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Exit Polls: Obama Cut Deep Into Hillary's Core Constituencies

The exit polls show that Obama cut deeply into Hillary's core constituencies in racking up his sizable victory in Wisconsin tonight.

Obama made it very close among females, losing to Hillary by the slimmest of margins, 51%-49%.

He won by a sizable margin among middle-aged voters, 53%-46%.

He won by decent margins among voters with an income less than $50,000.

He won by big margins among self described moderates and conservatives.

He won overwhelmingly among people who decided in the last week or the last three days, though Hillary won narrowly among those who decided in the last day.

He won narrowly among members of union households.

Full exits here.


94 Comments

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We are cooking!!!

Give Hillary a break.

The fork sticking in her is kind of making it hard for her to defend her base against Obama's vicious negative attacks.

Females don't matter.

Middle-aged voters don't matter.

Those with incomes less than $50,000 don't matter.

Moderates and conservatives don't matter.

Union households don't matter.

Only white women over 65 matter.

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Over at Booman Tribune I posted:
According to that exit polling (none / 1)
Clinton's base seems to be a poor, undereducated married white Catholic woman over 60.

That means she still has 7 groups to disenfranchise.

It's like Fox's ads for the all-star game:

"This time, it counts."

Obama actually lost the female vote 48%-51%. I am happy he reached virtual parity, but for the record, he did lose that demographic...

joeb, it looks like there are two different numbers there. CNN has the one you cite, but other people have the one above.

Looks to me like he won big among self-described conservatives, moderates, AND liberals. Was there a reason why the third group was not mentioned?

At any rate, this is looking really good for November! With Obama, we won't just win the presidency, but elect Democrats all across our country. 1994 in reverse (only more so)!

Probably because he always wins by big margins among liberals, but hasn't always won among the other groups as easily.

anneeliz, but the link is to MSNBC's numbers, which also have Obama losing, in their case 48-51. what sites have different numbers?

anneeliz, but the link is to MSNBC's numbers, which also have Obama losing, in their case 48-51. what sites have different numbers?

I want my mommy....

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Given the shitslinging from the HRC camp, bnw, I know such sentiments are tempting. But let's please keep it respectful and cut her a little slack.

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Make a matching donation right now:

https://donate.barackobama.com/promise

♪♪♪

She really is fading, folks...fading fast. Her refusal to mention Wisconsin tonight in her speech was so telling. She keeps talking like absolutely nothing happened. Imagine what she'd be like as President when things don't go her way? Oy! This surreal sort-of way she has of trying to pretend things are great when they're not...it's hard to watch sometimes. Furthermore, she kept using her same old lines about Ready on Day One (she really needs to freshen up the message). I almost felt a little sorry for her, and I can't imagine that's the kind of feeling she wants anyone to have. Obama's looking more and more formidable every week...look out McCain.

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"This surreal sort-of way she has of trying to pretend things are great when they're not..."

Um... Er.... like when bill.... um... er...

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You have to imagine that the staff of the Clinton campaign is starting to realize that they are not going to win this nomination. As that feeling also settles in with voters, donors, superdelegates, and the media - we could see this race over on March 5th.

(or they fight to the bitter end.)

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(or they fight to the bitter end.)

Oh, please, dear God, no. (I'm religious, btw, so I do mean that very seriously.) It's really the one thing that could ruin the Democratic Party for another generation, blow McCain into the White House, (and therefore bring two to four hard-right justices to the Supreme Court and a war with Iran), possibly return one or both houses of Congres to the Repugnicans, and turn a generation of young idealistic Democratic voters away from politics.

If the Clintons do this, it will be proof positive that they care for neither party nor country, only themselves. At this point I'm still willing to give them the benefit of the doubt. But not if they pull that kind of a stunt.

One can only hope that if they make noises about trying to do it, Dean and perhaps some of the cooler heads among their supporters will sit them down and knock some sense into them, whatever it takes.

I don't think he means, what you think he means...

