Obama Campaign Calls Florida Primary: It's A Tie!
The Obama camp is having a bit of fun with tonight's delegate-free results in Florida. Obama spokesperson Bill Burton just sent out an email with some big "breaking" news...
Obama and Clinton tie for delegates in Florida.0 for Obama,
0 for Clinton.
But Bill, where's Edwards? How many delegates did Edwards get?
Seriously, the delegate question aside, lots of folks are voting in Florida right now, and with a third reporting, Hillary has 49%, Obama has 29%, and Edwards has 15%.
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Are there any New Hampshirites/Iowans out there who can give us there perspective on Billary insisting these delegates be seated, despite the earlier promises made? Is this a big deal to you guys? I am curious,
January 29, 2008 8:24 PM | Reply | Permalink
Seriously, though, all those votes result in the same delegate count award for each candidate. ZERO.
Sorry Greg, this is a NON-STORY, no matter how the Clintons try to spin it.
January 29, 2008 8:24 PM | Reply | Permalink
I'm undecided about who & which party I’m voting for, but found this great article called "Black Voters and a Twist of Bias" on the BlogZine SAVAGE POLITICS. It explain what happened in SC and FL.
http://savagepolitics.com/?p=59
WOW- all I have to say!
Here is an excerpt: “Last Saturday’s South Carolina Democratic Primary produced the widely expected result of a Barack Obama victory. From the beginning of the week, it was the ethnic composition of the State in question which was amply discussed by both the Media and it’s multiple pundits. It was here and through other sources that we discovered that 55% percent of Democratic voters in South Carolina were African American. An interesting number when you consider the “coincidence” that Obama actually won the election by exactly the same margin: 55%. Of course, many in Clinton’s campaign have used this demographic reality to spin their defeat, vociferating that they had always expected to loose from the start. It should be noted that it has been this exact attitude which they have ridiculed Obama’s camp for, insinuating that they had proved to be “sore losers” by not admitting their own failures in stating their case to the American People. As we all know, in modern politics, no campaign is free of idiotic childishness, sadly resurfacing the reality that our current political existence is dominated by whining imbeciles of the lowest ilk. Nevertheless, the Clinton Campaign’s affirmation (victory based on a unified ethnic constituency) is valid, especially when we consider the data.
The Primary’s exit polling, presented by all major networks, were utilized by analysts to determine how was Obama’s, Edwards’, and Clinton’s support spread throughout different social markers. Their results indicated that 80% of the Black vote, and only 20% of the White vote, went towards Barack Obama. Regarding most White voters in the State, you could easily identify their split between John Edwards and Hillary Clinton. The significance of this racial division is crucial in understanding the fate of Barack Obama’s campaign, and the Democratic Party, if they chose to face the General Election with him at the helm.…” Find the rest of the article at http://savagepolitics.com/?p=59
January 29, 2008 8:26 PM | Reply | Permalink
With 33% of precincts reporting, according to CNN just now, the number of votes cast on the democratic side has already exceeded total turnout for the 2004 Florida Democratic Primary.
January 29, 2008 8:26 PM | Reply | Permalink
Thank the property tax measure.
January 29, 2008 8:27 PM | Reply | Permalink
Why would anyone want to vote for someone who is so blatantly trying to manipulate the rules in mid-game?
The Clintons should get no delegates, and should be stripped of their superdelegates for betraying the party.
January 29, 2008 8:27 PM | Reply | Permalink
So far Drudge is not taking the bait.
January 29, 2008 8:28 PM | Reply | Permalink
I say all of the delegates should go to Gravel. It will double up his delegate count to date and make things real interesting going into February 5th.
January 29, 2008 8:30 PM | Reply | Permalink
Thank you, Obama Campaign, for the humor. Some levity is needed as crunch time rolls around1
January 29, 2008 8:31 PM | Reply | Permalink
hillary's victory rally is on tv...how fake and sad
January 29, 2008 8:34 PM | Reply | Permalink
Been a long time since there was a real convention with a real delegate fight. Way it goes is the majority gets to make the rules. I'm wondering if the Edwards delegates are bound to vote with him on seating the delegations if there is a rules challenge. My guess is they are only bound to cast their votes for him in the nomination and can vote any way they want to on the rules. If so, Clinton won't have much trouble putting a majority together to change the rule and seat Michigan and Florida.
January 29, 2008 8:36 PM | Reply | Permalink
its really sad watching the Obama campaign discount the votes of a couple million democrats!
talk about sore losers
January 29, 2008 8:37 PM | Reply | Permalink
So several million Democrats voted today in Florida, and you all are willing to just deny them a voice, just cause they went largely for Hillary?? Come on. You know you'd be singing a different tune if your candidates came out ahead. Punish the Florida legislature for moving up the primary? Sure. But punish the voters themselves by ignoring them? Not cool.
January 29, 2008 8:39 PM | Reply | Permalink
Looked at from a delegate standpoint, Clinton has yet to win a single state yet.
January 29, 2008 8:39 PM | Reply | Permalink
With 33% of precincts reporting, according to CNN just now, the number of votes cast on the democratic side has already exceeded total turnout for the 2004 Florida Democratic Primary.
Kerry had already wrapped up the nomination by the time Florida voted in 2004.
January 29, 2008 8:40 PM | Reply | Permalink
"its really sad watching the Obama campaign discount the votes of a couple million democrats!"
this is like republicans using the phrase flip-flop in 2004. the dnc was the one that discounted the votes, not obama, not hillary, the dnc. This crazy thing happened in which all the candidates agreed to discount the votes. and now one candidate thinks they count.
January 29, 2008 8:40 PM | Reply | Permalink
Neither Obama nor Edwards had any say in the DNC stripping the delegates.
But Hillary trying to change the rules in the middle of the game is rank cheating.
January 29, 2008 8:42 PM | Reply | Permalink
I don't think america is going to care about delegate seats when they go out to vote... This win will help her... she looks like she is going to bet him by 20 to 30 points when its all over in florida.
January 29, 2008 8:43 PM | Reply | Permalink
You know, I'm not an Obama fan at all, and I frankly don't like his campaign-- but the Hillary Clinton people are really looking pathetic and desperate here.
It's not just zero delegates in Florida-- it was ***zero campaigning*** by the Edwards and Obama teams in Florida. Of course Hillary gets the most votes, she has the most name recognition and the Obama voters, especially the younger generation, just didn't turn out in the contest because Obama himself took the pledge not to campaign. (Which Hillary seems to have broken FWIW.)
