Did they think it would be all upside, given their history?
February 6, 2008 1:06 PM | Reply | Permalink
laurel, it's sweet that you believe anything negative about Hillary could only have come for biased reports. The reality is far less sweet and much more revealing of just how divisive both Clintons have always been.
Steven, consider that older folks are always resistant to change. I'm sure Hillary seems much more familiar. These folks, though, change to Obama when one points out that the future really belong to their grandchildren--and these younger folks are supporting Obama. I'm really tired of all of the divisions that your comments point out. Do you really believe there is no unifying ideas across these groups? That's what Obama is talking about--what unifies us and not what divides us.
It's a matter of what you want to focus on. I want a better economy, even if it means higher taxes for me and my fellow economic "winners", because that's the sort of America that I want--one that is for equality and justice and opportunity, as Obama says.
February 6, 2008 1:07 PM | Reply | Permalink
It never ceases to amaze me how Obama Dems draw on the '90s anti-Clinton media images. Where would the Obama campaign be without all that earlier smear work? Where are the issues?
February 6, 2008 1:19 PM | Reply | Permalink
cube3u:
"It's a matter of what you want to focus on. I want a better economy, even if it means higher taxes for me and my fellow economic "winners", because that's the sort of America that I want--one that is for equality and justice and opportunity, as Obama says."
I think this is where those of us who are not Obama supporters disagree with you. We all want a better economy, equality (I hope), justice, and opportunity. Those things are uncontroversial. And if you think Obama is the first to advocate for those things, then I think you're either a neophyte, or you haven't been paying attention.
The question is how you get to these goals. Not everyone agrees with you about higher taxes. In fact, I know at least a half dozen Republicans who are supporting Obama who believe he won't raise taxes.
What about universal health care? What about a comprehensive solution to the subprime mortgage crisis? What about reinvesting in our infrastructure?
These are things that most folks agree need to be "fixed", but how you fix those things is a matter of huge debate. And Obama hasn't really been very comprehensive (or straightforward, imo) about how he will solve those problems. But to the extent he has, it's been clear it's been with an eye towards consensus and bipartisanship (i.e., his solutions are more watered down, so as to be more likely to appeal to Republicans).
If, like me, you think Republican ideology is at its core fundamentally wrong, then you don't want to see a champion of solutions that are the result of consensus.
I'd rather see a return to the Clinton years, where the Republicans can argue all day about how his tax increases will harm the economy and cause a recession, only to see them shut up (and the rest of the country come on board) after they're followed by the biggest economic boom in the last 30 years. That's the type of unity I want to see, and frankly, after 8 years of this disaster of a President, I don't know why we want to start compromising already. Americans are ready for a real change, and Obama, while talking change, is proposing watered down crap.
February 6, 2008 1:23 PM | Reply | Permalink
I want the Obama folks to tell me how they intend to govern if the Hillary Machne decides to plot its own course after the President is in Office.
There is this idea that loyalties and connections just dissolve in the warmth of good-sportsmanship when the winner wins and the loser loses. If Obama were to win on an airy hopes, does anyone think Clintons 1 & 2 will just salute and take orders?
The folks who argue the primaries should end quicker so "the healing" can begin (or the unifying can take place--take your pick) allude to the same difficulty in more ambiguous language.
Who will be incumbent in Congress on the day the President arrives? Which sides are they taking? Which candidate has the longest coat-tails in the upcming election of new representatives? And how much drawing power do the presumptive nominees have at the level of governorships and statehouses?
When you talk about creating a sweeping change in this nation, you need to talk about these things too. Does Obama really have that depth of influence?
February 6, 2008 1:55 PM | Reply | Permalink
Let's see here... Hillary has a massive political machine built over several decades behind her, massive fund-raising lists built over those decades, spent the entire summer polling 20+ points over the competition, had flocks of super delegates swarm to her well before the voters had cast the first vote, is running as a defacto incumbant pointing to all the good things "we" did in the 90's, and.... Obama is the establishment candidate?
Ok, yeah, sure, right. Listen I don't care if Obama had the endorsement of every single super delegate, newspaper, magazine, political pundant, union, special interest, even every local paper boy. Hillary would still be the establishment candidate. Anybody saying otherwise needs to be kept far, far away from any positions of authority.