He's saying that Hillary is obviously out of the race in two weeks. She's set expectations in Texas and in Ohio that are unrealistic. She needs BIG wins there in order to make up for lost delegates. If she wins by 1 point, she still loses the nomination. And the way things are shaping up, it seems clear she cannot win BIG in Texas or Ohio. Obama is closing fast in both contests. She's probably going to lose Texas, and the best she can hope for is a Tie in Ohio. If that happens, she'll be finished.

All the data points we've got, tell us her campaign is in utter turmoil. After Virginia she lost 4 key staff members including her Campaign and Deputy Campaign manager. It also became clear in Maine, that she did not have enough campaign cash to compete in a national election against Obama. She has been asking for Donations at all her key events. Begging is never attractive.

We know that she raised 15 million since Super Tuesday. Repaid herself the 5 million she lent to her campaign, and presumably blew most of the remaining 10 million in her GO NUCLEAR EVERYTHING NEGATIVE AND THE KITCHEN SINK scorched earth Wisconsin campaign. And now she needs to go be competitive in two very big states, Ohio and Texas. She does not have the cash to do that effectively.

From where I sit, campaign seems to be spiraling out of control. After two landslide losses last night the truth of this, is finally sinking into her campaign staff and her supporters in general. I would not be surprised if we see her hang Mark Penn out to dry in the next week.

We can reasonably expect the final implosion of her campaign (and hopefully concession speech) to come on March 5 after Obama wins Texas and probably fights her to a draw in Ohio.

It is going to be freaking ugly. But at least it will finally be over.

No more blood please...

She threw the kitchen sink at him in the last week and he still crushed. From this point forward:

Barack Obama = Harlem Globetrotters

Hillary Clinton = Washington Generals

This is a big night for Hillary - it's the first time since Super Tuesday she's broken 40%. Is this the start of some new momentum?

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Intrade for Obama = 80 ♪♪♪

In the exit poll it's noteworthy that Clinton was the winner among White Democrats, 52% to 47%. White Democrats were only 53% of the overall turnout and the rest strongly preferred Obama, but Clinton's win among White Democrats implies her viability isn't totally extinct.

Some large percentage of Wisconsin's White Democrats are Catholics. Clinton won among Catholics 50% to 48%, and Catholics were 41% of the total turnout. Catholics have preferred Clinton to Obama in all northern states so far polled, including in Obama's home state of Illinois, and it's to be expected they will prefer her in Ohio too. But Catholics are a significantly lower percentage of the voters in Ohio than in any of the other northern states polled so far. So, Clinton is going into Ohio with less demographic advantage in this particular respect.

There are a lot of us Catholics in Rhode Island, however, so she should do well there (is that a silver lining?).

Drainage! Drainage, Hillary. Drained dry. I'm so sorry. Here, if you have a milkshake, and Obama has a milkshake, and Obama has a straw. There it is, that's a straw, you see? You watching?. And Obama's straw reaches acroooooooss the room, and starts to drink your milkshake... Obama... drinks... your... milkshake!

I don't care what the demographics of individual groups are. As of 10:41 he's up by 15 points overall. That's a rout.

Oh goddamn it my comment follows the drainage comment. That's like following Barack on on the stump. I just can't compete with that.

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Fantastic night! Remember that it's just gonna get dirtier folks. The really good news is that the Clinton low-road has not been effective.

Nothing succeeds like success. Therefore, the narrative will likely now shift to how impotent the Clinton dirty war has been.

Could we at last be bidding farewell to triangulation and 50.1% politics? For the disappointed . . . remember that it's not about the candidate, it's about the 20+ year political style of this partnership. It's simply time to move on and it would seem that a majority of progressives would agree.

Yes, you can get out the forks. But just to feed my paranoia you better keep handy the silver case with the supply of garlic, the crucifix, the wooden stake and the heavy mallet around until the evening of March 5th. Meow....hisss!

THERE WILL BE BLOOD!!!

Though I sincerely hope that Hillary does not continue to go nuclear, I don’t believe it for a second. Her new campaign manager has no other tools. Their campaign obviously believes raising Obama’s negatives and tarnishing him somehow is the only way they can catch up.

I think she is going to go down in flames trying to tear down everything and everyone with her, including the Democratic Party. The next two weeks will be hard, bloody and ugly.

