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Edwards Aide: John Having Private Endorsement Discussions With Hillary, Obama; "Greater Than 50% Chance" He'll Endorse

An Edwards aide confirms to me that John Edwards met privately with Hillary on Thursday to discuss the possibility of making an endorsement, and will meet with Obama tomorrow, as first reported by Mark Halperin.

The Edwards aide gave me a bunch more detail, including this: "There's a greater than 50% chance he will endorse." He also said that he's been talking to both on and off for some time, including since he dropped out.

The Edwards aide, who played a key campaign role, confirms that in his private discussion with Hillary, the former North Carolina Senator talked to her about similar concerns he raised with both candidates just before leaving the race. The aide says he talked about "who's going to carry on the mantle of fighting for the voiceless," and is trying to gauge which of the two "will sign their name in blood in order to make that commitment." A second source familiar with the meeting confirmed that it took place.

The Edwards aide cautioned against reading too much into the meetings, saying that he'd been talking to both of them before. "He's torn," the aide said "He has reservations about Hillary, which are pretty apparent."

On Obama, the aide says, Edwards worries "whether he's tough enough to be President of the United States. If you look at what Edwards ran on, which is not negotiating with the special interests, taking away their power, that's pretty different than the Obama model."

The Edwards aide added that Obama's lack of a health care plan with a "mandate" is a "tough hurdle for him to get over." He added, however, that Edwards is much more in line with Obama on other issues.


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At this point I'd say most of his supporters have already gravitated to one camp or the other, so I don't know what kind of effect an endorsement would even have. Besides, it's not like his followers will inevitably follow his word in lock-step.

That said, it would be a nice piece of news to either carry Hillary through a dry spell, or push Obama's momentum even further - possibly over the top - heading into Ohio and Texas.

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I wonder if this video on the John Edwards 08 YouTube page will give us any indication
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qggO5yY7RAo

If John Edwards endorses Sen Clinton he would lose most of his credibility with those of us who supported him

Sen Clinton's chief strategist is Mark Penn, a lobbyist her campaign paid $4.3 million this month for his services. Burston Marseller, the firm Penn is CEO of represents Abu Dhabi based companies who are buying up US interests --

Sen Clinton has taken more corp and pac money than all the candidates oput together

John: what exactly is there to think about?
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But I also think the window where John Edwards endorsement could have had any real impact on the vote has passed. He should have endorsed before Super Tuesday - and is he wasn't ready he should have endorsed before yesterday's primary/caucuses--

This is diff to me than Richardson who has a large Hispanic following - his endorsement will matter now and anytime up to Texas --

The idea of Edwards in his home summoning the two remaining candidates to meetings in the heat of the race kind of disturbs me --
His voice was not silenced on major issues - he silenced himself by not become a surrogate for someone while championing his issues -- he could still be out there talking to thousands of people about his issues --

I have to say - I am a little disappointed in John-

Well put, awb. I am disappointed that he seems to be having so much trouble making a decision. The idea of him endorsing Clinton, who embodies corporate politics, is ridiculous. She was on the board of Wal Mart and took campaign cash from Rupert Murdoch for Christ's sake. Now she is pushing for a Faux News debate. Boycotting Faux News was a great idea when Edwards led the way, now she wants to legitimize Murdoch's propaganda machine.

Unfortunately John's unwillingness to take a position only reinforces the impression that many of us here in NC already have of John: that he is primarily interested in what is good for John Edwards, not his party, not his constituency, and not the country. This is all about what's in it for him.

At this point I'd say most of his supporters have already gravitated to one camp or the other, so I don't know what kind of effect an endorsement would even have. Besides, it's not like his followers will inevitably follow his word in lock-step.

That said, it would be a nice piece of news to either carry Hillary through a dry spell, or push Obama's momentum even further - possibly over the top - heading into Ohio and Texas.

the thing is, does JE endorsement mean anything now? I think JE took too long...Most of his supporters have already decided by now where they are going to go and some of his endorsers have already moved on...i dont see his endorsement having as much of an impact other than it will make the news for a day...
He is old news now..
its clear seeing the results from Super Tuesday and yesterday's drubbing that Obama isnt in need of his endorsement...it would be bigger news and a lift for HIllary if he endorsed Her...

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Who cares? He lost his chance for his endorsement to mean anything at this point. However, if he does endorse, I hope he endorses the clintons, that will be a smack in the face to his former supporters and would further motivate them for obama.

JE = old news

So he had no concern about her as a status quo candidate? Interesting.

I think in the grand scheme of things, his endorsement won't mean much. Most of his supporters (including the unions) have found other homes.

That being said, I think it would be a much bigger boost for Clinton (at Edwards' expense going forward) in that she will essentially deprive Obama of the expected endorsement.

He has to endorse Obama, the majority of his supporters have gone to Obama, his unions have gone to Obama, his superdelegates are going to Obama, and Obama is part of the change vs status quo argument of his campaign. Anything other than an Obama endorsement would make no sense at all, and show that Edwards wasn't being sincere about change. Regardless of their stylistic differences on how to go about talking about change, Obama at least wants change, Hillary is more than comfortable with the past, with corporate politics and lobbyists. There is no way in hell Edwards can endorse Hillary.

