Will Hillary Campaign In Florida?
Jason Horowitz of The New York Observer reports that he overheard top Hillary adviser Howard Wolfson suggesting in a phone call with a Florida elected official that the Florida no-campaign pledge "agreement is off" and that Hillary might reconsider coming to the state.
This was in reaction to the news today that Obama's new national ad is airing in Florida, a possible violation of the pledge agreed upon by the leading Dem candidates not to campaign there to punish the state for moving up its primary in violation of DNC rules. This is the "agreement" that Wolfson was referring to.
The Hillary campaign opened fire on the Obama camp in a conference call with reporters today, accusing Obama of breaking the pledge. That prompted Obama spokesperson Bill Burton to issue a statement saying that “both national cable networks told us it would be impossible for us to run advertising nationally that excluded only Florida."
The DNC has stripped Florida of its delegates, so any win in Florida would be symbolic -- enabling the winner to proclaim a popular mandate. As of now, it's too early to say how this will play out; the Hillary campaign is refusing to say anything about Wolfson's overheard comments. But if the Hillary campaign does seize on this Obama ad as an opening to enter Florida, it could open up yet another front in the war between the two.















Ummm.. Shouldn't both camps ask the DNC? Howard Dean?
January 21, 2008 5:58 PM | Reply | Permalink
A bunch of bluster. No delegates to be had and she leads by an average of 15-20 points. But if she wants to, by all means dump a bunch of cash there.
Wait, by saying this, am I engaging in a right wing talking point?
January 21, 2008 5:59 PM | Reply | Permalink
Well, Burton's reply of "sure we broke the pledge -- but that's only because the networks said we GOT to" doesn't really refuse anything, does it?
Hard to see how the hard-core Obama supporters are going to spin this as yet another example of Clinton's dirty politics. Because, you know, Obama is above the fray and would never do anything like breaking a no-campaign pledge.
January 21, 2008 6:01 PM | Reply | Permalink
Keith,
That is SUCH a right-wing talking point. Dude.
January 21, 2008 6:02 PM | Reply | Permalink
Here's an update Greg:
So Obama's national ad is not a violation. However, if Clinton campaigns there, it will be.
January 21, 2008 6:05 PM | Reply | Permalink
Well, a promise has been broken by one party (obama) so the second party (Clinton) is free to go about business. I say campaign in Florida and win big. Lots of people won't know the facts behind all of this but it will enable the "winner" to have the publicity of a win.
January 21, 2008 6:05 PM | Reply | Permalink
Yeah, I'm with others Obama screwed the pooch on this one. Clinton should definitely spend money in Florida. Definitely. I'd suggest at least mailers, canvassing, phonebanking, a couple of appearances, at least $3MM in Florida specific ads. Yeah, that should definitely give her a crushing victory.
Go Hillary!
January 21, 2008 6:10 PM | Reply | Permalink
When did Howard Dean step down as head of the DNC and be replaced by Carol Fowler? Seems if Obama wanted an opinion on this it might have been better to get a ruling from Howard Dean.
At the very least, Obama's actions will allow Clinton's ads to flood FL cable networks and provide the possibility of increasing her already sizable lead. Since I think that Florida's delegates will ultimately be seated, this might backfire on Obama.
January 21, 2008 6:17 PM | Reply | Permalink
She can waste money there if she wants, but with Florida coming up soon, it is obvious that the Obama team has no hopes of trying to win there, so they obviously don't want to make it an issue. Florida is a non-issue, and no matter what happens there, it doesn't count and isn't going to get much press, so whatever, non-news. There obviously isn't a way around doing national advertising but somehow skipping one state. If Hillary or Edwards ran national ads that had to, by definition, hit Florida too, I don't care, it isn't going to give them their delegates back, and it isn't going to make Florida mean anything, so it is a pointless criticism. What I'd say is going on here is Hillary is obviously the default candidate in all states, so she has an easy win where no one else can go, so while she is trying to lessen the focus on SC which she is about to lose and lose badly, she tries to make Florida an issue with this crap. Laammmee.
January 21, 2008 6:17 PM | Reply | Permalink
And not just money, time too. She should spend lots and lots and lots of time there. Bill too. Days and days and days on end. That'll teach him to advertise on cable.
January 21, 2008 6:17 PM | Reply | Permalink
MO Blue,
The pledge had nothing to do with the DNC. It was between the state chairs of the early states and the candidates.
So Fowler was the one to make this decision, not Dean, though he'd probably agree.
January 21, 2008 6:36 PM | Reply | Permalink
Oh, for pity's sake. Not everything Wolfson says needs to be swallowed whole by the national media.
Look. The agreement was not to run ads in Florida - and was universally understood to ban mailings, ads in local print outlets, or on local TV and radio stations. Wolfson's attack is purely silly. No one expected candidates, for example, to refrain from advertising in the Mobile or Valdosta MSAs because the broadcast signals cross the border. No one insisted that internet ads were verbotten unless they can't be viewed on computers in the Sunshine State.