I see almost no chance that she follows Obama’s example, by taking the high road, and resisting negative campaigning. Remember she tried that in the LA debate, trying to make amends for her husband’s racially repugnant SC remarks? She will not stop going vicious until she stops Obama’s momentum.

Pity for her, its not going to happen. And when the dust settles, her campaign will look that much more despicable for their Rove like tactics. It’s a shame. She’s coming dangerously close to imperiling her clout in the Democratic Party structure, and has greatly downgraded her prestige as Former First Lady, and the prestige of her husband.

Good reason to be excited for Obama supporters and the only thing that can take that away is if we become overconfident.

If we get arrogant and go negative on Hillary. Let her own the negative in this campaign.

Watching the coverage before the polls closed, the pundit consensus was that if Hillary won by a hair or at least kept it within 5 points, it would recharge her campaign and reset the race to even. Whereas Obama had to win convincingly AND cut into the various groups that formed Hillary's base in order to have "won" the night. He won 8 in a row, in blowout fashion, prior to tonight. Geez, what's a guy gotta do?

And I see that the controversy for tomorrow will be how rude Obama is for starting his speech in the middle of Clinton's.

On that subject, it seems that HRC was set to speak at 8:30 but delayed going on so that she could step on BHO's speech.

He couldn't wait because he had 20,000 yelling people waiting. They had already been there for hours.

His going on on-time was called, by HRC's press spokesperson "Politically astute."

I call his interrupting the broadcast of her speech a compassionate humanitarian gesture. He was (partially) saving her from herself, since the reaction to her continuing Stepford-like ignoring of reality seems to have left a bad taste in people's mouths.

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And I don't know why people don't mention this, but Since New Hampshire, Clinton has been consistently late to everything.

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And if Barack is a little bit late, he apologizes.

How refreshing! ♪♪♪

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However camp Hillary spins it tomorrow is up in the air, but the MSNBC talking heads are saying they think that because she was not gracious and did not congratulate Obama on WI win -- in fact, pretending it didn't happen and even attacking Obama with their free air time -- that Obama decided, they think, that it was time for the winner to come forward and acknowledge what happened today.

Personally, I'm getting sick of her getting free air time for a standard, non-concilliatory stump speech (go to my website, blah, blah, blah). Just empty words from the loser of the night.

I hope Obama keeps cutting off such non-sense every time he wins and she shows no graciousness.

Did anyone see Chris Matthews just chew up the Obama surrogate from Texas? OMG!!! That was embarrassing...The surrogate didnt know anything about BO and Chris Matthews just called him out...Olberman tried to pretty it up afterwards, but it was too late...That Rep from Teaxas should have at least read something about BO before he went on the air...

You know, I voted for WJC twice, but I still remember one of *his* slogans:

Deny, deny, deny!

Apparently, no one else but HRC likes that one enough to lift it.

It's been said before, it will be said again:

Tweety's an ass.

Oh, this is too much:

Howard Fineman, on MSNBC a moment ago, says that he's spoken to the Clinton campaign, and they have concluded that, since their 10-15% loss in Wisconsin was so much better than their 20%+ loss in the various Potomacs, that means the negative campaigning that they did in Wisconsin is The Road to Victory!

Forget about mudslinging. Look for shitslinging in Ohio.

More: Andrea Mitchell says that the Clinton campaign told her "Look at it this way: his negatives have nowhere to go but up."

Clinton is going to go into full-out scumball mode.

With 72% reporting, Obama's spread over Clinton is greater than McCain's over Huckabee.

On the other hand, I worry that Michelle Obama may have done some lasting damage today.

Don't worry about Michelle's comment. Between Wisconsin and Hawaii and the upcoming debates and March 4th...well, it'll drown in a sea of overtalk.

Well, this is very encouraging as we move towards Mar 4.

Obama did exceptionally well on the electability issue tonight, too, per the exit polls. He captured 63% versus her 37% as the one who could best beat the GOP nominee. To me, as the primary rolls into its last half, that issue could become the momentum builder that drives the final stake in her campaign. It's going to matter to these next voters, and it's definitely going to matter to the superdelegates.

