Report: Kerry Endorsing Obama
John Kerry will endorse Barack Obama, the Associated Press is reporting, quoting an unnamed source.
Late Update: Kerry and Obama will be making an appearance together today in Charleston, South Carolina, MSNBC reports. --gs
Late Update: The Obama campaign has just confirmed Kerry's endorsement to me. --gs
Late Update: The cable nets are already portraying this as a "major blow" to John Edwards. But this is just silly. No one expected Kerry to endorse Edwards -- the two fell out in a big way after Edwards publicly questioned Kerry's handling of the 2004 race.
In particular, Edwards claimed that he had wanted to hit back harder against the Swift Boat Vets attacks. A Kerry endorsement of Edwards just wasn't going to happen. --gs
Late Update: Now that Kerry has backed Obama, the next big endorsement question looming over the campaigns is this. --gs
Late Update: Edwards responds.















Oh brother. I hope he doesn't speak or at a minimum, he doesn't try to say any jokes. I don't know if this is such a good thing. He is toxic.
January 10, 2008 9:31 AM | Reply | Permalink
will this really help him? Just keep Kerry off the stump.
January 10, 2008 9:32 AM | Reply | Permalink
The more tired hands endorse Obama, the merrier!
January 10, 2008 9:39 AM | Reply | Permalink
Gee, I didn't know Kerry was a sexist misogynist pig!
Thought I'd strike before the hillary devotees started wailing.
January 10, 2008 9:40 AM | Reply | Permalink
This will help as much as Bill Bradley's endorsement. /snark
January 10, 2008 9:41 AM | Reply | Permalink
...and Obama continues his downward spiral...
January 10, 2008 9:46 AM | Reply | Permalink
Obama seems to be assembling a Coalition of the Losing. Who's next -- Jerry Brown? Kerry's image couldn't be more scarred from 2004. I can't imagine this endorsement helping Obama seem like a fresh, visionary face ... or a strong candidate who can win.
January 10, 2008 9:47 AM | Reply | Permalink
wow, this is a surprising development. Great news for Senator Obama, especially for those Feb 5th states. Seems unlikely that Kerry will have much time for public appearances, but he could really shake up Mass. in Obama's favor -- a state presumed to be Clinton's for the taking -- if he campaigns there.
January 10, 2008 9:47 AM | Reply | Permalink
When is the Gore endorsement coming? I think Kerry is weak as well which is why they are having it happen now. Once some of the big dogs come out later it will be a pretty formidable bunch of very experienced politicos stepping out and saying no to Hillary and the Clintons and For Change.
January 10, 2008 9:47 AM | Reply | Permalink
When's the Daniel Inhofe endorsement of Hillary coming?
January 10, 2008 9:48 AM | Reply | Permalink
kiss of death, etc
January 10, 2008 9:49 AM | Reply | Permalink
...I can hear a sigh of relieve from the Hillary camp.
January 10, 2008 9:50 AM | Reply | Permalink
The Bloomberg endorsement (once he is sure Obama has it) will also be something.
January 10, 2008 9:50 AM | Reply | Permalink
Agreed annon, hopefully people will forget about this endorsement by the time of the nevada caucuses.
January 10, 2008 9:50 AM | Reply | Permalink
It can't hurt.
January 10, 2008 9:52 AM | Reply | Permalink
Honestly, are so many of the Obama supporters here so twisted and cynical that they can't feel happy about such a great endorsement like this?
A switch of a few votes in every Ohio precinct and we wouldn't even be supporting Hillary or Obama on here now.
He got more votes than any Democrat in history against a well-entrenched incumbent.
It's a great endorsement for Obama. As a Clinton supporter, I'm freakin' jealous.
Y'all never cease to amaze me sometimes. Inexperience maybe ? ;-)
January 10, 2008 9:52 AM | Reply | Permalink
This is bound to make a few Obama supporters' heads explode.
January 10, 2008 9:54 AM | Reply | Permalink
Re: a "bunch of very experienced politicos stepping out ... For Change"
Isn't that at best message dilution and at worst a contradiction in terms? Establishment figures (esp. really, really wooden establishment figures) saying yes to change just says to me that the change isn't going to be such a much.
Seriously.
January 10, 2008 9:56 AM | Reply | Permalink
I don't know why people are down on this, Kerry might've lost the general, but so did Al Gore, and everyone would love his endorsement. Fact is, Kerry is very popular in the Dem party and as an establishment politician and war vet, he can speak credibly to the notion that Obama has the experience and foreign policy chops necessary to be President.
Plus, Kerry would be a great guy to have stump for you in Mass., where he's obviously very popular, and which is a huge prize on Feb 5th: the only states with more delegates at stake are California, New York, Illinois, and New Jersey (and New Jersey only has, IIRC, 6 more delegates). Since NJ is supposedly a Clinton "firewall", if Obama can get use this endorsement to shore up support in Mass, he could neutralize Clinton's advantage there. And I also believe Mass is a closed primary, so this should help negate some of the expected loss he'd take from not having indies participate (not positive on that, though)
And obviously he has Illinois in the bag.
So this is actually a really good endorsement for him.
January 10, 2008 9:59 AM | Reply | Permalink
"A switch of a few votes in every Ohio precinct and we wouldn't even be supporting Hillary or Obama on here now."
Or if all the ones who had voted had actually been counted.
January 10, 2008 9:59 AM | Reply | Permalink
"Downward spiral" mickey g? Obama almost tied Clinton in her firewall state--her "victory" there is about as meaningful as Gore's popular vote tally in 2000 (since Obama and Clinton walk away with the same number of delegates).
Hillary's tiny margin in New Hampshire is almost entirely accounted for by transient things live ballot order, candidates dropping out leaving their supporters with a last minute choice, the appearance of an Obama tidal wave, the resurrection of John McCain against the phony Romney, and a couple of last minute mailings that probably won't work for her in the future because they make her look dishonest.
It's a knife fight now and I like Obama's chances because Hillary's best (a marginal "victory") is just about as good as Obama on an average day.
January 10, 2008 10:00 AM | Reply | Permalink
It's a plus to have the sitting governor (Patrick) and now a sitting senator (Kerry) of a February 5th state backing you. Donors (I think Kerry has one of the more coveted lists--something like 3 million folks) is probably the real key here. And the news cycle win. The campaign needs that now.
There is a real battle brewing within the Democratic Party. It will be interesting to see how it breaks out.
Also, whatever we knowledgable folks know about the strained relationship between Edwards and Kerry, I think, at least optically, hurts Edwards.
January 10, 2008 10:00 AM | Reply | Permalink
I really don't mind saying these people lining up for Obama. This does derive the talking pointment of Senator Clinton that no one has more than one senator supporting him. On the other hand, with establishment lining up with Obama, he loses his freshness and anti-establishment crudential. Think Dean. The endorsements from Harkin, Gore meant a squat!!!
I'd rather say Hillary earn her nomination by fighting with Obama and his minions!
January 10, 2008 10:01 AM | Reply | Permalink
Oh yeah, he's got another superdelegate. He needs all that he can get.
January 10, 2008 10:01 AM | Reply | Permalink
Hi colonpowwow, just two points.
The "well-entrenched incumbent" is an utter moron, had a horrible approval rating and had sucked us into a war of election. The right candidate and we wouldn't have the moron sitting in the white house right now. Kerry had it almost handed to him on a silver platter and he blew it.
Also, my guess is that you're not "freakin' jealous." He is like a hot potato and I bet they are popping the champagne corks at clinton HQ right now.
