Obama: Hillary Voters Will Support Me When I'm Nominee
Obama expands a bit on his running argument that he's more electable than HIllary in an interesting interview with CBN News' David Brody:
Brody: Will Hillary be a drag for down-ticket races as a presidential candidate?Obama: I think there is no doubt that she has higher negatives than any of the remaining democratic candidates. That's just a fact and there are some who will not vote for her. If you look at the results in Nevada, for example, she eked out the popular vote victory over me, but I ended up winning more delegates because she got almost all of her votes from Clark County, Las Vegas and some of the traditional democratic areas. We got votes there, but we also got votes in northern Nevada and rural conservative regions of the state that traditionally don't vote Democratic, but were excited about my campaign.
I have no doubt that once the nomination contest is over, I will get the people who voted for her. Now the question is can she get the people who voted for me? And I think that describes sort of one of the choices that people have, just a practical choice, as they move forward.
Thus the win of the delegate count in Nevada -- despite the loss of the popular contest -- becomes an argument for Obama's electability. I hadn't yet heard Obama make the case in quite these terms. (Via The Page.)















Hm, I guess I find this line of argument rather off-putting. This is not an argument to vote for Sen Obama so much as an argument to vote against Sen Clinton. That said, we have only a few weeks to close the gap, so maybe this is a case of nothing-to-lose. Here's hoping that this takes root in the minds of some democratic undecideds (or even weak Clinton supporters) and bears fruit.
January 22, 2008 5:23 PM | Reply | Permalink
Maybe thats because Hillary supporters aren't crazed nut jobs with no common sense.
Screw that...I'll NEVER vote for that LIAR now. Good luck winning the election without the actual democrats Obama.
January 22, 2008 5:23 PM | Reply | Permalink
Suggesting, or at least implying, that his voters would not vote for HRC... Not true in my case, but possibly true in the case of numerous others. I think I can count 6 of them off the top of my head (personal friends).
I'd be interested to see if this interview gets any play on national networks in the MSM. Also extremely interesting that this comment is played on CBN, which is the Christian Broadcasting Network, if I am not mistaken.
So, let's see. That means a cry of "Obama is a Republican" coming from HRC supporters in 3...2...1...
In response to that, did I really hear yesterday that HRC accused Obama of being in favor of "single-payer health insurance?"
That seems like a pretty liberal position to me that Republicans generally do not like. There I go again, however, expect logic from attack happy chickenhawks.
January 22, 2008 5:24 PM | Reply | Permalink
I am the man, they eat out of the palm of my hand, I am the greatest, I am Barack Obama...the next Reagan...
January 22, 2008 5:24 PM | Reply | Permalink
The insufferable arrogance of this one shows no end. O-Bomb-A's days are numbered. Can't wait.
January 22, 2008 5:24 PM | Reply | Permalink
Ladidem-
"Hillary supporters aren't crazed nut jobs with no common sense."
Prove it. Specifically with me, since you are implying that Obama supporters, like me, are.
January 22, 2008 5:25 PM | Reply | Permalink
Hillary showed why her negatives are so high last night. First, she once again distorted Obama's Reagan comment by claiming Obama said the Republicans had all the "good" idea. Then she takes glee in bickering with her rival.. Hillary seems to get off on fighting..
I don't understand why some people are so worried about Democrats having a fighter against a very weak opposition party. Bush rarely addressed criticisms and couldn't articulate much, but he won two elections because he appeared above the fray and more likeable.. He's the guy people wanted to a have beer with.
January 22, 2008 5:26 PM | Reply | Permalink
Ugh, the trogs are out in force. Anyone care to give me a logical argument to vote for HRC?
Anyone?
Please?
I really don't want to do my CrimPro homework.
January 22, 2008 5:27 PM | Reply | Permalink
ladidem,
How did Obama lie? She does have higher negatives than any other candidate in the race. Sorry if that doesn't fit your narrative. It's the truth.
January 22, 2008 5:28 PM | Reply | Permalink
Actually I plan on voting against her.
How can you vote for someone you hate?
The answer is you can't and you shouldn't.
January 22, 2008 5:29 PM | Reply | Permalink
JTinSoCal
Did you just say that Obama is like Bush?? This is supposed to be a good thing? We want another cardboard cut out who can't articulate much?
Also, thats just pure BS, he won two elections because they fought dirty.
What fantasy land are you living in???
January 22, 2008 5:29 PM | Reply | Permalink
I haven't heard Obama make that case etiher, but I've heard plenty of other people. Obama's support in areas of Nevada that are less-tradionally dem strongholds is certainly a plus for him.
Hillary's high negatives are also well-known and thoroughly discussed.
January 22, 2008 5:30 PM | Reply | Permalink
JTSC-
I think the conventional wisdom is:
"Democrats need a fighter because they are so pissed off at all of the sh&tty things that have happened the last 8 years."
You make some pretty good points, there. I'm surprised Obama's rhetoric of unity and "above-it-all" hasn't worked in a similar manner on teh Democrats. Of course, some of us are not so easily swayed as others.
Of course, when we are talking about the choice between extremely similar platforms and ideas, well, character counts.....
I let that sleeping dog lie, for the interim at least.
January 22, 2008 5:30 PM | Reply | Permalink
I think the one with with superior judgment and a consistent record of successfully taking power and influence away from lobbyists has the most credibility. If you're thinking about current head-to-heads you need to start thinking ahead. Credibility will matter when it comes determining which direction things will get driven over the course of a tough general election campaign.
January 22, 2008 5:30 PM | Reply | Permalink
He's lying about his record, his lobbyist state chair in NH, his relationship with the slum lord, his 'universal' healthcare plan....
January 22, 2008 5:30 PM | Reply | Permalink
Sure they will
And just as surely, we won't
McCain-Lieberman will beat the Clintons like a drum
January 22, 2008 5:30 PM | Reply | Permalink
Pacc! Come out from under your bridge to renew those predictions of Obama's imminent demise you've been making since last spring. Long time no post. I thought maybe you'd been exposed to sunlight and had turned to stone.
January 22, 2008 5:32 PM | Reply | Permalink
Note for All:
See Katie at 5:29. Compare against JTSC at 5:26. That is EXACTLY how HRC and friends spun BHO's Reagan comments!
Katie: Please do not insult my intelligence with that drivel. I saw the name Barack Obama (or Hillary or JRE for that matter) anywhere in this paragraph:
"I don't understand why some people are so worried about Democrats having a fighter against a very weak opposition party. Bush rarely addressed criticisms and couldn't articulate much, but he won two elections because he appeared above the fray and more likeable.. He's the guy people wanted to a have beer with."
January 22, 2008 5:33 PM | Reply | Permalink
Shorter Barak Hussein Obama:
HRC draws the support of real Dems.
Obaidiots are nothing but Rethugicans at heart.
January 22, 2008 5:33 PM | Reply | Permalink
Katie,
No. Nice try, and lol at the liberal paranoia. Yes, the GOP fought dirty through their surrogates, but the Dems fought back too. Bush won cause he was more likeable than Kerry & Gore and cause people felt more secure with not changing horses in the middle of the race. The circumstances are different now, but likeability is very important.
January 22, 2008 5:34 PM | Reply | Permalink
Ladidem-
I assume you have proof that will back up those claims? Can you please provide it, so I can weigh the evidence?
January 22, 2008 5:34 PM | Reply | Permalink
Tapper-
I am nothing more than a Rethuglican at heart? Care to substantiate that?
January 22, 2008 5:35 PM | Reply | Permalink
Repeated from another post:
Alright people, listen up. I am a true-blue, Obama-Kool Aid drinker. I have seen the light and I am confident of his victory, as are we all.
But if, by some mischance, he loses and Hillary wins the nomination, I, as a lawyer and a Democrat, am begging you to march your ass down to the polling place, put a clothespin on your nose, close your eyes, vote for her and then just spend the next four to eight years drinking mauraritas with crushed Vicodin on the rim if that's what it takes.
The next administration will last four to eight years, tops. The Supreme Court, federal court of appeals and district court judges the next president picks will be on the bench until they die or decide to quit. The Republicans built up a huge backlog of judicial vacancies in the 90s by blocking Bill's nominees. Bush got to fill all of those, as well as all the seats that opened up during his own presidency. In effect, they got 14 years worth of judicial picks. Worse, actually, because they got to fill all of those seats in a much shorter, and later, period of time, which will drastically effect the rate at which they age out of the system.
Eight more years of Republican judicial picks does not bear thinking about.
On SCOTUS, Justice Stevens is 87. Justices Ginsberg is 75. Scalia and Kennedy are 72. Breyer is 70 in August. Replace four or, god forbid, all five of those with hard right pro-authoritarian forty somethings like Alito and Roberts and the country is screwed.
I repeat, if she wins the nomination, do not stay home, do not vote third party and do not vote for a Republican, even a slightly less horrible one like McCain. The federal judiciary has more inherent capacity to fuck this country up than all the half-witted twits we could ever put into the White House combined. Indeed, it was the Supreme Court that put the current half-witted twit into the White House in the first place.
The pain of a Hillary presidency will pass in four to eight years. The pain of McCain, Romney or, God forbid, Huckabee judicial picks will go on for decades.
January 22, 2008 5:36 PM | Reply | Permalink
"Obama: Hillary Voters Will Support Me When I'm Nominee"
That is too funny. Coming from the guy that lost the last two contests. Some might call it hubris but I guessing he's 'hoping' maybe he'll win one sometime.
January 22, 2008 5:36 PM | Reply | Permalink
As I told Greg last night, save your treacly trope for Gravel's supporters. Clinton wins the nomination, she fights McCain on her own
The Democratic will be the end of Bill's forlorn ego and pitiable dreams of Legacy
January 22, 2008 5:37 PM | Reply | Permalink
Republicans are on their knees praying for HRC. From Byron York this week:
I went to Barack Obama’s rally here, on Sunday night, with a Republican friend who had never seen the Illinois senator in action before. Watching the crowd of more than 3,000 fill up the convention center, watching the people send up waves of energy to Obama, and watching him play off that energy in a speech that was one of the best political performances anyone has seen this year, my Republican friend said, simply, "Oh, shit." He recalled the scene from Jaws, in which the small seaside town’s sheriff realizes how big the shark he’s tracking truly is, and says, "We’re gonna need a bigger boat."
Given the electoral map we need younger voters, independents and maybe even crossover appeal to some disaffected Republicans to secure a mandate and create some coattail effect at the Congressional level.
If HRC could produce this better than Obama, I'd make the practical choice, ignore my personal preference for Obama and vote for her. The opposite is true.
January 22, 2008 5:37 PM | Reply | Permalink
Obama: " . . . but were excited about my campaign."
More delusional thinking by the Obamaster.
The only conservative votes he got were a relatively insignificant (in general election terms) number of GOP Hillary Haters who will do anything to disrupt her campaign, but who won't come within a country mile of voting for a Democrat in November.
"I have no doubt that once the nomination contest is over, I will get the people who voted for her."
He's not even going to get most of the people who would vote for Edwards and I'm living proof of that.
"Now the question is can she get the people who voted for me?"
This is along the lines of "you'd better vote for me now because my wife won't let me run again and this is your last best chance for a while to elect a black man."
We already know that the supporters of Nader-lite Ganja Guy would do to Hillary the same thing that they did to Gore in 2000 and Kerry in 2004.
Which is another reason for Hillary and Edwards supporters to not vote for Obama if he gets the nomination - payback is a b*tch and no one deserves it more than the "neo-progressiver-than-thous."
January 22, 2008 5:37 PM | Reply | Permalink
Democrats are paranoid and have played defense for the past few decades.. They continually let the conservatives frame the debate.
Opportunties like 2008 rarely come around in politics. The GOP's very weak. There's no need to get into another pissing contest with them. Dems should define the debate. Unity's should be the theme, not "we need a fighter."
January 22, 2008 5:38 PM | Reply | Permalink
ladidem,
Am I to understand that you are turned off by politicians who lie?
That's Rich. Mark Rich.
For the record, he didn't lie about any of those things.
1) His record
What do you mean?
2) His lobbiest state chair
Co-chair, was a registered state lobbiest (not federal). Obama, if you haven't noticed, is running for federal office.