The mandate issue for health care is a non-issue, for two reasons. One, mandates don't work, and many experts have pointed this out. With or without mandates, all of the plans are less than what we need, which is more like Kucinich's TRULY universal health care plan. Two, this all has to get through Congress, meaning that none of the specifics are actually controllable by the president. Hillary can hope about mandates all she wants, and campaign on them all she wants, but whether or not they get through Congress is virtually out of her hands. Pretending that just because you campaign on specifics it will mean people will get those exact plans is disingenuous. Part of the reason Obama focuses less on specifics (although he has clear policy specifics, he just doesn't focus on them as heavily as Hillary, because specifics and false promises are all she has) is because he isn't the kind of leader who will promise what he can't deliver. Hillary doesn't care, she will say anything and do anything to get elected. Regardless, the mandate issue is ridiculous at best.

In the end, Edwards has no choice but to endorse Obama, if he doesn't he is a giant hypocrite, and he will have been exploiting poverty and "change" as a talking point rather than truly caring about it. I like the guy, but if he doesn't endorse Barack I'm going to lose all respect for him. In fact, if he is seriously torn between the two, it makes me doubt his sincerity, because it isn't a hard choice. I think he has known who he was going to endorse all along though, because it is the obvious choice. This is just a show.

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He is a giant hypocrite. Have you checked out what little is available about his senate voting record? Unbelievable.

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I was an Edwards supporter and when he dropped out my friends and I struggled with the decision of whether to support Hillary or Obama. In the end, most went with Obama, as did I.

Your assertion that Edwards has to endorse Obama, that he would be a "hypocrite" not to, is bullshit. The choice is not clear cut for everyone. Your attitude is one of the things that troubles me about Obama's campaign and his supporters. There seems to be a lot more narcissistic, idealistic (and I mean that in the bad way) cry-babies on the Obama side, who think they have all the answers and often threaten to stay home in November or vote for the Republican if their candidate doesn't get nominated. And they throw a tantrum when the Clinton's play hard ball with their little baby Obama. If Obama gets the nomination he should be eternally grateful to the Clintons that they gave him a lesson in hard ball before the GOP gets their hands on him.

Your attitude is one of the things that troubles me about Obama's campaign and his supporters. There seems to be a lot more narcissistic, idealistic (and I mean that in the bad way) cry-babies on the Obama side, who think they have all the answers and often threaten to stay home in November or vote for the Republican if their candidate doesn't get nominated. And they throw a tantrum when the Clinton's play hard ball with their little baby Obama.

Very well put and right on target!

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I think his endorsement, whichever way it goes, would have had a bigger effect before last Tuesday. Now? How popular was Edwards in Ohio, for instance?

For people looking for Maine caucus results, go here:

Maine Caucus results

wwjb: your right on

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There is the appearance in this of horse trading for the nomination, if this "secret talks" report is accurate. What is there to talk about? Who will give more attention to poor people? Come on. This seems to be more about who will appoint him AG (both should want to) or some other kind of quid pro quo. Surely not VP!? If Edwards wanted to endorse, he should have done it before Super Tuesday, or he should have stayed in contention, and gathered more delegates to trade with.

The 'tough enough' line is a pretty low down swipe, given that Obama's the guy out there drawing in multitudes of people previously out of the political loop and taking on the party's most formidable machine (and winning). Not impressive, and hope this line wasn't approved by E himself.

How popular was Edwards in Ohio? About as popular as Obama.

Clinton 42
Obama 19
Edwards 18

Columbus Dispatch Poll 1/23-31

The only benefit I can see coming from an Edwards' endorsement at this point would be Elizabeth's support. For either candidate, I think Elizabeth could help shore up women for Hillary or bring in some women voters for Barack.

That being said, I also would lose respect for JE if he endorsed who he called candidate of the status quo.

You Obamafans are very delicate flowers apparently.

Two words for you to remember, John Edwards: Mark Penn, one of the slimiest, most cynical, scumsucking parasites to infect the "Democratic" process ever. This is the reptile that "accidentally" slithered the word "COCAINE" into this "race." The list of his offenses is infinite. The fact that he is Hillary's closest confidant and running her campaign is ALL YOU NEED TO KNOW about whom to throw your endorsement to.
So come on, John, and drive a stake through the heart of this Democratic/Republican-equivocating sleaze, and endorse a candidate with integrity and the ability to make the changes you want: Barack Obama. You know you wanna!

As others have said, Edwards' time has passed. If he endorses Obama, it makes the news for a day and fades quickly as it's the expected choice based on his own description of the two of them being the "change" candidates after Iowa. If he endorses Clinton, he looks like a hypocrite and Clinton will only make it worse for him by trying to keep it in the spotlight for as long as possible leading up to March 4th.

The "tough enough" critique is pretty laughable, too, coming from a candidate who's been little more than a paper tiger since he accepted the VP slot back in 2004.

I love the Edwards supporters who say that they will be furious if he endorses Hillary. Good to know that they have always believed and always will believe in their candidate. Hillary is the working class candidate. Obama is the limo liberal in the GE (the uniter in the dem primary)--I like limo liberals but they don't get elected to be president. Let's see if Edwards sticks with his base--poor people who need medical care.

An Edwards endorsement may not matter much in terms of public opinion or future voting intentions, but there is the matter of the 26 (according to CNN) Edwards delegates. Does Edwards have any sway over these individuals? In a close delegate race, 26 could be a significant number...

John's pledged delegates are important.

Edwards waited too long!
Anyone interested in the genesis of the Hispanic versus African-American debate should read Frank Rich in the New York Times today:

http://topics.nytimes.com/top/opinion/editorialsandoped/oped/columnists/frankrich/index.html

It explains alot. It sounded like alot of that historic "tension" was spin to me.