February 6, 2008 1:28 PM | Reply | Permalink
However, I want to vote my hopes rather than my fears.
Posted by BronxInTN
February 6, 2008 12:56 PM
Great line.
February 6, 2008 1:35 PM | Reply | Permalink
Hey Obama whiners if u think you have somehow won with deficit of about 100 delgates, that is what happens to ur brain when you inhale crack.
You guys are so shallow, all you can do is whine and foul mouth the Clintons. Shows where u come from.
Obama can't overcome delgates deficit from the remaining staes. So now he has started BLACKMAILING superdelgates! Typical THUG from Chicago.
BLACKS voting for a BLACK Obama are not racists and Bill and others not voting for him are racists!
Thanks to Latinos and Asians in CA, Hillary and Bill are going to win.
February 6, 2008 1:38 PM | Reply | Permalink
Believe what you choose but 100 delegates (a differential that includes 'pledged but not binded' super delegates)is well within "striking distance." The Clinton campaign is worried. Obama has the money, the ground force and the logistical head start in remaining primary states. Despite what Clinton spokespeople say, her campaign was not engineered to withstand this sort of challenge this late in the race. Also, if Obama closes that differential in the next few primaries or takes a strong lead, those super delegates can (and most likely will) choose to re-align themselves behind the front-runner, which would be a final coffin nail for the Clinton campaign.
February 6, 2008 8:05 PM | Reply | Permalink
Also keep on those TV Trash Oprah and Dinosaur Kennedy endorsements coming. And John Kerry, Carter and other LOSERS too.
These elietist are going to help u get votes.
Didn't u notice, CA voters dumped on Maria Shriver.
February 6, 2008 1:40 PM | Reply | Permalink
Cain,
Over 4 million democrats cast early votes in California. Those 4 million votes more than likely favored the biggest brand name, Hillary Clinton. In states that either didn't offer early voting or had significantly fewer early voters, Obama surged dramatically in the past few weeks and into Super Tuesday. The California results had little to do with Oprah or Maria. Had they been campaigning for Obama in California 6 months ago, sound logic would dictate that the outcome would have been more favorable for Obama.
February 6, 2008 8:11 PM | Reply | Permalink
Apart from who gets the nomination, this stab at a new line, just considered as an example of Mark Penn's latest work, is hilarious [not/pun]. ROTFLMAO, as it were. Inherent contradictions (is too idealistic/is too establishment) seem not to register over at my Senator's campaign Hq, strategy gives way to throwing things at the wall to see what sticks...
Suuurre, yeah, put Mark on the TV machine more. America needs to see him. Rub some more fleshtone on Howard and put him out there too, of course--and if you have to, roll Mandy out in front of the cameras. Are they hiding Mandy from the press or the press from Mandy? Hell, put 'em all three on together. Ask 'em about that Secret Muslim Man rumor. Ask Mark about So. Carolina. Ask 'em about...Bill.
Yeah, baby!
Are we having fun yet?
_____
Mitt/Huck '08! Because We Deserve to Be Entertained until November
February 6, 2008 1:41 PM | Reply | Permalink
Well of course, the Clinton's are running, not just Hillary, the same as in 92. Bill is not just a sideshow. And surely HC would never deny that he is her number #1 adviser, the same way Bill said the same of her in '92.
You do have a point that Bill ran decidely to the center against the the Mondale, Dukakis, industrial labor union establishment. He was a DLC "third way" candidate.
I'm pretty sure most of the old establishment is gone now and this is a democratic party that has Clinton era democrats (substitute AFSCME and SEIU for AFL-CIO) as it's power brokers and gatekeepers. Maybe unless you think Howard Dean is the Democratic establishment
February 6, 2008 1:44 PM | Reply | Permalink
The MSM has a bias for sports analogies and the the H & O contest is so framed. McCain vs Romney too.
Something in excess of 360,000 votes went to Edwards yesterday.
And how many folks decided to stay home?
There is more going on here than H & O, and it's a helleva lot more interesting.