3) His relationship with the slum lord
Do yourself a favor and educate yourself on this before you embarrass yourself further
4) His "universal" healthcare plan
None of the plans are universal, Obama's plan just doesn't enforce a mandate to purchase insurance. Read up.
January 22, 2008 5:38 PM | Reply | Permalink
What an ass.
Obama can't count on my vote if he's going to be slimy like that.
January 22, 2008 5:40 PM | Reply | Permalink
LadiDem,
Looks like Brad's just invited you to go skinny dipping in his BushClinton sewer.
January 22, 2008 5:41 PM | Reply | Permalink
The real message of BO's comments here is that Hillary's supporters are adults while his are children.
HRC's backers are prepared, if their candidate doesn't get the nomination, to support Barack. They're prepared to do so because they understand that it's better to have a Democrat naming Supreme Court justices than have a Republican doing it. It's better having a Democrat sit in judgment of legislation rather than a GOP stooge.
But, for some reason, BO supporters can't bring themselves to do the adult thing. Their position, apparently, is that the election must either go their way -- or they'll do what they can to elect a Republican.
And honestly, that's one reason I can't in good conscience vote for Barack Obama -- at least in the primary stage. His backers are such whiny and dishonest children that it cautions me against the candidate himself.
January 22, 2008 5:41 PM | Reply | Permalink
I should say that I find it off-putting when Obama makes this argument himself. I have actually made this same argument to friends (with good effect in many instances). I do not believe that Sen Clinton can win the general election. For a brief while in late 2007 I was beginning to think otherwise, but I see now that I was right in the beginning - Sen Clinton can win the nomination but not the GE.
I just wish that Sen Obama did not take this approach himself, as it pulls him down in the mud with the rest of them. That said, I guess that by this point we have nothing left to lose. Either we close the gap between Obama and Clinton in the next two weeks or else she walks away with the nomination on Feb 5.
January 22, 2008 5:41 PM | Reply | Permalink
Anonymous-
Still not tired of trying to fact check HRC fans. Care to substantiate your claims? From what I have found on the internets and elsewhere, no one really knows who or why people in the rural areas broke for Obama. Or how many for that matter.
Perhaps you know! Please show me your evidence!
January 22, 2008 5:42 PM | Reply | Permalink
He's talking about independents and Republicans who crossed over to vote for him, not card carrying Democrats.
January 22, 2008 5:42 PM | Reply | Permalink
John,
Why don't you come over as well and wear my favorite blue dress?
January 22, 2008 5:43 PM | Reply | Permalink
Angry,
Yep pretty much. Bush was a poor candidate, who couldn't articulate, yet he won 2 elections by appearing above the fray and likeable. Obama's a far superior candidate and running on likeability and staying above fray shouldn't be equated into GOP characteristics.
January 22, 2008 5:43 PM | Reply | Permalink
Anonymous deathly afraid that Obama's telling the truth...not what you want to hear perhaps, but what you need to hear
There is no way that Obama's supporters will help the Clintons ...not after what they've done
You can bet the farm on it..take it from an Obama supporter
January 22, 2008 5:43 PM | Reply | Permalink
Thus the win of the delegate count in Nevada -- despite the loss of the popular contest -- becomes an argument for Obama's electability. I hadn't yet heard Obama make the case in quite these terms.
Yes, it is a novel approach to take - because the delegate count in caucus states is weighted toward the rural counties he won! Let's see how he does in California before deciding if that argument holds water.
January 22, 2008 5:43 PM | Reply | Permalink
joe martin: "Republicans are on their knees praying for HRC."
Only the stupid ones. McCain's campaign apparently believes that HRC is the far more formidable opponent. And I, for one, agree with that assessment.
Nominating BO is tantamount to surrendering the presidency to the GOP.
January 22, 2008 5:44 PM | Reply | Permalink
I, for one, won't feel too sad about voting Clinton if Obama loses the primaries. She's smart, capable, practical, has good advisors and, though Obama has staked out this territory, she's much better at working with Repubs when necessary than most people assume.
Negatives (for me):
- no vision for the country or the party
- no charisma (which means that her approval rating will drop whenever anything goes wrong)
- we've already had a Clinton (+2 Bushes; who's next, Jeb?)
- I just don't like her very much. Not the end of the world, but you it's a bummer to dislike a president from your own party.
I also worry about electability. Clinton will bring out repubs, who might otherwise stay home, and she won't get as many indies. That said, she's got better creds than Obama on the economy & security, which could be important against McCain, and you can count on her to triangulate to reach independents and moderates.
But I still hope that Obama pulls this out.
January 22, 2008 5:44 PM | Reply | Permalink
joe martin: "Given the electoral map we need younger voters, independents and maybe even crossover appeal to some disaffected Republicans to secure a mandate and create some coattail effect at the Congressional level."
I just can't get over how much this sounds like Bush in the summer and fall of 2000.
And any "crossover appeal" would vanish if Clinton were to lose the nomination; it's existence is simply another delusion brought on by the god-complex Obamaites are infused with.
And why exactly are Obama supporters wanting a coattail effect to get the same congressional Democrats they have exoriated time and again elected?
Gee, I wish they'd make up their minds: are congressional Democrats okay or not?
January 22, 2008 5:44 PM | Reply | Permalink
Obama -Don't you count on it. The majority of the Democratic political machinery is run by women of a certain age and despite your vaunted communication skills you set our teeth on edge.
There is a certain glibness and cruelty in your approach that turns us way off.
I keep wondering just what Michelle would think about having the Martin Luther King family in the White House.
January 22, 2008 5:44 PM | Reply | Permalink
c'mon hadenough, Hussein will probably take SC.
After that he's deep fried squirrel but hey, he can always throw his support to the Rethugicans.
angryvet, don't shoot the messenger. Hussein is the one suggesting you'll go for 1000 years in Iraq McCain.
How progressive!
January 22, 2008 5:45 PM | Reply | Permalink
Love Obama's comments -- there's nothing like being taken for granted. I can't wait until he's fighting for votes in primaries where independents *can't* vote, and then he can come back and tell all us angry liberals why we should vote for him.
As for the Clintons "exaggerating" his Reagan comments -- no, he didn't say the Republicans had all the "good ideas;" he just said that the Republican Party was the "party of ideas over the past 10 or 15 years." But it's the same kind of "exaggeration" that led Michelle Obama to claim that Bill Clinton characterized the entire Obama campaign as a "fairy tale," when Clinton was only talking about Obama's anti-war record. (And before you start talking about how very anti-war Obama is, you first have to explain why he voted for Condoleeza Rice.)
And still, after several days of this, Obama has done nothing to tell me -- angry liberal that I am -- that Ronald Reagan was a devastating scourge on this country. Nope, here he is, telling me that I'm stuck with him and I have nowhere to go but him.
January 22, 2008 5:45 PM | Reply | Permalink
He's talking about independents, Republicans and CARD CARRYING DEMOCRATS.
As I have said before
1. Straight demo every election since 1971
2. Campaigned for Humphrey, Carter, Mondale, Clinton(x2), Gore, Kerry and more downslate democrats than I can count
Will never vote for Hillary Clinton...not after this sorry performance
You may not like to hear it
But you will get used to it
January 22, 2008 5:46 PM | Reply | Permalink
Good grief, so he supports his unreasonable supporters, unity, just a word and this is all just a game. I want to support him but it just keeps getting harder, at least I'm not naive enough not to recognize he's as much a politician as her.
January 22, 2008 5:46 PM | Reply | Permalink
Just using California as the test because of its diverse population - rural, urban, all ethnicities, wide range of incomes. Also its huge delegate count could decide this thing. I don't know if they also weight the delegate count according to some formula as do the caucus states.
January 22, 2008 5:47 PM | Reply | Permalink
Bullshit
January 22, 2008 5:47 PM | Reply | Permalink
Sure, sure, sound advice, that. Nonetheless, I doubt that it will make much difference that we democrats vote Clinton in the GE. The trick to winning is not to get your own party to vote for you - it is to get independants. I just do not see Clinton bringing in as many of these as Obama will. I want the Democrat to win, even if the democrat is not my preferred candidate, but I have little confidence that Clinton actually will win if she is our nominee.
January 22, 2008 5:47 PM | Reply | Permalink
Well, I can see why HRC carries a certain segment of voters. The accusations of being wannabe Republicans is absurb. Just more evidence of how the ClintoCrats divide the party... This is not the way to build a majority.
January 22, 2008 5:48 PM | Reply | Permalink
john mc: "Looks like Brad's just invited you to go skinny dipping in his BushClinton sewer."
Yes, Obama supporters are all about the unity!
Guffawwwwwww!
January 22, 2008 5:48 PM | Reply | Permalink
Funny how the Hillary supporters always think it's about *someone else*. The Anyone-But-Hillary faction was almost non-existant just a month ago. Then Hillary's campaign started the racial attacks and the swiftboating and now the supporters of the other guy don't want to vote for her. Guess that's our fault though
January 22, 2008 5:48 PM | Reply | Permalink
Anna,
Can you square your comments with the fact that HRC has chosen Reagan as one of her "favorite Presidents" on her web site?
Show me some minimum level of consistency.
January 22, 2008 5:49 PM | Reply | Permalink
Pretty weak stuff here.
Republicans who caucused for me in January will vote for me over McCain in November? Really? I suppose if you think that nothing will change over the next 9 months, like negative Republican campaigning.
Obama has to do better than this if he wants to win the Dem nomination, let alone the general.
What most concerns me is that most of his campaign is built on inference rather than anything straight forward or direct.
I will appeal to Republicans (without saying I'm a Republican, wink, wink).
I am running/not running as the first black president, depending on whether it is the primary season or general election (and wink, wink, black people can't trust those Clintons because.... uh, well, YOU know).
I am running a campaign above politics (unless I need somebody to get down and dirty like JJ Jr., but that wasn't coordinated and I don't approve but I won't ditch him either, wink, wink).
I'm not attacking Hillary because she's a woman (but if she was a man, she wouldn't need to send her husband out to attack me, plus, she probably was crying because of her hair).
I'm experienced, but not in the wrong way, in the right way, not too much, not too little, just right.
I was always against the war and always hated Reagan and the Republicans ideas (except sometimes I have to make ambiguous remarks to pander to John Kerry's needs or a Republican audience, but that doesn't count and I shouldn't have to explain it either).
If I do it, it's not politics as usual.
January 22, 2008 5:49 PM | Reply | Permalink
Brad,
Just don't get it do you.
We've served our time in the Clintons plantation.
Your dress
Wear it yourself
January 22, 2008 5:49 PM | Reply | Permalink
I'm not sure what's so controversial here. Are folks really suggesting that if Obama is the nominee, that Democrats that voted for Clinton, Edwards or others won't vote for him? I find that hard to believe.
Likewise, to the extent that Obama has brought independents (like myself) and moderate Republicans over to his ledger, do folks really think they will support the Clintons?
Obviously no one can predict the future, but I don't think he's going out on a limb making this argument. Frankly, it's the centerpiece of his candidacy . . . his ability to broaden the reach of the Democratic Party.
January 22, 2008 5:49 PM | Reply | Permalink
john mccutchen: "Anonymous deathly afraid that Obama's telling the truth."
-------------------
I don't know whether this is directed to me. In case it is...
I'm not afraid Obama's telling the truth. I suspect he is. But 1) I'm not going to change my vote because Obama's supporters are engaging in electoral terrorism. My-way-or-the-highway ultimatums won't move me into the BO camp.
And 2) BO's claim here illustrates the fundamental childishness of BO and his supporters. Just look at the record: BO calls WJC frustrated and it's okay; HRC calls BO frustrated and suddenly what was once okay (when BO did it) is now beyond the pale.
A result of this exchange is BO supporters claiming that they can never vote for HRC. Why? Because she had the audacity to do exactly what the BO campaign already did. 'Cause it's okay for Barack to make snarky comments about frustration...but it's out of bounds for HRC to do the same.
It's all a bit reminiscent of the drug question. Okay to ask of Bill Clinton in '92 and George Bush in '00...but asking Obama the same questions that have been asked of previous candidates is racist and underhanded.
January 22, 2008 5:50 PM | Reply | Permalink
Tex...
Like I said. I am not here to tell you what you WANT to hear
I am an Obama supporter and I am here to tell you how it's gonna be
You don't like it
I don't much care
Get it now?
