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In Major Setback For Edwards, Hillary Wins Second Place, Networks Say
CNN and MSNBC call second place for Hillary.
It's another big blow to John Edwards, who was born in this state and whose campaign was talking up a late surge -- and a possible second-place finish -- that didn't materialize.
Indeed, the Edwards camp sought to draw attention to a Hillary robocall targeting him at the last minute, pointing to it as proof that the "prohibitive frontrunner sees John Edwards as a threat to her becoming the nominee."
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Russert's got it right
80%
to
18%
The Clintons' claque of Uncle Tom hacks take note. We're tired of Bill Clinton's dissin a supremely qualified black man
Maybe Mrs. Bill should leave her husband in charge of more states
January 26, 2008 7:54 PM | Reply | Permalink
I don't think anyone seriously thought he'd move into 2nd place, especially after Clinton pulled out all the stops and returned to blast him with those robocalls.
I don't think he was very smart in starting to attack Obama. He should have focused on knocking down Clinton so he could pass her. I don't know what he was thinking.
January 26, 2008 7:55 PM | Reply | Permalink
I was actually surprised Edwards showed up as strong as there to be any ambiguity about second place. I did not peg him that strong at this point, and had a bit more faith in Clinton.
Either way, Edwards has a choice to make.
January 26, 2008 8:08 PM | Reply | Permalink
MSNBC: Wolfson went out at 1 to concede a 12 pt. loss
AP's now looking at 24%
January 26, 2008 8:08 PM | Reply | Permalink
Edwards stays in for brokered convention...the one that The Clintons have already announced they intend to steal
In his heart, Josh Marshall knows Jonathan Chait is right
January 26, 2008 8:10 PM | Reply | Permalink
I hope Edwards stays in. He gives voice to a constituency and set of concerns that would otherwise get less attention, and he's been a lot more substantive this time around than in 2004.
January 26, 2008 8:16 PM | Reply | Permalink
john mccutchen wrote on January 26, 2008 7:54 PM:
"The Clintons' claque of Uncle Tom hacks take note. We're tired of Bill Clinton's dissin a supremely qualified black man"
That's lovely. Do I have your permission to make Obama campaign flyers with this slogan?
January 26, 2008 8:21 PM | Reply | Permalink
Edwards needs to quit kissing Clinton ass then, obviously they aren't going to spare him any love.
January 26, 2008 8:22 PM | Reply | Permalink
Josh Marshall
Why are the networks covering live pressor of Clinton (the male one) before the pressor of other Clinton (the female one)?
Who is running?
Is it to prevent the pressor of Obama get a good coverage?
++++
Will McCain be able to run against the two Clintons?
++++
Read Colbert I. King essay in Washingtonpost.com today (1/26). Learn about the two Clintons'.
January 26, 2008 8:23 PM | Reply | Permalink
You can't make this up...
Folks, I'm linking right back to the mothership at talkingpointsmemo.com. Josh has posted the video of Bill shellacking Obama with a coat of Jesse Jackson black, and now this:
"Clinton campaign strategists denied any intentional effort to stir the racial debate. But they said they believe the fallout has had the effect of branding Obama as "the black candidate," a tag that could hurt him outside the South."
January 26, 2008 8:31 PM | Reply | Permalink
Obama did well among white voters, getting 24% to Hillary's 29%, and got 50% of the white vote of 18-29 year olds
January 26, 2008 8:34 PM | Reply | Permalink
Today, Democrats voted for Senator Obama by more than double the number that voted for Hillary. She courted those voters, so do not try to now spin it as not meaning anything. She got slaughtered, after her, and The First Black President tried everything they could to win.
Spin all you want to; it still ends up that Senator Obama wiped the floor today with both of the Clintons.
January 26, 2008 8:42 PM | Reply | Permalink
Tim Russert
This is NOT the ClintonCratic party
Rage against their machine
Take back your party
January 26, 2008 8:42 PM | Reply | Permalink
Momentum aside, based on the four states so far, it looks like Obama has a clear plan to the nomination. Break even with Clinton outside the south--he's already shown he can do that--and win handily in the south.
January 26, 2008 8:48 PM | Reply | Permalink
More great news for Senator Obama:
January 26, 2008
Caroline Kennedy endorses Obama
Posted: 08:44 PM ET
Former First Daughter Caroline Kennedy is endorsing Barack Obama in an op-ed in Sunday's New York Times.
January 26, 2008 8:48 PM | Reply | Permalink
TPM,
I celebrate. I sleep well tonight. I wake up with great joy tomorrow. And, then, I have coffee and watch This Week (ABC).