January 10, 2008 10:01 AM | Reply | Permalink
No matter how badly Kerry did, it's still a great endorsement, especially when you hear some of the reservations about voting for Obama. When black voters in SC are supposed to be scared of voting for Obama because they don't believe whites will back him, the endorsement of an older, established, wealthy white Democrat certainly can't hurt to prove that a vote for Obama is not a wasted vote.
January 10, 2008 10:02 AM | Reply | Permalink
I agree colonpowwow...what's with all the negativity? Guys, get some perspective.
Forget about "experienced politicians for Change"
How about "popular Democrats for a new direction in our party" or something along those lines
The biggest endorsements are, IMO:
Kerry
Kennedy
Feingold
Al Gore
would also be interesting to see if Dean endorses...on the one hand, it seems kinda inappropriate for the chair of the DNC to endorse. On the other hand, he's endorsed Obama before, and they campaigned together in 04.
January 10, 2008 10:02 AM | Reply | Permalink
I think this is great news for Senator Obama. Senator Kerry is... ahem, not the most dynamic or effective orator I've ever seen, but I think the earlier comment that he's "toxic" overstates the case by 2,000%.
January 10, 2008 10:04 AM | Reply | Permalink
Keith--I'm from mass and I'm telling you that most people are already dismayed at how inept Patrick has been, and that there's no way Mass goes for Obama. Have to break it to you. Kennedy is the prize endorsement here, not Kerry.
Besides, the state got all wrapped up in the excitement of Patrick, only to realize how inexperienced he is, and how he can't get anything done. Obama has no shot here.
January 10, 2008 10:04 AM | Reply | Permalink
Kerry's 3 mm list may be important but it will be a betrayal of his donor for him to give out those names. They didn't necessarily support him. They supported a Democratic nominee.
How's he going to pump up Obama? He's going to say experience does not count? He's going to say freshness is more important? Then why does he not just retire to make way for someone else?
January 10, 2008 10:04 AM | Reply | Permalink
Think Kerry will teach Obama to concede early ?
January 10, 2008 10:06 AM | Reply | Permalink
Have many hands you got there, Michael?
If Kerry was so hot with the democrats he'd be running this time around.
January 10, 2008 10:08 AM | Reply | Permalink
Ok, last point on this endorsement, the obama campaign is, as far as I can tell, among other things, no more politics as usual. Get the people motivated to take back their country. Get rid of lobbyists and special interest influence in washington. This list is not meant to be inclusive
If that's the theme, why go against that theme by getting heavily entrenched pols beholden to special interests and lobbiests to endorse you? It kind of cuts against your theme.
Two points, Michael,
1. Other than gore, the rest of your endorsements won't help and may hurt IMO.
2. Dean can't endorse anyone, he is the head of the DNC. He has to be neutral.
January 10, 2008 10:10 AM | Reply | Permalink
Most of you are missing the point (besides Keith) that this is another superdelegate. Catching up to Hillary in that regards.
I welcome the Kerry endorsement.
January 10, 2008 10:14 AM | Reply | Permalink
Millions of people recall pulling the lever for Kerry. This is major. And it helps confirm Obama's viability.
January 10, 2008 10:15 AM | Reply | Permalink
I hate to bring up yesterday's battle, but I keep thinking about that Jesse Jackson Jr. interview and his questioning of Hillary's tears and suggesting that she didn't cry for Katrina victims. I'm now certain this was racial politics and it's about the worst move the Obama camp could make. One thing I like about Obama is that he doesn't have the anger of Jesse Jackson or other blacks-as-victims leaders. But that comment was racial politics at it's worst. I know others have made similar comments, but it just left a bad taste in my mouth. So John Kerry in S.C.? Talk about someone who couldn't connect with African Americans. I suggest it has no impact at all. In fact, it may give him a negative bounce. I think Hillary can win S.C. The images of she and Bill singing in black churches, and Hillary speaking of issues instead of lofty rhetoric may make the difference. It seem to have in New Hampshire.
January 10, 2008 10:15 AM | Reply | Permalink
I don't know what everyone is freakin about - A Kerry endorsement would be good - he did do well in the last election, its not like Bush beat him 70 - 30% or something! We can't shy away from establishment people even if we aren't, I think it says, hey - maybe this "kid" isn't so inexperienced if the big shots think he can do it! :-)
January 10, 2008 10:16 AM | Reply | Permalink
How do you figure it's Obama supporters that are badmouthing this Colon? Did anyone seriously think Kerry would go Clinton? The Clinton's are DLC.
But in any event you can't blame us for seeing everthing negatively right now, and being a little FIRED UP. The suggestion that it's both racial and gender identity politics that sunk our candidate...that people were LYING on exit polls because of latent racism... gahg....it's disgusting. It's so much more comforting when you can feel like it's THE OTHER GUYS that do this stuff.
Maybe it didn't happen that way. Maybe it was just females feeling sorry for Hillary with everyone dumping on her. I sure hope so, even though that would still be stale old identity politics. We will beat this garbage back into the far-right cesspool where it belongs!
Fired up! Ready to go!
January 10, 2008 10:16 AM | Reply | Permalink
Kerry (like Sen. Johnson) is a super-delegate, so that's two more votes at the DNConvention for Obama this morning. Not a bad morning's work.
Here's what y'all are missing. the endorsement helps Obama in two critical ways. The first thing it does is help restore momentum. After NH, he needed to show that major figures still rate his chances highly enough to come on board. If Kerry had done this right after Iowa, it'd be meaningless. But he waited until now, and that helps.
The other thing to bear in mind is that Obama is already running incredibly strongly among the people who disdain Kerry - i.e., the sort of people who post on political blogs. Where he's weak is among the party regulars. Kerry has a strong rapport with labor unions, and provides instant credibility among the party faithful.
And, despite Kaite's personal loathing for Patrick and Kerry, these two endorsements matter a great deal in Massachusetts. Primary voters are not the general electorate. Just 52% of voters in MA approve of Kerry, but that's an impressive 69% of Democrats. Similarly, Patrick's approval stands at 48%, but hits 63% among registered Dems. Both do much better among women than men. And, perhaps most importantly, they have the clout to deliver state-level party resources and further institutional endorsements.
So yeah, I'd say this is a decently big deal.
January 10, 2008 10:17 AM | Reply | Permalink
I'll bet by the end of the day, Obama'll distance himself. this is just playing too poorly everywhere.
(or, alternatively, Kerry will be built up as the Great Democratic Elder Statesman, but that'd just take too much work.)
January 10, 2008 10:17 AM | Reply | Permalink
In particular, Edwards claimed that he had wanted to hit back harder against the Swift Boat Vets attacks.
Let me say this. I like Edwards. Always have. But he ran one of the lamest campaigns of any VP nominee I've ever seen, and lost a debate to Darth Cheney, didn't call him on it when the VP lied to his face about never having met him. If he said this about the Swift Boats, he was right, but come on, et tu, Brutei?
January 10, 2008 10:21 AM | Reply | Permalink
Bluepuppy, then don't. Your post was pathetic, as usual. She did look hot in that jacket during her victory speech though, didn't she. Wow, she is hot.
January 10, 2008 10:22 AM | Reply | Permalink
Kerry was on board the Kumbayah Train when he declined to challenge the 2004 Ohio results and Edwards wanted to keep fighting. I expect Edwards won't lose sleep over this.
January 10, 2008 10:24 AM | Reply | Permalink
I am not an Obama fan but why would Kerry want to ruin Obama's career by endorsing Obama?
Some things are best never being said.