February 6, 2008 1:47 PM | Reply | Permalink
One can debunk this bunk simply by looking at the superdelegate count. 193 for Hillary and 106 for Obama! (as of when I am writing this )
Who is establishment?
Hillary is about 87 more "establishmnenty"
February 6, 2008 1:51 PM | Reply | Permalink
War is Peace.
Freedom is Slavery.
Hillary is not Establishment.
Frankly, this is the reason why HRC is a turn-off to so many voters. People are tired of the she-said/he-said type arguing. The Clinton campaign knows that Obama is continuing to expand, both in money raising and endorsements, while she has apparently plateaued.
So they are trying to paint her, once again, as the comeback kid.
I was happy, at least, to see the crying bit didn't work a second time as a major news story.
This isn't spin, it's just clear thinking.
February 6, 2008 2:01 PM | Reply | Permalink
More to the point simeonwolf: HRC's supers came last year for the most part, not in the last few months.
War is Peace
Freedom is Slavery
Hillary is an Outsider
Thanks, Mr. Penn. I'm guessing you don't have much else in your playbook besides a "comeback kid" storyline?
The fact is that while Obama continues to expand in terms of fundraising and endorsements, it looks like HRC has plateaued and that has to be scaring the Clinton campaign.
This isn't spin, it's just clear thinking.
February 6, 2008 2:06 PM | Reply | Permalink
Seems that just about everywhere the Democratic machine (er, establishment) was strongest, Clinton won yesterday -- NY, CA, MA, etc. She locked up endorsements from establishment Dems a year ago, sort of like how W locked in the Republican estabishment early on in 2000 campaign. She's had Congresspeople on down to City Council members in her pocket since before there was even a race. A few biggie Dems decided to wait and later endorsed Obama, though.
February 6, 2008 2:07 PM | Reply | Permalink
This is pathetic, but it's also fine because there's a landmine hidden in this attack. The reason Obama hasn't challenged Hillary on her phony "35 years of experience" claim is because he'd rather be running as the Washington outsider. But if this spin by Penn begins to stick, Obama will be free to start pointing out the fact that he's held public office longer than Hillary. I don't think that's an argument she wants to get into because she's already lost it. She's already said that this election is about HER record and not Bill's. Oops, Hill. Well then you've got 6 years of experience--not 35.
February 6, 2008 2:14 PM | Reply | Permalink
Oh of course, Obama has never gone on the negative, lol. Just watch his speech from last night. It was simply his stump speech that included a cheapshot accusing Hillary of adopting the Bush-Cheney philosophy of refusing to negotiate with bad people. This cheapshot has even been substantiated by Obama's own media. Just go back to that debate and hear Obama make a mistake, by saying he would negotiate, person to person, with the five worst leaders in the world, with no preconditions.
By comparison, Hillary's speech last nite was positive.
February 6, 2008 2:16 PM | Reply | Permalink
To suggest that Hillary is anything but the Establishment candidate is one of the most disingenuous things I've heard yet from this campaign. What a load of hogcrap.
A good friend of mine who "works in the business" says they still think she's going to be the inevitable nominee. They say regardless of what you hear (many of the superdelegates won't say publicly), Hillary's campaign is confident that they have a majority of the superdelegates, enough that Obama can't overcome the superdelegate math. Her campaign has been working at this for a long time, contributing $ to superdelegates' campaigns; swapping promises of support for endorsements ... (who's going to be appointed to fill Hillary's vacant NY Senate seat after she wins??)
Personally, I'm not entirely convinced of all this inevitability. If Obama continues to run an insurgent campaign that attracts new Democratic voters; if he keeps expanding support among women and Latinos; and if his non-Democratic support hardens into likely voters -- all while the question of Hillary's electability continues to increase -- then I think some of those superdelegates will re-think their positions.
But to say that Obama is the establishment candidate is absurd. Make no mistake: the majority of county and local committees, i.e., The Establishment, are supporting Hillary. Obama's organization has been built primarily from the bottom-up. There's nothing Establishment about that.
The Media loves the horse race, and Obama's the dark horse.