Laugh all you want
January 22, 2008 5:51 PM | Reply | Permalink
I think what Obama is saying is -- not that Hillary won't get Obama's Democratic supporters, but that she won't get some portion of his independent/Republican supporters.
Man, but Hillary supporters are sensitive! The least thing and they just go ballistic.
January 22, 2008 5:51 PM | Reply | Permalink
I would add that if Clinton wins the primary, any Democrat who doesn't vote for her in the general will sorely regret the decision if she loses. Four years later, with a solidly conservative supreme court, more insane international policies, even greater income disparities, no environmental policy, and still no health care, Clinton won't look so bad to you. If she wins the primary, and you don't vote for her in the general, I say shame on you. You're no better than the Naderites who gave us George W. Bush.
January 22, 2008 5:51 PM | Reply | Permalink
Anna,
I couldn't get over his bad logic long enough to feel taken for granted, but you are right -about it all.
January 22, 2008 5:51 PM | Reply | Permalink
Yeah, it is important to remember that he is talking about Independents and moderate Republicans.
However, I know there are Democrats around, including myself, who refuse to vote for Hillary if she is "our" nominee on account of her appalling GOP-style tactics. Maybe there are Hillbots that feel the same way about Obama, for some ridiculous reason, but I think Hillary is going to have the biggest Dem problem as well, ESPECIALLY against McCain. She is going to lose the following of people who can't stand how low she went, she may permanently lose the African American vote (many might just decide to stay home on election day after her and her campaign's race-baiting of the last few weeks), and many moderate Democrats who aren't happy with her will gravitate toward McCain. Add that to what Obama was talking about with I's and R's and Hillary has problems.
It is kind of silly to be talking about though, when the 800lb gorilla in the room is the fact that McCain will destroy her in a general election (last poll I saw had McCain flogging Clinton 51-39!!). That is that, end of story. Regardless of what you think of Hillary or Obama, the facts are, Obama is electable against McCain, with Hillary there is no way in hell. End of story.
January 22, 2008 5:51 PM | Reply | Permalink
If the Democrats do not have the good sense to retire the Clintons, godspeed
January 22, 2008 5:52 PM | Reply | Permalink
If the polls on this page are any indication...
http://barackforpresident08.blogspot.com/
... then Obama might be right. If she gets the nomination, Obama supporters are highly unlikely to vote for her.
January 22, 2008 5:52 PM | Reply | Permalink
Brad,
I don't give a shit who Hilary says her favorite presidents are. I wasn't going to vote for Hilary in the primary and would only vote for her in the GE if I had to.
All I care about is what Obama says.
Honestly, you Obama supporters can't defend him without saying "Hilary is worse."
Try -- and I know this is impossible for most of you -- to defend this on his own terms without using the word "Hilary" in your response.
January 22, 2008 5:52 PM | Reply | Permalink
Doubtful Obama wins the CA Dem primary. The demographics work against him, but he can easily win CA vs. a Republican. Where Obama can change the map is in the Midwest and Virginia. I'm skeptical of him changing the map in the southwest or Florida... Perhaps if he has Richardson on the ticket??
January 22, 2008 5:53 PM | Reply | Permalink
Not so anonymous are you?
Well, NEWSFLASH - do you really think I expect you to change your vote?
If you believe that you'll believe that there will be a Democratic party unified behind the Clintons in November
Your problem, not mine
January 22, 2008 5:54 PM | Reply | Permalink
Gengis,
What you said.
But substitute "Obama aupporters who don't vote for Clinton in the general"
to
"Clinton supporters who vote for her in spite of her non-viability with anyone outside part of the core of the party".
January 22, 2008 5:54 PM | Reply | Permalink
LynnDee: "she won't get some portion of his independent/Republican supporters."
---------------
What are the chances that Obama himself will get the votes of independents and Republicans in Nov?
About zero percent.
The GOP has gone easy on Barack till now...probably because he's their favored opponent. But they won't go easy on him if he's the nominee.
I fear Democrats and left-leaning independents will suffer a giant case of buyer's remorse if they make the mistake of making this guy the Democratic nominee.
January 22, 2008 5:55 PM | Reply | Permalink
I'm so sick of Obama playing the victim. Of course the more time he fills with his victim rant the less time he has to not tell us what his programs/ plans are. Hope is great, but it's not a platform.
Hillary has her own baggage but she wouldn't insult our intelligence by saying that voting 'present' is a protest vote. She also wouldn't try and put one past us by saying she didn't vote for the bankrupcy bill because it allowed interest rates that were too high, and then turn around and vote for one allowing even higher rates.
January 22, 2008 5:56 PM | Reply | Permalink
My political memory goes back to when Mrs. Bill was a Goldwater girl and I have never seen a party - either party - as bitterly divided since Chicago 1968
January 22, 2008 5:56 PM | Reply | Permalink
Note:
HRC did not vote on the 2005 Bankruptcy Bill. BHO is not the only one not voting on (now, obviously) critical votes.
Check the Senate Records.
January 22, 2008 5:58 PM | Reply | Permalink
The problem with the theory that the Republicans who voted Obama in the primary will stick with him in the general is that... drum roll please... they are Republicans.
Having gotten their rocks off voting against HRC as crossovers in a primary they'll scurry back to the McCain sewer.
And one last point: Hussein didn't limit his comment to Republicans and Indies did he?
But I can hear him now:
"Well I didn't say I wasn't only talking about Republicans..."
Oh the howls of outrage from the Obaidiots if Bill said HRC supporters would bolt the party if she lost the nomination... sheesh!
January 22, 2008 5:58 PM | Reply | Permalink
phew all the Clinton trolls are out in force after a long absence.
1) Americans will not electe Hillary Clinton over John McCain. he draws independents and she doesn't. this inference is played out in every head-to-head poll of candidates thus far.
2) should she win the election, if for instance McCain dies from old age on the campaign trail, her presidency will be nothing but a return to do-nothing partisan squabbling. anyone who thinks Hillary Clinton can push through the big bills she's basing some of her claims on with a united Republican congressional population is not so much drinking Kool-Aid as is drunk on Stupid Lager.
she's not electable and not capable of making the big changes we need. period. this is a valid point to bring up.
January 22, 2008 5:59 PM | Reply | Permalink
Greg: "Sen Clinton can win the nomination but not the GE."
Exactly what they said about Bill when he was trailing BOTH Perot and Bush 41.
LOL.
john mc: "There is no way that Obama's supporters will help the Clintons ...not after what they've done."
Exactly my point - despite all the claims to be for unity and reaching out, what the obnoxious Obama orthodoxy wants is to make everyone a part of their political religion or an axis of evil - just like Bush and his supporters.
Oh, the rich irony of it all!
They even pick up GOP talking points like "Marc Rich!"
Of course, they are so well-informed that they spell his name "Mark Rich."
Well, we always knew how informed Obamaites are.
----------------------
Voted for Anderson, Mondale, Dukakis, Clinton, Clinton, Gore, and Kerry.
Will never, ever vote for Obama, not so much because of him, but because of his supporters' hypocrisy, mendacity, arrogance, self-righteousness, and axis-of-evil mentality, of which I've had it up to here from Bush and his supporters.
Don't need another 8 years of that.
"Will never vote for Hillary Clinton...not after this sorry performance . . ."
Gee, and just the other day an Obama supporter was ranting about how no Obama supporters would ever say they wouldn't vote for the Democratic nominee.
Another example of how Obamaites have their heads in the sand (or simply glued to Obama's rear end where their vision is obscured to anything but, well, Obama's rear end).
Nader-lite Ganja Guy will never get my vote.
January 22, 2008 5:59 PM | Reply | Permalink
john mccutchen: "Not so anonymous are you?"
---------------------------
Did you actually have a point with this comment?
Another of your points: "NEWSFLASH - do you really think I expect you to change your vote?"
Well, I certainly HOPE you didn't expect to...because you didn't. If you wanted to do that, you'd actually have to give me a reason to vote FOR Obama. But it seems Obama supporters' only strategy is tearing down the Clintons with ridiculous and unfair insults.
"If you believe that you'll believe"
You should, perhaps, consider actually reading your posts before you submit them. This statement of yours makes no sense.
January 22, 2008 6:00 PM | Reply | Permalink
blackstar: "Americans will not electe Hillary Clinton over John McCain"
--------------------
They'll elect her before they'll elect Barack Obama.
January 22, 2008 6:01 PM | Reply | Permalink
john mc: "My political memory goes back to when Mrs. Bill was a Goldwater girl and I have never seen a party - either party - as bitterly divided since Chicago 1968"
Something for which you can thank Obama and the neo-progressiver-than-thous (like YOU!), since they have engaged in a war of dishonest invective against the entire Democratic Party leadership, and Clinton in particular, for the past two years and before that undermined Gore and Kerry's campaigns.
January 22, 2008 6:01 PM | Reply | Permalink
blackstar do you have anything but the aroma from your Master's ass to back up your claims of Hussein's superior electability?
I mean where did you pick up your crystal ball?
Polls you say? Hmmm, try NH on for size.
January 22, 2008 6:04 PM | Reply | Permalink
blackstar: "phew all the Clinton trolls are out in force after a long absence."
Anyone who disagrees with me and refuses to worship at the feet of the Great Obama, Savior of Mankind, is a troll.
The truth is, you probably don't even know what a "troll" is.
It's nice to know, however, that none of the koolaid-drinking Obama zealots ever left, showing they don't have much to do.
Leaves lots of time for prostrating themselves before the Great One, though.
January 22, 2008 6:04 PM | Reply | Permalink
TexicanDem
I don't give a rat's ass who you choose to blame.
I am just tellin you like it is.
Right now the Democratic party is, as Little Carmine would say, "on the precipice of a great crossroads"..I haven't seen bitter divisions like this in the Democratic Party since Richard Daley shouted down Abraham Ribikoff
Do with the information as you will..blame the freakin tooth fairy for all I care
January 22, 2008 6:04 PM | Reply | Permalink
Quote: "LynnDee: "she won't get some portion of his independent/Republican supporters."
---------------
What are the chances that Obama himself will get the votes of independents and Republicans in Nov?
About zero percent."
Then perhaps he miscalculates. But, at least you now understand what he was saying.
I consider that a good day's work in dealing with Hillary's hypersensitive supporters. It's Miller time.
January 22, 2008 6:04 PM | Reply | Permalink
blackstar,
I'm curious. What kinds of big changes do you think Obama is going to make, as he's bringing an end to partisan bickering and reaching across the aisle? How do you make "big changes" when you're engaged in compromsing with Republicans who have shown they have literally no interest in compromise?
And a related question -- what Republicans in Congress do you think have demonstrated an similar interest in reaching across the aisle? Mitch McConnell? John Kyl? Brownback? Which ones?
For the record, I'm an Edwards supporter and hate HRC.
January 22, 2008 6:04 PM | Reply | Permalink
Oh sure, no doubt. The question is not "can Obama win CA's primary?" The answer to that one is "no." The more important question is "can he keep Clinton's margin of victory small enough that she does not win enough delegates to lock up the nomination?" That is still an open question, and one that will be interesting to see answered.
January 22, 2008 6:04 PM | Reply | Permalink
They'll elect her before they'll elect Barack Obama.
--------------
then they deserve a McCain Presidency.
January 22, 2008 6:05 PM | Reply | Permalink
Obama will take Sacto and the Bay Area
SoCali...Depends on how well Villaraigosa turns em out
January 22, 2008 6:06 PM | Reply | Permalink
blackstar: "this is a valid point to bring up."
Translation: As an Obama supporter, every claim I make is presumptively and conclusively a valid point to bring up, because "we are the righteous" (gee, where have I heard this message before . . . hmmmmmm . . . oh, yeah, Bush and his Regent U lackies!).
January 22, 2008 6:06 PM | Reply | Permalink
The way I see it, our political system is working just the way it was intended.
We can choose to go one of two routes. We can choose the democrat that will try their best to move the ball way back over to the left after so many years on the right. A reasonable option given that the American consciousness needs some sort of recalibration after the past 8 years.
Or we can choose the democrat, who through bipartisan appeal, will entrench the American consciousness firmly in the middle, where it rightfully belongs. This is the better option IMHO, and for Democrats the more logical option. If our party is able to evolve with the times and become a party for everyone, then the republican party's importance will eventually diminish.