An Edwards endorsement is not worth what it once was, but I am imagine it is still worth far more than a sharp stick in the eye.

I won't hazard to guess which way he will choose.

But there is still the coveted Mike Gravel endorsement still going begging.

Speaking as an Edwards supporter, his endorsement would have an enormous impact on me. I know all you Obama supporters think that it's obvious that we would all fall all over ourselves getting to Obama. But Obama's moderation and his naive belief that the Republicans will all melt in front of his charisma practically disqualify him in my mind. Moreover, Obama's reluctance to actually push issues rather than his own image make him seem like a lightweight to me. If Edwards could overcome his reservations about him in this regard, it would go a long way to easing my mind.

And for those of you who think that Edwards is irrelevant, all I can say is that you'd better hope not. You're voting for Obama because you *think* he supports the positions that Edwards in fact came up with. But you find yourselves fighting with Clinton supporters, telling everyone what Obama **really** means when he talks about Reagan, or when he refers to unions as "special interests," or when he rewrites legislation to favor the nuclear power industry. You'd better hope that John Edwards is out there, holding Obama's feet to the fire. Otherwise, you're going to get a middle-of-the-road, go-along-to-get-along President who'll be too busy accommodating his Republican buddies to care about the issues you care about.

Your assumptions about Obama "accommodating his Republican buddies" are based on much less solid ground than those questioning Edwards admirable '08 campaign for the downtrodden that stood in stark contrast to his actual voting record as a Senator. And I say that as someone who intially supported both of them and who preferred Edwards over Kerry back in '04.

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Wow, Anna. You should really study up on Obama's positions on the issues. It sounds to me like you've been buying into the rumors rather than just getting familiar with what he's proposing. Here: read a few of his statements before the Senate:

http://obama.senate.gov/speech/

If you'd like to believe Obama appropriated his campaign from Edwards, I guess that's your right. But it's not the case. Here's another item you might want to read:

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2008/02/09/the-clintons-a-case-stud_n_85854.html

As you can probably tell, I'm not a Clinton supporter. I decided long ago that Obama was my favorite, but if Edwards got the nomination, I'd vote for him. Not so with Hillary.

And when it comes to copying Edwards' policies and proposals, Clinton has done a better job. Both Obama and Clinton have talked about the disposessed (read wilting middle class and poor), but Clinton's policies are more tangible.

If Obama's strength and talent is in reaching across the aisle to a better outcome, why isn't he showing such leadership right now, in the Senate? The Democrats are taking a beating even though we have a slim majority. Part of it is Reid's and Pelosi's fault, but if Obama has the magic touch, why isn't he using it now? Nothing like demonstrating your power in action.

Both Clinton and Obama had to be prodded to live up to their pledge to back Dodd in filibustering retroactive immunity in the FISA bill.

That's why this Edwards Democrat is not thrilled with either Clinton or Obama.

And, as far as Edwards' influence goes, as long as people identify themselves as Edwards Democrats, he knows he has a base to call on.

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"Both Clinton and Obama had to be prodded to live up to their pledge to back Dodd in filibustering retroactive immunity in the FISA bill."

A bit misleading, don't you think? They're both engaged in a very competitive race and they both DID back him, even though it involved taking time off from the campaign trail. You want it both ways, don't you? You want a Democrat in office AND you want to pillory the candidates for fighting to make that happen. How about we try spinning this, as you have done, in a slightly different direction: "While Obama and Clinton both took time out of a tough campaign schedule to back Dodd in filibustering retroactive immunity in the FISA bill, Edwards was a no-show."

See, it's an easy game, but very stupid.

Sancho said:
Hillary is the working class candidate.
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You are mistaking her voting base with her policies.


They both will be good candidates for working class voters.

Either Clinton or Obama is (hopefully) going to be President; the other one will definitely continue to be a very powerful Senator. If Edwards is serious about his constituency and his cause and his own personal future (I believe he is serious about all of these) *of course* he's talking to *both* of them. Perhaps getting some commitments that constituency and cause that they will act on, no matter which one is president and which one remains a senator. Possibly letting them know that he would like a role in the new administration, whichever one is forming it.

That doesn't mean he's saying the same thing to them (one conversation may begin "I'm not going to endorse you but I want to talk to you about ..." and the other "I plan to endorse you but first I'd like to talk about....") Who knows? But he would be dumb not to take this opportunity for serious talks with both. And the man is not dumb, not by a long shot. (Nor is he 'imperial' that I've ever seen: there was nothing in the article about him 'summoning' them to his home, although if he has a place in DC it's probably a good meeting place.) And Edwards isn't without clout -- especially when it comes to turn-out of people who might not normally vote. I'm sure that both Clinton and Obama are quite happy to meet with him and would very much like his endorsement.

OBAMA '08!

Regardless of whom he endorses, the timing is strange. If he is to endorse Hilary, he has to do it after Chesapeake and before Wisconsin, assuming he has any residual pulling power in Wisconsin. If endorsing Obama, the same time frame seems to be in order. If he waits until the end of the month, his affect, if any on March 4 is limited. He's not the one to cause a knockout punch to be landed.

I'm an Obama supporter and Edwards sympathizer who would agree with a few parts of Anna's post. Obama's reference to poverty in yesterday's VA speech sounded almost Edwardsian.

There is also this little matter: http://abcnews.go.com/Blotter/story?id=4218509&page=1

But ya know, I though Edwards ran an honorable campaign, much better than last time, and I'll respect whatever decision he makes.

Elizabeth Edwards is the endorsement I *really* want.