January 10, 2008 10:25 AM | Reply | Permalink
Kerry won in 2004. If Edwards wins, he won't surrender. Kucinich either. The other two? They've taken a lot of corporate money. Who knows what they would do. Hopefully, we won't have to find out.
Get rid of the touch screens [like they had in NH]
January 10, 2008 10:25 AM | Reply | Permalink
Patrick's lack of success and inability to get anything done WILL have a huge impact on the Mass vote, including Dem's. I live here, and there are many people who are already questioning voting for the inexperienced exciting guy.
Sounds like Massachusetts already took a chance on this great experiment, and it failed.
January 10, 2008 10:29 AM | Reply | Permalink
Kaite: I was on the common for Patrick's Obama endorsement rally, and I have to tell you, the difference is night and day. Patrick spews contentless soundbites, talks to the news segment editors, really is the empty, vain, vapid feel-good candidate Obama get's accused of being. I couldn't bear him during the election and can't now. Obama on the other hand speaks in paragraphs, doesn't go for the shallow, dishonest feelgood line, and understands what he's talking about, and is, well, responsible. Patrick treats his supporters like morons, Obama treats them like adults. The only thing they have in common is their skin color. (Okay, I winced at the 'Yes We Can' slogan, an echo of 'Together We Can' from the Patrick campaign, but this time, I know what the object is.)
As for whether Kerry (or Kennedy) will help Obama here, I have to admit, I have absolutely no comprehension of how people think around here. The state of New England politics, the seeming embrace, even adoration, of corruption, machine politics, nepotism and sleaze is the main reason I never thought Obama would have a chance in a democratic primary.
January 10, 2008 10:31 AM | Reply | Permalink
Feingold and Gore would be the big prizes, IMO. Obviously they are not going to endorse DLC Clinton, there is no way. But there's a good chance they won't endorse at all. Especially Gore.
January 10, 2008 10:31 AM | Reply | Permalink
A net plus, in part because Kerry has a massive list of donors (3 million names), not all of whom are in the Obama database.
Also a net plus, because if he was as toxic among Dems as many Obama supporters above claim (full disclosure, I personally don't like Kerry either), then why would Hillary have been trying to get his endorsement. She was definitely trying to do so all of last year, and obviously failed.
January 10, 2008 10:32 AM | Reply | Permalink
@Michael A.
the obama campaign is, as far as I can tell, among other things, no more politics as usual. Get the people motivated to take back their country. Get rid of lobbyists and special interest influence in washington.
I have a hunch - if Obama wins the nomination and the presidency, it will very much be politics as usual. That doesn't mean things won't be VERRRY different from how they are under Bush (and if Clinton is elected things will also be VERRRY different). "Politics as usual" is quite distinct from the "policy status quo." We'll get much different and better (from Bush) policies regardless of which Dem wins the White House (and we will, dammit!). But politics will still be pretty usual. A Dem candidate talking about how they're going to break the grip of special interests, etc., *is* politics as usual. I don't know why people think otherwise. Obama supporters need to understand this, otherwise you're setting yourselves up for a huge disappointment later, even if he wins.
In part this is because of the nature of the institutions. Institutions, including informal ones, are supposed to trump personality in our system, which was the intent of Madison, Hamilton et al many years ago. That's not a bad thing, and it doesn't mean they can't be changed - by no means am I trying to be defeatist here.
To me there is little that is "unusual" about Obama's politics, or the style of his campaign. His style/politics are not identical to Clinton's or Edwards', but they're not something we've not seen before. Of course they are different to some degree, but all candidates are different to some degree.
I don't think the Kerry endorsement will have much of an effect on voters. Its importance lies in its effect on the calculations of other superdelegates, other potential endorsements. These are political elites signaling to political elites about the viability of their chosen endorsee, the future of the party, how donations should be directed, etc. Also, don't discount the desire of powerful non-Clinton Dems to muscle aside the Clintons (and everyone associated with them) from their central place within the Democratic party structure. I'm sure there are a number of powerful Dems sick of the Clintons holding center stage, who want to see them dethroned, for reasons that have nothing to do with policy or vision and everything to do with their own prestige and power. They *are* politicians, after all!
January 10, 2008 10:33 AM | Reply | Permalink
I think Obama's going to get Biden (more aligned with Obama foreign policy), RIchardson (angling for VP), and Gore (hates the Clinton, likes Obama's environmental policy more). Hillary will get Chris Dodd.
Bye Bye Hillary.
January 10, 2008 10:35 AM | Reply | Permalink
Way to go! The establishment Democratic Party lines up behind Obama, and Obama campaign plays the race card, (Michel Eric Dyson on yesterday's hardball). They are playing there cards perfectly! What genius thought this up?
Go Hillary.
January 10, 2008 10:38 AM | Reply | Permalink
I doubt after Obama called him an 'old man' who needed to get a backbone that Kennedy is going to go and endorse him.
January 10, 2008 10:39 AM | Reply | Permalink
Bye Bye Hillary.???
We've heard this song before. Maybe you can move out of this country like some republicans when Madam President is inaugurated. Bye-bye, no name guy/gal!
January 10, 2008 10:40 AM | Reply | Permalink
of course this is good news for Obama. it's not going to deliver him the nomination on a silver platter, but it will deliver him some support, heft, votes, and a massive email database. this will not hurt Obama at all, but it doesn't automatically 'give' him much - just more tools to work with.
January 10, 2008 10:40 AM | Reply | Permalink
Kennedy needs a backbone? I wonder what that was in reference to...
Wouldn't Kennedy be to the left of Obama?
January 10, 2008 10:44 AM | Reply | Permalink
Funny, after Hillary supporters tried to accuse Obama of trashing on Kerry, apparently Kerry doesn't agree.
This is good for Obama, regardless of how imperfect of a candidate Kerry was.
January 10, 2008 10:47 AM | Reply | Permalink
I don't subscribe to conspiracy theories, and I'm not a big fan of the latter day Bob Woodward, but I do believe his claim that Carville tipped off Matalin re plans to contest the '04 Ohio vote. (And Matalin then told a friend, Rove, who told a friend Blackwell, and so on, and so on.) Carville was ensuring the '08 place be held for Hillary. One of the many reasons I feel so disenchanted with the Clinton camp.
Her failure to admit that her vote endorsing Bush's Iraq plans and her support of Kyle- Lieberman further demonstrates that desire for power weighs heavier than a desire to act in the best interest of the country.
This endorsement is a much deserved poke in the eye.
January 10, 2008 10:47 AM | Reply | Permalink
I greatly admire Al Gore as a Statesman and a true agent of change my preference is that he endorse no one and float be above the fray. If he jumps in I believe this would tarnish his cause and splashes mud on his coat same President Carter.
January 10, 2008 10:52 AM | Reply | Permalink
Hm, I am with Michael (plain Michael, not Michael A) that this is a good thing. Not a great thing, but a good thing. I have a hard time believing that anyone is going to vote against Sen Obama because Sen Kerry endorsed him. Has anyone here ever voted against a candidate in whole or in part because he received (among many others) one endorsement about which you were less than entheused? I know that I never have, and I never remember anyone I know claiming to have done as much. It may not help much, but it does not hurt either, and it is one more superdelegate in our column. Good news, that.
January 10, 2008 10:56 AM | Reply | Permalink
Aimey Mays wrote:
Bye Bye Hillary.???
We've heard this song before. Maybe you can move out of this country like some republicans when Madam President is inaugurated.
Yeah RIGHT ON!!! And if you don't want to leave voluntarily we'll gladly deport you!!!!
January 10, 2008 11:06 AM | Reply | Permalink
The important endorsements for my money are:
Sherrod Brown
Claire McCaskill (esp. imp for Obama)
Jon Tester
Jim Webb.