Obama, despite being a lawyer himself, once said that there's too many lawyers in government. If you think about it, it's way too true. Instead of debating bills and taking a scientific approach to finding a solution based on what has worked in the past, those in our government just develop an opinion and stick by it at all costs, whether or not they may be wrong. This leads to the sort of arrogant mindset that prevents our government from moving beyond the stalemates, and which prevents any issues from getting resolved. Like he also says in his book, his belief of what the forefathers intended for our country is that democracy is "not as a house to be built, but a conversation to be had". Hillary Clinton can provide us with one end of the conversation, but unless we choose to incorporate other views into our discussion, like two cards refusing to holding each other up, this house is gonna fall. Sure she can bring the dialogue back over to the left, but 4-8 years from now, someone else is just going to bring it back over to the right. I'd rather have someone can reshape the dialogue in this country entirely, who won't just be a Democrat version of Bush. This isn't a time for revenge or "our turn to run the government". Now is the time, more than ever, to blur the lines instead of coloring them in.
January 22, 2008 6:06 PM | Reply | Permalink
Anna,
I probably make that argument because I'm a lazy typist and its the easiest argument to make. Sorry, I guess I assumed you were an HRC supporter, because i find it pretty tough to read his statements as praise of Reagan's policies. I watched the full clip of the interview with the editorial board and that is NOT what he said.
To take what he said about Reagan and spin it into a reason not to vote for him seems a very long stretch to me. If you are turned off by careless praise or admiration of Reagan, I would merely point out that the Clintons have trafficked in that more than Obama has.
So I'm a little baffled by your position I guess. I can argue Obama on the merits all day.
1) I like how he came up as a community organizer and grass roots activist.
2) I lived in Chicago from 95-06 and found him to be an able public servant.
3) His position on the war AT THE TIME IT MATTERED was spot on.
4) I like the fact he has lived overseas. I think it gives him a better perspective regarding foreign relations.
5) I like his positions on issues (not much difference between the three of them).
6) I find him to be persuasive.
7) I trust his character. His personality does not seem to change as often as other candidates.
8) He seems to be a decent man.
9) He was able to pass a key piece of reform legislation as a Freshman Senator.
10) I trust his judgement based on the way he has conducted his life and his campaign.
I could go on, but you get the idea.
January 22, 2008 6:07 PM | Reply | Permalink
TexModDem,
Translation: you don't want to deal with the substance of either point, in keeping with your role as a troll.
thank you again for affirming my assessment.
January 22, 2008 6:08 PM | Reply | Permalink
Where Obama can change the map is in the Midwest and Virginia. I'm skeptical of him changing the map in the southwest or Florida... Perhaps if he has Richardson on the ticket??
Yes, and the additional question is where can he change it that Hillary can't? She can take Virginia as easily as he can - that is where the establishment lives, also she des better among national defense voters. Is there a midwest state that he can take that she can't? I can't think of one. She polls better in Florida than any of the Republicans (last time I saw) and better than Obama. So I'm guessing she can take Florida where he might not be able to. I'm not sure that she needs a huge influx of Republicans to win in November. And the supposed hordes of Republicans just waiting to come vote against her will come out against him too.
Just my opinion and speculation - this is a question we will never know the answer to, since there will only be one nominee. Maybe there will be some exit polling on it in November.
January 22, 2008 6:09 PM | Reply | Permalink
Good point. If we could find a third-party spoiler who draws disproportionately from the Republicans and convince him/her to run, I guess that there would be more reason to be sanguine about Clinton's general election chances.
January 22, 2008 6:09 PM | Reply | Permalink
then they deserve a McCain Presidency.
----------------
As does anyone that falls for the Obama I'll-abandon-the-Democrats-if-they-don't-pick-my-guy ultimatum.
January 22, 2008 6:10 PM | Reply | Permalink
It is unsettling to hear Obama supporters saying, or even implying, that they would not vote for Hillary if she ends up being the nominee. That's as silly as Hillary supporters saying they would not vote for Obama. We have an election to win here, folks, and while there are valid arguments on both sides as to why one candidate is a better choice than the other, our only choices after the nomination will be our guy or the Republicans'. Things are getting heated between the supporters, and it truly saddens me that it is to the point of fracturing the Democratic Party. I do find it hard to imagine any of these passionate Obama supporters staying at home in November if it is Hillary, or possibly going out and voting for McCain or Romney. Think about that, and tone down the hate on the Democratic side. We're going to go back to being one family when this primary season is over, keep that in mind.
January 22, 2008 6:12 PM | Reply | Permalink
There's a lot of stupid in this thread. And stupid, thy name is -- ...nevermind....
January 22, 2008 6:14 PM | Reply | Permalink
Anonymous : "I consider that a good day's work in dealing with Hillary's hypersensitive supporters."
-------------
The point you miss is that HRC's supporters aren't the hypersensitive ones.
They're not the ones that are vowing to turn over the Supreme Court to 2 more Alitos merely because the electorate had a different view of which candidate is best for the country.
Most HRC supporters believe that it's better to cede the presidency to an empty suit like Obama than to give up the judiciary to the right wing. HRC supporters understand that 2 more Ginsbergs are better than 2 more Alitos. If Obama supporters could get to that point, maybe the debate would be a bit more civil.
January 22, 2008 6:14 PM | Reply | Permalink
What I am seeing is Obama is just like all the pols, but he wants you to believe that he is oh so different. His connection to Antonio Rezko, who is among other things a slum lord, goes well beyond the 5 hours he billed to some church related real estate deal that he stumbled and fumbled on saying last night. Check what the Chicago newspapers have been saying about their relationship.
And speaking of church, Obama is so busy now convincing everyone he is not a Muslim, that he forgot to include the pastor of the Christian church he does belong to gave Louis Farrakhan a lifetime achievement award. Let's be clear, it was the pastor, not Obama who did that, but it's the guy Obama said was his spiritual mentor. How's that for a good judgement call?
And how tough is he really when what are some relatively mild shot are fired his way by both Clintons & Edwards, compared to what the GOP will do, he can't effectively deflect the criticism and goes into whine mode - I don't know which one I'm running against.
What's wrong in asking why he voted "present" over a 100 times as a State Senator? Even if he cast over 4,000 votes.
And he is now holier than thou with claims of not taking PAC money, but over 40% of his campaign contributions previously came from PACs! He looks like your typical pol from Chicago big machine politics but wants you to believe otherwise because he can say hope and change about as often as Rudy invokes 911.
Obama looked like he was someone special, but he is wilting under some scrutiny.
January 22, 2008 6:14 PM | Reply | Permalink
As does anyone that falls for the Obama I'll-abandon-the-Democrats-if-they-don't-pick-my-guy ultimatum.
-----------------
the difference is, i gave reasons for my position, you're just asserting with a total lack of substantiation.
oh, and you seem to be pathologically distorting his statements.
January 22, 2008 6:15 PM | Reply | Permalink
Can someone pass the popcorn? The Hillbots are in full Hillbotic Rage. I've never seen a group spin themselves into a frenzy over such a non-controversial point before. Must be the effect of logic upon their brains.
January 22, 2008 6:15 PM | Reply | Permalink
Kliebert,
Sorry, you are deluding yourself.
I don't want a Bush/Clinton/Bush/Clinton dynasty. I think that is a bad joke on democracy. I have been a loyal Dem for all my life, but I'm not voting for her.
January 22, 2008 6:15 PM | Reply | Permalink
TexasModDem should walk the walk instead of running his yap here
Why?
Because the contest will not be decided on 2/5 and will come down to Texas and Ohio in March, (if then)
Now in the Great State of Texas, Phil Gramm's promise has come true!
"The GOP hunts democrats with dogs" thanks in no small part to the Texas Delegate selection process
Get this: Voters go to the polls during the day. Their votes DO NOT COUNT unless they also go to the local caucus at night and screw around for a couple of hours with parliamentary maneuvers and divisions of the house
Texas Democrats....that's a joke right there
January 22, 2008 6:16 PM | Reply | Permalink
So let me see if I understand the Obaidiots:
All us Dems gotta vote for Hussein cause if he loses the nomination they are gonna bolt the party.
Gee with Dems like dose who needs Bushit?
Shoudn't Hussein just get it over with and register as a Rethugican right now ?
January 22, 2008 6:19 PM | Reply | Permalink
blackstar: "i gave reasons for my position"
-------------------
Yet your "reasons" are not convincing. They're just bald assertions.
Apparently Obama supporters think their positions are axiomatic...which may explain why they've been so dramatically deficient in presenting factual supports for their candidate.
January 22, 2008 6:19 PM | Reply | Permalink
Kliebert:
I think that's a far point for Democrats to consider. At the end of the day, I suspect all Democrats will rally around the eventual nominee (maybe not all as enthusiastically as some, but they all will rally). The problem, I think, comes to the Independents and Republicans that are volunteering, supporting and voting for Obama. Whatever one thinks of either candidate, Obama is far more appealing to Independents and Republicans (moderates) than Clinton--arguing otherwise is just silly.
Frankly, I'm pretty sure I won't be voting for Clinton if she's the nominee. But that's spoken as an independent (not a Democrat). At the end of the day, it will turn on who are the nominees of each party (obviously I lean Democratic, but Clintons campaign reminds me what I didn't like about the 90s and Republicans). But acknowledging that fact shouldn't provoke the reaction that is present on these threads.
January 22, 2008 6:20 PM | Reply | Permalink
He is talking about me here. I'm an Obama diehard who is a little iffy on Hillary. But I agree with many above. This is not appropriate.
January 22, 2008 6:20 PM | Reply | Permalink
Tapper:
You really are trying hard to misunderstand his point. Obviously, as HRC supporter, I understand why you are doing it, but it's pretty clear what he's talking about. Especially given his appeal to independents and republicans. Those two groups, that have supported him in the open primaries/caucuses, aren't going to support Clinton. At least that's what the poll numbers bear out today.
Not talking about Democrats. But again, I know why you can't/won't acknowledge that reality.
January 22, 2008 6:23 PM | Reply | Permalink
Does anyone see it in the realm of possibility of HRC or BO running as an independent if either of them lose the nomination?
If HRC loses she wont take it sitting down and if BO loses he has garnered enough support from Dems, indes, and Reps to run as an inde as well...
If BO loses, Bloomberg will enter the race and I can see him courting BO as his running mate also...Does anyone think this can happen?
January 22, 2008 6:24 PM | Reply | Permalink
Let's see, 17 counties in Nevada.
Hillary won 5 of those. She was over 40% of the vote in 12 of those. Yes, Obama had a landslide victory of 63% to 26% in Esmeralda County, which had 9 of the 5318 Nevada delegates. She did take Mineral County's 36 delegates with 48% of the vote. Took Lincoln County's 40 delegates with 58% of the vote, and Lander County's 29 delegates with 43% of the vote.
As goes Tombstone, so goes the nation?
Actually, Obama's bullshitting - his real strength in Nevada was in Reno/Lake Tahoe (50% to 40% with a 163 delegate advantage), but that doesn't fit his "I'm for the common man" narrative.
(In Eureka County Edwards tied Hillary at 26% each - good for John).
http://blog.4president.org/2008/2008/01/nevada-democr-1.html
January 22, 2008 6:25 PM | Reply | Permalink
Hey, from your lips to God's ears. I do not want another Republican president any more than you do and I will be voting for the democrat in Nov regardless of who gets the nomination. That said, I do not know how seriously we need to take the super-partisans on either side of this debate. I imagine that a lot of this "I will not vote for..." is just bluster at this point.
January 22, 2008 6:27 PM | Reply | Permalink
"Does anyone see it in the realm of possibility of HRC or BO running as an independent if either of them lose the nomination?"
------------------
I can't imagine HRC running as an independent. If she loses this fight, she'll swallow her pride and support whatever nominee the Democrats select.
I suspect that Obama (but perhaps not his supporters) will make the same calculation.
As I wrote earlier, intelligent people recognize that whatever the disappointment in not getting your preferred candidate, it's better to have a Democrat appointing Ginsburgs to the High Court than having a Republican appointing Alitos.
January 22, 2008 6:30 PM | Reply | Permalink
Kevin, I'd grant you at least half your point except for the fact that you "moderates" (if I might be forgiven) have not yet gotten the Rethugican Hussein treatment. You may have forgotten but McCain hasn't.