P.S. Spread the word: The Field is back
http://ruralvotes.com/thefield/

I agree with Anna.

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He also said that he's been talking to both on and off for some time, including since he dropped out.

Edwards: Hi, Barack?

Obama: John, is that YOU again?

Edwards: Sorry man.

Obama: John, I love you and all, but this is the sixth time you've called this weekend.

Edwards: Yeah... I haven't had much to do since I dropped out.

Obama: Don't you have a job or something?

Edwards: Well, I was campaigning since 2002, you know... it's tough, man...

Obama: Look, just get this over with and endorse Hillary already.

Edwards: I don't want to ruin your campaign though.

Obama: John, we've been through this a million times...

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With his strong expressed opposition to candidates taking money from special interests, it's difficult for me to believe Edwards would endorse the candidate who just set the record for taking lobbyist contributions. Obama has taken zero dollars. At last report, Hillary had taken over $840,000.00 from lobbyists.

Mistaking her base for her policies? Sorry for the confusion. I am in part talking about who is voting for each candidate. In this case, an Edwards endorsement may mean more to Obama than Hillary. I also think Hillary is less likely to compromise than Obama on healthcare--and that is the crucial issue for working class voters. Thanks for the comment.

"I also think Hillary is less likely to compromise than Obama on healthcare"

Yes, that's why she rejected a bipartisan compromise that had lots of support after her version had failed in 1993. It would have covered tons of people, if not everyone. But she killed it, all or nothing.

If she doesn't get what she wants, she torpedos any alternatives. The result: no healthcare for 15 years.

Very disturbing leadership qualities, if you ask me. A lot like Bush.

"But Obama's moderation and his naive belief that the Republicans will all melt in front of his charisma practically disqualify him in my mind."


Obama's strategy of poaching Republican votes is smarter than pounding your head against a wall every four years and making no progress.

Look, Reagan stole Democrats and won huge. Then he had the power to reshape American politics as he wanted. He had a mandate.

Clinton just talks about fighting everyone, but as we saw in 1993, without a big mandate, it is hard to get much progress. She had both houses of congress and still failed.

Obama wants to win big. Then he has the power to actually do, instead of just waiving his fist.

His tone may be concilliatory, but he policies would be great for the country. If only they had a big mandate to put them into effect. As you may have noticed, the typical Democrat playbook of warfare against Republicans hasn't been working for decades.


Whomever Edwards chooses to endorse, it will be a product of deal making, rather than a close matching of positions. 'Give me this job if you win, adopt this position in your fall campaign' for example. Don't you just hate the cynics we've become?

Obama's got a little momentum going now, and an Edwards endorsement might screw things up. If I were Obama, I wouldn't want it.

The only reason that I can see Edwards endorsing Clinton is if she offers him the VP. Given where she is right now, I think she does not have much choice.

I believe that he will accept. I'm afraid I don't buy the "Born again" image of Edwards. This is a guy who IMHO is dying to get to the WH. If he accepts, he will be telling his supporters that that's the only way that he can help the administration implement the policies "dear to him" ... and most will buy it.

My two-cents.

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You know, you may be right ptw. Also, I have been saying who would want to be the clintons' vp. Nobody with any integrity or backbone would want that job. However, edwards does fit the bill. No integrity and no backbone. Too funny. Maybe he is going to endorse the status quo.

According to the CNN story on this: "Two friends close to Elizabeth Edwards say she has been in support of Barack Obama, whose campaign has been touting a list of endorsements from former Edwards backers."

If that's the case, it's even harder to imagine Edwards backing Clinton.

http://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/2008/02/10/edwards-meeting-with-clinton-obama-on-endorsements/

Elizabeth Edwards for Obama?

Fingers crossed then. If Edwards is indeed genuine material, he would be a great asset to Obama's campaign for sure. Maybe I should put a lid on that cynicism streak lurking in my head.

Observer2 -- Your posts are right on. E.g. "Clinton just talks about fighting everyone, but as we saw in 1993, without a big mandate, it is hard to get much progress. She had both houses of congress and still failed."

I'm afraid a lot of Clinton supporters find it more emotionally satisfying to have her "fighting" for a progressive agenda, rather than actually creating a mandate to make it happen. OBAMA IS NOT ABOUT COMPROMISING AWAY OUR AGENDA! He is about finding new ways to communicate this agenda that, because we've had no visionary leadership, has been bogged down for decades! These are exciting times!

"You know, you may be right ptw. Also, I have been saying who would want to be the clintons' vp. Nobody with any integrity or backbone would want that job. However, edwards does fit the bill. No integrity and no backbone."

I always thought someone like Richardson would be their VP. You know, to play up the Latino votes. Seems more fitting with Clintonian identity politics.

Edwards also never helped Kerry much in the south in 2004, so there goes that arguments. My guess is that the Clinton team knows that Edwards' supporters are a diverse group, will not follow his endorsement, and VP would be too high a price.

But why would he sell out for them? He could not endorse and push his agenda as a public figure, maybe get involved with Carter's organization.

If he backs Clinton and she loses, he will lose all credibility.

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I would hope he would endorse no one. It would be more helpful if he spoke at the convention for party unity after the nominee is chosen.

It's hard to see how he could trust anyone on domestic issues especially Obama whose chosen group of economic advisors are very much right of center, free market types.

Given the Wall Street money behind both Obama and Clinton and the nuclear power industry money behind Obama and to a degree Clinton it's difficult to see how he'd have leverage on either.

Endorsement is just a bad idea, there's no real need and the impact on his supporters would probably be minimal.