Those are bellweather people given their recent contact with the electorate. I know McCaskill wants to endorse Obama, and she would break Clinton track record with women in the Senate. Amy Klobuchar also would be good. I know these women probably are a little peeved that someone who'd never been elected to anything before becoming a U.S. Senator might become representative of women in politics. Also, it's doubtful Sen. Boxer endorses anyone other than Obama. Those other ones are just "boys playing with boys."
January 10, 2008 11:08 AM | Reply | Permalink
Michael's Mom, Hi mom your are totally on target with those endorsements. Now they would help and that post was spot on!
January 10, 2008 11:16 AM | Reply | Permalink
Kerry can't hurt but have the same problem with him I have with Edwards. The election was there to be one and he failed to respond in the debates. In kerry's case he was asked in the town hall debate about his votes on Iraq and instead of explaining that he voted for an appropriation that was paid for by cuts in spending and against one that simply passed on the costs he gave a long rambling explanation that left only the sound of cricket's chirping when he was done.
Edwards let Chaney slander him about not appearing in the Senate and never meeting him until the Vice Presidential debate when Cheney had sworn him in and they had sat at the same table at a Senate luncheon.
Old history but it took me about a year to get over 2004.
I think the Democrats have three strong candidates and any of them will win. i just want them to play nice and tell their surrogates to do the same. I am as tired of Bill Clinton' snide remarks about Obama and his experience as I am of jesse Jackson Jr.'s questioning Clinton's tear.
January 10, 2008 11:17 AM | Reply | Permalink
@Aimey Mays:
Which would you prefer, the explicit endorsement of Sen. Kerry or the oblique endorsement of Karl Rove?
http://online.wsj.com/article/SB119992615845679531.html?mod=opinion_main_commentaries
Ahem. The GOP wants Hillary because it'll be a bloodbath, the Gingrich years all over again. Yippee.
January 10, 2008 11:18 AM | Reply | Permalink
How this plays all just depends. As a former Kerry supporter and a current Obama supporter, the endorsement doesn't go down well with me. I like John Edwards too, and whatever may have come between Edwards and Kerry, it would seem that Kerry could have been more silent prior to South Carolina, where Edwards could at least shine somewhat. It certainly is possible to send a big email list to someone without the world knowing about it. What does the endorsement really say? Smash Clinton, prop Obama, and squash Edwards. It seems to me it generates, at this point, more bad blood than is necessary.
January 10, 2008 11:29 AM | Reply | Permalink
It is another decent male endorsement but Obama really needs a few strong female endorsements now. He announced some prior to NH; maybe he needs to get them out on the campaign trail for him to remind voters. He doesn't want this to become boys against the girls.
January 10, 2008 11:39 AM | Reply | Permalink
All you Kerry bashers go get 59 million votes in a general election (nearly unseating a "wartime" incumbent president), and tell us why this is bad.
Obama needed a good foreign policy endorsement and this was a great one.
It certainly has this fence sitter taking another look at him.
January 10, 2008 11:45 AM | Reply | Permalink
It's too bad Democrats are such a pack of fair-weather friends. The only cardinal sin in the Democratic party is to lose an election. If the Republicans were that shallow, they would never have elected Nixon, Reagan or Bush the Elder - all of whom lost presidential campaigns before being elected.
The people who can't let Kerry's name pass without snarking at him are generally the same guys who voted for him in the primaries because he was electable and cheered how he destroyed Bush the Dimmer in the debates. Of course, in general they're also the ones who supported Gore in '00, then hated him in '01 then started feeling the love again in '07 (-so I guess there's some hope for the party.) God help Obama or Clinton, whichever one gets the nomination, if they lose in '08!
Personally, I supported Kerry in '04 because he is a outstanding Senator who would have made an excellent president and I support him today for exactly the same reason.
January 10, 2008 11:45 AM | Reply | Permalink
"...Fact is, Kerry is very popular in the Dem party and as an establishment politician and war vet, he can speak credibly to the notion that Obama has the experience and foreign policy chops necessary to be President......."
Heeheeheehahahahaheheheheheh. Oops, sorry, but that's the funniest thing I've seen in ages.
January 10, 2008 11:53 AM | Reply | Permalink
I suggest that a Kerry endorsement is less important in and of itself than in what it signifies. Kerry is probably the first big name Democrat to make an endorsement in the race. If it initiates a trend of establishment Dems falling in line behind Obama, his momentum will be reestablished. On the other hand, if Clinton gets everyone else, it means nothing. But there is often a herd mentality in primary endorsements. Everyone wants to endorse the ultimate winner, not too soon to risk betting on the wrong horse, but not so late that the endorsement becomes meaningless. The more political luminaries that endorse a candidate, the more likely the rest will be to jump on the bandwagon.
January 10, 2008 11:54 AM | Reply | Permalink
"....The people who can't let Kerry's name pass without snarking at him are generally the same guys who voted for him in the primaries because he was electable and cheered how he destroyed Bush the Dimmer in the debates....."
That's about the dumbest thing I've seen in ages. Or was that sarcasm? Way too many of us held our noses to vote for Kerry, which is why we are demanding change today, not just change from the Republies, but change from the Dem machine. I will not hold my noae again to vote for a candidate.
January 10, 2008 11:58 AM | Reply | Permalink
Where was Bill's experience in 1992,
If Hillary was that experienced, why did she vote yes for a war? Her experience as first lady should have told her no.
โ Of course late 2006, she was quoted as saying President Bush was very charismaticโ I guess that won her vote both times.
Hillary's politics is close to Bush's. We would have more of the same polarizing administrative policies.
She has blamed everything on republicans. Now, Obama is in her cross hairs
Dems Loyalty will possibly be split this year and GOP will win again.
During her time at the W.H. Hillary talked about GOP and them out to get her and Bill. Even with all the scandal after scandal, she showed little emotion, as long as the blame others game was played.
If that is what our country needs. Bush approval would be higher.
Hillary has had a problem making that connection, even as U.S. Senator.
All the Democrats could do well to lead us in the right direction. However, Obama offers the greatest flexibility to work with both parties on new ideas. Hillary knew the war in Iraq was not worth the cost. However, in 2007, she turns around and gives Bush another authorization to fight Iran.
With experience, we have change. Where was the change here?
A president ---- The Success of a president is tied to his administration. Bill had great support for furthering his agenda. Many things they failed at in his first administration. Second admin. he hired knew people who thought outside the box.
One person cannot know it all - that's with any good administration!
What Bill said about experience in 1992, is perfectly important today concerning Obama augment for change
Quote: Bill Clinton responded to Bush's claim โthat experience means everything:โ
Bill Clinton once said "the same old experience is not relevant"
The same discussion is going on today. We need Change Bill Brought then and Obama will bring it now.
Sometime you have to change the dice, when fixed to roll a certain way all the time.
Fear of change, is allowing more of the same.
January 10, 2008 11:59 AM | Reply | Permalink
Oh well. It's over.
January 10, 2008 11:59 AM | Reply | Permalink
Er, gosh, I suppose that if Sen McCaskill endorses Obama that will move her slightly up in my estimation, but only slightly. I would not overestimate the importance of her endorsement in this state. She is not wildly popular among democrats; she eaked out a narrow victory over Talent simply on the strength of the fact that, little as we like her, most democrats in MO loathed Jim Talent. More important, to my mind, in this state are the endorsements of 1) Atty General Jay Nixon (easily the most popular democrat in the state), 2) St Louis Co Chair Charlie Dooley (easily the most charismatic democrat in the state), 3) St Louis City Mayor Francis Slay and 4) Kansas City Mayor Mark Funkhouser.