After all, it wasn't the Dems elected Bushit... twice.
OK, you only really elected him once... maybe not even that.
January 22, 2008 6:30 PM | Reply | Permalink
Courting, yes. Can I see Obama actually accepting the offer? No way. Sen Obama is the consumate party loyalist. He fudged his own record on the Iraq war in order not to cause problems for Kerry/Edwards. He campaigned for Lieberman in the primary (despite his personal distaste for the man's politics) because he was concerned about the possible loss of the CT senate seat if a 3-way race emerged - but then turned on a dime and campaigned for Ned Lamont in the GE because Lamont was the democratic party nominee. Obama has a fine track record of disciplined commitment to the democratic party and there is no way that he would throw that over for a Bloomberg candidacy.
Besides, what is his incentive? He knows as well as anyone else that if he does not take the nomination this time around, he will have plenty of chances later. Why destroy his own best chances later?
January 22, 2008 6:32 PM | Reply | Permalink
Keith...
What does Hussein actually say in the quote?
Not "Republicans and Independents..."
Jeez here we go again.
"Well Hussein didn't specifically say Dems would bolt... just his supporters would"
January 22, 2008 6:35 PM | Reply | Permalink
Quote: ""Does anyone see it in the realm of possibility of HRC or BO running as an independent if either of them lose the nomination?""
No.
January 22, 2008 6:37 PM | Reply | Permalink
I think also that Nevada gives its 5 electoral votes to the general winner across the state, so doing well in rural parts of Nevada doesn't particularly help. Bush won Nevada in 2004 because he kept Clark County down to only 50% Democrat.
January 22, 2008 6:38 PM | Reply | Permalink
Lifelong Democrat
Last night's debate finalized my vote for next November.
The Bush-Clinton era must be ended.
I will never vote for Hillary
If she is the nominee, I will vote Republican for the first time in my life or a third party.
If it is Obama or Edwards then I will vote Democrat.
One last thing, if Hillary is the nominee I will also change my registration to Independent and drop my membership in the local Democratic party.
I urge like minded Democrats to follow me, and punish the Democratic party if they nominate that women.
January 22, 2008 6:39 PM | Reply | Permalink
Hm..., the point is that there are independents and Republicans and what not who have casted votes for Obama who will not vote for Clinton. Whether you like it or not that's a fact.
Let's remind ourselves the President of the Democratic States of America is never going to the President of the United States of America.
January 22, 2008 6:45 PM | Reply | Permalink
Tapper:
As you can see, I already predicted your response. But thanks for confirming that I was correct.
I'll let you get back to your spinning.
January 22, 2008 6:46 PM | Reply | Permalink
I'm an independent. I've spent the last year thinking how great it would be if the democrats took the white house in 2008, because I'm that sick of George Bush. I like Barack Obama. I think he is a man of integrity, and like it or not, voting for president is not just about picking which set of policy positions you agree with most -- the character of the candidates' really does matter. What it comes down to, for me and for every other independent voter I've spoken to recently, is this:
I would vote for Obama over any Republican candidate.
I will never vote for Clinton. She has no integrity, no character, and people, particularly independents, can see this very clearly. I cannot understand why democrats don't see that she is simply not electable. This election is theirs to win -- all the democrats have to do is nominate someone, anyone, besides Clinton, and you guys walk away with the presidency!
If Clinton is the democratic nominee, as I suspect she will be, I will vote for John McCain in November. So will just about every other independent voter I've spoken to. This is why polls show him destroying her 51-39 in the general election.
January 22, 2008 6:46 PM | Reply | Permalink
Like a few other commenters here, I think everyone is missing the point.
I like Hillary Clinton. I like Barack Obama. Hell, I even like John Edwards. If you really sit down and think about it at the end of the day, what they're ALL fighting for are insanely good things that they might just be able to push through once they become President: universal health care, being just a tad nicer to our immigrant population, and ending a war where many, many people have died for no good reason at all.
The thing is guys, yeah Obama might lose. But what does it achieve if you stay home come November, or worse yet, vote for the Republican? While these politicians have dirtied themselves countless times, it's most likely not because they're insanely corrupt or evil or anything like that. It's the way politics is.
This election is important. We're on the cusp of something big here-- if the Democrat wins there's a good chance we won't have to watch any more people die in Iraq for causes unknown, won't have to see any of our sick family and friends get very, very sick because they can't pay the bills to keep themselves alive.
We're a nation, and a party, of better people than those who would refuse to vote to save the lives of so many just because of a bit of a damaged ego.
Seriously guys. Seriously.
January 22, 2008 6:48 PM | Reply | Permalink
Read above Annie
I will never vote for that woman
January 22, 2008 6:51 PM | Reply | Permalink
Hey, there's a great little video on You Tube of his fraudlency, Obama, speaking out of both sides of his dirty little hypocritical lying mouth. Check it out: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eAkIidChxic
This more you know of this creep, the more you know how important it is to eliminate him.
January 22, 2008 6:53 PM | Reply | Permalink
Summation of why Hillary is the weaker candidate for the general election. Are progressives going to stop playing checkers and start playing chess?
http://acropolisreview.com/2008/01/hillary-clinton-for-president.html
January 22, 2008 6:56 PM | Reply | Permalink
Sorry, did I miss some notice that we shouldn't be posting on-topic here?
January 22, 2008 6:58 PM | Reply | Permalink
I'm an Independent voter, and I will never, ever vote for Mrs Clinton.
I was very excited when I saw that the Dems were actually going to have other viable choices in the primaries so that I wouldn't be forced to vote Republican. Guess I may have to after all.
And for those of you harbouring the Clinton/Obama fantasy - I STILL won't vote for Mrs Clinton.
January 22, 2008 7:01 PM | Reply | Permalink
Democrat who would never vote for Obama:
The funny thing is, if you go on youtube and type in Hillary Flip Flops, you get as you would expect, videos of Hillary flip flopping.
If you type in Obama Flip Flops . . . you just get more videos of Hillary flip flopping.
January 22, 2008 7:04 PM | Reply | Permalink
This really tells us all we need to know about Obama and the Obamabots.
We are not to take Obama at his word. Oh no, we must understand that despite what he actually said he really meant something different!
Hussein said: "Now the question is can she get the people who voted for me? And I think that describes sort of one of the choices that people have, just a practical choice, as they move forward."
I think a lot of his voters were Dems, don't you Keith, blackstar, et. al.?
Or are you all too wimpy to admit you're spinning like a top.
Pathetic bunch of losers.
January 22, 2008 7:05 PM | Reply | Permalink
It's about time the powers that be banned Tapper from the comment section. This "Hussein" shit is bigotry, pure and simple.
January 22, 2008 7:26 PM | Reply | Permalink
No Obama supporters seem to want to defend his tortured logic. What does he mean by this?
If you look at the results in Nevada, for example, she eked out the popular vote victory over me, but I ended up winning more delegates because she got almost all of her votes from Clark County, Las Vegas and some of the traditional democratic areas.
I realize he is making the point that he gets Rep and Independent votes that she won't. I get it - I agree. But that has nothing to do with the delegate count, except that perhaps the Republicans and Independents he won happened to come from rural counties that get extra weight in a caucus. If it had been a straight proportional vote primary, he would not have gotten more delegates. He's saying that the fact that he won more delegates proves that he can get Independent votes, when in actuality it was the fact that he won more votes in a particular part of the state that got him more delegates.
This is what I don't like about him. Too many of the things he says off the cuff make no sense at all.
January 22, 2008 7:31 PM | Reply | Permalink
Tapper
If you can get your head out of your "Big
mouth bass - where to find em, and how to hook em" article,
maybe you'd realize Bill is crushing your smokes.
Let me guess,
tenth grade and then auto mechanic school.
Go wash your hands - your keyboard is all greasy.
January 22, 2008 7:34 PM | Reply | Permalink
Tapper
I agree with the above for the most part.
You are not a very original thinker!
not a very attractive intellect.
It's as if Bill Clinton has got his hand
up your bottom.
January 22, 2008 7:36 PM | Reply | Permalink
Sorry, did I miss some notice that we shouldn't be posting on-topic here?
---------------
Clinton is seen as doing well, that's cue for all the trolls to come out the woodwork and start posting inane, totally off-topic crap.
a microcosm of what you can expect if she wins the nomination.
January 22, 2008 7:36 PM | Reply | Permalink
john mccutchen,
Yeah Obama can carry the Bay Area and Sacto, but probably gets crushed in Southern California and iirc SoCal has 3 times the population..
Dawn,
Good questions. Hillary's going to need indy's and Republican's fed up w/ Bush in the midwest.. I think a fresh face has a better chance w/ those voters. Where Hillary could make a strong run @ reorganizing the map is in the southwest, in AZ, NM and NV, but the southwest doesn't have as many electoral votes as Iowa, Ohio and Missouri. Also, lots of black voters may sit out in Florida...
January 22, 2008 7:41 PM | Reply | Permalink
When will those who say that they won't vote for this person or that person realize that nobody gives a rat's ass who they're NOT VOTING for.
Those of us who are really Democrats, who got comfortable with voting for the Iraq War authorizing ticket of Kerry/Edwards, will have no problem with any of the excellent nominees left (all 4 of them - or 5 - I don't know, is Gravel still in ;-).
After we've all united behind the Democratic nominee (except for that aforementioned .0003% of the whining crybabies who exaggerate their "importance" - or is that "impotence"?) - name one state that Kerry/Edwards carried that the Dem nominee won't carry by more this time.
Add New Mexico, Arkansas (especially with Clark on the ticket), and probably Ohio, and considering the mood of the country - coupled with the inevitablity of the Republicans choosing a warmonger out of touch with the issues important to most Americans, and *how can we lose?
*see progressiver-than-thous and online stock-portfolio manager extraordinaire, Ralph Nader in 2000.
January 22, 2008 7:41 PM | Reply | Permalink
blackstar writes
blackstar, I'm a fellow Obama supporter (if you don't believe me, see my other posts), though I'm not as anti-Clinton as so many other posters. I think that the notion that Clinton can't work with Republicans in congress is overstated. Before she started on her presidential quest, she was seen to be effective in working with the Republican Senate majority. Her colleagues described her as professional and charming (at least in person). Moreover, she's very pragmatic, and I think she'll make efforts to get things done.
My concern is not that she wouldn't work with the Republicans but that they wouldn't work with her for political reasons. I expect that she'd continue to be a pariah in red districts, so Republicans might decide that they'd be more popular at home if they stick it to her rather than compromise with her.
Nonetheless, while it's reasonable to point to her handicaps, I would hesitate before pontificating so confidently about what she would or would not be able to accomplish. There's way too much black-and-white b.s. in these election threads as it is. (And that's not a race reference.)
January 22, 2008 7:42 PM | Reply | Permalink
Also, why do so many think McCain has the GOP nomination wrapped up? The powerbrokers of the party (people w/ lots of money) don't like McCain. McCain has Rush Limbaugh railing against him, which is going to hurt him, as the field trims down.. I mean, Huckabee probably wins SC, if Thompson's not blocking him. I'd put my money on Romney being the nominee and I won't be surprised by a Bloomberg run. Good luck to Hillary w/ her 39% majority in 2009..
January 22, 2008 7:46 PM | Reply | Permalink
I'll either sit out the general election, or may vote for Bloomberg.. I have to know more about him though.. If it's McCain v. Hillary, Hillary will win in a blowout in my state, California..
Just like Bill Clinton barely lifted a finger for Gore or Kerry, I'm not going to lift my finger and vote for Hillary. I'm tired of the Democrats being the party of reaction, not action. Things have been like this since the 80's.. Clinton's triangulation was effective in the 90's, and stopped the bleeding, but the Democrats have a prime opportunity to become the party of action in 2008.. Hillary Clinton's too concerned w/ having a pissing contest and getting revenge on her many critics.. Divisiveness & vitriol for Republicans will not bring significant change.
January 22, 2008 7:55 PM | Reply | Permalink
As far as the map goes, if the Dem wins all the states Gore won in 2000, or all the ones Kerry won in 2004 plus only one of either Florida, Arkansas, or Ohio, or any one of the mountain west states, we win. No major realignment is needed. I don't see that Obama is more likely to be able to do that than Clinton, no matter who the Rep candidate is.