If anything, Florida to me looks like an interesting and useful "natural experiment" that shows just how surprisingly effective the Obama campaign has been (to my own personal dismay FWIW), and just how terrible the Clinton campaign has been.
She goes into each of the primaries with a big name recognition advantage, worth almost 20% or so, and yet her campaign is so awful that Obama erases advantage and often even trounces Hillary.
If any Hillary supporters are actually trying to tout Florida as a "victory," then they really are grasping desperately. They're only going to hurt and humiliate their candidate even further by trying to make claims that are so transparently idiotic.
January 29, 2008 8:44 PM | Reply | Permalink
Every vote counts. Every vote should count. This is America, this is not Pakistan. The fact that the DNC is throwing Floridians away is disgusting.
Then Obama comes out with this memo, taunting the people of Florida? How can he hope to carry Florida when he just poured salt and lemon into their wounds?
I can only hope the press reports this win for what it is -- a win. And then they show Obama's tasteless, tactless, immature taunt of Florida.
January 29, 2008 8:44 PM | Reply | Permalink
"And then they show Obama's tasteless, tactless, immature taunt of Florida."
Tasteless is going back on a pledge.
January 29, 2008 8:47 PM | Reply | Permalink
Not only are the numbers huge, but this is a state Hillary can win in the general election. Can Obama win South Carolina in the general? My guess is the Obama machine wants to take over the leadership of the Democratic Party, even if they can't win the White House. Winning the nomination is their only goal right now. If they get the nomination and lose in November, they can come back in four years. If they lose the nomination this year, it will be a long time before their time comes around again. Florida is enormous. Millions of voters getting themselves to the polls. No campaigns. No machines. No spin and distortion. No branding. Just millions of voters.
January 29, 2008 8:49 PM | Reply | Permalink
I never thought I'd see the day when Americans throw away other American's votes. I never thought we would resemble elections in Iraq more than American elections.
I never thought Americans would throw away entire states, regardless of if they have delegates or not. You should be ashamed of yourself, regardless of who you support. Americans matter, votes matter.
Hillary Clinton won, decisively, in Florida. She should be congratulated. Instead, all you people can do is call her pathetic because she doesn't get delegates. You should be ashamed.
January 29, 2008 8:50 PM | Reply | Permalink
Good headline at Miami Herald.
BTW, SC was a rout only in the media. I'm still looking for the number for 1984 and 1988 but vaguely recall that the breakout is very similar. Good press for Jackson then, good for Obama, but now OLD NEWS with Florida's vote.
And, sure doesn't count NOW, but I seriously suspect that this isn't the last word on this. Plus, it is good press and shows Clinton supporting enfranchisement while Obama disses voters.
January 29, 2008 8:50 PM | Reply | Permalink
You Hillbots are truly pathetic.
January 29, 2008 8:51 PM | Reply | Permalink
Put the blame on the delegates where they belong please, the states democratic party as they were the ones who broke the rules and ignored Deans and the DNC's offers of compromise
January 29, 2008 8:51 PM | Reply | Permalink
For Obama to cavalierly mock the voices of more than 2 million voters, almost 4 times the number who showed up in SC, runs counter to his unity theme. He has no problem dismissing and disenfranchising 2 million white, Hispanic and, yes, black voters for Hillary but if the same had been done in SC the cries of RACIST would have reverberated through the country.
What a crock.
And of course the media isn't covering Hillary's huge victory, except for Fox news and a few conscientious blogs like TPM.
Kudos to TPM for reporting on 2 million of our fellow citizens who would like a seat at the table, too.
I'm sure Barak knows that song, The Welcome Table or should we call it The Un-Welcome Table?
January 29, 2008 8:52 PM | Reply | Permalink
For Obama to cavalierly mock the voices of more than 2 million voters, almost 4 times the number who showed up in SC, runs counter to his unity theme. He has no problem dismissing and disenfranchising 2 million white, Hispanic and, yes, black voters for Hillary but if the same had been done in SC the cries of RACIST would have reverberated through the country.
What a crock.
And of course the media isn't covering Hillary's huge victory, except for Fox news and a few conscientious blogs like TPM.
Kudos to TPM for reporting on 2 million of our fellow citizens who would like a seat at the table, too.
I'm sure Barak knows that song, The Welcome Table or should we call it The Un-Welcome Table?
January 29, 2008 8:54 PM | Reply | Permalink
Mark, candidates were allowed to fund raise in Florida. That is all Hillary did.
However, Obama ran campaign advertising in Florida through a national package. They were told, in no uncertain terms, that they could not use campaign material in Florida through electronic means such as TV.
So yes, it is pretty disgusting when you break a pledge -- like Obama did.
As for the DNC, I don't care if they wanted to give the world. They are throwing away American votes. They should be absolutely ashamed.
January 29, 2008 8:54 PM | Reply | Permalink
Oh please Jack - it was funny. The time to object for Florida voters was back when the decision was being made. They were already denied a campaign that would have made it a true contest. You can't change it now. The state should not have done this to their own voters. They could have voted a week later and had their delegates. Hillary would most likely still have won, though with smaller margins. But it's an older voting population with lots of New Yorkers and I think she would have held it. But don't paint it as poor Floridians now because they lost their voice a while ago.
January 29, 2008 8:54 PM | Reply | Permalink
Jackson won with 64%+ vote.
January 29, 2008 8:54 PM | Reply | Permalink
The time for Hillary to complain about the DNC decision in Michigan and Florida was MONTHS ago. Forgetting Florida, the very fact that she wants to seat "her" delegates from Michigan is outrageous considering that neither Edwards nor Obama had allowed their names to be on the ballot. Please Hillary people, try to see this from a neutral point of view for what it is.
January 29, 2008 8:55 PM | Reply | Permalink
Let's call her ploy to change the agreed upon rules and count the Florida delegates exactly what it is:
Hillary Clinton's Florida "signing statement"!
January 29, 2008 8:56 PM | Reply | Permalink
Does Obama have a rudeness streak? Seriously. Consider:
1. At debate before NH, he was rude to Clinton.
2. He was rude at SC debate about whether Bill Clinton was the first so-called Black President.
3. At State of the Union, he appears to have purposely turned away from Clinton to avoide exchanging pleasantries (on camera no less).