Read Colbert I. King's 1/26 essay on the two Clintons' machine in Washingtonpost.com
GO USA! GO OBAMA! GO USA!
January 26, 2008 8:49 PM | Reply | Permalink
If CA is any guide, look for a heavy media w/ highly targeted, intense field operation aimed at winning congressional districts and independent voters
January 26, 2008 8:50 PM | Reply | Permalink
Liam wrote on January 26, 2008 8:42 PM:
"Spin all you want to; it still ends up that Senator Obama wiped the floor today with both of the Clintons."
Yes, he did. And what you are going to see in the coming weeks is a stronger sense of resolve in the Democratic voters who do not want to see Obama nominated. I am confident that is more than half of the party.
I'd say that hurts Edwards and voters will be less inclined to split their opposition votes by giving them to a candidate who cannot finish higher than 3rd.
January 26, 2008 8:50 PM | Reply | Permalink
A President Like My Father
Caroline Kennedy
http://www.nytimes.com/2008/01/27/opinion/27kennedy.html?_r=1&hp&oref=slogin
January 26, 2008 8:52 PM | Reply | Permalink
A Webb endorsement wouldn't surprise me one bit
January 26, 2008 8:55 PM | Reply | Permalink
He did better than I expected. he has supporters for a reason. He has connected with some people and I think the race is better for it.
January 26, 2008 9:03 PM | Reply | Permalink
Please explain how the anti-dynastic Obama fans can square that position with enthusiastically trumpeting Caroline Kennedy's endorsement.
January 26, 2008 9:04 PM | Reply | Permalink
Caroline Kennedy (JFK’s daughter) endorses Barack Obama!
She says he’s “a president like my father”. This is big.
http://thecaucus.blogs.nytimes.com/
January 26, 2008 9:04 PM | Reply | Permalink
My fav moment so far tonight was Hillary's statement that included this tidbit: "We now turn our attention to the millions of Americans who will make their voices heard in Florida and the 22 states as well as American Samoa who will vote on February 5."
As American Samoa goes, so goes the nation?
Nah, she knows it's about delegates. Every, single delegate. John Edwards' delegates. American Samoa's handful of delegates.
Anyway, back to trying to figure out why more Americans aren't lining up behind the best candidate and the one most likely to win in November: John Edwards.
Sigh.
January 26, 2008 9:07 PM | Reply | Permalink
Please explain how the anti-dynastic Obama fans can square that position with enthusiastically trumpeting Caroline Kennedy's endorsement.
Let's see--how about Obama being the son of a Kenyan and a Kansan? That squares it pretty simply.
January 26, 2008 9:07 PM | Reply | Permalink
This is just getting started.
January 26, 2008 9:09 PM | Reply | Permalink
this was a big win. if you were to add sen clinton and sen edwards votes together, it would still be a sizable win. (much higher than any 'clear mandate' gwb ever got)
January 26, 2008 9:10 PM | Reply | Permalink
We are tired of business as usual in Washington
Barack Obama
Beat her like a drum
Obama 55%
Clinton 27%
Edwards 18%
January 26, 2008 9:11 PM | Reply | Permalink
Hobgoblin,
Love the name, love the irony. However, your question makes no sense. Could you state your question instead of merely implying it? Thanks.
January 26, 2008 9:13 PM | Reply | Permalink
If you think the dynastic principle is illegitimate, then there's no reason to care what Caroline thinks. If you want to think that Caroline's endorsement is meaningful AND condemn the role of dynasties in American political life, then the burden's on you to explain why Caroline would be important without her surname.
It's really quite simple.
Although maybe not for people who equate being from Kansas with being from the third world.
January 26, 2008 9:18 PM | Reply | Permalink
Congrats to Obama and his crazed followers.
Next.
January 26, 2008 9:20 PM | Reply | Permalink
Apparently, hobgoblin, you don't understand the meaning of the word "dynasty." And nice try twisting my words.
January 26, 2008 9:22 PM | Reply | Permalink
hobgoblin wrote on January 26, 2008 9:18 PM:
So how does this apply to Bill & Hill? Please inquiring minds want to know!
January 26, 2008 9:22 PM | Reply | Permalink
The Cllintons have proven that they are scum again with the robocalls on JRE.
January 26, 2008 9:23 PM | Reply | Permalink
HillBilly got squashed. Oh my! And 'Bama took as many votes as the first and second place republican finishers....
January 26, 2008 9:29 PM | Reply | Permalink
I was just looking up turnout for the 2004 SC primary and the election results caught my eye -- contrast John Edwards, then and now.
2004 SC Democratic Primary Results.
Edwards 45%
Kerry 30%
Sharpton 10%
Clark 7%
Dean 5%
Lieberman 2%
Kucinich 1%
Overall turnout looks to be up a good 75-80% over 2004 though.