That said, I'd love a major realignment. If Hillary is the nominee, Obama can prove his uniting leadership skills by uniting his supporters behind the candidate of his party. Alas, in the quote above he seems to be saying he's not sure he can pull that off.
January 22, 2008 7:58 PM | Reply | Permalink
Sorry but no. I am an Edwards supporter and I might be able to support Mrs. Clinton but there is no chance in hell that I will support, much less vote for, Obama. I will sit it out because I see no palatable difference between Obama and the GOP he is enamored of.
Read this letter of an Edwards supporter, it might change your mind.
http://onegoodmove.org/1gm/1gmarchive/2008/01/edwards_or.html#more
January 22, 2008 8:12 PM | Reply | Permalink
Dawn:
Thank you so much. You have it exactly right IMHO. I also think New Mexico, West Virginia, and Iowa will go Dem once again this time around. The Democratic nominee will win in a walk - whoever it is. The Republicans (especially McCain) is out of touch on the war and (his own doing), is now tied to the Bush administration.
January 22, 2008 8:13 PM | Reply | Permalink
Dawn,
Since Hillary's has claimed that she was co-president, I can't imagine a map realignment or a big congressional majority, since her and Bill never did so in the past. Also, Hillary's high negatives indicate a narrow win and nothing more..
With the GOP in disarray, this is the election where the Dems can cash in.. The chance for significant change rarely come around. The elections of 1964 and 1980 gave LBJ and Reagan voter mandates to push major legislation. And I'm not saying Reagan's legislation was good either for those who like to distort..
January 22, 2008 8:17 PM | Reply | Permalink
JTinSoCal ,
I agree with everything you say, and it has been a hard Obama v Clinton decision for me. I've said before that if we did not have troops in the field I would probably be for Obama. I just believe Clinton is more qualified in these times. She used her time in the Senate to educate herself on military affairs, in addition to what she picked up being first lady (and I do believe she was educating herself during that time, not concentrating on the traditional duties.) Of course I don't agree with everything she does or says. As time goes by I agree with less and less of what Obama says and does either. But I will heartily support him if he is the nominee, and will shut up about about his tortured logic, and applaud his courting Republicans and Independents.
If she is nominated and wins and Obama wants to challenge her in 2012, especially if she has not gotten us out of Iraq, I say go for it and let her stand or fall on her record.
January 22, 2008 8:39 PM | Reply | Permalink
JTinSoCal, is there really nothing Obama could say or do to make you vote for Clinton?
January 22, 2008 8:44 PM | Reply | Permalink
facta non verba, you are nuts. The Nader supporters said the same damn thing about Gore in 2000. Now look where that got us.
January 22, 2008 8:50 PM | Reply | Permalink
I agree with the recent posts. Any of the three Dems should be able to win this one. So I submit that the more important question is which of the three is most likely to get reelected in 2012 years. I would argue that it's not Clinton. People are already suffering from Clinton fatigue (mostly Bill's fault, not Hil's), and the primaries haven't even finished. But more pointedly, I think that her negative are too high. I don't think that they would keep her from office, but they would impact her approval rating. If everything's great in 4 years and the economy is roaring, anyone can get reelected, but if there's sourness in the air, it would get dumped on Clinton's head, not because she of what she did, but because she wouldn't be able to charm her way out of it. In this way, I think that Barack is more like Bill than Hillary is. I don't think that this should be taken lightly. Don't forget how Reagan kicked Carter's ass in 80.
(Oops, now I guess people will call me a Reagan lover)
January 22, 2008 9:03 PM | Reply | Permalink
That would in 2012, not in "2012 years". In don't even think that Obama will be able to get reelected 4020.
January 22, 2008 9:06 PM | Reply | Permalink
Being president is not the only way to change the direction of the party or the country. A strong leader in the Senate can influence things a lot, and I would argue that is what we have been sorely lacking the last 8 years, Clinton included. Change would be a lot easier for Obama and others to effect with a Dem president that they weren't having to fight every step of the way. That is only one of the reasons I sincerely hope that everyone does what they can to get a Dem elected.
January 22, 2008 9:06 PM | Reply | Permalink
Genghis, there is no law that says the Dems have to nominate the incumbent for re-election if he or she is doing a bad job. They would gain more respect from the Independents if they didn't. A different Dem could get elected in 2012. Nothing wrong with that.
January 22, 2008 9:09 PM | Reply | Permalink
Before she started on her presidential quest, she was seen to be effective in working with the Republican Senate majority. Her colleagues described her as professional and charming (at least in person). Moreover, she's very pragmatic, and I think she'll make efforts to get things done.
My concern is not that she wouldn't work with the Republicans but that they wouldn't work with her for political reasons.
-----------------
she could work with Republicans when she was a junior Senator and there was a Republican in the White House. but "working with" has to go both ways, and there simply isn't any way Republicans in the Senate or House are going to be compliant with her proposals when they know for a fact their inter-party opponents in the next election will use "he voted WITH Hillary Clinton!" against them. even ideology aside, the simple fact that its Hillary Clinton practically guarantees their opposition.
i'm not saying its her fault, in fact i think much of the traditional Republican hatred of Hillary has been totally off-base and absurd, but that doesn't mean it isn't real and very strong. or that it will not have an effect on her ability to push through the kinds of proposals we need.
what i'm asking people to recognize is that beyond "electability" there is "implementability", which she is already seriously handicapped on.
January 22, 2008 9:23 PM | Reply | Permalink
Too many posts to read them all(and many too ridiculous to even consider), but did anyone stop to consider that maybe those he was referring to are those who voted for him that don't traditionally vore Democratic? Maybe those are who he's referring to and not other regular Dems? Sheesh, why are we tearing each other apart?
January 22, 2008 9:24 PM | Reply | Permalink
Dawn, possible but very rarely happens. The incumbent would to be doing really, really poorly not to be nominated. Even Carter was nominated in 80. I'd rather not vote for someone that I expect not to be able to win a second term. For the record, I'm not actually arguing that Clinton can't win a second term, just that if the economic conditions are poor, I think that she'd be a lot less likely to pull it off than Obama. The same goes for midterms. If she were to have low approval ratings in two years, the Republicans would likely take back congress, and then she really wouldn't be able to enact a progressive agenda.
January 22, 2008 9:33 PM | Reply | Permalink
blackstar, thanks for the clarification. We're in agreement.
January 22, 2008 9:35 PM | Reply | Permalink
but did anyone stop to consider that maybe those he was referring to are those who voted for him that don't traditionally vore Democratic?
I know that is what he is talking about. But it has nothing to do with the delegate count except that those voters happen to live in counties where their vote gets more weight. He's saying the delegate count itself proves something it does not.
I'll stop harping on the logic 'cause that horse is dead and buried. My engineering brain cares about something that obviously matters to no one else.
January 22, 2008 9:36 PM | Reply | Permalink
Obama says his supporters will bolt. Since he gets the young crowd in the open primaries, this may be a very good point. Young folks haven't committed to a party and can just go back to being cynical and independent. This is not difficult to understand.
Hillary is also saying that the party will unite for the general election. I don't see that as being in conflict with Obama's statements.
Nonpartisans do not have loyalty to a party and are free to stay home or vote as they please. McCain certainly is attractive to this group.
That said...there are some party activists (and I am one) who simply will not vote for a person who voted for the Iraq War. I am a Democrat in my 6th decade who has voted for Democrats throughout my voting life--and who has actively spent my money and my time to get them elected. But I will not vote for anyone who voted for the 2002 Iraq War Resolution. The cost of war is very high and has to be considered before we indulge in a pre-emptive war that really is "dumb". I am not a pacifist but I consider this mess in Iraq to be one of the dumbest foreign policy maneuvers of my lifetime. I will not support it.
In the event the Democratic candidate voted for this war, then I simply will not vote in the presidential race. I will spend my money and my time with the down-ticket Democrats and vote for them.
If any of you don't understand this, well that's just too damned bad. There are times when my personal morality rules; this is one of those times.
January 22, 2008 10:20 PM | Reply | Permalink
stlounick, it sounds like you've thought it through, but I still find it a little difficult to fathom. Are you standing on principle? Suppose it's Clinton vs. McCain in the general. They both voted for the war, but Clinton has pledged to get us out as quickly as possible, whereas McCain sees us there for another 100 years. However angry you are at Clinton, it seems to me that if you really cared about ending the war, you would support the candidate more likely to end it sooner, notwithstanding her responsibility for starting it.
January 22, 2008 10:39 PM | Reply | Permalink
You Obama supporters who will not support Hillary in the GE just sicken me. You will have only yourselves to blame if everything anonymous wrote comes to pass, as it surely will. You idiot children gave us the last eight years and I guess you intend to give us eight more. I blame you for the war and the economy and everything else Bush has done. You handed the country to an imbecile and you now reap what you sowed. He couldn't have done any of it if you had voted for Gore. How ironic that he turned out to be a true progressive after all. Its not Obama I hate. Its you elitist, whiny asses and because of that, I can't vote for him in the primaries. But I will hold my nose and vote for him in the GE if it comes to that. You clearly don't really care about this country. All you want is to get your way or go home crying. Pathetic losers, the whole lot of you.
January 22, 2008 10:43 PM | Reply | Permalink
Hey heretic,
Don't sweat it. So we lose a few thousand twits posting here and on like minded places. Nothing near what we would lose in the general election if we dared to nominate a arrogant, elitist, pompous, and dull candidate with a glass jaw against McCain.
January 22, 2008 11:05 PM | Reply | Permalink
It's fun to speculate what would happen if Clinton offers Obama the vice presidential spot, and Obama accepts. I can just see all of these Hillary hating comment trolls saying, "Obama: I've lost all respect for you because you would run on the same ticket with HER. I will never, never vote for a Clinton or Obama ever again." Very juvenile, very sad.
January 22, 2008 11:13 PM | Reply | Permalink
I think (I hope) that most people will calm down once the primaries are over. It's not just the Obama supporters. I've seen plenty of posts in other threads from Clinton supporters who say they would never support Obama and from Edwards supporters who say they would never support either of the other two.
I think that it's mostly due to emotions running high in a passionate primary. Once it's over and the Republicans have selected someone around whom we can unite in mutual revulsion, I think that we'll come together again. There will always be people who waste their votes, but most people haven't forgotten what Nader wrought in 2000.
And for the record, I agree with the posters who suggested that Obama was not talking about passionate lefties so much as independents and crossovers who straddle the divide.
January 22, 2008 11:28 PM | Reply | Permalink
It's fun to speculate what would happen if Clinton offers Obama the vice presidential spot, and Obama accepts. I can just see all of these Hillary hating comment trolls saying, "Obama: I've lost all respect for you because you would run on the same ticket with HER. I will never, never vote for a Clinton or Obama ever again."
--------------
uh yeah, chief, because that would mean he would have just completely contradicted his entire campaign message, that of transcending the petty, dishonest politics embodied in this race by Hillary Clinton. and someone willing to do that is entirely untrustworthy.
but Hillary wouldn't risk being totally overshadowed, and if the assessment of his supporters is at all accurate, he wouldn't accept on general principle.
if Hillary had run a positive campaign and simply out-organized or out-messaged him, i could entirely see him doing that, and WERE THAT THE CASE such a combination would be unstoppable in a GE. but that is impossible as it would require a totally different Hillary Clinton than the one we know.
January 22, 2008 11:50 PM | Reply | Permalink
Genghis, you seem to think that I agree with the blogs who want every last one of our troops pulled out of Iraq. That simply won't happen. We will be there for decades. We broke it and we have an obligation now to put this Humpty Dumpty back together again.
It is an occupation and now we are an imperialist country. And I won't reward anyone who enabled this to have my time, money or vote. Bad judgment is still bad judgment. And I won't reward it.
January 23, 2008 12:23 AM | Reply | Permalink
Obama did not win more delegates in Nevada. CNN has 14 delegates for Clinton and 14 for Obama. On sunday evening 1/20, CNN clarified the results for the Nevada delegates.
http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2008/primaries/results/scorecard/#D
January 23, 2008 3:47 AM | Reply | Permalink
It is pretty clear that if you're Obama supporter you're one of three groups
1) Clinton haters
2) Independents and moderate Republicans
3) you care more for rhetoric than for actual policy proposals.