4. He trashes Florida voters
January 29, 2008 8:56 PM | Reply | Permalink
What happened to wanting our candidate to fight for every vote? She's willing to fight, she's not giving up anything - isn't that what we want to see in the general election? I don't Florida should get to seat delegates, but their voices should be heard if the convention is deadlocked.
January 29, 2008 8:57 PM | Reply | Permalink
im thinking this was hillary's cringe moment of the election. Its just so fake.
January 29, 2008 8:57 PM | Reply | Permalink
So, rg, would you like to go to Iran, where votes do not count depending on who you like? Apparently, you're already there.
It should be changed, not because Clinton won...but because it is the right thing to do. Who gives a crap about the DNC's timetable. It is the American right to vote and to select their representatives. Howard Dean has NO right to take that from Americans because he wants Iowa to be the first to vote.
You may want to take us to Iran, but I want to keep is in America. I want votes to count, regardless of winner.
January 29, 2008 8:57 PM | Reply | Permalink
The biggest story---is that----with no effort by Obama or Edwards----they were able to hold Hillary to 50 percent of the toatl vote. Even if 210 delegates were awarded---she would have been spinning her wheels in terms of reaching the majority.
If Edwards and Obama did campaign---she would have been even further away fro0m the 2025 or whatever it would be.
January 29, 2008 8:57 PM | Reply | Permalink
to alwaystip's question-Im an iowan. I caucused for Dodd, incidentally. Hillary's decision to renig on her pledge isn't exactly shocking to me but I'd have expected better. I could see it coming with the way they treated the "win" in michigan however. one one hand, you have to take good press and results wherever you find them. otoh, celebrating an uncontested election seems cheap and tacky to me. whatver gets them through the day though, you've got to pin your hope to something. I guess.
January 29, 2008 8:57 PM | Reply | Permalink
Matthew, you're a joke.
January 29, 2008 8:58 PM | Reply | Permalink
Some thing to take note of: If the trend continues, with the Republicans having spent and campaigned heavily in Florida, and the Democrats not, the top two Democrats are getting about the same total of voter support as the top two Republicans. That bodes well for the Democrats in the General election.
Go Hillary or Obama.
January 29, 2008 8:59 PM | Reply | Permalink
Obama becomes more of a 'jerk' everyday....his campaign is ridiculous.... Just don't want to waste anymore time discussing his stupidity. If you really want change in this country...suport Hillary
January 29, 2008 9:00 PM | Reply | Permalink
At the same time Obama is putting out statements ridiculing Clinton, he is also quietly returning $70,000 more Rezko money. I'll bet he's glad Hillary is drawing some attention away from him this evening.
Two very opportunistic campaigns. Should be a roller-coaster week.
January 29, 2008 9:03 PM | Reply | Permalink
If you can't win a primary, just manufacture one.
Hillary Clinton has become the Marion Jones of Presidential Politics. Cheater.
January 29, 2008 9:04 PM | Reply | Permalink
kjoe - did you read the previous posts? None of the democratic candidates campaigned in Florida. They got to fund raise, but that was all. Obama had one ad that ran on cable that was a mistake, but NONE of them campaigned there and they were all on the ballot. You can spin all you want, but this was a big win for Hillary.
January 29, 2008 9:04 PM | Reply | Permalink
Ah...don't worry those votes will count come convention time you all know they will. Tonight is just the start of the Fall of the House of Obama. This is the beginning of the end. Suck it up baby cause the 5th is coming soon.
January 29, 2008 9:05 PM | Reply | Permalink
That obama, he is a class act isn't he?
He was really classy playing the race card after the NH win. Even though this ltest glimpse in to just how classy obama is doesn’t quite top his claiming he won NV.
January 29, 2008 9:05 PM | Reply | Permalink
Are these the same Obama "every vote should count" people who were just suffering a severe case of the vapors over the lawsuit in Nevada last week?
Just wondering.
Hillary wallops the field with 50% in THE really big Southeastern state.
Robert Kennedy Jr. and Kathleen Kennedy Townsend endorse Senator Clinton.
A tie this week, indeed. Can't wait to see the postings here next week Wednesday!
January 29, 2008 9:07 PM | Reply | Permalink
Just in, Obama's camp has now called the win as "hollow" and "meaningless". I guess the 300,000 or more people who voted for him are meaningless too because he doesn't get delegates.
I'm absolutely amazed that the DNC is allowing this, even more amazed that Americans are actually encouraging them to throw out a million votes.
January 29, 2008 9:09 PM | Reply | Permalink
You guys continue your proud tradition of covering the primaries with all the grace, artistry, attention to substance over empty horse race bs & "fair and balanced" coverage that the MSM provides in the general.
January 29, 2008 9:09 PM | Reply | Permalink
Josh wrote on January 29, 2008 8:58 PM: Matthew, you're a joke.
Thanks, but I don't joke and am not a joke. My observations are valid and good for discussion. Regarding Obama's rudeness, feel free to explain how I'm wrong.
January 29, 2008 9:10 PM | Reply | Permalink
I know that a straight story is hard for team Clinton to follow, but the fact is that Florida and Michigan don't count, per the mutual agreement of all candidates and the Democratic Party. I think you Hillbots might feel more comfortable at Taylor Marsh's site, where comments are moderated to ensure uniformity of opinion.
January 29, 2008 9:14 PM | Reply | Permalink
Jack, you idiot, Obama and Edwards DID NOT CAMPAIGN in Florida. I don't support Obama, but your moronic bleatings here show just how desperate you are-- the results are meaningless without an actual campaign in the state.
January 29, 2008 9:15 PM | Reply | Permalink
Personally, I think it's unfortunate, but rules are rules and the delegates should not be seated, at least before the convention, when most people were saying they'd probably be brought back in ceremoniously.
Hillary did not campaign in Florida. She had fundraisers, closed to the media like they were allowed. Barak had a tv commercial, not allowed. Both had unions working on their behalfs. Also, in Michigan, the Obama and Edwards campaigns encouraged people to vote undecided (did you think 40% of the voters just showed up on their own to do that) and Hillary still won 55% of that vote.