Doolie has already endorsed Obama. Slay has already endorsed Clinton (but this may actually play to Obama's favor, because Slay, who is white, recently alienated the black majority in this city by getting into a very ugly, very public spat with Freeman George, the first black Fire Chief in the city's history). Jay Nixon has made quite clear that he plans to stay neutral. McCaskill has hinted that she might like to endorse Sen Clinton but will likely stay neutral because (after all) she will still have to work with both of them in the senate. I have no idea where Funkhouser stands (KC is the other end of the world to us St Louisans).
January 10, 2008 12:01 PM | Reply | Permalink
Stop with all the smearing of John Kerry. He may not be a great campaigner, but he is a very honorable person. He did not duck his military service, like Bush, and so many others did, and he had the moral courage to come back home and work to end the Vietnam War.
That alone, if he never did anything else in his life, places him in my Profiles in Courage Pantheon.
John Edwards fought against the ticket coming out stronger against the Iraq War, during the 2004 campaign, and added nothing to ticket. Tell me of one State that he delivered to the ticket. He is a loser, and Kerry knows it. He also has gotten to see Hillary work, up close and personal for the past seven years in the Senate, so that tells me he just does not rate her very highly.
January 10, 2008 12:18 PM | Reply | Permalink
I won't soon forget the sight of Bill Clinton - after all, still the titular head of the party - savagely attacking Obama's integrity at Dartmouth. Can anyone imagine, say, Harry Truman in 1960 traveling to West Virginia to deliver such a blast against John Kennedy? Or Lyndon Johnson in 1972 visiting New Hampshire to issue such a deeply personal, highly public condemnation of George McGovern? And yet virtually no one in the party suggested that he might have behaved inappropriately.
I'm a lifelong Democrat who has never voted Republican for any office in my life. But in a McCain-Clinton contest, I'd vote for McCain. Though I disagree with him on many issues, at least he has integrity.
January 10, 2008 12:20 PM | Reply | Permalink
Barack Obama in 2002:
"I donโt oppose all wars. What I am opposed to is a dumb war. What I am opposed to is a rash war. What I am opposed to is the cynical attempt by Richard Perle and Paul Wolfowitz and other arm-chair, weekend warriors in this Administration to shove their own ideological agendas down our throats, irrespective of the costs in lives lost and in hardships borne.
What I am opposed to is the attempt by political hacks like Karl Rove to distract us from a rise in the uninsured, a rise in the poverty rate, a drop in the median income โ to distract us from corporate scandals and a stock market that has just gone through the worst month since the Great Depression.
Thatโs what Iโm opposed to. A dumb war. A rash war. A war based not on reason but on passion, not on principle but on politicsโฆ
I know that even a successful war against Iraq will require a US occupation of undetermined length, at undetermined cost, with undetermined consequences. I know that an invasion of Iraq without a clear rationale and without strong international support will only fan the flames of the Middle East, and encourage the worst, rather than best, impulses of the Arab world, and strengthen the recruitment arm of al-Qaeda."
WHAT WAS HILLARY SAYING THEN?
January 10, 2008 12:27 PM | Reply | Permalink
I'd vote for McCain. Though I disagree with him on many issues, at least he has integrity.
Yeah, right. By that measure, GW Bush has integrity.
January 10, 2008 12:45 PM | Reply | Permalink
Barack Obama in 2006:
"I think what people might point to is our different assessments of the war in Iraq, although Iโm always careful to say that I was not in the Senate, so perhaps the reason I thought it was such a bad idea was that I didnโt have the benefit of U.S. intelligence. And, for those who did, it might have led to a different set of choices. So that might be something that sort of is obvious. But, again, we were in different circumstances at that time: I was running for the U.S. Senate, she had to take a vote, and casting votes is always a difficult test."
January 10, 2008 12:52 PM | Reply | Permalink
Kiss of death! Bill Bradeley helped a lot! Now this! May be Obama can also get Dukakis! Honestly a bad move by Obama. For sure this will bring Republicans and independents into Obama's camp. I say this as someone who voted for and contributed to Kerry. Obama is beginning to look like the establishment candidate!
Also, check out the ABC news story on his link to Rezko.
http://abcnews.go.com/Blotter/story?id=4111483&page=1
January 10, 2008 12:57 PM | Reply | Permalink
John Kerry learned in 2004 that John Edwards is a backstabbing ungrateful creep.
Read the article in the NY Times for all the details of what a snake John Edwards turned out to be.
http://www.nytimes.com/2007/11/21/us/politics/21edwards.html?scp=2&sq=Kerry+and+Edwards+2004
Here is an extract from the article. You can go to the link to read it all.
John Edwards, accepting his partyโs nomination for vice president, roused a cheering crowd at the 2004 Democratic convention with the kind of buoyant refrain that had become his trademark: โHope is on the way.โ
The next night, wanting to give the American people something more tangible, John Kerry offered his own pledge, one intended as the ticketโs new slogan: โHelp is on the way.โ
But Mr. Edwards did not want to say it.
So the running mates set off across the country together with different messages, sometimes delivered at the same rally: Mr. Kerry leading the crowd in chants for โhelp,โ Mr. Edwards for โhope.โ The campaign printed two sets of signs. By November, the disagreement had been so institutionalized that campaign workers handed out fans with both messages, on flip sides.
To the end of their disappointing run, the two men were unable to agree on the script, whether for slogans or more substantive matters. And like so many political marriages, the one between Mr. Kerry and Mr. Edwards โ Senate colleagues who became rivals then running mates but never really friends โ ended in recrimination and regrets.
Kerry aides complain that Mr. Edwards never stopped running for president โ a Democratic Party official recalled some aides wearing โEdwards for Presidentโ pins at a fund-raiser long after they were working for the Kerry-Edwards ticket. Kerry supporters say Mr. Edwards refused to play the traditional vice-presidential role of attack dog even going up against a purebred, Dick Cheney. And Mr. Kerry had barely conceded the race, they say, before Mr. Edwards was aiming for 2008 and embarking on what one campaign aide called the โit wasnโt my fault tourโ around his home state to distance himself from the loss
January 10, 2008 12:59 PM | Reply | Permalink
I'm glad to hear about this endorsement. And Obama hasn't lost the slightest bit of "momentum," IMHO. The way the New Hampshire story is being spun--huge surprise victory for Clinton--seems really misleading to me, especially in light of the following two key points:
1) During most of the pre-primary run-up, Clinton was expected to win NH in a landslide, so really the more natural story here is the one about how little of a margin she managed to hold in the popular voting, given her early clear advantage in the race.
2) Clinton didn't actually win more delegate votes than Obama, and since ultimately the delegate votes are what count, the claim that she won NH at all is pretty specious. She won the popular vote in NH, apparently. But just as in the General Election, popular votes aren't what really matter. The real story is that Obama is in the lead in terms of pledged delegates at this point in the Primary Race. Yet, that story is getting coverage nowhere. Even Obama supporters haven't been quick to point this fact out for some reason.
But then I'm solidly in the Obama camp, so I'm biased. Still, it seems like an odd way for the punditry and press to cover what from my POV was really a disappointing tie finish in a state previously referred to as Clinton's "firewall."
January 10, 2008 1:04 PM | Reply | Permalink
Where are all the stories about Hillary getting an over night windfall from her one small investment in the futures market. Where is the story about her brothers being paid hundreds of thousands to obtain presidential pardons for convicted drug lords.
Where is the story about HillBilliary being given millions by the wife of a fugitive, who never faced trial, and HillBilliary granting him a pardon, without even requiring the billionair fugitive from justice to first answer to the charges.