Don't read too much into the GOP numbers. Remember, McCain has already won and Huckabee supporters have something to prove.

The Dem race is much crazier: hence the larger turnout for both sides.

so who should obama pick for vp?

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Not Hillary. Never, ever, ever!

agreed. but who?
it is also potentially an interesting question for mccain. i suspect he won't pick someone who is also collecting social security.

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Obama - Webb!

Neutralize McCain's supposed "I'm tougher on security" rationale. Especially one who served in the Reagan administration. Can you say "Obamicans"?...

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I think Obama should consider a woman.

But who?

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Not hillary.

my mom.
she looks a bit like clinton. but doesn't have so many negatives. (that said, i probably couldn't vote for the obama/mama ticket)

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I'd personally love for it to be Barbara Boxer. But it ain't gonna happen, nor should it. McCaskill? She's a vet, right? I'm not fond of a lot of her votes or positions, but she could sort of be a female Jim Webb. For that matter, I hate a lot of Webb's votes and I suspect that he and McCaskill vote in near-lockstep (though I haven't checked.) That doesn't change the fact that he's be an awesome VP candidate. Just imagine a Webb-Jeb Bush debate. Or for that matter, a McCaskill-Jeb debate. Not that Jeb's the R VP nominee or anything. Just sayin'.

I guess there's no way she'll concede till after March 4. But I think it's looking less and less likely that this will go all the way to the convention. I mean, it just seems like if she keeps on threatening to rip the party apart, insulting various demographic groups, and, most importantly, losing, she's going to lose the support of the party machine. And it's not like she can run a Huckabee hope-and-a-prayer insurgent campaign indefinitely — I mean, the party machine is her base. Without that, she's is really (and increasingly) nowhere.

If the good of the party were uppermost in her mind, she'd end this now. But it's got to be hard to quit when you've wanted this for so long.... Sometime soon, though, this is going to be over.

For McCain I say Charlie Crist. Though there are mutterings about Tim Pawlenty, or as we call him, "Texas Timmy." I'm not sure MN is a big enough prize, though (and Texas Timmy only won by a slim margin in '06.)

Obama won every single ward in Dane County, Wis. City of Madison, suburban, rural, really rural(!), all economic levels, all ethnicities. In 30+ years in politics here, I cannot recall that ever happening before tonight for any campaign.
Amazing and impressive.

That was former Austin Mayor and now state senator Kirk Watson -- it was ugly. After Doyle and now this, I think the Obama campaign will send surrogates a little email about ethics reform legislation. But Matthews is a real jerk, which would be the takeaway for 90% of viewers.

Hey Zell,

Have you looked at the latest numbers? It's up to 17% plus now at 58-41. It's another rout. With late votes coming in she may be below 40% for the ninth straight contest. That is truly astounding!

Pablo

I came to the primaries leaning to Clinton but liking Obama. To me, this loss seals the nomination for Obama regardless of what happens in OH, PA and TX. I think it is effectively over and I congratulate Obama on his result.

Whether he'll win in Nov or not I don't know but at this point, I expect him to lose. 'A speech, a shoeshine and a smile' takes you only so far. We'll see. Good luck.

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It's not at all plausible for Obama to select HRC for VP. Why weigh down the ticket with such high negatives and open the door to 4 years of Medici style double-teaming intrigue in the bowels of the White House? There is no way that's gonna happen.

Clinton has much more to gain by adding Obama onto her ticket. But 1)I doubt that he would opt for that even if she somehow pulls of a miracle comeback. And 2) after the low road attacks on Obama and with McCain on the other side, Hillary would more practically need some macho military credentials behind her.

Also, Obama is a very young man in Presidential politics. Despite Michelle's recent rhetoric OHB, can wait it out until 2024 building gravitas and still be only around 63 years of age - just to illustrate the point that time is on his side.

So don't panic and fret about the Barack/Hillary or Hillary/Barack ticket. It just ain't gonna happen either way. Just sit back and enjoy the evening folks!