She was always likely to win and would have always wanted them seated but needed to be competative in Iowa, SC and NH and NV so she only said it after the four states were done, politicial, well yeah, but last time I checked this is a political campaign. The idea that after all the national coverage, Obama can say he's not well known enough is a joke
What does matter is that Florida voters voted and we should not ignore what they said, even without delegates
January 29, 2008 9:15 PM | Reply | Permalink
Bill Burton? I'm sure he's been dropped in the grease by now. Check on him tomorrow and see how he's doing after making fun of millions of Democratic voters. Immaturity is fast becoming a signature trait of the Obama campaign. Disrespect. Rudeness. Attitude. Watch what happens to him in Texas. Game. Set. Match.
January 29, 2008 9:17 PM | Reply | Permalink
Comments from the Editors of the NH Union Leader:
COURTING VOTERS in Iowa and New Hampshire, last August Sen. Hillary Clinton signed a pledge not to "campaign or participate" in the Michigan or Florida Democratic primaries. She participated in both primaries and is campaigning in Florida. Which proves, again, that Hillary Clinton is a liar.
Clinton kept her name on the Michigan ballot when others removed theirs, she campaigned this past weekend in Florida, and she is pushing to seat Michigan and Florida delegates at the Democratic National Convention. The party stripped those states of delegates as punishment for moving up their primary dates.
"I will try to persuade my delegates to seat the delegates from Michigan and Florida," Clinton said last week, after the New Hampshire primaries and Iowa caucuses were safely over.
Clinton coldly and knowingly lied to New Hampshire and Iowa. Her promise was not a vague statement. It was a signed pledge with a clear and unequivocal meaning.
She signed it thinking that keeping the other candidates out of Michigan and Florida was to her advantage, but knowing she would break it if that proved beneficial later on. It did, and she did.
New Hampshire voters, you were played for suckers.
http://www.unionleader.com/article.aspx?headline=Hillary's+word:+It's+worth+nothing&articleId=0853268a-d982-4190-81e8-740ae942f510
January 29, 2008 9:18 PM | Reply | Permalink
"Anonymous", you should read again instead of being a failure. Everyone agrees that Obama used a campaign ad in Florida under the guise that he couldn't exclude them from a national ad.
Meanwhile, Clinton broke no agreement as she was allowed to fund raise, but she couldn't campaign or stump in person or through media.
Obama knew Florida was part of the package.
Bring back the delegates, and let all votes count. Screw the DNC and their meaningless need to have states be more special. I thought so then, I think so now.
January 29, 2008 9:22 PM | Reply | Permalink
There was a national campaign raging all around us. We get TV here in Florida. The results have some level of meaning - I'm sure all the campaigns are glad to have the polling data.
We got to express our opinion, despite the idiocy of out legislature and the DNC.
By the way, Obama had a TV ad here this weekend, in case anyone is in doubt as to who did and did not campaign here. He has name recognition. To Keith and Chris on MSNBC who seemed to find it cheating that Florida Hillary supporters have campaign signs - there is an Obama sign in my neighbor's lawn right now.
January 29, 2008 9:27 PM | Reply | Permalink
Really the New Hampshire Union Leader???
Who endorsed McCain. So much for not using Republican talking points. Just because it's in a newspaper doesn't make it fact. If people are interested call the DNC and see if she violated the pledge, don't trust the trash. Don't forget Obama has been running tv ads saying it's just a national buy, but Hillary did her national buy excluding Florida, as promised. So get over it
January 29, 2008 9:28 PM | Reply | Permalink
Kefa wrote on January 29, 2008 9:05 PM:
Ah...don't worry those votes will count come convention time you all know they will. Tonight is just the start of the Fall of the House of Obama. This is the beginning of the end. Suck it up baby cause the 5th is coming soon.
*Cue scary music.
January 29, 2008 9:28 PM | Reply | Permalink
Kjoe: You said there was no effort in Florida by Obama or Edwards. There was no official campaigning by Senator Clinton either.
To the losers tonight, I know you believe in fuzzy math, but here are the facts:Hillary 51%
Obama 31%
Edwards 15%
Now let me guess ... Who won?
Looks like Hillary to me.
Did the Obama supporters not see the returns. Maybe they flunked basic math.
I guess the rule is when Senator Clinton wins in a state representative of the entire country, it doen't count?
January 29, 2008 9:30 PM | Reply | Permalink
Always,
I may not be the best person to comment here, as an Iowan who is not convinced that Iowa's perpetual first status is justifiable.
But, as far as my reaction to the attempt to seat FL delegates, I'd say that it violates my sense of fairplay as a person, not just as an Iowan. My little sister was very fond, circa age 5, of declaring new rules mid-game. We all used to gang up on her and tell her such behavior was unacceptable. Now I wonder if we stifled a brilliant political career...
As an Iowan, I was probably more offended by the post-Iowa caucus suggestions by her campaign and surrogates that 1) Iowa's caucuses was nothing more than a mayoral election in a medium-sized town, and that 2) Iowan women were bullied into caucusing for other candidates by their husbands. Completely offensive sore losership, imho, and rather ironic for someone whose political career started in the teeming metropolis of Arkansas and whose main claim to fame pre-NY was standing by her man, no matter what.
January 29, 2008 9:32 PM | Reply | Permalink
Dawn, you mean that just because Howard Dean decreed your state meaningless, you still get information? I thought you were completely cut off, according to the press that does all it can to keep the Obama storyline.
The voice of Florida has absolutely every level of meaning. You should have your delegates, you shouldn't be silenced. If Howard Dean continues to run the party like a frat house, your voice will be heard again when you vote for President. I have a feeling, though, that Scream Dean won't like the result of his iron fist.
January 29, 2008 9:32 PM | Reply | Permalink
Jack - I wanted Florida's votes to count months ago - that was my point. You seem to only want them to count after a result you like. So - I don't think you need to send me to Iran just because I support a different candidate than you do.
January 29, 2008 9:32 PM | Reply | Permalink
I finally get it now.
The Hillbots are loving this, because this is how they expected it to be.
Oh, if only no one would campaign against her, she would win! Damn those mean other folks for having the audacity to stop the coronation!
There was no campaign in Florida. Hillary won a name recognition contest on the basis of having been first lady.
I know you wanted the whole campaign to be like that. But it isn't.
Learn to live with disappointment.
January 29, 2008 9:35 PM | Reply | Permalink
rg, you really have a problem reading, don't you? I opposed Dean's ham handed decision when he made it.
The difference is that you've clearly changed your tune now that Obama has lost, massively, in Florida. I still think Dean was wrong, and should be disgusted in himself.