Has the entire nation developed a severe case of amnesia.
The Clinton supporters trying to claim that Senator Obama is corrupt is like the Piano player in a Bordello complaining about the dandelion on the neighbor's lawn.
January 10, 2008 1:07 PM | Reply | Permalink
"That's about the dumbest thing I've seen in ages. Or was that sarcasm? Way too many of us held our noses to vote for Kerry, which is why we are demanding change today, not just change from the Republies, but change from the Dem machine. I will not hold my noae again to vote for a candidate."
If that was the dumbest thing you've seen in ages you don't get out very much, do you? You certainly mustn't have gotten out much in '04 when Kerry clinched the nimination in near record time after demolishing the rest of the Democratic field in primary after primary and what were the main reasons people gave for voting for him? He was "Presidential" and "Electable"..."malodorous" didn't even score in the top ten.
January 10, 2008 1:07 PM | Reply | Permalink
Not surprising that Kerry endorsed Obama. Obama is simply Kerry v. 2.0.
January 10, 2008 1:09 PM | Reply | Permalink
Barack Obama in 2002:
"I donโt oppose all wars. What I am opposed to is a dumb war. What I am opposed to is a rash war. What I am opposed to is the cynical attempt by Richard Perle and Paul Wolfowitz and other arm-chair, weekend warriors in this Administration to shove their own ideological agendas down our throats, irrespective of the costs in lives lost and in hardships borne.
What I am opposed to is the attempt by political hacks like Karl Rove to distract us from a rise in the uninsured, a rise in the poverty rate, a drop in the median income โ to distract us from corporate scandals and a stock market that has just gone through the worst month since the Great Depression.
Thatโs what Iโm opposed to. A dumb war. A rash war. A war based not on reason but on passion, not on principle but on politicsโฆ
I know that even a successful war against Iraq will require a US occupation of undetermined length, at undetermined cost, with undetermined consequences. I know that an invasion of Iraq without a clear rationale and without strong international support will only fan the flames of the Middle East, and encourage the worst, rather than best, impulses of the Arab world, and strengthen the recruitment arm of al-Qaeda."
WHAT WAS HILLARY SAYING THEN?
January 10, 2008 1:10 PM | Reply | Permalink
I'd vote for McCain. Though I disagree with him on many issues, at least he has integrity.
Oh yeah. Nothing demonstrates integrity like speeches at Jerry Falwell U. Besides, McCain is probably the one candidate in the race that is actually dumber than George W.
January 10, 2008 1:11 PM | Reply | Permalink
toM: "Gee, I didn't know Kerry was a sexist misogynist pig!"
No, he's just a loser.
January 10, 2008 1:19 PM | Reply | Permalink
While you are trashing Bloomberg for not having a "movement" keep in mind that Obama had no "movement" until after he decided to run for president and he wants to build that "movement" from the top down, just like any religious movement based on a personality cult.
At least you can say this about Nader, he built his movement first, then decided to run.
January 10, 2008 1:22 PM | Reply | Permalink
BigV wrote on January 10, 2008 12:57 PM:
"Also, check out the ABC news story on his link to Rezko.
http://abcnews.go.com/Blotter/story?id=4111483&page=1"
BigV, keep quiet! Are you nuts? You want the republicans to find out?
January 10, 2008 1:32 PM | Reply | Permalink
Liam:
You're really trying to claim that Kerry lost the election because of Edwards(!)? And you're really trying to claim that Edwards watered down Kerry's message? Or that Edwards pushed for a weaker stance on the Iraq War than Kerry?
You've really bought into this Bush Newspeak thing haven't you?
January 10, 2008 1:34 PM | Reply | Permalink
Bimbo Eruptions.
Blue Stained Dress.
Under the Oval Office Desk, Lewdinskies.
Guess who gets the Cigar.
It isn't John Kerry.
You want to toss around that bogus misogynist smear against John Kerry when Hillary has knowingly stayed married to the biggest Misogynist of them all.
Bill did not even bother to respect her in the White House, and you folks want to call men that Hillary does not even know Misogynists.
Hell, she did not even respect herself enough to finally drop the creep after he played hide the cigar with with the nearest available Bimbo.
January 10, 2008 1:35 PM | Reply | Permalink
Obama maintains his relationship with Rezko was "above board and legal" but has admitted bad judgment, calling his decision to involve Rezko "a bone-headed mistake."
Geez -- this man is capale of having judgement? This must be a right wing republican smear. I know Obama. He is a saint. He is born with good judgement. He can walk on water, make water wine, and cries a river for katrina. This is not true. I don't believe it!!!
January 10, 2008 1:36 PM | Reply | Permalink
"Or if all the ones who had voted had actually been counted."
Or if Nader supporters had voted for the country instead of self-righteously for the cult-figure they worshipped.
January 10, 2008 1:39 PM | Reply | Permalink
(Since others don't seem to have any problems double or even triple posting their own talking points of choice here when it suits them, whether they're even on topic or not, I suppose I'll do the same, although my talking points don't include any juicy or spurious allegations meant to damage a particular candidate's campaign or reputation, although it does include actual facts that some might consider pesky.)
I'm glad to hear about this endorsement. And Obama hasn't lost the slightest bit of "momentum," IMHO. The way the New Hampshire story is being spun--huge surprise victory for Clinton--seems really misleading to me, especially in light of the following two key points:
1) During most of the pre-primary run-up, Clinton was expected to win NH in a landslide, so really the more natural story here is the one about how little of a margin she managed to hold in the popular voting, given her early clear advantage in the race.
2) Clinton didn't actually win more delegate votes than Obama, and since ultimately the delegate votes are what count, the claim that she won NH at all is pretty specious. She won the popular vote in NH, apparently. But just as in the General Election, popular votes aren't what really matter. The real story is that Obama is in the lead in terms of pledged delegates at this point in the Primary Race. Yet, that story is getting coverage nowhere. Even Obama supporters haven't been quick to point this fact out for some reason.
But then I'm solidly in the Obama camp, so I'm biased. Still, it seems like an odd way for the punditry and press to cover what from my POV was really a disappointing tie finish in a state previously referred to as Clinton's "firewall."
January 10, 2008 1:40 PM | Reply | Permalink
Liam: "You want to toss around that bogus misogynist smear against John Kerry when Hillary has knowingly stayed married to the biggest Misogynist of them all."
You need to find a dictionary and look up the meaning of misogynist, because you clearly don't know it.
January 10, 2008 1:41 PM | Reply | Permalink
Still, it seems like an odd way for the punditry and press to cover what from my POV was really a disappointing tie finish in a state previously referred to as Clinton's "firewall."
Anonymous knows where the "spin cycle" is, even if Clinton doesn't!
January 10, 2008 1:45 PM | Reply | Permalink
Anonymous wrote on January 10, 2008 1:36 PM:
Obama maintains his relationship with Rezko was "above board and legal" but has admitted bad judgment, calling his decision to involve Rezko "a bone-headed mistake."
Geez -- this man is capale of having judgement? This must be a right wing republican smear. I know Obama. He is a saint. He is born with good judgement. He can walk on water, make water wine, and cries a river for katrina. This is not true. I don't believe it!!
---- I meant "this man is capable of having bad judgement" not "this man is capale of having judgement". LOL
January 10, 2008 1:45 PM | Reply | Permalink
Only a Misogynist Pig would treat woman as his personal Kleenex the way Bill Clinton always has.
Hillary has always accepted it. Hell, even Doctor Phil would be screaming at her to get real, and leave the serial Bimbo man.