January 26, 2008 9:30 PM | Reply | Permalink
Dynasts (by descent or marriage) who run against Obama, BAD.
Dynasts who endorse Obama, GOOD.
Consistency is, of course, the hobgoblin of little minds.
January 26, 2008 9:32 PM | Reply | Permalink
OK, thanks for the clarification.
I do think dynastic principle is illegitimate, yes. That is my take on it and I think that was largely the basis our nation was built upon. But wait, you say, a Kennedy has endorsed Obama. Does not compute!
Look, if JFK had served two terms and then had used his position as titular head of the party in 1976 to stump for Jackie (or Bobby for that matter), and if he had done so with every legitimate and less than legitimate lever at his disposal, we could probably draw more apt comparisons. If, in that bizzaro universe I just described, we were in danger of going Eisenhower/Kennedy/Eisenhower/Kennedy, that would make it an even more apt comparison.
What I'm saying is that the fact that Caroline Kennedy is endorsing Barack Obama is in no way germain to any concerns of the effects of dynasty on Presidential politics. I think this is self evident to most people, but maybe I'm wrong.
As far as the Kenya/Kansas comment, I think that was meant to show that a child of two cultures can understand both, not that they are both "third world countries". I think you may want to clean your filter.
Regards.
January 26, 2008 9:34 PM | Reply | Permalink
I've heard lots about Edwards as "Kingmaker" the past week. He's in trouble right now and with his delegate count so low I don't see how he can do it. If he can run effectively through Feb. 5 its a possibility, but after this loss that is highly questionable.
January 26, 2008 9:39 PM | Reply | Permalink
So, Caroline's endorsement isn't germane to the question of dynasty in American political life. Got it. But, if you take the mantle of dynasty away from her comments, why do you care what she has to say?
All I'm saying is that there's no way she'd make national news if it weren't for her family background, just as I rather doubt that Clinton would be where she is in the primaries without her presidential connections. Celebrate one and decry the other, but recognize that your evaluation is merely instrumental.
January 26, 2008 9:43 PM | Reply | Permalink
Bill Clinton put in the last part of his race baiting, dismissing Obama and the SC defeat as some kind of black anomaly. He finally said Obama is like Jesse Jackson:
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2008/01/26/bill-clinton-obama-is-ju_n_83406.html
January 26, 2008 9:46 PM | Reply | Permalink
Hobgoblin,
Your point is well taken, and on the narrow point I agree with you. The quote you use about consistency is one of my favorites but to my ear you are misapplying it. Consistency is the hobgoblin because if you are entirely consistent with a principle (dynasty bad) you can miss the forest for the trees. Not to get to far off track, but if you have read Winesburg, Ohio by Sherwood Anderson there is that great story (called Truth I think) that speaks to this point.
Like most things there is a matter of degree here. Kennedys have influence, but the Clintons are trying to hijack the whole damn party in my opinion.
Thanks for a respectful back and forth.
January 26, 2008 9:51 PM | Reply | Permalink
Actually, brad, you do catch my meaning. I don't think consistency is the be all and end all, thus the tag line.
I do, however, find the swooning over CK's endorsement a bit unbecoming from Obama supporters who often seem to think that citing 28 years of Bush-
Clinton is a debate-stopping argument.
That's all.
January 26, 2008 10:04 PM | Reply | Permalink
Seems to me many are forgetting way back when during the time of Oprah in SC and the huge stadium rallies…
There was much discussion of how she spoke…she dropped her billionaire speech and launched into “Southern preacher” mode, totally out of her usual speech (not a movie role). Many wondered about his “act” and whether THIS was playing a race card!! Remember???
And one has to wonder why Martin Luther King III advised Edwards to stay in the contest?? Maybe it's because the Billary -Obama camps are both pretty low.
January 26, 2008 10:11 PM | Reply | Permalink
GRL,
FYI, it's not an act. Contrary to your racist assumptions, some of us black folks are fluent in both vernacular and Standard American English.
http://www.christianitytoday.com/ct/2002/april1/1.38.html?start=1
http://tmatt.gospelcom.net/column/2007/01/10/
January 26, 2008 10:34 PM | Reply | Permalink
Re: Dynasties, Clintons, and Kennedys
I'm sorry to have to disagree with you, hobgoblin (especially since you've kept such an even and respectful tone), but there are several ways in which acknowledging the importance of Caroline Kennedy's endorsement squares with an antipathy toward dynastic politics.