Hillary has every right to fight for the states she won, even if Obama abandoned them. It's not her fault that the states moved up, it's not her fault that Howard Dean runs the DNC like the high school yearbook club, and it shouldn't be held against her or the people of Michigan or Florida.
January 29, 2008 9:37 PM | Reply | Permalink
Josh, Floridians were not in a bubble just because Howard Dean sat on his throne and decreed that they don't count. They saw the same speeches, same debates, and had the same grassroots as every other candidate.
Stop downplaying the people of Florida because your candidate lost by a massive spread. They know who Obama is, just as much as they know who Clinton is.
The only disappointment here is people like you who want us to be more like Iran in our elections.
January 29, 2008 9:40 PM | Reply | Permalink
Jack and other Hilarists,
How can you call Michigan a win if the other candidates weren't even on the ballot? How is that not also subverting democracy?
January 29, 2008 9:41 PM | Reply | Permalink
"Are these the same Obama "every vote should count" people who were just suffering a severe case of the vapors over the lawsuit in Nevada last week?"
Actually, Hillary is doing basically the same thing in FL as she was there. She agreed to the rules months before, and didnt say anything about them, didnt complain. Now, all of a sudden, when shes in trouble (Culinary Union endorsing Obama in NV, Obama getting boosts from SC and the Kennedys now), she acts like shes concerned. If she geniuenly cared about Florida's votes, she would have brought it up months ago. I don't think she cheated: technically she was fundraising, just like technically, Obama was running a national ad campaign on TV. It's just completely hollow and fake to act like she all of a sudden cares so much about the people of Florida's voice: she's only doing it because it will help her.
Also, no one should be blaming Obama or the DNC for this whole thing: it's all the Florida government's (or whoever decides when their primary is, not sure) decision. If they hadn't have moved up, their delagates would count, but they didn't, strictly against party rules. Has anyone brought up a valid arguement why this shouldn't have happened? If you break the rules, you should be penalized, otherwise, what would have been the point of those rules.
January 29, 2008 9:43 PM | Reply | Permalink
Jack, the votes got counted. They aren't going to be used for any delegates.
Sorry, bud, that's the way it got decided.
And a campaign without organizers on the ground isn't a campaign at all, so no, it isn't the same as any other state.
You can wish it to be so, but it isn't.
January 29, 2008 9:43 PM | Reply | Permalink
Obama and Edwards made their personal decisions to withdraw their names. They were not required to, as seen in Florida where both were still on the ballot.
It should not be held against Clinton that Obama and Edwards abandoned Michigan.
Also, Clinton was not the only Democrat on the ballot. Others were there, which further proves that it was not required to remove yourself.
Obama and Edwards made their choice, and should live with it. Clinton won the vote, regardless. She should be allowed to claim it as such and should be able to have the delegates -- this is America. We do not throw away votes because of a despot like Howard Dean wants specific states to be first in line.
January 29, 2008 9:43 PM | Reply | Permalink
Jack, there's no substitute for targeted campaigning. Florida made itself an early primary, and if there was a REAL competition there, it would have gotten the attention an early primary gets. And I think Obama could have won if that were the case.
As it is, Clinton wouldn't have won today without her last name.
January 29, 2008 9:45 PM | Reply | Permalink
Kudos for Clinton for a huge victory, one with symbolic not practical importance.
As for the Obama supporters who dismiss the victory as simply a function of "name recognition", I think they miss a very important point: in all elections, name recognition is a very important factor. In the fall, if she's the nominee, Clinton will be campaigning nationwide with a huge name recognition identified with the most positive Democratic brand in the last quarter century. Her opponent, a virtual unknown in 50 states prior to this past year, would be saddled with a name, well, only a mother could love, as he would surely admit. Hussein Obama is a tough name to sell to the low-information voters who will dominate in the fall, for the obvious reasons that have something to do with our enemies in the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan.
So before dissing Clinton's victory on name recognition, consider that you are advocating a candidate who could sink the Democrats election chances for no better reason than a helluva lot of ignorant people will NEVER vote for a Hussein Obama. That's awful, tough, but true.
January 29, 2008 9:46 PM | Reply | Permalink
Good LORD.
Reading the Clinton supporters' posts, I feel like they're sticking their fingers in their ears and singing loudly to themselves.
The ability to deny away the assertions from Obama and Edwards supporters is astounding.
January 29, 2008 9:46 PM | Reply | Permalink
In order to withdraw their names from the Florida ballot, they would've had to submit a statement under oath that they were not running for President.
January 29, 2008 9:47 PM | Reply | Permalink
You HAD to call him 'Hussein Obama,' didn't you DemUnity?
Is there something wrong with his first name, Barack?
Why didn't you use it?
January 29, 2008 9:48 PM | Reply | Permalink
Those that voted did so under the impression that their vote would be used to select the democratic candidate, Josh. You're going to pretend they still have the same value after Howard Dean threw the delegates out, thus the expectation of their vote bring for the delegate?
Josh, Obama had the same grassroots. The same people organizing, just like Clinton. The only difference is that Obama had ads, Clinton did not. A state does not need stump speeches to make a decision.
They had the same exposure as many other states will get on Tuesday, so stop pretending that they didn't.
January 29, 2008 9:49 PM | Reply | Permalink
Indy: Good LORD
Apparently you have not seen the results. It's the Obama supporters who have stuck their fingers in their ears. I acknowledged that Obama won South Carolina, why can't you acknowledge that Hillary won Florida?
Oh that's right the Clintons stole it!
January 29, 2008 9:50 PM | Reply | Permalink
If people voted in Florida assuming their vote was going to be used to determine the Democratic nominee, they need to get out more.
It isn't going to be. It was in all the papers.
January 29, 2008 9:56 PM | Reply | Permalink
Indy:
I didn't use either candidate's first names, Indy
Just trying to toughen you up to face the sort of attacks that will be coming from the Republicans on a daily basis if Obama wins the nomination.
While the pundits speak of Obama's electability in terms of race, I think the bigger electability question is in terms of his name. A lot of ordinary Americans don't like it, and won't vote for a man with his name.
It doesn't matter to me one whit, but I think it's worth talking about in terms of Obama's electability. And P.S.: Clinton's got her own electability issues, and they probably are even worse than Obama's. I'm just trying to provide balance because so many of you folks here discount the value of having a name people want to vote for.
