With 20% Reporting, Hillary Leads Obama By Four Points

Comments (27)

The Caped Composer wrote on January 8, 2008 8:57 PM:

Oh crap.

The Spyglass Reporter wrote on January 8, 2008 8:59 PM:

Great. Here we go with all of the "comeback kid" crap.

Anonymous wrote on January 8, 2008 8:59 PM:

It's still not over yet. However, I want to point the bigger losers are... the MEDIA, yet again.

Charlie wrote on January 8, 2008 9:02 PM:

Absolutely.
The media should be ashamed of themselves as well as the pollsters. How could they have been so wrong? This is idiotic!

Anonymous wrote on January 8, 2008 9:03 PM:

If Hillary wins tonight, it's all over. Too many party functionaries will jump to her out of risk aversion.

Guess there's always 2012.

Shii wrote on January 8, 2008 9:03 PM:

Media killed Hillary in Iowa and killed Obama in NH.

Angry Vet (formerly known as "M") wrote on January 8, 2008 9:04 PM:

Hold your horses, folks. It ain't over yet, not by a long shot.

Obama Supporter wrote on January 8, 2008 9:05 PM:

I am getting pretty scared. I watched The Wire last night, just so I could tune into the Obama Lovefest tonight, now with Hillary surging, I might have to go to bed early

savvy wrote on January 8, 2008 9:07 PM:

There is cheating a foot. Just like with Bush and Gore we have seen this scenario before. Matthews and MSNBC already told us how they bused in truckloads of people to make it seem like Hillary had crowds, otherwise she would have had a very low turnout and not been able to fill her venues at all.

This is the biggest load of crap that they are even attempting to say that Clinton is running neck and neck with Obama.

HRC would in no way have driven out all these voters. NONE.

She can't get them on the campaign trail and they sure as heck are not coming out to vote in droves for her.

This is America and we all know that the establishment riggs elections, if the GOP knows how you can bet your bottom that the Dems know how to as well, especially given that we have the status quo candidate this time.

Gore did not lose that election it was stolen and we all know it, Ohio was the stolen state for Kerry and he conceded as well without challenging the system.

Something stinks to high heaven here.

paul wrote on January 8, 2008 9:07 PM:

I think the Obama campaign got complacent. I love the man, but I attended a rally in Derry. He was 1 1/2 hours late, the organizers didn't make any announcement whatsoever, even when asked to, Obama didnt' apologize for his tardiness when he arrived, and when he asked for hands of those undecided and a LOT went up, he didn't take any questions - just gave his stump speech and left. I fell in love with his candidacy after reading his book and the thought of a Clinton victory depresses me - but I did leave that rally feeling a little concerned. I will probably vote for Hillary if she's teh nominee, but if it were on personality alone, I'd vote for McCain. Four more years of gridlock and partison fighting while the world burns, our economy implodes, and terrorists gain strength. If clinton wins, I despair for our country.

hello_world wrote on January 8, 2008 9:08 PM:

Polling NH is notoriously tough, as they pride themselves so much in being independent minded. And it looks like alot of independents took it upon themselves to stop the Mittenator.

Looks like crying actually works. Who knew? It'll come back to haunt her in the general if she manages to move on though.

Richard L. Adlof wrote on January 8, 2008 9:13 PM:

Oh look! Republicans are coming in first and second in BOTH the Republican and Democratic Parties . . .

roo_P wrote on January 8, 2008 9:13 PM:

Very interesting and exciting!

Obama is moving closer little by little and also, in stark contrast to the R race, the networks have not called it at any point which (I think) points to something in their exit polling or advance reporting contrasting with the current results.

CalD wrote on January 8, 2008 9:15 PM:

John McCain:

"My friends, I'm past the age where I can be called 'kid,' no matter what adjective preceded it.