1. Caroline's endorsement depends mainly on a comparison between Obama and the effect he has had on people and Kennedy and the effect he had in his time. As someone who knew Kennedy and who has been in a unique position to know Kennedy's friends and supporters, Caroline possesses an authority in making that comparison that almost no one else could have.
2. The importance of that comparison - of the similarities she sees between JFK and Obama - lies in who the two men are in themselves. No one can say that Obama owes his position to Kennedy, or that Kennedy might further some personal ambition by supporting Obama.
3. What concerns people about dynasties is their ability to use family connections to supplement deficiencies in intrinsic qualities - in other words, their ability to subvert meritocracy. That Caroline Kennedy should endorse Obama suggests that his intrinsic merit supersedes loyalty to her own family - despite the fact that she cannot have known him for more than a few years, and despite the fact that there still are plenty of ambitious politicians with blood or marriage ties to the Kennedys. In other words, her endorsement turns dynastic politics on its head - and so is remarkable and newsworthy.
I write all this as an Edwards supporter. I'm just hoping Obama will, like JFK, offer the vice president slot to an ambitious southerner - even if it's a surprise when he accepts.
January 26, 2008 10:39 PM | Reply | Permalink
Not to interrupt the more serious trolling going on here, but I just had a though. John Edwards should start having the other candidates PAY him to attack them during debates.\
He goes after Hillary in NH. She pulls off a stunning, come from behind win.
He goes after Obama in SC. He pulls off a stunningly overwhelming and broad based victory there.
John is like an anti-motivational speaker. Whatever he says, people will vehemently and empathetically believe the opposite. That might not be such a good quality to have as President though...
January 26, 2008 10:39 PM | Reply | Permalink
NC-11
Huhn? What authority or experience are you talking about? She was 6 when JFK was assassinated. Sorensen's comparison's I'll buy, on the basis of experience. Caroline, not so much.
Also, I was unaware there was a Kennedy in the race. It's hard to see this as a case of competing loyalties.
Sorry, but my silliness detectors are still going off. It's not that I'm anti-Obama, I just don't think that the endorsement of one author of childrens' books is swoon-worthy if you have an a priori commitment to not letting politics be determined by reverence for dynasties.
January 26, 2008 10:59 PM | Reply | Permalink
For the "reverence for dynasties CROWD:
If any of you known where you were at JFK's death, raise your hand?
How many of you know what state and when was RFK elected to the U.S. senate?
How many of Hillary's core Democratic supporters voted for JFK?
Got that? Now, STFU!
Nothing personal, just history!
January 26, 2008 11:17 PM | Reply | Permalink
Hillary is crashing. Her "What, me worry?" departure from SC provides Edwards the ammo to pass her. Which will force the media to focus on his platform. It's a potent, fully defined one. This will, in turn, force Obama to substantiate his positions. Sorry, gang but while Obama is quite charismatic, his plans are pretty much business as usual. Real change goes to Edwards.
January 26, 2008 11:18 PM | Reply | Permalink
"A foolish consistency is the hobgoblin of little minds, adored by little statesmen and philosophers and divines. With consistency a great soul has simply nothing to do. He may as well concern himself with his shadow on the wall. Speak what you think now in hard words, and to-morrow speak what to-morrow thinks in hard words again, though it contradict every thing you said to-day. — 'Ah, so you shall be sure to be misunderstood.' — Is it so bad, then, to be misunderstood? Pythagoras was misunderstood, and Socrates, and Jesus, and Luther, and Copernicus, and Galileo, and Newton, and every pure and wise spirit that ever took flesh. To be great is to be misunderstood."
The false quote above only stifles the debate. The accurate quote should be the Democratic nominee's main theme in 2008; despite mountains of belatedly-disclosed evidence against the war - lack of WMD or Iraqi terrorism link - and its morally bankrupt prosecution - torture and civilian suffering - the Republican party still embraces it.
January 26, 2008 11:23 PM | Reply | Permalink
I don't see how this is a setback for Edwards particularly given the media hype that barely allows the average tv watcher to learn he is running. I think he did pretty well.
As for Hillary's dirty little robocall, yes, that ought to be made into a major issue. But it won't be, because that would interfere with the woman vs the black man story the media is obsessing over. It isn't about race, so why does it matter. This is a nation of morons pretty much because those who are supposed to educate them about current events are the most stupid and petty people on the planet.
January 26, 2008 11:51 PM | Reply | Permalink
Edwards picks up 5 district delegates, plus 2 at large and one pledged PLEO.
Coulda been worse.
January 27, 2008 12:42 AM | Reply | Permalink
Anon (11:51 PM)-
You got it exactly right. 'Nuf said.