January 29, 2008 9:57 PM | Reply | Permalink
jabberwocky, doesn't matter. They made their choice, and live by it.
However, I'm done with this. Those of you that want to throw away people's votes, you should be ashamed of yourself. All votes should count, and they should count for their intent. The people of Florida have every right to choose their candidate, regardless of what Howard Dean wants.
Goodnight, and I hope YOUR vote counts too. Those of you who want to throw away Florida, I can only hope you experience the same thing one day. Have your votes, your voice, and your decision thrown away because of someone else's decision. Maybe then you will understand the power of a vote.
January 29, 2008 9:57 PM | Reply | Permalink
the Clinton trolls in this thread are hilariously inane.
January 29, 2008 10:02 PM | Reply | Permalink
Cheering supporters? Check. Election returns on the projection screen? Check. Andrea Mitchell and Candy Crowley doing stand-ups? Check and check. In fact, the only piece missing from Sen. Hillary Clinton's Florida victory party here Tuesday night was a victory...
Wolf Blitzer was up on the big projection screen. Clinton banners ("Solutions for America") had all the camera angles covered. The orange stucco palace was filled with official Hillary Clinton posters and stickers, and people in "Team Hillary" T-shirts signed in elected officials and other supporters. Clinton aides worked the rows of reporters and the candidate entered to the strains of "9 to 5" and roars from the crowd.
"Florida," Rep. Debbie Wasserman-Schultz (D-Fla.) told the cheering crowd, "is going to delver a tremendous victory tonight for Senator Hillary Clinton."
Well, at least a tremendous victory party.
B>Much Ado About No Delegates
By Dana Milbank
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2008/01/29/AR2008012902998_pf.html
January 29, 2008 10:05 PM | Reply | Permalink
there are a lot of single-named, similarly-formatting pro-hilary posters here tonight that I've never seen before.
curious, isn't it?
i'm talking to you Jack and Alan and Dawn and Eli.
for what its worth, congratulations to Clinton and good luck selling it.
January 29, 2008 10:11 PM | Reply | Permalink
blackstar wrote on January 29, 2008 10:02 PM:
"the Clinton trolls in this thread are hilariously inane."
As opposed to the Obama trolls who are inanely hilarious?
And such insight they add, oh my!
Enjoy it while it lasts until next Wednesday.
January 29, 2008 10:18 PM | Reply | Permalink
Yeah, i'm noticing a whole lot of what looks like Hillary team astroturfing here tonight...leave it to her to create another issue of tension and divisiviveness...she'll never get my vote..
January 29, 2008 10:20 PM | Reply | Permalink
Like Josh said, Hillary Supporters are loving Michigan and Florida because that is how the whole campaign was supposed to go: an inevitability campaign with no real competition, rolling to the coronation with unprecedented Democratic support. This surety of being unopposed for the Democratic nomination and the overwhelmingly presumed Democratic candidate in the general election is why she carefully crafted a conservative and hawkish Senate voting record. She has been looking past the primary for years and years.
Remember her response to Matt Lauer when he offered the what-if scenario that she might not win the Democratic primary?
But an odd thing happened on the way to the coronation: she picked up a primary opponent who is able - for whatever reasons, all debatable - to significantly draw supporters WHERE HE CAMPAIGNS compared to the opposite effect with Hillary: the more she campaigns, the more support she loses.
So let the Clinton folks enjoy this "victory", after all it is symbolic of the way her entire campaign was designed to work - and is so far failing stunningly at. As Barack continues to rise and Hillary continues to sink, the Clinton supporters will lash out with more and more anger, more and more charges of how unfair it all is.
And we can all sympathize with those feelings. I've supported candidates in the last three or four primaries that didn't work out to be "the one". It is frustrating, demoralizing, draining, infuriating. (I remember screaming at Kerry on my television "JUST SAY IT!!!!" as he rambled on interminably knowing we passed up on better speechifiers.)
Now consider that none of the folks I supported really ever had anything other than an outside shot. None were ever the presumptive nominee a year or more out with national poll leads the likes no one has ever seen.
If you were a Hillary supporter, wouldn't you be absolutely furious at the way this is playing out? Wouldn't you be beside yourself with the unfairness of it all?
January 29, 2008 10:21 PM | Reply | Permalink
Count all the votes in Florida!
But don't count student votes in Iowa or let the unions caucus on the strip in Nevada?
January 29, 2008 10:22 PM | Reply | Permalink
As I write this, Hillary has made a media event about a state where she wants to change the rules in the middle of the campaign.
Is this woman a hypocrite or what? Is this any different than what is going on in the White House?
When Hillary thought she had the DNC in her back pocket, she agreed with this decission; however, now she wants to claim victory. If one looks at the count, she only carried those who voted early. Compared to those who recently decided, she, once more, got her clock cleaned.
Do we really need a dishonest power monger in White House? Haven't we lost enough jobs? Don't forget, it was Clinton who ushered in the "free trade" that sent manufacturing overseas and now we get lead in our children's toys. This is "caring" about our families? Please.
January 29, 2008 10:36 PM | Reply | Permalink
As opposed to the Obama trolls who are inanely hilarious?
----------------
actually i don't think any group of supporters of any candidate this election are as completely removed from reality or ready to distort it to fit their own pre-formed narratives as Clinton supporters.
maybe Paulites. but its close.
January 29, 2008 10:44 PM | Reply | Permalink
I just saw on MSNBC, they asked Hillary about Obamas people releasing a statement about how on the campaign trail in IA and NH she talked about how the FL and MI primaries "wouldn't count." She just starts laughing and says something like "Well, that's just a bunch of political jargon" and then goes on to talk about her policies and everything. It's something that there is NO WAY she can respond to it without dodging the question. I can't believe more people aren't seeing through this.
And also, I've been reading about how Obama won among people who voted today and recently, with Clinton winning azmong people who voted a month and longer ago. Anyone know how true this is, or if there are any numbers to back it up? If it is true, Im surprised its not being played up more.
January 29, 2008 10:45 PM | Reply | Permalink
South Carolina:
Barack Obama 55.44%
Hillary Clinton 26.52%
John Edwards 17.57%
Florida:
Clinton 50%
Obama 33%
Edwards 14%
Difference? They all campaigned in South Carolina.
And the delegates there mattered.