And yet, the media has gone for this manufactured controversy - bitten hook, line and sinker. Reporters just can't resist a process story, with its compelling he-said-he-said storyline. Let's spell this out: WOLFSON IS DELIBERATELY MAKING SOMETHING OUT OF NOTHING. Please, please ignore this.
Or, if you absolutely must, ratchet the story up to the next level. Major scoop: Hillary breaks Florida pact: Internet ads seen on Florida computers! You heard it here first.
January 21, 2008 6:37 PM | Reply | Permalink
Gs5326234dS cool site!!! [url=http://mardanows1.com]cool site!!![/url] http://mardanows2.com hj56ywhl
January 21, 2008 6:45 PM | Reply | Permalink
In the first place, it is truly stupid for any national party to romp over a state party with rules that exclude the vote. How stupid to disenfranchise so many primary voters just because the national Party gets in a snit. I think that any party that does that is asking for big trouble when they expect Floridians to support them in the future. Why not let each state make up their minds on their schedule, accept the outcome of individual states and be done with it. I have no dog in this fight but it is only fair that both be allowed or neither be allowed.
January 21, 2008 6:48 PM | Reply | Permalink
FlyOnTheWall, you're missing the point a little bit. This isn't a manufactured controversy, it's a manufactured excuse. Wolfson wants to campaign in Florida, and stroke the egos of people down there who are holding on to their sweet, sweet campaign cash out of pique, and, in the process, manufacture another easy "victory" in the runup to Supercalifragilistic Tuesday.
I just didn't think he'd be so brazen about it as to rely upon this.
Fascinating too how several "anynomous" posters on a NYT blog item on Obama's commercial immediatley chimed in about how this potentially represented campaigning in Florida before word of Wolfson's indescretion leaked out. Yeah, those weren't sock puppets. No way.
January 21, 2008 6:49 PM | Reply | Permalink
The real loser in this is the DNC.
January 21, 2008 6:53 PM | Reply | Permalink
Marc. You're right. I doubt the Clintons give a darn about the DNC as long as it's lead by Dean, however. If she wins the nomination, they'll make haste to replace him with one of their own.
January 21, 2008 7:07 PM | Reply | Permalink
Keith wrote on January 21, 2008 5:59 PM:
"A bunch of bluster. No delegates to be had and she leads by an average of 15-20 points. But if she wants to, by all means dump a bunch of cash there.
"Wait, by saying this, am I engaging in a right wing talking point?"
Of course not, Keith. However, you need to modify your statement slightly to frame it as you and your ilk are wont to do like - "by all means, dump a bunch of your corporate cash gained by your corrupt campaign."
January 21, 2008 7:10 PM | Reply | Permalink
Gs5326234dS cool site!!! [url=http://mardanows1.com]cool site!!![/url] http://mardanows2.com hj56ywhl
January 21, 2008 7:11 PM | Reply | Permalink
AUTHOR:
EMAIL:
IP: 71.58.232.81
URL:
DATE: 01/21/2008 07:26:51 PM
January 21, 2008 7:26 PM | Reply | Permalink
Edwards, as I recall, ran a national cable ad on MSNBC a few months ago. Team Hillary did not cry foul or use that as an excuse to campaign in Florida. Likewise, they had no problem with the NV casino caucuses when they thought Edwards, rather than Obama, would get the Culinary workers endorsement. So this is obviously more Clinton opportunism. She knows Obama is her only formidable opponent, and wants to figure out a way to break her pledge. This reeks. It's obvious that putting out a national cable ad is not a backhanded attempt to campaign in Florida. It's way too expensive and inefficient if that were the intent.
January 21, 2008 7:33 PM | Reply | Permalink
I'm with MARI on this one. It's sheer idiocy to be excluding states when we're going to need every one we can get. Let the states decide what they will do, abide by that decision, then go there and fight it out. And may the best woman win.
January 21, 2008 7:35 PM | Reply | Permalink
Obama has already broken it.
January 21, 2008 7:37 PM | Reply | Permalink
“For that reason we consulted with … South Carolina Democratic Party Chair Carol Fowler who told us unequivocally she did not consider this to be in violation of pledge made to the early states,” Obama campaign spokesman Bill Burton said in a statement.
She does not make the rules.
January 21, 2008 7:38 PM | Reply | Permalink
wwjb,
The gist, if I understand your almost incomprehensible writing, is that Florida doesn't matter. No, Florida does matter. The delegates are suspended at present but can be seated later. A big win (if that happens) is a big win and Florida is one of the nation's largest states. The delegate totals at this point are not too important.
January 21, 2008 7:40 PM | Reply | Permalink
Somebody hit the panic button.
January 21, 2008 7:40 PM | Reply | Permalink
Mari wrote on January 21, 2008 6:48 PM:
"In the first place, it is truly stupid for any national party to romp over a state party with rules that exclude the vote."
You are absolutely right and I hope the DNC understands its mistake.
January 21, 2008 7:42 PM | Reply | Permalink
That prompted Obama spokesperson Bill Burton to issue a statement saying that “both national cable networks told us it would be impossible for us to run advertising nationally that excluded only Florida."