The day Edwards withdrew, I wrote him an email and requested that he not endorse.

You Obamaites crack me up....you folks would set him on fire at just the thought of him siding with the Queen, it just cracks me up. lololololol.

I'm an Illinois resident. I'm way more familiar with Obama's voting record as a senator than most of his current supporters. And here is a partial list of some of my favorites.

--Voting to confirm Condoleeza Rice for Secretary of State -- after running an explicitly anti-war campaign.

--Voting to reauthorize the Patriot Act

--Voting to move most class actions to federal court, thus cutting off access to justice for thousands of people injured by the negligence of doctors and manufacturers

--Watering down environmental legislation that would protect people from leaks of nuclear power plants for the benefit of his 6th largest donor, Exelon Inc.

--The fact that many of my students who support him are under the impression -- that he cultivates -- that he's not taking campaign money from corporations or lobbyist.

So Petey2, look at that list and tell me he's not going to compromise our agenda. Son, he's already done it. Wise up!!

And I don't mind his poaching Republican voters. All I want to know is when he's President, and he's reaching across the aisle to Republicans in Congress, who is he reaching across to? The Republicans who supported torture and who stole money from the poor to fund tax cuts for wealthy people. In short, the Republicans who helped deliver the nightmare of the past 8 years.

I'm amazed at how happy Obama supporters are with his conciliatory message. I'm still angry at the Bush Administration for turning us into a nation of torturers, for ripping apart our safety net which was never very generous to begin with. And frankly, I just don't understand why everyone isn't as angry as I am.

And for those obsessed with Edwards' voting record, he was a senator from North Carolina, and if you have even a passing interest in representing your constituents, he couldn't vote like a liberal. Obama has no such excuse. He arguably comes from the very Bluest state in the nation.

And for all this, I literally don't care anymore. There is literally no difference to me between Obama and Clinton.

Except for letting people opt out of health care coverage, which to me is like letting them opt out of auto liability insurance and social security -- familiar Republican themes -- I don't think their domestic agenda is that different. I think their Nationalist v. Internationalist foreign policy stances are different, and I think they differ dramatically on Iran. The real situation in the Middle East is that Israel will do whatever it takes to stop Iran from getting nuclear weapons. Which of our candidates has a better chance of stopping Israel from attacking Iran? Which candidate do we trust to manage the crisis if Israel does? I think Obama is well-intentioned, but I don't think he's really up to either task. Certainly, holding a US-Iran Summit without pre-conditions is something he will never get Israel and our other allies in the region to agree to. Just one example of Mr. Obama's hopeful rhetoric that will never fly in the real world.

Well, Anna, I'm glad you're not trying to say you're proud of Hillary's record. Two things. One, Obama often talks about, not just his legislative successes, but his regrets. And these regrets were partly what propelled his candidacy, because he recognized in himself the potential for becoming a transformational leader who could reshape the playing field. But when I said the point of Obama was not that he will compromise away the progressive agenda, I was responding to those who conflate his empathic style with middle-of-the-road policy making (think Democratic Leadership Council?). I was not saying he never behaved like a politician. If you want someone who entirely shuns political thinking, then support Kucinich or someone (and say goodbye to the White House). This is precisely what's so exciting about Obama. Yes, he understands politics. But he also understands leadership. Therefore he has a significant chance to actually move the location of "the middle of the road" (similarly to the way Reagan did with his "Morning in America" -- but in the other direction).

Clinton talks about her (for example) health care position as a starting place, highly implying that she sees the process as a fight that will end with some compromised level of success. Obama, on the other hand, sees a big part of his job as helping us re-envision the political (and, I daresay, cultural) landscape.

Why wouldn't Edwards have a tough time deciding between Obama and Clinton? They're essentially the same on everything. Clinton has a slightly more liberal voting record, and that's about it.

"On Obama, the aide says, Edwards worries "whether he's tough enough to be President of the United States.'

Pretty hilarious, considering that Obama kicked his ass out of the primaries before Super Tuesday.

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awb said "If John Edwards endorses Sen Clinton he would lose most of his credibility with those of us who supported him".

It would certainly seem an astounding compromise of his values for John Edwards to endorse the corporate fueled Clintons.

With Wisconsin coming up, neither candidate should welcome a meaningless endorsement from Edwards. It might cause Russ Feingold, who has labeled Edwards a complete phoney, to get into the race.

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Boy, sounds like a lot of Obama supporters.

I think Edwards endorsement will be more useful for Barack than Hillary. Edwards appeals to the demographics that Obama is struggling to attract; But he has to campaign for him.

If not anywhere else, Edwards will play a huge role in the NC primary and this election may well go through NC.

Also, at the end of the way Edwards is a politician who will have no leverage at the end of the primary. While "issues" may lead him closer to one candidate than the other. At this point it depends on what they're willing to offer him and also he'd want to endorse a winner.

From previous reports- Edwards seemed willing to endorse Obama for a Attorney General and the Obama camp refused to make any long term deals.

P.S: Hillary's reaction to her secret meeting- "I'll use John's expert expertise a lot in the White House."

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The above post was a response to observer2, who said: "If she doesn't get what she wants, she torpedos any alternatives."

Boy, sounds like a lot of Obama supporters.

Anna,

Any long list of "laundary" at this point will not change many minds. I don't think any of us are voting for a messaih. He is not perfect, but he is 100% perfect compared to Billary.

Having said, I don't agree with every pointed you listed in your post.