Now, Hillary is going to be such a strong leader. Right, hell she let Bill treat her like crap for the past 35 years.
Do you think that World Leaders will not be aware of that, and will feel that she is really a tough cookie that no one should mess with, when they know that Bill always behaved lik she was nothing but a weak enabler.
January 10, 2008 1:47 PM | Reply | Permalink
No matter what you think of him, Kerry is very important as a symbol of establishment saying 'Obama is experienced enough' to all the Dems who are tempted to make the same kind of 'pragmatic' but losing choice for Hillary that they made for Kerry in 2004. I was a big supporter of Bill Clinton, but if the current Clinton camp pulls this off by sliming Obama, I might actually stomach a McCain vote against Hillary in November. And I suspect there are enough independent oriented Democrats like myself who might be considering the same. Go Obama!
January 10, 2008 1:50 PM | Reply | Permalink
No matter what you think of him, Kerry is very important as a symbol of establishment saying 'Obama is experienced enough' to all the Dems who are tempted to make the same kind of 'pragmatic' but losing choice for Hillary that they made for Kerry in 2004. I was a big supporter of Bill Clinton, but if the current Clinton camp pulls this off by sliming Obama, I might actually stomach a McCain vote against Hillary in November. And I suspect there are enough independent oriented Democrats like myself who might be considering the same. Go Obama!
January 10, 2008 1:51 PM | Reply | Permalink
Kathleen Seelye in the NYT today:
"Buried in the exit polls from Tuesdayโs New Hampshire primary is a curious artifact: the number 46. Thatโs the percent of New Hampshire voters who believed that Senator Barack Obama was the most likely Democrat to defeat a Republican in November.
The odd thing is that only 36 percent named Senator Hillary Clinton the most electable, and she was actually getting elected that very moment.
How can it be, given that more people actually voted for her than for him, that more view Mr. Obama as most electable?"
January 10, 2008 1:57 PM | Reply | Permalink
Liam:
Totally not surprising that you, a loud and truth-deficient Obama supporter, would pull out Republican talking points to attack Hillary as "misogynist". And cite conservative icon Dr. Phil to boot! Dollars to donuts you voted for GWB in 2000.
It's becoming clearer by the day that Obama has a problem connecting with traditional Democratic voters. His prospects in the primary are directly tied to getting Republicans and independents to vote Democrat.
January 10, 2008 1:59 PM | Reply | Permalink
Anonymous at 1:57pm,
How can it be, given that more people actually voted for her than for him, that more view Mr. Obama as most electable?
To answer your question, 1) perhaps the fawning media coverage (similar to the coverage of Kerry in the primaries) might have something to do with that?; and 2) perhaps the fact that Obama's primary strategy is, by his campaign's own admission, ignoring Democrats in favor of trying to get independents and Republicans to turn out for him?
January 10, 2008 2:01 PM | Reply | Permalink
I'm a Clinton supporter, we're a military family, and if Obama supporters don't want the John Kerry endorsement, we'll take it.
John Kerry is a true war hero and deserves to be a leading voice in the Democratic Party.
However, I think stepping on Obama's Nevada Culinary endorsement was a GIGANTIC mistake, and it shows why Kerry didn't do as well as he should have in 2004. (I agree 100% that the 2004 election was stolen in Ohio.)
For any marketing people (regardless of who you support) I think you will agree that the Clinton campaign truly understands the psychology of an election.
Example:
After Clinton's NH win, she made the morning shows to prove that she wasn't exhausted...
And then got off the stage while the entire world talked about her win.
And watched Fox News eat crow after crow after crow.
No one stepped on her message, including her... except Terry McA to let us all know that she out-raised Obama in the 4th quarter.
Brilliant psychology.
Kerry's endorsement stepping on Obama's major NV endorsement?
NOT brilliant psychology.
Now the talk is all about Kerry, and, among Obama supporters themselves, it's even about whether it helps or hurts the campaign! Not good.
Also, I doubt Kerry's 3 million names will hurt Clinton, as I have a feeling Hillary already has the same names.
I believe this endorsement was strictly to jab at John Edwards, in time for SC, because John Edwards will need to knock Obama off his game in SC in order for Edwards to grab any of O's "change" voters. John Kerry is not in favor of Edwards going on, imo.
My prediction is that JK will come out "in combat mode" FOR Obama, AND against JE. One of the reasons I don't support Edwards is because I believe HE betrayed Kerry, not the other way around. I think Kerry agrees with me.
I hope Hillary Clinton just stays out of SC and campaigns elsewhere. I'm ready for JE and his supporters to be gone. I think Kerry can do the job, while proving to Edwards what it looks like to actually fight for a candidate.
As far as these types of posts:
"Ahem. The GOP wants Hillary because it'll be a bloodbath, the Gingrich years all over again. Yippee."
The Clintons WON the bloodbaths. I know; I was a Gingrich Republican. And I still think a hell of a lot of him.
Gingrich didn't feed the bloodbaths; the Rightwing Slime Machine did. Gingrich is not part of the Rightwing Slime Machine, imo. If you're afraid of the Rightwing Slime Machine, I'd leave the arena right now if I were you.
1) There will be attempted bloodbaths, no matter who the D candidate is. You are really naive if you expect to avoid them. Plus, you empower them by letting them have a say in your choice of candidate.
2) If we stick together after the primary, I guarantee that ANY Democrat will beat ANY Republican.
One of the reason I support Hillary is because of the Rightwing Slime Machine's attempt to make politics a blood sport. That reality doesn't scare me, OR them.
FACTS:
The Republicans LOST seats during the last bloodbath in 1998.
And Gingrich resigned.
And then Bob Livingston resigned.
And then Henry Hyde was publicly exposed as the hypocrite that he was.
And Bill Clinton's poll numbers went UP.
And Hillary Clinton's poll numbers went UP.
And, I repeat, the Democrats WON seats in 1998, in the midst of the bloodbath.
Predictions:
Huckabee will win SC big, SC will be a setback for McCain, and Ron Paul is going to keep making the GOP acknowledge that he exists, as he will take his solid 8-10% of the vote from the rest of the field,
For Dems? I have no idea.
In my humble opinion, we should have just let SC secede, instead of fighting a civil war in order to keep them in the fold.
Great place to visit; racist place to live. (And, yes, I've lived there.)
January 10, 2008 2:07 PM | Reply | Permalink
Now we have the Hillary Horde smearing any Democrats, such as myself, for supporting another Democrat, and calling us Republicans. Aren't they the ones that are engaging in Rove like smear tactics. Primaries are where people of the same party get to vote for different candidates in their own party.
The Shrillary Chorus wants to have only a coronation, where no other voices are heard. F off you bunch of Clinton Cult Wankers. You can not handle the truth about your beloved Hillary. She has stayed married to the King of the Bimbo Olympics. That means that she is not a strong person, but instead has a 35 record of enabling Wandering Willie, and his wayward wee Willie.
January 10, 2008 2:11 PM | Reply | Permalink
just as in the General Election, popular votes aren't what really matter. The real story is that Obama is in the lead in terms of pledged delegates at this point in the Primary Race.
So much for your "movement" candidate. Wake up and smell the coffee, Children of the Corn, Obama is politics as usual -- and so are you.
Not that there's anything wrong with that!
January 10, 2008 2:27 PM | Reply | Permalink
"stepping on Obama's Nevada Culinary endorsement was a GIGANTIC mistake, and it shows why Kerry didn't do as well as he should have in 2004."
Excellent point. John Kerry is a war hero who possesses a long history of service to this country. Though I doubt it influences voters much, his endorsement is good news for Obama, esp. in regards to gaining superdelegate support and big Dem donors.