Yes, but would it have been possible to run advertising regionally so that it excluded Florida?
January 21, 2008 7:46 PM | Reply | Permalink
Obama should advertise in FL. It can only work to his advantage. The fact is, if you look at the data from almost ever state so far, it starts out with Hillary having at 10 - 20% lead, followed by Obama campaigning and shrinking her lead
I doubt Hillary can do anything in Fl to increase her lead. She is unlikely to win any Obama supporters and the best she can do is to hold onto her lead.
Looking at this another way, you can make an argument that Edwards and Obama made a bad, very bad, decision when they agreed not to campaign in FL and MI. Think about it. Polls show Hillary leading by 10 - 20+ points. What do Obama and Edwards do? They agree with Hillary that no one will campaign in those states.
January 21, 2008 7:49 PM | Reply | Permalink
Whatever. Hillary broke with the deal and ran in Michigan, despite them being stripped of delegates. Pot, meet the kettle. You're both...
January 21, 2008 7:51 PM | Reply | Permalink
This really inspires one about Obama's ability to be president. Big business has already made him break one of his pledges and the campaign has just started.
January 21, 2008 8:26 PM | Reply | Permalink
I live in FL and I'm not symbolically voting. (Sorry, Dennis.) F the FL Dumbocratic party. F the screwed up primary system. F the candidates (except Dennis.)
January 21, 2008 9:12 PM | Reply | Permalink
A national ad buy constitutes campaigning in Florida? WTF?... That's the same as saying that appearing on "Meet The Press" or participating in a nationally televised debate constitutes campaigning in Florida unless the stations in Florida don't broadcast it.
You can't make a national ad buy and black out one state... the networks/cable companies don't let you do that.
Get real....
January 21, 2008 9:25 PM | Reply | Permalink
Actually, the Dems decision to strip Michigan and Florida of its delegates and require this stupid pledge is a nuckleheaded idea. Michigan would have been a great state to showcase how badly the Bush economy is hitting ordinary Americans. Why cede Romney or McCain a free ride with those voters. They've laid groundwork for the Nov election.
January 22, 2008 4:52 AM | Reply | Permalink
Interesting, "Will Hillary Break the Florida Campaign Ban?" big, bold, front and center. Then a photo of Senator Clinton, then nice a small, less bold 'Obama runs Fl ad" (which you proclaim upon going to that story as 'inspiring')
Why is the headline not "Obama Breaks Florida Campaign Ban?" The spin isn't working either, wasn't it Senator Obama who recently sent out a memo stating that Clinton was breaking the ban because she was going to a fundraiser? Which WAS NOT part of the Fl campaign ban?
If he was told that cable cannot cut out national ads to just one state, and did it anyway, he still broke the ban and knew he was breaking the ban he agreed to.
January 22, 2008 7:36 AM | Reply | Permalink
Good for her. The pledges were stupid in the first place. The candidates rushed to make them for fear that if one candidate pledged not to campaign in MI & FL s/he could use it against the others in IA and NH, and nobody could afford to risk losing in those states. As such, they all agreed to this fool's bargain. Now those states have had their say and need no longer to be flattered. As such, all the candidates should rescind their pledges and 1) campaign in Florida and 2) insist that Florida's delegates be seated. Do it now, however; do not wait. The longer they wait to abandon the charade that FL must be punished, the longer that Clinton continues to enjoy her built-in advantage.
January 22, 2008 12:37 PM | Reply | Permalink
The punishment of taking away FL and MI delegates was enacted when it did not look like the delegate counts would be so close going into the convention. Now that it does look like every delegate counts, all the campaigns should be doing what they can to get these delegates. Clinton beat the others to the punch. I live in Florida. Just because the candidates have not been in our living rooms, diners, and high school gyms sucking up in person does not mean we can't make an informed decision on Tuesday.
Do any one of these candidates want to win the nomination by refusing to recognize FL delegates at the convention?
I asked this same question a week ago, by the way, and no one wanted to talk about it then. Good for Hillary that she was thinking about it.
January 25, 2008 4:37 PM | Reply | Permalink
A Win in Florida will give Hillary Clinton an over all leading image. I think that the Obama camp knows that if Hillary Clinton Campaigns in the state of Florida it will be a Campaign that will surely knock his dick in dirt.
January 26, 2008 10:19 PM | Reply | Permalink
It is total BS to say it's ok to let Obama get away with breaking the rules because someone in SC said it's ok!
what freaking BS! Obama is not god!
I hope Hillary wipes the floor with Obama in Florida and mark my words, Fla and Michigan WILL BE seated at the convention!
What a cop out, what a crock of sh't to say it's ok for Obama to break the rules because he was given persmission.
IF IT WERE HILLARY WHO DID THIS THEY'D BE BREAKING INTO REGULAR PROGRAMMING ON YOUR TV TO ANNOUNCE IT!
January 27, 2008 9:14 PM | Reply | Permalink
No state wants to hold a primary or caucus after "SuperTuesday". The race would already be decided and they won't get the campaign cash. SuperTuesday needs to be moved to a later date.
January 28, 2008 10:16 AM | Reply | Permalink