February 6, 2008 2:32 PM | Reply | Permalink
Hilary is the mainstream candidate. People who vote for her don't hear about these issues. They dont read TPM, Huffpost, etc. People who vote for Hilary are the equivalent to those who drink 2 buck chuck (charles shaw wine). I am also disturbed that Latinos (me being half) don't think that a black man is looking out for them because their lazy, do nothing yet "cool" mayor (villaragoza) endorsed her.. I'm disgusted!
February 6, 2008 2:43 PM | Reply | Permalink
Historically, and in spite of the stereotype that Latinos hate black people, Latinos have elected many African Americans to positions of power and Barack Obama won the Latino constituency overwhelmingly, in his home state of Illinois.
As far as your other point, I read TPM and Huffington Post among other net roots blogs. I also read the major national and international newspapers, and have one ear on NPR, Pacifica, Air America and NovaM, at all times. Yes, I have four ears. I will vote for Hilary, and if I change my mind, it won't be because of Josh Marshal, Greg Sargent or Arianna Huffington. It will be because I like her on the issues, because I think she is a better campaigner, and because I think she can lead the party and the nation well.
By the way, I'm a sommelier.
February 6, 2008 2:57 PM | Reply | Permalink
"Chris Matthews, MSNBC’s Manic Oracle of American Politics, Has Been Through a Lot of Elections, But ‘I’ve Never Seen Anything Like This! This Is—’ What? ‘Bigger Than Kennedy!’"
http://www.observer.com/2008/primary-scream?page=0%2C0
That, my friends, is the very definition of "establishment".
February 6, 2008 2:52 PM | Reply | Permalink
Here is something to consider; back in 1992 when BC ran there was an intellectual argument being made for change, fundamental. It came out of what was then a progressive DLC, BC was the head man. The Dems in congress at that time were still exceptionally liberal.
The mainstay and the reason they were voted out were because they did not support the DLC progressiveness; that vacuum allowed for the GOP Revolution. BC was considered an outsider for this very point; he did not fully have support of the party in 92. He did not achieve a plurality, which the Dem congress used to be afraid of supporting him.
Now its 2008, BO is being roundly supported by the establishment, MSM, and Howard Dean. We have Kennedy, Kerry and Dean supporting BO wholeheartedly and are fueling the chit chat that follows 'what will Bill do' in the Whitehouse debate. Dean is responsible for the whisper campaign against HRC.
In veritably, HRC is an outsider to the party because the DNC is supporting BO. HRC is running to center; prescribing the good ideas that were from the DLC; progressive and reality based agenda.
What the Dems don't realize that supporting this kind of legislative candidate like BO they will suffer the fate of bringing back to life the failed policies of a Jimmy Carter type presidency (no offense to JC, I liked him).
If Kennedy, Kerry and Dean are not the party establishment then what is? I don't see many people claiming to be a New Democrat the way it was in 92; I hear the has been philosophy of social engineering and bloated entitlements of the past.
Remember that Teddy betrayed his president by running against him undermining him, allowing Reagan to get in. Remember that Howard Dean's campaign failed and remember John Kerry lost and is still being quoted for 'being for it before he was against it'.
I suggest Hillary Clinton and Bob Graham from FL for a dream ticket.
I suggest BO supporters to look to the center for actual ‘elect ability’ and don’t be so thin skinned.
February 6, 2008 3:13 PM | Reply | Permalink
Feel free to provide one issue that Hillary took a leadership position on publicly and advocated for publicly to the nation. She's had since 2000. It didn't have to await a presidential nomination race.
You want to accuse Obama of giving away the store when everything in his legislative record shows otherwise. But you leave out the Clinton incrementalism and downright sell-out like NAFTA proved to be.
It's time to move past the Clintons and on into our future. We have problems to solve and we'll need independents and Republicans to buy into our solutions. I want the country to move forward and not just the 30% that call themselves Democrats. That's the politics of the 1990s.
But, hey, you can live backward if you want. I don't.
February 6, 2008 3:31 PM | Reply | Permalink
Minja said: "Which candidate refuses to give a timetable for leaving Iraq? That would be Obama."
Really? The below is from barakobama.com:
"Obama will immediately begin to remove our troops from Iraq. He will remove one to two combat brigades each month, and have all of our combat brigades out of Iraq within 16 months."