January 27, 2008 2:10 AM | Reply | Permalink
Great, Obama's been endorsed by the great Kennedy dynasty not for being like the hip poetic Bobby, but for being like the Cold War warrior and rat pack womanizer JFK. Yeah, he's known for the Peace Corps as well as the Bay of Pigs and Marilyn Monroe, a mixed rating in the Cuban Missile Crisis (we pulled our radars out of Turkey, for one, but at least he defused the nuclear standoff), and a huge question of how he would have stopped the Vietnam/SE Asia gambit he started. As someone noted, Caroline knew JFK - as a girl almost 6 years old when he died.
Obama's better off with the MLK analogy.
January 27, 2008 7:49 AM | Reply | Permalink
I find it interesting that Hillary's polling had it exactly right - she was competing with Edwards for the white vote, and the black vote (except a bit on the older side) was pretty firmly set for Obama. Obama got 25% of the non-black 30-59 vote and only 15% of the 60+ non-black vote. Edwards slightly beat Hillary in the first sector, and tied her in the 2nd. Oddly to me, Hillary beat Edwards in the non-black youth vote, but perhaps so many going for Obama (50%) siphoned off most who would have voted for Edwards.
January 27, 2008 7:53 AM | Reply | Permalink
"We are tired of business as usual in Washington"
Bravo, Obama! At this point, however, it becomes very important that our hero be pressed hard and often on the foreign policy baggage he is carrying on his campaign train: Brzezinski (architect of the Afghan jihadi movement); Anthony Lake (oversaw Cinton-era invasion of Haiti & subsequent "overhaul" of Haitian economy); Dennis Ross (Near East policy advisement for Reagan, both Bushes + Clinton); Gen. Merrill McPeak, ret.(point-man in Indonesia shortly after 1991 Dili massacre.)
This is change? Or is it the same old US foreign policy malfeasance that has been in play for the last five administrations?
January 27, 2008 10:00 AM | Reply | Permalink
The real irony here is that I haven't been this excited about the Dem candidate *since* 1992. Yeah, how much foreign policy experience did *that* guy have, picabia?
Don't worry, you all will probably end up dragging us all back into the matrix, and we'll all end up with President McCain. And yeah, it will be your fault.
January 27, 2008 11:01 AM | Reply | Permalink
Another Blog goes for Obama. I guess the campaign is just about over, and we can finally bury the politics as usual of blasting our opponents with insulting characterizations and name-calling. Thank god ! I for one, am looking forward to the purity of an Obama campaign. We haven't encountered such hope and uplifting politeness since Kerry !
January 27, 2008 11:45 AM | Reply | Permalink
Aw, poor baby, I understand. You are going through withdrawal since you did not get your daily fix of pigsty politics, because your Clin-tons of smears and slimes express got derailed in South Carolina.
January 27, 2008 12:26 PM | Reply | Permalink
Edwards did pretty decently, considering the expectations, and remains viable going into Super Tuesday. I'm glad he's staying in.
Democratic voters take note! He's still the best candidate to put up against the Repubublicans, especially McCain, who has campaign finance reform credibility, sure to resonate with voters, that would be neutralized by Edwards refusal to take lobbyist donations in his campaign and his pledge not to have any lobbyist serving in his administration.
But, blinded by the bright media-driven light shining on the glitterati candidates, most Democratic voters aren't thinking about November, apparently. And the corporate media has now removed crucial information from Democratic voters, by allowing (ordering?) the polling companies to remove Edwards from the head-to-head polls, where he had consistently done the best of all the Dems in most of the polling against all the Republicans.
HuffPo put up a good editorial about it yesterday, here: http://www.huffingtonpost.com/leslie-savan/could-edwards-beat-mccain_b_83371.html
Greg, Josh, we need to hear from you about this!
January 27, 2008 1:33 PM | Reply | Permalink
Oh, and one other thing about that campaign finance reform credibility of McCain. Have all of you been thinking about how both Clinton and Obama might compare to McCain on that issue? If you're thinking about November, you should be!
January 27, 2008 2:28 PM | Reply | Permalink
Congratulations to Senator Obama and his supporters on an impressive victory in South Carolina.
If Senator Obama wins the nomination, we progressive supporters of Senator Clinton will be pleased and proud to support and unite behind such a fine man and solid Democrat.
Oh, and since we feel that same way about the Clintons - always have - it might be nice for some of you to, you know, act a touch more civilized regarding the Clintons.
See you next week Wednesday when we'll all know who's the probable nominee. The Clinton bashing has finally become to nasty and tiresome here. I'd like to preserve what little good spirit I have ;-)
Good luck.
PEACE
January 27, 2008 9:25 PM | Reply | Permalink