January 29, 2008 10:51 PM | Reply | Permalink
while all you true blue partisan types are having your partisan wank-fest over the clinton/obama pseudo-contest, ironically, the real story in the florida election is the rank smell of decay surrounding the apparent adoption of the constitutional amendment regarding property tax assessments. the amendment has never enjoyed more than 40% support in all opinion polls prior to this contest, and yet, somehow it managed to pass with a healthy 60%+ majority (coincidentally, just enough to comfortably meet florida's new 60% requirement for amending its constitution).
this amendment is going to be awful for the state of florida if it passes muster with the courts. our tax base is shrinking more rapidly than the antarctic glaciers. by all accounts, with this new measure in effect, the state of florida might as well pack it in, call it a day and just dissolve all together.
florida's already seeing budget shortfalls in the hundreds of millions as it is, and it's only getting worse. with the collapse of the real estate market virtually certain to cause further steep declines in the state's tax base (we don't have an income tax, so property and sales tax are all there is to fund even essential services), all this means rate hikes and/or significant reductions in most of our public services and outright elimination of some services (library funding is reportedly already on the chopping block, the local police in our area are seeing a 68% budget cut, and our waste management fees just increased by about 29%, for starters).
so have fun, with your little victory parties. i'm going to be trying to figure out if there's any realistic way to get out from under my house and move to a state that will still have a public education system by the time my son's school-age.
January 29, 2008 10:55 PM | Reply | Permalink
This is our Ready to Lead on Day 1 thing???
The Clintons have become a running joke
Dana Milbank:
Stop the Aliens!!
January 29, 2008 11:14 PM | Reply | Permalink
As Digby notes, 1.8 million real people did cast these votes, whatever you think about them.
More people voted in Florida than all the other January contests put together, including Michigan.
What's not good for Obama is that the breakdown of demographics - blacks, non-black 30-59, non-black 18-29, non-black 60+ - are roughly consistent with South Carolina except he did worse with the non-black youth vote (campaigning would certainly help there of course - the youth vote requires heavy hand-holding/face time).
January 29, 2008 11:17 PM | Reply | Permalink
I hope Obama was gracious enough to thank the 600,000 who voted for him. It's not their fault that their party (state and national) screwed them out of their vote.
January 29, 2008 11:23 PM | Reply | Permalink
Hey, john mccutchen;
Nearly 900.000 Democratic American voters
disagreed with you today about whether it's Senator Clinton or your hollow rantings on here that are more ridiculous.
Have a Super Tuesday, won't you?
January 30, 2008 12:30 AM | Reply | Permalink
Penn nails it:
MEMO: A Significant Victory in Florida
Hillary Clinton won a significant victory today in the Florida primary with the biggest turnout in Florida Democratic primary history. She will end up with more votes than John McCain, the winner of the Republican primary. And Floridians cast more votes than were cast in Iowa, Nevada, South Carolina, and New Hampshire combined.
A large, broad, and diverse group of voters came out and voted for Hillary in Florida. She won women, men, and just about every age category. She won 6 in 10 Latinos and nearly 3 in 10 African American voters.
The vote turned out to be far more than symbolic. Well over 1.5 million Democrats cast their ballots, more than twice the number of voters who came out to vote in the 2004 primary.
Most of the voters in Florida fully expect that their votes will not be wasted again -- they expect to have a voice at the convention, and Hillary has asked her delegates to support their being seated.
This result comes after Senator Obama ran TV commercials that reached Florida homes and after the enormous publicity he received for South Carolina and for the Ted Kennedy endorsement. The exit polls show widespread recognition of the endorsement -- but even so among those who decided on Election Day, a plurality of those chose Hillary.
But any momentum seemed to run out today -- among those who decided on Election Day, a plurality of those chose Hillary.
http://www.hillaryclinton.com/blog/view/?id=31501
January 30, 2008 12:33 AM | Reply | Permalink
I can see Dana Millbank simply can't contain his Clinton hatred.
I'm so surprised to see that operating at the Wash Post of all places.
Little problem for little Dana and friends: voters aren't listening to you. They despise you as much as you despise the Clintons, judging from their eagerness to defy your clucking tongues.
It would seem pretty remarkable to me at this point if Clinton didn't win. The most important thing that Florida has established is that real live voters aren't impressed with the scorn of the media and pundits, they aren't impressed with all the old-time pols who line up behind Obama, and, most importantly, they aren't impressed with the media confection called Barack Obama.
It doesn't matter if not a single delegate gets awarded, or if the media makes a big deal about it, or anything else -- because it shows the sentiment of the people themselves, people who have been paying attention and chose to make the effort to vote despite being told they would be ignored -- and no spin can deny that.
If Hillary indeed wins, it's going to be hard to be Dana Millbank again -- which is probably a pretty miserable proposition to begin with. And I think that's going to apply as well to the WaPo as a whole, and the larger media. Once more they will have to face the basic impotence of their sneers, and they do so want people to pay attention to them.
January 30, 2008 12:51 AM | Reply | Permalink
Last FL poll at the top predicted
Clinton 57% (+30)
Obama 27%
Edwards 12%
Returns
Clinton 50% (+17)
Obama 33%
Edwards 14%
So what happened to Hillary's supposed 30-point lead in Florida?
January 30, 2008 1:22 AM | Reply | Permalink
rankly0 wrote on January 30, 2008 12:51 AM:
"The most important thing that Florida has established is that real live voters aren't impressed with the scorn of the media and pundits, they aren't impressed with all the old-time pols who line up behind Obama, and, most importantly, they aren't impressed with the media confection called Barack Obama."
Amen, brother/sister, you have called it! And after having read your words of wisdom, I can sleep tonight with a sense of inner peace knowing that we the people still count for something.
January 30, 2008 1:37 AM | Reply | Permalink
Danr2 wrote on January 30, 2008 1:22 AM:
"So what happened to Hillary's supposed 30-point lead in Florida?"
That was only one poll. The overall RCP average was about 19, so she just about hit that. Any given poll is just a sample. Samples vary, but an average of samples gets you closer to the real figure.
January 30, 2008 1:40 AM | Reply | Permalink
If any of you Hillbots are actual people and not just turfers, I'd suggest taking a look at the crosstabs from the exits.
HRC's numbers were not trending upward.