I celebrated Obama's -- and the Democratic party's -- win tonight, by posting my first blog in the Cafe.

And now I really must go to bed.

Good night folks.

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Mind you, this is also given that very prominent right-wing talkers (including one who, apparently, subs regularly for OxyRushtin when he's "on a bender", as John Nichols quipped) in WI were urging their listeners to go out and vote for HRC, because they believe she's more easily beatable. Reported by Nichols in an interview on today's Rachel Maddow Show (Hour 1) and widely elsewhere as well, at least on AAR. Haven't looked for links online yet but I suspect they're out there.

Indiex

He hasn't beaten the Clintons on "a speech, a shoeshine, and a smile"

Nor was that the reason he was President of Harvard Law Review.

Nor was that the reason he was elected to the Senate.

Nor was that the reason he is a best selling author.

Nor is that the reason he will be President.

They sure are working Michelle Obama's comment on the post-election analysis. Apparently, an arguably poorly worded, offhand comment by the spouse of a candidate is just as important than the votes of over a million people.

And, re Tweety's badgering of the hapless TX Obama supporter: why didn't Matthews pose the same question to Clinton's surrogate? I'm betting she would have been every bit as flustered under the same line of questioning.

God, I hate the mainstream media.

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Oh, but remember... the MSM is in love with Obama and gives him a free pass on everything, right? Right? C'mon, Hillbots.... say it! I double-dog-dare ya.

Speaking of which... the Hillbots have been mighty quite tonight. workerbee, where are you? readytoblowagasket? Having a night on the town?

Hello?....

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That was really annoying. I didn't see a problem with her comment and it made sense that she was talking about the political system and people getting involved in the process, not america in general. These putzes are really pathetic. Its funny no matter how much they try to cause a problem and derail the obama express, it keeps on chugging along. People are smarter than the right-wing media gives them credit for sometimes.

A friend of mine sent this to me earlier tonight. Anytime any of you Clinton supporters want to accuse Obama backers of viciousness, I want you to remember this gem from HillaryIs44.com:

wbboei Says:

February 19th, 2008 at 11:08 pm
We need to understand why more women fail to see the significance of Hillary and what her candidacy means to their lives. It is as if they do not understand how the world works. Hillary herself is a wonderful candidate so that is not the issue. This was a central premise of the Penn strategy was strong support from single women. It may just be that these women are as stupid as their limp dicked male counterparts, in which case we need to reach them.

Prediction: Five or more superdelegates declare (or better, switch) to Obama tomorrow. That trend, already noticeable in the past week, will be self-reinforcing and will accelerate in the coming fortnight, not only because Obama looks like a winner, but also because any fear of HRC's reprisal is rapidly dissipating. I mean, what can she do, if she's not going to be the nominee?

Obama gave a good speech in Texas -- I expect him to lead the next Texas poll by 5-7 points. The campaign needs to send its best speechwriters to work with Michelle Obama, to come up with a list of 3-5 earlier times when she was genuinely proud of the US during her adult lifetime. The more personal and touching, the better.

i suspect he has a few stored away to come out at an opportune time. you may be right. pulling them out over the next couple weeks seems like a good move. play to end the game on march 4.

Oh man, Pat Buchannon just said Hillary needed a "Deus Ex Machina" to win. MSNBC just got my viewership for quite some time.

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Wow, just wow. . . . I never would have guessed this one. Just like VA, wow. Obama is just so presidential compared to mccain and the clintons. It's like night and day. I don't think mccain has a chance. We are looking at a complete blow-out in November. Wow.

VP Webb all the way. A perfect fit. They are totally on the same page with foreign and domestic policy. Webb is not a great orator like obama, he is just a bulldog. Military creds out the butt. Perfect fit. Webb for VP all the way. Wow.

Thompson, I've gone over to read the comments at Hillary44 a couple of times. It's truly breathtaking. They actually kind of are cultists. They seem to think Hillary can lead us all to the promised land, and Obama is some sort of devil who is alternatively an evil mastermind and an empty suit holding the MSM and the democratic party in thrall. I saw a comment thread where there was muslim-baiting, hitler-references, cultist references, thinly veiled threats, and ANTICHRIST references--not to mention some standard name calling and paranoid delusions--and then someone posted about how incredibly vile comments on most other political blogs were. It's really scary.