Independents and moderate Republicans and the Clinton haters should realize that the rank & file of the party dislike Obama intensely. When the closed primaries come up or when the primaries with large numbers of Hispanics come Clinton will win 60% or more of the vote. If your mission is to stop Mrs Clinton, you will be better served by voting for John Edwards. Obama could run as independent and possibly win, but he can not do so as a Democrat. Hispanics will not vote for him and the rank & file prefer Clinton or Edwards. What is allowing Obama to be competitive are independents and moderate Republicans in open primaries. But starting on Feb 5th, open primaries are few and far between. That clearly favors Mrs. Clinton who is perceived by rank & file Democrats as the better anti-Obama candidate. We do not like Obama period.
January 23, 2008 7:32 AM | Reply | Permalink
Riiight. Here's one rank and file who does not "dislike" any of the Democratic candidates intensely and simply does not "hate" Hillary. It's sad to try and turn "lack of support" into "hate" in order to pump up passion.
The Democrats only win general elections when the independents and "leaning Republicans" vote for our candidate. There is no indication that our candidates, when chosen by Democratic activists in closed primaries, can actually win in a general election.
Geesh, even ole Bill never won the popular vote in either of his elections. Is this now our standard? We want to swing back and forth between squeaker elections that we lose and squeaker elections that we win?
January 23, 2008 9:01 AM | Reply | Permalink
If Obama takes the votes of democrats for granted now he will do the same when he makes his choices about governing once in office. He will be so afraid to alienate his independent base that a progressive agenda will be thrown straight out the window. He seems to think he is bigger than the democratic party and that the democratic party needs him more than he needs them. The progressives who support this man are blinded by their disdain for anyone who actually will work within the process to create real change and by their pollyannish idealism which Mr. Obama's rhetoric and style seem to embody. I feel sorry for them, but will nonetheless be the first in line to say I told you so when President Obama winds up being a colossal disappointment to them.
January 23, 2008 9:11 AM | Reply | Permalink
Since Obama changed the rules and decided delegate count rules and not popular vote, Hillary has become the co-winner in Iowa. Hooray!
January 23, 2008 9:26 AM | Reply | Permalink
Gosh, StLouNick, this seems rather self-defeating to my mind. I am not especially entheused about Sen Clinton myself, especially on account of her vote for the war. That said, McCain is positively itching to invade Iran, while we would at least have reason to hope that Clinton would have better judgement than that. Faced with that choice, I cannot see my way clear to letting McCain get into that office (although I have dim hopes that we will be able to stop him if we nominate Clinton to carry our standard). In a swing state like ours (MO) we need to stand behind any democrat, no matter how odious.
January 23, 2008 9:27 AM | Reply | Permalink
"Hm, I guess I find this line of argument rather off-putting. This is not an argument to vote for Sen Obama so much as an argument to vote against Sen Clinton."
Sounds like what the Clintons have been doing all month: "fairy tale", race baiting, etc.
All we know about Hillary is she has "35 years od experience" -- a losing argument for sure against the vastly more experienced McCain come November.
Hillary is essentailly running on her name.
January 23, 2008 9:27 AM | Reply | Permalink
Obama is making a powerful electibility argument. The fact is, Hillary has the highest negatives of any democratic candidate. Day one, nearly half of the voting public will not vote for her. Think about that folks. Obama is saying that, quite rightly, Hillary and Edwards supporters will flock to his banner as nominee. There may be some nose holding, but democrats want the White House more than they don't want Barack Obama. One of the things we saw in NH, is that the majority of people polled that voted for HRC said they also "liked" Barack Obama. They weren't voting against Obama but for HRC. That is also important. Nevada demonstrated that he could reach out to moderate republicans and conservative democrats (yes, there are such animals). In Iowa, before the HRC machine began playing the gender/identity politics game full tilt, Obama won the majority of women voters and white voters.
It is becoming clear that republican voters, whatever their reservations, are leaning towards John McCain. Whereas recent polling shows that Hillary beats McCain, this sort of polling is notoriously unreliable. When the full force of the republican machine backs McCain and the full force of the democratic machine backs Hillary, then it comes down to independents and the so-called Reagan democrats. When push comes to shove, I believe both demographics will break for McCain due to Hillary's negatives.
Obama won't have that baggage. Moreover, he will have the force of the anti-Iraq war coalition in this country for him. If Hillary were the candidate, all McCain has to do is point to her vote authorizing the war, and any number of statements where she supported the war and was opposed to time lines for withdrawal. Hillary didn't become "anti-war" until the tide of public opinion shifted against it. Before that she was the "enabler in chief". This corroborates Obama's campaign refrain of needing someone who is RIGHT from day one, clearly mocking Hillary's campaign slogan of being ready to lead day one.
The choice couldn't be more clear. Obama's and Hillary's policy positions are more similar than not. The health care debate in SC was proof in point. Obama simply does not believe that the government should enforce coverage for adults that would rather stay with private plans, etc. In Mitt Romney's Massachusetts, there are people that can't afford the premiums, even with subsidies, of health insurance, and since government mandates coverage, they are being fined on top of everything else. Is this the road that folks want to travel down considering that HRC and Edward's plans mandate coverage, thereby meaning government enforcement? None of the candidates are suggesting a single payer system, so in my view, Obama's plan is the most appealing. John Edwards argued that Obama's "choice" reasoning is similar to Bush's "choice" rhetoric regarding social security. On it's face, this seems true. But it's not. Bush is seeking to dismantle social security, while Obama is extending affordable health insurance to all people. Vastly different intentions.
Anyway, at the end of the day, folks have to decide who best represents change, and has the ability to bring that change. The choice is clear: Barack Obama.
January 23, 2008 9:35 AM | Reply | Permalink
One thing's for sure. He would need all the help he could get.
January 23, 2008 9:58 AM | Reply | Permalink
You know..that Jon Stewart from the daily show is stinking hilarious. The best comedy comes from the truth. I wish all of the so called expert pundits would have explored this one more. But I love how Jon cuts right to the heart of it. This is how america feels about the Bill and Hillary machine. With the headline of bush lying 935 times, this clip makes it all the more important to see what will go in in a clinton white house. Gotta love it - forget MSNBC, the daily show has a way of cutting through all of the bullsh**t.
http://www.comedycentral.com/motherload/player.jhtml?ml_video=148079&is_large=true
January 23, 2008 10:02 AM | Reply | Permalink
crayz: "The Anyone-But-Hillary faction was almost non-existant just a month ago."
Well, if by "almost non-existent" you mean "ubiquitous" then you would be right.
You really earn your posting name!
January 23, 2008 10:27 AM | Reply | Permalink
brad: "His position on the war AT THE TIME IT MATTERED was spot on."
Uh, no, his position was pandering to a constituency that was overwhelmingly anti-war and neither risky or prescient.
john mccrazy mccutchen: "Texas Democrats....that's a joke right there"
This is how the Obameister and his Obamaites build unity and consensus!
Pretty much the same way they disparaged and dismissed minority black and hispanic teachers in Nevada and pretended they didn't exist.
No wonder Obama can only win with misogynists, the independent crazies who supported Nader, and Republicans voting anti-Clinton in primaries and caucuses where their relatively low numbers have disproportionate effect because of the relatively even lower number of voters in these preliminary contests.
If you are black or hispanic and don't worship at the feet of Obama, you don't exist.
If you are a Democrat that doesn't buy into the black-and-white religiously political orthodoxy of the neo-progressiver-than-thous, you don't exist.
If you proffer inconvenient facts, such as the fact that Obama lied about the DNC approving his Florida ads, you don't exist.
Hard to build a consensus, broad coalition when so many of your fellow Americans don't exist.
January 23, 2008 10:38 AM | Reply | Permalink
Greg, the Democratic Party "leaders" have, for decades, continued to spew forth the worst possible candidates with the caveat that the members had to vote for them. I obediently have done so and this has now led to the Iraq War. I won't continue to enable the Democratic Party in their quest for "winning" candidates who just don't win--or if they do enact such outrages as NAFTA. And I note that the same folks who enacted NAFTA are now running saying "oops".
TexModDem, Obama's position in 2002 was the same position taken by the majority of Congressional Democrats. It ended up being the right position. So let's do the smart thing and promote the candidacy of someone who got in wrong and refuses to apologize. Now, I happen to believe that Hillary supported the pre-emptive invastion of Iraq and only dislikes the incompetent handling of the war. That's what she's said and I see no reason to discount it.
That doesn't rise to the level we should be DEMANDING of a president. Good judgment from Day 1--not continued bad judgment and continued failures in providing leadership on our problems.
January 23, 2008 10:52 AM | Reply | Permalink
stlounick: "Obama's position in 2002 was the same position taken by the majority of Congressional Democrats."
But not the majority of Democratic Senators, a fact that profferers of this dishonest meme continually leave out, yet another inconvenient fact.
House districts are very small and uniform in their makeup, so it is not surprising that the majority of Democratic House members felt politically secure in voting against the measure, which was going to pass anyway with or without their votes.
Senate members must view the bigger picture and the country's position as a whole.
Obama, like members of the House, represented a small, more homogeneous and mostly anti-war district at the state level and it was no risk at all to oppose a war that most of his constituents were opposed to - there were no heroics, no prescience, only pandersing to his constituency.
Thus, the "fairy tale" characterization is quite correct.
"Now, I happen to believe that Hillary supported the pre-emptive invastion of Iraq . . ."
Then you are an idiot or a liar.
The AUMP was necessary, with the restictions it included, to get the UN inspectors back into and fully accessible to Iraq.
It worked.
The inspectors did their job and demonstrated that Saddam was toothless.
According to the terms of the AUMF, it should have ended there, but it didn't because Bush ignored the AUMF, just like he would have invaded had there never been an AUMF in the first place (his lawyers memos on his power to invade without congressional approval proves this).
Clinton is not responsible for Bush's failure to adhere to the limitations of the AUMF any more than she would be responsible for Bush's invasion of Iraq absent the AUMF, which would have passed anyway EVEN IF EVERY SINGLE DEMOCRAT HAD VOTED AGAIST IT.
So, your claim that Clinton supported the invasion and that her actions allowed Bush to invade is a tendentious and dishonest interpretation of the facts.
It is also why I will never vote for Obama, despite having voted Democrat in every single election since 1980 and Independent in 1976.
Obama supporters' black-and-white political orthodoxy is simply too reminiscent of the same black-and-white political orthodoxy of Bush and his supporters.
We don't need another eight years of black-and-white political orthodoxy which demonizes and declares as part of an axis of evil every person who does not fall into lock step with the fantasy world that the neo-progressiver-than-thous live in.
January 23, 2008 11:09 AM | Reply | Permalink
BTW, you think anyone in the Democratic Party is scared of Obama supporters refusing to support Clinton?
LOL!
We've already been through that when the neo-progressiver-than-thous undermined the Gore and Kerry campaigns, so it's nothing unexpected.
You are crybabies who will run to your rooms and pout if you don't get your way.
Well, payback is a b*tch and after two eletions of watching you a-holes let Bush win the presidency out of spite, guess what - there are quite a few of us who are now willing to give spite for spite and will do everything in our power to ensure Obama gets defeated in November should he get the nomination.
It is time you holier-than-thous get a taste of your own medicine.
If anyone is responsible for the invasion of Iraq, it is the neo-progressives who dissed Gore and either refused to vote for him or voted for Nader, because more than the AUMF, which was meaningless in either prompting or preventing Bush from invading Iraq, Bush's election ensured the invasion and neo-progressiver-than-thous were responsible for that.
Hillary is to blame for the invasion, despite the fact the AUMF would have passed anyway without her vote and with all Democrats voting against?
No, you and your ilk are to blame for giving Bush the presidency in the first place.
So, you and Obama can kiss my ass.
January 23, 2008 11:15 AM | Reply | Permalink
Well, dear StLouNick, I confess that your argument has a certain force of logic to it. I cannot claim to be persuaded by it myself; I want MO to go for the democrat and I will vote for the democrat no matter who s/he might be, but I cannot fault you for your approach.
I can, however, fault you for your approach here. Attempting to reason with TexModDem is like attempting to persuade a brick wall to stand aside and let you through. Indeed, communication with a brick wall is only slightly less worth your while.