By the way, it's very well possible Edwards is looking as closely as any one to see who has a better chance to win.

Just looking at his history in politics, he doesn't come across as a courageous one- but rather a more safe player.

He might well wait until the NC primary.

The endorsement that really matters is Gore- and he seems to be miles away from making one.

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In general endorsements don't matter much unless is comes with a strong organization.

I just don't see Edwards as having that much of an organization. It really seems like he is just whoring for attention.

There really isn't much of a public policy difference between BHO and HRC. I'm sure either would welcome his endorsement. I just don't see it as making a difference in the minds of many voters.

Now I'd be interested in knowing about Edwards' pledged delegates. Do they have to vote for Edwards on the first ballot or are they free to vote for whoever they want?

I know many think Hillary has a better health care plan- a universally accepted opinion based on media repition rather than personal homework.

But that's not even the point- and this is where she lost my support:

Even hypothetically conceding she has a few better policy ideas, she doesn't display any desire to bring this nation together. And half of the nation doesn't display any desire to follow her leadership. Just because of her divisive politics she'll not get anything.

From history, it doesn't seem her administration will display any transcperancy.

It that atmoshpere- she will not bring our troops home. She will not provide universal healthcare. This country will have 4-8 years of bitter battles.

For Kash79,

You are a typical Obama supporter -- completely indifferent to facts. That "list" may not be convincing, but it's his record. You have to process it and explain it -- that's what supporters do. 100% perfect compared to Billary? Please -- they're like carbon copies of each other.

And Petey2, you are way more confusing to me. I have no idea what your core values are -- for me, it's the war and protecting ordinary people from the abuses of the powerful. Obama has already demonstrated through his voting record that he will side with the powerful against ordinary people, even on issues where he touts himself as a champion. He has NOT offered unwavering opposition to the war. He has sided with insurance companies and energy companies against poor people. But he says things that are completely at odds with his voting record, designed to dupe people -- probably like kash79 -- into thinking he's something completely different.

And Petey2, Morning in America? Only the most cynical -- or youngest -- observers of politics would use that as a model. Those of us who lived through it knew that it was a smokescreen of lies designed to pretty up the ugliness of Reagan's agenda -- condemning welfare queens and busting unions and foreign policy adventurism. If you're telling me that Obama is talking nice to the conservatives, but he's going to take a sharp turn to the left, that's great. But everything he's done and voted on suggests otherwise. He's a moderate, and nothing more than a moderate. Get used to it.

Transformational? Please. His idea of transformation is making you feel good about all the triangulation he'll be doing. Lovely. You enjoy yourself. I'll be standing here, demanding he carry through on the Edwards agenda.

Like you, I was prepared to tolerate these kinds of compromises -- in 1992, when Bill Clinton struck a similar bargain with Democrats. In four years, when Obama comes to you and tells you how hard he tried, but he couldn't (a) deliver a health care plan because the insurance companies prevented it, and (b) he couldn't close Gitmo because the Joint Chiefs of Staff advised against it and he was too naive to stand up to them, and (c) he couldn't make the massive investment in energy independence because the oil companies invested too much in Congress to allow it, then maybe you'll be a little more skeptical, maybe even cynical. Maybe even angry.

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Anna. Obama doesn't talk about policy much when he's giving speeches. The purpose of those speeches is not to show that he's a wonk--they're intended to rally the troops. But this notion that he has no substantive positions on the issues is just pure nonsense. They're all prominently displayed and clearly laid out on his website.

You may not like Obama, but please don't degrade your own credibility by attacking rumors as if they're facts.

Anna --

You realize that the list of truly awful John Edwards votes is much longer than anyone who ran as a Democrat this time around, right?

You ever hear of the Wellstone Amendment to the Bunkruptcy Bill? Do you know why Russ Feingold has essentially called him a phony?

If you don't think there is any difference between Obama and Clinton, that's your right. But to hold John Edwards up as some kind of progressive icon because he ran a populist campaign THIS TIME AROUND is kind of insane.

I liked Edwards' campaign very much. He was my third choice behind Obama and Dodd. But if you want to start listing bad votes, he's the mother lode.


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Not to interrupt the usual BS about which candidate Edwards should endorse, but let's stop and think about this report for a minute. Clinton had a "secret" meeting with Edwards, but it's not a secret anymore, so someone leaked it. Whodunit and what was the motive? I don't think that it was team Hillary. After all, she was the one who eluded the media to sneak over to Edwards house. If she wanted the story known, why would she sneak? And it was an Edwards aide who confirmed the meeting, as well as a planned meeting with Obama.

If it was an Edwards person who leaked the story, what's the motive? Edwards has been quiet on an endorsement so far. If he leaked the story, I would assume that he did it to generate some press, a little intrigue to whet our appetite and stir up the media for an upcoming endorsement.

Now all this suggests another question, why did Clinton sneak? One possibility would be to try to catch Obama off guard. A second would be avoid looking like she was hitting on Edwards only to have him throw a drink in her face if endorses Obama.

So the question of whether someone from Edwards' team intentionally leaked the story is important. If there was no intentional leak, then the Edward aide's statement about how there have been meetings with both candidates could just be a cover for keeping a Clinton-Edwards deal secret. On the other hand, if Edwards' people leaked the story, that's a bit of a middle finger to Clinton, who was trying to keep the meeting secret.

Curiouser and curiouser.

JoshL,

I'll repeat myself. Edwards was a senator from North Carolina. Any idea what it means to be from North Carolina, JoshL? No, probably not, because you only know what Obama tells you.