While this is from HillaryClinton.com:
"Starting Phased Redeployment within Hillary's First Days in Office: The most important part of Hillary's plan is the first: to end our military engagement in Iraq's civil war and immediately start bringing our troops home. As president, one of Hillary's first official actions would be to convene the Joint Chiefs of Staff, her Secretary of Defense, and her National Security Council. She would direct them to draw up a clear, viable plan to bring our troops home starting with the first 60 days of her Administration."
Hill's the one without a timetable.
February 6, 2008 3:40 PM | Reply | Permalink
Hillary Campaign: We loooooooooooove to have our cake and eat it too.
It's really interesting that for the past few months, all i've heard from Hillary camp is that there is no substitute for experience and she is the experienced candidate.
But when it suddenly surfaces that many democratic voters could give a shit, Hillary camp claims that her competitor is now the "establishment candidate."
Um...for lack of a better response...WTF?! How can Hillary be the most experienced candidate, but NOT the establishment one?
And if you want some objective evidence as to who the establishment candidate is, let's look at delegates. Obama has won more delegates through the primaries and caucuses, but Hillary has more superdelegates. Another term for superdelegates? Establishment-delegates.
This is ridiculous. And she can keep dipping into her own, well established pockets to fund a campaign that everyday more people are abandoning.
February 6, 2008 3:45 PM | Reply | Permalink
Minja said, "Which candidate spent virtually all of his speech last night talking about how he would reach out to Republicans"
Did you see a different speech than I did?
February 6, 2008 3:52 PM | Reply | Permalink
What a load of crap! The new talking point is that Hillaryisn't getting as much positive press as Obama. The press wants Barack to be the nominee.
That may be true but I don't remember the Clinton campaign shedding any tears when she was annointed as the front-runner and got the majority of the press coverage. Then during the debates while Hillary and Obama recieved all the questions and responce times, and the more experienced candidates were marginalized and picked of one-by-one, there wasn't any criticism of the unfairness of the entire process.
The sad fact is that if Edwards or one of the others HAD set themselves afire, it would have been a one day story before the race vs gender soap-opera resumed.
February 6, 2008 3:54 PM | Reply | Permalink
"I want to vote my hopes rather than my fears." --BronxInTN
I sort of feel the same way. I'm tired of people trying to manipulate me through my fears (like the Bush/Chenney Administration) so I don't take very kindly when the Clinton campaign tries the same tactic. I'm sure that is why I prefer Obama --I like his vision for the United States better than Clinton's.
February 6, 2008 4:05 PM | Reply | Permalink
"I want to vote my hopes rather than my fears." --BronxInTN
I sort of feel the same way. I'm tired of people trying to manipulate me through my fears (like the Bush/Chenney Administration) so I don't take very kindly when the Clinton campaign tries the same tactic. I'm sure that is why I prefer Obama --I like his vision for the United States better than Clinton's.
February 6, 2008 4:09 PM | Reply | Permalink
Kennedy, Kerry and Dean...
February 6, 2008 4:20 PM | Reply | Permalink
Yes, he will have that depth of influence. I don't think you grasp the essential of politics--winning matters because votes matter and because at the bottom politicians depend on votes.
Obama has an emphasis on local involvement; Dean pushes a 50-state strategy. Together, this is a winning combination. Politicians go where the votes are.
February 6, 2008 4:24 PM | Reply | Permalink
Kennedy, Kerry and Dean... the three blind mice Bring to you...
Sen. Barack Obama, D-Ill., was the most liberal senator in 2007, according to National Journal's 27th annual vote ratings. The insurgent presidential candidate shifted further to the left last year in the run-up to the primaries, after ranking as the 16th- and 10th-most-liberal during his first two years in the Senate.
Yes a hollow legacy, a flip flop and a scream away from victory...
... Mike Dukakis has nothing going on; I think you can find him on Zabasearch...
Liberal = Losers for 40 years running...it's bad enough that Dem can't shake that label; but let's hand the GOP someone who will be competitive.
If nothing else; BO will be the final death knell of the party and we won't have this silliness in 2012.