January 23, 2008 11:24 AM | Reply | Permalink
stlounick: "Greg, the Democratic Party "leaders" have, for decades, continued to spew forth the worst possible candidates with the caveat that the members had to vote for them. I obediently have done so and this has now led to the Iraq War. I won't continue to enable the Democratic Party in their quest for "winning" candidates who just don't win--or if they do enact such outrages as NAFTA. And I note that the same folks who enacted NAFTA are now running saying "oops".
No, what led to the Iraq war was neo-progressives' abandonment of Gore in 2000.
Greg: "Attempting to reason with TexModDem is like attempting to persuade a brick wall to stand aside and let you through."
Surely you jest.
The biggest brick walls on these threads have been built by black-and-white orthodoxy Obama supporters who cherry pick facts and logic to support their enmity against Clinton and their fawning over Obama.
29 Democratic Senators voted for the AUMF, an unequivocal majority.
If you want to pretend the political considerations in the Senate are no different in the House and therefore of no significance, you are entitled to your delusion.
But the bottom line is that Bush was going to invade Iraq with or without the AUMF, the AUMF was going to pass with or without Democratic support, and IMHO Democrats hedging their bets through that turbulent time laid the groundwork for their subsequent narrow majority, a majority that likely would not have occurred if all or virtually all Democrats in the Senate had voted against the AUMF and a majority that has ensured that corruption and malfeasance within the Bush administration has been exposed.
Anyone who claims congressional Democrats are no different than their GOP counterparts and have accomplished nothing is either a fool or a liar - there were no investigations of or limits placed on the Bush administration prior to the Democrats seizing the majority and to pretend otherwise is utterly dishonest.
And yet, neo-progressiver-than-thous are not satisfied because you must adhere to their political orthodoxy in all respects and you must assent to their every political wish and whim or you are part of the axis-of-evil in American politics.
Sorry, but the only brick walls I see being raised are by the my-way-or-the-highway Obama supporters and self-congratulatory idiots like you.
January 23, 2008 12:08 PM | Reply | Permalink
'And I note that the same folks who enacted NAFTA are now running saying "oops".'
Bad policy sometimes happens.
It's the responsibility of congress to realize their mistakes and fix them...
trying to pin NAFTA on Dems, seems to ignore the context under which it was originally passed.
And Hillary Clinton didn't have a vote then.
She supported it, yes, but so did a lot of other people at the time.
And opinions are still mixed as to how effective the agreement has been.
NAFTA is not the sole reason our economy is in trouble.
January 23, 2008 12:37 PM | Reply | Permalink
Who is Barack Obama?
Probable U.S. presidential candidate, Barack Hussein Obama was s born in Honolulu, Hawaii, to Barack Hussein Obama, Sr., a black MUSLIM from Nyangoma-Kogel, Kenya and Ann Dunham, a white ATHIEST from Wichita, Kansas.
Obama's parents met at the University of Hawaii. When Obama was two years old, his parents divorced.
His father returned to Kenya. His mother then married Lolo Soetoro, a RADICAL Muslim from Indonesia.
When Obama was 6 years old the family relocated to Indonesia. Obama attended a MUSLIM school in Jakarta.
He also spent two years in a Catholic school.
Obama takes great care to conceal the fact that he is a Muslim.
He is quick to point out that, 'He was once a Muslim, but that he also attended Catholic school.'
Obama's political handlers are attempting to make it appear that he is not a radical.
Obama's introduction to Islam came via his father, and that this influence was temporary at best.
In reality, the senior Obama returned to Kenya soon after the divorce, and never again had any direct influence over his son's education.
Lolo Soetoro, the second husband of Obama's mother, Ann Dunham, introduced his stepson to Islam.
Obama was enrolled in a Wahabi school in Jakarta.
Wahabism is the RADICAL teaching that is followed by the Muslim terrorists who are now waging Jihad against the western world.
Since it is politically expedient to be a CHRISTIAN when seeking major public office in the United States, Barack Hussein Obama has joined the United Church of Christ in an attempt to downplay his Muslim background.
ALSO, keep in mind that when he was sworn into office he DID NOT use the Holy Bible, but instead the Koran.
Barack Hussein Obama will NOT recite the Pledge of Allegiance nor will he show any reverence for our flag.
While others place their hands over their hearts, Obama turns his back to the flag and slouches.
Let us all remain alert concerning Obama's expected presidential candidacy.
The Muslims have said they plan on destroying the US from the inside out,
what better way to start than at the highest level - through the President of the United States, one of their own!!!!
January 23, 2008 1:02 PM | Reply | Permalink
Who is Barack Obama?
Probable U.S. presidential candidate, Barack Hussein Obama was s born in Honolulu, Hawaii, to Barack Hussein Obama, Sr., a black MUSLIM from Nyangoma-Kogel, Kenya and Ann Dunham, a white ATHIEST from Wichita, Kansas.
Obama's parents met at the University of Hawaii. When Obama was two years old, his parents divorced.
His father returned to Kenya. His mother then married Lolo Soetoro, a RADICAL Muslim from Indonesia.
When Obama was 6 years old the family relocated to Indonesia. Obama attended a MUSLIM school in Jakarta.
He also spent two years in a Catholic school.
Obama takes great care to conceal the fact that he is a Muslim.
He is quick to point out that, 'He was once a Muslim, but that he also attended Catholic school.'
Obama's political handlers are attempting to make it appear that he is not a radical.
Obama's introduction to Islam came via his father, and that this influence was temporary at best.
In reality, the senior Obama returned to Kenya soon after the divorce, and never again had any direct influence over his son's education.
Lolo Soetoro, the second husband of Obama's mother, Ann Dunham, introduced his stepson to Islam.
Obama was enrolled in a Wahabi school in Jakarta.
Wahabism is the RADICAL teaching that is followed by the Muslim terrorists who are now waging Jihad against the western world.
Since it is politically expedient to be a CHRISTIAN when seeking major public office in the United States, Barack Hussein Obama has joined the United Church of Christ in an attempt to downplay his Muslim background.
ALSO, keep in mind that when he was sworn into office he DID NOT use the Holy Bible, but instead the Koran.
Barack Hussein Obama will NOT recite the Pledge of Allegiance nor will he show any reverence for our flag.
While others place their hands over their hearts, Obama turns his back to the flag and slouches.
Let us all remain alert concerning Obama's expected presidential candidacy.
The Muslims have said they plan on destroying the US from the inside out,
what better way to start than at the highest level - through the President of the United States, one of their own!!!!
January 23, 2008 1:03 PM | Reply | Permalink
Screw that...I'll NEVER vote for that LIAR now. Good luck winning the election without the actual democrats Obama.
A hillary supporter calling obama a liar? LOL
January 23, 2008 1:51 PM | Reply | Permalink
miked: "Screw that...I'll NEVER vote for that LIAR now."
Back atcha.
Good luck winning the election without moderate (the real actual) Democrats.
I refuse to accede to another eight years of a White House filled with black and white political orthodoxy.
I refuse to do anything to bring about another eight years of self-righteous, orthodoxy-spouting, koolaid-drinking, "Regency U" wannabes.
Obama and his supporters started this back when Clinton was smoking his ass in the polls by blasting the blogways with "Hitlery", "Goldwater Girl", "War Supporter", "Corporate Lackey", "Clinton (D-Punjab)" and all sorts of vile invective, so don't pretend that it was Clinton who started the negative campaigning rolling.
Now after engaging in a smear campaign against Clinton that smacks of the SwiftBoat Vets tactics, Obama supporters have the gall to whine about how unfair brass-knuckle politics are.
If you can't stand the heat of that kind of politics, you shouldn't have fired the first shot.
But since you have, quit your whining about it.
January 23, 2008 2:17 PM | Reply | Permalink
Clinton is not going to be Gore'd by the Naderites without a fight.
Mark my word.
And if you refuse to vote for her, then you can be as equally responsible for McCain or Rudy or Romney or Huckabee, as you were for Bush in the first place.
You think Clinton's vote for the AUMF caused the war?
No, it was your votes for Nader that caused the war and I still haven't seen an apology for that.
January 23, 2008 2:21 PM | Reply | Permalink
Nobody here is going to be guilted into voting for someone that they don't believe in.
And I assume that goes for either candidate, as I heard some of the same stuff from Clinton supporters pre-New Hampshire when people thought Hillary was out.
I'm one who won't vote for Clinton. That wasn't a light decision that I came to, and it's certainly not one I'm happy about. I think it's important to not reward the kind of campaign that Clinton has decided to run.
I'm fighting to change our country, and I'm taking the long term view here. If both parties become mirror images of each other, I don't see how real change is possible. And make no mistake about it, Hillary Clinton has run a "Right-wing" campaign. One will scream about guns and the other healthcare, but both are simply two sides of the same coin and cannot shift out of that paradigm out of fear of losing what little they've managed to eek out during the deadlock.
The long view says a vote for Clinton is a vote for politics the way we've become accustomed to seeing it, and we need to expect more from our leaders. This isn't coming from a Nader supporter. I've never voted anything other than Democrat in a Presidential election (Bill Clinton was my first vote back in '92), but in my opinion, the party needs a serious message from the voters.
January 23, 2008 4:42 PM | Reply | Permalink
The Republican party is fractured like never before. The only hope they have to coalesce around their nominee and get their voters to the polls is Hillary Rodham Clinton. You think they hated Bill? HA! HRC will drive the other side batshit crazy and to the polls like no election in history. Dems have no idea what HRC stirs in the soul of 55% of the country. You have no idea.
January 23, 2008 5:10 PM | Reply | Permalink
Damn, Obama just lost my vote for the primary, and quite possibly for the general election. That is the height of arrogance, and he completely undermined the legitimacy of his run. He says we should vote for him because he is a different kind of politics and argues that experience is a bad thing. You know what? His words and actions over the past few weeks have shown that he has always been just as bad as every politician (and I don't fault him for that, just as I don't fault Clinton or Edwards for that, politics is dirty, but I do fault him for being holier than thou...), so I can no longer see him as the candidate of hope and change AND he doesn't have the experience to boot...great, so why am I voting for him again? If it's the same old politics anyways PLEASE let me go for the smarter and more experienced politician. And Barack, don't ever take my vote, or anyone elses for granted. That's how elections were lost. And let's not forget...you LOST New Hampshire AND Nevada...
January 23, 2008 10:20 PM | Reply | Permalink
Obama is becoming more delusional by the day...he is so full of himself and his ambition that he has no idea of all the people he is turning off...that arrogance is very UNLIKEABLE...
...he is a unknown sensation and no one really knows what he stands for besides the words change and hope…that’s not enough in these challenging times and as middle America takes a second look they won’t be choosing O
...they will be going to dance with the people that brought them and remain faithful to Hill and Bill
...it's the economy, stupid...in a nutshell
...if he keeps up this way many of Hillary and Edwards supporters will just stay home...they have the real dems voting for them now...
...and Mr O will be left hoping that those independents and republicans stick with him thru the general election and don't flake out and switch to mccain
January 23, 2008 10:39 PM | Reply | Permalink
This is not true. I know BO supporters that have HRC as their 2nd choice.
January 23, 2008 10:59 PM | Reply | Permalink
You see, we have these imaginary friends, the Indies. And that is who we pander to. Chicago politics tries to go national. This sounds like Mafia protection racket. Obama really thought he is the Christchild who will be coronated, guess what? He has to work for something. It's not an older alderwoman he gets to push around.
Three groups support Hillary who vote: women, older people and now Hispanics. This will work in the primary. Imaginary friends, will just have to decide when the time comes which way their brilliant political indie minds will go. They did such a great job before, lets see what they do this time.
By the way, it was the Evangelicals that gave it to the Republicans. Why don't we pander them now and make them our new friends.
His political godfather, Rezko, could be in jail by then, lets see what the indies will think of that one.
January 23, 2008 11:27 PM | Reply | Permalink
Ugh -
the insufferable arrogance of Obama's statement.
The upside for Hillary is that her negative numbers are already maxed out after decades in the public eye and getting dragged through (and surviving) several scandals.
Obama has yet to live through the inevitable scandals, and it's questionable as to whether he's as tough as HRC. If his most recent debate performance is any indication, he'll have to work on that, and fast.
January 24, 2008 1:04 AM | Reply | Permalink