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Hillary's NH Lead In Suffolk Tracking Poll Cut By Nearly Half
The latest tracking poll from Suffolk University shows that Hillary Clinton's lead over Barack Obama has nearly been cut in half. This is a three-day tracking poll, incorporating one day of post-Iowa sampling and two days of pre-Iowa samples. Here are today's numbers, as compared to yesterday's:
Clinton 36% (-1)
Obama 29% (+4)
Edwards 13% (-2)
Here's some perspective: Suffolk's tracking poll has been something of an outlier all this cycle, giving Hillary a bigger edge than other pollsters. Their tracking poll yesterday, conducted entirely before Iowa, gave her a 37%-25% lead over Obama. So if only one day of post-Iowa sampling cuts her lead from 12 points down to 7, then that one day must have been really good for Obama.
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This thing is over. These early numbers are worse than she could have imagined, and the news cycle is even worse than the numbers.
She's a great candidate, and deserves a place high up in the coming administration. Unfortunately for her, Obama's time is now.
January 5, 2008 3:13 PM | Reply | Permalink
I take that back...so long as Barack doesn't say anything monumentally stupid tonight (which I can't imagine) then this thing is over.
January 5, 2008 3:15 PM | Reply | Permalink
latest Zogby, Rasmussen polls show her lead shrinking fast.
January 5, 2008 3:42 PM | Reply | Permalink
Latest polls don't give her a "lead." Barack is running away with it.
January 5, 2008 3:48 PM | Reply | Permalink
I find this so incredibly uplifting. I've been an Obama supporter for a year now, so I knew deep down that all it would take was for him to be heard.
No offense to Clinton, but I think she felt that all it would take for HER was to run.
I'm hopeful that Edwards might stay in the running in and after New Hampshire, it makes it interesting, but I think Obama is gonna sweep there Tuesday night.
In Iowa, he didn't just win over the Democrats, the college-educated over $55K under 60 crowd, he won overjust about everybody that wasn't a die-hard Republican. It was a movement, not just a democratic caucus.
That's what he needed -- to show America that Yes He Can, and We Can Too.
I'm tickled pink. But before I get too giddy, I will remind myself that a bunch of Clinton and Edwards fans are about to jump down my throat, LOL...
Peace,
Lis
January 5, 2008 4:33 PM | Reply | Permalink
Is anyone talking about foreign policy the role of China/India w/trade/climate change/use of fuel?
January 5, 2008 5:30 PM | Reply | Permalink
Yes, ruth moss, they are. Please visit each candidate's official website and click "Issues".
January 5, 2008 5:45 PM | Reply | Permalink
Though I am very excited at Obama's showing in Iowa and his closing in the polls in N.H., let's get real. We won't know who is the nominee until Feb. 5.
If Clinton does lose I think much of the credit must go to the sneering, porcine countenance of Mark Penn. The guy is a total pig. The rest of the credit should go to her husband.
Let's all relax and wait for "Super Tuesday."
January 5, 2008 6:59 PM | Reply | Permalink
My friends it is still early and I would not count the Clinton's out. I believe that we need to change the whole landscape in D.C. Old faces won't do. I personally fell out of love with the Clintons as I thought about the legacy they left behind, brought to us in part by the scandals. I realized the damage they left behind which gave birth to a George Bush, the worst president ever. Change is necessary for rebuilding our county and our standing in the world.
January 5, 2008 7:04 PM | Reply | Permalink