February 6, 2008 6:30 PM | Reply | Permalink
Dear Ms. & Fellow Dems;
I think all of us understand that it is critically important to put a Dem in the White House this time. I am passionate about my support for Obama because it is exhilarating to finally have a candidate who is truly inspired. But, I feel we must not allow acrimony between the Hillary camp and the Obama camp to the extent that it may hurt either one’s candidacy in November.
Hillary has done some wonderful work in her time in public life. I remember thinking in 1992-93 that I would have whole heartedly supported her had she been the Presidential Candidate next time. But between then and now she has gone from a more principled idealist to a calculating triangulator. I realize that one needs to work with the opposition to get things done, but can anyone sincerely say they could have imagined that person who took on the entire US Congress on behalf of healthcare would one day criticize someone for being too idealistic and hopeful?!
Assessing the effect of years of experience on 20th & 21st century politicians, I will trade experience for idealism any time. It is always the dreamers who make impossible things happen.
Additionally, I am very concerned that Hillary supported the Iraq debacle when there was such overwhelming evidence that even if Sadam had weapons he was no threat to the US.
And recently she signed on to the Lieberman’s bill declaring the Iranian Revolutionary Guard to be a terrorist organization. First, many international experts agree that that was against international law, but also-“fool me once shame on you, fool me twice, shame on me.” The Iraq resolution gave permission to go after terrorists. I am certain that if Bush attacks Iran he will use these 2 resolutions as justification. How could someone make the same mistake a second time?
Check the state of science and engineering when JFK challenged the country to put a man on the moon within the decade. We had not yet even orbited a satellite at that point in history. This is also a good time to point out that in the pantheon of liberal heroes, JFK was 4 years younger than Obama is now.
I disagree with many of Hillary’s positions and actions, but I will not demonize her, because she will need 100% of my and all of our support to defeat the Republican candidate whoever he is. Let’s remember, those of us who are Dems are all on the same side here. We must not allow a Republican to take the White House next time!
February 7, 2008 12:33 AM | Reply | Permalink
Establishmment vs. Outsider?
I thought it was Harvard vs. Yale.
I guess even on that count it's time for a change.
February 7, 2008 1:26 AM | Reply | Permalink
Dear Ms. & Fellow Dems;
I think all of us understand that it is critically important to put a Dem in the White House this time. I am passionate about my support for Obama because it is exhilarating to finally have a candidate who is truly inspired. But, I feel we must not allow acrimony between the Hillary camp and the Obama camp to the extent that it may hurt either one’s candidacy in November.
Hillary has done some wonderful work in her time in public life. I remember thinking in 1992-93 that I would have whole heartedly supported her had she been the Presidential Candidate next time. But between then and now she has gone from a more principled idealist to a calculating triangulator. I realize that one needs to work with the opposition to get things done, but can anyone sincerely say they could have imagined that person who took on the entire US Congress on behalf of healthcare would one day criticize someone for being too idealistic and hopeful?!
Assessing the effect of years of experience on 20th & 21st century politicians, I will trade experience for idealism any time. It is always the dreamers who make impossible things happen.
Additionally, I am very concerned that Hillary supported the Iraq debacle when there was such overwhelming evidence that even if Sadam had weapons he was no threat to the US.
And recently she signed on to the Lieberman’s bill declaring the Iranian Revolutionary Guard to be a terrorist organization. First, many international experts agree that that was against international law, but also-“fool me once shame on you, fool me twice, shame on me.” The Iraq resolution gave permission to go after terrorists. I am certain that if Bush attacks Iran he will use these 2 resolutions as justification. How could someone make the same mistake a second time?
Check the state of science and engineering when JFK challenged the country to put a man on the moon within the decade. We had not yet even orbited a satellite at that point in history. This is also a good time to point out that in the pantheon of liberal heroes, JFK was 4 years younger than Obama is now.
I disagree with many of Hillary’s positions and actions, but I will not demonize her, because she will need 100% of my and all of our support to defeat the Republican candidate whoever he is. Let’s remember, those of us who are Dems are all on the same side here. We must not allow a Republican to take the White House next time!
February 7, 2008 7:21 AM | Reply | Permalink