Word for word. Find me a similar Obama site, and I'll say the same thing. But damn. Are these people even Americans?

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One word, nope. If they were, they wouldn't be for the clintons. Frightening site.

Holy Moley!
This was a rout compared to the squeaker I was expecting. I knew she was done after the Potomac because of the margins she would need going forward but I at least expected things to stay competitive for a bit yet.

As an Obamanite and a former Cheesehead, I am thrilled but I can't help but feel bad for Hillary despite all of the crap she has been hurling. Aside from the fact that for all her shortcomings, I don't doubt that she really is a loyal civil-servent but imagine putting up with Bill's s**t for all those years for the big prize only to have it be for naught. (Odds of post primary divorce- 2:1)

I am sure Obama will make some rookie mistakes vs. McCain but will find his groove shortly and it won't be pretty for the old man.

I think a woman on the ticket is too risky. here's why:

1) obama can't pick hillary now. it's not about the bad blood that may exist, it's about his message of change and vision for the country that dont jive with a VP hillary.

2) if he picks another woman, i think he runs a risk of pissing off hillary and her supporters even more bc it will look like a snub.

3) let's face it. our nation isn't perfect. there are some who may not vote for a candidate based on skin color. there are also some not comfortable voting for a woman.

obama needs to maximize his chances and the Dem Party's chances and perhaps cover perceived worries that will come up (foreign policy experience, military affairs, liberal voting record, etc).

I notice Obama moving toward the Evan Bayh program of tuition credit for mandatory government service. Evan Bayh would be a good choice, imho

HRC will never be anyone's choice for VP. She spent a lot of time cementing the idea that she is a two-fer with WJC.

What president would want WJC second-guessing you all the time?

People should face the following facts:

Should HRC lose, there is no 2012 for her.
Should HRC lose, she will not be considered for VP.
Should HRC lose, she will not be considered for the Supreme Court.
Should HRC lose, she will have the opportunity to really make moves in the Senate (no, not as majority leader -- that person has to have a control on his party via firm persuasion, not blunt strong arm tactics). The only question is will she make the moves, or not run for re-election in 2012?

Should she lose the nomination, I will hardly "feel bad" for HRC: her fall back position is one job I would love to have: be a Senator in the US from a powerful state.

Should she walk away from the US Senate in 2012, then we all can view why she might have run for it to begin with.

By the way, Obama's career as a potential POTUS is not bright should he lose this nomination process either. But, interestingly, I doubt people will go around "feeling bad" for him should that be the case.

As always, one may want to question: why? ;-)

At my ward, which had under 40 people in 2000 and 2004, there were at
least 2000 who managed to get in the room
(no doubt violating all fire regs) and lots more outside, in spite of
no parking for at least mile. (I looked). The situation was similar
all over
Oahu according to friends, basically complete chaos. No organization
could have been prepared for it, simply swamped
everyone. But everyone treated everyone with aloha, no complaints, in
spite of extremely long lines to get in if you needed to
register. Typically this ward would be dominate by elderly
Japanese-Americans. Tonight it was much younger and more diverse -
Chinese-Americans, Korean-Americans, Filipino-Americans, Native
Hawaiians, Locals, even a few European-Americans and
African-Americans. They ended up ripping up what paper they had and
marking it with the date, and having people write their choice in.
I did see two Hillary stickers, but my guess is a 80-20 win for Obama.
And not because he is a native son. Didn't get out till 10,
so don't expect counted results in for few days. But for sure an Obama
landslide.

Sorry, in case it wasn't obvious, my above comment was about the Hawaii Caucus.

I just went to Hillaryis44. The first thing I noticed is that they are still looking for precinct captains. WTF? This is your firewall state girl! Time to get your butt in gear!

I don't think he means, what you think he means...