Edwards had no -- I mean no -- constituency for a progressive agenda. Feingold is one of two Democratic senators from a relatively liberal state. Edwards had no such constituency, and yet, managed to accumulate a voting record that made him so liberal in the eyes of the voters in his state, he couldn't have won re-election.

I'm not crazy about Edwards' voting record, but at least he was trying to represent his constituents.

What's Obama's excuse? Dick Durbin, who comes from the relatively more conservative southern part of the state, has a much more progressive voting record than Obama does. And you know what? Obama could get away with being much more progressive. Why on earth would he gut environmental regulation? Why would he make it harder for people who've been injured to recover for their injuries.

And I just wish that Obama supporters could defend Obama rather than attack someone else. If he's training his supporters this way, maybe there's hope for him yet. Of course, it would be nice if he stopped deluding people into thinking he's actually anything different than politics as usual. But that's his schtick, and he's very good at it. We'll just have to see how it works against McCain.

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Hi Anna,

I, too, live in NC. And I'm originally from SC, which is even more conservative. So I'm aware of the difficulties in the process, here, all too well.

Edwards had no such constituency, and yet, managed to accumulate a voting record that made him so liberal in the eyes of the voters in his state, he couldn't have won re-election.
So I would question this set of assertions, mostly because Edwards wasn't defeated for that seat, he retired to run for President. How a man who, according to your calculus, couldn't get re-elected planned to carry the state in a Presidential Election is somewhat baffling.

Having said that -- I do think he tacked to the center for support during that time period, and is more progressive, as we see today.

Either Clinton or Obama is (hopefully) going to be President; the other one will definitely continue to be a very powerful Senator.

This statement assumes that neither Clinton nor Obama would accept the VP position. Do we assume this? There's never been a black or female VP either and it's not unthinkable, especially in light of Cheney's prominent (or should I say dominant) role in the current aboministration, that one or the other might take the leap.

And in each hypothetical case, how much stronger do we think a Clinton ticket with Obama would be and vice versa?

This is a sincere question - I have no clue whatsoever. My Mr. Know-It-All presumptions begin and end with the indisputable fact that David Shuster is the journalistic equivalent of Mother Teresa.

Two alternative questions:

1) If Hillary is the nominee, who are the strongest VP choices (in order)?

2) If Obama is the nominee, who are the strongest VP choices (in order)?

Anna:

I hear you, but Obama has a teflon type of thing going on that goes well beyond being sort of black. It's a fair presumption that the Republican attack machine is keeping its powder dry, but I don't buy it. We've already made absolute mincemeat out of the entire array of Republican candidates. Keeping the powder dry requires a lot of discipline. Fact is ... everyone from Hillary to Limbaugh to Kristol to Coulter is scared shitless to diss Obama. They'd diss Jesse Jackson or Al Sharpton or Tennessee Harold Ford in a New York minute, but nobody want to to diss Obama. Bill tried it and got sent crying home to mama. It's not that Obama's sort of black. It's that "other" thing. I was 100% for Edwards without the slightest reservation, and on a by-the-issues basis, in spite of her cardinal sin of picking on my man Shuster, my brain is still not completely comfortable with Obama over Clinton. She's one smart cookie and I've loved her since the first time I heard her in front of congress in 1992. But when I stepped into that voting booth, my hand connected the optical voting arrows for the senator from Illinois, and when I hear him speak ... and when I listen to that mash-up ... you know what I'm talking about ... I get chills up and down my spine. And if you don't know what I'm talking about, stay tuned. There's a lot more where that came from.

For years I've said this: "Where the hell are JFK, RFK and MLK? For the job of the most powerful man on the planet why can't somebody with half an ounce of frikkin' gravitas step up to the plate?"

And when Obama stepped up, I listened, and I was not impressed. "You ain't no Jack Kennedy, I ranted at my youtube ... and you ain't no MLK neither." I was thinking of "Ask not what your country can do for you ... " and "I have a dream ... that one day ...". And that's not what I heard. It took a while. It took a long while. And it didn't even put a dent in my absolute confidence that John Edwards would have taken these bastards to the woodshed and not come out until this country was right again. Even after Edwards succumbed to the attack machine it took a while. But eventually ... it ... whatever "it" is ... got to me. And there are nine months until the first Tuesday in November. That's a lot of time for it to get to a lot more people ... they used to call it "charisma" ... then they called it "mojo" ... I don't know what they call it now, but I know it when I hear it.

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timba writes

Fact is ... everyone from Hillary to Limbaugh to Kristol to Coulter is scared shitless to diss Obama. They'd diss Jesse Jackson or Al Sharpton or Tennessee Harold Ford in a New York minute, but nobody want to to diss Obama. Bill tried it and got sent crying home to mama. It's not that Obama's sort of black. It's that "other" thing.

Interesting analysis. I hadn't really thought much about why nothing has stuck to Obama so far. I just figured that he was pretty clean. But reading your post, I think you're right. I don't think that he's been attacked by much of anyone besides Clinton supporters (and Krugman), and whenever Clinton people go beyond a certain point in their attacks, they get smacked down.

"Scared shitless" is not right the phrase. I highly doubt that either Limbaugh or Coulter (or Bill Clinton) is afraid to criticize Obama. It's just that it doesn't really work to pick on the popular kid. Limbaugh always tells his listeners exactly what they want to hear. I suspect that they're much more interested in hearing about how evil Clinton is than how evil Obama is. I'm willing to bet that Ted Kennedy and the press and everyone else would not have been so hard on Bill if Obama were less charming.