BUT....geez louise Kerry has a political tin ear. Couldn't he wait a day (or half a day) and let the Culinary Union news dominate for awhile?
January 10, 2008 2:37 PM | Reply | Permalink
So much for your "movement" candidate. Wake up and smell the coffee, Children of the Corn, Obama is politics as usual -- and so are you.
So does the gig pay well, or are you just a volunteer? You're comment sure sounds like it's chock full of campaign worker sound-bites, but maybe I'm reading it wrong.
In any case, the take-home point about Obama's actually leading in the delegate count at this point in the primaries is that the media and Clinton camps are completely ignoring the fundamental realities of the primary process in order to bolster the story line that Clinton made some kind of break-out comeback in NH. That's what I call politics as usual at its very worst--massive coordinated efforts to shape public perception in a particular direction are exactly what this country doesn't need anymore of right now. Right now, it needs as much straight talk and reality-driven thinking as possible. Sure, there's some spinning of primary outcomes being done by all the campaigns (some more than others), but to completely misrepresent what by even the very best of measures was a tie as an out-of-the-ballpark victory is so stunningly manipulative and politically calculating that it doesn't bode well for what we can expect coming out of the Clinton camp in the future, in my opinion. As for your other comments, I think we should be looking at this primary process as adults with a serious responsibility to make the right choices for our children's futures here, not as overenthusiastic sports fans, rooting for their favorite team. At least, that's how I see it. Feel free to fling around some more crushing insights like the "Children of the Corn" barb, though, if you like.
January 10, 2008 2:56 PM | Reply | Permalink
The Culinary Union endorsement has already been through the one day News Cycle. It was not going to get reported on the major media again today. Besides, it only applies to Nevada, and Obama has to keep getting attention in S. Carolina, and other places. The Kerry announcement gives him a fresh way to garner Major Media attention again today. It was the right move, and was not determined by John Kerry, so enough with the tin ear rubbish. Campaigns plan the timing of such endorsement announcements, and arrange for the press conference coverage of the event.
It has not stepped on any other big breaking positive news about the Obama campaign. The timing is just right.
January 10, 2008 2:56 PM | Reply | Permalink
"Totally not surprising that you, a loud and truth-deficient Obama supporter, would pull out Republican talking points to attack Hillary as "misogynist".
I don't believe Liam was accusing Hillary of msiogyny, he was talking about Bill.
"You're really trying to claim that Kerry lost the election because of Edwards(!)? And you're really trying to claim that Edwards watered down Kerry's message? Or that Edwards pushed for a weaker stance on the Iraq War than Kerry?
You've really bought into this Bush Newspeak thing haven't you?"
">">http://www.nytimes.com/2007/11/21/us/politics/21edwards.html?pagewanted=print,/url>
January 10, 2008 3:01 PM | Reply | Permalink
Steev: So does the gig pay well, or are you just a volunteer? You're comment sure sounds like it's chock full of campaign worker sound-bites, but maybe I'm reading it wrong.
Nope, that was me, in my haste forgot to add my name to the post. Not a campaign worker, yes a Hillary fan, and while I'll be really bummed for awhile if she doesn't win, eventually I'll get over it and happily vote for Obama should he be our nominee.
I agree, we should be looking at this primary process as adults with a serious responsibility to make the right choices for our children's futures here, not as overenthusiastic sports fans, rooting for their favorite team.
There are plenty of people who have very well thought out reasons for voting for Obama. Good for them. I have thought of many good reasons to vote for Obama, and for a long time was on the fence. But as another poster mentioned the other day, there is something a bit starry-eyed and "Peoples Temple-y" about many of his supporters. They're the Children of the Corn (okay, it was a lame Iowa joke too).
Obama's not "not politics as usual," he's not beyond partisanship. If he was really above politics, he wouldn't be...in politics.
I embrace politics, and partisanship, and I am pretty sure Obama does too. At least I hope he does, if he ends up as our nominee. I want a fighter, someone tough as nails.
Imelda Blahnik
January 10, 2008 3:14 PM | Reply | Permalink
Well, I respectfully disagree with your support for Clinton, but I thank you for engaging me directly and taking the time to discuss the issues a little more even-handedly (and with a more personal touch).
I'd like to be able to say I could enthusiastically support Clinton, too, were she the Democratic nominee at the end of the day. But that would be a bitter, bitter pill for me to swallow, because I truly believe that, despite all the good the Clinton administration did, many of its policies inadvertently laid the groundwork for the Bush power grab and even helped to advance the broader right-wing agendas of draining the revenue base for government services, further undermining the strength of unions, weakening consumer protections, etc. (Clinton's welfare reforms, emphasis on market-friendly solutions, pro-globalization policies, etc.) And I believe Clinton herself is far too cozy with corporate America and the military-industrial complex.
Still, I'm sure I could hold my nose and choke down the pill if it was the only alternative to voting republican. That's saying something positive, right?
January 10, 2008 4:06 PM | Reply | Permalink
I wonder if Barama really wants the endorsement of a loser like Kerry.
January 10, 2008 4:59 PM | Reply | Permalink
As I read and have read the books and articles concerning the arranged marriage between Kerry and Edwards one thing sticks out.
Who did Kerry really want as his VP and why didn't he push it?
Of the three current Democratic candidates there is only one who has moved beyond the handlers.
1. Where did the three announce their candidacy and why?
2. Which candidate of the three was the first to put forward specific plans..knowing that the sooner you put something up the more time there is for attacks?
Which candidate "wasted" campaign time on a poverty tour?
Which candidate has forced the other two campaigns in giving more specifics on health care?
Which candidate has forced the other two in talking about entrenched interests?
A simple question...
If Edwards was not..and will remain in these Primaries what would they be looking like? What would they be talking about?
1992 and 1996 is Not looking forward.
2004 is Not looking forward.
you know me and songs
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Rp6-wG5LLqE
January 10, 2008 5:17 PM | Reply | Permalink
What happened to the Andrew Cuomo story? Apparently it has vanished from the TPM site.
January 10, 2008 5:34 PM | Reply | Permalink
If nothing else, this endorsement has made Barack the #1 story going into the weekend. Or at least stolen airtime that might have otherwise gone to Hillary. Her NH win already seems like old news.
I wonder if this might have done Barack more good before the NH vote. Wouldn't Kerry have helped Barack more in the northeast? Seems odd rolling out a Kerry endorsement in front of SC, but what do I know...
January 10, 2008 7:19 PM | Reply | Permalink
I thought Kerry ran WITH Edwards in 2004...WTF????
Didn't the Clintons raise lots of $$$ for Kerry in '04??? again..WFT??
I guess all the die hard Hilliary fans will finally take the Kerry/Edwards '04 bumper stickers off their Honda Civics.
January 10, 2008 11:29 PM | Reply | Permalink
"Sure, there's some spinning of primary outcomes being done by all the campaigns (some more than others), but to completely misrepresent what by even the very best of measures was a tie as an out-of-the-ballpark victory is so stunningly manipulative and politically calculating that it doesn't bode well for what we can expect coming out of the Clinton camp in the future, in my opinion."
Good point. Bill's working the refs ("fairy tale") rant in the days before NH was a low point for him, IMO. And you've got to go pretty fucking low to reach Bill Clinton's low points.
If the Clintons had any class at all, he would be keeping a very low profile. It's unseemly for a former president to be this involved in a primary campaign, even if his wife is a candidate.
January 10, 2008 11:37 PM | Reply | Permalink
nogo, there are 5 democratic candidates, and 99% of the voters left to vote.
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