He's saying that Hillary is obviously out of the race in two weeks. She's set expectations in Texas and in Ohio that are unrealistic. She needs BIG wins there in order to make up for lost delegates. If she wins by 1 point, she still loses the nomination. And the way things are shaping up, it seems clear she cannot win BIG in Texas or Ohio. Obama is closing fast in both contests. She's probably going to lose Texas, and the best she can hope for is a Tie in Ohio. If that happens, she'll be finished.

All the data points we've got, tell us her campaign is in utter turmoil. After Virginia she lost 4 key staff members including her Campaign and Deputy Campaign manager. It also became clear in Maine, that she did not have enough campaign cash to compete in a national election against Obama. She has been asking for Donations at all her key events. Begging is never attractive.

We know that she raised 15 million since Super Tuesday. Repaid herself the 5 million she lent to her campaign, and presumably blew most of the remaining 10 million in her GO NUCLEAR EVERYTHING NEGATIVE AND THE KITCHEN SINK scorched earth Wisconsin campaign. And now she needs to go be competitive in two very big states, Ohio and Texas. She does not have the cash to do that effectively.

From where I sit, campaign seems to be spiraling out of control. After two landslide losses last night the truth of this, is finally sinking into her campaign staff and her supporters in general. I would not be surprised if we see her hang Mark Penn out to dry in the next week.

We can reasonably expect the final implosion of her campaign (and hopefully concession speech) to come on March 5 after Obama wins Texas and probably fights her to a draw in Ohio.

It is going to be freaking ugly. But at least it will finally be over.

No more blood please...

Where have the HRC fans been?
Not following the returns, why self inflict the pain?
From here on out it really is a coronation march.
I don't think HRC will be able to afford much of a campaign after she loses Texas.
Yes She Will! WI is proof positive of that.
Whether she takes it to a first vote at the convention I don't know. I doubt she does now.
For sure it will not be a nomination fight; the worst that happens is that a lot of delegates vote for her and Edwards in a pro forma way before getting religion. The convention is going to want to honor them both for their hard fought blah blah blah. Who knows but I'm betting it'll be like the Oscars show.
Besides don't the Obamabots want many more months of chortling at HRC's failure?

And boyo is Obama lucky in his opponent!
Granpa Munster and his Stepford Wife (you think HRC artificial?) are just so dated, so tv dinners in front of the black and white TV. More Eisenhower than Reagan, yes?
McCain is the only one I feel sorry for. He has spent most of his life maneuvering to be president and his chance has come way too late. Then again only a Republican party on the brink of disaster would nominate him.
And not to be disrespectful but will someone get him a new dentist please? He has to do something about those yellowed teeth; they give him that envied dirty old man look when he smiles and you can almost smell the Old Spice.

So good morning droids! and congratulations all round are in order!

When I saw Hillary speak last night she was saying stuff: "You know that I will fight for you" instead of asking rhetorically, do you think I will fight for you?

And then I saw Obama asking are you ready for change?

In the next two weeks you will witness another Rudy G type meltdown where the expectations and the talking heads, who sold the idea of Hillary to people, contine to pretend that the voters rejection of Hillary doesn't matter.

But the blow out in Hawaii drives home the point that her bid for POTUS is effectively over. I think the contributions tell the story, Hillary had the establishment backing, Obama record number of small contributions.

It was almost unfair for Hillary to have a speech before or after Obama on CNN last night, it just seemed to drive home the fact that "words do indeed matter" or the lack thereof.

At one point there was a characterization of McCains assembled group in comparison and contrast to Obama's, unless the GOP can pull it together, and organize, then Obama can deflect the attacks as an attack on the "cause of the voters" and that will not work.

The feedback at the Obama speech and participation of the crowd something unwitnessed since the Kenedy's

And that folks is a fact.

How can you spin away the crowd in Houston?

Go ahead spin away the crowd.......

As I wrote here - http://www.kajleers.nl/?p=110 - some time ago already, another narrative is slowly but surely creeping into the matrix.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2008/02/mccains_experience_presents_ge.html

and

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2008/02/the_obama_delusion.html

The second one by Robert Samuelson is most intriguing, I find, because it hits the nail right on the head: while Obama is screaming at the top of his lungs that he is a uniter, not a divider, his programme is actually pretty darn partisan Democratic.

