Poll: Hillary Barely Ahead In NH, McCain Shoots Ahead Of Romney

Comments (23)

dajafi wrote on January 2, 2008 7:46 PM:

I've had the theory all along that Obama, the Democrat I support, and McCain, the Republican I'd find least objectionable, are in each other's way in New Hampshire by virtue of competing for the same votes of the independents. That both gained so dramatically in this poll, however, suggests this isn't necessarily the case.

And, like I imagine everyone here, I can't see enough polls showing Il Douche's collapse. Couldn't happen to a nicer guy or more deserving public figure.

nogo war wrote on January 2, 2008 8:06 PM:

Pick a poll any poll, put it back in the deck now shuffle the deck..

http://www.southernpoliticalreport.com/storylink_1231_103.aspx

brm wrote on January 2, 2008 8:27 PM:

The end of the Bush-Clinton era begins tomorrow in IA and finishes next week in NH
Bye Bye Goldwater Girl

moondancer wrote on January 2, 2008 8:41 PM:

The one thing that sticks in my mind was a diary at Kos by a Obama volunteer in NH. She said they'd all meet at the same bar frequently. What occurred to her quickly was that Edwards vols were fierce warriors with no doubts. No other vols were. They all had doubts about there candidate and even wavered on their own vote. She said it was the same on her canvasses. If they were Edwards voters, they never switched.
That is hard to measure in a poll, but is something as a candidate I'd feel good about.

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Mark wrote on January 2, 2008 8:48 PM:

If I were a voter in New Hampshire, I'd be a bit annoyed that Fox News is excluding Ron Paul from its debate this weekend, even though he's beating both Huckabee and Thompson (who doesn't even register) in this poll.

paul wrote on January 2, 2008 9:04 PM:

Now why would Edwards supporters be so solid and without doubt, when Edwards himself has switched positions so many times it makes your head spin. Some people just dig the rhetoric, man. If he attacks the baddies, then he must be good - so what if he doesn't have a successful track record and in fact when he was in office he took positions that were in direct opposition to where he is now. He bought his way into the Senate, to give him stature, didn't run again realizing he wouldn't win, then switched all his positions to appeal to a Democratic base. He's the left wing Romney.

Dan wrote on January 2, 2008 9:14 PM:

There were two other NH polls out this afternoon both with a significant McCain surge.

kjoe wrote on January 2, 2008 9:27 PM:

Hillary was just on tv saying she is "Fired up, Ready to go."

Also, she bragged that she had spent a lot of time in Arkansas, but she was not as dumb as Huckabee.

jsb wrote on January 2, 2008 9:59 PM:

Eric, you failed to mention the margin of error for the poll-- a relatively large 4.9%, which among other things meands that Edwards and Obama are statistically tied in the poll.
www.franklinpierce.edu/pages/institutes/poll/

MelisaMontana wrote on January 2, 2008 10:22 PM:

If we want the person who has proven she can stand by the longest and look the other way when others are behaving badly --- then Hillary is our gal. She has poor judgement and could not carry the vote --- at least not here in the West. Wake up early-state voters.
~ Melisa

Capemh wrote on January 2, 2008 11:19 PM:

Do you know why Edwards people are so resolute? It is because he isn't parsing, he is very direct. Some people like that.
Yeah, I know that he has changed his mind about a lot of issues. That's what happens as time moves on, situations change, new information comes in. That's what happens in the real world.
You may not believe him, hell, I'm not sure that I do. But he is talking like the man I want as my next President, none of the others are even saying those same things, so I know they aren't going to do them.
This namby-pamby Rodney King stuff about getting along and compromising is loser talk. Democrats have tried that in the last two elections and ended up on the outside looking in.
We need a fighter, not another college professor or professional compromiser.
You can see it in his and his wife's eyes, sincerity and strength. He's not someone who is already telegraphing that he is willing to go halfway, so halfway becomes the starting point in the negotiations. Nor someone who's only goal in life is power to the point that they have no center.
Yes, I am voting for John Edwards, and I am not changing my mind.

Greg DeLassus wrote on January 2, 2008 11:20 PM:

I notice that running alonside this poll in the tracker in the upper right of the screen is another from Suffolk Univ which shows McCain with a wide lead over Romney and Clinton with a wide lead over Obama. In other words, we have one poll calling it a statistical tie in NH and another calling it a rout for Clinton. Needless to say, I prefer Franklin Pierce's findings, but reality is not determined by my own preferences. Is there a good reason why one ought to trust one of these polls more than the other?

DTM wrote on January 2, 2008 11:49 PM:

Greg DeLassus,

It is probably worth noting that the other recent polls in NH show it much closer between Obama and Clinton. So I am not quite sure what is going on in the Suffolk poll (it may not be wrong, but it is off on its own right now).

nogo war wrote on January 3, 2008 3:50 AM:

"It the economy stupid"

http://thecaucus.blogs.nytimes.com/2008/01/02/economists-warm-up-to-edwards/

Full letter and list here

http://www.johnedwards.com/news/press-releases/20080102-economists/

nogo war wrote on January 3, 2008 3:50 AM:

"It the economy stupid"

http://thecaucus.blogs.nytimes.com/2008/01/02/economists-warm-up-to-edwards/

Full letter and list here

http://www.johnedwards.com/news/press-releases/20080102-economists/

nogo war wrote on January 3, 2008 3:50 AM:

"It the economy stupid"

http://thecaucus.blogs.nytimes.com/2008/01/02/economists-warm-up-to-edwards/

Full letter and list here

http://www.johnedwards.com/news/press-releases/20080102-economists/

nogo war wrote on January 3, 2008 3:56 AM:

glitches in da system with all these multiples..
not intended..looks like it happened to others above..

John Crandell wrote on January 3, 2008 4:27 AM:

Moondancer's allusions - "vols were fierce warriors with no doubts. No other vols were. They all had doubts about there (sic) candidate and even wavered on their own vote. She said it was the same on her canvasses. If they were Edwards voters, they never switched.
That is hard to measure in a poll, but is something as a candidate I'd feel good about."

In '68 I canvassed for RFK, read Halberstam's 'Quagmire' and shortly ended up in 'Nam myself. The other day I read the NYT profile of the North Carolina native and his wife. Frankly, I haven't felt like I feel now since June 4th of campaign '68. If he wins today, all he has to do in his appearance at campaign headquarters is to simply ask why Cheney hasn't been impeached, despite all of the mendacity of the last six years. THAT, plus a four or five point margin would set off an earthquake.

Richard L. Adlof wrote on January 3, 2008 5:57 AM:

Oh look! If it were up to New Hampshire today . . . Both parties would be lead by a right-wing Senator . . . How cute.

DTM wrote on January 3, 2008 8:11 AM:

I have to say that is one of the odder political ploys of the closing days. It is not like there are only thirty economists in the country. In fact, given some of the people whom the list treats as "leading" economists, there is probably a pool of thousands of similarly-situated economists.

Richard L. Adlof wrote on January 3, 2008 10:53 AM:

As folk come to know Clinton, they flock somewhere else . . . I wonder why that is?

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