LOL. C'mon, that was good.

southpaw wrote on January 8, 2008 9:15 PM:

paul-

i read something today re: Obama getting less available to the crowds ie: not answering questions, etc and Clinton doing the opposite. maybe that plays in.

also, i think there could very well be a backlash against the Obama tide but it'll still be close enough to keep both parties on their toes...

roo_P wrote on January 8, 2008 9:17 PM:

Ops, cut off yet again.

Edwards has a lot of thinking to do if Clinton wins or comes a close second (and Edwards' numbers stay where they are) because his voters are making a difference in favour of Clinton right now and it really does not look like he is picking up at all himself (although ~15% is not terrible.)

southpaw wrote on January 8, 2008 9:19 PM:

Who will offer Edwards the sweeter deal in their administration? Do you think that would even play into it for him?

Anonymous wrote on January 8, 2008 9:21 PM:

It is not over people. I still think Obama will eek this out tonight but we MUST unite to support a Democratic candidate, whomever it is.

Mark F. wrote on January 8, 2008 9:24 PM:

STOP! Please! They haven't counted most of the areas where Obama is strong yet. Don't piss your pants.

grover_rover wrote on January 8, 2008 9:25 PM:

At least if all else fails, SC and NV should help him regain his momentum. That would still be 3 out of 4. Not to mention, with the Clintons' actions and statements the last few days, I think it is all coming down around them no matter what. And as soon as Edwards throws his supporters behind Obama, it will be over for Hillary.

Mark F. wrote on January 8, 2008 9:30 PM:

The college towns haven't been counted yet. They're 1 point apart as I write this.

Jake wrote on January 8, 2008 9:32 PM:

acropolis review has some surprising predictions.

anyone know if they make any sense? thought they were right earlier but starting to think they're way off.

CN wrote on January 8, 2008 9:32 PM:

Regarding southpaw's comment:

If Obama and Hillary continue to trade the lead and Edwards continues to lag far behind, at some point either Obama or Hillary will get nervous or desparate enough and offer Edwards the VP in return for his dropping out of the race. Getting Edwards on the ticket will effectively give him/her the nomination.

If Edwards has no realistic shot of winning, VP will a plenty sweet deal -- sweet enough.

This is why I think Obama will get the nomination, no matter what. Hillary might be the first one to make Edwards an "offer he can't refuse," but Edwards will most likely give Obama the right of first refusal. He'll thank Hillary and ask her for a few minutes to think about it, then immediately call Obama and tell him about the offer. Obama will have no choice but to make the same offer.

Greg DeLassus wrote on January 8, 2008 9:35 PM:

Very interesting and exciting!

That is exactly what I was thinking. I am not conceding anything just yet, but if Sen Clinton does pull this one out I will have to say good for her. No one should doubt but that she is a strong candidate and it can hardly be a surprise if a strong candidate wins an election.

That said...

I still think Obama will eek this out tonight but we MUST unite to support a Democratic candidate, whomever it is...

They haven't counted most of the areas where Obama is strong yet.

I agree with these two. This is not nearly over yet.

Mark F. wrote on January 8, 2008 9:39 PM:

When Hanover and Salem get counted, the numbers will flip. Last night I guessed Obama would win by less than 8. I think McCain probably took some of the independent votes away from Obama. I also think Obama was right today when he warned his supporters that you have to wait until the votes are counted before you declare victory. But the results from the college towns are going to begin coming in soon and Hillary's going to start to slide. I'm gonna say Obama by 3-4 when the votes are all counted.

Ian wrote on January 8, 2008 9:46 PM:

Reports indicate college beer pong games are concluding. Obama's numbers are going up substantially in the next hour.

Mark F. wrote on January 8, 2008 9:55 PM:

It's tightening a bit. No matter what happens tonight, Hillary's going to claim that she's the Comeback Kid II. The focus is on her tonight and whether she wins or loses she's going to get a bounce. But she's not going to win tonight.

Post a comment

Name:
Email Address:
URL:
	Remember personal info?
Comments: (you may use HTML tags for style)