The rhetoric doesn't fit the programme.

And before people start shoveling crap at me: no, I'm NOT a Clinton supporter. I just don't want another Republican crook running the White House for another 8 years.

As I wrote here - http://www.kajleers.nl/?p=110 - some time ago already, another narrative is slowly but surely creeping into the matrix.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2008/02/mccains_experience_presents_ge.html

and

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2008/02/the_obama_delusion.html

The second one by Robert Samuelson is most intriguing, I find, because it hits the nail right on the head: while Obama is screaming at the top of his lungs that he is a uniter, not a divider, his programme is actually pretty darn partisan Democratic.

The rhetoric doesn't fit the programme.

And before people start shoveling crap at me: no, I'm NOT a Clinton supporter. I just don't want another Republican crook running the White House for another 8 years.

Michael A.,

I agree with you about one of the Blue Dog Democrats (or is it Red Dog, i can never keep it in order) being one of the best choices for VP.
I have thought this before....

Webb would be good because of the military credentials vs a McCain ticket. However, i think any of them would emphasize Obama's ability to draw moderates and independents and his ability to help downstream tickets in the State races...

Obama Webb 08

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Ditto, couple other things on my second favorite senator. He would seal the deal on virginia a big swing state. Also, he actually practiced obama's type of politics against mr. macaca. He let mr. macaca melt down on his own and just counter attacked when attacked. He didn't go out of his way to sling mud.

Also, he was against the war before it started and was jumping up and down trying to stop this travesty. Just like obama was in joining protest marches.

He would be an awesome wingman.

Obama/Webb 08

Speaking of gut checks, voters seem to be stepping back to consider the situation the U.S. is now in and they are going in one decided direction: away from the uninspiring, pantsuit-wearing policy-meister. The race for the Democratic nomination ends March 5th.

I would like to see an Obama-Sebelius ticket. I think Obama is going to need a woman on the ticket to reach out to the many women who will be disappointed about Hillary's loss, and Governor Kathleen Sebelius of Kansas is an Obama supporter with a record of successful outreach to moderate Republicans that fits in really well with the unity theme of Obama's campaign. She probably can't swing Kansas to the Democrats at the Presidential level, but I think demographic and personal appeal are more important than appeal in a single swing state.

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I really like her as well. However, somebody pointed this out and it makes sense, if obama picks another woman over clinton, won't that piss off the clinton supporters? There is no way that he would pick clinton and there is no way that she would accept, but isn't that still a problem.

Also, webb has much broader appeal outside virginia, plus he puts a lock on virginia. That I think is a huge benefit and weighs in webb's favor. I still believe that you want a vp that brings in another region of the country and at least brings along his home state that might swing one way or the other. Webb fits that bill and would help put in play some other southern states.

I like Webb, but I think he may be too pugnacious to mesh well with Obama. As for his Virginia appeal, he only barely won his Senate race.

I'm also concerned that if Obama does NOT put a woman on the ticket, McCain may "outflank" the Democrats by running with a female VP candidate--maybe Kay Hutchison or Jodi Rell. Such a combination might appeal to a significant number of Hillary supporters who place a premium on "experience" and also want to vote for a woman.

Looks like we have a least three votes here for an Obama-Sebelius ticket. There are so many good things about the idea, not the least being that she is a well-liked two-time governor of Kansas.

More: (1) Being a woman she can help heal the rift between Obama and those who thought Hillary should be the first female president.
(2) If we can't get a female president this time around, well, getting a female VP ain't so bad.
(3) She is from a red state, but Obama does not believe red states don't matter, so he is going to try to win Kansas. Remember, if Gore had won Tennessee he would be president. So small states do matter.
(4) She is the daughter of a popular former governor of Ohio --- yes, Ohio, a key state and ripe for plucking.
(5) She is Catholic. Clinton seems to be popular among Catholics, so demographically this is good.
(6) Last and not least, she is beautiful to behold.

As to Sen. Webb, we know he was a former cabinet member for Reagan, so he is a good fit there, perhaps Defense or National Security.

Obama-Sebelius '08!

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