January 30, 2008 1:47 AM | Reply | Permalink
What the American public won't ignore about the results of Florida's Democratic primary is that LOTS of people voted, all of them had access to the national news, the talk shows, the newspapers, and the debates, and the majority of them, with a fully mixed demographic, voted for Senator Clinton over Senator Obama and former Senator Edwards. The level playing field won. And THAT tells us who the PEOPLE will vote for in November. You go, Girl!
January 30, 2008 2:35 AM | Reply | Permalink
You Obama morons: It doesn't matter if the elections had delegates or not. Obama lost 50% to 30%. These are real peoples votes. It is these votes that count in the general election.
GET IT NUMBSKULLS YOU LOST, FL PEOPLE DON'T TRUST OBAMA!
But of course you are running on "Fairy Tell" platform!
Barack HOAX Obama
January 30, 2008 2:36 AM | Reply | Permalink
One more thing for Obama morons. If you believe Drunk Kennedys' endorsement is going to get you any votes, start believing in UFOs, BigFoot, Flat Earth...
January 30, 2008 2:39 AM | Reply | Permalink
fl-ind and others -
You really don't need to call people morons etc. to make your point. Our biggest problems are with the people running the country these last 7 years, not the opponents in this campaign. And we may need to snuggle up with these people we don't quite agree with just to reach more important goals. Don't blow it.
January 30, 2008 6:35 AM | Reply | Permalink
1.7 million Dems voted in FL. It might not result in delegates—for now—but it certainly gave a much better indication of where American voters stand than any of the previous votes. Face it, FL looks more like the country as a whole, while IA, NH, and SC decidedly do not. NV looks like much of the southwest, but like all caucuses, the process is so corrupt as to be meaningless as an indication of anything. One this is for sure, Obama did not get any serious bump from his early "victories." He is still likely to lose according to both polls and trading markets. That is nothing like what his supporters expected (and idiot pundits predicted). So now they spin and spin.
No delegates means no delegates, something I pointed out after Obama and Hillary basically split IA delegates despite her "loss." Didn't hear this meme from Obamaites that time. But the question you have to ask yourself is why didn't Obama get any bump in FL? He was on the ballot. He was even the only one who broke party rules and advertised there. Its because SC and the Kennedy endorsements are meaningless (or even detrimental) to most Americans.
One week and it won't be over, but we'll know for sure what America really thinks of the golden boy. I can only hope people will see through his veneer. BTW, Obama's campaign dismissing the votes of 1.7 million people as a "meaningless exercise" is beyond offensive and ain't gonna play well in Peoria. Most rational people think the DNC is the culprit here. The only reason that Obama and Edwards went along is that they never had a chance in either MI or FL, so they pinned their hopes on a momentum that excluded these huge and important states. Shame on them. Go Hillary!!
January 30, 2008 6:38 AM | Reply | Permalink
Hey, Obama morons. Hillary did not campaign in FL at all. Obama actually broke rules and ran an ad. Also, no one "agreed" to discount the votes. They agreed to not campaign there. All were on the ballot. It was a level playing field. The DNC was wrong to punish FL for the vote of their republican legislature that tied their hands. I didn't whine when Obama won his mock victory in SC. But you guys have whined like the babies you are EVERY time the godboy loses. Grow the f**k up. The childishness of Obama's supporters says everything about the man. Not ready for primetime.
January 30, 2008 6:45 AM | Reply | Permalink
I don't live in NJ anywhere, but that's where I'm from. Until this year, their primary was in freakin' June. It was always all over by then. Florida's situation parallels. They may be slapped with a 0-delegate penalty, but many, many voters in big states have been "disenfranchised" by virtue of their late primaries. Get over it. I hope something can be worked out the next time, but the way The Clintons are once again trying to game the system is flat-out wrong.
January 30, 2008 7:36 AM | Reply | Permalink
what made SC a mock campaign? because Hillary lost?
and somehow FL is a legit, fair playing field and votes should count?
your logic is backwards and thinking biased.
how can Hillary think it's fair to count MI votes when she was the only major candidate on the ballot? and after the fact.
also, Obama isn't mocking FL voters. it's the truth. it may not be fair. but FL voters knew full well going in to vote that their votes wouldn't count.
January 30, 2008 8:40 AM | Reply | Permalink
To me, the cutest spin of all is that Obama lost because he didn't have the "name recognition" that Hillary does.
Let's see, a bazillion nationally televised debates, endless press coverage, every indication in the world that voters everywhere are more tuned into this nomination process than any in recent history, and poor Obama suffers from "lack of name recognition"?
Now that's just funny.
January 30, 2008 8:44 AM | Reply | Permalink
FL voters knew full well going in to vote that their votes wouldn't count.
Well they certainly knew that the powers-that-be in the Democratic establishment didn't want them to count.
But even though the establishment refused to listen to them, and wanted to act as if they simply didn't exist, they were so determined to make their voice heard that that they nonetheless went to the polls and voted for the candidate that they were obviously truly motivated to support.
And that candidate was Hillary Clinton.
January 30, 2008 8:49 AM | Reply | Permalink
Notwithstanding all the spinning here, does anybody have any links to voting demographics? I'd appreciate it.
January 30, 2008 8:55 AM | Reply | Permalink
I find it so interesting that people are so willing to dismiss the choice cast by more than 1 million Democrats as if the delegates are detached from the voters.
Whether this win converts to delegates, the fact is that more than 850,000 registered Democrats voted for Hillary Clinton. I believe that number is greater than the number of voters that voted/caucused in all IA, NH, MICH, NEV, and SC combined.
And while neither candidate came into Florida to campaign, Obama certainly was all over the news on the day before the primary with the Kennedy endorsement, which was covered extensively. Also, Obama campaign ads ran in FL for the week before the primary because he had bought time on national stations so his message got out there.
January 30, 2008 10:17 AM | Reply | Permalink
The Florida and Michigan delegates will end up being seated because the Democratic party wants to win those states in November.
It was a bad bad move for Obama to try to discredit and discount Florida and Michigan votes, especially after all his bellyaching as to the Clinton camps supposed attempts at disenfrachisment in Nevada.
January 30, 2008 10:28 AM | Reply | Permalink
http://www.thenation.com/blogs/campaignmatters?pid=277369
What the shit? She actually went to Florida last week? And Bill has been there campaigning for her for weeks?? Why the hell wasn't this reported on? Who cares about fliers, they actually went to Florida and actively campaigned themselves??? What bullshit. Why didn't TPM report on this??
January 30, 2008 10:33 AM | Reply | Permalink