I also note, that the opposite seems to be true of Hillary Clinton. Even when she doesn't do anything, people have a tendency to spin conspiracy theorists about her, a la vince foster, and the press always eats up Clinton scandals.

This may go down hard for Clinton supporters and may seem unfair, but this "charisma" or "mojo" or "teflonness" is a critical trait for presidents. Too often, we Democrats disdain it as superficial, but this is the stuff that gets people elected, and this is the stuff that keeps approval ratings high while in office. As many people have noted, JFK didn't really do all that much while in office and made some big mistakes, but we still worship the guy. So for the people who say that they don't care about this inspirational stuff, they should look not to what Obama's appeal is doing for them, but what it's doing for so many others.

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I don't think that he's been attacked by much of anyone besides Clinton supporters (and Krugman)
Hardly. As an Obama supporter, I did a lot of early research on him, in the process of choosing. Among other things, the Rezko affair has been plumbed to death by both the Sun-Times and Tribune (the 2nd to a much more limited effect). And it's not been pretty coverage, from what I've read of it over the last year. And, quite frankly, do you think that, in the position Clinton is in, that they would not get dirt out on Obama if it was out there? They know the style, having been on the end of it for over a decade and a half, now.

He's not 100% perfect. He's done some things that weren't the best call. And yet, so have we all. As I said elsewhere, guys who have major skeletons don't work their butts off the get ethics legislation passed that makes their money trail easier to find, nor do they release their tax returns for public access.

Ghengis, I agree: "This may go down hard for Clinton supporters and may seem unfair, but this "charisma" or "mojo" or "teflonness" is a critical trait for presidents."

It's important to stress that his "teflonness" is not ALL that Obama has going for him, but it's substantive -- in a pragmatic sense -- because it'll help him a great deal in not just "fighting" for a progressive agenda, but actually passing it. Progressives hate the Reagan analogy, but it's fitting, because Reagan actually changed the political and cultural landscape in a substantive way; that is, he changed the way Americans thought about themselves. For the first time in about 50 years we have a progressive poised to do the same -- but he also happens to be extremely intelligent, curious, dignified, honest, etc. As has been pointed out, he's not perfect (and he's not pretending to be). But he's the right person in the right place at the right time. I'm just thankful he had the wisdom and courage to recognize this and to step up to the plate.

Mr. & Mrs. Bill Clinton didn't make any attempt to endorse us in the 2004 election, why would she expect to get one in return.

NEWSFLASH: Just came over MSNBC that the scheduled Edwards-Obama meeting has been cancelled. Don't know exactly what this means, whether it's a scheduling conflict or what.

I personally don't think his endorsement will mean that much, since most Edwards voters have already gone one way or another. But it could have an impact on influencing some undecideds in future primaries.

jefo,

Yes, and why is he even considering endorsing her? She is the corporate candidate who was on the board of Wal Mart, took campaign cash from Rupert Murdoch, and has now agreed to a Faux News debate.

Answer: JE does what is best for JE.

John Edwards bailed on his constituency a few years into his first term to run for Pres. The only thing he will be remembered for in the Senate was his vote for the war. That and the fact that he bailed and gave the Repubs a pick up in the Senate.

John Edwards does what is good for John Edwards, that's why he is considering a Hillary endorsement. Where was this end to poverty message before this campaign? What has Edward's Center on Poverty that he set up at UNC accomplished? Nothing except for propping up JE's campaign.

JE will endorse whoever he can get a better deal out of. He talks a good talk, but it's all about personal ambition.

And this is coming from a 35 year old social worker in Chapel Hill, NC.

i think edwards is THE ultimate kingmaker in this. his flock may have gravitated to one side or other. but they will reassemble under edwards and follow his recommendation. do not forget who his flock is - working class folks. they tend to be a fairly unsophisticated mix who follow the trusted edwards but do not have strong opinions otherwise. if edwards leads this flock to hillary, she likely blows out ohio, PA and texas as the working class is so heavily represented there. if edwards delivers this block to obama, this is the block obama is missing from his mix - lots of working class voters. it's over for hillary if edwards hits the campaign trail for obama before ohio, TX and PA. finished, over, working class and women is mostly all she has left. take a piece of that and we all write hillary's obituary.

edwards wants something - a job and workers rights "written in blood" his camp says. hillary offers all of the above - she said yesterday edwards can have any job plus all he wants. that means she would make him running mate, AG anything just to get him to help her win. obama would likely hand over workers rights gladly but he is holding out on something - likely a job for edwards as obama may have that committed elsewhere already. so edwards stands back and smokes out obama. he is not smoking out hillary, she already offered all he wants. edwards is rumored to be leaning more obama - but there is something he wants obama is not giving up, so he is laying in wait.

if edwards swings obama, hillary can pack up and go home, it's over. it will tip the scale of the steel workers in PA and ohio, the army of working class folks in those crucial states. but edwards can also break obama if he swings hillary and helps her win the fat delegates there. edwards will determine the outcome. washington post says gore and edwards are both crucial. i disagree on gore. gore is needed, but later in the government. and the gore supporters are already with obama anyway, and the missing working class folks voters want better wages, health care and are largely oblivious to environmental policy, so gore does not matter much aside from being a beauty prize. i am not diminishing gore, he is my big hero. but i think he is irrelevant in swinging the crucial working class votes in Ohio, PA and texas. it's down to edwards deciding the nominee now just due to the big working class folks up for grabs in those crucial states. plus the 26 edwards delegates on top of it.

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